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US No-Fly List Uses 'Predictive Judgement' Instead of Hard Evidence

HughPickens.com writes: The Guardian reports that in a little-noticed filing before an Oregon federal judge, the US Justice Department and the FBI conceded that stopping U.S. and other citizens from traveling on airplanes is a matter of "predictive assessments about potential threats." "By its very nature, identifying individuals who 'may be a threat to civil aviation or national security' is a predictive judgment intended to prevent future acts of terrorism in an uncertain context," Justice Department officials Benjamin C Mizer and Anthony J Coppolino told the court. It is believed to be the government's most direct acknowledgment to date that people are not allowed to fly because of what the government believes they might do and not what they have already done. The ACLU has asked Judge Anna Brown to conduct her own review of the error rate in the government's predictions modeling – a process the ACLU likens to the "pre-crime" of Philip K Dick's science fiction. "It has been nearly five years since plaintiffs on the no-fly list filed this case seeking a fair process by which to clear their names and regain a right that most other Americans take for granted," say ACLU lawyers.

The Obama administration is seeking to block the release of further information about how the predictions are made, as damaging to national security. "If the Government were required to provide full notice of its reasons for placing an individual on the No Fly List and to turn over all evidence (both incriminating and exculpatory) supporting the No Fly determination, the No Fly redress process would place highly sensitive national security information directly in the hands of terrorist organizations and other adversaries," says the assistant director of the FBI's counterterrorism division, Michael Steinbach.

14 of 264 comments (clear)

  1. Right to travel...? by serviscope_minor · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Tell me Mr Anderson, what good is a phone call if you can't speak?

    Sure, feel free to walk to whereever you want to go.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
    1. Re:Right to travel...? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Not a REASONABLE choice.

      This is what happense when people relenquish CONTROL. Homeland security and their TSA dogs were supposed to just keep everybody safe, but we see it is much more than that. It's only a matter of time. until they expand on the information they require. They have already asked me for the name of Facebook account, and other information; disinformation can be useful. I provided them with nothing because "I don't have one".

      TSA is also located in train stations and bus stations, and we already have Border Patrol with checkpoints far away from the border, and other law enforcement setting up checkpoints in other parts of the country, and the judges are just going along with it, which makes them accessories, or just plain stupid. They have metal detectors and police in schools, and there are rumors of Metal detectors and armed guards being set up at movie theatres and malls.

      This is exactly what the Nazis did. It's what happens in all totalitarian societies, when powerful people get into political offices, and those people need removed. And many people are convinced that peaceul solutions are no longer an option.

    2. Re:Right to travel...? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 5, Interesting

      What is important is if they have a totalitarian mindset or not.

      Not really - the neuroscience on this is pretty clear - exercising power makes them into bad people. It's a long, slow process for most, but the brain's reward system is something that science can study, has studied in this case, and has found clear results.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  2. They just don't want to get sued by rossdee · · Score: 5, Insightful

    for racial /religious profiling

    1. Re:They just don't want to get sued by StikyPad · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If inconveniencing a few million people is worth saving a few hundred lives, then inconveniencing a few hundred million people is worth saving tens of thousands of lives, yes?

      So let's ban driving.

      Shall we continue, or can we agree that line of reasoning would lead to all sorts of unintended consequences?

      "National security," needs to be reserved for existential threats. Terrorism is not, and has never been, an existential threat, and it should be treated proportionally, as a crime.

  3. Nice Nazi regime you got there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "Land of the free", indeed... I'm quite amazed how you Americans put up with all that.

  4. Secret Laws and Rules are the Threat to Security by Nyder · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Secret Laws and Rules do not create national security, they are the threat to national security. The problem is, without a clear set of rules, it's a law that is open to abuse towards whomever those who are in charge don't like. Secret laws & courts are what shows you that instead of caring about protecting it's citizen, the government is using it to further their own ends.

    We can NOT have freedom when we have secret laws & courts.

    --
    Be seeing you...
  5. In other news... by meta-monkey · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In other news, during criminal procedures the prosecutor will no longer be obligated to present evidence the defendant is guilty of a crime before incarcerating them.

    "If the Government were required to provide full notice of its reasons for placing an individual in prison and to turn over all evidence (both incriminating and exculpatory) supporting the incarceration determination, the incarceration process would place highly sensitive criminal justice information directly in the hands of criminals and other adversaries, like the American people," said some fuckstick.

    --
    We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
  6. So dangerous they can't fly but by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So let me get this straight these people are so dangerous that they can't fly yet aren't dangerous enough to be brought in for questioning, gotten off the streets for the safety of the general public, and are likely not under direct surveillance? I am a bit confused here.

