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Why Our Brains Can't Process the Gravest Threats To Humanity

merbs writes: Our brains are unfathomably complex, powerful organs that grant us motor skills, logic, and abstract thought. Brains have bequeathed unto we humans just about every cognitive advantage, it seems, except for one little omission: the ability to adequately process the need for the whole species' long-term survival. They're miracle workers for the short-term survival of individuals, but the scientific evidence suggests that the human brain flails when it comes to navigating wide-lens, slowly-unfurling crises like climate change.

31 of 637 comments (clear)

  1. I can't say I fully agree by nucrash · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Highly evolved animals such as humans have a pretty impressive track record when it comes to seeing into the future. The problem does exist that some if not all of us have evolved enough to plan adequately into the long term. Like playing a game of chess, generally the player who can see his opponent's moves and strategies the furthest into the future is the victor. Yet, not everyone is a chess master and thinks that far ahead.

    --
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  2. Re:the world was supposed to end years ago by Berkyjay · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Folks, I submit to you evidence #1

  3. slowly unfurling crisis? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Somehow, I have a hard time putting "slowly unfurling" and "crisis" together in a meaningful way.

    Crisis sort of suggests something that needs to be dealt with Right The Fuck Now, not in twenty or thirty or forty or fifty or one hundred years.

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    1. Re:slowly unfurling crisis? by ohnocitizen · · Score: 5, Insightful

      What about a "point of no return" situation? If we are at the edge of the point where we can stop catastrophe - I'd call that moment a crisis moment even if the consequences are 20, 50, or 100 years out.

    2. Re:slowly unfurling crisis? by Torodung · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Support nuclear power. That'll fix carbon emissions by a lot.

    3. Re:slowly unfurling crisis? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, we all agree that thermodynamics exists and eventually we will reach equilibrium.

      But being "stable at an equilibrium" does not necessarily mean that the equilibrium point is compatible with society or humans, and it's not hard to construct a scenario where the eventual outcome is catastrophic and inevitable once a certain threshold is passed, even if that threshold is itself not damaging.

      For example, if you jump out of a plane with parachute you'll be moving at dangerous speeds relative to the ground but it's not a problem because you'll able to decelerate before it becomes catastrophic. However, there's some minimum altitude below which your parachute will not have time to decelerate you before you hit the ground. Nothing physically happens at this threshold -- you're likely not even accelerating anymore by the time you get there -- and shortly thereafter your speed will reach equilibrium velocity with the ground regardless of your actions. But if you didn't pull the cord before the point of no return you won't live to see it.

    4. Re:slowly unfurling crisis? by argStyopa · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Then again, it's rather challenging to discern an ACTUAL "point of no return" from "nothing promulgated vociferously", particularly when the people INSISTING that THIS TIME the sky REALLY IS FALLING are basically the same crew that has told us the same thing about running out of water, running out of food, running out of oil, running out of land, etc, etc, ad infinitum, the same people that would lay in front of bull dozers to stop that horrible nuclear power because it was certainly going to kill everyone (when their choices in fact condemned us to more pollution, acid rain, and accelerated CO2 production), or who screamed 'SILENT SPRING!' until we stopped using DDT...which was a death sentence for tens of millions of malaria victims that may never have died.

      It's that old "boy who cries wolf" thing. Now, of course it IS absolutely possible that this time he is telling the truth. But his track record sucks pretty hard, so no, I'm not listening this time.

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      -Styopa
    5. Re:slowly unfurling crisis? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Solar and wind work fine, up to the amount of it that happens to be available in a given place. Then what source do you use for the other 80% of your big-city power needs?

      Bring in power over power lines from hundreds or even thousands of miles away? Just like many/most cities do already?

  4. Re:the world was supposed to end years ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Well, the problem is that the premise of this article is that the author somehow is superhuman and sees threats to humanity that the common plebs can't observe because of their inferior mental capabilities.
    The idea that brains might be better at detecting direct threats to the individual rather than the herd isn't that controversial and further studies on the subject could be interesting.
    Claiming that one is exempt from the effect and that everyone else is wrong starts to sound a lot like claiming that the governments mind control ray doesn't affect me since I only drink recycled urine to avoid the chemicals added to the tap water.
    Feel free to research how the brain works. Don't skew the results to push your agenda.

  5. Again? by rickb928 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Another reason why those who disagree with the climate change proponents are defective.

