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Supernovae May Not Be Standard Candles; Is Dark Energy All Wrong?

StartsWithABang writes: The accelerated expansion of the Universe — and hence, dark energy — was discovered by taking the well-understood phenomenon of type Ia supernovae and measuring them out to great distances. The results indicated that they were fainter than expected, and hence more distant, and hence the Universe's expansion must be accelerating. But new results have just come out, showing that supernovae may not be standard after all. Does this mean dark energy may not be real, or that it may just be slightly weaker than we previously thought?

29 of 199 comments (clear)

  1. Dark Energy by Z00L00K · · Score: 2, Interesting

    To me it seems to be used to explain the unexplainable, much like the aether of former times.

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    1. Re:Dark Energy by Megol · · Score: 2

      Then maybe you should try reading about it? It isn't a neo-aether.

    2. Re:Dark Energy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      even the big bang theory, commonly accepted, was formulated by a belgian priest: it's basically genesis from the bible. someone stuck abrahamic religion in the middle of "science" and no one seems to question the shaky foundations.

      Unlike politics where you need to reject ideas because it came from an opposing group, science doesn't care where the idea comes from if it works. The foundations of the Big Bang theory is not its history, but general relativity and the observations that back up things like the FLRW metric. History is only indirectly important in science, in that it is a great pedagogical tool for showing how an idea developed, why some ideas worked and why others failed, for teaching students the process.

    3. Re:Dark Energy by SuricouRaven · · Score: 3, Informative

      We've got the hubble expansion and cosmic background. Both of which point strongly towards an expanding universe with a point-like origin. Cosmologists hotly debate a lot of the details, but their agreement on the fundamentals is near-unanimous.

    4. Re:Dark Energy by Bengie · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Dark Energy is not a cheat, it is a placeholder. Assuming our measurements are correct, which the discussion of standard candles is challenging, some unknown source of energy is causing our Universe to expand, and that takes a lot of energy. It takes so much energy, that this energy needs to represent 80% of the Universe's total energy.

      Unless you plan on challenging the First Law of Thermodynamics.

    5. Re:Dark Energy by 7-Vodka · · Score: 3, Insightful
      You say you proposed a new 'model' yet there is no physics, no mathematics and just woo woo on your link.

      Do you know Deepak Chopra? I have a feeling you two would get along nicely.

      --

      Liberty.

    6. Re:Dark Energy by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 2

      To me it seems to be used to explain the unexplainable, much like the aether of former times.

      The aether was a pretty reasonable postulation given the observations of the time.

      It got disproved. Dark energy might. Or might not.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    7. Re:Dark Energy by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 2

      It's exactly what it is. To scientists, "dark energy" is a placeholder, a spot where they say "We don't know".

      That description isn't really accurate, since dark matter and dark energy add important corrective factors to many models, and many scientists spend lots of time trying to model more things involving them... They thus are moch more formalized and manipulated than most " placeholders."

      In cosmology, the placeholder is pretty important in allowing them to continue working, and not just shrugging their shoulders and stopping.

      I agree to some extent....

      So just like aether and Phlogiston,(the best word ever invented) the placeholders are stepping stones. When we discover whatever it is, it probably won't be called dark matter, and "dark matter" the name will be placed in the cosmology dustbin along with the other old theories

      Yeah, this goes off the rails a bit. I'd hardly call things like aether and phlogiston "stepping stones" -- they may have been initially, but they became over theorized and explanatory elements in their own right, and they ultimately led to a lot of wasted theorizing and going down blind alleys looking for explanations for things that weren't perhaps even real problems.

      The issue with "placeholders" is that they turn a set of unexplained observations into a THING -- they reify or hypostatize it. But because this newly created "thing" has a bunch of unknowns, it may not be a single "thing" at all -- it may be a bunch of things that have some relationship or only tenuous relationships, or they may be derived from various observational inconsistencies that are only seen as "problems" because there are flawed assumptions in the underlying theory.

      But the very act of grouping these various problematic observations together and giving them a name may introduce a bias to the way we think about these observations. And ultimately, like phlogiston or something, they can serve as significant impediments to getting to a better theory. I'm not saying there's a better way to do science, but it's important to realize that the nature of theorizing involves steps like this -- creating core concepts or assumptions and running with them for a while. But regardless of how contingent we may think of "dark energy," the fact is that by identifying it as someTHING, it influences the way we think about potential models in ways that we may not be completely conscious of... But 200 years from now people may look back and think of us all as idiots for not seeing the bigger picture.

    8. Re:Dark Energy by Crashmarik · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think there are two big differences:
      1) Scientists are willing, even eager, to be proven wrong about this and find a better explanation.

