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Group Seeks Test For Geoengineering Tool To Fight Climate Change

An anonymous reader writes: A group of retired engineers and scientists has been meeting for several years to develop techniques to fight climate change. They've now reached the point where they want to actively test a machine that shoots water droplets into the sky in order to supplement existing clouds and increase the planet's albedo. The group is not aiming for full deployment — in fact, it's not even unanimous in support for prevailing theories in climate science. But they all agree that it's important to learn about such technologies before the situation becomes a crisis. "We need to understand whether this approach is even possible and what the risks are, in the event that we find ourselves looking for ways to extend time and mitigate warming damage."

If we're eventually forced to deploy large-scale geoengineering projects to combat climate change, it's not a good idea to grab whatever technology is cheapest or most readily available without knowing how well it works. The group is aware of the ethical concerns surrounding such research, but its director notes, "The fact is humanity is already engaged in unplanned climate engineering. We're doing it through coal plant and shipping emissions every day without understanding it very well."

19 of 127 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Same agencies. by Penguinisto · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Nobody is asking for governmental control... they're asking to perform an experiment. Geez.

    In all seriousness, I like that they're just looking at the technology, and studiously avoiding any attempt to take a political side in any of this. There are practical applications for this in the macro sense that have approximately bupkis to do with the whole debate, after all.

    --
    Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
  2. We already have a great tool by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 3, Informative

    Plants... they consume CO2, which seems to be the big issue in climate change.

    How about projects to plant more plants in cities globally? Like forcing coal-powered power plants to surround their plant with plants? Plan to plant more plants in your plants.

    1. Re:We already have a great tool by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 2, Informative

      And when the plants die the CO2 is released. You only hold the CO2 for a while in a plant unless it gets buried in special circumstances or someone comes by and turns a tree into a house.

    2. Re:We already have a great tool by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 2

      So then you are going to be using up more and more land to sequester carbon temporarily for the CO2 that we continue to emit and for the plants that die. There is a limit to the amount of land that we can use for this.

  3. How is it that anyone supports this? by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

    * Does absolutely nothing to prevent ocean acidification
    * Provides only masking - if they ever stop (lack of funding, discovery of profound negative consequences, or whatever), all the warming that they've been hiding comes rushing back
    * They're just as likely to increase temperatures by increasing IR reflectance as they are to decrease it by increasing albedo. The least well understood aspect of the planet's climate, by a large margin, is clouds; they make up the vast majority of the error bars in the IPCC projections.
    * There's a whole raft of staggeringly huge potential downstream disruptions, many of which could increase the problem - for example, reduction of photosynthesis.

    I'm actually a moderate to slightly pro-geoengineering. But this is one of the dumbest geoengineering ideas out there. No, I don't think it's worth even wasting the money to try, that money should go to other more worthwhile projects.

    --
    Stale pastry is hollow succor to one who is bereft of ostrich.
    1. Re:How is it that anyone supports this? by swillden · · Score: 5, Informative

      * Does absolutely nothing to prevent ocean acidification

      The fact that one technology doesn't address all the problems doesn't make it worthless.

      * Provides only masking - if they ever stop (lack of funding, discovery of profound negative consequences, or whatever), all the warming that they've been hiding comes rushing back

      Nonsense. Decreasing insolation doesn't "hide" warming, it reduces energy input into the system. Sure, when you stop blocking the energy you'll begin warming again, but the energy you reflected away will not come "rushing back". Vacuuming my floor only keeps the floor clean as long as I continue doing it regularly, and when I stop the dust and dirt will begin to accumulate -- but the crud I removed is gone and not coming back.

      Artificially and temporarily boosting the albedo isn't a permanent solution -- but there is no permanent solution. The climate is not stable even without geoengineering, intentional or unintentional. If we want it to remain comfortable for us, we're eventually going to have to take a hand in it, and any technique we use is going to be temporary in nature. Actually, I'd argue that's a feature, not a bug; less chance of a runaway effect.

      * They're just as likely to increase temperatures by increasing IR reflectance as they are to decrease it by increasing albedo. The least well understood aspect of the planet's climate, by a large margin, is clouds; they make up the vast majority of the error bars in the IPCC projections.

      That just increases the value of studying it.

      * There's a whole raft of staggeringly huge potential downstream disruptions, many of which could increase the problem - for example, reduction of photosynthesis.

      Again, that just means we need to study it rather than guess. You can acquire scientific knowledge through careful passive observation or through active experimentation but the latter is much faster and more effective.

