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Germanwings Plane Crash Was No Accident

hcs_$reboot writes The Germanwings plane crash takes a scary turn. After a couple of days investigation, it appears that the co-pilot requested control of the aircraft about 20 minutes into the flight. The pilot then left the cockpit, leaving the co-pilot in full control of the plane. Then, the co-pilot manually and "intentionally" set the plane on the descent that drove it into the mountainside in the southern French Alps. Co-pilot Andreas Lubitz, a 28-year-old German national, could be heard breathing throughout the plane's descent and was alive at the point of impact, according to the prosecutor.

34 of 737 comments (clear)

  1. it could have been an accident by gyepi · · Score: 3, Insightful

    While the new info about the cockpit door mechanism seems compelling, it may be worthwhile to take a look at the tragic catastrophe of Germanwings in the light of a crude calculation that illustrates just how staggering is the number of hours flown per year.
    Let's assume that on average a person faints only once in a lifetime, and that on average we spend 5 minutes a day with seeking out and using the restroom. Then on average we should expect in every 70*365*24*24*60/5 = 177 million hours that a pilot faints while another is using the restroom, assuming that these two events are uniformly distributed and independent. According to IATA the total number of flight hours in 2012 was 45 million. Dividing the two numbers we see that we should expect such a joint occurrence to happen once in every four years. That it does not happen this frequently is essentially due to the retentive heroism of the pilots, that they tend to stay put even when the urge comes until they guide the plane to safety.

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    1. Re:it could have been an accident by TheCarp · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In addition to all of the other evidence against this.... its rare that a person feints while in a seated position, its far more common while standing. A pilot, especially one alone in the cockpit is in a seated position. Also you are assuming that people who feint are representative of the population as a whole and of the population of active working pilots; where there is likely some medical self selection bias at work in both of those assumptions.

      Also for the most part, both pilots can leave the cockpit, or take a nap, and the plane shouldn't crash. This isn't exactly a wright brother's special here, this is a modern commercial airliner.

      There really isn't a lot of room here for an accident based on the TFAs claims

      --
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    2. Re:it could have been an accident by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Giving one pilot (in the cockpit) the means to basically lock himself in with no ability for the other pilot to enter is too great a danger.

      Except when there is a terrorist threatening the pilot outside, asking him to enter the code...

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    3. Re:it could have been an accident by itzly · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If something like that happened, you would expect the copilot to say something about it. Instead, all they hear is the captain banging on the door, and only continued breathing from the copilot.

    4. Re:it could have been an accident by Dunbal · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No. You are trying to explain a mechanical failure of a door right at the moment when the aircraft suddenly starts descending into mountains all the while during which the copilot also does nothing to try to correct this unscheduled descent and also ignores air traffic control. Seriously if it has wings and floats on the water and looks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it probably is a duck. Your version requires many, many things to go wrong at once. The simple answer is, of course, only one thing went wrong - the co-pilot locked the door and set the plane to descend. Occam's razor, and all that.

      Adding fuel to this theory is that the co-pilot was detatched and monosyllabic when receiving the briefing about landing in Dusseldorf - he had already made up his mind that he wasn't going to reach Dusseldorf. If the pilot wasn't going to go to the bathroom he probably was planning on killing the pilot anyway.

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    5. Re:it could have been an accident by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Having a "Locked" position is idiotic to the extreme.

      Unfortunately, not having a "Locked" position would be the same amount of idiotic.

      Giving one pilot (in the cockpit) the means to basically lock himself in with no ability for the other pilot to enter is too great a danger.

      But also failing to give one pilot the means to lock out the other pilot would be too great a danger.

      Both scenarios presume one pilot who intends to destroy the aircraft and one pilot who intends to save it. That's the presumption either way, and however you approach the problem it's going to come down to whether the bad guy is locked into, or locked out of, the cockpit.

      It's a coin toss, not 9/11-triggered-stupidity corruption.

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    6. Re:it could have been an accident by drunk_punk · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No matter how you look at it. When it comes down to it. You have to trust your pilots. There's just no getting around that...

    7. Re:it could have been an accident by Kobun · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Once someone is willing to die to accomplish their goal, I maintain that there is no 100% foolproof method for preventing an attack (either on themselves or others).

