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Let's Not Go To Mars

HughPickens.com writes: Ed Regis write in the NYT that today we an witnessing an outburst of enthusiasm over the literally outlandish notion that in the relatively near future, some of us are going to be living, working, thriving and dying on Mars. But unfortunately Mars mania reflects an excessively optimistic view of what it actually takes to travel to and live on Mars, papering over many of the harsh realities and bitter truths that underlie the dream. "First, there is the tedious business of getting there. Using current technology and conventional chemical rockets, a trip to Mars would be a grueling, eight- to nine-month-long nightmare for the crew," writes Regis. "Tears, sweat, urine and perhaps even solid waste will be recycled, your personal space is reduced to the size of an SUV., and you and your crewmates are floating around sideways, upside down and at other nauseating angles." According to Regis every source of interpersonal conflict, and emotional and psychological stress that we experience in ordinary, day-to-day life on Earth will be magnified exponentially by restriction to a tiny, hermetically sealed, pressure-cooker capsule hurtling through deep space and to top it off, despite these constraints, the crew must operate within an exceptionally slim margin of error with continuous threats of equipment failures, computer malfunctions, power interruptions and software glitches.

But getting there is the easy part says Regis. "Mars is a dead, cold, barren planet on which no living thing is known to have evolved, and which harbors no breathable air or oxygen, no liquid water and no sources of food, nor conditions favorable for producing any. For these and other reasons it would be accurate to call Mars a veritable hell for living things, were it not for the fact that the planet's average surface temperature is minus 81 degrees Fahrenheit." These are only a few of the many serious challenges that must be overcome before anyone can put human beings on Mars and expect them to live for more than five minutes says Regis. "The notion that we can start colonizing Mars within the next 10 years or so is an overoptimistic, delusory idea that falls just short of being a joke."

24 of 684 comments (clear)

  1. Re:No one is asking YOU by popo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Something tells me Ed Regis isn't about to climb Everest either.

    --
    ------ The best brain training is now totally free : )
  2. It's not just about going to Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's about going everywhere else. The tech developed going to Mars will undoubtedly be useful when going other places. You crawl before you walk, you walk before you run.

  3. Re:No one is asking YOU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Pointing out the clear reality of a situation isn't leftist. It's realist.

  4. Start with the moon by Crashmarik · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's the logical stepping stone always has been.
    Easier to get to.
    Can actually get aid to in case of emergency.
    Will have a much quicker return on investment.
    Once we have it colonized, it will be much easier to spread into the solar system from there.

    Mars Mania is just rather strange.

  5. Off-Earth habitation by RogueyWon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Genuine question...

    Given the difficulties of getting to Mars, the fact that Mars is barely any more suited to habitation than space and the fact that trips to and from Mars need to deal with the planet's gravity well... why do we assume that the first off-Earth permanent habitation would necessarily need to be on Mars, or indeed on any other planet?

    If we want a permanent off-world habitat, would it not be more worthwhile to devote energy to exploring the possibility of permanently-habitable, (near) self-sustaining space stations? These could be closer to Earth , would presumably have rather better access to solar power and journeys to and from Earth would only need to deal with a single planetary gravity well. They would have their own challenges; dealing with radiation and with the effects of zero-gravity on the human body in the longer term, but those don't instinctively feel as difficult as some of the problems highlighted in TFA. Other challenges, such as those around hydroponics and recycling, might not be that different from those associated with a settlement on Mars.

    Or is there a good reason why this is in fact more difficult than Mars-colonisation which I've just overlooked?

    1. Re:Off-Earth habitation by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      ^All that and learning to mine asteroids seems more productive than a Mars mission.

  6. Re:Hmm by gfxguy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I didn't see where he said we "shouldn't" go, just that it's a fantasy to think it'll be any time soon.

    --
    Stupid sexy Flanders.
  7. indeed, let's not by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Technically, humanity probably could colonize Mars already. It would be expensive and unpleasant, but lots of things that have advanced humanity were expensive and unpleasant at first.

    A bigger reason not to colonize Mars is that there are far better things to do in space. Mars is a deep gravity well, and there's little evidence that there is anything in it we want. The asteroid belt, on the other hand, is full of useful stuff in convenient orbits.

  8. Going to Mars is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Going to Mars is a bad idea for a whole range of reasons.