      I'm actually a moderate to slightly pro-geoengineering. But this is one of the dumbest geoengineering ideas out there. No, I don't think it's worth even wasting the money to try, that money should go to other more worthwhile projects.

      That's an argument I could buy. However, I don't see anyone else actually proposing to do anything. What we should be doing is funding many different areas of research. More promising avenues should get more funding, but we shouldn't dismiss anything that is potentially useful out of hand.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    2. Re:How is it that anyone supports this? by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

      The fact that one technology doesn't address all the problems doesn't make it worthless.

      When its alternatives do address acidification, yes, that is an argument against it.

      Nonsense. Decreasing insolation doesn't "hide" warming, it reduces energy input into the system. Sure, when you stop blocking the energy you'll begin warming again, but the energy you reflected away will not come "rushing back".

      Wrong. Earth is at 400ppm milestone, and we're doing on artificial albedo increases. We'll call this status X. Now let's say we begin this process tomorrow. Earth's CO2 keeps rising... 450... 500... 550... 600. But we keep increasing the albedo so that the temperature stays the same as it is today.

      What happens when the machines get shut off?

      Water vapor has a very short atmospheric residence time. Everything will be back to its no-albedo-boosted state within a couple weeks. So all of the sudden we go from 400ppm temperatures to 600ppm temperatures. There will be some delay because of thermal inertia of course, but the issue is, you're just hiding the problem, not actually doing anything about it. And when you stop hiding it, it comes running back.

      Again, that just means we need to study it rather than guess.

      Every dollar spent on one thing is a dollar not spent on something else. There are geoengineering processes which don't have all of these problems and are more worthy of study, and need more study (I'd put forth, as one example among many, ocean seeding). And that money could also go toward advancing the technology to reduce carbon emissions or capture emitted carbon.

      However, I don't see anyone else actually proposing to do anything.

      That's just advertising how little you follow this topic.

      --
      Stale pastry is hollow succor to one who is bereft of ostrich.
  4. Re:Not If, When by Crashmarik · · Score: 2

    The debate has now officially moved on. Please do not rehash the past, or find an excuse to parrot your SJW whinings.

    Hear that, everyone? The debate has now officially moved on: Tokolosh hath spoken. None of your "SJW whinings"!

    Man, you can practically hear the Fedora and the neckbeard...

    Kind of hearing hipster bs coming off of you.

  5. sincere skepticism. by nimbius · · Score: 4, Interesting

    climate change is the manifestation of the global use of fossil fuels at an unprecedented rate, releasing millions of tons of greenhouse gasses. in Cloud Reflectivity Modification, these devices being proposed would also contribute to global warming in that they are, in models, driven by plane and ships. I support the science. we need to learn more about how this affects or impacts a controlled environment. but to insinuate its somehow going to solve a problem of this magnitude is sophomoric on a number of levels, not the least of which economic.

    Easier more practical solutions like alternative energy and curbing emissions in the first place are a better application of the finite resources we have to address climate change. To expound upon the articles premise, If we're eventually forced to deploy large-scale geoengineering projects to combat climate change, its already too late.

    --
    Good people go to bed earlier.
    1. Re:sincere skepticism. by chilenexus · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Being too late to stop changes from happening is not a good reason to stop efforts to limit how bad it gets. That's like saying "I'm already going to hit the car in front of me, so why use my brakes before impact?"

      Well, it could spell the difference between a dented bumper and slaughtering everyone in both cars.

  6. Again, false solutions ... by stongef · · Score: 2

    Again, we see false solutions emerging to solve this problem. The single most important contributing factor to global warming through greenhouse gas emission is animal agriculture, at 18% (vs. the entire transportation sector at 13%).The United Nations knows this (http://www.fao.org/ag/magazine/0612sp1.htm) since 2006. If you add the loss of rain forest due to yet again animal agriculture, it gets even worst. Some estimates are putting the contribution to global warming by the animal agriculture sector between 31 and 50% (http://www.worldwatch.org/node/6294). Yet, we North Americans keep avoiding to talk about changing the food choices being made in the developed world because, God forbid, we should have to change something as "personal" as our diet to save the planet. Newsflash: without this change, the planet is already doomed. Some projections estimate that by year 2050, we will see an increase of the ocean's water level of 18 feet. That means we have to relocate 600 million humans. That'll be fun. Imagine now 3 billion extra mouths to feed. Animal agriculture is already occupying 45% of Earth's total land (https://cgspace.cgiar.org/bitstream/handle/10568/10601/IssueBrief3.pdf), and we can barely manage to feed the 7 billions we have. Do the math, it is already unsustainable. And it will get worst as the developing countries want to eat "just like Americans". I get depressed when I think about this stuff. Since we all have personal diet "freedom" until the fit hits the shan, I guess the only thing I can do is apply the change myself (which I did a year ago), transmit these values to my kids and hope for the best while I wish them luck for the next 25 years ...

