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NASA Study Shows Net Gains For Antarctic Ice (google.com)

A widely circulated NASA study published in the Journal of Glaciology, and reported by UPI, says that Antarctic ice has measurably thickened in recent decades, a conclusion at odds with earlier findings from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "which in 2013 suggested gains were not keeping up with losses." The new study ... doesn't totally undermine the handful of studies showing significant glacier, ice sheet and sea ice shrinkage. Instead, if offers evidence of previously unaccounted gains. ... The new tallies reveal an annual net gain of 112 billion tons between 1992 and 2001. Annual gains of 82 billion tons were observed between 2003 and 2008.

319 comments

  1. Oh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    ManBearPig, wherefore art thou ...

  2. It must be a biased study by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Who funded it? Where did these people work before NASA? They need to be investigated.

    1. Re:It must be a biased study by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      File RICO charges now! We cannot let these clearly biased studies stand unchallenged. No one must dare to challenge the globull warming doctrine!!!!!1111!!!1!elventityone!!!!!

      The bad part, is this is exactly, precisely how most of the posters on /. behave.

      Posted anonymously for obvious reasons.

    2. Re:It must be a biased study by locofungus · · Score: 1

      Where did these people work before NASA? They need to be investigated.

      It's OK. No need to worry. You can ignore this report. At least one of the authors has already been "investigated" and found to be wanting by the skeptic croud. He is one of the "alarmists" predicting that if the trend to 2007 continued then arctic sea ice could disappear in 2012.

      He also, according to the skeptics, cherry-picks:

      https://stevengoddard.wordpres...

      http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com...

      And, indeed, he's (obviously deliberately) done it again here: only using the data to 2008.

      On a less facetious note, this could be good, bad, or make no difference to existing thoughts.

      Good - some mechanism not considered is allowing substantial transfer of mass from the oceans to the interior of Antarctica. In the shorter term at least this could make sea level rise much less than currently anticipated over the next few centuries.

      Bad - there's a much larger than believed loss of ice-mass from somewhere else and the current estimates of expected sea level rise will turn out to be severe underestimates when, e.g. the Greenland icesheet disintegrates and falls into the ocean.
      (The only two mechanisms I can think of to account for the observed sealevel rise and the assumption that Antarctica didn't lose mass are much more loss from Greenland or thermal expansion. Excess energy going into heating of the oceans could account for the "pause" too)

      Indifferent - there's a short-term mechanism that can temporarily move ice mass into interior Antarctica. This can occur over a decade or two before reestablishing longer term trends. This will add noise to the system and make it harder to estimate long term trends from shorter term data but doesn't significantly alter trends from longer terms.

      --
      God said, "div D = rho, div B = 0, curl E = -@B/@t, curl H = J + @D/@t," and there was light.
  3. Science is Settled by Nuisance · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yesterday Antarctica was contributing 0.27mm p/y to sea level rise
    Today Antarctica is removing 0.23mm p/y to sea level rise
    A 0.5mm p/y change in a day.
    We are told sea level is rising 2.6 to 2.9mm p/y so that 0.5mm p/y change is 16 - 20% of the total figure, that is a massive discrepancy.

    Keep being told that the science is settled, this hardly looks like settled science to me.

    But queue the alarmists, I am sure they will explain this is 'worse news than eva' and matches what they predicted.

    Or wait a year or two and NASA will adjust the data based on models 'cause the real data doesn't match the models, and everyone knows models trump real data in climate science.

    1. Re:Science is Settled by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But queue the alarmists, I am sure they will explain this is 'worse news than eva' and matches what they predicted.

      Did you even RTFA?

      "The good news is that Antarctica is not currently contributing to sea level rise, but is taking 0.23 millimeters per year away," Zwally said. "But this is also bad news. If the 0.27 millimeters per year of sea level rise attributed to Antarctica in the IPCC report is not really coming from Antarctica, there must be some other contribution to sea level rise that is not accounted for."

      In short, this is not good news or bad news. This is just news. It's not telling us that ice isn't melting. It's telling us that ice isn't melting (the net effect anyway) in one specific region. It doesn't change the fact of AGW, only how we understand the workings of climate.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Science is Settled by towermac · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Really? Because you said, 'Ice loss in the Antarctic is causing sea level rise.' That was a big one, as far as why and how everybody is going to die.

      Perhaps I exaggerate your position slightly, but is it really 'just news?' It changes nothing? I guess it wouldn't, if saving the planet from the deadly effects of AGW was never the goal in the first place.

    3. Re:Science is Settled by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Informative

      Perhaps I exaggerate your position slightly, but is it really 'just news?' It changes nothing? I guess it wouldn't, if saving the planet from the deadly effects of AGW was never the goal in the first place.

      In fact, it changes nothing with regards to sea level rise; it's still rising. It changes things for Antarctica, but I don't live there. Also, thickening of the ice doesn't slow global warming. Only growing ice extent can do that, by reducing albedo.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Science is Settled by Chas · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That science is SETTLED my friend.

      In science, the only things that are "settled" are things that have been unequivocally disproven. Things like Phlogiston, humors, etc.

      Simply because a significant number (or even a majority (or even ALL)) of current scientists in the field agree that *this* is the One True Way, doesn't mean that they're correct.

      Note: This is NOT the same thing as saying that they're wrong. Nor that the ideas they're espousing are worthless.

      The basic message is "we should leave the planet better off than we found it". Which is a good and admirable thing.

      The big problem is that nobody has a clear, and widely agreed-upon idea about what to do about it. And some of the options being put forth are fairly shady, dangerous, or just flat-out unacceptable. Sometimes two or three of those at once.

      Sending everyone to live in caves, killing off a significant chunk of the world population, or destroying the world energy economy fall under the "all three" category.

      The whole "carbon credit" trading scheme has already proven totally shady, since it's a carte blanche license to pollute.

      Basically, I foresee nothing real being done about it for a long, LONG time while vast sums of money are spent uselessly and people wrangle over "The Right Way".

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    5. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No such thing as "settled" science.

    6. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Don't you morons ever get tired of embarrassing yourselves?

      So now we have thickening of the ice AND growing Ice Extent.

      Did you hear the joke about the Scientists who declared a world wide crises but Nature declined to show up?

    7. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sea level has been rising since the last ice age, it was rising in the 70s when Artic sea ice was higher than now, it is still rising now when artic sea ice is low, and based on non-model modified, non GIA-adjusted, non-homogenized data it is not accelerating.

    8. Re:Science is Settled by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      "But queue the alarmists,"

      When we have the alarmists all lined up, then what?

    9. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then dispute gravity and jump off a tall building onto concrete.

    10. Re:Science is Settled by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 1

      Well, obviously then they all take a number and wait their turn to give new reasons why their models still trump reality.

      --
      If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
    11. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Sending everyone to live in caves, killing off a significant chunk of the world population, or destroying the world energy economy fall under the "all three" category.

      Nobody is asking that. moving to a low-carbon economy even has significant economic benefits, and I assume a lot less wars over oil would also be a very good thing.

    12. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      In science, the only things that are "settled" are things that have been unequivocally disproven. Things like Phlogiston, humors, etc.

      I'm not sure if you understand the word settled, even when I put it in caps to ensure the word was clear.

      It does not mean it is unequivocally proven, or that all other things are unequivocally disproven - It means that the worlds scientific community have reached an agreement about it, which we have. That standard for proof is one of theory, not of reality, and again not what was said.

      The basic message? Ahem. There is no basic message. Climate Change is a description of a physical and chemical process. It will not argue the point with you, it will not change its mind, it will also never give a basic message that belongs on a recycling bin.

      I can give you my basic message: A chain reaction has begun, and we need to stop it.

      No, we do not have a clear way to stop it, you are right. We have ideas, and all of them are doing things that run risks. Correct again, carbon credits are bad in many ways, they were a political solution to a problem that doesn't do what is really needed, fund mitigation projects.

      I couldn't give a shit about carbon emissions in the short term, if you get rid of every one today, we are still locked in to rise for over a decade, nor do I want my sulphate producing, earth dimming, coal fired power stations to close unless someone shows me a way they can mitigate the same amount of solar radiation.

      If there is one thing I have learnt though, it is that this conversation almost certainly wont change you, or anyone else. You need to have it physically effect you to change your mind. And even when people do understand that it's real, they know stuff all about the hard realities, nor the science, nor the mis-communications on all sides and how it hides the information in oceans of fanaticism. Bah.

    13. Re:Science is Settled by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      So now we have thickening of the ice AND growing Ice Extent.

      It's much more important on land, where there's less snow and ice than ever.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    14. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The whole "carbon credit" trading scheme

      And who made a mess of that ? it's not the environmentalists, that's for sure.

    15. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Also, thickening of the ice doesn't slow global warming. Only growing ice extent can do that, by reducing albedo.

      So, your statement destroyed by facts, you pivot to yet another argument. Suddenly the Arctic and Antarctic aren't important anymore because they refuse to play along.

    16. Re:Science is Settled by david_bonn · · Score: 2

      In science, the only things that are "settled" are things that have been unequivocally disproven.

      Okay, so things like:

      Smoking tobacco increases your risk of lung cancer.

      The HIV virus causes AIDS.

      Many diseases are caused by microorganisms.

      The Earth is round.

      Most plants produce sugars via photosynthesis.

      Are not "settled"?

    17. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sending everyone to live in caves, killing off a significant chunk of the world population, or destroying the world energy economy fall under the "all three" category.

      Yeah cause those are all the same. In other news I propose free puppies for all, fat burning/muscle building cheeseburgers at McDonalds and continually dumping an enormous amount of a known greenhouse gas into the atmosphere.

      And why is the alternative to fossil fuels always "DESTRUCTION OF GLOBAL ECONOMY". First of all, the global economy destroyed itself all on its own a few years ago and will do so again. Second, it sounds like you're arguing we can't do anything because some people will lose their jobs. Thats /.'s favorite myth to debunk! Some oil workers and miners will work in battery and solar panel factories and some will invent new industries altogether right? What happened to all the buggy whip manufacturers?

    18. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have an increase in the sea ice. You have a increase of snowfall in the east and continental west Antarctic and a loss of ice on the western peninsula.

      As the Antarctic warms towards zero you get an increase in water vapour which results in increased snowfalls. With any luck the additional snowfall with cool temperatures again, making the Antarctic more resilient to warming. This is good news, however the collapse of the west Antarctic shelf is still in danger of collapse, this study doesn't impact on that finding.

    19. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no. it just gets lots of monies given to shitty half pseudoscience areas of scientific study that were getting almost none before they created a sublime panic.

      fuck our local nws office for example used to be nearly perfect in short term forecasting, now they cockup in new and spectacular ways on a fairly regular basis. my favorite is when the night shift changes a perfectly accurate 24h forecast to something shittily wrong 4h beforehand. hith they manage to do so fairly regularly is beyond me as noaa just spent a fsckton on a new supercomputer that was supposed to improve this shit.

      my other favorite is when the longterm week ahead forecast was more accurate than what the reject meteorologists could pull out of their asses 8-12h ahead.

      fortunately the storm prediction center hasn't been invaded by these rejects yet.

    20. Re:Science is Settled by khallow · · Score: 1

      In your previous post, you made a position of strong certainty "That science is SETTLED my friend." But now, you're waffling like a breakfast buffet. You can't have it both ways.

      I have a suggestion here. Stop being a tool.

    21. Re:Science is Settled by khallow · · Score: 0

      And who made a mess of that ? it's not the environmentalists, that's for sure.

      They don't have the political power or economic know-how to screw it up by themselves. But their support was required to create obviously flawed markets.

    22. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Gravity is not SETTLED.

      Initially it was thought to be a wave, which works on a small scale.
      Einstein suggests that it is the curvature of space time. Which works on a larger scale but falls apart at a galactic scale, thus we invented dark matter to explain that.
      Some scientists believe it is produced by a sub-atomic particle called a graviton. Which is more akin to the wave theory.
      Another set of scientists has suggested that is it not a graviton but is a side effect of several gluons being bound together.
      Another group of scientist have suggested that Einstein was right and that the "dark matter" is really anti matter with a negative gravitational field that only exists in the space between galaxies and is what bounds them.

      So like all Science there are competing theories to explain what is observed. There really is no "Settled" science, because taking a vote to decide what scientists think is right is not science, it is politics.

    23. Re: Science is Settled by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 2

      The economic benefit to those who the government picks as winners.

      Good thing you live in a democracy, eh? I mean, if you're Syrian, I'm so sorry, but this trend of westerners 'othering' their governments when they're part of it fucking baffles me.

      --
      Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
    24. Re:Science is Settled by fyngyrz · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Smoking tobacco increases your risk of lung cancer.

      You only get a partial for that: It increases some people's risk of having lung cancer. Appears to depends on the individual's genes.

      The Earth is round

      Nope: The earth is an irregular oblate spheroid.

      Most plants produce sugars via photosynthesis

      Another partial: Photosynthesis in plants produces glucose (C6H12O6), O2 and H2O. Glucose is a monosaccharide carbohydrate. This is a simple sugar in the chemical sense, but it is not "sugar" in the way most people understand the term, which is as the disaccharide sucrose, C12H22O11. Storage within a plant is generally as polysaccharide amylose or amylopectin -- or in other words, starch.

      And while these facts are perhaps somewhat settled, perhaps it would be prudent for you to consider that your description of the facts, and perhaps the understanding of the facts you built those descriptions from, leaves something to be desired. It is possible this has follow-on implications for your descriptions of, and understanding of, climate change.

      You should consider that science is essentially a method. The method is, generally speaking, to formulate a hypothesis (e.g. the earth will warm, the seas will flood, etc.) and then devise ways to attempt to show this experimentally so that you can see if your hypothesis has some truth to it. At that point, again generally speaking, you, or others, test further by looking for things that will falsify the hypothesis. Both of these require actual experiments that demonstrate the results, or collection of data where the process has already been shown to be ongoing.

      In the case of CO2-driven climate change, which is to say what will actually happen with all the forcings and feedback mechanisms, there is no supporting data in the form of increasing CO2 having caused warming. In the historical record, in every case, rises in CO2 herald climate cooling. This has happened over and over again. So the whole "already ongoing process" thing is out as far as supporting evidence goes. As to the actual experiment, we have not seen actual results, so we are still in the "here is a hypothesis" stage.

      In the process of trying to produce models that predict results ahead of time, we have repeatedly failed to hit the mark. This is at the very least, cautionary with regard to the validity of the hypothesis.

      That's not to say it is wrong; but it definitely says that the science is not settled, no matter how you meant the term.

      I would say it is prudent not to spew things into the atmosphere which do not naturally end up there in like amounts, assuming we want to keep climate change moving along the path it would have done without the presence of a large number of gas- and particulate-producing human endeavors.

      But do we? That's actually subject to varied opinion... in the case of climate change in the warming direction along with sea level rise, some places would be less habitable, but others would be more so; some regions would be less well suited for some crops, but others would be more well suited for those same crops. Some land would submerge and lose habitability and real-estate value, but other land would become the bays and inlets and shorelines of the future, and it would increase in habitability, value and utility. People would very, very slowly (over generations) have to move around a little. Which they tend to do anyway. That's the least of all the challenges -- the majority of those displaced by this will be the wealthy who have an interest in the current shoreline -- who are, conveniently enough, also the people who can most afford disruption. The sea would likely warm, and life there would have to adapt, either by following the preferred temperature gradient or by evolving to meet the metabolic challenge.

      On the other side of the coin, some low-lying areas that have been populated may have to

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    25. Re:Science is Settled by burtosis · · Score: 1

      Obviously it's not just news. Either the paper presented above is incorrect for some reason or the uncertainty and completeness of the IPCC report is called into question. It's sad that its so hard to actually address the science without half the posters going nuts.

    26. Re:Science is Settled by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

      In fact, it changes nothing with regards to sea level rise; it's still rising

      Yes, at a small rate that is of little practical significance.

      It changes things for Antarctica, but I don't live there.

      Antarctica and Greenland are relevant because if they aren't melting, large scale sea level rise is simply not possible, and whatever changes we are observing now must be self-limiting.

      Also, thickening of the ice doesn't slow global warming.