    First, aside from proving that we can do it, what is the point? Going to the moon is *way* easier, we do have the technology to establish a base there right now, it is immeasurably cheaper to finance - yet no one is suggesting seriously that we open a colony on the moon. And why would we? With Mars - it is the same thing. At first, going to the moon was totally exciting, electrifying the entire world. After the second or third landing, people stopped caring. Been there, done that. If we go to Mars, the first trip would make headlines, so may the second, but then attention will fade. People will care about a colony on Mars as much as they care about the international space station.

    The biggest problem with the long-term prospects of the endeavour is that there are no good economic reasons for it. But without economic reasons, this is not sustainable.

    And about the argument that it will be great for technological breakthroughs. I suggest to think again. The biggest tech breakthrough we will have in the next generation is the development of machines that can act ever more independently. From that perspective, going to Mars could be a great boost - if we decide not to send humans but restrict ourselves to probes. Then we will have the biggest technological benefits.

    In the meantime - if you want to live on Mars, why don't you apply to become a researcher on the south pole. Compared to Mars, life there will be paradise. And there is plenty of interesting research to be done there as well. Of course - no one will give a flying f*** about it - but this is about science and progress for humanity - not personal vanity, right?

  9. Re:Yes, we should give up because it is hard.. by Black+Parrot · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There are other hard things we could consider doing, such as eliminating carbon emissions are establishing peace in the Middle East.

    Arguably both much harder than a mere trip to Mars, but IMO much more valuable to the human race as well.

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  10. Been saying this for years by NotDrWho · · Score: 4, Insightful

    To everyone with the "We HAVE to leave earth or we're doomed!" argument:

    With the exception of a planet-destroying asteroid (similar to the one that formed the moon), there is no conceivable disaster that will leave the earth less inhabitable by humans than any other body within our conceivable reach. The nearest planet or moon where humans could live in an even remotely self-sustainable way is so far away that even if we could travel near the speed of light, it would still be well out of our reach.

    --
    SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
  11. Re:Why stop there? by rmdingler · · Score: 4, Insightful
    This is going to sound harsh.

    We have plenty of humans here on earth... some would say a growing concern of way too focking many.

    We can spare a few heroic lives for the betterment of humankind, and indeed, for that of the overburdened Earth.

    At some point, if we don't leave this planet, we will all die here. What if sorry ass humans are the Universe's best shot at an advanced life from?

    --
    Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

    Ernest Hemingway

  12. Re:A new world? by NotDrWho · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I hate idiots who compare voyaging to the New World with voyaging into space.

    Columbus had water, oxygen, sunlight, fishing, and air pressure on his journey. He reached a New World with soil that crops could be grown on, wild game that could be hunted and eaten, forests with trees that could be used to build shelters. It was hard work, but a self-sustaining (even resource producing) colony *could* be built in the New World. It wasn't a *completely* foreign or hostile land for human survival.

    There is no other body in our solar system that could sustain human life in any self-sustainable way, not even in the short term. And the odds of any such body being in any solar system within even a hundreds-of-light-years radius is miniscule.

    We're stuck on earth. That's not a lack of vision, it's a reality that we need to accept. We need to accept that because it emphasizes how closely humans are tied to this planet and how important it is to maintain it in a way that keeps it habitable. There is no science fiction rescue coming. Earth is our one and only hope in the long-term.

    --
    SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
  13. Going to Mars.... by WhiteWolf666 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Is not complicated. Nor is it difficult bringing several orders magnitude greater "stuff" than the article contemplates.

    But this will not happen without nuclear propulsion. With Project Orion powered space craft, we could send 100,000 ton vessels to Mars, single stage, capable of landing, with a trip time of weeks, not months.

    This is the difference between trying to explore the new world, from Europe, with 5 people, paddles and a canoe; or a fleet of diesel powered amphibious vessels holding thousands of tons of cargo, and hundreds/thousands of expeditionary personnel.

    Exploring Mars (or pretending to settle it) with chemical rockets is really just playing with toys, the science equivalent of masturbation, and we really shouldn't bother with the cost. If mankind wants to expand beyond the earth, it will take nuclear propulsion.

    --
    WhiteWolf666 an exBush supporter. All you new-school,compassionate,save the children Republicans can rot in hell
  14. Re:Worse than the space station? No. by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm sure there is a huge psychological discrepancy between being in orbit around Earth in a space station equipped with an emergency escape capsule, and being out in the middle of space with little to no hope of rescue.

