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A Sucker Is Optimized Every Minute

theodp writes Now that we have hard data on everything, observes the NY Times' Virginia Heffernan in A Sucker Is Optimized Every Minute, we no longer make decisions from our hearts, guts or principles. "The gut is dead," writes Heffernan. "Long live the data, turned out day and night by our myriad computers and smart devices. Not that we trust the data, as we once trusted our guts. Instead, we 'optimize' it. We optimize for it. We optimize with it." To win Presidential elections. To turn web pages into Googlebait. To sucker people into registering for websites. Of the soon-to-arrive Apple Watch, Heffernan notes: "After time keeping, the watch's chief feature is 'fitness tracking': It clocks and stores physiological data with the aim of getting you to observe and change your habits of sloth and gluttony. Evidently I wasn't the only one whose thoughts turned to 20th-century despotism: The entrepreneur Anil Dash quipped on Twitter, albeit stretching the truth, 'Not since I.B.M. sold mainframes to the Nazis has a high-tech company embraced medical data at this scale.'"

110 comments

  1. Anonymous Coward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Suckering people into registering by calling them cowards if they don't. That's news?

    1. Re:Anonymous Coward by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      Suckering people into registering by calling them cowards if they don't. That's news?

      -Anonymous Coward

      Well done sir.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
  2. Ironic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think this sort of thing is ironic. For one thing, it clearly illustrates that the human mind IS an optimizer, capable of making inferences on data that even the most cutting-edge AI is only able to roughly simulate. Computers can certainly be granted superior perception to a human but the optimization algorithms may not always win in a 1-on-1. Humans have the potential to be just as good at signal processing if the context is something we have already evolved or been conditioned to handle.

    1. Re:Ironic by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The ugly trick (unfortunately one that used to be a corner case; but is now an alarming percentage of your average day in modernity) is that if the context is not something we have already evolved or been conditioned to handle, we frequently fail dramatically and repeatedly; even against the better judgement of our general-purpose-but-not-always-persuasive conscious cogitation: we are, alas, not nearly as good if the challenge is "Your odds of violent death are the lowest in human history; but you've never had greater awareness of potential danger you can neither fight nor flee" or "If you obtain food and other survival requirements by sitting in a chair and moving your fingers, you now require less energy, and can afford more, than your metabolism can possibly imagine."

    2. Re:Ironic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is quite a conundrum.

      If only we could somehow harness the mechanism by which the mind optimizes information directly, rather than through simulation, and interface it with a digital computer with a much higher capacity of perception than a human.

    3. Re:Ironic by ranton · · Score: 2

      Computers can certainly be granted superior perception to a human but the optimization algorithms may not always win in a 1-on-1. Humans have the potential to be just as good at signal processing if the context is something we have already evolved or been conditioned to handle.

      The benefit of an AI is generally its superior memory and consistency when compared to a human. Those are things humans cannot be evolved or conditioned to match. We could possibly be improved to match the memory through the use of bionics, but the consistency may never be matched.

      The good thing about the memory and consistency is they can both be utilized by humans in hybrid decision systems. That is why the best chess players are humans using computers, and why business intelligence tools are almost always better when they merge computer generated data with human intuition.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    4. Re:Ironic by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      the mechanism by which the mind optimizes information directly, rather than through simulation

      Your entire nervous system is a continuous feedback simulation of body/environment interaction that predicts ~0.25 seconds into the future and adjusts the chemistry of your body to react accordingly. Your mind is the self referential part of that simulation. Everywhere we look in the universe we see systems of enormous complexity emerging from matter and the simple rules of physics, many are also self referential in the sense they display a fractal nature or feedback loops, the human mind is no more or less "miraculous" than those systems.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    5. Re:Ironic by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      the mechanism by which the mind optimizes information directly, rather than through simulation

      Your entire nervous system is a continuous feedback simulation of body/environment interaction that predicts ~0.25 seconds into the future and adjusts the chemistry of your body to react accordingly. Your mind is the self referential part of that simulation. Everywhere we look in the universe we see systems of enormous complexity emerging from matter and the simple rules of physics, many are also self referential in the sense they display a fractal nature or feedback loops, the human mind is no more or less "miraculous" than those systems.

      Animals and plants are also continuous feedback simulations. That does not mean that they are as complex or interesting as a human mind (the word "miraculous" is too loaded) .