      Good! A wetter, warmer climate for the world is a good thing.

    27. Re:Science is Settled by prof_robinson · · Score: 0

      No, nobody is asking that...they're only advocating policies that will lead to it. As soon as there are great benefits to this "new energy", people will switch to it. You'll be amazed at how fast it will happen, and how little regulations it will require. People want *better* energy; they don't care what color it is. Yeah, no more wars for oil...but if you think that humans won't find something else to fight over, say, litihum for all our new batteries - you're hopelessly naive.

    28. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, the first place one looks for water( or ice ) on a dead planet is at its poles... so stating there's still a steady supply of ice at one of our poles(even though it's been calving glacial ice like crazy) doesn't tell us much. And just maybe, when we do start to see the decline then we're like: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dsx2vdn7gpY

    29. Re: Science is Settled by khallow · · Score: 1

      but this trend of westerners 'othering' their governments when they're part of it fucking baffles me

      That's easily explained by the "westerner" not actually being part of the government and not receiving the benefits in question.

    30. Re:Science is Settled by evilviper · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The big problem is that nobody has a clear, and widely agreed-upon idea about what to do about it.

      A few clear, viable, and widely agreed-upon solutions:

      - Stop burning coal

      - Increase energy efficiency (buildings, appliances, vehicles, etc.) as much as possible

      - Stop Deforestation

      - Slow population growth

      - Eat more plants and reduce production of meat

      - Switch to non-fossil energy sources as quickly as possible

      With a simple search, you can find plenty of lists like this all over the web:

      http://www.scientificamerican....

      http://www.ucsusa.org/global_w...

      The whole "carbon credit" trading scheme has already proven totally shady, since it's a carte blanche license to pollute.

      It would probably work great if there was one global program. But without universal participation, a more aggressive standard will only penalize participants, while rewarding outsiders. Faking it and putting in-place a system that does nothing is the only option.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    31. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can see this when scientists wants other people to stop driving gasoline cars. They can't say you should stop driving because that would upset many. So they say you should say other people should stop driving cars too but that faces the same problem and so no change in behaviour

    32. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree. You totally caught him in a pivot and attempt to deflect the facts. Good job. Drinkypoo needs to just admit he got caught instead of changing the argument every five minutes.

    33. Re:Science is Settled by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 2

      Gravity is a wonderful example of the phenomenon at work here. Dark matter is an "inconvenient truth" in the astrophysics community, a fudge factor that keeps getting put into the equations, then taken out, then put back in again as newer and better observations are made.

      Right now, the climate scientists have their own dark matter to deal with, which is the inconvenient refusal of the atmosphere and oceans to undergo consistent, predictable warming in defiance of our best numerical models. The answers to both conundrums will have one thing in common: neither of them will involve a "consensus of 99% of scientists" or any other sort of democratic process. Instead, they will emerge, unavoidably, from a hard-won understanding of the underlying physical mechanisms.... an understanding that we clearly don't have yet, in either astrophysics or climatology.

      Soooo.... let's get the models right before we rewire our economy around them, okay?

    34. Re:Science is Settled by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      Real science is never "settled".

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    35. Re:Science is Settled by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      - Stop burning coal

      While I agree with this, it just isn't going to happen. We will talk about it and hem and haw about it, but we'll keep burning it...

      We may not burn EVERY last pound of coal in the ground, but we'll sure give it the old college try...

      All the talking back and fourth won't change that...

      - Increase energy efficiency (buildings, appliances, vehicles, etc.) as much as possible

      We are already doing this, it takes time, decades, to make a major difference. Existing buildings don't get torn down and replaced overnight. Building codes also vary widely. Sadly, in Texas, home builders are still putting up inefficient homes.

      - Switch to non-fossil energy sources as quickly as possible

      This won't happen, see coal. We will slowly switch to some non-fossil energy sources, but not "as quickly as possible".

      ---

      Please note: I'm not telling you my opinion, I'm telling you which way the wind is blowing. There is "what we'd like to do", then there is "what we will do". Never confuse the two.

    36. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One factor is that the oceans are warming and so the water is simply expanding.

    37. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That science is SETTLED my friend.

      Steve Jobs is right. 64k is enough.

    38. Re:Science is Settled by someone1234 · · Score: 1

      All I know, low laying islands and shorelines are getting into trouble. Google for Maldives.

      --
      Patents Drive Free Software as Hurricanes Drive Construction Industry
    39. Re:Science is Settled by pagedout · · Score: 1

      *pft* Jump first, only ask questions later and only if they are needed to promote more funding.

    40. Re:Science is Settled by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Seems you missed the wet warm tropical storm aka Taifun in the Phillipines two weeks ago?
      For basically every place on the world where it is aalready warm and wet, becomming more warm and more wet is a catastrophe.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    41. Re:Science is Settled by mspohr · · Score: 1

      The science is settled, the climate is warming.
      Of course, the effects of a warming climate on the sea, land, fish, animals, etc. is being studied and the effects are not always clear and obvious.
      This result is interesting and not obvious. If the Antarctic is actually contributing 0.23mm a year to sea level falling, then other areas such as Greenland are contributing more to sea level rise. It is clear that the sea level is rising about 3.2mm a year. This is not in dispute except for the flat earth folks. It's only a matter of teasing out the components.
      Long term, sea level rise will make many coastal areas uninhabitable. Best to plan accordingly.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    42. Re:Science is Settled by Rob+Bos · · Score: 1
    43. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't you brilliant shills ever get tired of linking things you didn't read?

      From the link you posted:

      'Just as the temperatures in some regions of the planet are colder than average, even in our warming world, Antarctic sea ice has been increasing and bucking the overall trend of ice loss.

      “The planet as a whole is doing what was expected in terms of warming. Sea ice as a whole is decreasing as expected, but just like with global warming, not every location with sea ice will have a downward trend in ice extent,” Parkinson said.'

    44. Re:Science is Settled by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 1

      In science, the only things that are "settled" are things that have been unequivocally disproven. Things like Phlogiston, humors, etc.

      Regardless of anyone's views on climate change, this is unequivocal BS, no matter how you define "settled."

      Karl Popper was a great man and wrote a number of very insightful things about the philosophy of science, but it's unfortunate that such major misunderstandings of his ideas and naive "falsificationism" can carry such weight.

      I mean, come on -- this doesn't even pass the basic "smell test" for logic. You're basically claiming that science can never prove X to be true, no matter what, but then you simultaneously want to claim that science is somehow capable of proving NOT-X for all time. From a basic logic standpoint, that makes no sense.

      If what you said were true, science could prove all sorts of things by just negating them. Obviously that doesn't pass epistemological muster.

      What actually happens (as serious philosophers of science will tell you) is that evidence accrues which is either consistent with or inconsistent with X. We then have to make a judgment about whether the inconsistent data is sufficient to dismiss X. But it's always a judgment, and it isn't somehow valid for all time just because it's against a theory rather than for one.

      There are all sorts of reasons why apparent "negative proof" would NOT be sufficient to disprove a theory -- the data was collected badly, the equipment is faulty, the theory isn't actually applicable in those circumstances, etc. A well-accepted theory in science is generally modified where necessary to take new data into account. (For a prominent example -- arguably, Einstein's theory of relativity served as such a corrective to Newton, rather than completely falsifying Newton's ideas completely. There are some elements of Newton's model which are now thought to be wrong, but there are other parts that are still basically accepted at least as a mathematical model under most normal circumstances... which is why we still teach it in physics classes.)

      Anyhow, the general point is that science is at least theoretically always open to reconsideration. And if that's true, then we could have accidentally dismissed some old theory which we thought was "disproven" in the past, just as we might find something wrong with a currently accepted theory.

      The idea that we can categorically declare something "false" but can't ever say anything is "true" is simply inconsistent. Either you accept that science can do both (which I don't think it can), or you admit that all experimental evidence is stuff we need to apply to support a theory or to argue against a theory. We still have to weigh that evidence, no matter which way it goes.

      And when there's enough evidence that something like 99% of scientific experts in that topic agree with theory X, then we can probably say the science is "settled." That doesn't mean it's settled for all time -- it means that our current model appears to work well given the data. And if something comes along that will displace or improve upon a "settled" theory, it often doesn't "falsify" the old theory in any meaningful sense. Instead, like Einstein did to Newton, it adds new understanding and detail, while still recognizing that the old theory is "basically true" for common situations which had been previously observed and measured.

    45. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "It's not telling us that ice isn't melting. It's telling us that ice isn't melting (the net effect anyway) in one specific region."

      Well, then it's not even news (which could conclude on something), it's just data/findings. Aside from being /. click bait.

    46. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That wasn't me - it was another anon.

    47. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "you're waffling like a breakfast buffet"

      Zing! I liked your funny one liner. You are totally belligerent, but you are funny.

    48. Re:Science is Settled by david_bonn · · Score: 2

      Ummm, I want to mod the parent up for "straw man".

      I never said the earth was a sphere. Also, I wonder since you consider the germ theory of disease invalid, do you subscribe to bloodletting to release malignant humors or to exorcism of evil spirits when you are sick?

      All of those assertions I made, to a certain level of approximation, are correct. Science is really the stepwise refinement of our model(s) of the universe.

      From the standpoint of AGW, the assertion that atmospheric CO2 warms the planet is true (ref: Arrhenius, Venus). The assertion that the observed increase in CO2 over the last 150 years ago due to the burning of fossil fuels is held up by observations of C-14 concentrations in the atmosphere. The assertion that the planet has warmed during that timeframe comes from several observations, but I think the most reliable ones are when trees green up in Spring and when the fall colors turn in Fall -- Spring is springing earlier and Fall is falling later. Also nearly 99 percent of temperate and tropical glaciers are receding. Both of those observations are better proxies for "climate" than annual mean temperature. This is all very basic chemistry and physics and should be reasonably familiar to anyone who took freshman-level science classes at university. So I (and a lot of climate scientists, apparently) think that fossil fuel combustion and some other industrial activities are increasing the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere, which is warming the planet.

      Where there is quite a bit of room for debate is over how much warming we are likely to experience, how rapidly, and how quickly CO2 concentrations will fall when we eventually stop burning fossil fuels.

    49. Re:Science is Settled by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Unusual weather in the Phillipines this year is generally due to El Nino, which is a weather phenomenon, not climate. However, tropical storms are an exception and are unpredictable any great time in advance.

      The current status of the Phillipines, due to the El Nino, is drought, not wetness. Absent said tropical storm, that is.

      Also, warmer weather is expected to weaken cyclonic activity, not make it stronger. Until about the end of the century, anyway.

      The upshot is: you don't seem to know what the hell you're talking about.

    50. Re:Science is Settled by Chas · · Score: 1

      moving to a low-carbon economy even has significant economic benefits,

      Perhaps you'd care to list them?

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    51. Re:Science is Settled by Chas · · Score: 1

      And why is the alternative to fossil fuels always "DESTRUCTION OF GLOBAL ECONOMY"

      It's not.

      Also, as I clarified, Global *ENERGY* Economy.

      However, the way people generally present decommissioning coal and oil fired plants in favor of renewables leaves us at a SIGNIFICANT energy deficit, with energy priced such that massive, unsustainable austerity measures are virtually REQUIRED.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    52. Re:Science is Settled by Chas · · Score: 1

      Basically to say that science is "settled" is to close your mind to any other options/variations and forgo future enlightenment on the subject. In short, it's dogma.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    53. Re: Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not true.
      To say science is settled is to stop non scientists claiming that we aren't sure about the science. It has no bearing on actual scientists.

      Seriously, the most famous scientist in the universe will be the scientist that proves that rising CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere won't raise surface temperatures, and if any scientist can prove that scientifically in a way that survives peer review and peer scrutiny they will be deserving of the Nobel prize they will eventually receive.
      But here's the thing, we know higher concentrations of co2 increase the amount of energy retained by a system like the earth. It is basically settled that you can't prove otherwise.

    54. Re:Science is Settled by khallow · · Score: 1

      Ok, I'll accept that explanation.

    55. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then why did you say that you put it all in caps? If it wasn't you, wouldn't you have said, "they put it all in caps?"

    56. Re:Science is Settled by KGIII · · Score: 1

      You bitch about a straw man and then go right into a false dichotomy.

      *munches on popcorn*

      It's like watching the mentally challenged try to beat up a wall.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    57. Re:Science is Settled by pjbgravely · · Score: 1

      Replying to cowards is usless as you have no idea which coward said what. Either way you always look the fool. I stopped reading coward posts and /. is now a lot more enjoyable.

      --
      Star Trek, there maybe hope.
    58. Re:Science is Settled by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

      For basically every place on the world where it is aalready warm and wet, becomming more warm and more wet is a catastrophe.

      Places that are already warm and wet won't be getting much warmer and wetter due to climate change. The increase in average global temperatures due to climate change is mostly due to temperatures increasing in currently cold and dry parts of the world.

      The relationship between temperatures and storms is complex, but it seems likely that that will lead to a decrease in storm intensity, not to an increase.

    59. Re:Science is Settled by khallow · · Score: 1

      Yes, this exchange was kind of useless.

    60. Re: Science is Settled by Chas · · Score: 2

      Define a "non scientist".

      Howsabout a German Jew working in a Swiss Patent office?

      Science is not the sole domain of those who do nothing but fieldwork or write papers for a living.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    61. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm gaming the comments system, and nobody noticed.

    62. Re:Science is Settled by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Both wrong.

      Ofc the absolute increase in the far north and far south is higher than at the equator ... nevertheless it is icreasing there, too.
      You can easy check that.

      The relationship beween storms and heat, especially tropical storms that arise over water is not complex, it is well understood ;)

      I suggest read a book about it ... however the important parts are just a couple of pages and the wiki pedia pages about a Typhoon, Cyclone or Hurrycane should be good enough for starters.

      Astonishing how many people share opinions like yours without either having never really looked into those topics and/or seem never to watch the news.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    63. Re:Science is Settled by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Sorry, Jane, again a post that is wrong on all fronts.
      First of all El Niño and El Niña are climate and not weather. Everything that is lasting longer than a few days or weeks is considered climate.
      Or is the fact that we have seasons in higher latitudes suddenly also weather?
      Regarding El Ninho, it has not even fully developed yet, so I guess its influence regarding storms is not that strong in the moment. However it is strong enough to dirigate rain towards Thailand I believe.
      That link was outdated by a decade when it was written ...
      Warmer water, stronger storms. Water heating up quicker, less time till next storm.
      Simple math and simple physical/meteorologic principle.
      A water temperature at the surface of X degrees and greater automatically leads to a tropical storm (Cyclone, Typhoon, Hurricane) . I believe X is 23 degrees celsius.
      The power of the storm depends on the thickness of the hot surface water, the actuall temperatur and the size of the area over which the storm is forming.
      Influenced how early the weather front is making land fall.

      The upshot it seems you have no clue what you are talking about ;)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    64. Re:Science is Settled by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

      Ofc the absolute increase in the far north and far south is higher than at the equator ... nevertheless it is icreasing there, too. You can easy check that.

      That's why I said "mostly".

      The relationship beween storms and heat, especially tropical storms that arise over water is not complex, it is well understood ;)

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Forecasters say they are less skillful at predicting the intensity of tropical cyclones than cyclone track.[6] They attribute the lack of improvement in intensity forecasting to the complexity of tropical systems and an incomplete understanding of factors that affect their development.

      Astonishing how many people share opinions like yours without either having never really looked into those topics

      Yeah, isn't it now.

      and/or seem never to watch the news.

      Yes, I rarely "watch the news". I read a few newspapers a day, and otherwise stick to scientific publications. TV really isn't a good source of information, let alone German TV news.

    65. Re:Science is Settled by Dixie_Flatline · · Score: 1

      Actually, why? I'm not sure why that's important, honestly. What do we owe to the fossil fuels industry that we need to continue propping them up? They receive BILLIONS in subsidies every year.

      I happen to think that we're dumping carbon into the air faster than the planet can cope, particularly because we're simultaneously disrupting the systems that would normally be able to capture that carbon properly. But beyond that, it's indisputable that literally every step of extracting and using fossil fuels is bad for the environment. The tar sands in Alberta are a disaster for the soil and birds and wildlife and trees, they use an enormous amount of fresh, drinkable water and turn it into completely unusable filth. Offshore drilling and pipelines cause enormous environmental damage when they go wrong, and the sad reality is they go wrong ALL THE TIME. There's really just no good or clean way to extract or use this stuff right now.