    Mind you, the enlightened few do not suffer from these limitations. They are just better than the rest of us.

    Margaret Sanger, their patron saint, certainly explained this.

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    deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
  6. Wonder why "climate change" ain't taken seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Temperatures rising a few degrees are not a threat to "long term survival".

    Being alarmist about that isn't helping.

  7. Religion by scsirob · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think your view of the greatness of the human brain is overrated as long as half or more of the world population still believes in make-believe divine beings that make us do awful things to each other.

    --
    To Terminate, or not to Terminate, that's the question - SCSIROB
  8. Oh no by barbariccow · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Oh no? I don't believe what you do? I must be stupid. And I don't like being stupid.... Maybe I should believe what you believe?? Then will you stop making fun of me?

  9. Re:been there don't that by spauldo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Homo sapiens survived them, sure. Human civilization has yet to pass that test.

    I think we'll do all right, personally - we've got the technology to deal with most of it. It's the change in the weather patterns and the economic effects from that (think farmland becoming unusable due to drought, industries having to relocate, sea levels rising above the level of coastal cities, etc.) that we'll have the hardest time with. I highly doubt we'll have a dark age, but a prolonged economic depression in parts of the developed world will change things quite a bit.

    --
    Those who can't do, teach. Those who can't teach either, do tech support.
  10. Re:Icehouse Earth by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yes, but those transitions usually take place within thousands or tens of thousands of years. A timespan that makes it possible for plant and animal life to adapt.
    We are provoking that kind of change within a century.

  11. Re:Icehouse Earth by HairyNevus · · Score: 1, Insightful

    "Historically" is a funny word to use in that context. In fact, it's purposefully misleading. "Historically" generally refers to times when humans were around, but you're talking hundreds of millions of years ago. The Earth was still forming, humans--primates-- hadn't even evolved. So why would that be our baseline for the historical norm? It isn't.

    --
    You were critically hit for no damage. The bruise will look nice, and maybe the scars will make good party talk.
  12. Pack of Nonsense by TomRC · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Human brains are GREAT at finding answers to complex, long term problems. Very few people are "flailing about", confused by climate change - they have very clear and certain opinions, usually held for totally stupid reasons having more to do with whether the belief resonates with their other beliefs. The "flailing" over climate change is taking place at a societal level, not individual human brains that can't see long term threats.

    The article in question is really just a sly way of arguing that climate change deniers' brains are deficient, compared to readers whose superior brains have recognized the evidence for climate change.

    Oh, and if you just decided I'm a climate change denier based on that last sentence, you have just proven my point for me - poor evidence, jumped to a conclusion. Recognizing an invalid method of argument does not automatically mean one is opposed to the beliefs of the arguer, though admittedly that is exactly the sort of human behavior I am pointing to.

  13. Re:the world was supposed to end years ago by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Well, the problem is that the premise of this article is that the author somehow is superhuman and sees threats to humanity that the common plebs can't observe because of their inferior mental capabilities.

    Are you suggesting that the only threats we should see as real are those that can be perceived by common plebs with inferior mental capabilities?

    Anyone who has ever had to remove a virus from someone's computer after they clicked a link in an email from "support@microshaft.com" knows first-hand what it means to see threats to humanity that the common plebs can't observe because of their inferior mental capabilities.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  14. Re:the world was supposed to end years ago by danbert8 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Sadly the way it works is that Bill Nye goes on TV to explain why a snowstorm in Boston isn't evidence against global warming, but then tweets a mountain in the Rockies that doesn't have snow on it as evidence FOR global warming. You can't have it both ways. Science doesn't accept anecdotes as data regardless of it supports or refutes your hypothesis. If you want to say "weather is not climate" than you shouldn't be using weather as a rallying point for your climate cause.

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    Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
  15. Highly evolved animals can also smell bull**** by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Highly evolved animals such as humans have a pretty impressive track record when it comes to seeing into the future. The problem does exist that some if not all of us have evolved enough to plan adequately into the long term.

    Highly evolved animals such as humans ALSO have a pretty impressive track record when it comes to constructing money- and power-grabbing scams, and detecting such scams when they're being perpetrated upon them.

    Unfortunately, the Global Warming Solution Advocates, regardless of the merits of their concerns, used something that has the form of a gigantic scam when promoting their proposals, and promoted proposals that involve massive transfers of wealth, increases in government intervention in private lives and businesses, and reductions in standards of living. This has created substantial skepticism (which moneyed interests that would be harmed by the proposed actions have, of course, gleefully promoted). The failure of the climate to follow their predictions and discoveries of their fudging of the data doesn't help their cause, either.