    And before someone mods this troll that was sarcasm. I also happen to believe that if the administration were to reveal their "State Secrets" it would be something like the emperor has no cloths.

    --
    Time to offend someone
  7. winter soldier, zola's algorithm by lkcl · · Score: 5, Interesting

    whilst others may quote george orwell 1984, philip k dick, V for Vendetta, minority report and so on, i'm reminded of the more recent film captain america winter soldier, in which a swiss nazi/hydra scientist, who was permitted to work in the US after the 2nd world war, creates an "algorithm" that can read people's online digital fingerprint, predicts whether they are likely to be a threat (to hydra's "new world order"), and the results are used to murder them... *before* they can act.

    the justifications for such action - delivered by the character played by robert redford - sound so completely sane and rational that it's genuinely hard - rationally - to come up with a counter-argument. questions are asked such as "what if we could stop terrorists before they act?" and to be absolutely honest, the responses by the actors were really not that convincing, as they sounded lame in their "emotive" and "moral conscience" justification.

    and that's really illustrative of what we're seeing here. these films merely reflect to us what's *actually* going on. these films are pointing out to us that there are *genuinely* people out there who can, with no moral conscience whatsoever and with a blatant disregard for the spirit of the U.S. Constitution, use purely rational logic to justify the removal of freedom and even of life itself.

    the problem is, i feel, that the founding fathers had just been through a war that tore what is now known as the U.S. apart: the lesson was burned into their minds, and it brought together people with good conscience to make sensible and far-sighted committments, in the form of "The Constitution".

    by contrast, i cannot honestly say that i can even guess at what truly drives the current power-hungry people who make decisions like the ones that they're making right now. we have people like bruce schneier "calling out" their "security theatrics", but that's just a symptom, not the underlying motivation. we see glimpses that something terribly strange is going on - https://www.youtube.com/watch?... - but it's sufficiently orwellian that even i have a hard time comprehending the implications.

    so help me out here: someone please help me to understand why there are people in the world's leading nation - the one that all others look up to - who would blatantly disregard the principles on which the U.S. Constitution is founded.

    1. Re:winter soldier, zola's algorithm by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Insightful

      someone please help me to understand why there are people in the world's leading nation - the one that all others look up to - who would blatantly disregard the principles on which the U.S. Constitution is founded.

      The Constitution was designed to LIMIT the power of the Federal Government. It has been extended in ways that also limit the power of State governments (14th Amendment, for example).

      There are people in the world to whom POWER is everything. You can frequently identify them by looking at a ballot in an election - you run for office not to "serve" the public, but to "master" them. Yes, "civil servant" is pretty much equivalent to "civil master" in most situations...

      In other words, never trust a politician - he/she didn't run for office for the pay, but for the perks (getting to tell other people what to do)....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  8. Freedom does not mean no laws by sjbe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    We cannot have freedom when we have any laws at all.

    Freedom is not the ability to do whatever you want whenever you want. Never has been. That is anarchy which is not the same thing. Freedom is FAR more complicated than the absence of laws. Freedom is not just absence of restrictions on you but also absence of things being done TO you. A complete absence of laws for you necessarily means a loss of freedom for me because there is nothing restraining you (or me) from removing other people's freedom. Societies cannot exist without rules, both formal and informal and yet freedom under reasonable definitions of the term still exists.

    If there is no law against slavery is the slave-owner free? The slave certainly isn't. But with laws against slavery we can fairly describe both people as free so the absolutist definition of freedom only existing when there are no laws simply makes no sense.

  9. It's not about terrorism by whoever57 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Last year (?) a teenager was able to get over the perimeter fence and get on a plane. Later, they announced that they did not have the money to properly secure the fence. Depite this, exactly zero planes have been subject to terrorist attacks in the USA.

    What do we infer from this? The risk from terrorists trying to blow up planes in the USA is indistinguishable from zero. I can't be the only person to realize this.

    The administration must realize this, yet, they persist with the ridiculous rules about flying. Clearly, the searches, the no-fly-list, etc. have no connection to terrorism. There is some other reason for their existence.

    Reasons for the searches, no-fly-list etc.? Money? Control? Something else?

    --
    The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
  10. Re: which "no fly" list? It matters. by ZeroWaiteState · · Score: 5, Informative

    That list includes journalists who embarrassed the government, a few actors, some folks who had similar names to dangerous people, etc. This would have never become an issue if the government actually took people off the list when there was a mistake, but they didn't until forced by judicial sanction. For the longest time they refused to acknowledge that such a list existed at all, and refused to verify if anyone had ever been placed on it. How do you resolve mistakes in a list that's top secret? That was the whole problem; excessive secrecy led directly to the abuse they promised wouldn't happen. If they had acted responsibly we wouldn't be here now.