  15. Author has no clue ... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The author obviously has no clue about science.
    o Who cares about the average temperature of the planet when a landing spot will be close to the euator?
    o what is the longest stay in space, people already have done?
    o why do inhabitants of the ISS not care if they hang "wierd in space"?
    o did he once check the size of your personal space in a submarine?
    o while Systems may fail, mankind has build enough complex systems that lasted for decades (hint: pioneer and viking space probes)
    o while he is right that the atmosphere is not breathable, there is enough CO2 to produce all O2 we ever need there, and likely with water we have it even more easy to produce O2

    I for my part would happily join a trip to mars, even one way under a few conditions.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  16. Re:Worse than the space station? No. by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 2, Insightful

    (Gotta love the passive voice. Always a favorite of PR firms and politicians.)

    And people who can't understand past the third grade level.

    With what kind of (heavy) machinery would the water and soil be extracted? And what would power it? Don't say "solar power", because the Sun appears much smaller when viewed from Mars, and thus receives much less energy.

    ahem.... There are solar powered doodads on Mars as we write this, happily motoring about, an doing research.

    At least they could be doing research.

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  17. Re:Worse than the space station? No. by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm sure there is a huge psychological discrepancy between being in orbit around Earth in a space station equipped with an emergency escape capsule, and being out in the middle of space with little to no hope of rescue.

    Kinda like the days of sailing ships. You were out on the ocean in a little wooden ship, and no one to save you. Safety culture has most people people brainwashed into accepting no risk. Which is why we have houses in gated communities that are protected by ADT Security, and with a handy safe room.

    There is another whole world out there, more interesting and more exciting than getting a good return on your investments, and extracting every last possible second out of life. And safety culture is doing it's best to stamp that shit out. WIthout hurting anyone of course.

    And Safety culture really really really hates the idea of going to Mars. It's a scary place. Someone might get hurt.

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  18. Re:No one is asking YOU by GameboyRMH · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Everest has been done to death. It's just a premium selfie location for rich assholes now. Not a technically challenging climb either. You just trudge through the world's longest, most horrible amusement park lineup for your moment at the top.

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  19. "move to" vs "go to" by ardmhacha · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The New York Times article has the title "Let’s Not Move to Mars" and is basically a rant about how we won't be living on Mars anytime soon (if ever). Changing the title for the Slashdot article to "Let's Not Go To Mars" implies that the author is suggesting we don't even try to land a person on Mars which is not really the point of the original article.

    I think we should try to have an unmanned mission return to earth from Mars before we attempt to have a manned mission go to Mars.

  20. Watch this crazy man speak about this very problem by netsavior · · Score: 4, Insightful

    John F Kennedy perfectly told the world WHY we should do hard things.
    We do them not because they are easy, but because they are hard

    We need to dare to dream. We need to do hard things. If not, then what the hell are we fighting for? What are we doing? Every society worth remembering, every great nation in history did things that were impossible. We can't stop doing that. We can't stop dreaming, or we will die. We will deserve to die.

  21. Re:Worse than the space station? No. by TWX · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't think anyone that's serious about going to Mars is assuming that resource extraction and management is a cakewalk. Many science fiction authors that tend toward Campbellian work like Kim Stanley Robinson have contemplated what a permanent Mars mission would look like, and before a human ever climbs into a rocket the nation-state has sent dozens of missions to begin the resource extraction process, mostly in the case of the science fiction authors, atmospheric extraction of vital elements, but the point still stands that a lot of mechanized work will happen autonomously to prepare the way for permanent human habitation.

    Personally I think we should build an outpost on the Moon. It's a lot closer to Earth and it would actually be possible to build both lunar-escape vehicles and even to maintain a standby rocket ready to take a rescue mission to the Moon if an outpost had a horrible accident and still get there while people could be saved. The lack of atmosphere isn't the same as Mars, but the pressure on Mars is so low that it's probably good experience for long-term exposure of gaskets and seals to fine particulates without having significant air to help clean. It also has a practical side of being able to be used for Earth observations and even possibly as a telescope mount for space telescopes where humans could service them more easily than an orbital telescope.

    There are lots of very difficult problems to solve, but we're pretty good at solving problems.

    --
    Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  22. Re:Why stop there? by JWW · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In retrospect the first exporters of the "new world" seemed to die pointless deaths too, but their exploration and their expanding of the known world was not pointless at all.

    The same would be true of explorers to Mars. Trips there might be one way to start, but trips to the new world were essentially one way too in the beginning.

  23. Re:Worse than the space station? No. by Nutria · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What I want to see is a radio telescope

    A telescope of any sort on the far side of the Moon would be a fantastic idea.

    But if enough Astronauts haven't grown up yet then who am I to stop them?

    I'll try and stop them from using my money.

    --
    "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1