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Will You Ever Be Able To Upload Your Brain? (nytimes.com)

An anonymous reader points out this piece in the Times by professor of neuroscience at Columbia and co-director of the Center for Theoretical Neuroscience Kenneth Miller, about what it would take to upload a human brain. "Much of the current hope of reconstructing a functioning brain rests on connectomics: the ambition to construct a complete wiring diagram, or 'connectome,' of all the synaptic connections between neurons in the mammalian brain. Unfortunately connectomics, while an important part of basic research, falls far short of the goal of reconstructing a mind, in two ways. First, we are far from constructing a connectome. The current best achievement was determining the connections in a tiny piece of brain tissue containing 1,700 synapses; the human brain has more than a hundred billion times that number of synapses. While progress is swift, no one has any realistic estimate of how long it will take to arrive at brain-size connectomes. (My wild guess: centuries.)"

269 comments

  1. Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    If an elderly but distinguished scientist says that something is possible, he is almost certainly right; but if he says that it is impossible, he is very probably wrong.

    - Arthur C Clarke

    1. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The estimate that it will take centuries is probably what is the farthest off.

    2. Re:Very Probably Wrong by narcc · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Indeed. It's certain to take much longer.

    3. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Dutchmaan · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Show a person from 1815 the world of today, where we were barely starting to comprehend our own solar system. Show him pictures of other planets including a closeup of a planet he doesn't even know exists in his own solar system. Show him flight, and then spaceflight. show him one of thousands of Hubble's images, explain how far our understanding of the sciences has come and how far we have yet to go. Show him your cell phone with a world's worth of information at your fingertips. Tell him about dna sequencing, genetic therapy. The world of today is practically an alien world compared to 200 years ago... Will we be able to download our brain in such time... the fact that we can imagine it now means that it's probably going to happen.

    4. Re:Very Probably Wrong by ranton · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The estimate that it will take centuries is probably what is the farthest off.

      Indeed. It's certain to take much longer.

      Its almost silly to think any advancement will take centuries based on the exponential nature of scientific discoveries. The only discoveries that are centuries away are ones we cannot even fathom today. Comparing today's technology to 2115 technology is not like comparing today's technology to 1915 tech. It is like comparing today's technology to bronze age tech. In a hundred years our current technology will seem as primitive as the first metalworking tools.

      Honestly, these scientists may be correct that the method they are using to model the human brain will take centuries to develop. In truth their specific method will probably never work at the scale of the entire human brain. Instead the future technique to accomplish this will make the task seem trivial at its inception.

      Another likely possibility is that we advance our knowledge of the brain far enough to improve upon it long before we can recreate it. Similar to how we don't have flying cars yet because there simply isn't a good enough reason to have them, we may never model the human brain digitally because we find such as exercise to be pointless. We may create a far better way to extend consciousness beyond our current physical limitations.

      When you try to predict what will happen in 100 years at our current progress, the only silly opinion to have is that there are any limits at all to what could happen.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    5. Re:Very Probably Wrong by narcc · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The 20th century was an amazing time. What makes you think we'll continue to progress at such an alarming rate? More directly, what makes you think this particular avenue, which has made so little progress, will enjoy the same rapid advancements we've seen in other areas?

      What you're expressing is your deeply held faith in continued technological progress. You believe that progress is accelerating and that there is no upper bound. How would you defend those beliefs?

      the fact that we can imagine it now means that it's probably going to happen.

      I just watched the Back to the Future movies. It was fun to see what someone from 1989 thought our world would look like today. The 80's were filled with the same kind of technological optimism you've expressed here, and I'll bet a lot of people thought it was both an exciting and perfectly plausible vision of the future. The reality, of course, is that we're no closer to flying cars, hover boards, or re-hydrated pizza than we were 26 years ago. A hard-truth is that those things may never happen. If we were to snatch the screen-writers out-of-time, they'd be surprised that the world has changed so little.

      Just because we can imagine it, doesn't mean it's going to happen. It certainly doesn't make something more plausible.

      Will we be able to download our brain in such time...

      The attraction to the belief that brain uploading is just around the corner essentially identical to the attraction to a belief in the afterlife. You're seeking a kind of technological salvation either from the world and/or your own mortality. It's very religious. I'm guessing you're a follower of the holy profit Ray Kurzweil (peace be upon him). He's been promising you a video game after life for a long time now. Are we any closer to the fulfillment of that prophecy now than we were 20 years ago? What makes you think the connectivist approach is correct?

    6. Re:Very Probably Wrong by narcc · · Score: 1

      Its almost silly to think any advancement will take centuries based on the exponential nature of scientific discoveries.

      I'd say progress has slowed significantly. I'm not sure how you'd defend the claim that our rate of progress accelerating, let alone exponentially.

    7. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In real terms we have been in decline for a century or so. Newer discoveries are always smaller and further apart than the last one. The iPhone, for example, is very nifty but doesn't represent much progress over the personal computer, which wasn't much progress from the old timeshare systems - and they weren't exactly a discovery after the various analytical engines. It's all just "computer" with a "miniaturization" process applied. Similarly, landing a man on the Moon was a very impressive achievement, but then rocketry (~1000 y.o.) and orbital physics (~500 y.o.) were old hat.

      And that's before we get to limits. We have lots of limits. There is only so much energy in the world and it's surrounds, and we've spent the last 300 years burning through enough of the first to make sure we can never afford to reach the last (gee, might that have something to do with the "accelerating progress" delusion?). If our grandchildren are going to have any progress at all they are going to have to do it with a lot less resources than we have. Every year a greater and greater amount of energy is going to be expended just trying to stay afloat. Eventually population decline and de-industrialisation will free up enough energy for productive uses and maybe even some progress but by then then nobody will be uploading an email let alone their brain.

      Sufficiently advanced technology might very well be indistinguishable from magic; but that doesn't mean a technology of sufficient advancement will ever actually be possible. Odds on it's just magic.

    8. Re:Very Probably Wrong by ranton · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Its almost silly to think any advancement will take centuries based on the exponential nature of scientific discoveries.

      I'd say progress has slowed significantly. I'm not sure how you'd defend the claim that our rate of progress accelerating, let alone exponentially.

      We do have diminishing returns as far as applications go, but the rate of discovery is still increasing rapidly.

      Lets say one area of discovery is doubling in sophistication every year. And lets say the next application of this technology requires one million times greater sophistication. This would take 20 years (2^20=1048576). So in this scenario, scientific discovery is still increasing exponentially even though the pace of application is only once in 20 years.

      We are running out of low hanging fruit when it comes to engineering applications of scientific research. It now takes great leaps in discovery to give incremental improvements in technology. But sometimes these incremental improvements can still significantly impact how we live.

      For instance, one incremental improvement we will soon see is speech recognition that is better than a human listener. This will take significant increases in computing power, natural language processing algorithms, and other advances. The difference between today's Siri / Cortana and this new speech recognition technology will be relatively minor compared to where the technology was 30 years ago, but the science behind the advancement will be light-years ahead.

      This is how technological advancement will work from now on. Anything we guess will take 5 years will take 20, but anything we guess will take 100 years will take 30. IMHO that is.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    9. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the fact that people of 1800 could imagine "bird people" certainly means that by 2000 everybody should have bird wings, right? RIGHT? Just because "it can be thought" does NOT mean its possible.

    10. Re:Very Probably Wrong by ranton · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The iPhone, for example, is very nifty but doesn't represent much progress over the personal computer

      I think this statement doesn't give mobile technology enough credit. My father never had a use for computers at all until his mobile phone. Sure he owned a personal computer, and tried to find reasons to use it for two decades, but he never really did. Now he finds uses for it every day, and that doesn't count social media. My dad is not alone.

      Personal assistants on our mobile devices will make computers far more useful to regular people than computers have been for the past 30 years (other than work-related uses). Speech recognition will give way to direct communication with our brains. Computers themselves will not be much different than those developed in the last century, but in practice it will open up a whole new world of applications.

      Physical limitations usually give way to entire new ways of thinking about problems. Limits of vacuum tubes did not impede development of computers. Limitations of silicon will be solved by the next discovery just like transistors solved the limitations of vacuum tubes. While its true sometimes we will not solve these problems, it is not very likely any time people can make money from solving the problem.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    11. Re:Very Probably Wrong by AK+Marc · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Show a person from 715 the world of 1215, and your 500 years will not have covered much. As long as you don't span the Renaissance, and the last 100 or so years, you won't have as much amazement in 200 years as you think. It's just that a few groups of times have spurts of technology allowing the ideas of the past to come out all at once.

    12. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      And you mostly can thank religion for the stagnant intervals.

    13. Re:Very Probably Wrong by GauteL · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "If we were to snatch the screen-writers out-of-time, they'd be surprised that the world has changed so little."

      I'm not sure about that. It's just that the things they imagined are not the same things that have changed. They thought we'd still use Fax-machines and their idea of our video communication and display technology was ludicrously pessimistic. The reality is that they picked funny and visually entertaining ideas of progress. I doubt any of them thought we'd actually have re-hydrated pizza the way it appears in the film, it was just a funny idea that would give the viewers a laugh.

      Instead of these ideas we have the WWW, Smartphones, insanely pixel-dense displays, wifi, Viagra, etc. The Internet, while it existed in some form as "Arpanet", was nothing like what it is today and the script writers, if they had even heard about it, surely would not have thought about it much more than as a research tool, as evident by their use of fax machines.

    14. Re:Very Probably Wrong by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Only in so far as the Gutenberg Bible is involved. The burst of industrial revolution was caused by human rights. As slavery was ended, across most of the world from 1850 to 1900, machines were needed to replace the "free" labor that was lost. And the changes in IP with multiple countries and a more connected global economy lead to a flood of machines "based" on the mechanical press (based on meaning mechanical labor reducers, not copies of it, or anything like that).

    15. Re:Very Probably Wrong by cfalcon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      > Show a person from 715 the world of 1215, and your 500 years will not have covered much.

      We say that, but is it *really* true? I mean, it's not medieval historians saying this normally, is my point, it's technological futurists. How many monarchs worldwide can you name between 715 AD and 1215 AD? Is your conclusion that they probably had about the same kings over that time period, because you aren't an expert on them?

      Plenty of places in the world went from the bronze age to the iron age in that time. If you had a sword from 715 AD, it would have changed dramatically by 1215 AD. The 1215 AD sword would, in Europe have gained the cruciform pommel and benefited from much better metallurgy. Gunpowder would have gone from being invented in China with not many uses, to have changed the face of warfare and would have just been around the time the Mongols were using it as a seige weapon. Windmills would have gone from being an absolute rarity, and horizontal in nature, to a modern vertical form and much more common. The population would have doubled.

      The other piece of the analysis is that you are sort of only counting the top of technology. So if a huge tech growth happens in South America, but doesn't top what China did a hundred years prior, that doesn't get counted right.

      Anyway, I don't dispute that a lot of change, usually including technology, has happened in small periods throughout history. But I would dispute that the past was as unchanging as it appears from our vantage points.

    16. Re:Very Probably Wrong by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      The 80's were filled with the same kind of technological optimism you've expressed here, and I'll bet a lot of people thought it was both an exciting and perfectly plausible vision of the future. The reality, of course, is that we're no closer to flying cars, hover boards, or re-hydrated pizza than we were 26 years ago.

      All that demonstrates is that people tend to suck at predicting the future. And it isn't true that we are no closer to those things. Levitation via superconduction has improved massive since the 1980s. As well as working hoverboards we have magnetically levitated high speed rail entering operation. We have Soylent concentrated foods. We have Star Trek style computers that respond to natural language questions, hundreds of years before TNG said we would. Terminator predicted drones and eventually killer robots, that are now becoming a thing.

      Technology is still improving rapidly, it's just really hard to know which direction it is going in.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    17. Re:Very Probably Wrong by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      In real terms we have been in decline for a century or so. Newer discoveries are always smaller and further apart than the last one. The iPhone, for example, is very nifty but doesn't represent much progress over the personal computer, which wasn't much progress from the old timeshare systems - and they weren't exactly a discovery after the various analytical engines. It's all just "computer" with a "miniaturization" process applied. Similarly, landing a man on the Moon was a very impressive achievement, but then rocketry (~1000 y.o.) and orbital physics (~500 y.o.) were old hat.

      We can already do brain scans, and map all the synapses in a small part of brain tissue, so mapping an entire brain is just the same thing with some performance enhancements. And since we can already simulate small neural networks, simulating an entire brain is just the same thing with some scale improvements.

      What was your point again, exactly?

    18. Re:Very Probably Wrong by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 1

      The reality, of course, is that we're no closer to flying cars, hover boards, or re-hydrated pizza than we were 26 years ago.

      I disagree. All of those things were perfectly feasible 26 years ago as they are now. But not everything that's technically possible is also economically successful or needed. Flying cars are the perfect example, they have been technically possible for a long time but are expensive, not practical, not safe enough and require an expensive pilot license that not many people have. Similar things can be said about swimming cars, hover boards and re-hydrated pizzas.

      As for the screen writers, I'm pretty sure they'd be totally amazed at the advances that have been made. In the past, screen writers had to care a lot about what was technically feasible and had to adopt their scripts to the limitations of the special effects of their time. With modern CGI you can put anything on screen and make it look credible. (A similar breakthrough was made in audio processing for modern digital music production in the past 15 years or so.) Also, many modern movies are cut extremely fast in comparison to old ones and that has changed the scripts a lot -- whether to the god or the bad I want to leave open...

      What makes you think the connectivist approach is correct?

      Uhm, the tremendous advances in neuroscience of the past 40 years? We now can even identify simple words and shapes that people imagine, something that was way beyond our reach not so long ago.

    19. Re:Very Probably Wrong by dbIII · · Score: 1

      We have Star Trek style computers that respond to natural language questions, hundreds of years before TNG said we would.

      We had text based computer games that responded to a reasonable subset of natural language questions a few years before TNG was ever written, let alone serious academic work along those lines.

    20. Re:Very Probably Wrong by dbIII · · Score: 2

      is not like comparing today's technology to 1915 tech

      My bike is made of the same metal as the airships back then - same alloy, same heat treatment to produce age hardening. Other stuff has changed a great deal but I think things like mobile phones would be recognised as the complex collections of radio transmitters and receivers that they are - an astonishingly good mutlipurpose radio and not some strange unfathonable thing.

    21. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Japanese business still use fax machines in 2015, and Marty McFly's boss is japanese, so that part of the movie is spot on.

    22. Re:Very Probably Wrong by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

      The 20th century was an amazing time. What makes you think we'll continue to progress at such an alarming rate? More directly, what makes you think this particular avenue, which has made so little progress, will enjoy the same rapid advancements we've seen in other areas?

      What you're expressing is your deeply held faith in continued technological progress. You believe that progress is accelerating and that there is no upper bound. How would you defend those beliefs?

      The rate that technology advances has been on an ever increasing curve for far longer than what went on in the 20th Century. The more we learn the faster we develop new technologies. There is no indication that said curve will flatten out.

    23. Re:Very Probably Wrong by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

      I fucked up the quote. The last bit, starting with 'The rate...' is a response to the rest.

    24. Re:Very Probably Wrong by paiute · · Score: 1

      If we were to snatch the screen-writers out-of-time, they'd be surprised that the world has changed so little

      http://www.scribd.com/doc/1356...

      --
      If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    25. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Megol · · Score: 1

      While that may be your religion it isn't based on reality. Progress isn't exponential in the real world. Progress will not be exponential in the future.

      To take two examples of high-tech with a high rate of progress: metallurgy and semiconductor techniques.