      Given that we have other technologies and we're starting to make good progress with them, I think we should stop propping up a sector that we know is dirty and harmful, even if they're not doing exactly as much damage as many scientists claim. There will be jobs in other energy industries for workers, it's just the people at the top that will have trouble finding new work--but they're already so rich I don't see any reason to be concerned for them.

      If we take climate change out of the equation entirely, I still think it's worth shifting to a post-fossil-fuel energy infrastructure and doing it quickly. There are just too many downsides to oil and coal.

    66. Re:Science is Settled by towermac · · Score: 1

      Heh. Big tobacco eh? Really? I think someday you'll be ashamed of that one.

      "As we go on, we learn."

      Very true, but you should see that as an admission that you don't have the authority to impose big changes on our society and quality of life. You need to be damned sure before you can advocate top down authority upon us, which basically amounts to forcing us to make do with less.

      Which is why I don't have to win a tit-for-tat on your points: I'm not the one advocating for changes based on AGW mitigation, or whatever justification the Left is currently using to advance the agenda. It's always the same answer for every problem. More public funds; more power over the people; stricter laws, etc., to make everyone better.

      In case you're young, before this, it was overpopulation. The Left was wrong about that one. Hell, they might be right about this one. If that turns out to be the case, then it's a shame they cried wolf so many times.

    67. Re:Science is Settled by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      If most scientists in a field agree on something, it's the smart bet. That's about all you can say about it.

      In this case, the smart bet is that global warming will continue, and people who continue to plan as if it won't are effectively drawing to an inside straight.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    68. Re:Science is Settled by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The science is pretty well settled. If someone finds a discrepancy between their observations and settled science, and they're pretty sure they did everything right, they publish. That's how science works.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    69. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't you morons ever get tired of embarrassing yourselves?

      Great. Another troll who can't tell the difference between an ice shelf and an ice sheet. Hint: sea ice floats on the sea.

    70. Re:Science is Settled by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Does not matter if you watch news or read news ;)
      The point was most people only look at their local news ... so the huge storm over the Phillipens a week ago got e.g no news coverage at all.
      I for my part don't watch TV ... well, except when I'm in a hotel and there is a movie I missed, like as strange as it might be, I just saw 'Mad Max' a year ago in a hotel. Right now I once a while see Walking Dead ;)
      Regarding the german TV, yes it is meanwhile really bad, but as I don't watch german news since 20 years I missed the gradual decline and only see the huge drop in quality and information.

      About your link: that does not contradict my statement.
      Point is the general picture about storms is pretty clear. I assume the lack of options to predict the intensity is simply a lack of data.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    71. Re:Science is Settled by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Heh. Big tobacco eh? Really? I think someday you'll be ashamed of that one.

      Huh? I don't know how old you are, but the Tobacco industry emplyed remarkably similat tactics to sow doubt that the tobacco did not cause cancer. Oddly enough, I had a book from the 1870's that called out all the ill effects of tobacco use. I remember listening and reading back in the 60's when the industry was successfully repelling lawsuits, and it eventually became bizarro world where they claimed that other vectors caused the plaintiff's cancer, but the plaintiff assumed all responsibilitty for the cancer whne they started smoking.

      So now the big petrol players adopt the same tactics.

      From the Climate deception dossiers:

      internal memo from the Brown and Williamson tobacco company put it:

      “Doubt is our product, since it is the best means of competing with the ‘body of fact’ that exists in the minds of the general public” (B&W 1969)

      From a 1998 American Petroleum Institute Memo:

      Victory will be acheived when

      Average citizens understand (recognize) uncertainties in climate science;recognition of uncertainties becomes part of the conventional wisdom

      Media "understands (recognizes Uncertainties in climate science.

      Uncertainties does not equal doubt?

      Their own scientists admitted that AGW was undeniable I'll let you look that up in my links if you don't mind reading some. Beware, it is an intrusion on the bubble.

      If you don't see the similarities, the you're willfully ignoring them.

      Did you even read the links? How about a discussion of that? Are the links lying?

      "The Left was wrong about that one. Hell, they might be right about this one. If that turns out to be the case, then it's a shame they cried wolf so many times.

      I should have figured your objection was politically based. Politics knows no laws of physics, so start working on holding a national vote to determine if Global warming exists or not.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    72. Re:Science is Settled by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Climate change, as a result of global warming, will affect people on the left and on the right (as well as everyone in between). If we can get some bipartisan cooperation going on it, we can find solutions more easily.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    73. Re:Science is Settled by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I'm sure the science they did to produce this paper was good but to me it's interesting that the results seem to conflict with measurement from the GRACE satellites which show a pretty steady decreasing ice mass on Antarctica. I'm waiting to see how that discrepancy is resolved.

    74. Re:Science is Settled by towermac · · Score: 1

      If you were reading about lawsuits in the 60s, then you're a bit older than me. But not much. I'm fully aware of what the tobacco companies did. There is a good difference between claiming 'Doubt is our product', and ' recognition of uncertainties'. Similarities, sure: Don't give an inch to your political enemies. But why would one expect the American Petroleum Institute to embrace increased taxation and/or restrictions on carbon? Makes no sense. Logically, wouldn't they be the most stubborn, and last on board? I tell you what, give them credit for all the evil you want; does that change your argument that AGW needs mitigating in any way? This is why I doubt your sincerity, as you mean to Godwin the conversation in the first place by bringing the transgressions of the tobacco industry into it. As if they have anything to do with anything.

      I guess you really think they control me somehow, and that without the denier counter-science, I would have been convinced already of your cogent argument. Your argument that Marx doing it for the worker was not quite good enough, but now that we see the true evils of carbon based industrialization, moving to the left will save us. It's not lost on me btw, that both groups are in the same political party. And you didn't have to figure; I thought I was clear about the politics of it. You talk about science, but it's your conclusions and solutions I have a problem with. You're either being used by the Left, or you're one of them.

      Did you really mean to talk about science? Releasing millions of years worth of carbon in a couple of hundred must have some effect. The logical conclusion is that we should stop doing that as soon as we can. But we still need the wealth it generates, and actually want more. One could make the argument that we need much, much more if any sort of real human progress is to be made. There are a few billion brown people that are looking forward to their turn shopping for affordable rib-eyes at the Wal-Mart in an air-conditioned Camry. And that's not even thinking about when the total population approaches 40 billion in your grandchildren's lifetime.

      You're the science denier; not me. We have the tech right now to simply reverse AGW. Done, consensus, plain old science gives us access to the only other power source stored in the Earth's crust. Which political side has stagnated that science to the point that it is completely paralyzed? It has been so almost our whole lifetimes. There is enough power there to supply us a thousand fold for a practically unlimited time. All it takes is science.

      And not even really leading edge science; you and I could pencil out a nice little modular reactor that loads once and runs 20 years. It never turns off, because what it does is power the attached CO2 reclamation unit, and when you want power out, you just turn down the refining burners and have electricity left over. Gas, graphite, fertilizer, plastic; whatever - you can still have your gas jet skis and Legos, and also - Bam! AGW solved. Probably needs a few tests and a prototype; I'm not sure my napkin is holding up here. But nothing crazy that has to be invented. Think of the taxes, effort, endless international meetings, carbon credits and all that 'profit'; if that had been directed to nuclear research, where could we be?

      BTW, do you think nuclear power can be un-invented? Is that science too scary? I'll grant you there is a lot of power there, and certainly people can get hurt. This leads me to a tangential issue of mine, the enormous quantities of nuclear waste generated by the antiquated reactors we are still using, lying about the country, that apparently can't be buried at Yucca Mountain. That really is a time bomb, that really could poison the planet and kill millions. Given the 10,000 year lifetime, it is inevitable that something will happen, sooner or later. If you call yourself a scientist, then you know as well as I that there is only one thing that can be done with it. It has to be burnt up in a nuclear reactor, until it is lead, or

    75. Re:Science is Settled by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      If you were reading about lawsuits in the 60s, then you're a bit older than me. But not much.

      Well, the problem for you is that as a political animal, you have no intention of changing your mind. So for you, the science is settled, so your uncertainties continue unabated.

      but I'll ask once more, did you read my link provided that the oil companies knew that there was a definite link, between warming and the amount of CO2 that humans put in the atmosphere, and lied about it? Memos and all kinds of cool stuff, admitting it internally, then saying the opposite in public

      A yes or no, or just ignore it again and I'll know you have no intention of reading it.

      Good for you, your political wisdom keeps you out of the minefields of truth. Makes you a UI but there's room for UI's in that little tent, as long as you're useful to the cause.

      So I'll abandon that to the unconvinceable, and move on to another comment of your's

      BTW, do you think nuclear power can be un-invented? Is that science too scary?

      I love nuclear power. It's problem is that the decisions for power plants are left too much in the control of Accountants and CEO's.

      A plant can be made pretty safe - its mainly ensuring an effective way of keeping the immense concentrated energy in it's little bottle to do the trick, and to deal with the hard radiation effects on materials in a safe manner. Also to put them in the right place. After the Fukushima plant, I did research on how the disaster could have been avoided, and was completely shocked that given the location of the emergency generators, coupled with both the historical record andthe geoligical record. the destruction was not a remote possibility, but a certain fact, unless plate tectonics suddenly stopped. The plant was doomed, because there were multiple tsunamis that would have breaced the walls in the past. Mapping out a place, there were riverside locations inland, and above the historical tsunami levels that would have been much safer, for people as well as the plant itself. Salt water really isn't a good thing to have around reactors.

      But somehow all that easily obtained evidence was ignored. Bad decisions, and not likely made by an engineer.

      As well, the present day paradigm of immense plants is a bad one, both from a safety point of view, and a strategic defense one as well. Smaller and more plants with as much passive sefety mechanisms as possible , and situated in intelligent places is the pathway to success for nuc power. Yeah, I know the argument. - I get it from my NucE friends all the time.

      But until most of it's proponents change their attitude that everyone else is too damn stupid to understand that nuc power is the best thing since multiple orgasms and drop the condescending attitude they have, you're going to fight an uphill battle.

      They aren't stupid. The see Chernobyl and Fukushima, and are told its no big deal by the zealots, complete with many excuses for why all teh others are safe.

      Anyhow, Unless you want to discuss the content of the evidence that the Oil companies knew, but lied about AGW, we might as well end this conversation.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    76. Re:Science is Settled by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      So, your statement destroyed by facts, you pivot to yet another argument. Suddenly the Arctic and Antarctic aren't important anymore because they refuse to play along.

      You fail reading comprehension. That is not yet another argument. That is my central argument, which I made in my top-level reply. You don't get to claim it as your argument when it is in fact my argument. Since sea level rise is still ongoing, this is neither bad news nor good news, just news. It helps us understand that the ice thickness and extent in Antarctica are only a small part of the overall story. Here you and your lot are, having knocked over the pieces and shit on the board, you declare victory. Meanwhile, the water still rises, and it's easy to find out that land has massively lower albedo than does water or ice, and thus ice and snow melting on land is the most critical driver of albedo rise. Any more ignorant denialist bullshit you want a hole poked through?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    77. Re:Science is Settled by towermac · · Score: 1

      I had not, but I clicked and skimmed it just now since you have been such a good sport. I still don't understand how big oil's opinion, what they have done or lied about, is the least bit relevant. I've always assumed that everything they have to say on this subject is a lie, and furthermore, are they not allowed to lie? Whether you and I were to agree or not, why would we need them on board? And whatever they do know, are you submitting that they know something your side doesn't? You haven't convinced me, so unless they have some additional proof to support you, I don't see how they can help your argument at all. Actually, I'm not quite that naive, you mean to bolster your argument by demonizing your political enemies.

          The doc begins with "U.S. Senator James Inhofe ..." who goes on to say he thinks AGW is a hoax. So? He can make a case, given the warming hiatus, polar ice that refuses to comply, hurricanes that are neither stronger or more frequent, sea level rise so subtle it can only be measured by scientists, etc. Most of your predictions have been wrong, which you excuse here with science is learning, and yet he and I get the 'science is settled'.

      We ask for proof, and you show us models (glaciers that have been melting for 10,000 years are hardly definitive evidence). So, not only have we invented artificial intelligence, apparently our first act will be to obey it. The model is simply a report of one or more scientist/programmer's opinions.

      "Bad decisions, and not likely made by an engineer."

      No. Made by Liberal and Democrat politicians mostly, along with the ineptitude of Republicans who couldn't pour piss out of a boot with instructions on the heel. And supported by people who call themselves Progressives, which blows my mind.

      In the same vein that I don't trust (or care about) big oil's opinion on the effects of atmospheric carbon, I don't trust CEOs and accountants to make nuclear decisions, so I guess we agree on that.

      Let me tie it up in a nutshell. After spending 40 years killing the next technology after carbon (nuclear), Liberals have now moved on to killing carbon itself, so as to finally stop this industrial revolution and its resulting freedoms that couldn't be controlled with Marxism. That's how I see it; I can understand someone not wanting to argue with that.

    78. Re:Science is Settled by towermac · · Score: 1

      I had not, but I clicked and skimmed it just now since you have been such a good sport. I still don't understand how big oil's opinion, what they have done or lied about, is the least bit relevant. I've always assumed that everything they have to say on this subject is a lie, and furthermore, are they not allowed to lie? Whether you and I were to agree or not, why would we need them on board? And whatever they do know, are you submitting that they know something your side doesn't? You haven't convinced me, so unless they have some additional proof to support you, I don't see how they can help your argument at all. Actually, I'm not quite that naive, you mean to bolster your argument by demonizing your political enemies.

              The doc begins with "U.S. Senator James Inhofe ..." who goes on to say he thinks AGW is a hoax. So? He can make a case, given the warming hiatus, polar ice that refuses to comply, hurricanes that are neither stronger or more frequent, sea level rise so subtle it can only be measured by scientists, etc. Most of your predictions have been wrong, which you excuse here with science is learning, and yet he and I get the 'science is settled'.

      We ask for proof, and you show us models (glaciers that have been melting for 10,000 years are hardly definitive evidence). So, not only have we invented artificial intelligence, apparently our first act will be to obey it. The model is simply a report of one or more scientist/programmer's opinions.

      "Bad decisions, and not likely made by an engineer."

      No. Made by Liberal and Democrat politicians mostly, along with the ineptitude of Republicans who couldn't pour piss out of a boot with instructions on the heel. And supported by people who call themselves Progressives, which blows my mind.

      In the same vein that I don't trust (or care about) big oil's opinion on the effects of atmospheric carbon, I don't trust CEOs and accountants to make nuclear decisions, so I guess we agree on that.

      Let me tie it up in a nutshell. After spending 40 years killing the next technology after carbon (nuclear), Liberals have now moved on to killing carbon itself, so as to finally stop this industrial revolution and its resulting freedoms that couldn't be controlled with Marxism. That's how I see it; I can understand someone not wanting to argue with that.

    79. Re:Science is Settled by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      I had not, but I clicked and skimmed it just now since you have been such a good sport. I still don't understand how big oil's opinion, what they have done or lied about, is the least bit relevant. I've always assumed that everything they have to say on this subject is a lie, and furthermore, are they not allowed to lie? Yes, make no mistake. There is no law that requires you to tell the truth unless you are found to have committed perjury.

      Kinda ruins a group's credibility, and shows they as willing to undertake profit over all. Quote>

      "Bad decisions, and not likely made by an engineer."

      No. Made by Liberal and Democrat politicians mostly

      O geesh, so now the liberals and democrats are responsible for decisions in Chernobyl, and especially Fukushima.

      My point is that especially with Fukushima, it was going to happen, and the evidence was there for them to see, whether it was from reports in the historical record, or walking up to hillsides where the pebble rubble lines from Previous Tsunami were.

      You're really much too worried about "Democrats" and the mythical "liberals". It colors all of your viewpoints to the extent thay instead of paying close attention to what I wrote, you jump at the chance to blame your enemy.