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  3. It's OK, every civilization collapses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Future historians will look back on the Inhuman Age with bemusement and hopefully disgust as they recite the resources and technologies we had and let people starve while we calculated to unlimited accuracy how many iPhones transexual dwarves buy during a full moon.

    1. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Scarcity is so ingrained in our flawed brain, we create it in the midst of abundance.

    2. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Scarcity is so ingrained in our flawed brain, we create it in the midst of abundance.

      I'm not actually sure I'd give us that much credit: when consumption is conspicuous and competitive, the existence of filthy poor people is an important part of feeling well off. Sure, having a big flatscreen TV is nice and all; but can it compete with the satisfaction of knowing that an army of disposable service-class peons have no choice but to choke back whatever irrelevant little feelings they have and pretend that doing your bidding is job satisfaction?

    3. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by itzly · · Score: 1

      Future historians will also let people starve. Why would you think things will be different in the future ?

    4. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They won't have the resources we're burning through now.

    5. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by ultranova · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Future historians will also let people starve. Why would you think things will be different in the future ?

      It's irrational and ineffective. Starving people contribute neither production nor consumption. They merely create a revolt risk. A system that provides at least subsistence-level income for all its members will outcompete a system that doesn't through sheer endurance.

      Put another way, at some point the only way for a corporate entity - a nation, a company, whatever - to expand is to make the world effectively bigger by lifting people out of poverty so they have time and energy for nationalism, trade, posting on Slashdot, etc.

      Also, with the ever-deadlier weapons even Joe Terrorist can afford, at some point the future historians either ensure no one's desperate or future history will end.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    6. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by itzly · · Score: 0

      Starving people contribute neither production nor consumption

      Feeding starving people only helps production if they help to produce more than they consume. If they could do that, they wouldn't have been starving in the first place. And consumption without production doesn't help anybody.

      A system that provides at least subsistence-level income for all its members will outcompete a system that doesn't through sheer endurance.

      Proof ?

    7. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by BronsCon · · Score: 2

      There is not proof of that because every time we've had someone ty one they wither corrupted it and the US (along with others) stepped in to shut them down, ir we feared they would corrupt it and did the same. Doesn't it make sense, though, that we'd have more people doing the shit jobs nobody wants to do if those jobs were attached to larger paychecks? Instead, we have people seeking higher paying jobs while the service industry generally gets shit pay. Go into a store and look for an employee that has half a clue about what they're selling you; it is very rare that you'll find one, because anyone with a clue has moved on to positions in which they can, at a minimum, survive off their paycheck, or refused to work there in the first place.

      If you think that's a good thing, you need to ask yourself how you learned everything you know today. If you literally never learned anything from anyone else, or from work done by someone else, the good on you, a system that doesn't provide subsistence-level income for everyone (who contributes in some way) is ideal for you and you should be happy to live in one. However, if you've ever learned anything from anyone else, you should realize that the best teachers are the ones who aren't worrying about their next meal; you could actually probably learn something from the guy behind the counter at McDonald's if they paid a subsistence wage; he may well to be an astrophysicist who failed to plan properly for retirement (because simply giving people money, as we all know, does not fix those issues). Or, at least, the guy at Best Buy might know the difference between a DVD player and a Blu-Ray player; that'd be a start.

      --
      APK quotes people (including myself) without context and should not be trusted. Just thought you should know.
    8. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by BronsCon · · Score: 1

      wow... typos in the first sentence... ty = try, wither = either, and ir = or.

      --
      APK quotes people (including myself) without context and should not be trusted. Just thought you should know.
    9. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wish I registered and had mod points. This should be +10,000 insightful.

    10. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by ultranova · · Score: 2

      And consumption without production doesn't help anybody.

      A company without customers isn't going to keep producing anything for long. And once it goes belly-up, any employees it had will become unemployed, ceasing their consumption due to lack of income and thus causing the circle to repeat with another company.

      Capitalistic economy has a boom-bust cycle precisely because supply is a time-lapse function of demand, and demand is a function of supply (since you can only generate demand if you have income, which is typically earned through working). The problem is, as technology advances supply requires less and less people, so the booms become smaller and the busts deeper. Simply giving people money in the form of credit has kept the whole house of cards standing this far, but the problem with credit is that it can't grow forever - or could, but at that point it's just a less honest name for citizen pay.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    11. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by Some+nick+or+other · · Score: 2

      I don't feel good that there are poor people. If anything, I engage in doublethink to avoid reaching Singer's conclusions, as that would make me poor as well!

