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MH370 Beacon Battery May Have Been Expired

New submitter Limekiller42 writes Malaysia's transport ministry released its preliminary report on the disappearance of MH370 that disappeared almost a year ago during flight and has yet to be located. The report states that the maintenance records for the solid state flight data recorder underwater locater beacon [indicate that its battery] expired in December of 2012 and there is no evidence it was replaced prior to aircraft going missing.

178 comments

  1. Hmm.. so? by sTERNKERN · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Did it turn into a groud-to-air missile and blew the whole plane into bits and pieces?

    1. Re:Hmm.. so? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wrong plane, this is not the one shot down in the Ukraine. This is the one that apparently changed direction several times, vanished from radar, then flew to another hemisphere before disappearing entirely.

    2. Re:Hmm.. so? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Perhaps it flew to the Ukraine and rammed the other one?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    3. Re:Hmm.. so? by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Wrong plane, right point. Expired or not it seems extremely unlikely that the battery "just happened" to be dead on a flight where all other communication and tracking was lost, and the pilot apparently went to great lengths to obfuscate their flight path. The disappearance *might* be explainable by a lightning strike or other sudden electronics-shorting disaster, combined with extreme incompetence of the pilot, but it seems MUCH more likely that the plane has been found because someone went to great lengths to ensure that it wouldn't be.

      At best this raises the suspicion that somebody in the chain of responsibility for maintenance and/or flight assignment may have been involved. (How do they decide which plane flies which route?)

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    4. Re:Hmm.. so? by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      Actually, no.

      I'm in aviation and, like most disciplines where safety is crucial, (applies to computer systems, as well), when things go bad, they go really bad in multiple ways.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    5. Re:Hmm.. so? by danlip · · Score: 1

      At best this raises the suspicion that somebody in the chain of responsibility for maintenance and/or flight assignment may have been involved. (How do they decide which plane flies which route?)

      If someone from the maintenance team was involved in a conspiracy to take down the plane I really doubt they would've recorded the evidence in the maintenance logs.

    6. Re:Hmm.. so? by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      I don't see the point of making a plane disappear, particularly if no one took any credit for it. It would be a lot of work for no understandable payoff. A terrorist group, for instance, would trumpet about how they crashed the plane. Even if it didn't go exactly according to their plan, they just successfully killed a couple hundred people. Mission accomplished, right? Even if it was a lone wolf, where is the YouTube manifesto?

      In this case, the only understandable motive to me for a plot is making Malaysian Airlines look like a bad carrier. As terrorists could care less about that, it implies some sort of business sabotage. Then having a plane go erratic and disappear without a trace would be effective.

      And then having a team of "Russian rebels" shoot down a plane of the same airline just a bit later makes more sense. But that would be one hell of a plot if they can infiltrate into a war zone, and get someone to shoot down a plane with a missile. I'd hate to piss off the guy who was able to make both happen. That's state actor/super-villain territory.

      Of course, what is possible isn't the same as what is probable. What is most probable is actually a massive system failure causing a loss of communications and navigation and then simply the pilots getting lost while flying without navigation systems. That is consistent with a wrong turn leading out into open ocean and flight until fuel runs out.

    7. Re:Hmm.. so? by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but bad enough that the pilot would fly out to sea, not just once but *three times*? And nobody on the plane had a working cell phone that could be used to update air control and/or request assistance any of the times they were over land?

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    8. Re:Hmm.. so? by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      Study up on cell phone architect and topology and you will discover the answer to part of your question.

      Cells beam out and down and are not located over water.

      And, unfortunately, sometimes when things go wrong, a cascade of fail-safe systems domino down the line, leaving no safety net.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  2. And that's half the story by garyisabusyguy · · Score: 5, Informative

    They were also carrying a load of lithium batteries, which other passenger airlines refuse to carry due to past accidents

    "It confirms that a large consignment of lithium-ion batteries was aboard the Boeing 777 and outlined in a red box was the warning: “The package must be handled with care and that a flammability hazard exists if the package is damaged. Special procedures must be followed in the event the package is damaged, to include inspection and repacking if necessary.”"
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/a...

    --
    Wherever You Go, There You Are
    1. Re: And that's half the story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If a "large consignment" of Li-ions gets damaged, you'll need nerves of ice if your idea of "special procedures" involves mere inspection and re packaging. Sensible people have on their running shoes at that point.

    2. Re:And that's half the story by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      Yep because speculation and conjecture will really help at this point.

      Large consignments of lithium-ion batteries get carried all the time without issue.

    3. Re:And that's half the story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not sure what TDB thinks is so remarkable about a package of lithium-ion batteries carrying the standard boilerplate warning that is put on packages of lithium-ion batteries.

    4. Re:And that's half the story by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      Maybe they caught fire.

    5. Re:And that's half the story by Richard_at_work · · Score: 5, Informative

      They were also carrying a load of lithium batteries, which other passenger airlines refuse to carry due to past accidents

      You make it sound like Malaysian Airlines is the odd one out in allowing shipments, when infact the norm at the time of MH370 was to allow lithium battery shipments - sure, some airlines had bans in place already (Cathay, BA) but others such as United Airlines put their restriction in place just this month, while Delta put theirs in during February.

    6. Re:And that's half the story by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

      How would a cargo of lithium batteries cause a plane to drastically alter course (towards the pilot's home island, no less)?

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    7. Re:And that's half the story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Maybe they caught fire.

      I'm not an aviation expert, but if that were the case wouldn't you expect either A) the crew notice and radio in the emergency, which didn't happen, or B) the fire leads to a sudden explosion and crash, leading to fragments of the plane all over the sea where radar last placed it, debris all over the ocean and an oil slick, none of which have been noticed?

    8. Re:And that's half the story by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 3, Informative

      Yep because speculation and conjecture will really help at this point.

      Large consignments of lithium-ion batteries get carried all the time without issue.

      It's not just "speculation and conjecture" As the Daily Beast's companion article states (emphasis mine),

      One item in particular jumps out from the cargo manifest: a consignment weighing 5,400 pounds that included a large number of lithium-ion batteries, radio accessories and chargers.

      Tests conducted on a similar consignment of batteries in a cargo hold by the Federal Aviation Administration have shown that they are vulnerable to a “thermal runaway” when one battery overheats and a chain reaction occurs. In several of the tests, smoke and fumes reached the airplane’s cockpit in less than 10 minutes. Another test caused an explosion that blew open the cockpit door. This week United Airlines joined Delta in deciding to no longer carry shipments of the batteries in the cargo holds of passenger flights.

      This issue was also brought up quite recently in a related discussion right here on Slashdot.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    9. Re:And that's half the story by thsths · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's not just "speculation and conjecture" As the Daily Beast's companion article states (emphasis mine),

      One item in particular jumps out from the cargo manifest: a consignment weighing 5,400 pounds that included a large number of lithium-ion batteries, radio accessories and chargers.

      Tests conducted on a similar consignment of batteries in a cargo hold by the Federal Aviation Administration have shown that they are vulnerable to a “thermal runaway” when one battery overheats and a chain reaction occurs. In several of the tests, smoke and fumes reached the airplane’s cockpit in less than 10 minutes. Another test caused an explosion that blew open the cockpit door. This week United Airlines joined Delta in deciding to no longer carry shipments of the batteries in the cargo holds of passenger flights.

      Yes, and that is a perfectly rational risk assessment. It is not possible to say how big the risk is exactly, but it is easy to avoid for a moderate additional cost, and therefore I would expect any airline to come to the same conclusion - unless maximising profit is the only significant consideration.

      However, that does not really explain what happened, because it seems that the aircraft did not blow up, but it just followed a rather strange and irregular flight path.

    10. Re:And that's half the story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And Li-ion batteries are totally irrelevant to how this flight went missing.

      You must be one of those "look, a squirrel"-type people.

    11. Re:And that's half the story by squiggleslash · · Score: 2

      Probably by causing an emergency, such as a fire, of a nature that pilots would have had time to react to, but alas, not enough time to recover from.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    12. Re:And that's half the story by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      So why no contact with the outside world via any of the numerous systems available to the pilots?

    13. Re: And that's half the story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      Your post is much better if I substitute "lions" for "Li-ions".

    14. Re:And that's half the story by ledow · · Score: 1

      I think it was hours off flight-plan when the engine data stopped being returned to the Boeing systems, wasn't it?

    15. Re:And that's half the story by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 1

      I hate squirrels.

      --
      If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
    16. Re:And that's half the story by dave420 · · Score: 1, Interesting

      The standard procedure, as far as I know (not being an expert), is upon noticing the fire, the pilots would have shut down all the circuits on the plane in order to find out if one was responsible for the fire. That would make using the radio difficult, if not impossible. Pilots do three things in order: 1. Aviate. 2. Navigate. 3. Communicate. Not getting to 3 can be expected under stressful circumstances.

    17. Re:And that's half the story by kevinbr · · Score: 1

      Possibly to head to the closest runway available ....... Note the Fex Ex Dubai crash, the smoke was so bad the pilots could not see the instruments, and in the end, the fire burned the oxygen lines. The pilot left the cockpit to seek an oxygen bottle but never returned, presumably overwhelmed by fumes. The co-piot crashed alone in the cockpit. Fire indicates getting down to the nearest runway ......