      As for th eUS situation, where Democrats and liberals might come into play, we have for nuclear accidents, the more noteable ones being of Simi Valley California, the SL-1 reactor accident in Idaho, and Three Mile Island. Let's ignore wartime stuff like Slotnik and the demon core

      Simi Valley was an experimental Sodium reactor.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      We probably just wern't technologically ready to run a sodium cooled reactor for any length of time. I see no Liberal Democrat meddling here.

      Now the SL-1 reactor did involve fatalities. It was another experimental reactor that was designed to provide power for DEWLine and other remote sites.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Another case of a reactor that wasn't quite ready for prime time - mainly a bad control rod design

      The one that most know is of course Three Mile Island, which, while not a stroll in the park, pretty much shut down with no loss of life. The emergency systems did work, but the main takeaway was the need for safer reactors.

      To wit, I see none of the nefariaous liberal boogymen in the works for any of them.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    80. Re:Science is Settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ice would increase albedo.

    81. Re:Science is Settled by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Basically to say that science is "settled" is to close your mind to any other options/variations and forgo future enlightenment on the subject. In short, it's dogma.

      That is simply untrue.

      For example, I think it is pretty much settled that Shakespeare was a great writer. That doesn't mean you can't criticise elements of his work, or find new subtleties in his works or discover something new about him in the future.

      But it's fantastically unlikely that in fifty years time everyone will decide he was a useless poet and playwright.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    82. Re:Science is Settled by dywolf · · Score: 1

      NASA Scientist Warned Deniers Would Distort His Antarctic Ice Study -- That's Exactly What They Did
      http://mediamatters.org/resear...

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    83. Re:Science is Settled by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      ... warmer weather is expected to weaken cyclonic activity, not make it stronger. Until about the end of the century, anyway. ... [Jane Q. Public, 2015-11-01]

      No, read your own link: "It is likely - in my opinion - that manmade global warming has indeed caused hurricanes to be stronger today."

      I've answered the more important question of "how much stronger?" by repeatedly showing Jane a paper by Prof. Judith Curry which concludes that "the increasing trend in number of category 4 and 5 hurricanes for the period 1970-2004 is directly linked to the trend in sea-surface temperature".

      And once again, Grinsted et al. 2012 helps to answer the question of "how much stronger?" by measuring hurricane surges back to 1923 using tide gauge instruments. This yields a homogeneous record of empirical observations which is totally independent of models and confirms that "warm years in general were more active in all cyclone size ranges than cold years." (By the way, measuring instruments like tide gauges and thermometers aren't proxies.)

      Jane, years ago I said that it's not clear how global warming will impact hurricane frequency because of factors like wind shear. I also said that hurricanes (overall, Cat 1+) might not be more frequent in the future for the same reason. That's also what Dr. Landsea's 2010 abstract said: [Dumb Scientist]

      I know. You just proved my point: you were contradicting yourself. [Jane Q. Public, 2015-10-28]

      No, those links show that I've been consistently agreeing with Dr. Landsea and the IPCC when they say that hurricanes (overall, Cat 1+) might not be more frequent in the future because of factors like wind shear. But once again, the IPCC and Dr. Landsea also agree that "the most intense cyclones" are different. That's why the "global" box at the bottom center of Fig. 14.17 has two metrics which go in different directions: Cat 1+ (metric #1) and just Cat 4/5 (metric #2). Again, that's what I've been saying for years, along with the IPCC and Dr. Landsea:

      "... future projections based on theory and high-resolution dynamical models consistently indicate that greenhouse warming will cause the globally averaged intensity of tropical cyclones to shift towards stronger storms, with intensity increases of 2-11% by 2100. Existing modelling studies also consistently project decreases in the globally averaged frequency of tropical cyclones, by 6-34%. Balanced against this, higher resolution modelling studies typically project substantial increases in the frequency of the most intense cyclones, and increases of the order of 20% in the precipitation rate within 100 km of the storm centre. ..."

      Jane

    84. Re:Science is Settled by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      To be continued as a response to this comment.

  4. That's not climate! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's just weather!

  5. Not reliable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    After giving it a read (what a difficult paper to read!) I would take that study with a fair amount of healthy scepticisms.

    The data they are using is fraught with issues (almost entirely satellite based, which has trouble with terrain slopes).

    There has been a significant amount of work done to remove bias inherent to the data (because the data was modified from Oct 2003 onwards), and there is no provided analysis on effectiveness of the methods used (they don't mention the number of data points used as reference, so hard to calculate manually).

    Part of the data is made up, all areas south of 86 S is generated based on algorithms rather than data.

    And the very large elephant is the missing data between April 2001 and October 2003. Over two and a half years when the Antarctic was going through particularly bad times.

    There is a lot of other stuff that I couldn't fully comprehend on my reading, and I might be missing some stuff that clarify's some of the above, but it is super clear that there are multiple points of failure in the reams of calculations and estimations.

    It's probably more right than wrong, but not nearly enough to use this paper to build other assumption off.

    1. Re:Not reliable by Zocalo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No matter where you stand on the debate, at this point people should be taking ALL climate change studies with a healthy degree of scepticism; there are too many people with an agenda on all sides to assume that any of it is completely free of bias. Even so, I think NASA handled the discrepency rather clearly in the article; they disagree with the IPCC's figures on ice loss/gain, but not with the overall sealevel rises - ergo, they conclude that the difference is either coming from additional water entering the oceans from somewhere else or there is something else going on in Antarctica. Well, duh! What they don't do is speculate what that might be, so in otherwords it's also serving as a "give us more money to do further research" piece. What was that about having everyone having an agenda again...?

      --
      UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    2. Re:Not reliable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This wasn't from NASA. This was from a collaboration of scientists, some of which work in NASA facilities or for NASA itself.

      Saying this report was from NASA is saying everything you do in your life should be attributed to your employer.

    3. Re:Not reliable by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      so in otherwords it's also serving as a "give us more money to do further research" piece.

      That's the natural outcome of every constrained body of research. In fact I don't think I've ever read a research paper which didn't lead logically to asking another question. Or do you think at some point we can just science as finished?

    4. Re:Not reliable by Zocalo · · Score: 1

      No, I don't think science can ever be said to be finished. There's always going to be a further potential for refinement, follow up question, or piece of inexplicable data that needs exploring, and that's the nature of the beast. I was just driving home the point that there is always an agenda, even if it's the business as usual, and rather benign given how we approach funding science, "we need more money".

      --
      UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    5. Re:Not reliable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I myself still think it's a very poor paper, perhaps they have done the best they could with the information they had.

      But why the missing 2.5+ years data when the larsen went down. They talk to it very briefly, but do not include it in the actual calculations. Also, with a fair chunk of Antarctica not included in the real data, and just created by formula, it is hard to really give a decent amount of trust to it.

    6. Re:Not reliable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I love this kind of post. He is literally saying satellite data is not-reliable. Every other times I've heard about satellite data from AWG alarmists I'm told that is the gold standard when it agrees with their political views. Today it doesn't agree with their political views and therefore is not to be taken as accurate. He then goes on to explain in detail why it shouldn't be taken as fact. Once again I will refer to all the previous people who said the same things about other satellite data which IMMEDIATELY gets them called a denier amongst other names.

      Reminds me of all the times people point out 18 years of no warming is "weather", but a single hot day data point is "climate". For anyone who might be on the fence about if AGW alarmists are more political than factual, this is just one more case showing it. Anything that "proves" their point of view, including manipulating data, is not to be discussed while anything that disproves it is obvious suspect even if from the same sources they bashed you with over and over.

      I think the debate has become a joke at this point. I'm expecting Al Gore to come out one day and pull off a mask revealing himself to really have been Andy Kaufman all along.

    7. Re:Not reliable by khallow · · Score: 4, Informative
      Let's stop being silly. I swung by NASA's website to see what they had to say about this report and noticed this title:

      NASA Study: Mass Gains of Antarctic Ice Sheet Greater than Losses

      NASA seems to think it came from NASA. Maybe I should take their word over yours?

    8. Re:Not reliable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just like the ARGO bogeys.

      Here we have something specifically designed to measure temps with sophisticated and sensitive instruments. But this instruments don't agree with their theories, so they have to "fix" the data. Here comes the ship engine inlet temperatures. Uncontrolled, un-calibrated and "accurate" to within a degree or two.

      Take the calibrated and high fidelity data and merge it with crappy, low fidelity data and tada!!! No Pause!

      I've even read recently that they want to question the satellite data by suggesting the minute orbital variations are fucking measurements up. I see...so a thermometer sitting next to a fucking parking lot can be made accurate, but not orbital variations.

      These people have no shame.

    9. Re:Not reliable by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      I was trying to point out that "we need more money" is not an agenda but the final outcome of every piece of science ever done.
      Agendas bias towards a pre-determined conclusion. The desire to explore further is not created by having an agenda and is not related to the conclusion either.

    10. Re:Not reliable by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      At this point, people should be ignoring people trying to drag politics into the science. The science is pretty well settled (particularly in its fundamentals), and pretending that most climate scientists are motivated by politics is ludicrous.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    11. Re:Not reliable by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Data is missing because there was a gap between when one satellite failed and the next one came online. As far as missing data from the inner part of Antarctic they rarely orbit satellites directly over the poles and if the laser altimeters they use can only look straight down then they miss the stuff near the South Pole. The microwave sounding unit satellites they use for measuring atmospheric temperatures have the same problem.

  6. The hyenas at the Vulture Central must be happy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They like to troll the AGW crowd with this kind of crap. Over to check the comments.

    1. Re:The hyenas at the Vulture Central must be happy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is the exact reason I stopped reading that website. Way too many off-topic and agenda-driven articles. If it was supposed to be a joke at the beginning it got way beyond that by the time I stopped reading.

  7. Cue Al Gore by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Antarctic ice has measurably thickened in recent decades, a conclusion at odds with earlier findings from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

    That sounds like an...
    *sunglasses*

    inconvenient truth.

    Yeaaaaahh!

  8. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wrong. Churchill sad that, not Gates: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...

  9. Says the gov't agency... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because there's no global warming.

  10. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    YHBT HAND

  11. Re:Algore, save us!!!! by Chas · · Score: 1

    You forgot to mention the real threat.

    MANBEARPIG!

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
  12. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by easyTree · · Score: 1

    Does this include denying global-warming studies so that chaos doesn't ensue when USA citizens are forced to live in greater relative harmony with the earth?

  13. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "I am not Bill Gates." -- Bill Gates

  14. Who cares? by Opportunist · · Score: 0

    It's just some more fuel for the bullshit climate change bickering. It's not like either side would actually DO anything about it, but it's great we talked about it.

    Too bad we can't put the planet on some psychiatrist's couch, maybe then we could solve all the problems. Because that's all we do about them. Talk.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:Who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The people with the money and power to change anything are selfish, lazy, SOBs, with no foresight, but believe they know everything. It'll take a cataclysmic event that directly threatens their existence for them to even give it a thought. If a 300 meter metallic-asteroid destroys a major city(Hopefully DC)tomorrow, you can bet your ass we'll have alot more research into preventing such a event in the future. The same course will transpire with global warming. Only when the elite are inperil does anything change. Sadly, considering that global warming is a slow poison, no one will fix the problem until it's too late.

    2. Re:Who cares? by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Yup. So enjoy the ride, maybe move inland and hope for good TV coverage of the drowning masses at the beach.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:Who cares? by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      "The people with the money and power to change anything are selfish, lazy, SOBs, with no foresight, but believe they know everything."

      They don't care how high the sea levels go, that's what they have the yacht for.

    4. Re: Who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not the people with money and power that are a problem. While yes, you have a few people like Al Gore who annually use enough electricity to power a small town. The big problem is the other 99%, who drive there cars and can't afford that fancy new Tesla, and have chosen a non vegan diet. This doesn't mean the 1% also don't contribute more, again you only have to look at Al Gore to see this, but if we feel that climate change is real, and it's critical, then simply harping on fossil fuels as the cause won't fix the problem. Population is just growing to quickly and simply cutting fossil fuels won't do the trick.

    5. Re:Who cares? by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      drowning masses at the beach

      Yes, well, let's hope they can get out of the way. The water isn't moving that fast..

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    6. Re:Who cares? by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Not up onto my hill. It's cool if you think that climate change is a myth and you enjoy your beach resort. But put your money where your mouth is and if you should be wrong and the water starts climbing, don't be a sore loser and have the dignity to drown.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    7. Re:Who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you really dumb enough to believe that the water is going to suddenly rise so fast people are going to drown? At first I thought you were kidding, but you might be that stupid. Most alarmists are, since they are not educated in science, or common sense. We are talking about .23 MILLIMETERS PER YEAR.

    8. Re:Who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Yes, well, let's hope they can get out of the way. The water isn't moving that fast..

      How fast can you move a condominium building?

      http://www.wired.com/2015/02/r...

    9. Re:Who cares? by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I don't actually expect a slow rise of the waters to be the problem. Before that we'll probably get a few floods, hurricanes and whatever else is necessary to clean our beaches.

      Eventually, yes, the place will be going under, but I fully expect you to be washed off long before that.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    10. Re:Who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Question. Did the sea level go up or down as the Rocky mountains rose from the dirt?

    11. Re:Who cares? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      What's going to cause the problem (at least in the short term) isn't the sea level rise per se' but the storm surge the next time they get a big storm that reaches places that have never been reached before. Storm surge comes in fast.

    12. Re:Who cares? by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      Storm surge comes in fast.

      Yes, that is true, but they should know now to expect them... However, if New Orleans is any indication, nothing will be done, and lots of people will be in a world of hurt.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  15. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I was at a RAID/storage conference in the early 90's, and Gates was there. It was an open bar, and he was drinking a lot of wine. He spilled wine on his jacket and was acting completely unruly and making all kinds of off-color jokes and basically acting like an idiot.

     

  16. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Global warming(and cooling) have been going on for millions if not billions of years. So what's all the hubub bub.

  17. Re:Meh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Refugee?

  18. Sea level rise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    While reading slashdot I typically eat a microwave pizza every hour for 15 hours a day. I've been constipated the last few weeks because I'm cutting down on 5 litres of coke I drink each day, so when I took a dump this morning the sea level in my toilet rose 5cm. Regardless of global warming from the copious amounts of methane I release, I am certain I can produce enough bricks for dykes to save America from disaster.

  19. Enough with the Google already! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Stop posting Google links for these damn articles.

    If you can't post to the *original* article, then don't post at all!

  20. ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Caspian · · Score: 3, Informative

    As even a cursory Wikipedia reading will note, ARCTIC ice is DECREASING in extent at a faster rate than ANTARCTIC is INCREASING.

    In other words, Antarctic ice is growing X units per year, but Arctic ice is SHRINKING more than X units per year.

    The net result is that the Earth's ice cover is shrinking.

    See also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antarctic_sea_ice#/media/File:Antarctic_Grows.jpg

    Those who believe anthropogenic climate change is a myth thrive on the confusion caused by nuance like this. But the Earth's climate is not a simple system. It has nuance. Ice may be shrinking overall, and yet still growing in some places.

    --
    With spending like this, exactly what are "conservatives" conserving?
    1. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah... but the Arctic is all ice and the Antarctic isn't. You're taking apples and oranges and splicing them into a weird mutant fruit.

    2. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >. The net result is that the Earth's ice cover is shrinking.

      At any point in time, the ice cover is shrinking, or growing. If it happened to be growing, you and your ilk would have me panic about that. Even in my own personal affairs do I refrain from panic in reacting to situations. Thus I will not panic in regard to your claims that the sky is falling.

    3. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At least you didn't write "Global Warming", and for that I thank you.

    4. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those who believe Wikipedia is anything other than a steaming pile of shit where anyone can post anything thrive on the confusion caused by misinformation.

      You could go directly to the source. but unfortunately for you, the source says "This year’s maximum was the sixteenth highest in the 35-year record."

      So...

      1. Antarctica gaining ice mass.
      2. Antarctica ice extent has reached a new maximum
      3. Arctic sea ice extent at a 35 year high.

    5. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2

      One problem: that pesky old Greek guy with the bathtub,

      Arctic ice floats. Antarctic ice is on land.

