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The Promise of 5G

An anonymous reader writes: From instant monitoring of leaking pipelines, to real-time worldwide collaboration, the increase in machine-to-machine communications that 5G allows will change the way we live. This TechCrunch article takes a look at the promise that 5G holds and its possibilities. From the article: "By 2030, 5G will transform and create many uses that we cannot even think of yet. We will live in a world that will have 10-100 times more Internet-connected devices than there are humans. Hundreds of billions of machines will be sensing, processing and transmitting data without direct human control and intervention."

31 of 158 comments (clear)

  1. Flying Car by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    This is the contemporary version of the "flying car". It's nonsense that will never happen. Ever.

    1. Re: Flying Car by CreatureComfort · · Score: 2

      Yeah, this article is almost complete bollocks and the author is a complete idiot.

      First, there are fewer than 35,000 traffic related deaths per year in the U.S. and that number, while still way too high, is dropping. Yes, self driving cars will dramatically reduce this number, even if we manage to implement them in a way where perfect doesn't get in the way of good enough.

      NHTSA reports traffic fatalities fell 3.1 percent in 2013 to 32,719 people from 33,782 in 2012. An estimated 2.31 million people were injured in motor vehicle crashes in 2013, down 2.1 percent from 2.36 in 2012.

      New findings from the Insurance Research Council's (IRC) Auto Injury Insurance Claims Study shows that medical expenses reported by auto injury claimants continue to increase faster than the rate of inflation, in spite of the fact that the severity of the injuries themselves remain on a downward trend. From 2007 to 2012, average claimed economic losses (which include expenses for medical care, lost wages and other out-of-pocket expenditures) grew 8 percent annualized among personal injury protection (PIP) claimants. Among bodily injury (BI) claimants, average claimed losses grew 4 percent. Over the same period, measures such as the percentage of claimants who had no visible injuries at the accident scene or who had fewer than 10 days in which they were unable to perform their usual daily activities provided evidence of a continuing decline in the severity of injuries.

      In 2013, the average auto liability claim for property damage was $3,231; the average auto liability claim for bodily injury was $15,443 (ISO, a Verisk Analytics company).

      In 2013, the average collision claim was $3,144; the average comprehensive claim was $1,621 (ISO, a Verisk Analytics company).

      In addition, there is no reason that self driving cars will need 5G to operate. In fact, almost all of the manufacturers working on driverless vehicles are explicitly targeting full, on-board self sufficiency, because if your external communication fails, for whatever reason, the vehicle still needs to function.

      The water issue is stupid. It's NOT that much data. The only reason we have the leaks that we do is (most minor) the lack of sensors on existing water infrastructure, and (most important) the extreme cost of replacing the oldest, and most leaky of the pipes. I work in the office right next to our municipal water department operators. They know where our biggest losses are, (it's easy to see the flow through upstream and downstream pumps and compare them, you don't need centimeter accuracy) but to replace the, in some places 80 year old pipes (much worse in older cities) would cost around a billion dollars. In some places like NYC or LA, you can bet that replacing some of the oldest existing infrastructure would require the demolition of skyscrapers to get to it

      Finally, to get higher data transmission, you MUST go to higher frequencies. Higher frequencies degrade faster over distance and are far more affected by interference and line-of-sight issues, requiring a much larger number of base stations connected to the wired grid. There are still vast swathes of the US without even basic 2G service. 10-100 Gb wireless may become available in some very high density locations, or eventually be an option for devices within a private home, but unless we discover new physics, I can't see it ever being deployed for large scale coverage, especially in sparsely populated or poor regions.

      --
      "Unheard of means only it's undreamed of yet,
      Impossible means not yet done." ~~ Julia Ecklar
    2. Re: Flying Car by CreatureComfort · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Hossein Moiin (author) is executive vice president and CTO of Nokia Networks.

      Wow...how far Nokia has sunk.

      --
      "Unheard of means only it's undreamed of yet,
      Impossible means not yet done." ~~ Julia Ecklar
  2. What could possibly go wrong? by Assmasher · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I mean, afterall, we're all so good at network security now...

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  3. Thoughts by DaMattster · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I just cannot get excited about 5G because there are still large gaps in 4G coverage. I'd like to see the telecoms finish what they started.

    1. Re:Thoughts by ganjadude · · Score: 2

      i live in the hudson valley NY, not exactly a small place, very populated only an hour outside of NYC

      we were just ranked the worst cell coverage in the country

      worry about 5G when you can get 4G (or even 3G... or even a standard 1x signal....) going

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    2. Re:Thoughts by mjwx · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I just cannot get excited about 5G because there are still large gaps in 4G coverage. I'd like to see the telecoms finish what they started.