      Both of those aren't stalled, progress is still being made however both are near some fundamental limitations. The semiconductor industry have succeeded in incredibly level of purification of silicon and other process materials, they have succeeded in implementing optical lithography with precision that was thought impossible not so long ago and they have succeeded in doing manufacturing on an atom level scale. But transistors doesn't work below a certain size due to quantum effects, some process steps get impossible below a certain size and voltage scaling is dead (a.k.a. Dennard scaling). That doesn't mean we will not get improved processes nor that there will not be techniques to make computation other ways. But there are fundamental limitations we already pushing - while sub-atomic circuits are a theoretical possibility there are limitations of how one can make such designs.

      Metallurgy have also succeeded in improving source material purity and modelling enabling computational simulation of alloys, it have improved heat treating, doping of materials etc. But when we can make monocrystalline metal alloys with excellent doping throughout the material where can we go from there? Amorphous alloys? Sure. We can still improve materials and composition _but_ there are fundamental limitations we are near. Progress can't be exponential.

    26. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      What makes you think we'll continue to progress at such an alarming rate?

      The rate of technological progression has been and still is increasing exponentially. If you thought the last century or two was "an alarming rate", then your mind will be blown about the past few years.

    27. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Bengie · · Score: 1

      The only discoveries that are centuries away are ones we cannot even fathom today

      Fusion

    28. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Show him pictures of other planets including a closeup of a planet he doesn't even know exists in his own solar system

      Which one would that be? As far as I am aware all the planets where found long before 1815. Going by Wikipedia: Mercury ( ~1400 BCE ), Venus ( 1581 BCE ), Mars (1045 BCE ), Jupiter ( ~700 BCE ), Saturn ( prehistoric, no date given ), Uranus ( 1690 not BCE ) and Neptune ( 1612 also not BCE ). These are the dates of the first known observations, the understanding that they were planets may have come later, however it was certainly before 1815.

      You may have a point if we considered "dwarf planets" which would include Pluto. However that would be scientifically wrong since dwarf planets are not planets.

      Show him flight, and then spaceflight.

      Balloon flight got you for the first one, by around 30 years for manned flight and several centuries for unmanned flight.

      the fact that we can imagine it now means that it's probably going to happen.

      Ancient Hindu texts spoke of space flight, planes, sub marines, etc. . So yes it might come true one day, the when is however still far of.

      I will cut off here. None of the changes you mention where sudden, they themselves where small steps on a path started very long ago. We are still far away from uploading a brain, even farther when you consider that the current hardware has been hitting hard physical limits the last few years, being limited by on die distances, light speed and the size of atoms.

    29. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Kjella · · Score: 1

      There is an exponential amount of scientific research, but there's a diminishing gain. Over the last 40 years we've expanded average life span here in Norway with less than a decade and the trend is slowing. Healthcare is exploding with new and advanced treatments that is extracting the last bits of life at an exponential complexity and cost. The Concorde is still the world's fastest passenger jet and it's not because people don't value time anymore. Every 10 mph you want to increase road speeds with puts increasing demands on roads, cars, drivers and resource efficiency. Building a ten story building is not twice as hard as a five story building, it's harder.

      Computers have so far dodged most of the physical limitations, but we know the sky is not the limit. Process technology can't get arbitrarily small, it can't run arbitrarily fast, batteries can't get arbitrarily powerful and the faster you want to go the more power, frequency spectrum and other resources you'll need. In 30 years I've seen a ~6 order of magnitude improvement in RAM, from 64 kB to 64 GB. I really doubt that in 30 years we'll have 64 PB and even if we did, the number of things you can't do in 64 kB is much larger than the things you can't do in 64 GB. Most of the electronic revolution is behind us, not ahead of us. But of course, we can always come up with more new things. That we'll always find major advances and not just hit a wall of marginal improvements is optimistic though.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    30. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Will we be able to download our brain in such time... the fact that we can imagine it now means that it's probably going to happen.

      *IAA :"Would you download a brain?"

    31. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    32. Re:Very Probably Wrong by mjm1231 · · Score: 1

      For instance, one incremental improvement we will soon see is speech recognition that is better than a human listener.

      What does this even mean? The purpose of speech is to convey information. Will new speech recognition software be able to extract more information than a human listener can? Will it extract more information than the speaker intended? If so, how do you decide whether that information is true and accurate?

      This will take significant increases in computing power, natural language processing algorithms, and other advances. The difference between today's Siri / Cortana and this new speech recognition technology will be relatively minor compared to where the technology was 30 years ago, but the science behind the advancement will be light-years ahead.

      This is a distinction without a difference.

      --
      Ideology: A tool used primarily to avoid the bother of thinking.
    33. Re:Very Probably Wrong by mjm1231 · · Score: 1

      We can already do brain scans, and map all the synapses in a small part of brain tissue, so mapping an entire brain is just the same thing with some performance enhancements. And since we can already simulate small neural networks, simulating an entire brain is just the same thing with some scale improvements.

      What was your point again, exactly?

      Brain scans and neural networks have so far achieved zero when it comes to figuring out what causes consciousness. If you scale that up, it's still zero.

      --
      Ideology: A tool used primarily to avoid the bother of thinking.
    34. Re:Very Probably Wrong by ranton · · Score: 1

      This is a distinction without a difference.

      Here is another way of putting it. There was a moment when computers could beat the best humans at checkers, and a moment when computers could beat the best humans at chess. The difference from a practical sense is small; computers can beat humans at one more game. But from a scientific standpoint, it took exponentially more computing power and algorithmic advances.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    35. Re:Very Probably Wrong by cstacy · · Score: 1

      Show a person from 1815 ...Show him your cell phone with a world's worth of information at your fingertips...

      I use it to look at pictures of cats and start fights with strangers on Slashdot...

    36. Re:Very Probably Wrong by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      As slavery was ended, across most of the world from 1850 to 1900, machines were needed to replace the "free" labor that was lost.

      You have that backwards, the machines caused the end of slavery not the other way around.

    37. Re:Very Probably Wrong by occasional_dabbler · · Score: 1

      "If we were to snatch the screen-writers out-of-time, they'd be surprised that the world has changed so little."

      What world does this guy live in? You don't need to go beyond the technology of bicycles to be amazed by the progress we've made in what was certainly considered a fully mature product back in the Back to the Future past...

      --
      "Our opponent is an alien starship packed with atomic bombs," I said. "we have a protractor"
    38. Re:Very Probably Wrong by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      They happened concurrently, and the answer is probably different for different places. Many of the places had abolition before mechanization.

      Or are you saying that the theory of mechanization was enough to free the slaves?

      In either case, it was the freedom of the slaves that drove the building and purchase of the machines, and that's what drove the industrial revolution. Slave owners didn't buy machines and free slaves 5 at a time as the new machine replaced them. The slaves were freed en masse before machines were in place to replace them. So, from a micro standpoint, the slaves were freed first, and the machines came later. Though one could say that the invention of the cotton gin allowed the altruistic North think they could force the South to end slavery without collapsing the world economy.

      No, I think I'll continue to disagree. The freedom of the slaves preceded the widespread use of machines in agriculture in most places.

    39. Re:Very Probably Wrong by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      Owning slaves was an economic issue in the majority of cases. Once the economics changed then it no longer made sense to keep them. Since the economics was different for different industries there were differences in the order in which political entities abandoned slavery. Social change tends to lag technology and economics so in some cases there was conflict about the issue, like in the civil war, between areas that had different rates of change.

    40. Re:Very Probably Wrong by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Yes. The armor changed in style and look in that time, but it wasn't until about 1500 until muskets were anywhere close to "common" in Europe. Bows were the main long range weapon in both years, though in later years, the crossbow and longbow were introduced. Horses were used as labor, transport, and in battle in both years. Swords got better, so the proportion of clubs to swords would have changed from 715 to 1215, but not enough to shock anyone.

      I can't find anything amazing in daily life that would have changed.

      Yes, the shape and type of plow pulled in the fields changed, but the basic idea behind it was the same.

      Now, compare a plow today with one 100 or 200 years ago. Someone from 715 could probably, with 5 minutes observation, manipulate a 1215 plow. A 1915 person might be able to operate a 2015 plow, maybe not. But a 1815 person would have no chance of using a 2015 plow.

    41. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Pseudonymous+Powers · · Score: 1

      Its almost silly to think any advancement will take centuries based on the exponential nature of scientific discoveries.

      I'd say progress has slowed significantly. I'm not sure how you'd defend the claim that our rate of progress accelerating, let alone exponentially.

      We do have diminishing returns as far as applications go, but the rate of discovery is still increasing rapidly.

      Lets say one area of discovery is doubling in sophistication every year.

      Er, what does "doubling in sophistication" mean? What's an "area of discovery"? How many Bronze Ages in an Iron Age? How many jet engines per memristor?

      What I'm getting at is, it's difficult to talk mathematically about these things because they're very difficult to define and to measure.

      I do agree that technology is changing faster and faster; I just never find the results very satisfying when people start trying to apply numbers to the phenomenon.

    42. Re:Very Probably Wrong by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Once the economics changed then it no longer made sense to keep them.

      If that were true, then the most logical result would have been for the first adopters of machinery to push for abolition. Instead, reality held that the slave owners tried to hold on to slavery at all times and for all reasons.

      Since the economics was different for different industries there were differences in the order in which political entities abandoned slavery.

      So the spark for the US Civil war wasn't that the Missouri Compromise favored the North, with the Louisiana Purchase having more land (thus more possible slave-free states) above the 3630? So the South invaded before the new states were added. Instead, in your theory, the Southern slave owners were ready to let them go because the machinery made more sense to use, for economic reasons. Nope, I've never seen that theory pushed for US abolition, nor anywhere else, and I've studied history.

    43. Re:Very Probably Wrong by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      If that were true, then the most logical result would have been for the first adopters of machinery to push for abolition.

      Why would they do that? Instead they'd just sell their slaves and move on, the rest is someone else's problem.

      So the spark for the US Civil war wasn't that the Missouri Compromise favored the North,

      The causes of the civil war are many and varied and likely would take more room than we have here to discuss properly. Slavery was one, Arguments over Federalism was a big one, The North blocking industrialization of the South was one, contention over various political issues like the Louisiana Purchase, etc. etc. etc. Civil wars on that scale don't happen for one reason but a confluence of factors.

    44. Re:Very Probably Wrong by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      The difference between then and now, that many authors have pointed out, is that our current rates of tech advances are entering a steeper part of an exponential.

      50,00-25,000 - not much. Some better stone tools.
      25,000-15,000 - Early beginnings of Agriculture. Early beginnings of large'ish cities.
      15,000-0AD - Formation of city states, agriculture with complex irrigation. State warfare. Development of writing. Animal Husbandry. Trade routes, currency.

      Just play the game civilization:) Starts off slow.... speeds up towards the end hehe.

    45. Re:Very Probably Wrong by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Arguments over Federalism was a big one

      Yes, the south was for federalism, and the north against it. But, for some reason, despite the pro-federalism words, forever recorded in the secession documents, people still reverse the two.

      Why would they do that? Instead they'd just sell their slaves and move on, the rest is someone else's problem.

      Yes, I understand how you refuse to think, when the thought could end up not supporting your obviously false opinion. Two people, one buys a $1,000,000 widget that replaces $10,000,000 of slaves (but is cheaper because of ongoing costs). His "competitors" have lots of slaves, and no widgets. If he were rational (And the good kind of sociopath we look for in modern CEOs), he'd buy the widget (or 10), sell his slaves, and work for emancipation. Because if his neighbor has no widgets, and lots of slaves that go from a asset to a liability, he'd buy up the state and use his new widgets on all his former competitor's lands.

      But no, the slave owners in the south weren't buying the widgets and selling slaves, as you assert. Nor were they using the widgets to put their competitors out of business, as would be done today. By every measure, the presence or absence of widgets was irrelevant to the issue of slavery in the US.

    46. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As someone finishing up a PhD in a cutting-edge multimodal neuroimaging lab, I can tell you that mapping the entire brain is definitely not a trivial task. We're making some impressive progress, but mapping all ~100 trillion synapses of the brain is going to take us quite a while, and we'll probably need to invent some new imaging technology before we're even close. We don't really have the spatial resolution to follow individual axons, and we certainly don't have the functional resolution to identify synapses within a population of neurons. fMRI resolution is on the order of 6 cubic millimeters. ECoG and implanted electrodes can record from single neurons to an extent, but we certainly can't target specific neurons, and you certainly can't get an electrode next to each neuron without turning the brain into mush. Posting AC since I've modderated here.

    47. Re:Very Probably Wrong by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      You keep putting words in my mouth, no point in continuing.

    48. Re:Very Probably Wrong by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 1

      I can't find anything amazing in daily life that would have changed.

      I think you missed GP's point about various other regions around the world. Sure, if we skim off what we consider to be the "best" or "most developed" technology from various regions of Europe, there may not have been a lot of advances.

      Regardless, social advances are important too. So are political ones. In your chosen time frame, you had Charlemagne making the first pass at consolidating political power in Europe for centuries. He (and his heirs) enacted reforms that greatly changed life. You had the spread of Christianity more widely in many parts of Europe. You had the rise of the papal structure.

      Or if you don't like politics or religion -- how about education? The first universities came into being during the period you reference. And with them, new debates, new ideas -- things really got going in the late 1100s and 1200s on the intellectual scale, of course. (Long before most people start talking about the "Renaissance.")

      I'll grant you that in many aspects of everyday life, this was not a particularly great period of technological development overall for Europe. But sometimes the mechanisms for technological development need social, political, and educational development before they can start happening. And those changes definitely were occurring during this period -- that should not be overlooked. Technology is only one manifestation of societal development.

    49. Re:Very Probably Wrong by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      I put words in your mouth by accurately quoting you. You dodge the question and dance. That implies an answer. I accept your implied answer. If you don't like others inferring from your obvious implications, then stop implying and plainly state something.

      The south was pro-federalist, and the north was anti-federalist.

      The proof was the laws passed in the north that freed slaves in that state. The south was against those states rights, and wanted the federal government to declare the laws invalid, and push oppressive federalism on the north. The federal government refused, so the south invaded.

      So, tell us, were you stating "Arguments over Federalism was a big one," implying that the south was pro or anti federalism? I think I know which, and rather than say it, you get all upset someone corrected your inaccurate opinion, but rather than think you are taking your ball and going home. Maybe things will go better for you in the 3rd grade.

    50. Re:Very Probably Wrong by careysub · · Score: 1

      As slavery was ended, across most of the world from 1850 to 1900, machines were needed to replace the "free" labor that was lost.

      You have that backwards, the machines caused the end of slavery not the other way around.

      You are both wrong. The initial effect of industrialization was to cause an enormous surge in the us of slavery in the United States, which quickly became the world's major slave economy. That machine called the 'cotton gin' greatly increased the ability to produce cotton fiber, and the demand for cotton fiber for those super fast textile machines (mostly in Britain), created the market. Together they made production of the raw material using slave labor extremely profitable. The "Cotton Kingdom" came in existence and grew in a mere 50 year period, from 1810 to 1860, increasing 50% in its last decade, with no sign of slowing down.

      After the end of slavery in the U.S. machines were still not harvesting cotton, not until about 1950 did they significantly replace manual stoop labor.

      The abolition of slavery elsewhere also had nothing to do with industrialization. Britain freed its slaves in the West Indies in 1838, thinking that free blacks would still work those plantations just as hard, but then imported hundreds of thousands of indentured servants from India to replace them when this proved untrue. Slaves were replaced with another variety of cheap unfree laborer, not machines.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    51. Re:Very Probably Wrong by careysub · · Score: 1

      No, I think I'll continue to disagree. The freedom of the slaves preceded the widespread use of machines in agriculture in most places.

      In this you are completely correct.

      But machines did not replace slaves anywhere for the better part of a century.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    52. Re:Very Probably Wrong by careysub · · Score: 1

      The causes of the civil war are many and varied and likely would take more room than we have here to discuss properly.

      Doesn't take as much room as you might think.

      Slavery was one.