    6. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I question the accuracy of information received from Wikipedia when it comes to large articles.
      Anyway, I would question any findings and place them in 4 general categories:
      True
      True-False
      False
      Neither

      Should you be asking the following:
      1. What's the difference between the north pole (arctic) vs. the south pole(antarctic)?
      2. Is the asymmetrical temp difference between the 2 poles related to its axis and elliptical orbital rotation relative to our Sun?
      3. Is there some kind of control systems model between the 2 poles?
      4. What are the climate models between the 2 poles?
      5. Have these models been tested for correlation and compared to empirical data for large sample sizes?
      6. What is the accuracy of these climate models for different sample sizes?

       

    7. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by FrozenGeek · · Score: 1

      With all due respect, Wikipedia is probably not the best source to cite on this matter.

      --
      linquendum tondere
    8. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "This year’s maximum was the sixteenth highest in the 35-year record."

      So it's average....

      "1. Antarctica gaining ice mass. [upi.com]"
      Uh, one section of it. Stop exaggerating.

      "2. Antarctica ice extent has reached a new maximum [nasa.gov]"
      Remember this? "Arctic ice floats. Antarctic ice is on land." from another poster?

      3. Arctic sea ice extent at a 35 year high. [slashdot.org]
      Uhm you mean "a new average". See your quote earlier.

      Goodness. It's like you're picking what you want to believe based on the situation you're arguing for.

    9. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The net result is that the Earth's ice cover is shrinking."

      No problem, everyone has to buy an ice machine an we'll be OK.

    10. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "But the Earth's climate is not a simple system. It has nuance. "

      So stop saying "man made CO2 (which is 3-4% of ALL CO2) is controlling the weather".

    11. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by gtall · · Score: 1

      See Greenland.

    12. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uh, how come CO2 concentrations are at 400ppm when it was 280ppm before we started out the industrial revolution, which pumps out a lot of human produced CO2? Wouldn't that make (400-280)*100/280 % human produced CO2?

      Would it be because your claim is bollocks, and you don't know what you're talking about?

      You betcha.

    13. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by khallow · · Score: 1

      As the AC noted, it's more like 30% of current CO2 than 3-4%. Isotope measurements of the current CO2 indicate the increase probably came from fossil fuel deposits (with human activity being the obvious means for getting those deposits into the atmosphere as CO2). I'm not going to touch whether it "controls weather", but we are speaking of a change which is much larger than you claim.

    14. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Earth is still coming out of its last ice age. Global warming would be happening with or without humans. It's not like a warmer climate is automatically bad either, it may create longer growing seasons in much of the planet. That's one position I never see. I believe in Global Warming, but I welcome it.

    15. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by raind · · Score: 1

      No, the source article you link too:

      As recently as July 12, Antarctic sea ice extent was at a record daily high extent for the satellite period of observations. For much of early 2015, Antarctic sea ice extent was either slightly above or slightly below the levels seen on the same date in 2014, the record high year. However, beginning in mid-July, the growth rate for Antarctic sea ice slowed significantly, causing the 2015 maximum extent to be only the sixteenth highest in the record.

      --
      Get up!
    16. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

      As even a cursory Wikipedia reading will note, ARCTIC ice is DECREASING in extent at a faster rate than ANTARCTIC is INCREASING.

      When arctic ice melts, it doesn't lead to sea level rise, so as far as sea level rise is concerned, this is important, since it contradicts the doomsday scenarios of AGW activists when it comes to coastal flooding.

      Those who believe anthropogenic climate change is a myth thrive on the confusion caused by nuance like this.

      I'm sorry, but the problem here is that you failed to understand the significance of this finding and reduce all discussion about climate change to "true/false".

      In fact, many (if not most) people who oppose action on climate change, like myself, generally believe that anthropogenic climate change is happening, but simply don't believe it has relevance to policy. I'm sorry if that "nuance" confuses you.

    17. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 1

      It is an interglacial. Of course ice cover is shrinking. Has been for ~12,000 years

      Used to be hundreds of feet of it where I am sitting.

    18. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Last time I checked Greenland, Alsska, north Skandinavia and north Siberia was in the Arctic, AND on land.
      In case there was a recent change in the earth axis, which I missed, which puts some of those regions out of the Arctic: please inform me.
      Urgend: if that is the case, the ice there will melt even quicker!

      If the ice on Greenland melts, it will alone lead to a sea level increase of ~15meters. For you US citizens: it is save to assume a meter is a yard ... or multiply by three to get feet.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    19. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wikipedia, seriously?

    20. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by raind · · Score: 1

      AC posts don't count - sorry.

      --
      Get up!
    21. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

      If the ice on Greenland melts, it will alone lead to a sea level increase of ~15meters

      By far the biggest arctic ice loss, and the one that is usually what people are concerned about in these discussions, is the arctic sea ice. That's because it is disappearing fairly rapidly. The Greenland ice mass, under any realistic scenario, melts so slowly that it is not a realistic concern.

      For you US citizens: it is save to assume a meter is a yard ... or multiply by three to get feet.

      It's unnecessary for you to put in such explanations; not only am I from Europe, unlike you, I'm also a trained scientists. Since you seem to be a bit unfamiliar with how scientists work, let me explain to you: both US and European scientists use the metric system.

    22. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by a_n_d_e_r_s · · Score: 1

      Actually the reverse is true. We are slowly going into a coming ice-age. Been at it for about 10 000 years.

      Thus the warming of the planet is very perplexing since the natural state for our time is for the planet to get colder until we get an new ice-age. But something has changed. We human has terraformed the world.

      --
      Just saying it like it are.
    23. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      You seem to be mistaken about the 'concerns' regarding the swimming ice. First of all we already had years where at summer time the arctic ice was gone nearly completely. Secondly the main concern is wildlife, like ice bears, seals etc, not melting, as EVERYBODY knows that swimmung ice does not increase sea levels.

      Secondly: greenland ice is smelting rapidly.

      My simple example regarding yard versus meter is not for scientists but for the occasional reader.

      Most news publications don't use the metric system ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    24. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

      Secondly the main concern is wildlife, like ice bears, seals etc, not melting,

      This discussion thread is about statements like: "The net result is that the Earth's ice cover is shrinking". Obviously, "total ice cover" isn't relevant to polar bears or seals. Neither is it relevant to sea level rise. My point is that "total ice cover" isn't relevant to much of anything, other than possibly albedo, because "arctic" and "antarctic" ice are so different. In fact, the melting of large land-based permanent ice masses simply aren't a significant concern at all because it is necessarily slow and doesn't change the albedo much until it's gone completely.

      Secondly: greenland ice is smelting rapidly.

      Greenland's ice is melting slowly, in the obvious sense that we have sea level rise measured in a few mm per year. IPCC predicts a most likely sea level around 30 cm by year 2100 (less than 50 cm with very high probability). That is easy to adapt to; the IPCC report effectively comes to the same conclusion.

    25. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well, as far as I can tell the people here are well aware that the floating ice is irrelevant.
      Only nitpickers contantly point out: uh, oh, it is floating, you know?
      And thise nitpickers forget: we have greenland and other ice in the arctic, too, which is not floating.
      That is why I answered to one and you picked up my comment I believe.

      Greendlands ice melting is speeding up rapidly. Which makes it pretty difficult to say how much it will contribute till 2100.

      Unfortunatley I'm likely dead then, I would like to bet that it is significantly more than a meter.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    26. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      NASA didn't say sea level isn't rising. They just did a study that strongly implies that it isn't the Antarctic ice sheet, so if that turns out to be true it means that there's sea level changes we can't currently explain.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    27. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

      NASA didn't say sea level isn't rising. They just did a study that strongly implies that it isn't the Antarctic ice sheet, so if that turns out to be true it means that there's sea level changes we can't currently explain.

      Correct. But if "we can't explain it", it must be due to some limited short term effect that cannot lead to significant sea level rise in the long term, because the only two reservoirs capable of doing that are the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets.

    28. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

      Unfortunatley I'm likely dead then, I would like to bet that it is significantly more than a meter.

      So, even the IPCC says it's almost certainly less than half a meter, but you in your infinite wisdom as developer of web software are so much wiser? Your hubris is fascinating.

    29. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The Earth is still coming out of its last ice age.

      No, actually the coming out of the last ice age phase peaked around 8,000 years ago during the Holocene Climatic Optimum and ever since then the climate has been slowly cooling toward the next glaciation. That is until recently with anthropogenic increases in greenhouse gases, especially CO2.

    30. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Sea level is rising fairly steadily, and I think it unwise to count on it slowing or not continuing.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    31. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes.

      I have read in other articles (just google it) that the increase in Antarctic ice has to do with increasing poleward winds, which unsurprisingly "push" the ice onto the Antarctic continent. The reason for the increased poleward winds is unknown, but since the energy budget in the Antarctic is pretty straightforward (energy is advected in via wind, leaves via IR, since there's no solar radiation in the wintertime), it probably has to do with some kind of greenhouse gas being eliminated in the polar vortex.

      (please note that the last sentence is my own personal speculation as a former atmospheric scientist).

    32. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

      Sea level is rising fairly steadily, and I think it unwise to count on it slowing or not continuing.

      The current rate of sea level rise is a foot per century. It doesn't have to "slow down", it is already not a problem.

      What exactly are you afraid of?

    33. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I'm not afraid of anything; I'm at a sufficiently high altitude that if every bit of ice on this rock melted I'd still be dry.

      However, a foot higher sea level will have a considerable effect on storm surges and the like.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    34. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

      However, a foot higher sea level will have a considerable effect on storm surges and the like.

      Really? Can you explain how that works, because it makes no sense.

    35. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Pfft, the IPCC is underrating the probelms we have since it is publishing its reports. That is the prime reason it often is not taken serious and we have endless discussions on /. They simply don't have the guts to tell the public how serious the problems we face in fact are.
      Especially regarding sea level rices the IPCC, gave windows since the 1970s, and: did you care to check how the actuall rising fits into those windows? It is either constantly on the upper edge or exceeding it. The windows are wide open down ward and the actual trend is the upper edge.

      Regarding greenland, yes, most papers agree that the melting is very fast. If ice melting contiunes like it is right now the sea level will rice 50cm to 200m till 2100. There is no actuall further increase in temperature necessary. If the melting will stabilize at some point or if it is already hot enough, that all ice will be melting, is an open question.

      In the recent warm period, the Eem Epoch, the water raised about 1,6m per century. I fail to see a reason why it should be different now.

      If all Greenland ice is melting the sea level will rise about 7-8 m. Actually it does not even need to melt. It only needs to slide into the ocean ... which it is doing with an easy to notice speed up every year.

      So my bet is: at the end of the current century it will be far more than a meter higher. You might disagree, but that, *I* would call hubris.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    36. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pfft, the IPCC is underrating the probelms we have since it is publishing its reports.

      I see. So you deny the "scientific consensus"?

      Regarding greenland, yes, most papers agree that the melting is very fast. If ice melting contiunes like it is right now the sea level will rice 50cm to 200m till 2100.

      Current rates of sea level rise are 0.3mm/year. You can multiply that by 85 in your head?

      So my bet is: at the end of the current century it will be far more than a meter higher. You might disagree, but that, *I* would call hubris.

      I'll just trust the predictions of the climate and earth scientists over the superstitions of a German computer programmer, thank you very much.

  21. Completely NOT settled. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Climate has never not been changing. It's been warmer. It's been colder. Can't we stop the silliness of citing granular little datapoints gathered over a nanosecond of geologic-time and randomly attaching causality to suit our agenda? With or without humans, the climate would have changed (and will continue to change) -- and if history is any guide, change radically.

  22. Link to article by burtosis · · Score: 3, Informative

    http://www.ingentaconnect.com/...

    You can connect at the bottom of the page as of right now the link in the article above is not working for me.

    I am not a glaciologist but i read the article and am a bit puzzled by the findings related to snowfall and "thickness". It looks as if only satelite data was used, so why can't Antarctica actually be losing massive amounts of ice and the resulting removal of mass cause uplifting of the underlying rock? Removal of large amounts of mass over wide areas tend to have that effect and I was not able to find reference in the references. ICESat only uses laser range finding.
    http://icesat.gsfc.nasa.gov/icesat/glas.php

    1. Re:Link to article by Solandri · · Score: 1

      so why can't Antarctica actually be losing massive amounts of ice and the resulting removal of mass cause uplifting of the underlying rock?

      Ice has a density of approx 0.91 g/cm^3. The Earth's crust has a density of approx 2.7 g/cm^3. So the crust weighs about 3x more per unit volume than ice.

      You are hypothesizing that (in terms of net potential energy) the removal of 1 ton of ice lowering the top of the ice by a net 1 meter results in the uplifting of a net 3 tons of rock by more than 1 meter. Basic physics says what you posit can only occur in the presence of a (massive) external energy source which replenishes that lost potential energy and then some. I suppose that might be possible if there's a huge pressurized magma bubble underneath Antarctica exerting a huge amount of upward pressure, but the burden of proof would be upon you.

    2. Re:Link to article by burtosis · · Score: 2

      so why can't Antarctica actually be losing massive amounts of ice and the resulting removal of mass cause uplifting of the underlying rock?

      Ice has a density of approx 0.91 g/cm^3. The Earth's crust has a density of approx 2.7 g/cm^3. So the crust weighs about 3x more per unit volume than ice. You are hypothesizing that (in terms of net potential energy) the removal of 1 ton of ice lowering the top of the ice by a net 1 meter results in the uplifting of a net 3 tons of rock by more than 1 meter. Basic physics says what you posit can only occur in the presence of a (massive) external energy source which replenishes that lost potential energy and then some. I suppose that might be possible if there's a huge pressurized magma bubble underneath Antarctica exerting a huge amount of upward pressure, but the burden of proof would be upon you.

      No what I was thinking was the ice could have been receeding for a long time and while the underlying rock wont rise to compensate the total distance overall, if it has been an ongoing process it can still be rising. Therefore if there was loss in the past centuries, it could be rising. This has happened in other areas of the world for different events

      I was not seeking proof or making a claim, I just was wondering where in the references cited by the paper where the question of the underlying rock later is addressed when we are talking about such tiny amounts of distance without ever mentioning it in the paper. Good science outlines all the parameters and the paper is making claims whereas i am not.

    3. Re:Link to article by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

      so why can't Antarctica actually be losing massive amounts of ice and the resulting removal of mass cause uplifting of the underlying rock?

      Ice is less dense than rock, and rock isn't perfectly elastic anyway. So if you remove ice from rock, even if you get uplift, it's much less than the thickness of ice you removed.

    4. Re:Link to article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seriously, you think content rebound... there would be more rebound than there is ice loss? Really? A mile of ice melts of and you get a few feet of rebound.
      What's most fun is the never ending rationalizations and delusions.
      If the ice extent shrinks, global warming - blame capitalism - we must go communist.
      If the ice extent expands, it's from melt runoff, global warming - blame capitalism - we must go communist.
      If the ice mass decreases, can't be natural variations, global warming - blame capitalism - we must go communist.
      If the ice mass increases, it's rebound from melting, global warming - blame capitalism - we must go communist.
      And best of all... in the 1970's Global Cooling! Guess what! global warming - blame capitalism - we must go communist.

  23. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Seems the facts have denied the studies.

  24. Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The idea that anyone can know that the seas are rising by .23 millimeters per year is absurd. Tides, regional gravity variations, subsiding land, etc. It's a ridiculous notion and a twisted exercise in meaningless statistics.

    1. Re:Seriously? by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 1

      What, you say transients matter more than first-order models in nonlinear dynamical systems? Impossible. That's not what they teach in undergraduate statistics, therefore it must be heresy.

    2. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. It isn't like they have a ruler to measure the sea level. When they say the seas are rising by .23 millimeters per year, it is complete bullshit. They are saying that their MODELS say that. But their models are complete bullshit too, as has been proven repeatedly in the past. The idea that .23 millimeters PER YEAR matters anyway is absurd, even it is was accurate.

    3. Re:Seriously? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Measurements by satellites show a sea level rise of over 3 mm/year since the early 1990's. Satellite measurements are largely independent of tides, regional gravity, subsiding land, etc.

  25. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    Read the article quick before it gets taken down.