      You haven't met many of the horribly obnoxious people who wind up in cosmology have you ?

      Really surprised this managed to find a friendly review committee.

    9. Re:Dark Energy by thrich81 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The neutrino was in the same state for a while -- a hypothesized, unobserved entity needed to make the equations balance. Now we have three different neutrinos plus their antiparticles.

    10. Re:Dark Energy by buchner.johannes · · Score: 3, Informative

      Dark energy can also be measured from the CMB radiation, through the angular size of anisotropies and through baryonic acoustic oscillations in the large scale structure.
      And the constraints from these *independent* probes are consistent with the results from supernovae, all pointing to the presence of an acceleration of the universe at late times. It is not so that we rely on a single tool here!
      Also, TFA states that their finding that a different class of supernova is dominant at high redshift does not attack the presence of dark energy, only its exact value (of energy density).

      --
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    11. Re: Dark Energy by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2

      Because we can't ever observe or in any way interact with anything beyond our visual horizon. You can tell stories about what's "outside" all you want, but they're just stories. Until they have some impact, even just in principle, on the universe we can interact on, they're completely irrelevant.

    12. Re:Dark Energy by friedmud · · Score: 2

      we can not ignore the assumptions that take root in popular media and imagination

      Why not?

      Regardless of what the populace thinks... science will continue. It's been that way since the beginning: scientists push knowledge forward and society comes along when it's convenient.

    13. Re:Dark Energy by friedmud · · Score: 4, Insightful

      *I* am only asking that you use the Shift key on your keyboard every now and again!

      If you want to be taken seriously you should really start with good sentence structure, proper paragraphs and punctuation. Your double spaced scrawling looks like the work of a child and you will be treated as such. All of this undermines your already eccentric views to the point where no one can take you seriously.

    14. Re:Dark Energy by HiThere · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That link starts off interesting, and by about the 5th or 6th page becomes just polemic. You need to rewrite every page after the 1st, giving more attention to your theory and less attention to lambasting others.

      I *am* of the opinion that when you do this you will end up with many fewer pages, but quite possibly with some decent questions that need to be addressed. E.g., how does your theory account for the proportions of Hydorgen and Helium in the universe. Etc. Don't concentrate quite so much on problems that current theories have trouble with, and pay more attention to deriving the solutions that the current theories have apparently valid answers for. Yes, you need to point out places where your theory is better, but it's even more important to show that you can answer correctly everything that the current theories have correct.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    15. Re:Dark Energy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If you are referring to Einstein, someone who grew up reading books by leading scientists, had a formal education in physics, and continued to keep up to date with theories and experiments and had connections to many people in the field, that is no longer just a "simple" patent clerk in this context. And that still doesn't explain why some such people show up in response to every related story.

      Some of the posters here on Slashdot just keep copy-pasting statements with very little change or response to discussion. They also tend to reply only to easy to dismiss criticisms, like those that made an obvious reading comprehension fail or posts that are just insults/trolling or otherwise content free. But at the same time ignoring any detailed or serious replies (or ignoring 90% of such replies, going off on tangents), and never incorporate any suggestions or advice into their ideas.

      They're not looking for discussion, they're just looking for validation or up mods from uninformed. If you post the same wrong stuff enough times on Slashdot, it inevitably gets modded up from time to time faster than it can get noticed by someone who can make a coherent counterpoint. Then sometimes momentum just means the comment stays modded up despite unmodded or down modded replies, regardless of how trivial it is to see the replies are right by looking at something as simple as a textbook.

    16. Re:Dark Energy by anonymous_echidna · · Score: 2

      Einstein was a "patent clerk" to support himself during his PhD in physics, because he had annoyed too many people at the Zurich polytechnic to find a mentor to sponsor him as a TA. Those brilliant 5 papers that were published in 1905 were basically for the PhD. Using the word "simple" to describe Einstein is not even wrong.

      --
      In most times, most places, by most people, liars are considered contemptible. - Ursula Le Guin
  2. Re:Aether by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    "We" being nutcases, right?

    No, the aether doesn't exist. If you're going to claim "the vacuum of empty space is the aether", then you'd be just as well calling it the FSM, and then claiming the same thing. Words are supposed to mean something. If you're gong to use a private language definition of the word, please stop talking to anyone.

  3. Dark energy appears to be doing just fine by ecotax · · Score: 4, Informative

    According to Ethan Siegel, dark energy isn't written off, we just know a bit more about it.