      What's so good about knowing others have it worse than you?

    12. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      A negative income tax or universal basic income, along with single-payer UHC and higher education reform (too long to go into) would all be nice.

      For UBI, I'd be thinking...
      If 21 and younger, $250/month
      22-64, $500/month
      65+, social security or $750/month, whichever is higher.
      If married, multiply by 1.5 times. (But this means less for a married couple, but we can assume less expenses if living together.)
      If we eliminate SNAP, I'd add $200/month/person.
      Adjusted for inflation every couple years.
      Paid for by higher taxes, but probably exempting the first $2k to $11k of earned income per tax filing each year.
      Only for legal residents.

    13. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by Richard+Dick+Head · · Score: 1

      No, unfortunately it's a fitness and evolution thing. The minute you bring grain bags to a starving remote village, the hunger goes away and then they immediately start having sex and cranking out more needy humans. You can see this in dependent villages, you'll notice frequency banding in the ages of the children, all conceived at roughly the same time coinciding with aid drops.

      Feeding the hungry sounds great, the hungry will multiply until you can't feed them all.

    14. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What Malthus didn't know was that if you also educate them and get them past a certain level of material comfort, they no longer multiply that rapidly. Sub-replacement fertility rates are a problem certain places after all.

    15. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      No, unfortunately it's a fitness and evolution thing. The minute you bring grain bags to a starving remote village, the hunger goes away and then they immediately start having sex and cranking out more needy humans. You can see this in dependent villages, you'll notice frequency banding in the ages of the children, all conceived at roughly the same time coinciding with aid drops. Feeding the hungry sounds great, the hungry will multiply until you can't feed them all.

      Yes, that's why in rich Western countries we have a massive population explosion because no one is starving. Oh, wait...

      Sorry, I forgot, it only applies to poor brown people on different continents.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    16. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Scarcity is so ingrained in our flawed brain, we create it in the midst of abundance.

      I'm not actually sure I'd give us that much credit: when consumption is conspicuous and competitive, the existence of filthy poor people is an important part of feeling well off. Sure, having a big flatscreen TV is nice and all; but can it compete with the satisfaction of knowing that an army of disposable service-class peons have no choice but to choke back whatever irrelevant little feelings they have and pretend that doing your bidding is job satisfaction?

      That's why true capitalists don't believe in equality.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    17. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Feeding starving people only helps production if they help to produce more than they consume. If they could do that, they wouldn't have been starving in the first place. And consumption without production doesn't help anybody.

      Not necessarily - it gives the producers something to do with their surplus production. Apple won't be able to sell iPhones to people who can't even afford to buy rice.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    18. Re:It's OK, every civilization collapses by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      No, unfortunately it's a fitness and evolution thing. The minute you bring grain bags to a starving remote village, the hunger goes away and then they immediately start having sex and cranking out more needy humans. You can see this in dependent villages, you'll notice frequency banding in the ages of the children, all conceived at roughly the same time coinciding with aid drops. Feeding the hungry sounds great, the hungry will multiply until you can't feed them all.

      Yes, that's why in rich Western countries we have a massive population explosion because no one is starving. Oh, wait...

      Sorry, I forgot, it only applies to poor brown people on different continents.

      Didn't know Kosovanians were brown...

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
  4. America by OzPeter · · Score: 4, Funny

    The only place where sloth and gluttony are seen as a preferred way of life.

    --
    I am Slashdot. Are you Slashdot as well?
    1. Re:America by nitehawk214 · · Score: 2

      And anyone that wants to improve their looks is a fat-shaming shitlord.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    2. Re:America by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And anyone who is fed up with being lectured to continually is apparently automatically "wrong".

    3. Re:America by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      And anyone that wants to improve their looks is a fat-shaming shitlord.

      And anyone trying to help them is an evil dictator.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    4. Re:America by bosef1 · · Score: 1

      I am a fat-shaming shitlord, you insensitive clod.

    5. Re:America by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      Naw,just a Wookie the firstlady.

  5. This woman sounds like an idiot. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The article assumes all humans are stupid.

    This is not the case.