  26. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    So WHY have they gone on for millions if not billions of years? These things don't just decide to start. They have a physical reason to occur.

    So what is the physical reason to occur, and what do those physical reasons for the climate say about what we're doing with pumping out CO2 into the atmosphere?

  27. But everyone is unanimous! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But haven't they heard???? Climate Change is PROVEN! It's 100% unanimous by all scientists EVER. Anyone who questions it is stupid and ignorant. WHY AREN'T THEY LISTENING?

    See? F*** you, Climate Change frauds.

    1. Re: But everyone is unanimous! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Climate change is proven. The particular details are still being examined.

    2. Re:But everyone is unanimous! by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      But haven't they heard???? Climate Change is PROVEN!

      So says the simpleton who is unable to cope with the nuances of science.

  28. Climate change hogging the spotlight by taylorius · · Score: 2

    I wish other (arguably more pressing) environmental concerns could get half as much attention as climate change. The shocking level of plastic pollution in our oceans for example. Why can't we have a big international panels on that? Could it be because fixing that would require actual work, rather than just dreaming up more ways to tax and control the population.

    1. Re:Climate change hogging the spotlight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Because it's not a cause that will result in trillions of dollars in taxes redistributed to whom ever is in charge decides should have it.

    2. Re:Climate change hogging the spotlight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's fine, Fukushima is going to poison all oceans anyway.

    3. Re:Climate change hogging the spotlight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I wish other (arguably more pressing) environmental concerns could get half as much attention as climate change.

      Be careful what you wish for, friend. Next thing you know, there would be plastic pollution deniers asserting that floating six pack rings are actually an undiscovered form of kelp and, even if there were such a thing as plastic pollution, it would a good thing, because it gives wildlife something to eat in lean years. These would shortly be followed by an almost equally obnoxious cohort of armchair plastic experts, eager to demonstrate the reality of plastic in our oceans. And then we'll all be too busy demonstrating our dogmatic loyalty to our chosen side rather than integrating new information to form a more accurate picture of reality.

    4. Re:Climate change hogging the spotlight by moeinvt · · Score: 1

      Yes! A person after my own heart!

      I don't give a damn about global warming *cough* "Climate Change!" First, because the models have made so many incorrect predictions that they're worthless, and second because all of the so-called "solutions" involve granting more power to governments in one way or another. To hell with that.

      The phrase "think global, act local" is very appropriate for getting a start on the plastic pollution issue. The problem is already enormous. It becomes mind boggling when considering the amount of crap that's continually being added and the fact that the quantity is trending sharply upward. Cutting off the flow is the only way to get a handle on it.

      Plenty of smug, self-righteous environmentalists around but I don't see a lot of them out there picking up garbage on a regular basis. Why? Because as you said, it takes actual work, not to mention getting your hands dirty.

  29. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by amiga3D · · Score: 2

    My question is what temperature is the Earth supposed to be? I mean is it supposed to be a hothouse with tropical foliage everywhere as it once was or is it supposed to be a ball of ice like it once was? I'd think somewhere in between would be good but really all I hear is that it's getting hot but no real idea of what temperature it should be.

  30. WRONG - global ice is NOT shrinking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Check the U of I Cryosphere site for the latest north pole and south pole ice, and the sum for total global ice..
    The global total is basically flat since 1979

    http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/global.daily.ice.area.withtrend.jpg

  31. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by mh1997 · · Score: 2

    I was told several years ago that, paraphrasing, any temperature is good and change in either direction is only bad when it is too rapid to adapt.

  32. Re: Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Did you have sex with him?

  33. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 3, Insightful

    My question is what temperature is the Earth supposed to be?

    There is no temperature that it is supposed to be.

    It is probably in our best interests that the climates we live in are compatible with us.

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  34. Uh-oh... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Looks like somebody's going to have a hard time getting grant money next year...

  35. Warmer Climate == More Snow by cmholm · · Score: 1

    Per TFA's conclusion: If dynamic thinning continues to increase at the same rate of 4 [gigatons/year] with no offset from further increases in snowfall, the positive balance of the [Antarctic ice sheet] will decrease from the recent 82 [gigatons] to zero in ~20 years. However, compensating increases in snowfall with climate warming may also be expected.

    Apparently, warming has added mass via more snow, and the paper doesn't appear to address possible bedrock rebound from thinning ice. At some point, temperature will likely increase to the point where added snowfall can't keep up with the ice outflow. At the moment, the changing dynamic of the climate seems to be causing counterintuitive local changes, like added snowfall in the eastern US and eastern Antarctica, due to added water vapor in the air.

    --
    Luke, help me take this mask off ... Just for once, let me butterfly kiss you with my own eyes.
    1. Re:Warmer Climate == More Snow by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 2

      Apparently, warming has added mass via more snow, and the paper doesn't appear to address possible bedrock rebound from thinning ice. At some point, temperature will likely increase to the point where added snowfall can't keep up with the ice outflow. At the moment, the changing dynamic of the climate seems to be causing counterintuitive local changes, like added snowfall in the eastern US and eastern Antarctica, due to added water vapor in the air.

      This is only counterintuitive to people who subscribe to the Church of Alarmism. To anybody paying attention, it's natural and expected. The Earth is naturally habitable. Despite massive traumatic perturbations over the course of the past several billion years, including cometary impacts and continental drift that has rearranged the Earth and its oceans again and again, Earth still supports life. It is not going to become Venus. It is not going to become Mars. It will remain livable. Is it always going to be perfectly comfortable for every animal and every person everywhere? Obviously not. It never has been that. But of all the things we have seen in the fossil record, a warmer Earth is the least of the threats. Life likes warmth, and Earth can be warmer, but doesn't get too warm, even with massive fluctuations in atmospheric carbon. What life on Earth fears, and what we as humans should fear to the exclusion of all else, is the return of the ice. Our current population can not live in an Ice Age. We as a species very nearly didn't make it through one Ice Age already. Ice is a threat. Warmth is not. Earth tends toward a kind of equilibrium. It's chaotic, but it's an equilibrium. If it wasn't and didn't, one of the astronomical mishaps of the ancient past would have pushed it into uninhabitability already.

      The only things that will end life on Earth will be astronomical in nature. The cooling and congealing of Earth's core, and the subsequent collapse of the magnetic field, would eventually end life on Earth. The expansion of the Sun into a red giant will eventually end life on Earth, regardless of all other eventualities. But short of astronomical scale disasters, life on Earth will continue.

      Can we take steps to keep things comfortable for us? Yes, obviously, because we have, and in much of the world, laws in place and enforced see to it that rivers no longer catch fire, forests are not willfully obliterated in their entirety, and large wild animals are not hunted to extinction. But let's face it, these are comfort measures, not habitability requirements. Flaming rivers eventually go out, forests eventually regrow, and wild animal populations expand everywhere humans are not, even in the face of pockets of outrageous radiation.

      In the particular case of carbon, the last time all of the carbon that human activity is currently liberating was active in the biosphere, life on Earth was incredibly fecund and prolific. Megafauna walked the Earth for millions of years, millions of years, with all of that carbon circulating, and by all accounts, life was easy everywhere. This is not something to fear. Ice is. So don't be too happy about growing ice in the Antarctic.

  36. Halloween is over, there are no trolls by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

    Ok, this is a meta post.

    Can you mods modding down posts that disagree with your settled worldviews as "troll" fucking stop it? Both sides. kthxbie

    --
    (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  37. Typical liberal thinking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Global warming = more ice.
    Higher taxes = more prosperity.
    Freedom = slavery.
    War = peace.
    Etc.

  38. Who knows what to believe anymore! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    See subject: It's so that you can't trust anything anymore. One person says 1 thing, another contradicts it, all for their own gain for funding monies. Academics are being caught left and right pulling this shit too. Guess once a bad set of morals happens and those pulling it aren't chastised for it, everyone starts doing it.

    * :(

    (The world is getting nuttier than it's ever been - I say this with 1/2 a century of time here... & yes, there's always been this element, but not like nowadays!)

    APK

    P.S.=> I just "keep on, keeping on" personally - & I gave up on even listening @ this point... one day some fool says "the world will end due to asteroid impact" well, hasn't happened yet (there's yet another example I've seen also & my history prof. in college always told us "Beware of little laws passing that become bigger ones and they sell you fear to make it happen so their own personal agendas are reached thru conmen games" - it's what I see now like mad)... apk

  39. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You seem to be obsessed with fucking. I didn't read your post, but scanned it, and that word kept appearing.

  40. Most folks do drinking... apk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    See subject: King Billy's only human after all (the "King Billy" stuff I always use is out of respect, NOT ridicule) - & yes, I respect Bill Gates AND like him for what he's done AND how he goes about it. Especially during the "antitrust" (or whatever) trials they put MS through...

    There in court/trials, the man pulled a "Howard Hughes" (as in Leonard DiCaprio's rendering of him from "The Aviator") & everyone I was watching this with was like "Man, that man IS intelligent!" when he said "Why am I here? I freely welcome my competitors to make the better mousetrap..."

    (When pretty much any inferior competition he had was taking pot shots @ him left & right, crying "monopoly" (which yes, forced MS to save Apple - which I read only days ago that Mr. Ballmer said it was the craziest thing for them to do, since look @ apple now doing great))...

    * King Billy outfoxes the foxes - good enough for me.

    APK

    P.S.=> Anybody that does that "has me @ hello"... apk

    1. Re:Most folks do drinking... apk by paiute · · Score: 1

      I freely welcome my competitors to make the better mousetrap..."

      Kind of hard to do when the factory I have my mousetrap made at has to pay Bill a fee equal to their profit on my trap for every mousetrap they make for me.

      --
      If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    2. Re:Most folks do drinking... apk by KGIII · · Score: 1

      If your mousetrap is good enough then you'll be able to pay the applicable patent fees. If your mousetrap is good enough, and it's soon enough, another mousetrap builder that comes along behind you will have to pay you for your investment.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
  41. Did you roll over for Bill? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you use Windows, he's had sex with you.

  42. ITS A PLOT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Clearly, the oil companies are freezing water at the poles in order to increase plant growth. It's a conspiracy to make plants grow faster. Also, I heard that oil executives are buying homes a few feet higher inland so that in a couple centuries, when the water has risen half a foot, they will have a nice beach.

  43. Re:ARCTIC vs ANTARCTIC - the map is startling by Normal_Deviate · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The map of antarctic ice-thickness changes shows virtually the entire continent in red to yellow (thickening ice) and two tiny areas in blue-to-green (thinning ice.) Thinning ice accounts for something like one percent of the continent, and 99% of the published discussion. For decades, most peer-reviewed articles on WAIS thinning have studiously avoided any mention of the rest of the continent. The same is true for Greenland, where for decades most of the published literature has focused on the margins and pretended the interior does not exist.

    Counterexamples exist, of course, but I noticed these omissions as early as the mid-eighties.

    Even if you attribute the publication bias to poor data, it would have been more honest to mention that the areas under study accounted for only a tiny percentage of the land area and ice volume.

  44. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by MellowBob · · Score: 2

    We've been in an ice age for 3 million years were ice has covered much of the earth. There are glacial periods where ice extends furthur to the equator (what most people think is an ice age) and there are interglacial periods. We are currently in an interglacial period. During this ice age, the earth hos more often than not ben in glacial periods. The last interglacial period lasted only 12 thousand years. We are currently getting relatively close to that time frame.

    Basically "what temperature the Earth is supposed to be" is many degrees colder than this over the past 3 million years.

  45. Gravity's inevitable consequences? by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    I'll couch my dispute in the form of a net. Gravity tries to take me out; I win. Concrete is un-splattered.

    Or in other words, what nature hath wrought, technology may provide an answer for.

    In the case of climate change, such answers are all around us: solar power, nuclear power, electric vehicles, carbon sequestration technologies, etc.

    Try not to panic. It is both unseemly and uncalled for. We solve problems as they come to face us; that's our nature. We'll solve whatever problems climate change may present us with as well.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    1. Re:Gravity's inevitable consequences? by KGIII · · Score: 1

      I used to drink... Heavily... Lemme just interject, for a moment, and say that gravity is a bastard.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
  46. "Sea ice and land ice are two separate phenomena" by walterbyrd · · Score: 2

    According to this skepticalscience.com:

    > Sea ice and land ice are two separate phenomena. Antarctica is losing land ice at an accelerating rate. Sea ice around Antarctica is increasing. The reasons for sea ice increasing in a warming Southern Ocean are complex

    http://www.skepticalscience.com/antarctica-gaining-ice.htm

  47. Watch documentary "Merchants of Doubt" by walterbyrd · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Or read the book.

    Corporations hire PR firms that hire professional deniers to "muddy the waters"

    The tobacco industry did this for decades, pushing the message that the negative effects of smoking were disputed, controversial, etc.

    As it turns out, the same scientists who denied smoking dangers also denied global warming. Look up "Frederick Seitz."

    Yes, it can be hard to know. That is because certain corporations spend millions making it hard to know.

     

    1. Re:Watch documentary "Merchants of Doubt" by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 1

      That is because certain corporations spend millions making it hard to know.

      You must be relieved, then, that the taxpayers have been propping up the alarmist cause with *BILLIONS* of dollars, soon to be trillions.

    2. Re:Watch documentary "Merchants of Doubt" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Today I learned that all types of basic and applied research combined is the alarmist cause, and that its funding apparently will be getting an order of magnitude increase from current levels.

  48. Meta Ta Size of it. by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    [looks at your user ID] You're not new here... are you fantasizing? That's the only thing I can imagine that would account for your post. Moderation here is broken, has been broken, and likely will continue to be broken. It is incredibly poorly designed, if "designed" is even the appropriate word. There is zero accountability, zero recovery of incorrectly modded posts, and zero incentive to "do it right." Human nature at large being what it is (venal and small-minded), the results are always like this. "I disagree" and "I agree" account for almost all moderation on /. just as they always have.

    I suggest a glass of warm milk and a cuddle with a nice soft pillow. Or breasts. Breasts do it for me every time. Slashwhat? Postwho? Eh? Work work work work...

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  49. That's business... apk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    See subject: How the game is played. You have to get around it somehow - BUILDING A BETTER MOUSETRAP IS SAID WAY & the best way - you can't pull it off? You die...

    (Unfortunately mgt. under pressure does "downsizings" to do it - which is like pulling the oil out of your engines - she'll run, for a while @ least, till some bearing burns out etc. since you stress existing workers out in more work + fear for their jobs & the stress that comes with it - & it certainly doesn't HELP economies which are designed in mind with money MOVING from plenty of sources - this gets the shaft in capital underutilization since the 1% is far smaller than the "peons" they feel we are - the banks do the rest (we pay for it))...

    * I feel for you, I do (even if/when this is only 'theoretical') - however, I have NO RESPECT PERSONALLY for gangs attacking a single person (like in the street, as imo it's what WORMS DO - fleas attempting to take out a lion, ants attacking a mastodon).

    APK

    P.S.=> There's always a way - however, sometimes that way (like a lot nowadays) costs in the LONG haul (such as outsourcing/offshoring jobs to be penny-wise & pound foolish in the short-term - which boards of directors + mgt. "bonuses" don't help (sometimes you have to GIVE to GET), & neither do the UNREALISTIC DREAMS & EXPECTATIONS of stockholders (buying their bullshit common-stock vs. preferred level type) since they were told "We have this 'Mountain of GOLD' for you, & YOU TOO can be Bill Gates in minutes!"... apk

  50. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It is probably in our best interests that the climates we live in are compatible with us.

    Well, then global warming should be good news, since for the past several million years, we have been living in an ice age.

    And the only reason we are even doing as well as we are is because we are living during a temporary warm period during this ice age; without anthropogenic climate change, our climate would return to having much of the US and Europe covered in thick ice sheets.

  51. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by amiga3D · · Score: 1, Funny

    Listen dick cheese. It's a simple question that even a simple mind like yours should be able to digest. The idea is that the earth has had climate change since there has been an earth. The temps go up and down and who is to say what is normal. We know what we like and that's about it. Yes, the climate is warming. No shit, sherlock, I can read a thermometer. Ice is melting and you know what, things change. One day one of those super volcanoes we read about is gonna blow and then things will get ugly. I'm all for some common sense ideas about how to keep from running the carbon footprint over the edge but this incessant carping about climate change is beyond that. Instead of common sense we get fucking shit-for-brains asswipes such as yourself foaming at the mouth.