    18. Re:And that's half the story by neo256 · · Score: 1

      I might not call myself an electronic expert, but turning down all systems in case of fire doesn't sound like a good idea. Their is a ton of stuff keeping a plane airborne and able to ask for help. I don't think flipping a switch will make fire 'magically' go away, so turning everything off does not sound very logical to me.

      Turning of x sub systems because they are prone to causing fires... yea that sounds plausible.

      Another possibility is immediate overall system failure... At least when I look at stuff like this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f30fBFitkSM

      I could imagine some electrical problems from a large number of cells catching fire or 'gassing' the whole airplane within seconds.

    19. Re:And that's half the story by AC-x · · Score: 3, Informative

      The standard procedure, as far as I know (not being an expert), is upon noticing the fire, the pilots would have shut down all the circuits on the plane in order to find out if one was responsible for the fire.

      They don't turn off all circuits, only non-essential ones. For example as in this crash caused by an in-flight fire the standard procedure is to switch off power to the cabin but not the cockpit, as without power to the cockpit you'll barely be able to fly. The radio was also kept on at all times as you're less likely to be able to make a successful emergency landing without being able to talk to ATC to make sure the runway is clear and prepared.

    20. Re: And that's half the story by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      "This is the captain. We have an emergency situation, please don the running shoes dangling in front of your faces."

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    21. Re:And that's half the story by AC-x · · Score: 2

      I could imagine some electrical problems from a large number of cells catching fire or 'gassing' the whole airplane within seconds.

      But of course that would either quickly cause the aircraft to crash, or to just stick to its original autopilot headings if only the crew were incapacitated. Military radar caught it making precise manoeuvres around several waypoints well away from it's original flight plan...

    22. Re:And that's half the story by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      I asked my squirrel if he likes you and he ignored me.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    23. Re:And that's half the story by AC-x · · Score: 1

      But the first step would have been to radio ATC and request emergency clearance at the nearest runway, as without that the pilots would have no way to know the status of nearby runways and whether it would be possible to land.

    24. Re:And that's half the story by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      It's just barely possible that airlines do actually have electronics experts on their payroll, and possibly even train their aircrew in how to react to various emergencies, rather than having to guess whether you use the water extinguisher on an electrical fire..

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    25. Re:And that's half the story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Squirrels are like that.

    26. Re:And that's half the story by facetube · · Score: 2

      A fire is highly unlikely; Inmarsat continued to pick up ACARS pings/handshakes once every 70-90 minutes until roughly 8am, some seven hours after radar/transponder contact was lost with the plane. The ACARS functionality was turned off, but the SATCOM low-level communications layer was still alive. The transponder and ACARS were also disabled at roughly the same time and no radio calls were made, which seems unlikely for a progressive fire.

      There are really only three possibilities left, and all of them involve human interference: either a hijack (where the transponder/radio/ACARS was intentionally disabled), a hypoxia event (where even highly-qualified pilots can make insane decisions due to lack of oxygen, and the plane continues flying in a straight line on autopilot), a pilot suicide, or some combination of these three.

      Air Crash Investigation (Mayday) did a great hour-long documentary on this whole thing; totally worth watching.

    27. Re:And that's half the story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      How would a cargo of lithium batteries cause a plane to drastically alter course (towards the pilot's home island, no less)?

      My theory goes like this... Emergency starts right after final transmission, or at least the pilots become aware of it then. The emergency is a fire, fueled by the batteries on board, but the pilots don't know this yet. First priority is to find the nearest airfield you can land a 777 at and alter course. In this case, the pilot entered two waypoints into the nav computer and left the autopilot to sort out the turns while the emergency is dealt with. IF you look at their flight path, they flew over two well known waypoints which where commonly used to approach the nearest airfield that can handle a 777. With a fire, the first thing you do is shut down just about everything but the flight controls and engines. Radios, environmental systems, lights, the whole thing, and get the fire and smoke to stop. Because this was a battery fueled fire, it didn't stop. My guess is that the crew and passengers where overcome by the fumes, by depressurization or both but the aircraft autopilot followed it's instructions, flew through the last waypoint and then went into "heading hold" mode. The aircraft flew, on its own, until it ran out of fuel someplace in the Indian ocean

      None of this requires the pilot to have gone nuts or the aircraft to have been high jacked. It makes sense based on the cargo carried and the standard procedures pilots would use. I believe that this is the simplest explanation too.

      Of course, we simply DON'T know and nobody can ever know if they don't find that airplane and at least the flight data recorder. However, given the uncertainty of the aircraft's location and the difficulty of the ocean bottom topography in the likely area, the search promises to be long and complex.

    28. Re:And that's half the story by harperska · · Score: 1

      Yes, but "smoke and fumes reaching the airplane's cockpit" is not the same as "blow up". It is possible that fumes from overheating batteries incapacitated the flight crew resulting in the plane flying on autopilot until it ran out of fuel.

    29. Re:And that's half the story by neo256 · · Score: 1

      *Shrugs* I'm not going to speculate. Although a whole lot could be explained when the whole crew would have been gassed and the whole plain would have caught fire, without exploding and burning out a whole bit before hitting either water or land. I guess when most kerosene burns out a plain of any size could make a 'remarkable' small impact crater when we are talking on world scale. On water it could have broken apart and parts of the plain could have start floating. However... if half the plain burned out. What could have survived and would still float afterward? The whole fuselage and wings could have burst and quickly flooded disappearing in to the ocean. What little stuff that might still be floating could have been blown off over a huge area. Good luck finding any of that with a sonar or by eye-balling it from another plane.

    30. Re:And that's half the story by praxis · · Score: 1

      It only sounds that way if you misread it as "all other passenger airlines". Malaysian Airlines was not the odd one out, and I don't think it sounded that way. It only sounded like there were at least one other airline which had refused to carry lithium-ion batteries.

    31. Re:And that's half the story by neo256 · · Score: 1

      Sounds plausible in my ears.

      Call me an arse, but I enjoy coming up with theories like these.

      Difference with air crash investigation like teams is that we probably lack a lot of facts. And they can't be wrong.
      If they make a conclusion they must stick by it, for the sake of trust of future and past investigations.
      I hope they will stop spewing theories in the news past this point. I have had my fill of 'OH we know where it is, we got this theory and it fits. We just need to find it'.

    32. Re:And that's half the story by garyisabusyguy · · Score: 3, Informative

      The priorities of a pilot are Aviate, Navigate, Communicate
      https://www.faasafety.gov/gsla...

      Aviate
      It does seem that they kept the plane in the air, even climbing to a higher elevation for some time, pure speculation here, but they may have thought to use the high altitude to help extinguish the burning batteries

      Navigate
      There has been mention of them following waypoints to another airport, whether this navigation consisted of punching the numbers inot the autopilot or a pilot guiding the plane is unknown

      Communicate
      This did not happen, but there are plenty of things that could have occurred in the prior two steps; pilots incapacitated by smoke, pilots incapacitated by low oxygen, communications system affected by fire on board..., which would have prevented communication

      All of these things have been points of discussion for the past year, what was not included in the discussion until this month was the potential source for the sudden fire

      --
      Wherever You Go, There You Are
    33. Re:And that's half the story by v1 · · Score: 1

      The standard procedure, as far as I know (not being an expert), is upon noticing the fire, the pilots would have shut down all the circuits on the plane in order to find out if one was responsible for the fire.

      Being an expert on the subject of electronics, I can assure you that turning off the electricity that started an electrical fire will not extinguish said fire or provide any useful feedback unless someone is actually watching the "sparking and arcing" and notes when it stops.

      (also, "shut down all the circuits on the plane" sounds pretty crazy for a variety of reasons)

      --
      I work for the Department of Redundancy Department.
    34. Re:And that's half the story by operagost · · Score: 1

      Does that quality as true, non-Alanis irony if a battery fire caused you plane to go down, and it was never found because the battery in your beacon was dead?

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    35. Re:And that's half the story by AC-x · · Score: 1

      But the thing is there's enough evidence that the plane remained flying to discount a sudden catastrophic failure; Military radar picked it up making several precise waypoint manoeuvres well away from it's planned flight path and the satellite comms gear kept responding for 7+ hours after the plane went missing.

    36. Re:And that's half the story by Kobun · · Score: 1

      In the event that it was a hijack, we now get to wonder when the plane will mysteriously show up flying again and what it will be loaded with when it does.

    37. Re: And that's half the story by davester666 · · Score: 1

      sharks have lasers...lions should at least get some li-ions...

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    38. Re: And that's half the story by davester666 · · Score: 1

      Commence the running of the cabin!

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    39. Re:And that's half the story by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Commercial pilots do not follow that order. Note the pilot who landed in the Hudson. After losing power and starting the crash, he took time from navigating (he didn't know where he was going yet), and aviating to radio in his situation, and have a discussion with the ATC about what happened, and discuss options. After he made the decision to go in the Hudson, and told ATC about it, he stopped communicating. The First thing any pilot does when they know they are going down is to radio it in.