    Fuck Heffernan and her bullshit article.

    I have better things to do than waste more of time time on this clickbait trash.

    By the way, fuck Dice too, because Slashdot is a steaming pile of mediocre crap these days.

    1. Re:This woman sounds like an idiot. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The article assumes all humans are stupid. This is not the case.

      (+6, Hilarious!)

  6. Comparing Apply to the Nazis in the summary . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

    Well, at least the discussion can only go up from here.

  7. Nice Godwin by wiredlogic · · Score: 4, Informative

    Mainframes didn't exist in WW2. IBM sold Germany tabulator machines like they sold to many other countries around the world. What the Germans did with them aren't IBM's responsibility.

    --
    I am becoming gerund, destroyer of verbs.
    1. Re:Nice Godwin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "That's not my department!" says Wernher von Braun.

      Twice.

      Just following orders / fulfilling a contract makes evil of us all.

      Ditto to those just practising freedom of speech. After all, Hitler did nothing but practise free speech, suggesting to others to act a certain way.

      Fact is, everyone must act as a moral agent in their own right - to the extent they have the freedom to make choices, they are responsible for every choice.

    2. Re:Nice Godwin by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

      "The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing." - Edmund Burke

    3. Re:Nice Godwin by darthsilun · · Score: 0

      IBM knew exactly what Germany was doing with them. And it was against the law to sell to Germany. IBM mastered of skirting both the laws of the US and Germany, – to get tabulators into Germany and the profits out. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I...

    4. Re:Nice Godwin by darthsilun · · Score: 0

      And the Germans weren't tabulating medical data either.

    5. Re:Nice Godwin by wisnoskij · · Score: 1

      I just traded hunting rifles to the Sierra Leone rebels for diamonds, so they could feed their families. Fully automatic, armor piecing, hunting rifles. And Kim Jong Un told me he just wanted that Plutonium refined to build power plants with.

      --
      Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    6. Re:Nice Godwin by BarbaraHudson · · Score: 2
      For those who think IBM sold mainframes to the Nazis, the first IBM mainframe was in 1952. The gratuitous inclusion of a twitter comment the submitter knew was false is just flamebait.

      The entrepreneur Anil Dash quipped on Twitter, albeit stretching the truth, 'Not since I.B.M. sold mainframes to the Nazis has a high-tech company embraced medical data at this scale.'"

      --
      "Transparent" is a shit show that trades on every stereotype going. A man in drag is NOT a transsexual.
    7. Re:Nice Godwin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Go Fuck Yourself" - Me

    8. Re:Nice Godwin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the real question is when they sold them. Everyone did business with Nazi Germany before the war (including the Soviet Union). Christ, Sweden sold them iron ore during the war. They were the most important economy in mainland Europe and probably still are.

    9. Re:Nice Godwin by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      For everything you do - or don't do - in your live, there is only one responsible for: that is you.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    10. Re:Nice Godwin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing." - Edmund Burke

      I am pretty sure that quote originated with Spock.

    11. Re:Nice Godwin by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Mainframes didn't exist in WW2. IBM sold Germany tabulator machines like they sold to many other countries around the world. What the Germans did with them aren't IBM's responsibility.

      Hair-splitting mainframe point aside, that is total bollocks.

      Assuming I had any, if I sold nukes to some random terrorist group, do you really think I should be able to say it was nothing to do with me when they wiped out a couple of cities?

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    12. Re:Nice Godwin by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      "The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing." - Edmund Burke

      To be fair, actively voting in Hitler didn't help.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    13. Re:Nice Godwin by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Which didn't happen. Hitler ran for President, and lost to von Hindenburg. The National Socialists managed to get about 40% of the Reichstag, not a majority but certainly a very important party. Hitler was then appointed to the office of Chancellor, and took over from there.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    14. Re:Nice Godwin by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      Which didn't happen. Hitler ran for President, and lost to von Hindenburg. The National Socialists managed to get about 40% of the Reichstag, not a majority but certainly a very important party. Hitler was then appointed to the office of Chancellor, and took over from there.

      Actually, in the election after which he became Chancellor, the Nazis only had 33% of the votes.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    15. Re:Nice Godwin by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      IBM knew exactly what Germany was doing with them. And it was against the law to sell to Germany. IBM mastered of skirting both the laws of the US and Germany, – to get tabulators into Germany and the profits out.