  2. Safe from the bearded evil ones by Catbeller · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Well, another fine mess you've got us into, anti-bearded-terrorist mass hysteria. Surely no one could have anticipated a suicidal or ill pilot locking the other pilot out of the cockpit. A german pilot, so not a terrorist, of course. Need a beard for that.

    Don't bother modding me down, Fox News enthusiasts, I can post again.

  3. Be careful of the term "terrorist attack" by msobkow · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The fact that no attack occured gives the talking heads leeway to claim there was no "terrorist attack." That does not mean the fellow flying the plane at the time didn't have sympathies for terrorists or had been outright radicalized.

    They also hate calling something a "terrorist attack" if there isn't a pre-announced political message for the reasons behind the attack.

    Myself, I have a feeling they're going to learn a few things about him during the investigation that they'd rather were not true.

    --
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    1. Re:Be careful of the term "terrorist attack" by circletimessquare · · Score: 4, Insightful

      it could be as mundane as depression

      but then we're talking about depression and overwhelming narcissism here

      because depressed suicidal people still know right and wrong: they aren't going to take 150 innocent people out with them. the desire to harm the self for various reasons is not the same as the desire to harm others. so when you're talking murder/ suicide, such as when a dad or mom kills the spouse/ kids then themselves, you're at a level far beyond and far different than just depression and suicide, you're dealing with a narcissistic asshole

      if it is simply suicide and not terrorism, this suicidal guy is still a complete piece of shit on the level of a terrorist. to be so overwhelmed with such a selfish egotistical internal drama that 150 lives simply don't mean a thing? wow

      man, if this is all because some fucking girl broke up with him... fuck this douchebag

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    2. Re:Be careful of the term "terrorist attack" by mrchaotica · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or he chose the remote location because that was the route he was scheduled to fly that day.

      --

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    3. Re:Be careful of the term "terrorist attack" by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I knew someone who stepped in front of a train. The driver was pretty badly affected by it. He wasn't a narcissist, he was just mentally ill with depression. In that state a person's brain isn't working properly and they sometimes act on faulty logic. In the case of people who kill their families before killing themselves they probably see it as the "right" thing to do, because they want to die but don't want their families to suffer grief, and see death as a way of ending suffering.

      It's hard for us to imagine but when your whole world is pain things like that seem to make sense.

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    4. Re:Be careful of the term "terrorist attack" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm guessing, since they were all armed, they were the US Government-Obama-is-Satan cultists
       
      Yeah, if they had well armed bodyguards that demanded that the common man be barred the ownership of arms they'd probably be Republicans-are-all-religous-loons goosesteppers.
       
        Not even a little bit hyperbolic.
       
      Um, I'm "well armed", not a Republican, not a Christian, science supporting, environmentally aware person... you're being one step short of the level when we need to call the men in white coats because you think everyone who isn't with you is a raving psychopath against you.
       
      Hyperbolic isn't even the word for how far gone you are.

  4. Re:Risk Management by Ramley · · Score: 5, Insightful
    According to a CBS article, the US has a policy that no one single person can be in the cockpit alone during a flight. If one of the pilots needs to leave the cockpit, a member of the flight crew will step in until the other pilot returns.

    Apparently this is not the case in Europe. Perhaps it will be now.

    How unfortunate this happened.

  5. people are going to be saying by circletimessquare · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "USA overreaction to 9/11 means locked doors!"

    but pilot suicide/ homicide is just as much a bizarre outlier as murderous hijacking

    plus, they thought about this problem when designing the system. the door system means someone can enter a PIN on a keypad outside and override the lock (in case of pilot incapacitation). to override the override, the person inside the cockpit has to actively deny the outside override attempt. which in this case the copilot apparently did

    so this copilot is a complete scumbag. depression and suicide is nowhere remotely an excuse or even a valid explanation for selfishly mass murdering 150 innocent people. this is assuming we are talking depression and suicide, and not more nefarious intent

    what are we left with? keep the door open and we have murderous hijacking? keep the door locked and we have murderous pilots? yeah both are extremely rare outliers, but it's fucking scary either way

    air travel is so much safer than driving statistically. but at least when you die in a car, it's for mundane, hum drum reasons usually. when something goes wrong in the air, it's cinematic drama, emotional and blood curdling. disgusting

    and those poor people

    there's screams on the recording on the end

    we would have hoped they had no idea what was coming, but they knew full well what was happening.