      Those rules are overly simplistic and apply to non-emergency situations. Amateur pilots would have incidents and claim "I was looking up my maps" or "I just took a second to switch from departing frequency to anding frequency". It's an excuse eliminator, not a useful absolute rule. And yes, multiple times a pilot killed everyone on board without calling it in. The two most recently were both high altitude stalls. The Air France pilots thought they were fine and would get it under control any second - as they killed everyone. So no need to radio in a slight problem they can fix.

      Nearly every other incident had someone take a few seconds to notify anyone who could hear of what the perceived problem is, and the expected result. That's higher than aviate. At least, when a rescue effort matters.

    40. Re:And that's half the story by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      I might not call myself an electronic expert, but turning down all systems in case of fire doesn't sound like a good idea. Their is a ton of stuff keeping a plane airborne and able to ask for help. I don't think flipping a switch will make fire 'magically' go away, so turning everything off does not sound very logical to me.

      Some electrical fires are purely electrical. No non-electrical material is involved. The "fire" is sparks and smoking insulation. If you shut down the power to the circuit, the "fire" is gone, and a small amount of smoulder will continue, but not as strongly as before.

      If the electrical fire sparked the curtains in your house to catch fire, shutting down the circuit will have no effect on the fire. But flushing the area with halon (or equivalent) will not put out the fire if the electricity isn't cut. The sparks will continue, and when the area is eventually re-oxygenated, the fire will re-ignight. So, in the absence of information, you should always cut the power and extinguish. But one without the other is less likely to extinguish an electrical fire.

    41. Re:And that's half the story by facetube · · Score: 1

      Even if it was a hijack, I think all signs currently point to a hijack resulting in a crash (vaguely similar to what happened in the case of Ethiopian Airlines Flight 961). It seems like it'd be pretty hard to find an 11,000 foot runway to land on where your giant 777 wouldn't be noticed.

    42. Re:And that's half the story by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      That's the order for new and bad pilots. Good pilots know that 2-seconds out of a 6 minute fall into the ocean is going to make more difference than aviating for those 2 seconds. When the plane was landed in the Hudson, the pilot had a conversation with ATC discussing navigation and the cause of the incident. THe first response was to call it in. The last response was to notify ATC of the landing location.

      In practice, communication is top of the list and bottom of the list, but they leave it off the top for the bad pilots and new pilots that haven't figured out that there are times when communicating is more important than any of the others, or that you can communicate at the same time as the others.

    43. Re:And that's half the story by edawstwin · · Score: 1

      Yes, but "smoke and fumes reaching the airplane's cockpit" is not the same as "blow up". It is possible that fumes from overheating batteries incapacitated the flight crew resulting in the plane flying on autopilot until it ran out of fuel.

      Then why did the pilots not declare an emergency (or at the least radio someone/anyone) upon seeing the smoke/smelling the fumes? It's not like smoke and fumes make you unconscious immediately.

      --
      I don't want to achieve immortality through my work. I want to achieve it by not dying. - Woody Allen
    44. Re:And that's half the story by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      What does the home island have to do with anything? Is that yet another red herring by the conspiracy theorists?

    45. Re:And that's half the story by garyisabusyguy · · Score: 1

      I totally agree with you, and in a modern aircraft with GPS and satellite communications, I would expect the discussion of communications should be in the range of, 'Should we sent aircraft updates in one second or one minute intervals?", not "Should we disable automated communications in order to save money on our maintenance contract with Boeing and Rolls Royce?"

      I suspect that there were also cultural issues with communications and the desire of the pilots not to announce information over air traffic control lines that may be embarrassing to the company. The last AirAsia flight to go down was operating outside of their allowed corridor/day assignment... It certainly opens the door to questions about how much the airline discouraged 'chatter'

      --
      Wherever You Go, There You Are
    46. Re:And that's half the story by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

      It lends a little weight to the "suicidal pilot" theory. Some pilots have suggested the tight turns it undertook before it disappeared were to provide a view of the island.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    47. Re:And that's half the story by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      And others indicated it's because he landed at the city, so the hijackers could get off, perhaps with the cargo. Then took off and flew a short distance west before turning south, and flying until out of fuel. One suicide pilot and the plane full of confused and scared passengers.

    48. Re:And that's half the story by garyisabusyguy · · Score: 1

      Somewhat, perhaps it would be ironic if the entire bloodline of the person responsible for the first two conditions (as a way of getting bonuses to provide for them) were on the flight

      --
      Wherever You Go, There You Are
    49. Re:And that's half the story by mirix · · Score: 1

      Shutting off all the electronics on a fly-by-wire plane seems like a fairly bad idea.

      --
      Sent from my PDP-11
    50. Re:And that's half the story by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

      Where did hijackers come from (metaphorically speaking)? If the suicidal pilot theory (broadly) fits the facts, why do hijackers have to get thrown in too? Why not say there was an evil wizard on board as well?

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    51. Re:And that's half the story by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      If the suicidal pilot theory (broadly) fits the facts, why do hijackers have to get thrown in too?

      Because a suicidal pilot is a hijacker. He took it where it wasn't supposed to go. That is all. Your theory requires a mythical hijacker. The only disagreement is how many and who.

    52. Re:And that's half the story by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

      It's not my theory, and you were the one (quoting "others") who added extra hijackers to the discussion:

      so the hijackers could get off, perhaps with the cargo

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    53. Re:And that's half the story by Talderas · · Score: 1

      That "ton" of stuff keeping the plane airborne is called lift. It is a natural occurance due to the wings and fuselage of the aircraft along with it's speed. Even with the engines shutdown those commercial jets can and will glide for a long period of time. The only reason it might be a bad idea to shut off the electrics is if doing so will cause the ailerons and elevators to be stuck in a position that will cause the plane to nose dive or ascend at an angle that will cause it to stall.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    54. Re:And that's half the story by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      If the suicidal pilot theory (broadly) fits the facts, why do hijackers have to get thrown in too?

      You posited that the suicidal pilot (broadly) fits the facts. Such an act is a hijacking. You are the one asserting hijackers.

    55. Re:And that's half the story by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

      Yes, I already gave you the benefit of that split hair. I asserted (someone else's theory of) a hijacker, said hijacker being the pilot.

      Then you apparently needlessly brought up (someone else's theory of) more hijackers:

      so the hijackers could get off, perhaps with the cargo

      Absent any actual evidence, a single suicidal pilot would seem to be a far simpler explanation than him being in league with a gang, landing the plane so they could steal the cargo, then flying off to his death. Hence my "evil wizard" comment.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    56. Re:And that's half the story by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      It's not like smoke and fumes make you unconscious immediately.

      If it was just fumes and they were odourless or nearly so, then it's quite conceivable that the pilots could have been incapacitated before they could react, particularly if their attention was occupied with something else already.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    57. Re:And that's half the story by neo256 · · Score: 1

      Not sure if you are trolling here, but what about:
      - Communication to see you are not crossing something else airborne?
      - If you cut all the power, how many of the electronic cockpit does still function? If we assume their bad weather, are you going to eyeball your flight height and heading?
      - And I'm pretty sure hydraulics are not directly attached to the jet engine. So no steering, no maneuvering, no stabilization (as you already said)
      - No light in the whole plane. Any one standing at the moment of the power cut is pretty much 'f***ed' because you will have a very hard time finding a seat to strap yourself back in to while you might hit an air pocket or other means of atmospheric disturbances.

      And yes, without the 'lift' a plane would just drop dead out of the sky. Which is called stalling, very informative. But same as with a car, you need more then wheels to keep it on the road. Navigation, keeping course, information the vehicle and the surroundings etc. Being airborne encases more then 'defying gravity' by creating 'lift'.

      My whole point is that it sounds like severe overkill to me, to cut ALL the power, just to stop a possible fire that you haven't been able to locate yet.
      If an engine burns, stop that. If an instrumental panel starts to smoke, you turn it off. Or I guess you can pull a fuse or something.
      If the fire is in the cargo hold, I guess these fine gents can tell you which systems are located their or run through their and might need to be turned off 'just in case'.

  3. mmm bacon battery by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    mmm

  4. What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have postulated this before, but I strongly suspect we will see parts with MH370's serial numbers appear in other crashes/ maintenance records. I think the plane was the aircraft equivalent of hijacked/absconded with and dropped at a chopshop, likely by the crew.

    Had it exploded mid air, some debris would have been spotted, if it went into the water intact, the aircraft would have been found. Thus I think it was landed and stripped, the passengers likely killed. What is the scrap value for a 777-200ER, what is its used parts value?

    1. Re:What really happened: by MichaelSmith · · Score: 2

      All these parts are centrally tracked. Alarms would go off at Boeing.

    2. Re:What really happened: by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      pretty shitty considering that you're supposed to be buying parts that have a known history only.

      not worth the trouble. kidnapping would be more profitable. dropped at a chopshop? where?

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    3. Re:What really happened: by Zocalo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That is what I would expect too, perhaps a more accurate description of events might be "paperwork documenting MH370 beacon battery replacement may have been misplaced", but that's not going to generate the same number of page views.

      --
      UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    4. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      All these parts are centrally tracked. Alarms would go off at Boeing.

      Let's not discuss alarms going off.

      It's 2015 and we use GPS to find our way back to our car in a fucking parking lot and let we lost an airliner because it seemingly can't be outfitted with the same tech...