      They didn't need to get tabulators into Germany - they were build there.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
  8. Wha'? by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That summary reads like the deranged, disjointed ramblings of a psychotic person.

    --
    #DeleteChrome
    1. Re: Wha'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I was worried I would be among a minority to think that. The summary reads like a hot spurt of verbal diarrhea. I can't make heads or tails of the OP's ramblings. And what's this about IBM selling technology that hadn't even been invented at the time to the Nazis? Time to take a break from Slashdot.

    2. Re:Wha'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought it was a shortsighted idiot, but, you're probably closer to the truth.

      Either way, someone who just "optimizes" will never be in the lead for long.

    3. Re: Wha'? by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 1

      The only thing missing was a tie-in to the Trilateral Commission.

      --
      #DeleteChrome
    4. Re:Wha'? by phayes · · Score: 1

      Read the byline: Timothy. It immediately becomes clear _why_ it reads like the deranged, disjointed ramblings of a psychotic person...

      --
      Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
    5. Re:Wha'? by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      That summary reads like the deranged, disjointed ramblings of a psychotic person.

      Is regular contributor Bennett Haselton now writing under a pseudonym?

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  9. Godwinned by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Hmm, Godwin in the summary: 'Not since I.B.M. sold mainframes to the Nazis has a high-tech company embraced medical data at this scale.'

    Well, comments on this have nowhere to go but up.

    1. Re:Godwinned by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Fuck Godwin and his Hitler comment Nazi-ism.

  10. but why are they often wrong? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is it just that these Phds working on machine learning algorithms are actually dense fucking morons?

    Seriously.. I'm yet to see any real "machine learning" demomstration that was anything more than a clever bar trick.

    1. Re:but why are they often wrong? by Sarten-X · · Score: 2

      Your "gut feeling" is also often wrong, but you don't notice because of your confirmation bias.

      --
      You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
  11. i thought it was... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    a sucker is born every minute.

  12. Luddism never dies by ErikTheRed · · Score: 2

    Like any new tech, data mining and psychological optimizations can be used for positive or negative purposes and will drive its own bevy of bullshit management fads. The author, like most progressives and conservatives, would throw the newly born baby out with the bathwater to go back to a easier, simpler day where they understood everything and before these young whippersnappers with their "computers" and "smartwatches" started making things move too fast for the old people to keep up with. I'm at the point in my life where I've seen almost two generations of essayists crank out screeds like this and while I have that nagging fear that one day I will be the old fuddy-duddy... it hasn't happened yet. Still wish those damned kids would get off my lawn, though...

    --

    Help save the critically endangered Blue Iguana
    1. Re:Luddism never dies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just because you refuse to get the tracking chip implanted under your skin does not mean that your a Luddite. The first business entities using these health and fitness monitoring devices are health insurance companies selling a product we are now required by law to buy. I can't think of one other technology that's come out in the recent future thats launched with all the signs of a purposefully engineered human rights disaster from day 1.

    2. Re:Luddism never dies by itzly · · Score: 1

      Ah, so that's what the article says. Hats off to you for being able to parse it.

    3. Re:Luddism never dies by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      So you'd rather we throw out the bathwater, baby, AND the washbasin, I presume.

  13. Missed on "chief feature" by jtara · · Score: 1

    Apple Watch's "chief feature" is neither time-keeping nor fitness-tracking.

    It's chief feature is a connected touchscreen on your wrist. Period.

    Those so-called "chief features" are just necessary features because we only have enough room for one device on each wrist, only have two wrists, and people would feel silly wearing a device on each wrist.

    A watch functionality and a fitness-tracker functionality are just needed because otherwise many people would have an excuse to wear something else on their wrist instead of an Apple connected touchscreen.

  14. Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is there a place where that is not the preferred (albeit unattainable) way of life?

  15. Stupid article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    As someone who works with decision theory I can hereby attest that this article is totally stupid. If at all, the opposite conclusion can be drawn. Since the 70s plenty of evidence has been found that people make irrational decisions "out of the gut". Unfortunately it has also been shown quite conclusively that these decisions are bad or neutral most of the time. People systematically overrate their own abilities, commit all kinds of fallacies like the base rate fallacy and there is often almost no correlation between the perceived quality of a decision maker (e.g. their management 'credentials') and successful outcomes (e.g. measurable success of a company).