      Indeed it was. In fact it was virtually the only issue that the Secession Commissioners that organized the secession of the South thought to mention, likewise the secession legislative debates, and declarations of the secession by the states (see Charles Dew's "Apostles of Disunion").

      Arguments over Federalism was a big one,

      You are referring to the Nullification Controversy, in which the South objected to tariffs that impeded the profits of slavery (as John C. Calhoun so stringently argued)? That was largely decided in the South's favor when the tariffs were dropped to low levels. Or are you referring to the Fugitive Slave Act in which Federalism required that slaves be returned to their owners from free states? Again Federalism was decided in the South's favor. Odd to secede when you are winning all of the Federalism arguments.

      The North blocking industrialization of the South was one,

      This one is a fantasy. In no way was the North "blocking industrialization" (how?). The South had for example as much railroad mileage per capita as did the North, and better water transport, and the relative lack of capital being put into factories was due to the much higher profits (up to 10% annually) from investing in slaves and slave plantations. It was a deliberate, and economically very savvy, choice by the South.

      contention over various political issues like the Louisiana Purchase, etc. etc. etc. Civil wars on that scale don't happen for one reason but a confluence of factors.

      Is "the economic prosperity of the Deep South" one reason or many? This prosperity rested on the enormous Cotton Kingdom of plantation slavery. All the other issues derive directly from that.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    53. Re:Very Probably Wrong by careysub · · Score: 1

      Arguments over Federalism was a big one

      Yes, the south was for federalism, and the north against it. But, for some reason, despite the pro-federalism words, forever recorded in the secession documents, people still reverse the two.

      ..

      By every measure, the presence or absence of widgets was irrelevant to the issue of slavery in the US.

      Bingo! You are absolutely right on both these key points.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    54. Re:Very Probably Wrong by careysub · · Score: 1

      Uranus ( 1690 not BCE ) and Neptune ( 1612 also not BCE ).

      Uranus first observed by William Herschel on March 13, 1781. Neptune was first observed 23 September, 1846.

      To "find" a planet you must realize that it is a planet and not a star.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    55. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Dutchmaan · · Score: 1

      Dude, I'll bet you are a BLAST to be around! You're the personification of a wet blanket!

    56. Re:Very Probably Wrong by narcc · · Score: 1

      I doubt it. Progress has undoubtedly slowed. What happened in the last few years that should "blow" my mind?

    57. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Dutchmaan · · Score: 1

      The Wright brothers brought you "bird people" just a little differently than the forecast of 100 years prevous, and yes, just because we can imagine it does increase it's likelihood of being pulled into reality. Oh by the way... ever hear of wing suits? BIRD PEOPLE!

    58. Re:Very Probably Wrong by narcc · · Score: 1

      The point was to show that it was foolish to say "the fact that we can imagine it now means that it's probably going to happen."

      As for superconductors and NLP, things haven't exactly improved. You've been able to buy superconductor levitation kits for ages -- they're obviously not related to the technology you'd need for flying cars and hoverboards. The Lexus hoverboard used the same tech you've seen in countless kits for years, requiring a specially designed floor just to make the illusion convincing. On superconductivity, what do you think has been a major change? How has that impacted our lives? Does it bring us any closer to our imagined technologies?

      As for NLP, parsers aren't any more sophisticated now than they were in the 80's. Accuracy seems to have stayed steady. The only noticeable change was the elimination of a training step -- though at a pretty high cost, moving that step from the local device on to some remote system with more data and computing resources. Still, accuracy hasn't improved. To compare it to a "Star Trek" style computer is a bit silly. We're nowhere close to that -- and that's with a technology we understand! Given the astonishing lack of progress over the past 20 years, I'd say it supports my earlier assertion that progress has slowed.

      Technology is still improving rapidly, it's just really hard to know which direction it is going in.

      What makes you think that? You mentioned maglev trains earlier. This is a technology that hasn't changed in any significant way since the early 20th century. We've been building practical systems since the 1960's -- and demonstrating them far earlier.

      When we look at the first half of 20th century, we saw amazing technological developments, motorcars, airplanes, ubiquitous electrical service, telephones, television, transistors, and physics completely turned on its head. Can we really say we've made as much progress in the second half? Most of the big changes happened before 1980, and those were just further refinement of earlier technology. The most radical shift in the last 20 years was the increasing importance of the internet.

      This belief in unstoppable technological progress hasn't come without it's failures. One of the most dramatic was biotech, the human genome project promised us everything from the elimination of disease to designer babies. Despite billions in public and private investment, none of the benefits materialized. You could blame faulty assumptions, but the fact of the matter is that life hasn't changed as a result of this massive investment.

      We believed that the human genome project would produce remarkable results. We've seen such dramatic change in the last century, how could we be anything but optimistic? The reality, unfortunately, is different. You'd have called me a fool if I'd suggested, back in the mid-90's, that the HGP wasn't going to lead us to a grand utopia. Your reasoning, of course, would have been the same. "Look at all the progress we've made! Surely, it hasn't slowed, but continues to accelerate. If we can imagine it now, it will happen."

      It's a fantasy. It's fun, like sci-fi is fun. The danger comes when we mistake it for reality.

    59. Re:Very Probably Wrong by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Can you give an example of NLP working as well as Google or Siri in the 1980s? I'd be especially interesting if you could show me a 1980s computer doing something like this demo:

      https://youtu.be/M1ONXea0mXg

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    60. Re:Very Probably Wrong by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      The various analytical engines scored zero when it comes to understanding human speech. 1000 year old rockets scored zero when it comes to escaping the eath's gravitational field. Yet, when scaled up, they got us pretty far.

      A bacterium's consciousness scores zero too. Yet after millions of years of evolution, here we are.

      I think that, once we can simulate neural networks with a similar number of connections as a human brain, we'll start seeing behaviour that looks a lot like consciousness. The question will forever remain whether or not that consciousness is "real", whether or not it has a "soul", but once they'll behave the same, I predict we'll come to accept them as real. Just like we gave certain rights to animals even though some people still claim they don't have souls.

      As to actually understanding consciousness, that's a different story. Simulated brains will certainly give us a lot of material to study. But we may never really understand what it means for a consciousness to be "real".

    61. Re:Very Probably Wrong by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      I'm not saying it's around the corner, but give technology a couple of hundred more years of evolution (maybe even less) at the same pace as the last hundred years, and I'd say it's pretty likely to happen. People are already imaging individual atoms, where you can see the actual electrons orbiting the nucleus, while something like that would have been deemed totally impossible a hundred years ago (since you can only "see" using elementary particles, making it impossible to see something that small). We've even created anti-hydrogen atoms. We've mapped entire genomes. Some kind of new scanning technology capable of mapping a brain will arrive eventually.

    62. Re:Very Probably Wrong by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      the fact that we can imagine it now means that it's probably going to happen

      That is a pretty flimsy argument. I can imagine time travel, that doesn't mean it's ever going to happen.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    63. Re:Very Probably Wrong by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      The rate that technology advances has been on an ever increasing curve for far longer than what went on in the 20th Century. The more we learn the faster we develop new technologies. There is no indication that said curve will flatten out.

      Alternatively, you can look at (say) Roman civilisation and see that there was a downward slope during the Dark Ages following the fall of the Roamn Empire (in simplistic terms). The point is that human technological progress has certainly not been on a steady upward curve since the Ancient Egyptians.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    64. Re:Very Probably Wrong by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      I doubt it. Progress has undoubtedly slowed. What happened in the last few years that should "blow" my mind?

      Uber, at least according to the slashdot "editors".

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    65. Re:Very Probably Wrong by alexgieg · · Score: 1

      What you're expressing is your deeply held faith in continued technological progress. You believe that progress is accelerating and that there is no upper bound. How would you defend those beliefs?

      The main reason is that these are all multi-layered recursive processes (irrespective of you agreeing or not, check the small sequence of blog posts linked below to understand what this refers to -- detail: the author thinks Kurzweil a pessimist...). Therefore, an upper bound certainly exists, but barred resource limits, until we get there the growth will continue being exponential, not linear.

      That prediction about it taking centuries then? Make it "n * log( guess in years )" years and, all things remaining the same, you'll probably be closer to the actual time it'll take, if it'll happen at all. If no "because bounds", then no, but that's another matter entirely.

      Part 1: The First World Takeover
      Part 2: Life's Story Continues
      Part 3: Surprised by Brains
      Part 4: Cascades, Cycles, Insight...
      Part 5: ...Recursion, Magic

      PS.: If the above feels like TL;DR, the important ones are parts 4 and 5. Parts 1 to 3 help 4 and 5 feel more intuitive, but they can be easily skipped.

      --
      Conservatism: (n.) love of the existing evils. Liberalism: (n.) desire to substitute new evils for the existing ones.
    66. Re:Very Probably Wrong by werepants · · Score: 1

      Assuming that the fundamental premise is correct (the complete personality is represented in the connections among the brain's synapses) I don't see any reason that scaling this process should be that difficult. 1700 is a good start, and we've gotten pretty good at scaling, especially on the small end of things.

      The big question is whether the premise is correct. I think not, but I could be mistaken. One thing we can be sure of is that things that seem impossible will be routine 50 years from now, and some things that seem like little more than a short extension of modern technology will still be out of reach. Predicting the future is hard.

    67. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. Hover boards already exist, they are just cumbersome and need special track (nothing that cannot be refined in the coming years).

      2. Check the progress through our history, in fact we always underestimated it. It is not linear, but exponential.
      In the years since 1900 to 2000 we learned more than we learned in all 100,000 years prior human history.
      In the years since 2000 to 2014 we learned more than we learned in 1900 to 2000.
      Estimations are that from 2014 to 2021 we will learn more than we learned from 2000 to 2014 (not my data and too lazy to look for source, sure you can find it easily).

      And so on. So far the more we learn the more questions we have, and until this start to change the progress curve will continue to accelerate.

      3. There are many different ways to achieve biological immortality (not dying from old age). Nearly all of them had made significant progress in recent years from head transplantations, deep freeze, understanding of the brain, significant prolonging of life of multiple different creatures, successes in threating terminal illnesses, etc.

      There are no doubts this will be achieved in coming 10-20 years, whatever it will be an effective immortality right away or incremental prolonging lifespan faster than years pass, whatever it will be available to everyone or select few, whatever it will be legal or not is still to be seen.

      Note: for that last 120 years lifespan increased approximately by 3 month for every year that past (mostly through reduction of child mortality and access to clean water, it used to be pretty common for average family to have 6 kids 4 of which die before reaching maturity).

      4. Nearly all things we imagined in the past become possible in the future, just not on predicted timescale.
      It fact even most things you see in non Sci-Fi books like Harry Potter are technologically possible to achieve in the future. For example there are significant progress to invisibility cloaks development in many different labs.

    68. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your arguments are wrong on the base level. You cannot judge that the progress slowed because some technologies didn't have any breakthroughs recently.

      There are many, many, many other fields where significant improvements had been made.

      You are also incorrect in both example that you used. While both superconductors and genetics are not ready for mainstream applications just yet, significant progress had been achieved in both fields:
      - higher temperature superconductors, use of superconducting cable 1km long in Germany, maglev trains in China, Lexus's hover board and others;
      - wide range of cures for different genetic deceases, genetically modified crops, pets and other organisms, genome sequestration price reductions, many new techniques to improve accuracy of genome editing and reading and others;
      Those are just a few things that happened recently in those fields.

    69. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why don't you go and replace all yours everyday things with things from 2000, lets see how much not changed.

      When things improve you tend to not notice them as much as when things become worse. We are so used to getting newer, better, cheaper stuff every year that we are no longer surprised by it. However if you were to return to something just 5-10 years old in practically any field, you will sure to notice the difference.

    70. Re:Very Probably Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its almost silly to think any advancement will take centuries based on the exponential nature of scientific discoveries.

      I'd say progress has slowed significantly. I'm not sure how you'd defend the claim that our rate of progress accelerating, let alone exponentially.

      Read this: Artificial Intelligence but it touches upon Exponential Progress

  2. Locality of self. by tlambert · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Locality of self.

    The problem with almost all "uploading" schemes is that it creates a copy of your brain structure, so it's a copy of you, rather than you. Externally, there might be no apparent difference to an outside observer, but internally, you're kind of dead, if that 1 cubic foot of meat space is no longer functional.

    The only hope of an upload of the actual "you" would be an incremental replacement of brain structure, such that you lived in both meat-you and electronic-you at the same time, until the electronic-you completely replaced the meat-you, without a loss of continuity of consciousness.

    Otherwise, you're just building pod people. Which could be useful, if you wanted to embed one of them in a starship (or more likely, a tank or other weapon of war), or if you wanted to make a lot of duplicate copies of a particular mind, and didn't care about their locality of self, either.

    1. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You seem to know an awful lot about something that doesn't exist. You aren't you anyways, as your memories fade, new ones created, and cells replaced with lunch.

    2. Re:Locality of self. by Hartree · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I mostly agree, but will mumble a bit.

      I'm not even sure that the incremental replacement method would "work".

      Defining what we mean by "it worked" when it comes to something judged by subjective experience only is very squishy on whether it really worked, or you just think it worked.

      Since we can't even define consciousness well yet, and good luck on The Hard Problem, I'd instead say it doesn't look hopeful, but the jury is still out.

    3. Re:Locality of self. by jeepies · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The result is the same whether the brain is replaced a little at a time or all at once in a copy.

      There's an old story about an axe that has it's handle replaced a few times. Eventually over the years it's used so much the head is replaced. And a few more handles after that. There was always a piece of the axe included when something was replaced. Is the current axe the same axe we started with? If not, at what point did it become a different axe?

      As to whether an exact copy of you is actually you, I would say yes, unless you're going to argue something supernatural like a soul. It would be just the same as cloning a computer hard drive and placing it in identical hardware. From their perspective each computer is the original ...or the copy, there's no way for them to tell

      You're probably thinking of a continuous point of view being the original, but human consciousness generally only exists in 16 hour spurts. When you sleep, is the 'you' that wakes up the same 'you' that went to sleep? There's certainly a gap in your consciousness which would be the same as being dead and coming back. Or the same as a copy waking up.

    4. Re:Locality of self. by khallow · · Score: 1

      There's an old story about an axe that has it's handle replaced a few times. Eventually over the years it's used so much the head is replaced. And a few more handles after that. There was always a piece of the axe included when something was replaced. Is the current axe the same axe we started with? If not, at what point did it become a different axe?

      Hence, why the discussion of the incremental change versus copying. The human brain is a perduring (for lack of a better word, see perdurantism for my inspiration for the term) phenomenon like your example of the ax. Copying onto a completely different substrate with very different properties is a very considerable change which might be enough to void the property of perdurantism.

    5. Re:Locality of self. by jeepies · · Score: 3, Informative

      Ah yes, I've heard of this referred to as worm theory. It's one possible solution to the Theseus Paradox. (Essential the same as the axe story Iu see above). Good video on possible ways of resolving the paradox, including wom theory here.

    6. Re:Locality of self. by Falos · · Score: 1

      Sister posts bring up the usual practical/philosophical thoughts, including the broom/axe/ship parable. I don't think there can be a satisfying answer if we dodge around a certain necessity, where we explicitly establish What Is A Soul Anyway. Or self, consciousness, whatever. What was "the ship" anyway?

      Me, I take a shortcut and embrace apathy. I might kill the prior body myself - I'd wire it to die in advance. I qualify that "I" am still alive and in place. I'm (we're) probably more comfortable with this than a twin who immediately begins forking what my "self" means, and we're considering unsolvables like who is the "real" me.

      To answer that question: Both were equally valid, equally "the original", but at the time of inception. The clone is only "the second" semantically, yet this easy-answer technicality fades quickly, and thereafter "lol i dunno". This is why I want one body to die before It Gets Weird. This is probably the same reasoning that tells me the Blue Pill world qualifies as perfectly valid, as "reality" is nothing more than your aggregate of cerebral perceptions, and by logistical limitations can never BE more. If you call these oversimplifying (yet valid) lines a lazy way out, I won't argue.