      ...all while watching the infamous black box arrive to the scene, reliant upon a dead battery.

      Warning alarms should have been going off for years now.

    5. Re:What really happened: by daid303 · · Score: 1

      dropped at a chopshop? where?

      Imagine the look on the guys face. Walk up to a shady car dealers shop. Ask of they can handle an "needs to go missing" vehicle. And then you turn up in your Boeing 777. No problem right?

      1) Let a 777 go missing
      2) Drive it to a chopshop
      3) ...
      4) Profit.

    6. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bullshit. Alarms would not go off at Boeing. You have no idea what you are talking about. The OPERATORS of the aircraft maintain the aircraft and its records, not the manufacturer. This would be 100% on the carrier and its maintenance personnel.

    7. Re:What really happened: by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      And yet counterfeit parts are still a big problem in Asia-Africa airlines and maintenance facilities...

    8. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who said the battery was dead? Depending on their location on the aircraft, we're required to replace batteries (and many other parts) at certain intervals. More than likely, that battery was functioning fine even though it was WAY overdue for replacement. Otherwise a warning would have been triggered.

      Also, don't forget there was a second battery that was "fine."

    9. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who said the battery was dead? Depending on their location on the aircraft, we're required to replace batteries (and many other parts) at certain intervals. More than likely, that battery was functioning fine even though it was WAY overdue for replacement. Otherwise a warning would have been triggered.

      Also, don't forget there was a second battery that was "fine."

      The existence of a backup battery does not serve as an excuse for shitty maintenance. If anything, it emphasizes the importance of that single part on the aircraft to be maintained properly, regardless of voltage state. The batteries are stamped with a date, not a minimum voltage level.

      This also doesn't excuse the fact that real-time GPS tracking should be the ultimate fallback for all of this.

      And you're correct. I apologize that we're having this entire discussion over the fact that the battery "May" have been expired.

    10. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      There isn't a backup battery. The second battery was in a completely different unit. There is more than one beacon. Nobody is excusing shitty maintenance. Was merely pointing out that expiration date doesn't mean the battery just dies on that date.

      And the batteries aren't stamped with a date themselves usually. Just a P/N and S/N. It's the responsibility of their maintenance practices to catch the expiration. And of course the batteries aren't stamped with a minimum voltage level. Nobody said that either. But almost everything is connected to computers, especially in the big planes. Since I don't work with the 777 I can't say for sure, but it's likely that if the battery wasn't working it would have triggered an alert somewhere in the cockpit.

    11. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      > It's 2015 and we use GPS to find our way back to our car in a fucking parking lot and let we lost an airliner because it seemingly can't be outfitted with the same tech...

      The MH370 incident plane was actually equipped with such equipment, but Malaysia Airlines was not in the best financial shape, so they decided to save money by cancelling the satellite-based portion of in-flight reporting, so they did not need to pay Inmarsat Inc. per kilobyte for the transmissions. Because of this, the satellite beam equipment was running on empty and only sent null pings once every hour or power-cycle. (Entirely neutering the equipment would have included some re-wiring work and MA did not want to bear any costs.)

      Apparently, whoever hijacked the MH370 (90% likely the captain, 9,99% likely the co-pilot) was aware of the unsubscribed satnav, but did not understand the technicality of the sat up-link still running on empty. That is why whe have some 7 pings as the only PUBLIC clue about the whereabouts of MH370.

      (On the other hand there should be ample SECRET info on MH370's flight southern path, because the austrialians' cover story as to why the JORN / Jindalee over-horizontal radar system was not running at the time, is quite laughable. About as credible as Putin's explanation for why the Kremlin security cameras were all turned off precisely for the time of Nemtsov's assassination...)

    12. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am the original AC poster

      Stolen parts off smaller aircraft are a substantial problem. (yes I am a licensed private [IFR, Multi, Night in both November and Golf registered aircraft] pilot so I know a little about aircraft maintenance and logs, and I have friends in the aircraft logistics industry as well as family members who are commercial pilots (rating include the 777 series, but I do not know if the 777-200ER)

      The scrap value is very high, the parts value e en moreso. There are plenty of maintenance personnel who would be willing to claim they installed a refurbished/ new part and instead installed a used part. It happens and is common enough.

      Kidnapping means witnesses, transfers etc a very messy business. On the other hand killing everyone and parting out the aircraft leaves only the criminals as witnesses and is worth millions of dollars, especially when everyone thinks the aircraft is at the bottom of the ocean.

      As for detection, one reason I do not think the aircraft is on the ocean floor is that the US Navy (amongst other countries) maintains very accurate MAD maps (Magnetic Anomaly Detection) and that large a chunk of ferrous metal would be blindingly obvious to a MAD detector. (note: in the 1960's the US could detect ignition coils in cammo vehicles) Since they did not find it, I have to start to think it is not there.

      Lastly, anyone who knows aircraft will tell you the sequence of events leading up to the disappearance doesn't pass the smell test for anything but a deliberate loss.

    13. Re:What really happened: by Rich0 · · Score: 2

      Let's not discuss alarms going off.

      It's 2015 and we use GPS to find our way back to our car in a fucking parking lot and let we lost an airliner because it seemingly can't be outfitted with the same tech...

      If you think they're bad, you should talk to the neckbeards flying single engine planes. You'd think that the ECU in your 1975 Chevy was invented by the devil himself:
      http://macsblog.com/2014/08/pi...

      I don't get why we even need to find black boxes and such. How much bandwidth would it really take to just stream that data in realtime over satellite, and how much would that cost compared to the tons of fuel in the tanks?

    14. Re:What really happened: by Rich0 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And yet counterfeit parts are still a big problem in Asia-Africa airlines and maintenance facilities...

      All the fancy computer systems in the world won't make a difference when there is money to be saved by working around them and somebody with the ethics to make it happen.

    15. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      East Hoboken, anything can be lost there for a price.

    16. Re:What really happened: by ledow · · Score: 1

      Strange how Boeing were able to supply engine data to help in the original search then...

    17. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And I thought Alex Jones was a nutjob.

      Please cite a source other than Coast to Coast AM/ Prison Planet for your Palestinians being used for involuntary organ donation.

    18. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      While there are no doubt many shady maintenance people in GA the pool of 777 operators & maintainers is much more restricted & now under even higher surveillance. Claims that that anyone could make money off of parts from the 777 do not pass the sniff test.

      The USN has accurate MAD maps of certain parts of the oceans like the norwegian sea & the GIUK gap but not of the entire globe & in particular not of the middle of the Indian Ocean.

      You're beyond reaching in both your claims.

    19. Re:What really happened: by circletimessquare · · Score: 2

      I don't get why we even need to find black boxes and such. How much bandwidth would it really take to just stream that data in realtime over satellite, and how much would that cost compared to the tons of fuel in the tanks?

      because the regulations were passed decades ago

      you are 100% correct, they should abolish black boxes and stream to satellites

      we just need some sort of dramatic event that makes people notice and catalyzes them to act

      in a sane world, MH370 is that event

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    20. Re:What really happened: by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      How much bandwidth would it really take to just stream that data in realtime over satellite, and how much would that cost compared to the tons of fuel in the tanks?/quote?

      Quite a bit for a satellite based system, actually. Audio is going to be the biggest bandwidth hog, let's say 50kb/sec for reasonably quality. Add another 10kb/sec for telemetry, things like control states, sensor readings etc. Multiply by say 8,000 commercial airlines in the air at any one time (low estimate). Satellite bandwidth is quite limited due to physics, and has to be shared in a somewhat inefficient way due to the hidden transmitter problem. We could put more satellites up, but the cost would be extremely high for the sake of a few incidents per decade where the black box is impossible to find.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    21. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Bullshit: Alarms would not go off at Boeing. You have no idea what you are talking about. The OPERATORS of the aircraft maintain the aircraft and its records, not the manufacturer. This would be 100% on the carrier and its maintenance personnel.

      FTFY.

      For the record: The data was sent to the engine manufacturer, Rolls-Royce, since that was the only monitoring Malaysia Airlines paid for.

    22. Re:What really happened: by geogob · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What is the scrap value for a 777-200ER, what is its used parts value?

      The untraceable used parts value for a 777-200ER is... ZERO. Used and reconditioned parts can be installed on other airplanes, but not without Certificate of Conformity / Form1 and so on. There is a lot of paperwork involved in getting a spare from one airplane onto another one. This includes full traceability. Without this paper trail, the part is useless. And faking a paper trail is possible, but doing so for all parts of a 777-200ER is beyond what's possible without raising red flags.

      If it were a old 737, a DC-8 or a Cessna, It could be plausible. The people exploiting some old aircraft in some region of the world live under a, let say, different regulatory oversight. But I doubt any 777-200ER operate under conditions where you could use bootlegged market parts. You may as well sell the raw materials.

      I believe that a much better reason to make an airplane AND its passenger disappear, is its payload.