      I can't get excited over 4G because we haven't actually got it yet. LTE is still a 3.9G tech, LTE Advanced was supposed to be the first 4G technology according to the ITU definitions.

      But then the marketing trolls decided that they could just re-define words to mean whatever the hell they wanted to and 4G went from a well defined standard to arbitrary marketspeak. Some telco's had rebranded HSPA+ as 4G, because of this 5G has no real meaning and it will just lead to marking one-upmanship. "Our competitors are still on 6G, we've gone to 11G" without actually telling you they haven't changed technology at all.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
  4. Waste of time by manu0601 · · Score: 4, Informative

    There is not much more in this article than in Slashdot summary. You can skip it.

    1. Re:Waste of time by Gavagai80 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Oh, is that what those underlined phrases do? Never clicked one.

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  5. Article is completely meaningless by jonnythan · · Score: 5, Insightful

    5G will turn this one-way interaction we have today with data into something new. Imagine a new network that will enable machines to communicate instantly without any human intervention, and to do things on our behalf and for our benefit without our active engagement.

    ... What? Is 4G too slow for "machines to communicate instantly without any human intervention"?

    And speaking of 4G vs 5G... I can burn through my 5 GB/month data allowance in about 45 minutes by maxing out my 4G connection. Not in any hurry to do it in 45 seconds via 5G.

    Our cars will download real-time traffic information and use it to avoid congestion and accidents, getting us safely and quickly where we need to go.

    O RLY? 4G is way too slow for real-time traffic.

    1. Re:Article is completely meaningless by rockout · · Score: 3, Funny

      ... What? Is 4G too slow for "machines to communicate instantly without any human intervention"?

      O RLY? 4G is way too slow for real-time traffic.

      Are you having an argument with yourself?

      --
      I've learned that they're worthless, so I don't read AC comments anymore.
  6. Watch out by PPH · · Score: 4, Funny

    Hundreds of billions of machines will be sensing, processing and transmitting data without direct human control and intervention.

    Your toaster is talking about you behind your back.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  7. 5G? I'd settle for reliable 3G. by JimMcc · · Score: 4, Informative

    The subject kind of says it all. Around here we have pockets of LTE, larger areas of 3G, but the bulk of our geographic area has no service or just barely enough to send and receive an SMS message. I don't see where 5G means a thing to us here.

  8. Yeah, maybe we'll get hoverboards too by areusche · · Score: 3, Insightful

    5G is going to be meaningless if it means carriers like Verizon and AT&T are metering usage at a per gigabyte rate. RIP grandfathered verizon unlimited data plan.

    1. Re: Yeah, maybe we'll get hoverboards too by binarylarry · · Score: 3, Funny

      Don't worry T-Mobile's new unlimited plans are unlimited until you exhaust your alloted bandwidth.

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      Mod me down, my New Earth Global Warmingist friends!
  9. Re:Heard this before by TWX · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There are a few actually. Building security systems now are not dependent on landlines, so it's harder for someone to sever the security system's ability to report trouble. Medical alert monitoring is easier and works away from the residence more reliably. Cars can report-in when there's a likely automobile accident and can get map information in real-time instead of relying on outdated locally-stored maps exclusively. For those that want to spend the money, they can have full Internet access nearly everywhere they go, so businesses have made use of this for real-time status reporting (think package delivery) and for general Internet use.

    Now, most of these were achieved with "G" and "2G" speeds. It's tough to say that beyond being able to add realtime video capability that there have been too many significant improvements.

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    Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  10. Re:tech-incompetent writer by rudy_wayne · · Score: 2, Informative

    The article was written by some clueless moron who has absolutely no grasp of . . . well, anything. As he breathlessly sings the praises of all the miraculous things we'll be able to do with 5G, while completely ignoring (or completely unaware of) the fact that we can already do all of these things with 4G and/or conventional internet connections.

  11. Re: Yay! by binarylarry · · Score: 2, Funny

    So you're saying Comcast is going to grandfather their old Sodomy plans in for customers changing plans?

    Woo hoo!

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    Mod me down, my New Earth Global Warmingist friends!
  12. But, there is no 4G yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The Nokia executive who wrote this article is spouting misinformation here. Talking about 5G, when 4G systems don't exist yet. LTE (Long Term Evolution) service is 3G which is (in theory) moving towards meeting 4G standards of 1 gigabit/sec, but is nowhere even close to that now. It's only branding. Considering AOL owns techcrunch, this is clearly a PR/propaganda piece which no content of any actual value in the entire article. Even the slashdot summary is misinformed. The only way you'll be seeing 5G is in a false advertising lawsuit.