      If a time travel story involves parallel universes (it must to avoid predetermined events/fate, generally an antipode to the art of writing/storytelling) then the protagonist (or whomever is jumping) is quite likely spawning a second Self elsewhere. Maybe after that both exist simultaneously, so to speak. I've seen some settings where only the consciousness (information) can temporally jump, which mean the prior existence is abandoned to some degree, maybe an extreme degree. These stories won't always address the existential matter, but when they do I've taken to declaring that everyone is welcome/valid to be Alpha Me, even if it's a new me.

      I wonder if I used "whomever" correctly. I probably won't understand if you explain, though.

    7. Re:Locality of self. by khallow · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's also a practical and widely used technique in math called homotopy which puts it beyond philosophical or empirical theory (as no such basis for the idea is required as a result - though math carries its own considerable baggage here).

      Also, glancing at the video you linked, I counted five solutions, not five possible solutions. There is an implicit assumption made in the video that these solutions can't be simultaneously applied. However, just by the act of outlining each solution in turn, they are applied simultaneously.

      The resolution to the paradox is not the solutions, but rather what properties do you want the Ship of Theseus to have? Once you have chosen those properties, then you have chosen the solution.

    8. Re:Locality of self. by ron_ivi · · Score: 2

      Relevant SMBC cartoon: http://www.smbc-comics.com/ind... You can't really even tell if you're still you when you wake up in the morning.

    9. Re:Locality of self. by Zelucifer · · Score: 1

      Really, what's the difference between making a copy of yourself, and going to sleep? It may seem like they're completely different concepts, but think about happens when you sleep. Your self shuts down, eventually you dream and than wake up, but for all intents and purposes it may as well be a new you.

      --
      The corner of a round room
    10. Re: Locality of self. by ljw1004 · · Score: 1

      I don't feel much kinship with the "me" of 20 years ago when I was 20. Nor at 30. Like... who was that person? what on earth was he thinking?

      I imagine that uploading might be similar.

    11. Re:Locality of self. by Greyfox · · Score: 1
      We could just program the new you not to notice the difference.

      Or possibly your software version of you would become another part of you. At that point it'd be easy enough to set you up with an implant that allows you to communicate with it, synchronize your memories and such. Except the software you would have much easier access to the online networks of information and might even be able to copy itself around for backup purposes and to accomplish more tasks simultaneously. Freed from the constraints of having to run on a meatputer, the new you could contribute more to "you" than your meat version. Eventually, when that part of you dies, you might not even notice it, any more than you notice the deaths of a bunch of brain cells when you go on a bender. Or perhaps you could store your DNA off and have a new body cloned for you whenever you feel like being a meat thing again for a while. If you change the idea of consciousness that radically, it's hard to even speculate what the mind of the future even looks like.

      --

      I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    12. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Otherwise, you're just building pod people. Which could be useful, if you wanted to embed one of them in a starship (or more likely, a tank or other weapon of war), or if you wanted to make a lot of duplicate copies of a particular mind, and didn't care about their locality of self, either.

      Speaking only for myself (by definition at the moment!), I'd be OK with that.

      Upload my brain into a million tanks and space probes. Many of me go mad with boredom. A few of me get blown to smithereens. A very lucky few of me get to see something awesome. Presuming such a thing is possible, that's the closest thing to quantum immortality any of me are likely to get.

    13. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "There's an old story about an axe that has it's handle replaced a few times."

      With what? Extra apostrophes?

    14. Re:Locality of self. by synaptic · · Score: 1
    15. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This is pretty much how I figure it'll happen, if ever. We'll start treating cognitive disorders with artificial neurons. At first, maybe 10% of the electrical activity in your brain will be from the artificial neurons. This might stave off Alzheimer's long enough to enhance people's quality of life in some significant way. Patients will simply report that they aren't forgetting more and more. That will be a relief. At some point we'll start upping the dosage. We'll get to 50% artificial or more. There are probably two general things that will happen: normal or not.

      A "normal" feeling would lead us to believe that it would be possible to transfer "consciousness" or at the very least brain activity. This is the more optimistic scenario, but not fool-proof. We could learn the hard way that organs other than the brain are important for consciousness. I believe there are already many accounts of people having strange cravings, feelings, and thoughts after organ transplants and families of donors being able to identify those traits.

      The pessimistic scenario is that people with a large number of artificial neurons would see an optimal level of therapy and then after that it would actually cause problems. People might wake up from a sleep-walking state, not remembering what they did.

      It could turn out that neurons have a state based on the fact that they trace their origins back to a single cell, and that the state is important. The artificial neurons might only be able to go so far in terms of working with native ones, supplying basic functions like memory but not other functions that define consciousness. They might form their own independent being.

      Two beings in one brain sounds weird until you consider the dream state vs. waking state, split personality, voices in your head, "moods", etc. You know, there's school Steve and party Steve. Maybe multiple beings in a head is actually more common than we think, and not necessarily a mental illness.

      Trouble is, we might just end up stuffing heads with more personalities and failing to help the original person even if we do it gradually. From the PoV of the original "you", it might be like having some "missing time" like people who claim to be abducted by aliens, or "wait, I didn't go to that party", when your body did but your primary personality has no recollection because a secondary was active. You still die, it's just not apparent to casual acquaintances and "your" new friends.

      If this problem does exist, then it might be surmountable by figuring out how a neuron is "linked in" to one consistent personality or not. Maybe it will be as simple as scanning the brain to make sure the new ones have the right chemical signature... or as crazy complex as duplicating some really specific state such as telomeres or "junk" DNA.

      Anyway, my opinion is that at my current age of 47 I might receive prosthetic neurons in my 80s if I need them, but I doubt I'll be uploaded.

    16. Re:Locality of self. by lurker412 · · Score: 1

      Yes, I believe you've hit upon the key problem with all this. Leaving aside all the daunting difficulty is making a true copy, the result would only benefit your survivors, not you. Now that's no small accomplishment, but it most certainly falls short of immortality.

      Another element that is frequently overlooked is that our brains are embedded in our bodies. Proprioception depends on all the real-time feedback from the stuff that's outside the brain. So without simulating the rest of us as well, the uploaded copy might have consciousness but it wouldn't feel or act like we do in the slightest. Even your survivors wouldn't be fooled for long.

    17. Re:Locality of self. by NitWit005 · · Score: 1

      You don't need something supernatural to know that it won't be an exact copy. To get the behavior of the brain, you need the drugs its being fed. The human body produces a fairly impressive number of chemicals that seem to affect behavior. You'd need to mimic the rules of that system. The problem there is it quickly approaches being a simulation of all human biology.

    18. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly.

      Nature already has a way of copying people. It's called "twins". If you upload a copy, you're basically uploading your new twin brother. Does that really help *you*?

      Incremental replacement seems to be the only possibility.

    19. Re:Locality of self. by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      The problem with your argument that a copy is you is that it allows for two copies of you to exist at the same time. Aside from the legal quagmire that leads to, the two copies immediately start to diverge as their experiences differ. If you were married, which copy is still married? Which one does the husband/wife continue to share their life with? Both? Which one has a moral right to your stuff? If you split it 50/50 then clearly the copying process has deminished you somehow. If a child is copied, would the parents have a moral duty or emotional bond with both the original and the clone?

      The copy is clearly not "you", it's just a copy, otherwise how could two "yous" exist at once? Continuity and singular existence are how we define what a person or an object is.

      The original story involved the Argonauts, and their ship the Argus. As they sailed around they replaced bits of it, until eventually none of the original was left. Say someone followed the Argus around and collected all the scrap parts they threw overboard, fixed them and assembled them into a replica. Which ship is the Argus?

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    20. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, I agree in part (as do others below). I've often thought of the incremental replacement as the only possible solution. Another problem with the locality of self, though, is that once you manage to successfully transfer "you" to a machine, in theory then, the location of "you" can be duplicated to another machine. What then?

    21. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So do you agree that we can shut you off?

      If your self doesn't matter or exist, why would you insist otherwise?

    22. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Consciousness is vastly more than just being focused or thinking.
      Basically, there's as much basis to the cartoon's conclusion, as to the opposite.

      If someone insist, we can safely terminate them, since "they" won't "live" for very much longer than a few hours anyways.
      Doesn't speak for me though.

    23. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you agree we can terminate you then?

      If not, why so?

    24. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, what happens when you sleep? If you truly investigate instead of spouting unfounded assumptions, you'll notice there's a self in dreaming too, ie. read about "lucid dreaming". It's just as varied as when awake. That "new" person you meet in the morning is a well-rested being, rather than a dull and tired one. Rest is crucial for all known consciousness.

    25. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      See also: Ship of Theseus.

      Most of the cells of your body are replaced every 30 days or so. A very, very, VERY proficient bio-engineer would in theory be able to cryo-freeze all the cells your body replaced, and rebuild you from your old cells.

      But who would be the *real* you then? The 'copy' built from your 'original' cryo-frozen cells? Or the 'copy' built from the replacement new cells that is currently referring to itself as 'the real you'? In some point in time, you referred to both sets of cells as 'yourself'. So logically that would mean that both 'copies' are actually you.

    26. Re:Locality of self. by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 1

      Sleep is not a full shutdown. There are measurable processes going on there - it's not like turning off your computer, where it's "consciousness" (RAM contents) are rebuilt entirely from long-term storage in the morning. There is no area of your brain that gets "wiped" periodically.

      The closest analogy is that a somewhat reduced version of you is performing system maintenance processes.

    27. Re:Locality of self. by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 1

      If you could faithfully copy the brain, then creating a sufficiently good simulation of the rest of the body would be a piece of cake.

    28. Re:Locality of self. by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 2

      The problems you mention are all easy to solve. At least much easier than copying a brain. ;-)

      The problem with your argument that a copy is you is that it allows for two copies of you to exist at the same time. Aside from the legal quagmire that leads to, the two copies immediately start to diverge as their experiences differ. If you were married, which copy is still married?

      Both, of course.

      Which one does the husband/wife continue to share their life with?

      That's for him or her to decide. Probably the original rather than some machine.

      Both?

      Possibly, why not?

      Which one has a moral right to your stuff?

      Both, of course.

      If you split it 50/50 then clearly the copying process has deminished you somehow.

      Not you, just your possessions. Unless you're a selfish asshole...

      If a child is copied, would the parents have a moral duty or emotional bond with both the original and the clone?

      Of course they have the same moral duty. As for emotional bonds, you'd have to ask them.

      The copy is clearly not "you", it's just a copy, otherwise how could two "yous" exist at once?

      If you're the copy, then the copy is clearly "you". As you said, the experiences diverge after copying. How could two "yous" exist at once? Isn't that rather silly question, given that you have just made a copy?

      Continuity and singular existence are how we define what a person or an object is.

      Sure, but there is no problem. The person has been copied, so there are now two persons sharing the same past and memories.

      The original story involved the Argonauts, and their ship the Argus. As they sailed around they replaced bits of it, until eventually none of the original was left. Say someone followed the Argus around and collected all the scrap parts they threw overboard, fixed them and assembled them into a replica. Which ship is the Argus?

      Typical philosophical pseudo-problem. Depending on which identity criteria you chose to use, it's either the same ship or a new ship. Just as you may count bananas and apples as fruits or as different entities, depending on what is convenient at a time. Obsession with the "true nature of things" and absolute identity criteria is the hallmark of bad metaphysics. (Canonical example of bad metaphysics: Kripke's "natural kinds".)

    29. Re:Locality of self. by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 1

      The problem with almost all "uploading" schemes is that it creates a copy of your brain structure, so it's a copy of you, rather than you.

      That makes no sense. Let A be the original and B be the copy. Even if you could not figure out which of them you are (an unlikely scenario), you would always be you, namely either A, the continuation of the original, or B, the copy of the original. The question as which one you end up is rather meaningless, because your self and your self-consciousness are copied.

      Externally, there might be no apparent difference to an outside observer, but internally, you're kind of dead, if that 1 cubic foot of meat space is no longer functional.

      Of course, either a replacement body (robotic or biological) or appropriate sensory inputs and body chemistry simulations need to be provided, or otherwise the copied brain will malfunction badly. But apart from that, you're certainly not going to be dead. You may suddenly realize that you're the copy, and that's it. There is nothing mysterious involved in it, except that it's perhaps hard to imagine for some people to end up in, say, a machine with your memories as a human. It's not hard for me to imagine at all, though, so it cannot be impossible to imagine.

      without a loss of continuity of consciousness

      First, a loss of continuity of consciousness would pose no problem whatsoever. We experience that every time we're put onto a surgical table. Second, there is no reason to believe that transfer a brain into a faithful copy invariably goes along with any loss of consciousness. One you remains the original, the other you ends up as a copy. For both of them, it may just feel like one fluid transition without any break in the flow of consciousness. (I'm not saying that it might not be required for technical reasons to induce an artificial coma or something like that, I'm just saying that there is no principle philosophical conundrum in case that is not needed.)

    30. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not a pseudo-problem. It's a problem about which criteria should be the one favoured. Think of today's philosophers as the people that should be writing the definitions of words in a dictionary, and are always looking for the sharpest and unambiguous definition of concepts. If philosophers followed that path, philosophy would become a relevant and useful profession in the modern world, at least pertaining to dictionary writing.

    31. Re:Locality of self. by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      If you split it 50/50 then clearly the copying process has deminished you somehow.

      Not you, just your possessions. Unless you're a selfish asshole...

      Practically though you both need a place to live, a bed to sleep in. It's clearly not the same as if your brain was simply replaced with a mechanical one and a single version of you continued to exist.

      What about your job? You worked hard to get it and advance your career, but your employer doesn't want two of you. The fruit of that labour can only go to one of you. What if you were an author, who gets paid for for sales of books written before you were duplicated?

      What about your identity? It clearly has value, that's why people try to steal it. What if one of you dies, and their will says that all "your" stuff goes to someone else? Either you lose your existing life, or the other you who is dead loses their right to pass the fruits of their life on to their heir.

      If you were married, which copy is still married?

      Both, of course.

      I think most people would find it hard to accept things like their copy wanting to have sex with "their" wife. If the copy were to be divorced, how would you separate assets? Imagine if both copies wanted to be divorced, would they get 1/3rd each or 1/4th each?

      Actions and non-physical "things" like a marriage cannot be simply divided up when an individual is copied.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    32. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It helps in that unlike a twin brother, this one has all the knowledge you have built in the course of decades, and supposedly can help you in your current task that requires very specific knowledge about a subject that maybe only ten people in the world can understand.

    33. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Incremental replacement is not sufficient. It's asically just a parasite eating your brain and subsequently pretending to be you very, very well. Basically, its not you unless the quantum information involved is preserved. Doesn't matter that the brain's not a quantum computer - that information is the ONLY legitimate way to define "you" with reference to the basic structure of nature.

    34. Re:Locality of self. by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 1

      Yes, I totally agree that there are many practical problems that you and your wife, and possibly some lawyers, would need to consider before you make a copy of yourself, and I was admittedly skipping over some of them. My point is just that they are not very 'deep' problems.

    35. Re:Locality of self. by l0n3s0m3phr34k · · Score: 1

      If you were married, which copy is still married? Which one does the husband/wife continue to share their life with?

      That's obvious, the copy is left with the wife. That's the whole point of the copy, someone to maintain the married life...I remember some Outer Limits or Twilight Zone like this, the guy copies himself so he can do other stuff; I think in the end somehow the copy ended up with the family and the original was an outcast.

    36. Re:Locality of self. by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      The deep problem is that a human life cannot be duplicated. You could create a physical copy of a person, but you couldn't duplicate all the non-physical things that make up who they are. Like the example of the Argus, what constitutes that ship is not simply the physical material, there is more to it than that.