    23. Re:What really happened: by master_kaos · · Score: 1

      I think they could get away with no streaming the audio -- that is what the blackbox is for, just telemetry data (and doesn't need to be every second, hell maybe once a minute) saying "I {plane_id} am right here (lat, lng, altitude)"

    24. Re:What really happened: by cbiltcliffe · · Score: 2

      I had a similar idea at the time. Rather than a chopshop, though, I figured somebody, somewhere, had need for a passenger jet for something nefarious. Or for that matter, something legitimate, but that the authorities would find nefarious. Basically, a need for a large jet, that for some reason could not be obtained through normal channels.

      The longer it is that no unexplained jet shows up doing something no major airline expects, though, increases the probability that I've been watching too many spy movies.....

      --
      "City hall" in German is "Rathaus" Kinda explains a few things......
    25. Re:What really happened: by kevinbr · · Score: 1

      The vast majority of airplanes crash in an obvious place. Very very few black boxes have never been found (10? 12?). People want cleap flights, and the cost benefit of real time satellite is dubious. It is more to satisfy the curious in the tiny tiny set of edge cases like this.

    26. Re:What really happened: by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      It appears that someone on the aircraft tried to disable all telemetry in this case. There would need to be an off switch for any such system to allow for maintenance. I suppose you could make it so that the switch could not be operated in flight, but if for example it failed and started causing interference you would want the crew to be able to disable it.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    27. Re:What really happened: by Greyfox · · Score: 2

      IIRC someone mentioned that they could add satellite communications and the ability for the plane to upload its telemetry every so often and it would add about $100000 to the cost of the plane. Of that, I'd guesstimate that the hardware and software costs about $1000, the FAA certification costs $49000 and the CEO's bonus costs $50000.

      --

      I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    28. Re:What really happened: by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      you really think streaming to satellite is more expensive than black box maintenance?

      It is more to satisfy the curious in the tiny tiny set of edge cases like this.

      *accidents* are tiny edge cases. which is exactly what this kind of system is for. yes: you want to satisfy all curiosities, absolutely

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    29. Re:What really happened: by bondsbw · · Score: 1

      Or, it's to show exactly what happened, when and where, so that the appropriate response can be provided instead of searching hundreds of thousands of square miles that may or may not be anywhere close to where the plane actually crashed.

      --
      All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
    30. Re:What really happened: by tehcyder · · Score: 2

      I figured somebody, somewhere, had need for a passenger jet for something nefarious. Or for that matter, something legitimate, but that the authorities would find nefarious. Basically, a need for a large jet, that for some reason could not be obtained through normal channels.

      I expect someone needed to move a bunch of henchmen in polo neck jumpers to their underground lair beneath a volcano. Or something.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    31. Re:What really happened: by mbone · · Score: 1

      I think they could get away with no streaming the audio -- that is what the blackbox is for, just telemetry data (and doesn't need to be every second, hell maybe once a minute) saying "I {plane_id} am right here (lat, lng, altitude)"

      There were for a long time two "black boxes," with one, the Cockpit Voice Recorder (CVR), specifically for cockpit audio (which is frequently essential in crash investigations). Now-a-days, they are likely to be combined into one solid state Flight Data Recorder (FDR) unit, but the CVR capability is still there.

      These units are generally mounted in the tail of the airplane, and are of course sealed while in use. I think it is highly unlikely that the pilot messed with the FDR before flight, and impossible that he did it during flight.

    32. Re:What really happened: by fnj · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Thousands separators in numbers are your friend.

    33. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      > It's 2015 and we use GPS to find our way back to our car in a fucking parking lot and let we lost an airliner because it seemingly can't be outfitted with the same tech...

      The MH370 incident plane was actually equipped with such equipment, but Malaysia Airlines was not in the best financial shape, so they decided to save money by cancelling the satellite-based portion of in-flight reporting, so they did not need to pay Inmarsat Inc. per kilobyte for the transmissions. Because of this, the satellite beam equipment was running on empty and only sent null pings once every hour or power-cycle. (Entirely neutering the equipment would have included some re-wiring work and MA did not want to bear any costs.)

      Apparently, whoever hijacked the MH370

      Everything up until that last statement is great. We have no proof that the aircraft was hijacked, only theories. My guess is that whatever happened to MH370 involved an inflight fire and possibly decompression. The flight crew entered two waypoints into the nav computer (exactly the two you'd use to land at the nearest 777 capable airport given the wind direction at the time) and set the autopilot, then set out to fight the fire. They didn't survive the fire and/or decompression. The aircraft then continued on it's way, going into heading hold mode after the last waypoint was passed and flew on until the fuel supply was exhausted.

      Your theory says that somebody committed suicide and decided to take 200+ people with them, but left no note, didn't make a radio call, nothing. Suicide is usually a cry for help and usually people who try it, leave notes or some kind of communication. They usually don't take others with them, or if they do, they make sure to leave some kind of statement where it will be found and their grievances will be heard. I don't think the pilot or co-pilot did this on purpose.

    34. Re:What really happened: by tlhIngan · · Score: 1

      I don't get why we even need to find black boxes and such. How much bandwidth would it really take to just stream that data in realtime over satellite, and how much would that cost compared to the tons of fuel in the tanks?

      Well, for satellites, not a lot - even though modern flight data recorders can record over a thousand parameters at a time (satellite bandwidth is huge), even full high-res cockpit voice is but a drop.

      The problem is more political than anything - why do you think we have 30 minute CVRs, despite the technology existing to record days worth of multichannel, high resolution digital audio? Just as a point of comparison, 30 minutes of CD quality audio is around 325MB or so. We can stuff 128GB+ in an SD card, and you could in theory have terabytes of that in the tiny space allocated for the memory (the rest is all survivability stuff, which can record an inordinate amount fo audio.

      Then there's the whole storage/transmission thing - which country gets the right to store it? You want the US to do it? China? Find one that everyone trusts with that information - Switzerland probably comes close.

      Hell, why not ask why don't we have externally-accessible data recorders? They exist today, are mature technology, auto-eject (and float!) on landing in water (with GPS beacons), can be propelled away from an accident on land (it's simple springs) to help get it away from fires and other stuff. Instead of the recorder sinking to the bottom of the ocean or inside the fuselage, an externally accessible one seems to be able to solve the problem using what we have today.

    35. Re:What really happened: by meerling · · Score: 1

      The battery was probably working, but it no longer had the same capacity it should have. If so, then when the drain increased due to additional activity, like having to ping or something, it died far quicker than it should have.

      Did a battery issue in the black box cause the crash? No way.
      Does a maintenance error of something basic like that indicate the possibility that there could be other far more serious issues? Emphatically yes.

    36. Re:What really happened: by meerling · · Score: 1

      Add streaming data to satellites, wonderful.
      However, getting rid of the black boxes would be really dumb.
      In case you hadn't noticed, there are plenty of things that can disrupt satellite communications, including solar flares, and just plain normal storms. To have a recorded record of when shit really hits the fan is of a value beyond reasonable measurements for finding out what happened so you can take steps to prevent it occurring again.
      After all, it's not one or the other, you actually an have both.

    37. Re:What really happened: by operagost · · Score: 1

      Nitpick, but GM didn't use ECUs until the 1980s.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    38. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have said that I expect the serialized parts to show up in another accident some time. There are actually, literally, tonnes of unserialized and untraceable parts on a 777-200ER. However, the existence of a serial number on every rivet would not improve or disprove what I proposed. In the western world, we track aircraft parts very closely and still have to deal with counterfeits. Other countries/ regions not so much so and when you add in the insurance payoff it becomes even more likely.

      Regardless the actual details may never be known, but it appears as though MH370 went away deliberately and that is all I, the original ac poster, wanted people to consider, the rest is just icing on the cake.

    39. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The majority of a 777 is built out of aluminum which will not be that much of a target for something looking for magnetic materials. There is SOME steel, but not all that much because it is HEAVY for the structural strength it brings to the party...

    40. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you really think streaming to satellite is more expensive than black box maintenance?

      Absolutely. You still need a local copy either way so the black box does not go away so all you are doing is adding complexity by "streaming it to a satellite". Think of the logistics of "Streaming it to a satellite". Satellites are a moving target. Their are somewhere around 6,000 airplanes in the air at any point in time. 6,000 targets moving at 700mph. Getting a satellite in orbit is non-trivial and you need more than one of them to guarantee line-of-sight from anywhere in the world.

      Absolutely it is more expensive.

    41. Re:What really happened: by Rich0 · · Score: 1
    42. Re:What really happened: by Greyfox · · Score: 1

      They're in there. Have you adjusted your slashdot localization settings?

      --

      I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    43. Re:What really happened: by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Well, sending the data to the aircraft owner is probably the simplest solution. Regulators can demand that data from them when it is needed. That is basically how all the other logging/monitoring/etc works. If you land a plane in the USA the FAA can ask to look at your maintenance records. If you don't fly in the US, then the FAA won't bother you, though some other country likely will.

      I agree that politics still plays a part. A big issue is pilot privacy concerns. They're basically stuck in the cockpit 12 hours at a stretch and they want to be able to chat during downtime about whatever and not have the boss playing it back. I think that is a legitimate concern - we definitely don't want them trying to circumvent the recording equipment or trying to avoid being in the cockpit.