    There are a number of steps between "I think the weather is getting warmer, and people are causing it." to "We must drive the developed world's population down to third world standards RIGHT NOW, to prevent a couple degrees increase in world average temperature, or we're ALL going to DIE!"

    Because it looks like a scam, about all they've gotten any substantial traction on is that the temperature is changing a bit (as it has for all of geological time - we ARE coming out of an ice age, after all - and whether the change is actually human-caused is immaterial beyond indicating that we could change it the other way if we tried). But they haven't convinced the population that they have a correct model.

    And they haven't even STARTED on the NEXT of several steps: Is global warming, bad, indifferent, or even good? (The geological and historical record seems to indicate that substantially warmer than what we have now - by more than the amount they're concerned about - is actually better for both civilization and life in general.)

    With the population unconvinced that there IS a "Grave Threat To Humanity", it's premature to assume that "Our Brains Can't Process" it.

    But speaking as if the thing to be proven is already proven IS another technique of scammers. And making such a claim is an obvious prelude to a move by governmental people, who believe "their brains ARE capable of processing it", to go ahead and impose wealth-transferring, power-grabbing, population-impoverishing solutions, "for their own good", whether the populations want to be reduced to serfdom (rather than be killed by what they perceive as the allegedly falling sky) or not.

    --
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    1. Re:Highly evolved animals can also smell bull**** by toejam13 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Third world standards? Add rooftop solar to every house in the sun belt, wind turbines off the coasts and micro nuclear reactors around population centers and the US could drop to pre-WWII emissions for less money than what we've sunk into the Middle East over the past 30 years.

    2. Re:Highly evolved animals can also smell bull**** by MechaStreisand · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Too bad that isn't what the ones pushing the Global Warming Solution are pushing for.

      --
      Disclaimer: IANAL. This post is, however, legal advice, and creates an attorney-client relationship.
    3. Re:Highly evolved animals can also smell bull**** by dgatwood · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Sadly, I've come to much the same conclusion. The most vocal of the environmentalists are demanding that we all conserve water here in California, claiming that we have a water shortage, when there's approximately a trillion gallons of water within a quarter mile of our coastline, just waiting to be used.

      So instead of spending a few more pennies per gallon to set up the mass-desalinization that we simply must have to properly sustain the population over the long term, these folks keep insisting that we should try to conserve our way out by doing stupid things like saving the wasted water while you wait for your shower to get hot and using it to water your plants, and other token gestures that significantly reduce quality of life while not making a significant dent in the state's water consumption (the overwhelming majority of which is used not by showers and toilets, not even by lawns, but by mass agriculture).

      The problem is, when these folks say that they want to save 25% of California's water use through cuts to residential and municipal water use, they're really saying that they want every man, woman, and child to magically import about twice as much water as they currently use from some magical river in the sky so that they can be net producers of water instead of consumers, at about their current rate of consumption. Yeah, that's going to work.

      And then they propose dubious ideas like reprocessing of waste water as a means of saving water... except that reusing water doesn't save water. Waste water typically gets processed and dumped into rivers and streams. If instead of doing that, you reuse the water, you're taking out less water, but you're also failing to put back exactly the same amount of water as you reuse. Yes, that might mean less processing for the cities downstream, but in the end, you still have the same amount of water in the river that you did before, so there's the same quantity of water for folks downstream as before.

      The only way that reusing water could actually save water would be if the total human consumption and release of water exceeded the amount of water needed to keep the rivers and streams at a safe minimum level for wildlife, allowing less water to be released from the reservoirs upstream. Unfortunately, that is not the case, so waste reprocessing cannot (safely) save water.

      These are presumably the same people who, when we had a power shortage, didn't demand more generator capacity, didn't demand investigations into the illegal practices that resulted in the shortage, but instead tried to get everybody to save power by banning incandescent light bulbs. This, of course, had no noticeable effect on our state's power consumption because the total consumption from incandescent bulbs averaged a fraction of a percent of the state's power use (because nearly 100% of businesses switched to primarily fluorescent lighting at least twenty years ago). So they took away a form of lighting product that a lot of us preferred under the guise of saving power, but didn't actually save a meaningful amount of power.