    1. Re:Again, false solutions ... by ThosLives · · Score: 3, Informative

      The big problem with addressing global warming is that the ability (and cost) associated with mitigating global warming is not located in the same places that are most likely to be adversely affected by global warming.

      Asking individuals to change their behavior (or pay a tax) for social programs even in their own backyard is hard enough, yet the climate change folks want to impose costs for people literally on the other side of the globe.

      Now I'm not saying that trying to mitigate effects of climate change isn't worthy - it's just that the way people go about trying to get people to make changes is missing the boat as far as how to convince people to make a difference goes. Instead of encouraging, educating, and unifying people, mostly what we see is almost-dictatorial decrees about "you must stop X" and is very vilifying and divisive. Even the jabs thrown between the "deniers" and "supporters" don't actually get anything done.

      Make efforts that are appealing now (both personally and economically) without vilifying people, and we'll get some traction. Saying "we're doomed, and you're evil because you don't want to change X in your life!" isn't a helpful approach.

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
  7. Re:Actually you can by Rei · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Seriously though, for all we know, historically Earth has seen higher temperatures and much higher CO2 levels, and life on the planet was flourishing, much bigger and much more diverse than it is today.

    And we also know that when the planet has rapidly transitioned between climactic periods, it's been associated with mass extinctions. So I'm not really sure what your point is.

    To reiterate, the issue is not that the planet is changing, but how fast the planet is changing. Life takes time to adapt.

    Carbon is vital to all life, and sitting in the depths of the planet it ain't doing anyone any good.

    Boron is also needed by all complex life, but that doesn't mean we should be digging up huge amounts of it and dumping it into our air, either.

    --
    Stale pastry is hollow succor to one who is bereft of ostrich.
  8. what we can do now to make a big difference by swschrad · · Score: 3, Insightful

    is silence the deluded gasbags spewing lies on behalf of dirty energy, and move ahead on alternatives on a wartime basis. between coal spew and the denial industry's hot air, that's half the problem solved.

    --
    if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
  9. Also can be used to increase rain/snow for water by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    Seriously, if we can do this off the western coast or in the mexican gulf, we can increase the humidity and then once over mountains, simply seed it to snow.
    Or, if we know that a cold front is incoming in one direction, simply increase the humidity in another area, so as to drop plenty of snow/rain.

    With this approach, we could increase the snowpack in the western mountains and save it in the numerous reservoirs.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  10. Re:Same agencies. by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2

    So long as they stick to technology that can't run away, I don't see a problem. Aerosols to increase the Earth's albedo, ocean algal growth that is tied to a nutrient we have to supply, many approaches have been suggested. What they are trying to do is characterize early attempts at sequestration before the carbon problem becomes acute. Because the climate models we have now do a poor job of predicting weather, we don't know yet how big the carbon problem is. Prudence dictates that we prepare for a "major impact" outcome in case of need.

    Unfortunately, one thing I know for sure is the very carbon hawks who believe we're all about to die really quick are the ones who will resist any potential solution and try to kill off any experimentation before it gets started. A viable sequestration or cooling program wouldn't fit in with their agenda of human extinction.

  11. Forget Carbon: Natural Change Happens by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Actually I think there is a very strong argument for developing the capability to geo-engineer the climate which goes beyond any man-made climate change. There is overwhelming evidence that the Earth's climate changes radically over time, and possibly quite short times. Ignoring the debate over how much of the current climate change is man-made vs. natural it seems a very good idea to develop technology which will let us control the Earth's climate either to undo any damage we have caused ourselves or, if nothing else, to prevent the next ice age...with 6+ billions mouths to feed any significant climate change regardless of type or cause will be bad.

  12. Re:Highlander 2 by Foobar+of+Borg · · Score: 2

    I've seen Highlander 2. I know how this will end.

    Fortunately, I have still not seen Highlander 2. There should have been only one!

  13. Re:Same agencies. by riverat1 · · Score: 2

    Because the climate models we have now do a poor job of predicting weather, we don't know yet how big the carbon problem is.

    It takes a special brand of ignorance to put down climate models for doing a poor job of predicting weather when that is something they were never intended to do in the first place.