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    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:people are going to be saying by NotDrWho · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If a pilot or copilot wants to bring down a plane, it's unlikely there is any security procedure that could stop it. He didn't even need the locked door bit, He could have almost as easily just stabbed the captain when he turned his back.

      --
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  6. This validates the US policy... by Karmashock · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ... of having a flight attendant stay in the cockpit when one of the pilots goes to the bathroom.

    I would have previously said that was too paranoid but apparently not.

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    1. Re:This validates the US policy... by BasilBrush · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I dare say that a flight attendant (mostly women) is not going to stop a (co)pilot (mostly men) with a plan for murderous suicide.

    2. Re:This validates the US policy... by geekymachoman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What's up with people and these retarded knee-jerk reactions ? And you got even modded insightful. This was obviously premeditated. You don't think the guy would be capable of doing the same thing if a clueless flight attendant was there while pilot is taking a leak ? A guy capable of killing himself and 150 other people like this is perfectly capable of knocking the flight attendants lights out before locking the door, and if he really intended to crash the plane... he would indeed punch her/him out first.

      Second thing... there's what.. 100k flights per day for the last 10 years ? That's like 360000000 flights. For one freak occurrence you should not introduce new laws and regulations and shit. That's exactly what happened on 9/11 .. knee jerk reactions which introduced dozens of new regulations and laws that basically did nothing but made life more difficult and annoying (security theater). And don't give me that crap how every life matters.. nobody cares really about strangers, ottherwise everybody would be in tears over starving children in Africa and some other places instead of stuffing themselves with pizzas, burgers and beer while reading slashdot and playing Call of Duty or whatever. This is just IN now.. plane crashes. So everybody is commenting about it, talking about it, and falsely emotional about it.

      And finally, comment on your post title (This validates the US policy). -- The US has some of the stupidest policies ever. They are like everything else - fake.
      On the surface (or on the paper) they look cool and effective, in real life they're just a shallow cover or a front for taking away your freedom and controlling your life.

      I hope Europeans will actually think how they gonna deal with this instead of doing what Americans are doing. Perhaps incorporate emergency biometric scanner or something like that on the door that can override the "unlock" option ? There are dozens of better systems than .. "oh yeah, we can solve the problem by putting the flight attendant in while pilot is out"...

      Jesus.

  7. Cue the usual suspects. by nimbius · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Christians: shariah muslim terrorists are responsible and this proves muslim islam is evil and wants to destroy the world.
    Muslims: Islam is a religion of peace, the jews did this because they are evil and wish to destroy muslims on this flight.
    Scientists: Humans are an unreliable, inefficient, and unpredictable element. we should do more science to remove them from commanding 400,000 pound flying machines.

    --
    Good people go to bed earlier.
  8. Re:Risk Management by TheCarp · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The thing is, this really is a freak occurance. So many flights, every single day, over every single city. People need to piss and shit, its simple biology. Every time someone goes for a piss break, someone else needs to be called in? That is just silly and insulting to the people involved.

    In the grand scheme of things to worry about, this isn't really one of them. Its ridiculous to feel we need new regulations every time something happens...the next tragedy will always happen. It is inevitable.

    --
    "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
  9. Re:Remote Override by jareth-0205 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think we'll see renewed calls for a remote override capability built into airliners, so the ground can take over the plane when pilots become non-responsive or the plane begins to rapidly descend.

    Well won't that would be fun when the hackers focus their attention on their new remote-control planes.

  10. Re:Risk Management by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Airplanes are all about redundancy, especially commercial air travel. It applies to the actual plane, and I see no reason not to apply it to pilots. Why do you think there are two pilots to begin with? Airlines want to save money. They would drop the second pilot if it weren't for safety regulations in the first place.

    You screw up a car? You can coast to a stop most of the time and call it a fun adventure. You screw up and airplane and you will most likely DIE. So yes, I prefer to be silly and insulting to the people involved since it means air travel will be safer.

  11. Re:Risk Management by OzPeter · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Regardless, was 16 schoolkids (amongst others) on that flight. You wanna hari kari? Go ahead, but keep it on your own dime.