      Perhaps give legal protection to the voice data, maybe even having it escrowed, but record EVERYTHING. In the event of a crash the private conversations of the pilots are of secondary concern to the public interest. In the event of a normal flight, then those concerns should be respected to keep out the nosy. The thing is that we have cameras all over the place in society and spooks recording all our phone calls as it stands - at some point we have to just manage it and not try to avoid it.

    44. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to mention that streaming to a satellite is only going to work when the aircraft's antenna has a satellite in view. Many crashes involve unusual attitudes (extreme pitch, roll and yaw both in position and rate) that could make the satellite link extremely unlikely to be maintained for an antenna mounted on TOP of the aircraft where it's likely to work best most of the time. In fact, it is precisely these extreme attitude events that hold the key to figuring out the difference between a recoverable problem where proper training can prevent future pilot error and unrecoverable, everybody is just a passenger now, problem with the aircraft's design. For that reason, black boxes are here to stay, though there might be a way to improve flight tracking by adding satellite reporting to what currently exists.

    45. Re:What really happened: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then there is the unusual attitudes that often accompany a aircraft crash. It would be extremely hard to maintain a satellite connection when an aircraft rolls over on it's back and the antenna is on the top... Black boxes need to stay. Perhaps we just ADD satellite to the mix? (Actually that is exactly what the FAA is planning, at least over the united states...)

  5. How often are the batteries supposed to be changed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The one thing missing from all the reports is - just how bad is being over due really.

    If this a 10 year battery with a 5 year precautionary change then who gives a flying rats....
    On the other hand, a 1 year life and a 6 month precautionary change is a huge deal.

    I have a suspicion that it is more likely to be the former and everything else is just hype and BS to make the story drag on (and on and on)

  6. And it was..... by msmonroe · · Score: 0

    It was a random non linear event, all of our guesses will turn out to be wrong!

    1. Re:And it was..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm pretty sure that there are people who don't need to guess, but they aren't talking.

    2. Re:And it was..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And they're not talking because they're dead.

  7. Statistically by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The only way this plane will show up in the ocean is if someone has the gps coordinates of where they dumped it.

  8. What about military satellites by monkeyxpress · · Score: 4, Insightful

    One thing I wondered about is whether some country's military has a better fix on where the plane went down (the last partial handshake). Iridium only have a very sparse satellite array and hence could only generate very rough ranging information. But it seems inconceivable to me that many of the military constellations (e.g. GPS, GLONASS) do not have the capability to triangulate a well defined Iridium signal. I would have thought doing this would be bread and butter for them.

    I wouldn't expect anyone to step up and talk about this 'capability', but I would have thought someone could have quietly nudged things towards a set of coordinates earlier on. I guess there is a lot of game playing when it comes to acknowledging any sort of military capability but it intrigues me to think that somewhere there could be people who have an accurate plot of that aircraft's journey.

    Having said that, one of the revelations of the whole event is that you can fly an unidentified jumbo jet across the Malaysian peninsula, have it detected by expensive military radar, and then have the military do precisely nothing about it.

    1. Re:What about military satellites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One thing I wondered about is whether some country's military has a better fix on where the plane went down (the last partial handshake). Iridium only have a very sparse satellite array and hence could only generate very rough ranging information. But it seems inconceivable to me that many of the military constellations (e.g. GPS, GLONASS) do not have the capability to triangulate a well defined Iridium signal. I would have thought doing this would be bread and butter for them.

      I wouldn't expect anyone to step up and talk about this 'capability', but I would have thought someone could have quietly nudged things towards a set of coordinates earlier on. I guess there is a lot of game playing when it comes to acknowledging any sort of military capability but it intrigues me to think that somewhere there could be people who have an accurate plot of that aircraft's journey.

      Having said that, one of the revelations of the whole event is that you can fly an unidentified jumbo jet across the Malaysian peninsula, have it detected by expensive military radar, and then have the military do precisely nothing about it.

      military is about taking civilian lives, not saving.

    2. Re:What about military satellites by Richard_at_work · · Score: 5, Informative

      The satellites in question would have to be looking for the signal - GPS and GLONAS are passive systems, they send signals out in a broadcast sense, not a 1:1 client communication sense, so there is nothing for them to track.

    3. Re:What about military satellites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps the assumption is that anyone with real power want to actually find this airplane. At this moment, just about all the lawsuits and settlements are wrapping up---if they find this airplane and it turns out to be maintenance negligence, the airline is in hot water. If things are left as they are ("missing" airplane, etc.) then no additional financial harm can happen.

    4. Re:What about military satellites by ledow · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The military won't track every authorised, flight-planned route over every foreign territory. It's just pointless and expensive and outside the scope of the military.

      On their own soil and to a certain extent nearby international waters, they rely on air traffic control and their systems to spot UNAUTHORISED aircraft. That's all they care about.

      A plane on a detour is a daily occurence. A scheduled plane outside a border and no visible threat, isn't their problem.

      And then you get into "which" military? The world's militaries are not co-operative. Likely one countries military did watch the aircraft, but then once it's leaving and not posing a threat it's up to another country to spot it and worry about it. Flying out over international waters into the middle of nowhere, which military is going to care? Even the Malaysian probably doesn't, or they'd be chasing their tails all done long for the slightest things of a company redirecting a plane for maintenance, to cover a late departure, etc.

      And then you have to actually choose it as a target, watch it (GPS and GLONASS *do not transmit* from the aircraft, the aircraft uses signals SENT from the satellites to triangulate its OWN position, not the other way around - this is such a common misconception that it drives me mad), percieve it to be a threat worth monitoring and store all the data, including potentially classified capabilities, to hand off for a hunt for a plane where we knew everyone on board was dead the first day it doesn't check in.

      It's just nothing to do with the military.

      It's certainly nothing to do with any particular military for more than a fleeting moment at all.

      And also, they probably have certain capabilities but they aren't active all the time and to this level of detail for everything that ever happens.

      Sorry, but really don't buy into this stuff. The UK recently didn't realise that a couple of Soviet bombers were circling around its airspace until they'd already got half-way round and then it took almost forever for them to scramble an aircraft to meet them and see them off. And that's a CREDIBLE threat.

      Spotting a commercial airplane going off-flight-plan is for the local air-traffic control. And between countries that link is capable of being "lost" between ATC's. And over international waters there IS not ATC.

      Maybe someone did spot them and see them, but they would have paid them no attention as they weren't reported missing, weren't giving out Mayday, were broadcasting their positions as expected, over international waters, and so it never gets recorded and wouldn't be any use if they did (we knew roughly where they were flying, we don't know where they went down).

      Even then, the ocean in the area is HUGE, you'd have a task spotting anything that you weren't specifically targeting.

    5. Re:What about military satellites by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      they probably do have records of it while it was between vietnam and sumatra

      but as soon as it started heading toward the south indian ocean, it wouldn't surprise me if no one was looking

      there is just nothing, absolutely nothing, to look at there

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    6. Re:What about military satellites by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I bet there was some radio traffic picked up my military spy satellites though. The same data that the engine monitor system satellites were picking up, only with better positioning capability.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    7. Re:What about military satellites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Iridium only have a very sparse satellite array

      The fact that you don't know the difference between Inmarsat and Iridium shows that you don't have much clue about what is going on here. Also, Iridium was built for voice communications only. It will only get data support in a couple of years when they will literally send up a completely new full set of satellites.

      (e.g. GPS, GLONASS) do not have the capability to triangulate a well defined Iridium signal.

      WTF? GPS/GLONASS/Galileo don't have the ability to triangulate ANY satellite system. They only transmit coded signals such that people on the ground can triangulate themselves, and don't receive any signals other than maintenance from their operators.

    8. Re:What about military satellites by monkeyxpress · · Score: 1

      My god slashdot seems to have no technical people left.

      Who said anything about GPS receivers transmitting signals? We are talking about the actual satellite constellation here - the bit in the sky - and the capabilities it might have, not the receivers on the ground. Assuming that a military designed system of medium orbit satellites that provides continuous line of sight coverage over the entire surface of the earth, does nothing more than send out L1/L2 navigation chip codes is probably quite insulting to the US/Russian/Chinese military industrial complexes.

      Also, Iridium didn't track the plane by having a bunch of guys watching it on a big TV screen. They just used data from standard comms logs generated by their network. I don't think it is inconceivable that a section of a military system somewhere tracks ground to space comms events and logs some data about them. It's not even that much data in the civilian arena. My point really was that from a technical feasibility point of view, it seems quite plausible that a military somewhere does know more about the location of those Iridium handshakes, but then again, like with Malaysia not caring about the radar returns, maybe we are just totally overestimating the world's military capabilities.

      BTW, does anyone know a site where people actually have technical conversations rather than these endless 'I didn't read your post properly, but you're wrong because blah blah blah' rants. It would be nice to believe there are still some engineers etc out there interested in discussing the tech aspect of these sorts of events.