  52. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by amiga3D · · Score: 1

    He fucked all night and now his ass is sore and bleeding.

  53. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by amiga3D · · Score: 1

    That's one theory. All the research I've done makes it seem like maybe the earth has no one stage, it's up and down. I kind of like it like it is now but I'm used to that.

  54. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Stephan+Schulz · · Score: 1

    Global warming(and cooling) have been going on for millions if not billions of years. So what's all the hubub bub.

    People have died since there are people. Why should we try to solve this particular murder?

    --

    Stephan

  55. Wat temp is ideal by rwa2 · · Score: 1

    My question is what temperature is the Earth supposed to be? I mean is it supposed to be a hothouse with tropical foliage everywhere as it once was or is it supposed to be a ball of ice like it once was? I'd think somewhere in between would be good but really all I hear is that it's getting hot but no real idea of what temperature it should be.

    Well, the temperature that maximizes biodiversity across the planet.

    1. Re: Wat temp is ideal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Earth doesn't care about who/what inhabits it. That's the first thing you need to understand. It doesn't care about the welfare of the plants, animals, etc., or about its 'biodiversity'. The climate has been changing since the Earth was formed. The weather is just how we perceive it. The temperature is cyclical, just like every other natural ocrcurance on this big blue ball. Climate will continue to change long after we cease to live here. Humans can have no significant impact on global climate. To think otherwise is just hubris.

  56. Why is diversity a goal? by mi · · Score: 1

    Well, the temperature that maximizes biodiversity across the planet.

    Could you expand on why "biodiversity" ought to be the goal? If I had to pick something, I'd have picked "comfort of humans" or, perhaps, the humans' longevity or something like that.

    Why do you pick "biodiversity"?

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Why is diversity a goal? by estitabarnak · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Well, the temperature that maximizes biodiversity across the planet.

      Could you expand on why "biodiversity" ought to be the goal? If I had to pick something, I'd have picked "comfort of humans" or, perhaps, the humans' longevity or something like that.

      Why do you pick "biodiversity"?

      Maximizing biodiversity is a decent goal to have high on your list. The more organisms there are, the more resistant a given system is likely to be. If you've got one species of tree in a forest and beetles come and wipe out that species, you're in trouble. If you've got high biodiversity, you're more likely to have less trees that will be affected, plus a better chance that there's somebody that calls the beetle dinner.

      Why should humans care about resilience? We derive a lot of services from natural systems. Protection from extreme events (flood, fire, insects, etc); diverse food stocks; tourism; unique chemicals for pharmaceuticals; groundwater purification; local weather stabilization; and so on. Even if you don't "like" nature, you derive a tremendous number of services from it. The best way to maintain longterm comfort/longevity of humans is to make sure those systems continue to be able to perform those services.

    2. Re:Why is diversity a goal? by easyTree · · Score: 1

      Even if you don't "like" nature, you derive a tremendous number of services from it. The best way to maintain longterm comfort/longevity of humans is to make sure those systems continue to be able to perform those services.

      By that logic, everyone should have at the top of their list of best interests "look after my fellow [wo]man as we're all connected". That could be working out better.

    3. Re:Why is diversity a goal? by mi · · Score: 1

      Maximizing biodiversity is a decent goal to have high on your list.

      Well, it may be a decent goal, but rwa2's statement was, it ought to be the topmost goal, and that I do not understand...

      The more organisms there are, the more resistant a given system is likely to be.

      I doubt, that's true actually — even if the aim is to preserve life of any kind, rather than humanity in particular. Because, in your quest for greater and greater variety of organisms, you are as likely as not to give way to some obscure diseases, that can suddenly wipe out various species (including our own), thus collapsing the system.

      Some diversity may be desirable, but, I'm quite certain, the curve peaks somewhere...

      The best way to maintain longterm comfort/longevity of humans is [...]

      Well, we seem to agree, that comfort and longevity of humans is (or ought to be) the goal. Whether or not biodiversity is means to that end is less obvious.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    4. Re:Why is diversity a goal? by delt0r · · Score: 1

      Biodiversity is not getting reduced from GW. It is habitat removal and over fishing. Plian and simple.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
  57. Re:Typical conservative thinking by rwa2 · · Score: 0

    vs.
    War = Freedom
    Slavery = Peace
    Etc. = Higher Taxes
    Global Warming = More Prosperity

  58. Pascals Wager by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    from the article
    antartica gets about 2,000 Gt per year in ice
    the net change is about 100 Gt per year
    that means a loss of about 1,900 Gt per year

    so, we are looking at the small difference between two large flows
    i suspect we will be debating this for a while
    Protip: measuring things over the entire continent of antarctica isn't as easy as it sounds

    If you bet that climate change is not occuring, the results of being wrong could be bad for your children, eg we have to evacuate bangaldesh

    if you bet that climate change is occuring, teh results of being wrong are...minimal

    place your money

    1. Re:Pascals Wager by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if you bet that climate change is occuring, teh results of being wrong are...minimal

      place your money

      Wow, problem solved. So you'll pay to fix it with your money, then?

  59. It's a joke. Laugh! by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    I notice the parent was moderated "flamebait". Whoosh!

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  60. Neither is whether anything needs to be done. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    The basic message is "we should leave the planet better off than we found it". Which is a good and admirable thing.

    Hear hear!

    The big problem is that nobody has a clear, and widely agreed-upon idea about what to do about it.

    Even if the planet is warming, there are a number of steps between that and "We must stop it even if it takes us back to the stone age and kills off most of the population!" Most of the attention is on "Where's the temperature going?". That leaves out a number of others, starting with "Is it disastrous, bad, indifferent, good, or wonderful?"

    And some of the options being put forth are fairly shady, dangerous, or just flat-out unacceptable. Sometimes two or three of those at once. [...] The whole "carbon credit" trading scheme has already proven totally shady, since it's a carte blanche license to pollute.

    Provided you shovel a bunch of money into the carbon credit market, a substantial portion of which - to the tune of aggregate billions - went to the founders and operators of the market - notably, the same Al Gore who was pushing so hard to spread the idea that the science was "settled" and that ecogeddon was almost upon us unless the carbon content of the atmosphere was immediately reduced to pre-industrial levels, regardless of cost in money, freedom, and lives.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  61. Government are the other by mi · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    if you're Syrian, I'm so sorry, but this trend of westerners 'othering' their governments when they're part of it fucking baffles me.

    I, most certainly, did not vote for Obama, who got just barely more than 50% of the vote and quickly fell below that in approval ratings. Congress' ratings are even worse.

    At any point in time about half the country disagrees with the sitting President and the Legislature. We accept them as a necessary evil — "evil" being the keyword — hence the "othering".

    We hire the government to do the things, that nobody else can do or be allowed to do: protect us from violence within and without and enforce the contracts. They should not be allowed to do anything else: not issue loans, not treat the sick, not feed the hungry nor shelter the homeless, none of that — and certainly not sell electricity. All of that was a mission creep, which ought to stop.

    I am from the government and I am here to help.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Government are the other by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 0

      If that is your opinion about 'government' and hence 'society', why don't you emmigrate to true third world country, like Somalia, Sudan or Nigeria?

      The 'governments' there certainly don't feed the poor, house the homeless and treat the sick.

      And you likely proclaim yourself a Christian even ... I guess you will rot in hell for your mistakes :)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    2. Re:Government are the other by mi · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If that is your opinion about 'government' and hence 'society', why don't you emmigrate to true third world country, like Somalia, Sudan or Nigeria?

      Weren't you among those, "threatening" to emigrate to Canada, when Bush got elected? Or was it North Korea — the platonic ideal of government "taking care" of the citizenry's every need? WTF are you still doing here?

      The 'governments' there certainly don't feed the poor, house the homeless and treat the sick.

      Nice of you to have included Somalia — this whole meme about how Libertarians are supposed to move there is as stupid as it is infamous — the country's current troubles are due to its previous government being Socialist. Venezuela is unravelling into the same direction in front of our eyes — just ask Bernie Sanders, when you next meet him, what he would differently from Hugo Chavez...

      Oh, but what about Sudan? Well, they have an ambitious social protection program called the Social Initiative Program. Nigeria does too. Time to update your talking-points card.

      And you likely proclaim yourself a Christian even...

      Tell me, where in the Christian (or Jewish) dogma is there anything about it being the government's (Cæsar's) responsibility to help the "less fortunate"? It is not — good people are supposed to do it themselves, government spending tax-monies on it is not benevolence.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    3. Re: Government are the other by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      What happens to the sick when they are unable to get treatment? Should they be abandoned?

    4. Re: Government are the other by mi · · Score: 1

      What happens to the sick when they are unable to get treatment? Should they be abandoned?

      The same thing, that happens to the hungry — they go and buy food — giving something of value in exchange of something of value.

      Those, who have nothing to offer (how come?) — neither money, nor goods, nor labor — may ask (politely) others for charity. Taxes aren't it — they are collected at gun-point (either implicit, as in the West, or explicit as in Somalia) and thus should only be spent on guarding against things threatening the very system itself.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    5. Re:Government are the other by Ryan+McLaughlin · · Score: 1

      Well said, I wish I had mod points.

    6. Re:Government are the other by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      Weren't you among those, "threatening" to emigrate to Canada,
      No I weren't. I don't live in the states ;)

      The rest of your rant only shows two things: you are an idiot and I hope if you live according to your attitude one will take care about you.

      The other thing is: the idiots modding you up, are the same kind as you are.

      Tell me, where in the Christian (or Jewish) dogma is there anything about it being the government's (Cæsar's) responsibility to help the "less fortunate"?
      I did not say that, idiot.

      It is not â" good people are supposed to do it themselves, government spending tax-monies on it is not benevolence.
      Nevertheless: yes it is Or do you expect me to run around and fix the fact that capitalism does not work? I don't have enough money to help everyone, and if I would help as many as I can I have no time to make money to help anyone.

      As I pointed out in another post where you angried out, the government has three prime objectives:
      a) house its citizens
      b) cloth its citizens
      c) feed its citizens
      In that order.
      And on top of that: take care of their education.

      If you beleive otherwise: you are not a civilized being but a wild animal and don't deserve to live in the protection of a society.

      It is left as an excercise to you to figure who said this. (But I guess google wont help much ;) ... as a hint, one of those I remember saying that lived 3300 years ago.)

      And as a final word: I don't get why you americans always use 'libertian' and 'socialist' etc. as if they where swear words.

      The names of politicians you mention: sorry, never heard about them ;)

      You seem to hate a lot of people. I guess it is superflouvious to ask: who is your mother?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    7. Re:Government are the other by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The last sentence of my previous answer was supposed to mean: it is superflouvious to ask, HOW is your mother? Not: who.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    8. Re: Government are the other by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      It's a bit easier to afford to eat than it is to afford treatment for chronic illnesses. Are there charities in the US that will meet your health care bills when you can't do it yourself because you're too poor to afford insurance?

    9. Re:Government are the other by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [I'm not mi]

      As I pointed out in another post where you angried out, the government has three prime objectives:
      a) house its citizens
      b) cloth its citizens
      c) feed its citizens
      In that order.
      And on top of that: take care of their education.

      Those objectives might be considered the proper role of government in your country. Bully for you. The proper role of the government here in the US differs, though we do stray from it quite a bit in practice. You'll find none of those responsibilities enumerated within our constitution, nor all that much recommending them in contemporary writings such as the federalist papers, the anti-federalist papers, and so on.

      Also, your prioritization seems a bit off, unless you expect people to eat the walls of their government-provided houses in step "a" while waiting for the government-provided food in step "c". Gingerbread houses, no doubt.

      If you beleive otherwise: you are not a civilized being but a wild animal and don't deserve to live in the protection of a society.

      It is left as an excercise to you to figure who said this. (But I guess google wont help much ;) ... as a hint, one of those I remember saying that lived 3300 years ago.)

      Well, I don't think of myself as a wild animal, but then, what wild animal could? Since I'm just a wild animal, I suppose I must accept without question that this idea of government described by you is the bestest most wonderfulest kind of government of any of the other options. Argument from authority is so very convincing when it's buttressed by an ad hominem attack.

      Or maybe, just maybe, the proper role of government includes providing for the common defense, protecting fundamental liberties, and damned little else. Posted from the US, where the wild things are...

      - T

  62. Paint the streets white? by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    Also, thickening of the ice doesn't slow global warming. Only growing ice extent can do that, by reducing albedo.

    Which brings up the question of whether urban heat islands could be mitigated somewhat by switching from black asphalt and tar surfaces to painting the streets and roofs white?

    Or, better yet, paint it with something like the new nanotech pigment that reflects (rather than absorbing and/or down-shifting) 97% of the incident light and only strongly couples to the "infrared window" where the atmosphere is transparent, "seeing" only the sun and the near-absolite-zero sky, not the infrafred from the greenhouse gasses and clouds. This results in a surface that, in full sunlight, is about 9 degrees F cooler that the surrounding air (and produce still more cooling when the sun is down).

    Nine degrees F is about how much heating they're touting as a disaster, isn't it? Maybe we should paint whole continents. B-)

    (Meanwhile, reducing the amount of energy used for air conditioning by deploying trick paint could cut a lot of fossil fuel use without degrading quality of life.)

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:Paint the streets white? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would support painting streets white just to make the heat in paved areas less oppressive on hot summer days. It's probably a bad idea in areas with significant snowfall, though - I'm pretty sure that the dark color of asphalt helps the roads clear faster.

      That Stanford nanotech coating sounds neat, but there's no way it would be durable enough to withstand road traffic for any length of time. I bet it's also super expensive compared to a coating based on ordinary titanium dioxide.

    2. Re:Paint the streets white? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ask anyone who skis, a white high reflective surface to look at is a terrible, terrible idea. Especially for driving.

      Put it on the roofs if you want, but leave the streets gray.

  63. So much for "seas rising" by mi · · Score: 2

    maybe move inland and hope for good TV coverage of the drowning masses at the beach.

    Al Gore, of all people, undercut this particular aspect of his own scare-mongering, when he bought an ocean-front villa for himself. A real nice one too, I hear...

    But then, the "recovering politician" was never much about practicing, what he preaches.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:So much for "seas rising" by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      If you had looked into it at all you would know that Al Gore's Montecito villa is on East Mountain Drive and while it may have an ocean view it is quite a distance from the ocean and at least 200 feet above sea level. It is definitely not on the beach.

      Al Gore's house.

    2. Re:So much for "seas rising" by mi · · Score: 1

      Great. So he'll be overrun by the survivors from among the hordes drowning on beaches, as predicted by Opportunist above.

      Fortunately, these opportunists have been making such predictions for several decades now, and, as we both know already, they were full of shit.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    3. Re:So much for "seas rising" by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Yes, well Opportunist's comment was a bit hyperbolic but chances are with sea level rise continuing that storm surges may catch some people by surprise by reaching places that have never been reached before. The rate of sea level rise has been over 3 mm/year since the early 1990's and chances are that rate will increase in the future. Also it's impossible to rule out several feet of sea level rise over a decade or two. It's something we know has happened in the past.

    4. Re:So much for "seas rising" by mi · · Score: 1

      The interesting thing is, your entire comment — like most other utterances by Climate Scientists — has no falsifiable statements in it. Good job staying safe.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    5. Re:So much for "seas rising" by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Hmm... Storm surges reaching places that have never been reached before is falsifiable. Over 3mm/year is falsifiable. That the rate will increase in the future is falsifiable. That several feet of sea level rise on decadal time scales has happened in the past is falsifiable.

    6. Re:So much for "seas rising" by mi · · Score: 1

      Storm surges reaching places that have never been reached before is falsifiable

      It would've been, if you said "will". But you said "may".

      Over 3mm/year is falsifiable

      Again, it would've been, had you not used the evasive "chances are" qualifier.

      Maybe, you should quit "science" and go into advertising? That's where crafting impressive yet non-committal statements is made into an art: "15 minutes could save you 15% or more on car insurance!"