    Invoking "Think of the children" is just as bad here as anywhere else. None of the people on that plane deserved what happened to them*

      * with perhaps the exception of the co-pilot

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  12. Re:Risk Management by drkich · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Tell that to the family of the people that crashed. Sorry, I will take a little inconvenience of the flight crew, versus allowing a single person in the cockpit able to do what happened here.

  13. Re:Risk Management by bondsbw · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Every time someone goes for a piss break, someone else needs to be called in?

    When you are actively responsible for the lives of 150 people, then yes, absolutely, without any doubt whatsoever, this should happen.

    Its ridiculous to feel we need new regulations every time something happens...the next tragedy will always happen. It is inevitable.

    Good regulations can help people and in this case may have saved lives. What I find abhorrent is your attitude that over a hundred human lives aren't worth a very slight inconvenience.

    --
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  14. Re:Risk Management by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If having another person in the cockpit reduces the risk of suicidal success by "only" 50%, I take it anyway.

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  15. Re:Very smart! by RabidReindeer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Sorry, but having two people in the cockpit is a safety measure, not a security measure. It helps if one pilot has a heart attack, but it does pretty much nothing if one pilot is a suicidal, murderous maniac.

    I wouldn't say "nothing". It's hard to concentrate on suicide if you're busy trying to murder someone.

  16. Re:Security is hard... by Catbeller · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Zero. The 9-11 attacks worked because no one expected the hijackers were intending to suicide all along. We now know it, and they cannot hijack planes and succeed anymore, as no one will cooperate.The entire plane would swarm them, and rightly so. So they don't hijack. Zero hijackings prevented, not because of protocols, but because it's damned impossible to succeed, even without steel doors. We've overreacted, and now we've lost an actual plane because of the totally safe terrorism doors that even the commander can't open. Sigh.

  17. Re:Very smart! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    According to a CBS article, the US has a policy that no one single person can be in the cockpit alone during a flight.

    Right. A pilot trying to kill himself and everyone else on the plane by flying it into the ground will absolutely not kill the other person in the cockpit that may be trying to stop him.

    Sorry, but having two people in the cockpit is a safety measure, not a security measure. It helps if one pilot has a heart attack, but it does pretty much nothing if one pilot is a suicidal, murderous maniac.

    Well supposing that it was in fact a deliberate act:
    1) the pilot in question waited for the other pilot to leave the cabin, so I'd say he was expecting that the plan would not work otherwise.
    2) it's pretty hard to kill an actively resisting person while in cramped space while unarmed
    3) the cabin crew replacing the missing pilot would only have to hold off the suicidal one long enough for the missing one to override the cabin lock (remember: he can do it as long as each override attempt is not voided from inside the cabin)

  18. Re:Risk Management by Jhon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    'Invoking "Think of the children" is just as bad here as anywhere else.'

    If you can't see the obvious tragic death of a child (with their future robbed from them) having a heavier weight than an 80 y/o great grandmother who's had a wonderful life then I can't help you.

    Yes, NOBODY deserved what happened to them -- but as someone who's experienced the death of elder loved ones and children, I can tell you the conversations about loss are quite different at their respective wakes.

  19. Re:Risk Management by Jhon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    'This "think of X" makes me sick'

    Be sick, then.

    Attending the funeral of a lost elder: Virtually all the conversations are about OUR loss. "I'll miss him. He was always there for me. He's been in my life since I was born".

    Attending the funeral of a lost child: All the conversations are about the child's loss. "He'll never go to college. He'll never have a girl friend. He'll never get married. He'll never be a father".

    Think it's sick? Bully for you. You're wrong.

    'The bottom line is you are justifying it by casting another person as "lower" or "less""'

    Ship goes down, save the children first. Sick? Or common sense? One life isn't worth more or less than any other -- on that we agree. But when talking about loss, we are have very different conversations.

  20. Re:Where was the flight attendant? by michelcolman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Fast forward a few years. Cabin attendant takes the crash axe from behind the copilot's seat and kills him with it. (One of the fire extinguishers will do fine to knock him out, too).

    Really, there's only so much you can do to prevent this kind of thing. Once flying personnel can't be trusted anymore, all bets are off.