    --
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  4. Re:Aether by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    On the internet, apparent aether refers to whatever people want when they want to sound disparaging about a particular idea they don't like. Within physics, it pretty specifically refers to a medium for electromagnetic waves, that for most of its versions in history was a fluid of some type. If people on the internet want to redefine it to mean anything permeating space so they can treat things like dark energy, they should at least be consistent then and acknowledge things like gravity and wavefunctions that also permeate space, among a whole bunch of other physics concepts. In that sense, we've known the "aether" to be real since components of Maxwell's equations started coming together with ever present electric and magnetic fields.

  5. Link to the full article, freely available by StupendousMan · · Score: 5, Informative

    The summary has a link to a paywalled article (silly Ethan). The full article is freely available to all on the arXiv preprint server:

          http://arxiv.org/abs/1408.1706

    I'm peripherally involved with the supernova field, though I study only the nearby examples. There has been for years the understanding that IF a difference should arise between the nearby events that we can study well, and the distant events which appear dimly and vaguely, AND if we did not realize that such a difference existed, THEN we could reach incorrect conclusions.

    Scientists in the field have worried about this for years. It's not a sudden new realization.

    It's very pleasant to see that a space telescope -- SWIFT -- which was built to study one type of object (gamma ray bursts) has turned out to provide vital information on a different type (supernovae). Since it is in space, it can detect ultraviolet light, and so show us that some nearby supernovae emit different amounts of ultraviolet light, even though they appear similar in the optical region. This UV difference hints at differences in chemical composition between supernovae, which may indeed be significant when we try to study very distant events with other telescopes.

    Fortunately, light from those distant events is redshifted into the optical regime, so we can use very large ground-based telescopes to see the same UV light and compare it to the nearby events.

    It's a very interesting field to follow: things change on timescales of 3-5 years. And yes, we are more aware of the uncertainties in the business than some news articles might imply.

    --
    Michael Richmond "This is the heart that broke my finger."
    mwrsps@rit.edu http://stupendous.rit.edu
  6. More to Dark Energy Measurements by PaulMattSutter · · Score: 5, Informative

    *If* this result holds up, it doesn't sink dark energy - it will only be a small correction to the measured value using this particular probe. We have multiple, independent measurements of the existence of dark energy, from the early-universe Cosmic Microwave Background, to the late-universe feature in the galaxy distribution called the Baryon Acoustic Oscillation. In fact, for quite a few years supernova haven't been the principle method of measuring dark energy, because we've suspected issues such as this.

    *If* this result hold up, and corrected measurements of dark energy from supernovae are in tension is all other measurements, then that will be interesting and require further study. However, despite having the confirmation of the existence of dark energy for several years, we haven't measured its exact properties very well yet. These corrections will probably shift things around inside known error bars.

    For all the aether-claimers: we don't know what dark energy is. We've observed an acceleration to the expansion of the universe and called it "dark energy". This is a name given to an observed phenomena. The Nobel Prize was awarded to the original supernovae groups because it has been *repeatedly, independently* verified, using completely different sets of cosmological probes. This is like observing and measuring the observational reality of gravity without having a theory to explain it, but that doesn't mean that gravity doesn't exist.

  7. Re:The Force by Irate+Engineer · · Score: 4, Funny

    I find your lack of faith disturbing.

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  8. Re:Nice try by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    The aether theories made some specific predictions, and even after several revisions to that, every single one was found to disagree with observation. Even if you attempt to rebrand some different new concept as an aether theory, that is just a semantics trick and doesn't change that original set of theories were found wrong.

  9. Re:Aether by blue+trane · · Score: 3, Interesting

    No, science has never disproved the aether. It was ruled out for social reasons. When that social reality changes, science will probably bring it back. Yves Couder's experiments with silicon "walkers" bouncing on a liquid substrate, with which he can recreate Young's double-slit experiment on a macroscopic scale, would fit nicely with aether theory. But that fit is ignored by physics, because of the social ramifications of bringing back aether theory.

  10. Re:Aether by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I don't know who's modding this up, or where you got the idea that Couder's experiments fit nicely with aether theory. The experiments have nothing to do with aether theory, other than showing some mechanical analogues of particular systems. They don't show a fluid basis for all of quantum mechanics, just a particular experiment. While the experiments are nice, this shouldn't be surprising considering the basis of quantum mechanics is wavefunctions, which do show a lot of similarity to waves in general (wave equations are a common solution in a lot of areas of physics, because it is such a simple and common differential equation). Heck, the Schrodinger equation and variations of it are used heavily in modeling water waves in certain regimes.

    But this has nothing to do with the idea that mechanically there is a fluid providing the mechanism behind electromagnetism or quantum mechanics. At best you get to an interpretation of some aspects of quantum mechanics, but it doesn't make any observable difference and remains an interpretation.