    In a nutshell, if you want to make good decisions, better trust the numbers and not your gut.

  16. same difference by v(*_*)vvvv · · Score: 1

    Hearts and guts have always been optimized by data. So now we have more data. Great.

    Whenever an article delves into the origins of words, I take it as a sign that the piece is literature, not news. In this case it turns out to be an ad for a watch... smh.

  17. Fitness tracking? by QuietLagoon · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Just wait until all those fitness trackers find out that keeping fit involves more than walking from the sofa to the refrigerator and back every hour or so. I wonder how "sticky" those fitness apps will be? After a year, what percentage will be still using them?

    1. Re:Fitness tracking? by itzly · · Score: 1

      I think it's just a short lived fad for most people. They get to wear something nice and shiny, but after a few weeks of the same daily routine, and the same values on the fitness tracker, where's the added benefit ?

    2. Re:Fitness tracking? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Half of of the total will quit within a few months because exercise is so hard/boring/exhausing.
      Most of those that remain will quit because they realize that simply reducing food intake is a much more effective way to lose weight.
      Those remaining will keep exercising to improve their physical fitness (really the only valid reason why one should ever want to do fitness exercises)
      A tiny fraction of those will keep using the device after the novelty wears off.

    3. Re:Fitness tracking? by stigmerger · · Score: 1

      You're missing the optimization! "How about we cut $50 off your bill if you let us watch your biometrics while you surf the web or TV, including some ads?" "Did you hear about the guy whose life was saved because his diabetes app called 911?" "How about $100 off your insurance if you run an app to let your doctor collect heart data periodically?"

    4. Re:Fitness tracking? by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 0

      No you're wrong. They get to espouse whatever marketing bullshit the genius barristers at Apple spin up to hype this one.

      It's always something rather rich, in the same vein as the rich exotic manure one can procure from a zoological garden.

      Earlier examples have included:
      Alitvec Unit
      SCSI!!
      Retina
      One Button
      RISC

      Usually it's a bastardized tech term of some sort.

      It's gonna be fun watching what kind of bullshit they sling this time.

  18. IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by gweihir · · Score: 1

    Somebody seems to have his history badly messed up. The first Mainframes where sold in the last 1950s. Nazi Germany surrendered in 1945. Hence IBM never sold any Mainframes to the Nazis. The other stuff this person says is probably of similar accuracy and quality.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    1. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by wisnoskij · · Score: 1

      Well data tracking devices. Some of the first "computer" technology came about because of the governments wanting to track their populations (censuses). If I am remembering correctly IBM was founded by the guy who designed the "computer" capable to tabulating the yearly census at 1000x the speed of by hand (the population of America had grown at such a rate that it took considerably longer than the period between censuses to add up all the data). I think it is fair to label them mainframes, in reality it was something halfway between an abacus and a mainframe computer. It was of course even more important to keep track of the undesirables and their movements than of your entire population. So Head office (America) IBM did send the greenlight to produce some population tracking devices for the Nazis.

      --
      Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    2. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by quonsar · · Score: 1

      Anal Gash is a self-promoting producer of low grade bullshit.

    3. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      despite all the intent of evil population tracking jew's refused to be accounted for.

    4. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by gweihir · · Score: 1

      A "Mainframe" is a very specific thing, and punch-card handling equipment (what IBM did sell to the Nazis) is something very different.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    5. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by joelsherrill · · Score: 1

      They sold tabulating machines based on Hollerith cards (yes punch cards). They were indeed put to use for the US census around 1890 if memory serves. These machines were apparently also used by US in tracking who was in the Japanese internment camps.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I...

    6. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by wisnoskij · · Score: 2
      You might be surprised. From Google:

      Mainframe computers (colloquially referred to as "big iron") are computers used primarily by corporate and governmental organizations for critical applications, bulk data processing such as census, industry and consumer statistics, enterprise resource planning and transaction processing.

      A computer is a general-purpose device that can be programmed to carry out a set of arithmetic or logical operations automatically

      By those definition I think the stuff they had by WWII would of qualified. " used primarily by corporate and governmental organizations for critical applications, bulk data processing such as census, industry and consumer statistics" is the perfect way to describe the products IBM put out well before and well after WWII. The only thing we are missing is where they computerized mainframes? And I think they were pretty close. They definitely carried out arithmetical operations. And they definitively would of been customizable/programmable to a large extent; I am sure the same machine could be programmed to track a bunch of different data types and perform different arithmetic operations.