    9. Re:What about military satellites by digitalchinky · · Score: 1

      Seems quite logical that someone would have been looking at the area, though the Indian ocean is a massive expanse of absolutely nothing but water. Generally speaking most LEO birds would have been in darkness for most of the flights duration in that region - I would humbly suggest another possibility would be that spy satellite operators take that as an opportunity to conserve power by shutting down EW kit, it is probable nothing was picked up at all - then again, why build a satellite that could pick up transmissions intended for Inmarsat when Inmarsat could just do that for you on request? (I'm not suggesting they actually do, but they certainly could)

      If you tune through the HF band you can hear OTH radar active pretty much 24/7 - seems like that'd be the most probable system to have detected anything. Early on there was a suggestion that one of the pilots cell phones contacted a tower - seems like most people jumped on wiki and concluded this wouldn't work given the range of the system, or that the fuselage would block the transmission - if you delve a bit deeper in to the GSM spec., the distance from the tower would prevent the phone registering on the network due to the nature of TDMA, but it doesn't mean they didn't communicate with the base station controller at all.

      Maybe in 30 or 40 years some 3 letter agency will declassify a mostly redacted but still interesting story...

    10. Re:What about military satellites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It wasn't Iridium. Iridium is not a sparse network.

      By all means let's discuss the imaginary tech on the GPS satellites, but maybe we should ask the elves rather than engineers.

    11. Re:What about military satellites by monkeyxpress · · Score: 1

      Correction - Imarsat.

    12. Re:What about military satellites by ChumpusRex2003 · · Score: 1

      Not quite correct. Galileo (when it is eventually commissioned) will specifically have the ability to detect the signal from 406 MHz from emergency locator beacons.

      Because existing beacons use signals not designed for time of arrival detection, location would still rely on Doppler processing techniques, but location to within 1 mile or so should be achievable with this system. There are plans to change the modulation of emergency locator beacons to permit time-of-arrival localisation with 10 meter precision.

    13. Re:What about military satellites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Assuming that a military designed system of medium orbit satellites that provides continuous line of sight coverage over the entire surface of the earth, does nothing more than send out L1/L2 navigation chip codes is probably quite insulting to the US/Russian/Chinese military industrial complexes.

      I think your tinfoil helmet is cutting off the blood supply to your brain.

    14. Re:What about military satellites by Zontar_Thing_From_Ve · · Score: 1

      There's been some speculation that somebody's military might have a really good idea about where the plane went and they aren't sharing it deliberately because it's in their strategic interest to not let other nations know that they have this capability. But ledow does have some rock solid arguments for why nobody may have noticed the flight at all and it may be that nobody paid enough attention to be able to help investigators know where it went. At this point either nobody knows anything or those who do know are deliberately not sharing, so it amounts to the same thing.

    15. Re:What about military satellites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Correction - Imarsat.

      Inmarsat, actually.

    16. Re:What about military satellites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Call this ridiculous, but the US Government has the ability to track, store and index all our phonecalls, internet access (from millions and millions of people), but they don't bother tracking 50 000 planes? nah doesn't add up. They must know more but are scared to talk about it. Gosh we don't want the Russians to know we can do this...

    17. Re:What about military satellites by fnj · · Score: 1

      Also, Iridium was built for voice communications only. It will only get data support in a couple of years when they will literally send up a completely new full set of satellites.

      Data has been sent via Iridium as a matter of course for years. I know from experience with floats and autonomous underwater vehicles that modems are commercially available and used every day. We got usable throughput on the order of a couple of hundred bits per second with a very unfavorable antenna location inches above the sea surface.

      Here is such a modem.

    18. Re: What about military satellites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So the one hand it's inconceivable that Western powers can't tell an iridium signal from anywhere on earth. But on the other hand you admit Malaysia couldn't track widebody airliner flying across the country.

      While I wouldn't equivocate the professionalism of american and Malaysian militaries, I think it shouldn't be surprising that neither is well equipped to succesfully deal with random, unpredictable scenarios that they've never encountered before.

    19. Re:What about military satellites by wiredlogic · · Score: 1

      The SIGINT satellites with the sensitivity to pick up the sort of transmissions from the plane's transponders have steerable antennas that must be pointed in the vicinity of the target to get a usable signal. Unless you come up with an elaborate conspiracy theory where the US planned this whole thing, that couldn't have happened.

      --
      I am becoming gerund, destroyer of verbs.
    20. Re:What about military satellites by Dragonslicer · · Score: 1

      but as soon as it started heading toward the south indian ocean, it wouldn't surprise me if no one was looking

      there is just nothing, absolutely nothing, to look at there

      In other words, the perfect location for a super villain's secret volcano lair.

      Tell us who you work for!

    21. Re:What about military satellites by sexconker · · Score: 1

      The military won't track every authorised, flight-planned route over every foreign territory. It's just pointless and expensive and outside the scope of the military.

      How's the weather back in August, 2000?
      Half of what the US military does is "pointless and expensive and outside the scope of the military".

    22. Re:What about military satellites by meerling · · Score: 1

      The US military is about saving lives by being ready to fight anyone trying to take US lives.
      You can complain about the political shitheads that give them their orders all you want, but the US military personnel all signed up to protect Americans.
      Dissing them is like badmouthing the older older brother that's keeping the high school bullies from kicking your ass at grade school.

      Besides, you are off-topic.
      As to the military satellites, you know the military isn't going to give away their capabilities, even if it does mean a crashed plane won't be found. On the other hand, it's not as perfect as Hollywood would have you believe, and it's mostly pointed at places of interest, like foreign countries ports and bases, not the middle of the freaking ocean. Odds that the military have a pic that would help are slightly above zero, but not by much.

    23. Re: What about military satellites by david_bonn · · Score: 1

      So the one hand it's inconceivable that Western powers can't tell an iridium signal from anywhere on earth. But on the other hand you admit Malaysia couldn't track widebody airliner flying across the country.

      While I wouldn't equivocate the professionalism of american and Malaysian militaries, I think it shouldn't be surprising that neither is well equipped to succesfully deal with random, unpredictable scenarios that they've never encountered before.

      It doesn't seem that unreasonable to me, If the transponder is off (somehow) air traffic control can't see the airplane. Military radar can, but until an emergency is declared or until the plane does something really weird any military is unlikely to do anything (re: Pearl Harbor, 9/11, Mathias Rust, &c). By the time they figured out the plane was missing the plane was long gone.

      Having said that, this whole thing stinks.

      A 100-ton airplane doesn't crash, even in the ocean, without leaving a lot of debris. A lot of stuff in a plane floats and by now some of that debris would have washed up somewhere. No debris has washed up.

      A lot of the information about the aircraft's course and altitude changes after it ceased most communications turned out to be incorrect. Whether someone is lying or just clueless is unclear.

      How and why the satellite data unit was shut down and later restarted is also unclear. Given that the unanimous consensus is that you cannot even do that from the cockpit (you have to get into the electronics bay, accessed by a hatch from the galley in front of business class) either there was a major malfunction or something really bizarre happened.

      I haven't yet heard a good theory that explains what happened, but the least bad theory is that the plane was somehow diverted and probably ended up near the Baikonur Cosmodrome. Why and exactly how that happened is at best poorly explained, but the lack of debris indicates that the plane did not crash.

      ref: http://nymag.com/daily/intelli...

    24. Re:What about military satellites by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      the development office of the cocos islands

      http://www.caro.cc/cocos.htm

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    25. Re:What about military satellites by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Also, Iridium was built for voice communications only.

      All voice is data over Iridium. One could argue it can handle data, but not voice. Each voice call is converted to 2400 bps data and transmitted as 2400 bps data over the network. Also, at, or shortly after, launch of the service, modems were available. They were expensive, and limited to the 2400 bps.

      WTF? GPS/GLONASS/Galileo don't have the ability to triangulate ANY satellite system. They only transmit coded signals such that people on the ground can triangulate themselves, and don't receive any signals other than maintenance from their operators.

      GPS is considered 2-way because nearly every service using it is 2-way. Emergency locator beacons use GPS to find the location of the beacon, then send the GPS via pager (or another radio service) to a rescue service. "GPS found them" would not be an incorrect way of wording that. Your assumption that the sending of the GPS to 3rd parties is via the same GPS system that located them is your error, as common usage indicates that it doesn't matter how the GPS data is communicated to others, "GPS triangulated their position" is 100% technically accurate and "He was found by GPS [coordinates]" is also 100% correct.

    26. Re:What about military satellites by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The military also responds to disasters and directly saves people's lives. They're the organization best prepared to handle a lot of injured people fast.

      People have been thinking about using intelligence data without revealing its source for a long time. In WWII, pilots of Atlantic patrol planes were sometimes told to patrol this specific part of their assigned area that day, don't ask questions, and don't tell anybody where you got it from - not that the base commander would be high enough to know about the Allied reading of German Enigma messages, but it would be passed down. It seems likely that a location could be covertly passed to somebody with the suggestion to patrol for a while elsewhere and then this position.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  9. Re:How often are the batteries supposed to be chan by EmagGeek · · Score: 2

    The batteries must be replaced or recharged:

    1) When the transmitter has been in use for more than 1 cumulative hour; or

    2) When 50 percent of their useful life (or for rechargeable batteries, 50 percent of their useful life or charge) has expired, as established by the transmitter manufacturer under its approval.

  10. The Irony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A cargo bay full of batteries but flat batteries in the flight recorder.

    1. Re:The Irony by deesine · · Score: 3, Funny

      Did you hear that Alanis?