    This is rather unlike aether theories of yore which made predictions, predictions that turned out to fail. If after multiple revisions & variations, with multiple follow up experiments to each revision of theory resulting in disagreement and lower bounds, is a "social reason," then so be it. But that doesn't sound like what you are saying. Considering the famous Michelson–Morley experiment wasn't the start or the end of it, with many experiments both in the decades before and decades after, that wasn't just a group of theories failing for social reasons.

  11. Re:Nice try by Bengie · · Score: 2

    If it can't be falsified nor verified, then it does not exist.

  12. Re:Aether by Vitriol+Angst · · Score: 2

    A lot of people are not getting why Quantum "phenomena" can be explained as a wave on a medium (like water) and they think it's just happenstance and wave functions just crop up everywhere (yeah, sure, like the Golden Rule!).

    If there are waves -- what do they propagate through? A particle doesn't lose mass propagating EM fields -- only energy, or more exactly; inertia or heat. Sound does not transfer in space, because it is a vacuum. But that's only because sound is a wave function that passes along molecules.

    Shouldn't it be proved that there IS NO MEDIUM for waves like light to propagate through? Seems to me that the Photon as more than a "point at which a specifically tuned field collapses" is a more reasonable answer than making one band of EM field have a particle and not finding particles in microwaves (for instance). And as an exercise -- can someone explain WHY they oscillate back and forth as waves on an ocean do if there is not a medium? I can only come up with a way to explain oscillations in a vacuum by looking at a straight line in 8 dimensions -- which still doesn't rule out a medium in a co-incident dimensional group (another 4 dimensions).

    Anyway, I'm frustrated because I can conceptualize most of what is said in Quantum Mechanics, and other than the math -- it sounds like they are describing a Platypus and not a beast that could actually live. There are indeed simple explanations that can satisfy the double slit experiment with waves alone, and also Quantum Mechanics -- as long as EVERYTHING is really a wave. And particles are waves -- they just fold in on themselves in our 4 dimensional space.

    The thing I've pondered for the longest time is "why physics is a law"? -- meaning; why do things HAVE to be equal and opposite? We've observed that, and Newton and a few others have proved that it happens -- but I want to know why. And "how do things move" based on Einstein's theory of Relativity because, when I was 12, sure, I spent three days wrapping my head around the basic concept -- but it didn't make sense with a lot of different vectors. It took me years to realize it was another concept that people nodded their heads and echoed "E=MC2" without really understanding. You've got people who can't get beyond the accomplishment of understanding that two photons don't hit at twice light speed, and after that, they take a nap.

    The idea that Space/Time stretches for two photons colliding but shrinks if they separate starts to break down if you think of a star where it's often the case that a photon is both arriving and leaving another at relativistic speeds. It means that EITHER; each particle has it's own relativistic space/time or motion takes place in a higher and lower dimensional group. And what does it mean to shrink and stretch space in such a small area?

    However, if we say that SPACE is a thing and is moving; then relativity is the "pressure on space/time" -- and it works out a lot nicer conceptually to think of velocity and gravity as pressure. So as the Gravity goes up in a star, it takes more energy/speed to reach light speed -- and it works out a lot like turbulence. As a bonus, we can say that gravity on a planet or a star may have less effect on local objects than on the galaxy itself -- and thus, noting that a lot of galaxies are MUCH HEAVIER than predicted, we can be OK with the fact that gravity may be a lot more powerful than predicted -- but it's pushing on SPACE itself. Where there is a lot of matter and light -- there's more pressure and turbulence, so the objects are not being forced towards other objects. I mean, why don't electrons merge with protons and why didn't the Universe get all clumpy after the Big Bang? Math models predict what we see because they are tweaked that way. But If I've got a room full of magnets and toss them around, they clump up because ALL they do is attract each other. If Gravity is JUST an attractive force -- it's pretty lazy about it.

    A balloon with helium "shoots up" in our heavier atmosphere because of equalizing pr

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  13. Re:Aether by serviscope_minor · · Score: 2

    No, science has never disproved the aether.

    Inas much as you can't disprove anything. However, the isotropy of the speed of light essentially suck the ether as a theory, because the anisotropy of the earth moving relative to the ether was one of the big predictions, especially given Maxwell's laws. Then along came relativity and stuck the boot in.

    The aether made predictions which didn't come true. The theory was modified to fir the observations, which is not ususual. However in the case of the aether it became more and complex and eventually, all of the phenomena were explained without the aether. That left the luminiferous aether as a really cool name but lacking any predictive or explanatory power, so it was dropped.

    I think it's very unlikely the aether will return, because physics has moved on very far since the aether was the best explantion for the physics.

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