      You get the idea. Sane environmentalism means pushing for renewable energy sources. Trying to get people to reduce consumption is like screaming at the wind, demanding that it not mess up your hair; anybody going down that path is pretty much guaranteed to look absolutely insane.

      --

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  16. Re:Not shared by everyone by tnk1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That would make sense, except that subsidies aren't there to benefit the oil companies, they're there to keep production up so that prices stay nice and low.

    Providing money for renewables is good and all, but bear in mind, no one is paying oil companies as a solution, they're paying oil companies to keep the population happy.

    It is nice to state that all of that money could help make renewables work better, but that's not the point. The point is crowd control, not energy advances. That's why no one is seriously considering changing the subsidies for oil to another energy source. The population won't tolerate the high gas prices while you figure out how to get them all electric cars running on solar power.

    The solution is to get the electric cars rolled out and the panels and alternatives up so that solar and renewables can handle the load that oil is carrying right now. When that happens, then you can shut off the subsidies.

  17. Re:Icehouse Earth by knightghost · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Just because this big rock we're on can survive doesn't mean we will. Climate Change will happen. We'll adapt or die. The rock will keep spinning. So... the "its happened before" argument is irrelevant... we know we've caused the recent one by increasing CO2 by 40% and measured its affects.

    What's hard to predict - and trust - are other people's future projections. We don't trust politicians. Too many scientists have too many private grants (indirect bribes). TV doesn't have anything factual on it any more. The only thing we can really trust - and affect - is what's right in front of us.

  18. Re:the world was supposed to end years ago by vlad30 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I also submit that Global warming / Climate Change has been ruined by the alarmists overstating there case rather than presenting clear and accurate statistics and claims. Note this has also made science as a whole less believable to joe public.

    On the case of the article most humans have difficulty planning to the next pay cheque let alone their retirement and they don't give a crap what happens to the future after they die they are only self interested. So its not that they don't see threats they are either desensitised or simply don't care due to self interest and trying to survive to the next day

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  19. Re:Overpopulating by blue9steel · · Score: 4, Insightful

    All plants and animals except humans form a natural balance and live in harmony

    They all try to kill or outbreed each other and steal each others food or habitat as much as possible. We're just better at it. The only thing that limits the population of an apex predator is food supply.

  20. Re:It seems like we need grave threats to humanity by microbox · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Some disasters came true. (e.g., the collapse of the atlantic fisheries). Some were averted. (e.g., the ozone hole, or, acid rain.) Some were bogus. (e.g., religious based end-times.)

    There is such a thing as nuance, and understanding. Just because some people like beating the drums of doom doesn't mean that there is no problem that needs to be fixed.

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  21. Re:the world was supposed to end years ago by Berkyjay · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You are right about one thing. Humans are ill equipped to care about the welfare of those beyond their small tribe. But that's why we form governments and appoint leaders. They are supposed to look out for the greater whole.

    As for your Climate Change alarmists, I take great exception to that and consider it a great fallacy. It is easier to sow doubt than to convince someone of a fact and that is what deniers have preyed upon. If you don't think we are all going to be fucked as a species in the next 100 years then you sir or madam are part of the problem.

    And there is no overstating. The facts are the facts regardless if those facts take 25 years, 100 years, or 200 years to catch up to us. It's going to happen. We are putting BILLIONS of metric tons of a greenhouse gas into the atmosphere every year for damn near a century now. The ONLY way you don't draw the same conclusions that 99% of scientists do is because a) Your basic knowledge of how greenhouse gases work is deficient or b) you clearly have an agenda and purposely adopt an ignorant position.

    The reason alarms are raised is because there is a huge lag when it comes to the effects on the atmosphere and the climate. So if we wait until shit is so obviously wrong that even the Koch's admit it then nothing we do will ever reverse the damage.

  22. Re:Not shared by everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Wow. Modded funny. Owning a gun and knowing how to use it is an important part of being a responsible adult. It's especially important if you live out in the country. Police response time on a good day for an emergency is over an hour where I live, and I doubt they would appreciate coming out to deal with nasty animals for me.

  23. Re:Icehouse Earth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Nope. That was a typo, it should have been "million". The math on the 2.5 days is consistent, I just mistyped. I just posted a lengthy correction of that and some other numbers that were off. The upshot is that we use fossil fuels at a phenomenal rate. We also use a surprisingly large percentage of the world's oxygen production on burning fossil fuels. Enough to make any claims that we're insignificant to the state of the atmosphere ridiculous.