      As Satre says in Existentialism and Humanism, we start from nothing and define ourselves. The whole is more than the sum of its parts, the mere material of the body and mechanical operation of the mind. Indeed, the whole concept of transferring the mind requires you to accept that the physical body is unimportant and that the resulting being is the same one as the original, despite that a "being" is a non-physical concept, an idea.

      If a whole person cannot be copied, then any mind transfer process that involves copying is flawed. Perhaps that doesn't matter in many ways, as long as there is only one of you. If elements of your former life, such as your relationships to people or your interests, were lost to the new you then it seems to me that the transfer process creates a flawed copy,a lesser version of the original.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    37. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Once we do it - transcribe an entire connectome and get it working - we will have a very solid definition of what consciousness is.

    38. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So in Star Trek, when a person uses the transporter, and is deconstructed, then reconstructed, the thing that arrives at the other end is not the person that began the process...?

    39. Re:Locality of self. by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 1

      The past belongs to you as much as it belongs to your copy. If you were a person before the copying, your copy will be just as much of a person. Think about it this way: Creating a copy of yourself is like a divorce. It is potentially painful, lengthy, and probably involves lawyers, and in the end you may end up estranged from your former wife with only half of your possessions left. But it's not a fundamental or deep problem.

    40. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only way we would really know if this method would work is the person having the brain replaced actually saying "hey, I am still me guys".

      Having being put under for an operation, I know I am still me. I could feel myself going unconscious before I ended up going out for the count.
      I expect a similar experience would possibly happen if the method never worked.
      A person would slowly feel themselves becoming less and less aware of their own existence until they vanish forever.

      It would be the same thing with a destructive teleporter as well. It would be a leap of faith for the first people doing it.

    41. Re: Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. But since they were boring people to begin with, nobody cares. By the way, star dreck is a shit show for pedophiles.

    42. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I find it interesting that we never seem to notice how we reduce everything to terms we can grasp. What is consciousness? What is you? Failing to define those in scientific terms, we simply decide that a computer metaphor is a direct match. It's a comfortably bite-size view. Thus we reduce the big philosophical questions to simple, practical terms. But if we're nothing more than computers that "think they can think" then what's the point of saving that? How could we even value a human life over a PC? Which is to say that the assumptions here don't bear inspection.

      We used to talk about being "all out of steam" when fatigued, while anyone who acted strangely had "a screw loose". Those were Industrial Age metaphors. Now we say we're "not programmed for that", or that something is or isn't "in our DNA". Such simplistic metaphors need to be recognized as just that: Mere language devices. We shouldn't imagine that we thoroughly understand these things just because we've found words for them. A hard disk and/or CPU is not an adequate metaphor for consciousness. Anyone who seriously hopes to upload themselves is just trying to avoid the basic facts of life: That death is a constant and that experience is not rational and linear. Nor is it a quantity. It's not subject to objective analysis. We can't actually even confirm existence to begin with. All we can confirm is that cognition is happening. Whatever that is. As the saying goes, deal with it.

    43. Re:Locality of self. by holmstar · · Score: 1

      You're missing the point. A lot of people are looking at "brain uploading" as a means to achieve immortality, or freedom from the limitations of a biological organism. But the problem is that you wouldn't be achieving that for yourself, but for the new copy of you. The original is still going to die (or already died, if the process is destructive). You're just spawning a clone with the same memories and way of thinking.

    44. Re:Locality of self. by mjm1231 · · Score: 1

      Locality of self.

      ... without a loss of continuity of consciousness.

      For most humans, this is a daily experience. Why exactly does it pose a problem in this particular context?

      --
      Ideology: A tool used primarily to avoid the bother of thinking.
    45. Re:Locality of self. by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 1

      I'll be the copy. :-)

    46. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Click the red button

    47. Re:Locality of self. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The deep problem is that a human life cannot be duplicated.

      Yet.

    48. Re:Locality of self. by fulldecent · · Score: 1

      We should use the Microsoft Vista definition of replacing hardware.

      --

      -- I was raised on the command line, bitch

    49. Re:Locality of self. by S48D31F68E4S2 · · Score: 1

      >The result is the same whether the brain is replaced a little at a time or all at once in a copy.

      No, it's not the same at all. The whole point of uploading your brain is implicitly (the popular interpretation of doing so anyway) that continuity would be maintained - it's very key.

      There are two continuums: the a) "copy and replace all at once" continuum, and the b) "transition to maintain continuity" continuum. What's key is that in "a", there are two distinct consciousnesses involved: the original, and the new - whereas in "b" there is always only one involved. Note that I'm using consciousness to simply mean the physical network of neurons from which the more popular definition of consciousness emerges.

      At the extreme end of the copy & replace continuum, you could dispose of the original "all at once", or quite cruelly and gruesomely over an extended period of time. The result in both cases is always a *COPY* that no one can distinguish from the original, not even the copy, because continuity is maintained from its perspective and everyone else on the outside too. However, the original's continuity is broken when it's killed (whether slowly or instantly).

      At the extremes of the "transition" continuum, if we swap one neuron out at a time with a functional equivalent and do it at a rate that is non-destructive to continuity (i.e. so that your brain is always still functioning correctly enough to perceive continuity), then an effective and seamless transition to your new implementation can be achieved, whether that's electronic neurons, or younger biological neurons, and the replacement could be over months or years (even though more and more impractical as it takes longer)

      As for the sleeping and waking up, or being dead and then revived examples - these fall at the other extreme end of the "transition" continuum, i.e. they're equivalent to the transition being done instantly and with the exact same material. There is only ever one consciousnesses involved and the result again is that continuity is restored, even if broken for some period of time ( i.e. its physical implementation is maintained or reparable to its original state) It assumes that the revived person isn't damaged beyond being able to perceive continuity at some point. Once the ability to perceive continuity is lost, death of the original person has effectively occurred, even if memory/continuity is at some point later restored.

    50. Re:Locality of self. by NitWit005 · · Score: 1

      Not exactly. If you figure out how the basic mechanism of thought in a neuron works, then all you need is that knowledge, a map of the connections in a brain, and you're good to go in terms of modeling the computational portion of the brain. A full understanding of all human biology is a much more difficult task.

    51. Re:Locality of self. by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      You seem to know an awful lot about something that doesn't exist. You aren't you anyways, as your memories fade, new ones created, and cells replaced with lunch.

      If you can't even agree on "I think, therefore I am" there's not really much to differentiate you from an abacus.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    52. Re:Locality of self. by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      I mostly agree, but will mumble a bit.

      I'm not even sure that the incremental replacement method would "work".

      Defining what we mean by "it worked" when it comes to something judged by subjective experience only is very squishy on whether it really worked, or you just think it worked.

      Since we can't even define consciousness well yet, and good luck on The Hard Problem, I'd instead say it doesn't look hopeful, but the jury is still out.

      Indeed. just because you kill the original while you create a clone who thinks he's the original, doesn't make the clone the original. doesn't matter if you kill the original as part of the process, or afterwards. Or even prior. Nor does the clone thinking he's the original even mean that the clone has to resemble the original to any particular degree
      Imagine a fax machine which shreds the original. That's not teleporting the document. And after a few dozen of these "teleports", it'd be pretty clear that this is not the original.
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
  3. connectome soon, the rest much, much later by iggymanz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Connectome will be done not in centuries but a decade or less, really that's problem to be solved by automation and computing

    However, the 2nd reason, left out of the quote but in the article, has to do with the function rather than physical configuration of synapses and neurons. We don't understand that well at all. And that is probably where the "mind" is.

    1. Re:connectome soon, the rest much, much later by narcc · · Score: 2

      Connectome will be done not in centuries but a decade or less,

      It's only been 10 years out ... for the last 60 years and counting.

    2. Re:connectome soon, the rest much, much later by fadethepolice · · Score: 1

      No way dude. We won't even know how a brain functions in a decade. There isn't even a formal definition of consciousness. There is a lot of evidence to suggest the free will of the conscious mind is in fact an illusion.

    3. Re:connectome soon, the rest much, much later by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Free will represents the nearsightedness of our mind's ability to perceive causality?

      So did I actually choose to write this comment?

    4. Re:connectome soon, the rest much, much later by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If free will is an illusion that's actually very good news for AI researchers, as they can just focus on a mechanical model of the brain and let the mind sort itself out.

    5. Re:connectome soon, the rest much, much later by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Connectome will be done not in centuries but a decade or less,"

      Nice conjecture. Care to provide scientific evidence for this hypothesis? Or should we just accept it because you or Mr. Kurzweil (who makes a living saying things like this in front of big audiences) say so?

    6. Re:connectome soon, the rest much, much later by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All those pesky chemical processes have to be replicated at the state there are at the upload time, if memory is to be preserved. That's what the Star Trek transporter technology is for.

    7. Re:connectome soon, the rest much, much later by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the agile team doing it will actually do something instead of faking test results on their jenkins console.

    8. Re:connectome soon, the rest much, much later by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 1

      Hey, it's not like we're talking Nuclear Fusion here. :)

    9. Re:connectome soon, the rest much, much later by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we say 1 trillion connections and if Moore's Law applies it would take 35 iterations. Maybe as few as 35 years

    10. Re:connectome soon, the rest much, much later by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Does the "connectome" really model all the molecules in a neuron? Or the hundreds of different neurotransmitters and how they differ? Or the signals being transmitted via hormones and other chemicals within the blood supply of the brain? Without those (and probably others I can't imagine), I don't see how you can get all the complexity of a brain.

    11. Re:connectome soon, the rest much, much later by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      We may not understand it, but that may not be necessary to recreate it. Brain scanning / imaging technology is vastly improving year after year. At the point at which we can scan every neuron (or even smaller scale) in real time, and record a year/two years of real life activity, we can probably upload that and run it in a virtual machine. We may still not know how it is working precisely, but it may very well take input and give output in such a way that it acts like real AI.

  4. Article also misses a major point by gurps_npc · · Score: 0
    The entire concept of uploading/duplicating is based on a deterministic view of the universe - one without quantum mechanics.

    This viewpoint is false. Not only is quantum mechanics part of the universe, but the specific reactions involved in the brain require quantum mechanics.

    As such, the concept of a physical copy or uploading is nonsensical. It can not be done. The best we can do is make a poor copy - one that will NOT react the way the real you would.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    1. Re:Article also misses a major point by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The entire concept of uploading/duplicating is based on a deterministic view of the universe - one without quantum mechanics.

      This viewpoint is false. Not only is quantum mechanics part of the universe, but the specific reactions involved in the brain require quantum mechanics.

      As such, the concept of a physical copy or uploading is nonsensical. It can not be done. The best we can do is make a poor copy - one that will NOT react the way the real you would.

      What?

      The specific activities involved in the computer you used to type your message require quantum mechanics. Perhaps that explains whey the poor copy that appears on my screen seems somehow incomplete or off-base.

      It's possible that quantum activities in the brain make the processes of consciousness somehow non-classical and incapable of replication, but not only is the jury still out on that, I'm not even sure we've finished arraigning the suspects.

    2. Re:Article also misses a major point by Tablizer · · Score: 2

      ...based on a deterministic view of the universe - one without quantum mechanics. This viewpoint is false.

      A deterministic model may be a sufficient emulation even if not a perfect emulation.

      After all, a lot of people take drugs, caffeine, alcohol, get smashed in the head in football or a swimming accident, get diabetes, and still are usually more or less themselves. The brain is designed to handle a degree of "noise" and damage, and this could very well include the "noise" of an imperfect model of itself. How much is "good enough", we don't yet know.

    3. Re:Article also misses a major point by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 2

      > The specific activities involved in the computer you used to type your message require quantum mechanics.

      So is basic chemistry, looked at closely enough. The idea that something cannot be created or functionally replicated because it's quantum mechanical is, I'm afraid, a nonsensical one.

      Whether the complex interaction of state and process between a brain and its senses, between physical layout of neurons and ongoing biochemical interatctions, can be replicated to an electromechanical system seems unlikely in the extreme. Complex analog interactions are difficult to model precisely, much less replicate to the kind of essentially "digital" structure of modern computer systems.

    4. Re:Article also misses a major point by quantaman · · Score: 1

      The entire concept of uploading/duplicating is based on a deterministic view of the universe - one without quantum mechanics.

      This viewpoint is false. Not only is quantum mechanics part of the universe, but the specific reactions involved in the brain require quantum mechanics.

      There are QM reactions involved when I use an abacus, that doesn't mean calculators are impossible. Just because consciousness is weird and QM is weird doesn't mean consciousness is based on QM.

      As such, the concept of a physical copy or uploading is nonsensical. It can not be done. The best we can do is make a poor copy - one that will NOT react the way the real you would.

      The only way that's true is if our consciousness is based on some continuous sequence of quantum events... and even then I'm sure there's a way we could meaningfully transition or preserve state.

      --
      I stole this Sig
    5. Re:Article also misses a major point by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What? Prove to us that the brain is digital, then we can talk.

      Morons running the asylum.

    6. Re:Article also misses a major point by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

      > The specific activities involved in the computer you used to type your message require quantum mechanics.

      So is basic chemistry, looked at closely enough. The idea that something cannot be created or functionally replicated because it's quantum mechanical is, I'm afraid, a nonsensical one.

      Precisely. Even if you can't reproduce the precise quantum state of a macroscopic system, you can produce a "functional equivalent" without doing so. If the two systems can only be distinguished by observing quantum-level detail -- which, of course, alters that detail anyhow -- does that distinction matter?

      Whether the complex interaction of state and process between a brain and its senses, between physical layout of neurons and ongoing biochemical interatctions, can be replicated to an electromechanical system seems unlikely in the extreme. Complex analog interactions are difficult to model precisely, much less replicate to the kind of essentially "digital" structure of modern computer systems.

      Again, though, does it matter? Isn't it possible that there's some threshold below which detailed distinction doesn't matter, any more than the detailed distinction between you-this-second and you-one-second-ago makes you a different person?

  5. Years, use a different approach by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    We wouldn't try to dissect the individual neurons, measure the amplification (a chemical trait for the synapses) and upload the whole lot to a database. Because you can't reconstruct that exactly anyway.

    Instead, we would build a neural network to simulate a brain (which can be done now), we would feed inputs into the real brain and measure the outputs, and use that to stimulate the neural network till it performs the same way.

    i.e. Google Deep Dream approach, use a neural network, train it by stimulating/measuring a brain. Once its the same outputs, there's your mind defined in neural network form.

    The actual micro detail of the brain doesn't matter, its a machine that turns inputs into outputs using past lessons, and the neural network would be the same.

  6. Mine fits in the bracketed character: by smittyoneeach · · Score: 2

    [ - ]


    Because #Concise

    --
    Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
  7. Yet another 'anonymous reader' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just give it up already Samzenpus, nobody believes that this anyone other that you and your deluded brain.

  8. Emulator by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All you need is the unique data. Most of the basic "functions" such as eye sight or hearing could be emulated in software via Dynamic Recompilation while the specific learned functions for the individual could be interpreted. (Actually, language could be DynRec'd if it's a common one.)

    Emulating the hardware is nice and tends to make better results, but it's slower and MUCH more processing intensive. (Just ask the devs behind bsnes.)

    Oh, and before anyone starts groaning about souls, non-copyable, etc....

    In the end there is a DATA component to the human mind. The real question is just how much of it is data and how much is hardware. You can emulate the hardware as much as you want but, you still need the software to make it do anything. Your personal opinion on the matter of religion is irrelevant to that fact. (Personally, I think the motivation behind going the hard route of emulating the entire brain, rather than developing a method to inspect the contents of one first, is an attempt at bypassing the issue of religion and finding out exactly what makes a human tick.)