      --
      damaged by dogma
    2. Re:The Irony by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Did you hear that Alanis?

      It's still not as ironic as a song about irony where none of the fucking examples are ironic at all.

      Or was she being ironic?

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    3. Re:The Irony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rain on your wedding day COULD be ironic if you had deliberately pushed the date off a day which turned out to be sunny in an attempt to avoid rain... Just saying!

    4. Re:The Irony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And in a pile of silverware, you might expect there to be at least one knife. At least I think it was a knife she was looking for.

  11. Mod parent up! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mmm, fried Li-ion, meeeeooowwww, rrrroooaaaarrrr

  12. Does anyone care anymore? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I mean really, who cares at this point?

    1. Re:Does anyone care anymore? by amalcolm · · Score: 1

      The familes of the dead/missing?

      --
      Time for bed, said Zebedee - boing
    2. Re:Does anyone care anymore? by amalcolm · · Score: 1

      I shoud have added - you insensitive clod!

      --
      Time for bed, said Zebedee - boing
  13. What really happened .. to your brain? by Viol8 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Sure, MH370 was brought down buy a crack team of internal scrap metal terrorists. Carefully planned for years with infitration of the crew just so they can sell the used parts to unscrupulous airlines who are rich enough to own 777s!

    Riiiight.

    What fucking planet you are on? Tin foil hat? You've got an entire suit made out of it.

    As for now finding wreckage - 100,000 ton freighter ships have gone missing at sea without a trace, never mind a piddly little airliner.

    1. Re:What really happened .. to your brain? by ledow · · Score: 1

      We just found several CITIES in, was it Honduras? Cities. In plain sight. Where people have been walking around. Where someone who told us they were there got lost over 100 years ago and we've not seen the cities, nor been back there, since because he died before he could tell people where they were. People were LOOKING for them.

      People just don't get the scope of the problem at all.

      When the flight recorder does get found and it's shown to be a simple terrorist act, or crash, I'm going to find the above posters online and laugh in their face on all our behalves.

      But down, the beauty of conspiracy theories is that just after your last was proved to be nonsense, you have infinitely more of them to pluck out of your head and if we can't debunk them all immediately, they are still "true" in your head.

  14. Solo flight by rossdee · · Score: 2

    "in both November and Golf registered aircraft]"

    Is a Golf registered aircraft what Harrison Ford flies?

    1. Re:Solo flight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      American Civilian Aircraft have a first letter designation of "N" aka November.
      British Civilian Aircraft have a first letter designation of "G" aka Golf

      So, the poster is saying she can fly both American and British aircraft and likely has 2 licenses (expensive but not uncommon for PPLs)

  15. Units by rossdee · · Score: 3, Funny

    "and the tail stand as tall as four giraffes."

    Is giraffes the new standard unit of height? I though they used elephants in asia.

    Anyway four giraffes aren't any higher than one giraffe - its not like they can stand on each others head.

    1. Re:Units by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Anyway four giraffes aren't any higher than one giraffe

      Depends what they're smoking. If they all chip in, presumably they could buy more weed than one giraffe alone.

  16. Re:How often are the batteries supposed to be chan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yep, and the question still stands - what is the 'useful' life of the battery?
    50% is a pretty big margin that makes for no difference if useful life is measured in years!

    it's a bit like use before vs best before argument on food. A month after it expired does not always mean poison - unless it's milk.

  17. Re:How often are the batteries supposed to be chan by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If this a 10 year battery with a 5 year precautionary change then who gives a flying rats....

    I think that attitude leads to abuse of engineering recommendations.

    Physical reality is more complicated than "this battery will work for ten years and then stop". Some batteries lose 50% of their capacity in about three years, but they'll continue to work and be perfectly adequate for some users after five or six years when they've lost 75% of their capacity. Other users might find them unacceptable after two years, even though the manufacturer calls it a "three year battery".

    When a battery is marketed as a "ten year battery" what that means is that the vendor thinks that most users will still be satisfied with the degraded performance of the battery after ten years. But the application engineer's judgment trumps the component designer's, because the application engineer knows exactly what he is demanding of the battery. If he says a ten year battery should be changed after five years, that battery is really a five year battery in that specific application.

    But suppose the application engineer says, "this battery *should* be good for ten years, but we'd better change it at five," he's making a judgment call based on the likelihood that some people involved with this system might not have done what they are supposed to. Which is why everyone ought to do what they're supposed to. When you say "the maintenance schedule calls for swap-out at five years, but I'll stretch it to seven and it'll be good," you're making the implicit assumption you're the only lazy, greedy, irresponsible person involved in this business, which might not be true.

    When everybody does what they're supposed to then the system performs *better* than it has to. That actually turns out to be a valuable property because sometimes you need a system to perform better than you'd anticipated. Like when you can't locate a lost plane's location more precisely than "somewhere in the South China Sea, or possibly in the Andaman Sea".

    So not replacing a "ten year battery" at five years when a designer calls for it *is* a big deal. That's overriding the engineer's carefully considered judgment with the seat of your pants and hoping for the best.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  18. Expired? by some+old+guy · · Score: 2

    The battery was not dead. It was just pining for the fjords.

    --
    Scruting the inscrutable for over 50 years.
  19. Should they search the original areas again? by Brian+Kendig · · Score: 2

    When the Indian Ocean search began, the first areas searched were the places judged to be where the plane was most likely to have come down. And those areas were searched with a pinger locator. After 30 days, the searchers moved on to other areas and used different equipment to map the sea floor.

    What if the plane actually is in one of the first places they looked, though - but because it wasn't pinging, and they weren't scanning the sea floor, they missed it? Should the searchers return to those areas and look on the sea floor, or have they already?

    1. Re:Should they search the original areas again? by ledow · · Score: 1

      Several thousand square kilometres. If you are able to search a square kilometre or so a day, I'll be impressed.

      Several thousand days. Years. At enormous cost. To find an aircraft we know has been downed.

    2. Re:Should they search the original areas again? by Moof123 · · Score: 1

      Aviation parts have huge margins on them. My guess is that even an expired battery was only down less than 10% in capacity compared to spec. Achieving the amazing safety record that planes have requires that all parts be designed to have a high safety margin, and be replaced long before their are significantly degraded.

    3. Re:Should they search the original areas again? by Moof123 · · Score: 1

      They search using side scanning sonar and look for anomolies. Many square km's can be scanned per day.

    4. Re:Should they search the original areas again? by ledow · · Score: 1

      Let's say it's ten a day.

      That's still hundreds of days. Maybe still thousands.

      And that's if it even shows up on side-scanning sonar at all, in any way, whatsoever now.

      Just finding a cable that you KNOW is exactly down THERE to within a good error margin can take weeks.

  20. And by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1

    there is no evidence it was replaced prior to aircraft going missing

    And it seems even less likely that they were replaced after the aircraft went missing. Unless someone was able to get ahold of one of those liion batteries in the cargo hold and replace it.

  21. Streaming telemetry by sjbe · · Score: 1

    I don't get why we even need to find black boxes and such.

    Because they work. They are exceptionally reliable and are almost always recovered. They are already installed on pretty much every large aircraft out there. And they provide invaluable information in helping to determine the cause of accidents. Furthermore no practical amount of telemetry is going to tell you everything about a crash so we still would want to find the wreckage anyway so why not have on board telemetry?

    How much bandwidth would it really take to just stream that data in realtime over satellite, and how much would that cost compared to the tons of fuel in the tanks?

    Ok, which global satellite system are you going to stream to? What is the protocol standard you intend to use? What are your plans to retrofit such equipment to every existing plane out there and how do you plan to pay for it? How do you plan to ensure the system is as reliable as the black boxes which have proven VERY reliable and are almost always recovered? These are solvable but not trivial problems that need to be addressed first.

    It's not that streaming telemetry data is a bad idea but there are a LOT of technical details to work out, not the least of which are the standards involved and the economics of doing so.

    1. Re:Streaming telemetry by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Recording data on black boxes requires a whole bunch of standards/etc. All it takes is somebody saying "do it!"

      And I'm fine with having one bitrate of telemetry going out over satellite (including position, of course), and a higher bitrate of data being captured in a black box. Plus, if the satellite link goes down the black box is still useful.

  22. Confused by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm confused. Is this the same plane where they were still getting signals from the black box long after they had expected the battery to run dry?

  23. You are an imbecile by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The US military is about saving lives by being ready to fight anyone trying to take US lives.

    If the past 200 years of history (the past 100 years in particular) are of any evidence, then the U.S. military is actually a bunch of war criminals who go around bombing people and blowing shit up because it's fun and profitable.

    You can complain about the political shitheads that give them their orders all you want, but the US military personnel all signed up to protect Americans./quote>

    No, dumb ass, they didn't. They signed up to get "free" college in exchange for their arms, legs, eyes, soul, etc.

    Dissing them is like badmouthing the older older brother that's keeping the high school bullies from kicking your ass at grade school.

    Actually, defending them is exactly like defending the Nazis. You fucking imbecile.

    As to the military satellites, you know the military isn't going to give away their capabilities, even if it does mean a crashed plane won't be found.

    MH370 won't be found because the CIA (the ones who hijacked it) don't want it to be found. Get a clue, dumb fuck.