  13. By 2030 .... by PPH · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ... the carriers will be pitching 8G.

    Anything to trade you up to a new two year contract.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  14. Faster speed, fewer options by aNonnyMouseCowered · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The non-linear, if not exactly exponential, growth of information-related technologies from Moore's proverbial microchips to wide area network speeds appear to have the side effect of placing important aspects of global civilization under the control of a few companies when they have the equal potential to decentralize it. Why has Google search become for most people the starting point for research or Facebook the dominant means of text-based communication?

    I know the arguments for economies of scale. But why can't we have mesh or peer-to-peer versions of these technologies where we don't have to rely on the good intentions or fault tolerance of a few dozen IT behemoths? We now have the equivalent of an '80s supercomputer in our pockets. Why can't I just beam my documents or videos directly to my friend on the other side of town, instead of routing them right across the world?

    Critics scoffed at the ease with which a human "hacker" brought down the alien invasion force in Independence Day. I'm thinking the movie's a metaphor for where the Internet and all our information technologies are heading.

  15. 5G will not deliver all the promises of 3G or 4G by tomwrake · · Score: 2, Informative
    Coverage will be spotty, I am 80 miles from lower Manhatten and we still have dead spots. Radio signals has blind spots. $ fix that locals complain about cell towers.

    And what about security, will this prevent Russian gangs from looting my bank account.

    With 5G do you get free credit monitoring or virus scanning?

    Will my driverless car be able to be controlled by hackers using my sound system?

    The 5G forecast is cloudy.... film at 11 ... in other news you will be able to send email from your spreadsheet.,,,,

  16. Re: Yes, 5G is needed by binarylarry · · Score: 3, Funny

    Silly Canadian, here in the US we use our cellular network for more than monitoring maple syrup storage silos.

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    Mod me down, my New Earth Global Warmingist friends!
  17. Reach your data cap up to 40X faster! by tlambert · · Score: 2

    Reach your data cap up to 40X faster!

    That is all.

  18. 5G to the rescue! by swell · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "Statistics show that 20 percent of our water supply is lost every single day because of leaks in the pipes that make up the national infrastructure...
    Monitoring every pipe in real time would require the ability to gather and analyze huge volumes of data at speeds that are just not possible today. "

    I'm not sure how 5G is going to help our 100 year old supply pipes that we can't even afford to repair. Perhaps we can plug the cracks with 5G Nokia phones.

    This appears to be a promo aimed at ignorant investors. It's hard to believe that the Nokia CTO would write such nonsense to the tech savvy.

    --
    ...omphaloskepsis often...
  19. Re:What Does N-G Mean? by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 2

    The 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G, etc simply means you'll reach your monthly data cap faster than the previous generation of G while paying a higher monthly bill.

  20. 5G and rf frequency spectrum by nickweller · · Score: 2

    How are all these 5G devices going to fit into the same rf spectrum?

  21. The history of stupid by holophrastic · · Score: 5, Insightful

    First, an inventor invented invented a pipe, and installed it, and it was found to leak. Then a plumber improved the pipe and re-installed it, and would never leak again.

    Then a new-age company said they could build a cheaper pipe to save costs. It was installed, and it leaked only sometimes. Then a plumber figured out precisely how often it would leak, and designed a maintenance plan to prevent it from leaking, so the leaking would never be a problem again.

    Then an accountant saw the money being spent on maintenance of a pipe that didn't leak, and reduced the maintenance until it started to leak.

    Now, a new-age company is offering to invent and build and install billions of sensors on the pipe, to see when it's leaking, so we'll know when to perform the maintenance.

    It'll work great. Not only will we know exactly when to send out the maintenance crew -- i.e. pretty close to the same rate as when the plumber designed the maintenance plan the first time, because he wasn't stupid -- but we'll spend more money on the sensors than we will on the pipe.

    As my mother's always said. You can pay me now, or you can pay me later. So the pipe will be cheap, and the maintenance will be occasional, and the sensors will be amazing.

    And then we'll save money on the sensors.

    And then we'll have a maintenance plan for the sensors.

    And then we'll start monitoring the sensors.

    It's turtles all the way down.

    Anyone remember how much the high quality pipe that didn't leak in the first place cost? I didn't think so.

  22. 6G by fluffernutter · · Score: 2

    It won't be until 6G that the machines will rise up and overtake humanity..... Right?

    --
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  23. billions of machines hooked to botnets by nikkipolya · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Hundreds of billions of machines will be sensing, processing and transmitting data without direct human control and intervention."

    Hundreds of billions of machines will be connected to botnets that will be indirectly controlled by humans for fun and profit at the expense of others.

  24. Re:Puff piece by nikkipolya · · Score: 2

    Thanks for the insightful comment, I skipped reading the article and saved time.