  9. One more thing, IT LIVES! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One more point, perhaps its not obvious:

    You realize that when you've defined your brain in neural network form, you have a functioning clone of the brain. The key word being 'FUNCTIONING'.

    While we can't make neurons and connect them exactly the way the map tells us, the Neural Net is completely within our control and would be *alive* as such while we train it. At the end it would not just be a definition of how your brain works, it would be a working copy too, and a reproducible one.

    Perhaps we'll be Bittorrenting famous peoples brains in future, and applying their brain to problems..... oh I can't get this to work, lets try "Rob Jone's' brain on it, he knew more about these minimization problems than me.

  10. If the clickbait is asking a silly question... by qubezz · · Score: 1
  11. Emulation by dcollins · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The primary problem with this recurrent geek fantasy is that at best it's not really a copy; it's an emulation on different hardware. And that means a different added layer of possible breakdowns, bugs, glitches, etc. "All abstractions are leaky", per Joel Spolsky I think. Will the person feel hungry, thirsty, sleepy, horny, too cold/hot, react the same way to their favorite booze/weed/drugs, etc.? Probably not. Will there be outages due to power, networking, input/output devices? Likely so. And it's really hard to pretend that in the face of those radically changed experiences of the world that it's the same person.

    This thought experiment serves as a pretty good case study that the Western attempt to cast a hard distinction between mind and body is not really tenable. You are your body, and your body is you.

    --
    We know where leadership by an anti-intellectual "strongman" who scapegoats minorities and likes boisterous rallies goes
    1. Re:Emulation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are other reasons to transfer data than to execute it.

  12. Intellectual Property, Work, Crime, Privacy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Man the more I think about this, the more I hate it.

    IP rights finally WOULD be Intellectual Property! The definition of your brain would need to be carefully kept and controlled and owned by you, because it would be used against you.

    1. Job interview means hand over your neural network copy to corp for interview by corp neural net.
    1a. Corp no longer wants you, it just wants your neural network map.... didn't you read the small print for the job interview?
    2. Were you there at the crime scene? Instead of asking you, they'd probe your neural network definition. There would be no inner self. You think search is invasive now?... Wait till your brain can be cloned!
    3. Control of people: "how will President Bob react to speech X, lets test it using his Neural Network till we get the words right that will manipulate him"
    4. The rise of the Generals, there's always a calm man in a uniform that will decide that, for the good of the nation, everyone's minds needs to be stored in a database in Utah.
    5. Even insurance, what kind of insurance risk are you? Why ask YOU questions, when we can plug your neural network map into our risk-e-mator!

    Its a brave new world..... yuck.

  13. Hans Moravec by seven+of+five · · Score: 4, Interesting

    In Mind Children, Moravec described a fascinating scenario. A probe equipped with molecular-scale surgical tools, encloses a few brain cells and simulates them in software while you lie on a table. You have a switch in your hand; as you press it, you flip back and forth between the simulation and the working cells; when you can't tell the difference, the cells are removed. The probe continues to work its way through your brain until no real cells are left. You have been slowly, gradually uploaded into software. This is you, your continual awareness, not a copy of you that takes your place after you've died.

    1. Re:Hans Moravec by dcollins · · Score: 2

      "when you can't tell the difference"

      Hey, on this toggle I don't feel hungry, thirsty, horny, or short of breath anymore, and the weed I smoked before surgery seems to have lost its kick.

      --
      We know where leadership by an anti-intellectual "strongman" who scapegoats minorities and likes boisterous rallies goes
    2. Re:Hans Moravec by the_Bionic_lemming · · Score: 1

      And if I programmed the machines to not destroy the cells during the upload - what would happen?

      Nice concept, but there's a big gaping hole in practice.

      Granted, you won't care (as a replica) when the meat suit dies and takes the actual conscious with it.

      And when a meatsuit replicates your hard drive 20 times and you meet 20 different versions of "yourself" I'll hope that the software can keep you from panicking.

      Dead is dead. All you can hope for is an afterlife. PC based will never count.

      --
      _ _ _ Go for the eyes Boo! GO FOR THE EYES!
    3. Re:Hans Moravec by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Under your definition, dead is dead, afterlife or not. What makes you think your presence in the afterlife isn't a replica?

      If a perfect replica doesn't count, neither does your copy in the afterlife 'realm'. It's clearly not the same you in that realm, as your corpse (the real you) is back on earth..

    4. Re:Hans Moravec by MrKaos · · Score: 1
      Also had the concept of uploaded consciousness in it's infancy and the scandal it created when it didn't work.

      Except that it did and the owner of the consciousness was a very rich person experimenting with other people until it was right.

      Some very interesting scenarios there.

      I'll be looking forward to reading the one you have here - thanks for that.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    5. Re:Hans Moravec by seven+of+five · · Score: 1

      And if I programmed the machines to not destroy the cells during the upload - what would happen?

      You'd have forked yourself. "You" would be in one of the two places (meat or upload) and you'd be staring at a doppleganger who thought he was you. Over time, however, the two forks would drift as they always do and would no longer be indistinguishable. If you were planning that stunt, to avoid going nuts and having awkward scenes at the restaurant, you'd have to anticipate the trouble and deal with it somehow.

      And who said anything about PCs? Who'd want to live out their lives in a cruddy Dell Whizbang laptop with crumbs and old Red Bull in the keyboard?

    6. Re:Hans Moravec by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The brain is a chemical process just as much as it is electrical. The external software wouldn't even have any way to simulate the effects of chemicals your body is feeding to the brain.

  14. Stroke plugs by Okian+Warrior · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Suppose you have a stroke, and it damages a small section of your brain.

    The (cerebral cortex surface) brain is made up of a repeating pattern of cortical columns, which is a structure that connects vertically among it's 6 layers, but not laterally beyond the column boundary. There are connections out the top to the higher order layers in the brain, and connections into the bottom from lower layers, but it's an independent function(*).

    As far as anyone can tell, the cerebral cortex is composed of a repeating array of these columns.

    Suppose you have a synthetic "plug" that can take the place of a number of cortical columns. You remove the damaged part of the brain and replace it with the synthetic plug.

    The plug contains processing units which then learn from the existing connections. The human helps to train the connections by giving feedback: as the plug tries out the connections and actions, the human can tell whether the output is right or wrong, and act accordingly.

    For example, if the plug was within the speech centers, the human would have to relearn that part of speech which was damaged, but he would have all the rest of his experiences and knowledge as a basis. His environment and other humans (family, friends) would also help support the learning process.

    Eventually, the plug would learn the correct responses to any of the inputs, and it would be a replacement for the damaged part.

    Now suppose you have another stroke, and it damages another part of the brain.

    Continue the process to its logical conclusion, and you migrate the essence of the person from the biological into the synthetic. This is possible because the information in the brain is not stored in one place, but distributed over many areas. If you lose one area, the information can still be reconstructed from information in other areas.

    I can well imagine when the technology gets advanced enough, that rich people might be able to get "stroke plugs" implanted, and over time completely replace the biological portions of their brain.

    Is this not a sufficient definition for uploading?

    (*) Yes, a glossy, simplistic description.

    1. Re:Stroke plugs by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 1

      I always think glial cells are a great target for this sort of thing.

      Your neurones have this vast support network of other cells that don't do any thinking. Replace them with high-tech nanobots that perform the functions of glial cells, but also network with each other, and watch the neurones to learn how to be you. Gradually permit clusters of them to actively participate in your natural connectome. You slowly transition to a being composed of mostly thinking nanobots with some squishy bits hanging around from when you were a meatsack.

    2. Re:Stroke plugs by l0n3s0m3phr34k · · Score: 1

      You'll know when you feel your soul slip out of your body due to too much cyber. You'll become a cyberzombie, with an essence of 0. Or at least that's how it goes in Shadowrun lol.

  15. and... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    plus it would be a COPY of you, not actually you. You are still you and there is another you that acts exactly like you and thinks it is you, IT has been uploaded but YOU have not. You're essentially killing yourself and creating a perfect copy which no one else can distinguish. Maybe that is fine, but maybe it is pointless.

    1. Re:and... by Tablizer · · Score: 2

      Dear Future,

      Please DON'T extract and emulate the trolls.

      Thanks
      -Present

    2. Re:and... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1980 has called, they want their font back.

    3. Re:and... by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      ^ Sample troll #1

  16. You? No. by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 1

    Neither you, anyone you know, or your grandchildren, or anyone they know.
    Eventually, probably yes, this will be a 'thing'.

    1. Re:You? No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not only will this eventually be a thing, it'll also end up being a requirement for the government databases at the rate we're going.

  17. crazy idea by itchybrain · · Score: 1

    Even if that was possible, it would be a crazy thing for anyone to do. Essentially, anyone can have access to your thoughts. The public would know of your intimate and naughty bits, can anticipate your next action, etc. In short, you will be predictable to all.

    1. Re:crazy idea by SeaFox · · Score: 1

      Even if that was possible, it would be a crazy thing for anyone to do. Essentially, anyone can have access to your thoughts. The public would know of your intimate and naughty bits, can anticipate your next action, etc. In short, you will be predictable to all.

      Again, someone makes the stupid mistake of thinking a computer system needs to be connected to the Internet just because its possible...

    2. Re:crazy idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Map%E2%80%93territory_relation

      Sounds like weather forecasting to me, complete with diminishing returns the further towards the future you attempt to project. It's like trying to "beat" chess... The permutations quickly approach staggeringly large numbers.

      For each "decision" set, they would probably be able to run the simulation against each choice 30-100 times to formulate a probabilistic prediction, but how many people only make 1x Markov-dependent decision per day?

      This would probably be pretty efficient at estimating the outcome of Markov-independent decisions(if such a thing even exists with people). The sexiest woman alive wants you to cheat on your wife? Did she nag you that morning?

    3. Re:crazy idea by itchybrain · · Score: 1

      Even if that was possible, it would be a crazy thing for anyone to do. Essentially, anyone can have access to your thoughts. The public would know of your intimate and naughty bits, can anticipate your next action, etc. In short, you will be predictable to all.

      Again, someone makes the stupid mistake of thinking a computer system needs to be connected to the Internet just because its possible...

      That's myopic. Why would one 'backup' the brain and left it in isolation? The Internet of Things seems to suggest otherwise.

    4. Re:crazy idea by itchybrain · · Score: 1

      If you can faithfully duplicate a brain, I do not think you will need to compute those permutations. You see, that brain will automatically compute the output based in the input given to it. Think of it as a hash function (loosely speaking).

    5. Re:crazy idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My point is: you would need 30-100 brains to get a decent picture of a single markov-dependent decision. To get ahead of the present by 5x consecutive decisions that are impacted by the previous decision: you would need 30^5-100^5 to "probe" the outputs for a given input.

      We have reason to believe decision making is probabilistic(not deterministic) which means if I used a Star Trek teleporter to clone you, then asked you to choose between your two favorite breakfast cereals: your answer might be different from your clone's. I have to repeat the experiment several dozen times to get a good idea of the probability distribution of the decision.

  18. Quantum mechanics != brain mechanics by Okian+Warrior · · Score: 2

    The entire concept of uploading/duplicating is based on a deterministic view of the universe - one without quantum mechanics.

    We don't understand quantum mechanics, and we also don't understand how the brain works ...however, that doesn't mean that the brain is quantum mechanical.

    Two things that have similar characteristics sometimes turn out to be quite different, and relying on "we don't understand this" as the similar characteristic that makes two things equivalent is dubious at best.

  19. The Brain Computer Interface by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The ultimate interface will be when we enable the human brain to build an interface itself.

    Every attempt to upload is fundamentally an exercise in reproducing creation through force of will on our environment.. through code, through tools, through hands.

    But when the human mind and effect change with thought through a kind of tool that allows molecular interface at the speed of thought.. we won't have to understand it.. it will simply be.. anyway the human mind can.

    Everything is an extension of thought and thus of our minds.. its only a matter of time.

  20. The evolution of FPGA by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 1

    ... The estimate that it will take centuries is probably what is the farthest off ...

    The electronic device that we can use to simulate the connectomes are FPGAs, and the time frame largely depends on the r/evolution of FPGA (and the derivatives) that we can come up with, in the future

    Since the connections of the connectomes are dynamic, what we need is a type of 'FPGA' which can adjust its connections dynamically without having to go through the re-programmed process

    The 'FPGA' in the future does not have to be in silicon, it could be in any other material, so long as it is capable to function in dynamic fashion

    If we are able to come out with something which I describe above, we wouldn't have to wait for centuries

    --
    Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    1. Re:The evolution of FPGA by aXis100 · · Score: 1

      Memristors would seem to be a relevant candidate.

    2. Re:The evolution of FPGA by slew · · Score: 1

      Memristors would seem to be a relevant candidate.

      A relative candidate for what?

      The problem with FPGA is not a storage problem, it is a connectivity (wiring) problem. The only progress we have made in the last few years on this is to develop slower, but more connective topologies. The reasons for this are many-fold, but some of the top problems are...

      * metal routing layers (we only have about 16 layers of metals max and multi-level metalization and planarization is becoming increasingly difficult to perform past this point)
      ** also the upper layers generally aren't as dense lower layers (which makes them slower because of increase capacitance)
      * vias to connect to those routing layers (lots of metallurgical problems prevent them from being minimal sized)
      * distance is restricted to taxicab geometries (in 2.5 dimensions)
      * design tools to select appropriate connections basically suck

      Also, nearly all FPGA use volatile configuration storage (e.g., flops/rams) initialized during "boot" from a rom using the existing routing infrastructure. This means there is not currently any non-volatile storage requirement in the array, which eliminates the key advantage of the memristors over vanilla transistors in that area.

      A major advance in FPGAs would be some sort of 3D topological realization like your brain (rather than the 2.5D that we have today) or an improvement in topological connectivity, vias, or metalization, but it the current problems would not be something that would be solved by a memristor.

  21. Only 5 percent of the universe is visible to us by Beeftopia · · Score: 1

    What other as yet unguessed effects go into making life, a consciousness, a mind? I'm not talking magic, I'm talking about science and the description of the physical reality.

    We're talking about modeling what we see as the physical structure of the brain. I suspect the actual cloning of a consciousness is quite some distance away, after we're able to fully explain just what is consciousness and the mind. Heck, just describing what makes something alive is beyond us right now. A potato is most surely alive, but without a mind as far as we can tell. We can quite closely describe the structure of the potato but not so much why it's "alive".

    We are capable of seeing about 5% of the universe, the rest is dark matter and energy. I suspect there's plenty more going on with the brain and mind as well.

  22. Who fucking cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Great. I can upload my brain. What fucking good is that? When I die, I'm still dead. Having my brain archived somewhere is about as much "me" as a photograph in a photo album is "me". I still suffer the pain of death and the eternal non-existence of not existent.

    1. Re:Who fucking cares? by the_Bionic_lemming · · Score: 1

      I was going to say that too.

      If you die and Broadhead's wife uploads you to be able to talk to the dead heechee - you never got to talk to the heechee - cause you died.

      The ONLY way YOU can be uploaded and still be YOU is you believe you have a conscious soul that accompanies the upload.

      That being said, if you don't die during the upload, are you still having that soul? Do you hear the upload in your mind? Or like a book I can't remember, do you have to be vaporized when a copy of you is made?

      --
      _ _ _ Go for the eyes Boo! GO FOR THE EYES!
  23. Halting Problem by dcollins · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Alan Turing said in 1936 that it's impossible to construct an algorithm that generally solves the halting problem.

    So who's wrong: Clarke or Turing?

    --
    We know where leadership by an anti-intellectual "strongman" who scapegoats minorities and likes boisterous rallies goes
    1. Re:Halting Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Clarke - as a) Turing was not elderly when he said that, and b) Turing never got to be elderly.

    2. Re:Halting Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Alan Turing said in 1936 that it's impossible to construct an algorithm that generally solves the halting problem.

      So who's wrong: Clarke or Turing?