      --
      Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    7. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Sacred cows make the best burgers. [meepzorp.com]"

      Christians are the biggest boogers.

    8. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by sjames · · Score: 1

      And yet by harping on it, you miss the forest for the trees. Given that the key information is that IBM sold (thing that helped exterminate Jews) to the Nazis.

      In this case, the thing was a tabulator and was very much a forerunner of mainframe computing.

    9. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well,
      I guess we can perhaps forgive the author of said article.
      From a buying point if few, a mainframe and a Hollerith machine are no difference.
      The 'punching card' machines at that time were the bleeding edge of computing. And a mainframe as we define the term right now is the supreme computing power in a single machine.
      So for a stupid journalist: that is definitely the exact same thing.
      If you had ever read a steam punk novel, you would know that bleeding edge mainframes run on compressed air, holes in metal cards and rarely on an electromagnetic gate to sort/move a card to a certain output.
      So yes, the nazi/IBM machines of that time were Mainframes.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    10. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      Data processing long precedes digital computers. The old form of a data record was the 80 column punched card. They could be stacked, sorted, fed into readers that fed the desired fields to a printhead. Databases consisted of stacks of cards. Most of the 'programming' was plugboards that specified which fields would be used for what.

      -------

      (off topic, but interesting punched card trivia:)
      My father was a programmer on the IBM 650, an early computer which leveraged the old punched cards as the data records. Programming one of those consisted of putting lines of instructions on a stack of cards. Put the 'assembler' program into the card reader to load it into the 650's memory. Run the assembler program. Load in the 'program' on a second deck of cards. The computer running the assembler read the source deck and punched out an object deck. Then the object deck was loaded to run it. Every run of the Assembler would punch out a new object deck. All input and output was punched cards.

    11. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by gweihir · · Score: 1

      No, it does not. You have misunderstood the article (which I also looked at). The key-word here is that a Mainframe is a "computer".

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    12. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by gweihir · · Score: 1

      And yet nobody sane would claim that "mainframes" where sold in 1890....

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    13. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by gweihir · · Score: 1

      So, as soon as somebody does something bad, it is ok to accuse them of something they did not do? This destroys the credibility of the criticism. Yes, IBM did a very bad thing, but it was not this very bad thing.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    14. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by sjames · · Score: 1

      Still missing the point I see.

      Hint, it doesn't make you look smart, quite the opposite.

    15. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Somebody seems to have his history badly messed up. The first Mainframes where sold in the last 1950s. Nazi Germany surrendered in 1945. Hence IBM never sold any Mainframes to the Nazis. The other stuff this person says is probably of similar accuracy and quality.

      If he'd said "computer" some smartarse would have piped up with "but in the 1940s a computer was a person, usually a woman, doing calculations manually".

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    16. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      A "Mainframe" is a very specific thing, and punch-card handling equipment (what IBM did sell to the Nazis) is something very different.

      When I was young, computers were either mainframes or desktops. And I'm fairly sure the Nazis weren't PC.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    17. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      Well, I guess we can perhaps forgive the author of said article. From a buying point if few, a mainframe and a Hollerith machine are no difference.

      But from an ethical point of view, there is a difference between tracking which Jews you have killed, and keeping track of running times or pulse rates.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    18. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Yes, but you seem to miss the point.
      If the Nazis would live right now, like Boko Haman or ISS, they would buy an electric modern day mainframe and do their dirty deeds with them.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    19. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      Yes, but you seem to miss the point. If the Nazis would live right now, like Boko Haman or ISS, they would buy an electric modern day mainframe and do their dirty deeds with them.

      So Boko Haram buys their mainframes from whom? And no, I didn't miss that you had no fucking point.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    20. Re:IBM selling Mainframes to the Nazis? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The *fucking* point is: a holerith machine and a mainframe is the exact same thing.

      Considering the state of the art of the time involved.

      No idea why you bring up nazis, miss the point, bring up moral and insult me now.

      Is it "morally" correct to insult me because I'm from germany and the nazis where from germany, too?

      Or why do you insult me?

      You did not get the point of my last 2 or 3 posts? Is that a reason to insult someone?