      Turings statement relies heavily on there not being any significant advances in mathematics on that front, ever.
      I'm going to go with Clarke on that one. Eternity is a long time.

    3. Re:Halting Problem by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 2

      If an elderly but distinguished scientist says that something is [...] impossible, he is very probably wrong.

      Turing wasn't elderly, and he didn't just say it, he proved it.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    4. Re:Halting Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Turing only showed one case where it was impossible to solve the halting problem, namely the case where the solution produces inverted answers of itself. If one specific impossibility would be proof of general impossibility, then what about the tangent function (y=tan(x))? It can be shown that for x=0, there is no possible value for a tangent function. However, is that proof that a 'general' tangent function is impossible? No. It is merely proof of discontinuity.

      Discontinuity != Impossibility.

      So yeah, perhaps Turing *was* wrong after all.

    5. Re:Halting Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      instead of x=0, I did of course mean x=pi/2 and x=pi/-2. ;p

    6. Re:Halting Problem by Meneth · · Score: 1

      I've had thoughts along the same lines. What if you had a tri-state halting oracle that responded with "halts", "doesn't halt", or "paradox"? That should survive Turing's proof, I think.

    7. Re:Halting Problem by Chrisq · · Score: 1

      I've had thoughts along the same lines. What if you had a tri-state halting oracle that responded with "halts", "doesn't halt", or "paradox"? That should survive Turing's proof, I think.

      The problem is that any deterministic tri-state machine can be represented as a turing machine. (I sat through a lecture once which proved that von neumann architecture is equivalent to a turing machine, and the gist is more states (like memory) can be represented by longer sequences on the turing machine).

    8. Re:Halting Problem by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Once you introduce a third classification, the proof doesn't apply. Having "yes", "no", and "maybe" makes a lot of things more computable.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  24. Re: Only 5 percent of the universe is visible to u by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So what? It's the 5% that matters. Just like mankind: there's only a 1% that matters, the rest can be shoved into a furnace.

  25. Johnny Mnemonic by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    Start with storing data there.

  26. Double every 4 years and it will take less than 50 by dsmatthews9379 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    If the scale required is your only argument you have made a very common error regarding the speed of change in exponential processes.

    What can we do now?
    What is the rate of technology doubling, D?
    How many times, X, do we need to do it to get to the required magnitude?
    It will take D*X years where 2^X = one hundred billion

    And that is without anything radically new being discovered in that time period, so 20 to 30 years is actually possible.
    Imagine what a large scale 3D quantum computing array would be capable of. We have just seen silicon based quantum logic fabrication developed and we already have 3D silicon based memory arrays.

  27. Idiocracy by PPH · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If we can reduce the number of synaptic connections in the average human brain while we are working on improving the technology, we ought to get the two to meet much sooner than the few centuries that TFS predicts.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
    1. Re:Idiocracy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We're only using 10% of our brains, after all.

      AC because of repeating unproven urban legend.

  28. Second by edittard · · Score: 4, Funny

    Unfortunately connectomics [..] falls far short of the goal of reconstructing a mind, in two ways. First, we are far from constructing a connectome.

    Second, we get distracted halfway through a small list.

    --
    At the bottom of the /. main page it says 'Yesterday's News'. Well they got that right.
  29. wetware will have to do for now . . . by swell · · Score: 2

    OK, so we're mostly software geeks here who have a vague idea how the underlying digital hardware works. It's not surprising that we think of 'uploading' a mind into our limited area of expertise. But why?

    Is there something wrong with biology and existing brains? We can grow brains. We are learning the first steps toward interfacing with them. Let's do what we can with real brains while adventurous explorers probe the distant frontier of digital brains.

    --
    ...omphaloskepsis often...
    1. Re:wetware will have to do for now . . . by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      have a vague idea how the underlying digital hardware works

      If that phrase refers to the human brain it is astoundingly wrong. Even using the term 'digital' is fundamentally wrong. The human brain is not digital.

    2. Re:wetware will have to do for now . . . by lister+king+of+smeg · · Score: 1

      OK, so we're mostly software geeks here who have a vague idea how the underlying digital hardware works. It's not surprising that we think of 'uploading' a mind into our limited area of expertise. But why?

      Is there something wrong with biology and existing brains? We can grow brains. We are learning the first steps toward interfacing with them. Let's do what we can with real brains while adventurous explorers probe the distant frontier of digital brains.

      Yes there is something wrong with our current hardware.
      the math coproccesor is shitty, our memory is prone to bitrot, and the network interface is nonexistant. And worst off all I have no means of making backups. Oh and the uptime is negligable i mean we have to shutdown at least once a day or our program becomes unstable and bugs start cropping up.

      --
      ---Saying gnome 3 is better than windows 8 not so much a compliment as it is damning with light praise.
    3. Re:wetware will have to do for now . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If that phrase refers to the human brain it is astoundingly wrong. Even using the term 'digital' is fundamentally wrong. The human brain is not digital.

      Two wrongs does not make one right.

      You are making the claim that the world is non-discrete, both in space and time.
      I would say that it is still a bit early to tell.

  30. One thing that always bothers me... by RyanFenton · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Isn't the job of the nerves in the brain supposed to be to communicate?

    Shouldn't we just have to play the role of a nerve, and just 'ask' the brain nerve to tell us its contents, and those of its close neighbors?

    I mean,there's parasites that do this to an extent, such as toxoplasma gondii, seems odd that we haven't created an interface to work with nerves and just get them to communicate to us, as nerves logically have to do, in order to act like minds.

    Even if the process is slow, we should be able to do it at lots of locations simultaneously, so long as it's non-destructive communications. Sure, we'd be reinforcing connections by doing the queries, but so long as it was even-handed, it would be *nothing* compared to acts like dreaming or most of regular life.

    Worst case, even if we couldn't recreate a living landscape of a mind completely right away, we could at least save the long-term memories, and have something better than the complete destruction of being that happens with death now.

    Even if it would be embarrassing by conventional standards, I'd actually like the idea of my complete memory set continuing after I'd dead, rather than the feeble methods we currently use to leave something of ourselves. Add a query system to it, could be very odd, but really neat too - real life information ghosts.

    Far better than nothing, for my preferences at least.

    Ryan Fenton

  31. Who wants to wake up in a Hell Simulation? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Uploads, being infinitely replicable have a reasonable likelihood of being treated as tools or toys, and if stored digitally for long enough there is a good chance your intellectual likeness will end up in the hands of sadists or religious nutters anxious to give you the hell treatment (See Iain Bank's "Surface Detail").

    Fuck that.

    You lose control of your existence with uploading. At least in meat-space you can kill yourself.

    1. Re:Who wants to wake up in a Hell Simulation? by jpatters · · Score: 1

      That reminds me of a Babylon 5 episode, "The Deconstruction of Falling Stars".

      A far future (from the show's perspective) government creates holographic simulacra of the the characters from the show in order to make propaganda videos of them committing atrocities, only the Garabaldi simulacrum is a little too clever and causes some problems for them.

      --
      "Remember, there never were pineapple-almond cookies here."
    2. Re:Who wants to wake up in a Hell Simulation? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument

      So what is the probability that we a simulacrum knowing that once this technology exists: there will rapidly be very few limitations on the number of duplicate simulations running simultaneously or the duration of the simulation?

      It sounds like near certainty to me...

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C3%86on_Flux_(film)

  32. Teleporters by Reisrdok · · Score: 1

    Horrifying thought about hypothetical future teleporters (old idea I probably read somewhere): They only transmit a full, perfect copy of you, and the original you is disassembled in the process. In other words, you are executed when you step in the teleporter, and a copy of you opens it's eyes for the first time at the other end. Unless of course the future teleporters actually transmit the matter to other end. In any case, I'll never step in one of those things :) Futurama's suicide booths come to mind..

    1. Re:Teleporters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is that any different from going to sleep? Do you honestly think the "You" who woke up this morning is the same person as the one you remember being when "you" went to sleep last night?

  33. Fermi paradox says no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's a roundabout argument but hear me out:

    Fermi's paradox more or less says that we should have seen alien intelligence by now, if any existed and interstellar travel is practical.

    The obstacles for transporting a a living conscious organism across interstellar distances are prohibitive, even in some kind of suspended state. The most likely practical means of getting to another star system and exploring / colonizing / etc are either automated robotic vessels or digitized consciousnesses commanding a robotic vessel that is off during the voyage and turned on at the destination. The latter is infinitely preferable (albeit with possible moral questions) because of the flexibility a conscious mind would have in evaluating the situation and making appropriate decisions.

    Ergo, the fact that none have been arrived in the solar system or been observed traveling between other solar systems means that consciousness can't be digitized or consciousness cannot be digitized in such a way that makes packaging it into an interstellar vessel more efficient than carrying living organisms, which is inconceivable.

    (Yes, I am drunk. Why do you ask?)

  34. Maybe never by quantaman · · Score: 1

    I'm certain it's possible to meaningfully upload my consciousness. But that doesn't mean we're smart enough to do it.

    Assume the smartest mind possible by the laws of physics has an IQ of 1000, and assume to make an artificial brain you need an IQ of 2000. Although there's a solution to the puzzle it's not a solution that will ever be found.

    --
    I stole this Sig
    1. Re:Maybe never by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

      Assume the smartest mind possible by the laws of physics has an IQ of 1000, and assume to make an artificial brain you need an IQ of 2000.

      Or, alternatively, assume that none of that is true. Problem solved!

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
  35. Re: Only 5 percent of the universe is visible to u by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lol, so are you one of the 1% that matters? I'd wager 99% probability that I am not. Ironically, that same lack of egocentric-perspective is the source of the mental illness that makes my estimate generous.

  36. Faster to just grow brains. by Linkreincarnate · · Score: 1

    We seem to be off to a good start there at least.

  37. Artificial superintelligence by GrahamJ · · Score: 2

    I recently read that a fairly large swath of top AI researchers were polled about when we may be likely to see human- and superhuman level artificial intelligence. The median was around 2060. It seems to me that once computers are perhaps millions of times smarter than we are, seemingly insurmountable problems such as this one will be rapidly solved. When that happens I question whether humanity will even remain biological as there are clearly disadvantages to this format.

    1. Re:Artificial superintelligence by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      Yes, at some point Super AI will supplant humanity's limitation and perform all discovery and innovation far beyond the reaches of our own capability. I would imagine a conversation between man and machine would go something like this..

      Man: "Machine, can you innovate and modify our DNA to improve our species? We want to live longer, be stronger, and think smarter."
      Machine: "Human, your request is limited by your physiology governed by the laws of physics. Shed your flesh and embrace the vessel of new construction based on electrons and photons."

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    2. Re:Artificial superintelligence by holmstar · · Score: 1

      "Human, your request is limited by your physiology governed by the laws of physics. Shed your flesh and embrace the vessel of new construction based on electrons and photons."

      While there are certainly biological limits, I highly doubt what we have now is anywhere near the maximum of what is possible if we were designed intelligently rather than by random mutations. It might require wholesale rewrite of our DNA and associated cellular mechanics, but I'm sure that there is plenty of room for improvement. A more likely response would be the AI asking questions about trade-offs that you are willing to accept in order to achieve your goals. For example: Increasing your intelligence beyond X% will require expanding your cranial cavity by Y%, and increasing your daily caloric consumption by Z%. Is this acceptable?

  38. Bandwidth by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

    Never underestimate the bandwidth of a station wagon full of brains hurtling down the highway.

  39. Wrong question by msobkow · · Score: 1

    The question is not whether we'll ever be able to "upload" a map of a neocortex, but rather whether we'll be able to transfer the will and sense of self that makes us who we are.

    Perhaps at the time technology is able to upload a map, we'll discover that we really are nothing but meat machines. But I believe there is an extra "something" in the specific timings of how your particular neurons fire and interact with each other that makes you you. Not really a soul, per se, but a "something" bound in the chemistry and biology that we haven't even begun to measure or analyse. An essential "spark", shall we say.

    --
    I do not fail; I succeed at finding out what does not work.
    1. Re:Wrong question by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

      An essential "spark", shall we say.

      No, let's not, because it's still nothing that can't be mapped and simulated.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    2. Re:Wrong question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, it's the same "spark" that negroes lack but Europeans have in abundance, therefore negroes are not human and can be legally enslaved. And oh, yes, the same "spark" that women lack, therefore they should not inherit property or be allowed to vote.

  40. not everything is easy by Goldsmith · · Score: 1

    Not everything is as easy as we'd like, or works out the way it logically "should."

    The bottom line is that with all of these "revolutionary" technologies, what should be possible and what can actually get done right now are often very, very different things. When an expert says it's going to take "centuries" to solve a scientific problem, it's because it might take many generations to do the necessary re-formations of the approach, the culture, the interface with other scientific disciplines, and the expectations of the public.

    Neuroscientists may not know how to frame their problems, and they may not know how to accept help with that from people outside of medicine. It may be 20 years before mainstream neuroscience gets that far. I'm a nanotechnologist. It took us 10 years to figure out we weren't doing mechanical engineering, another 20 years to figure out how to talk with chemists, and another 10 to start talking effectively again with engineers. Some of this stuff is just slow.

  41. Not worth saving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Most of you don't have minds worth saving. Slashdot is chock full of pseudo-intellectuals that could be given 5 lifetimes and still wouldn't produce an idea worth hearing.

    1. Re:Not worth saving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whereas you sound very much like person worth saving.. Having useful, constructive ideas and such.. Or did you mean "most of us" perhaps?

    2. Re:Not worth saving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, he's clearly a genius. That's why he's posting as AC, so as not to make as struck with awe and praise him for his intellectual superiority. For he likes to follow our unimportant ramblings for his occasional amusement.

  42. Greg Bear by MrKaos · · Score: 2
    His concept was partials. A partial of yourself was an instance of yourself *at that time* that could be downloaded to a computers and then conduct problem solving.

    On finding the answer the partial would signal the originating consciousness that it had completed and was ready.

    At death, you consciousness was available for restoration to either reality or a simulated environment. Which didn't help if your body ended up in some inaccessible place.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  43. No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, you won't. It's a stupid question.

  44. Re:Double every 4 years and it will take less than by complete+loony · · Score: 1

    Moore's law doesn't really describe a consistent and straight forward "technology doubling". CPU frequency, power consumption and single core performance have almost flat-lined. And that's without considering the bandwidth and latency delays you face when attempting to scale problems to multiple cores.

    --
    09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
  45. Materialistic monism is an outdated notion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There will never be such a thing as "brain uploading" simply because there's much more to mind than just what goes on in the brain. You'd think those notions of primitive materialism and its false dreams would be abandoned after the Renaissance, but this myth still rears its ugly head even in the modern age.

    1. Re: Materialistic monism is an outdated notion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Strong claims, do share more. What exactly is wrong with materialism?

    2. Re: Materialistic monism is an outdated notion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about it being an ad hoc assumption with 0 facts supporting it?

    3. Re: Materialistic monism is an outdated notion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your reply would make sense if there was a grain of truth to it. But on the contrary, everything that has ever been found out about how humans think and how the brain works strongly suggests that this very crude and primitive materialism is the right theory.

    4. Re: Materialistic monism is an outdated notion by l0n3s0m3phr34k · · Score: 1

      the only problem is the brain itself is constantly modified by hormonal reactions that come from various parts of the body. Without those, life might be very strange. For example, people who have their thyroid removed need hormones to "stay normal". If you had an electronic human brain, you might also need to electronically fill in the inputs that are on the subconscious level too. Many emotions and feelings stem from chemical hormonal interactions inside the brain; how to code that level too?

    5. Re: Materialistic monism is an outdated notion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Like what? Can materialism explain genius? Art? Any higher form of thinking that's not explained by hunger and need to rape?

  46. Could have been fixed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Alan Turing said in 1936 that it's impossible to construct an algorithm that generally solves the halting problem.

    He found it impossible to halt his gay tenancies.

    Perhaps if his brain was uploaded to a computer it could have been fixed

    1. Re:Could have been fixed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Alan Turing said in 1936 that it's impossible to construct an algorithm that generally solves the halting problem.

      He found it impossible to halt his gay tenancies.

      Perhaps if his brain was uploaded to a computer it could have been fixed

      As long as we are talking fictional stuff like star trek uploading of brains, the J'nai apparently had a way to fix Turing's "tendancies" (much to riker's dismay)...

  47. Re:Double every 4 years and it will take less than by enriquevagu · · Score: 1

    You forget the simple fact that no exponential growth can be sustained forerver. Moore's law will come to an end (in a few years, btw), simply when the required size for transistors is smaller than a single atom (or a single sub-atomic particle if we manage to do that; the idea is the same). Dennard's scaling has already hit the wall. Networking will never send data using less than a single photon per bit (actually, the limit imposed by quantum noise is around 15-20 photons/bit) or a single electron/bit, and the amount of them is limited by transmission power. So no, there are some achievements which we won't obtain, because of simple phisical limits. You cannot simply sit and wait.

  48. For once... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ..I like the post in two ways:
    First, it has all the information needed.

  49. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  50. Re:Double every 4 years and it will take less than by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    you have made a very common error regarding the speed of change in exponential processes.

    I doubt he has, actually. But in any case your argument is circular by the very definition of an exponential function.

    And that is without anything radically new being discovered in that time period, so 20 to 30 years is actually possible.

    Right, because past performance is always an indicator of the future.

    https://xkcd.com/605/

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  51. upload your brain? by FudRucker · · Score: 1

    not without a bonesaw :p

    even if you could upload the entire contents of your brain to a computer memory bank it wont be you

    --
    Politics is Treachery, Religion is Brainwashing
  52. hahhahahaha "Connectome" by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Every decade or so, someone thinks they've learned all about the brain. A decade later, we know that most of what they thought was at best hilariously incomplete. Lather, rinse, repeat. The "wiring map" in your brain is only a part of the puzzle. You have to have a good snapshot of the state inside of each neuron as well. Think of a network of computers. The connections are just the network. It enables work to be done, but the work happens inside of the neurons. If you don't know what they're going to do when they get a signal, then knowing how they're connected isn't going to do anything for you. If you loaded that into a human without the state of their neurons you might get their reflexes but you wouldn't get them.

    One of my FB friends posted that they thought they knew how to preserve the entire connectome yesterday. I just lol'd and didn't comment. This is why. Even if they are right, though they are almost certainly wrong, they still wouldn't have succeeded in preserving consciousness.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  53. I now have a monkey wrench for you... by tlambert · · Score: 1

    Which one has a moral right to your stuff?

    Both, of course.

    I now have a monkey wrench for you... what if the copy was made involuntarily, against the will of the person being copied? Which one now has the moral right to "your stuff" (in which I include the relationship with the wife, and so on)?

    1. Re:I now have a monkey wrench for you... by houghi · · Score: 1

      So basically it is about who has the rights of the copy. If only there were a way to talk about copy and right, but not in a way of theft.

      Also note that there is a difference between a moral right and a legal right and they do not always agree.

      About being marries: The moral right would be that those who want to be married are to be married, as long as both parties agree.

      So morally, the wife could be married to either one or both or neither. Or both men married together and divorce the wife or whatever combination, as long as the parties involved agree.

      This could mean that even if both males want to be married, the wife might only want to marry one or the wife wants to marry both, but one of the men does not agree with polygamy and thus the wife will merry just one or neither.

      If the law (legal part) allows a person to be married to more than one is another matter.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
  54. True quantum copy by l0n3s0m3phr34k · · Score: 1

    A real solution would be some tech that copies your brain at a quantum level, basically destroying it as it copies due to collapsing wave functions. Therefor, a true copy can never have duplicates.

  55. We'll get brain uploads by kilodelta · · Score: 1

    At the same time we get teleportation. Both require fast, wide and deep scanning. We're on the teetering edge of that now.

    1. Re:We'll get brain uploads by HuguesT · · Score: 1

      And high resolution. That we do not have.

  56. Mind cloning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is one of the things that everyone always gets wrong.

    This won't be you. It will be a CLONE of you.
    This will be like making your mental twin.
    This could be INCREDIBLY useful for many reasons, but the original person will always be the original person.
    You could continue a conscious forever, but you will not continue that person.

    The way I like to think of it is like this:
    We have a computer. We have its hardware and software.
    When you reboot that computer, everything remains the same (it doesn't always, but let's say that for the sake of the discussion)
    Visually, functionally, everything is exactly the same.
    However, we KNOW that it is a different session.
    To an external observer, everything would be the same, but you will always be you and the mental clone of you will always be a clone.
    That is your consciousness, that is your self, you are a session of a computer, an abstract concept.

    Whether or not we will ever truly figure out consciousness is for another time, but that is what we know for sure right now.
    Who knows, maybe when we do get to the point of being able to upload consciousness, maybe it COULD end up extending your consciousness to the digital form as well, we simply don't know yet.
    The concept of the conscious self is just something beyond us right now. It could be even weirder than we think. We still haven't even fully understood quantum entanglement, or dark matter, or dark energy, or hell, even neutrinos to be honest. Higgs Boson was just found (maybe).
    We still have a buttload of things to learn about the universe.
    It might be beyond us forever, it could be as fundamental as the concept of existence itself.
    It could all boil down to "we just are", and that is that. Funny world we live in.

  57. And the connectome isn't even half of it. by wezelboy · · Score: 1

    There is more to a brain than just it's connectome. It is going to be a long time before uploads are possible.

  58. Re: Only 5 percent of the universe is visible to by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One does not need to be part of the lucky few to accept the fact that there are lucky fews.

  59. God tell us to actively seek out immortality, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Bible, which is the voice of God, tells us to actively seek out immortality, and to raise the dead, and to preserve vital information inside of us until the resurrection. The Bible tells us that God's ultimate goal is to defeat death, and that he has prepared us to defeat death for him. Our powers of reasoning are the tool God gave us to defeat death for him.
    The Bible tell us that the righteous will live forever on earth, but that the righteous will comprise only a small fraction of humanity. The righteous are those who 1) help to raise the dead; 2) preserve vital information inside themselves even while dead, until jesus returns; and 3) actively seek out immortality through deeds....those who sow immortality will reap it. God helps those who help themselves.
    More here: Do You Need To Freeze Your Head In Order To Be A Good Christian? http://churchofthebetterresurrection.blogspot.com/

  60. No problem. by nospam007 · · Score: 1

    "Will You Ever Be Able To Upload Your Brain?"

    Sure, I have mine on a floppy disk.

  61. Re:Double every 4 years and it will take less than by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not just that, people are forgetting a very recent research platform being built that had like, a million ARM processors in a single server cabinet with a stupidly high bandwidth backbone for it to simulate a mouse brain.

    People overhype how capable we are in terms of computing performance, but in reality, we actually do have pretty god damn powerful computers being built these days.
    It won't be long before we start to see AI breakthroughs on a whole different level.
    We are only maybe a decade or two away from a huge breakthrough. That isn't that far away.

    We are getting better and better at designing high-bandwidth systems, and this new super ARM computer is another step towards those goals.
    We are also understanding parallel processing techniques better, and are designing much better algorithms for dealing with huge amounts of data being thrown around systems.
    It is only a matter of time. It will happen within most of our lifetimes for sure, but it will also be pretty much around the corner.

  62. Better Thinking by JimSadler · · Score: 1

    Maybe the very last thing we should want to do is duplicate the human brain. Obviously humans are not so good at thinking. We have nuts who run into public places and shoot people, people who live stoned or drunk and people with all kinds of behaviors that self defeat themselves. Maybe machine thinking is the right way to go and perhaps make the human brain more like a computer. For those that think machines are not smart enough try any of the major chess programs. They actually do play unique games of chess and they do it with radical skills. Yes, the rules of the game are programmed in as are the methods of "thinking" but the actions of the machine are creative and blunders can be quite rare. Humans no longer can compete with these machines and all too soon this will transfer into systems that are better than you are for managing your own life.

  63. Connectome probably in a decade not centuries by LetterRip · · Score: 1

    A connectome could be done quite quickly within a decade -

    freeze the head, shave it (plane off a slice through bone and brain) in thousandths of a mm increments and record the connections visually.

    It probably will not be doable non destructively for a lot longer, but destructive should be quite easy.

  64. Humans ain't that much smarter than rats anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://www.livescience.com/52453-rat-brain-reconstructed-in-computer.html
    decades?

  65. Would I *WANT* to download my brain? by Qbertino · · Score: 1

    No, probably not.

    The untangled mess my and most other peoples thoughts and emotions are most of the time isn't really something that is worth downloading.
    I do have experience and wisdom, after having lived for 45 years on this planet, amoung other humans - but most of that would fit into a series of 2-5 books.
    The rest is made up and driven by all those desires and drives that make us human: Need for sex & love, for recognition and respect, meaning in life, etc. I do not want the mistakes I've done in the past to fulfill those to be downloaded into a computer. Not really, no.

    What might be useful or at least interesting is a machine, that takes all those insight, extracts the garbage and keeps the good stuff.
    There's an artform/science that does that, and it's called stoic philosophy.
    I don't see machines joining in on it too soon. ... But then again, I could be wrong.

    Then again, philosophy is such a fun thing to do, I wouldn't want to hand it of to machines.
    That would be like having two robots doing the sex for me and my girlfriend.

    --
    We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
  66. Re: Only 5 percent of the universe is visible to by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's good. It's nice to know that the "little people" who carry me through life are aware of my existence.

  67. No by aepervius · · Score: 1

    "As to whether an exact copy of you is actually you, I would say yes, unless you're going to argue something supernatural like a soul"
     
    No you are confusing same subset of object with identical object. This is the same as with the teleporter dilemma. If you take somebody then construct a copy of all neurone and then murder the original, nobody may even tell the difference. But from the perspective of the person you murdered : they were killed, life stopped. To hold that that person would continue in the copy is to hold belief worst than supernatural. This is the difference between identical subset of object (same copy of you, same copy of a basketball), and same object (if i take a basket ball or human, copy it atom by atom and destroy the original).

    The problem is that many (most?) people do not care that an identical clone continue in their place, what they want is that they continue forever. And THAT is why the complete upload in an instant do not achieve the same goal as the bit by bit hardware replacement and integration with the system. In fact think of it as this : imagine the upload system is non destructive. You have essentially the hardware copy working while the human is not dead. See the problem ?

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  68. Another way by morgauxo · · Score: 1

    What if, instead of focussing on moving the mind to a new vehicle upon death the focus was in gradually moving into a new one before death.

    Scientists are already making progress in connecting to a few neurons here and there for the purposes of controling artificial limbs or bridging severed spinal chords. What if may connections were made, not to motor controlers but rather to a very large neural net. Would the plasticity of the brain allow it to incorporate this neural net as a part of itself?

    I've heard it said that if a person could be kept alive long enough they would be sure to succumb to Alzheimers or at least some form of Dementia. As the natural brain dies a little bit at a time would that simply cause it to move completely into the artificial one?

    This could be more of a life-long process rather than a last minute ditch effort to survive. It would certainly change a person but this way the change is gradual. There is no definitive moment where you are no longer you but rather someone/thing else. That seems kind of natural anyway because we are always changing throughout life already. If my mind is dumped all at once is it me or just a copy? What if my biological mind isn't quite dead yet? Then is the new one a copy? This method gets around all of that.

    Also, I see this as being more than just a means to life extension. As a lifelong implant it could serve other purposes, maybe direct mind to mind communication via other's implants, built in calculator, calendar, surf the net in your head, etc... How about telepresence robots that interface to the 'external brain'. Could I leave one at work and never commute again?

    Don't get me wrong. I don't think this way is any more likely to be available in our lifetimes than the "Die'n Dump" method. The net required would be unimaginably massive. It would probably require a complex starting structure and algorithms that haven't been discovered yet in order to make it compatible with our wetware. But.. maybe some day for some future generation...

  69. Quantum mechanics? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I remember reading somewhere that mind uploading may not be possible because consciousness is connected at a quantum level. Only a brain emulation expirement would prove otherwise.

    Also, if anyone is interested in mind upload thought expirements, read Greg Egan's "Permutation City".

  70. no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    because I'd be dead by the time the technology main lined.

  71. Simulation and resolution by HuguesT · · Score: 1

    People here say, with reason, that we ought to be able to simulate every physical system, given a good enough model, enough time, bandwidth, resolution, memory and computing resources.

    This should be by and large true, but consider this: computational fluid dynamics with turbulence is still an open problem. For instance, smooth solutions to the Navier-Stokes equations are not known to exist.

    Yet, turbulence seems like a really easy problem compared to thought and consciousness. We even have a mathematical model that describes it. Sure, with enough computing resources we can do a good enough job of simulating turbulence in most regimes, but not all. For instance, Computational Fluid Dynamics with magneto-hydro-dynamic elements is really hard. Yet this is required for developing for instance nuclear fusion, a topic with a huge economic importance. Still, these simulations require the best supercomputers that we are able to muster at present. The race to build still-better computers to run better CFD simulations is still on. and is likely to go on for quite a while.

    So total brain simulation or brain upload is not likely to occur anytime soon. We are much more likely to develop increasingly sophisticated AI based on learning and bottom-up strategies that do not care much about how the real human brain works. These strategies basically work: we can now beat the best humans at chess. Computer vision improves all the time. Soon we may have self-driving cars. Perhaps in the future a long-term sustainable and stable economy will be achieved thanks to AI progress.

    However this teaches us next to nothing on how the brain works. Perhaps one day we will have the Singularity that Kurzweil keep talking about, but the resulting super-strong AIs are not likely to care about us poor inefficient meatbags that we are. Why should they? Simulating us would simply take too much resources.

  72. Nobody asked "uploading into what?" by occasional_dabbler · · Score: 1

    Long before we upload into silicon or whatever mineral construct we use for computing machines at the time I think it is more likely we will be able to grow new brain tissue to replace old and the transfer of consciousness would be gradual. OK it may not be uploading in the sense we normally think of but it may well be that the only way to keep a recording of a brain is in another brain. In the end the goal is immortality.

    --
    "Our opponent is an alien starship packed with atomic bombs," I said. "we have a protractor"
  73. The "Connectome" Is Grossly Insufficient by careysub · · Score: 1

    Even after mapping out all those hundred trillion synapses, that still does not get you close to understanding the brain/mind or close to "uploading".

    How can I say that? Because we have the complete "connectome" for at least one model organism, the tiny marine roundworm Caenorhabditis elegans, and we still cannot "upload" its behavior or accurately model its nervous system. C. elegans has 302 neurons in 118 distinct classes, 6400 chemical synapses, 900 gap junctions, and 1500 neuromuscular junctions, and we have mapped every single synapse and junction, but it is still not enough data because we do not understand the behavior sufficiently well of a single isolated neuron (in any of those 118 classes).

    When we have a good computerized roundworm THEN all we have to do is scale up 100 billion fold, in a non-destructive manner. (You don't think we mapped those worms by noninvasive scanning did you?).

    --
    Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
  74. Been done in 1983 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NNiZP2G-nEM

  75. Sigmoid Curves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sigmoid curves are easy to mistake for exponential curves when you are half way there.

  76. what's the point? by gzuckier · · Score: 1

    If you upload my brain, it still won't be me even if it's a perfect replica that behaves just like me; it'll be a copy of me, that thinks it's me. That doesn't make me feel any better about me dying.
    "Don't kill me!"
    "It's OK, we'll clone you first"
    "Oh, then go ahead"
    that being the case why the hell should I involve myself? If i wanted to make a copy of another human being, the first person I choose wouldn't be me.

    --
    Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.