      Wow ...

      So Boko Haram buys their mainframes from whom? If they actually buy them, they buy them from IBM, Oracle or Fujitsu. A no brainer to figure.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  19. "nitehawk214"'s on your birth certificate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Who's the real coward (and sucker) here?? Is that your fantasy name for your failed life??? Yes.

    1. Re: "nitehawk214"'s on your birth certificate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      I am just surprise that they were already 213 night hawks on the Internet

    2. Re: "nitehawk214"'s on your birth certificate? by davester666 · · Score: 2

      and all of them are also registered on slashdot!

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
  20. Alex Jones... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    is a Slashdot contributor now?

  21. It's a Double Godwin! by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 5, Informative

    My curiosity got the better of me, and I wanted to see if the article actually sounded as much like an insane manifesto as the summary indicated. Damn, it's actually worse! This is a childish, incoherent, first-world-problem rant of epic proportions. She doesn't just Godwin her own article. She pulls off a double Godwin. She not only brings up the Nazis, but Stalin and the Soviet gulag are thrown there in a few times for good measure. Also, I couldn't help but notice the word "optimize" and its variations appears 40 times in this article, if you include the title. Quite the subtle theme, huh?

    If you must read this tripe, please only do so for sheer entertainment value. Any attempt to actually extract a coherent point from this blathering is in for a stress-induced headache. Fortunately, this is Slashdot, so it's likely I'm the only one who will bother actually reading TFA.

    --
    Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
    1. Re:It's a Double Godwin! by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Oh so troll, obviously at least five modders completely missed it but the last sentence should have given it away " Fortunately, this is Slashdot, so it's likely I'm the only one who will bother actually reading TFA.", now how many of you suckers clicked the article after reading that sentence and how many of you picked up on the 'real' intent of that sentence based upon the story and the opening paragraph of the comment. Oh so very sly (I won't be reading that article, now or ever, cheeky bugger ;D ).

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    2. Re: It's a Double Godwin! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's ok. I block ads.

  22. In case of invasion... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    ...there should be some way to erase all big data of a personal nature nationwide. Its much harder with data held abroad.

    A kill switch for personally identifiable information would be useful, I'm sure no one wants to be the idiot that repeated the mistake of Dutch in WWII...

    "Factors that influenced the great number of people who perished were the fact that the Netherlands was not under a military regime, because the queen and the government had fled to England, leaving the whole governmental apparatus intact. An important factor is also that the Netherlands at that time was already the most densely inhabited country of Western Europe, making it difficult for the relatively large number of Jews to go into hiding, if they would have chosen to. Most Jews in Amsterdam were poor, which limited their options for flight or hiding. Another factor is that the country did not have much open space or woods to flee to. Also, the civil administration was advanced and offered the Nazi-German a full insight in not only the numbers of Jews, but also where they exactly lived. "
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_Jews_in_the_Netherlands#The_Holocaust

  23. Reminds me of my old decision process by istartedi · · Score: 1

    It's been years since I've thought about it. When I was young and first got exposed to the whole concept of "making big decisions" I realized something. The process was like this: 1. Gather data. 2. Make chart of pros-and cons. 3. Come up with some kind of way to weight the data, ultimately arriving at some numbers that suggested the best course of action. 4. Screw it all and go with your gut.

    It's obvious to think that you could cut out the first 3 steps. The big revelation for me was to realize that while steps 1-3 were important, the disappointment I felt over the numerical outcome was important too. It was like there was symbiosis between data and emotion.

    An extreme example of "only looking at numbers" came to me in my late 30s. It was suggested that I should remain on the East Coast because "taxes are high in California".

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
    1. Re:Reminds me of my old decision process by Some+nick+or+other · · Score: 1

      Or in other words: “Plans are of little importance, but planning is essential”.

  24. To the contrary... by s.t.a.l.k.e.r._loner · · Score: 2

    To the contrary, the vast majority of people pay very little attention to actual data. Think about it: anecdotal evidence is well known by science to be the least reliable form of data, but nearly all of us will take the recommendation of a friend over a statistic.

  25. GW Bush was a big believer in trusting his gut... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    need I say more?

  26. Sorry... by BadPirate · · Score: 1

    You lost me at Nazis.

    --
    - Holy crap, I've got MOD points! Who thought that was a good idea.