      But then, your job is already about advertising — for "green energy" and the like...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    7. Re:So much for "seas rising" by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Like I said before you argue like a lawyer, not a scientist.

    8. Re:So much for "seas rising" by mi · · Score: 1

      Like I said before you argue like a lawyer, not a scientist.

      And, like before, your saying so is an admission, you've run out of arguments with substance.

      You could have — after I called you out — to go on-record with actually falsifiable predictions, but chose instead to complain about my argument-style. A fraud.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  64. Arctic ice mostly floats, not affecting sea level. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    When arctic ice melts, it doesn't lead to sea level rise, so as far as sea level rise is concerned.

    Except for the drop-in-the-bucket part of it on land rather than in the Arcitc Ocean.

    That's mostly Greenland and Iceland (which are really pretty small, though their position near the pole makes them look gigantic in Mercator projection maps.)

    I hear there is joy in Iceland over their current warming trend. Though the recent retreat of their glaciers and improvement of their growing conditions is still far from that of the Medieval Optimum, they are once again able to grow some of the crops that were common there at the time.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  65. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by mspohr · · Score: 2

    On the other hand, the sea rise from the current warming trend will leave much of the coastline (where many people live) uninhabitable.

    --
    I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
  66. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

    You're either an idiot, or lying; I would suggest agreeing to the later, because the former would be humiliating.

  67. Re:Arctic ice mostly floats, not affecting sea lev by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Icelands in in the middle of the gulf stream.
    In comparision with the "rest of" Europe it never was really cold there ;)

    they are once again able to grow some of the crops that were common there at the time.
    That is nonsense. They never stopped growing them. You are mixing up Icelands with the south of Greenland ;)

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  68. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by camg188 · · Score: 1

    what temperature is the Earth supposed to be?

    Well for a majority of the Cenozic era (the age of mammals) there have been no glaciers or polar ice caps.

  69. just below water freezing w/o atmosphere by peter303 · · Score: 1

    The atmosphere traps some heat. Water vapor, C02, and CH4 are the most important traps in that order.

    The Sun is about 15% brighter than when the Earth first formed. The the atmosphere was import for the evident liquid water the first couple billion years. It may have been at least half CO2 then.

  70. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by camg188 · · Score: 1

    The internet archive, archive.org, could not archive that page. Weird.

  71. We've got one on /. (Cito)... apk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He freely admitted it here http://slashdot.org/comments.p... & you want to read what he wrote.

    * Additionally: Yes, you're correct (HBGary + others were caught using "professional trolls" too as another "proof thereof" - & the NICE PART about these less honorable than street whores types doing it for them is they SHOW YOU that you are making headway - reactions from primitive minds show you this, projecting it).

    NOW, & perhaps above ALL else - they're not very intelligent (but then again, nobody OWNS a piece of it anymore, certainly not controlling interests (perhaps save good companies like Ford who have their NAME & history on it, creating imo @ least, the wonderful Mustang 4.6-5.0 Liter motor that even the Koenigsegg (sp?) even utilized initially since it was SO well done - that "better mousetrap", & NOTHING defeats that - nothing)).

    APK

    P.S.=> I've personally caught 2-3 more also red-handed since they work for advertiser firms etc. & it makes me laugh, like I do in that link above... why?

    Well - They're helping me realize 1 thing - They're NOT too smart & their favorite color MUST BE TRANSPARENT - as they're so easy to see thru & catch in the act, if only eventually (since they think people are stupid - they're not. They're ignorant until things start adversely affecting them, & then they get 'smart' - life keeps you hopping all the time, but put enough pressure on ANYONE? They smarten up, fast - learning to deal with it, effectively...) - you seem to be aware of this madness & lunacy too - take comfort in the fact we ALL do & deal accordingly when the time is right & circumstances both permit AND demand it...

    ... apk

  72. GW by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 1

    Look up in to the sky. See the big shiny thing. ~2 x 10^24 gigatons of slightly variable plasma fusion reactor. Incidental energy transport modulated by various astrophysical, terrestial and geologic factors.

  73. freezing by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 1

    By 2020, people will curse you when they are freeing their arses off. Partly colder weather with the solar/sunspot declines, and partly poverty.

    1. Re:freezing by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      By 2020, people will curse you when they are freeing their arses off. Partly colder weather with the solar/sunspot declines, and partly poverty.

      Not to worry, Jeezus will never let that happen. Him and Ted Cruz.

      Dammit I failed. Tried to write something as stupid as you did, but its impossible.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    2. Re: freezing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No, don't worry.. You're pretty fucking stupid.

  74. Re: Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Resolve the climate change debate once and for all! Cry a river and see if it freezes ;)

  75. The relativity of wrong. by TapeCutter · · Score: 2

    Give it a break. This is what 'settled science' means. Karl Popper, called the same concept "The republic of Science", it's a key concept in the philosophy of Science, it is the difference between "A scientist says" and "Science says", why do so many people of one political colour have a problem with that?

    As for TFA, there is nothing in it that says or implies "they've been measuring it all wrong", they are using all the measurements they have. NASA found something interesting in the data, something that doesn't fit previously extrapolated assumptions that were made because the data did not exist, they make it perfectly clear it does not change previous findings. The ocean is still rising, this observation means they cannot account for a very small portion of the observed rise.

    By definition all scientific knowledge is imperfect but the mere existence of the modern world is very strong evidence that imperfect knowledge is preferable to ignorant speculation. So if being 'wrong' embarsses you, don't chose a STEM career.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  76. Re: Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "I am not Bil Gates" ~Bill Gates.
    FTFY.

  77. We've got one on /. (Cito)... apk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He freely admitted it here http://slashdot.org/comments.p... & you want to read what he wrote HERE specifically http://slashdot.org/comments.p...

    (Apparently, he doesn't want it scene having downmodded it TWICE here -> http://science.slashdot.org/co... + here also -> http://science.slashdot.org/co... )

    * Additionally: Yes, you're correct (HBGary + others were caught using "professional trolls" too as another "proof thereof" - & the NICE PART about these less honorable than street whores types doing it for them is they SHOW YOU that you are making headway - reactions from primitive minds show you this, projecting it).

    NOW, & perhaps above ALL else - they're not very intelligent (but then again, nobody OWNS a piece of it anymore, certainly not controlling interests (perhaps save good companies like Ford who have their NAME & history on it, creating imo @ least, the wonderful Mustang 4.6-5.0 Liter motor that even the Koenigsegg (sp?) even utilized initially since it was SO well done - that "better mousetrap", & NOTHING defeats that - nothing)).

    APK

    P.S.=> I've personally caught 2-3 more also red-handed since they work for advertiser firms etc. & it makes me laugh, like I do in that link above... why?

    Well - They're helping me realize 1 thing - They're NOT too smart & their favorite color MUST BE TRANSPARENT - as they're so easy to see thru & catch in the act, if only eventually (since they think people are stupid - they're not. They're ignorant until things start adversely affecting them, & then they get 'smart' - life keeps you hopping all the time, but put enough pressure on ANYONE? They smarten up, fast - learning to deal with it, effectively...) - you seem to be aware of this madness & lunacy too - take comfort in the fact we ALL do & deal accordingly when the time is right & circumstances both permit AND demand it...

    ... apk

  78. ice around anarctica should increase by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The ocean current circles antarctica. If freshwater ice melts, it sticks around. Freshwater freezes at a higher temp than saltwater. SO it takes less cold to make ice from the surrounding water. But if there is extra freshwater around antarctica, where did it come from? Melting ice.

    Arctic ocean mixes into Altlantic, so is saltier. It won't freeze back as fast as waters down south.

    A TED talk put it perfectly. There are 4 outa 500 glaciers in the world getting bigger. But there are 495 outa 500 getting smaller.

    It is what it is. Nov1 and my locale hasn't had a freeze yet. We usually have a snowstorm by now.

  79. - jew weather weapons - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All 'climate' including 'antartic ice' now controlled by Jew Chemtrails weather weapons, we are being sprayed with nano chip CHEMTRAILS. All 'climate change' spew is distraction put out by the massive JEW cabal to distract from their chemtrails assault. So called 'government' is a jew fraud and has been from the start. After real men fought and died to get rid of the scum jew british part of the jew tribe bogus 'taxation', idiots here allowed the scum jews like 'washington' and the rest of the fraud 'founders' to made up their bogus 'constitution' fraud to set up fraud 'government' to 'tax' dupes and get themselves trillions in weapons, from the fraud 'govt' fraud 'federal reserve', every fraud 'war', the scum 'social' schemes, all of it a setup to get a mass of weapons to slaughter other races for jew world takeover. Now we're being SPRAYED by the mass murdering jew tribe.
    Most 'whites' in fraud 'government', liar 'media' liar 'scientists' 'dokters' fraud 'lawyers' 'judges' are Not nordic whites they are 'white' skin ashkenazi JEW race. So-called 'scientists' and 'media' spew 'climate change' are Lying JEWS and co-cons. They fake 'debate' to dumb down their scum weapons system, the assault on us by weather and on us physically, the jew CHEMTRAILS and TOWERS everywhere control and force 'climate, drought, storms, floods, lightning, and earthquake. The jew fraud 'government' spraying us with nano chips designed so when you breathe the nano chips, nano sythetic fungus and other nano particles they self assemble into 'morgellons' fiber optics inside of you, but don't form inside of the scum ashkenazi jews, they are race, a separate genetic group. The nano chip fiber optics so the jews control everyone else by 'wireless' 'Ipv6 internet of things', 'smart grid', scum 'wireless' are a mass weapon system, You are the kill and slavery target. The fibers in you now, done and continue to form with every breath you take. So called 'morgellons' was proven in study, they had to link it to lyme so there was something known, but that is only a tiny fraction part of the makeup. The so called 'lyme' fraction was also made in a lab. On cause, they could not say it's coming from our being sprayed or it would not have been published. The jews control all 'science' publications. There will be no more studies. If you're a drooling idiot who sits on your ass 'demanding' more 'proof' you deserve to be slaughtered and will be slaughtered. You are not owed anything. Your scum ignorance of the mass fraud 'govt', 'wars', 'bailouts' the mass scum immigration, you sit on your ass trained to swallow jew bullshit 'served' to you every day while you never bothered to SEE what's in your FACE. For your ignorance YOU are now being SPRAYED for slavery and extermination by the massive scum jew tribe.

    Virtually everything on the net is put out by them including the 'chemtrail' sites, 'jew truther' sites, all of it, thousands of bs sites to 'lead the opposition' so whatever 'level' of duped you still are, whatever is left you don't know they work to divert, distract, subvert. Don't expect the web to 'save' you. It's always been on you to grow up and make your own tribes in REAL life. Get Off the web, give info to real people, handing out paper notes. Stop being a chicken shit afraid to meet real people in your own area. You cannot make a tribe 'online' to fight them. Here is a note to copy and hand out -
    -------------
    We are being sprayed, archive.org/details/DontTalkAboutTheWeather_451 - see first 20 mins. The haze in the air is nano chips, other content- www.willthomasonline.net/Nano_Chemtrails.html - older page, semi dumb down, the spraying is mass and worldwide, the contents far more than described. The nano chips are for 'wireless' brain rape and control by 'smart grid' 'wireless' 'ipv6' 'internet of things'. You are already more than 'chipped'. The bogus 'towers' everywhere part of chemtrails weapons also causing droughts, storms and other assaults. They are Not 'cell' towers, all cell is satelite. They made bio weapons, newworldw

  80. Re: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    - Also, jew trolls will probably jump on to distract from my post above. 'tin foil hat', 'anti semite' 'racist' whatever other bs to distract. Get it straight 90% of all shit comments you see on the web are jews or computer generated bs posts. It's a mass distraction trap to keep you from getting off your ass to stop them before they kill you. Keep sitting, you deserve what you get. The info is for those enraged by the assaults on us and rather fight instead of die, who know freedom is nature anarchy and tribes, Not scum jew 'government' Not forced scum jew 'communist' shit, it's bashing down scum jew fraud 'government' 'states', scum jews and all parasite and immigrant parasite scum. Don't focus 'everywhere' focus where You Are. Make your own tribes. If there were enough tribes you could shut down the scum jew 'airports' THAT is where the mass of immigrants are swarming in. The fraud jews and co-frauds fake yammer 'close the borders' for two decades while idiots still buy their shit to distract from the AIRPORTS and their bullshit 'legal' immigration' attack is where the scum jew 'govt' is flooding them. The most important is to inform others using notes, now. Do it every day. For a couple of hours you could also hold up a sign by the road. For immigration hold up a sign by the road that says 'Stop ALL immigration NOW' and 'thezog.info'. But as or even more dire is our being sprayed assaulted with their scum nano chip chemtrails, hold up a sign, short simple, 'chemtrail virus' or 'nano chip chemtrails' and 'thezog.info' - isn't as much info but people will put it together, many know something's wrong but fail to see it's the massive scum JEW tribe behind it all. You reach larger numbers using a road sign, those who don't know it's the jews will at least get the core. By far using notes is better, you reach a medium number of people if you make the effort and with the note in the post above they would have the dire information so there is no dumbing down the danger, no denying the facts. Most of the masses are willful idiots, by giving out notes, those who want to fight to live have information on who is behind our destruction and can inform by passing on the information, and for those who are lazy scum idiots once you hand them info you take away their scum denial. Anyone who denies or refuses to give others info and do their part are the enemy the same as the scum jew 'govt' 'media'
    'corporations', your scum jew 'neighbor who does the 'holo' snivel, anyone in the tribe and anyone who denies or refuses to do anything is the enemy. Keep going until you find others like yourself.
    Go where there are crowds, two people can hand out a hundred notes in an hour, the note in post above written so others pass it on, otherwise idiots decide because you hand them a note that 'someone else' is 'handling it'. That's why the massive scum jew tribe all over 'media', all 'corporations' all the fake 'opposition' groups do their fake 'argue' bs so scum dupes think because someone is bitching on the radio they don't have to do anything. Idiots to stupid to see that two hundred years of bogus 'founders' lies and jew yammer bullshit 'media' never does anything because That's what it's for, to distract and divert idiots, tell idiots 'write to cognress' 'join our group', 'donate' all bs to subvert idiots now the mass jew tribe and their scum co-frauds in 'govt' are assaulting us, spraying you, flooding in more parasites, getting ready for the big cull. Being able to line this out took years and work and experience and sacrifice including by others. There is no 'easy way' out, your scum breeders and their breeders ignored it all, now it's all on you or you die. I handed you the tools to get going. Life is only for those who fight and conquer, the scum jews have nearly conquered you, they chipped you they're going to kill you and the chips enslave the rest. Get off your ass, take back the power water companies and farms they stole, bash away scum fraud 'government' and states' and every smiley fraud every fake 'tough' f

  81. dumb down bs- by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    mocking 'plot' bs. The mass jew tribe is the 'conspiracy'. It's not just 'oil companies' or 'corporations' or any of other jew distraction bs. There is nothing funny about the destruction being done to us by the jew tribe and their mass of weapons, already killed over a billion people thanks to ameriscum idiots ignoring and paying 'tax' so jews can kill everyone else and take the world for themselves.

    - more in - jew weather weapons - post above, click load all comments, also slide bar over so all show

  82. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

    Everything I said is true, as a minute with Google shows you:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    The current ice age, the one we are in, is called the "Quarternary Glaciation" or "Pleistocene Glaciation":

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    The last "glacial period" (which is colloquially referred to as an "ice age", although that is not scientifically accurate), ended about 22000 years ago:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    We are currently in an interglacial period:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    It's unclear how much longer that would last without anthropogenic climate change; we might have started into the next glacial period already, or we may be skipping one this time. Either way, a glacial period is bad news, far worse than global warming.

  83. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 3, Informative

    On the other hand, the sea rise from the current warming trend will leave much of the coastline (where many people live) uninhabitable.

    At about 3mm / year, we're looking at a foot per century, or a meter per millennium. That's easy to adapt to. Even several times that rate of sea level rise is something we'd barely notice.

    Furthermore, taking current topographical maps and combining them with sea level rise data is bullshit anyway; most coasts are sedimentary, not rocky.

  84. Re:Arctic ice mostly floats, not affecting sea lev by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

    Greenland holds fairly significant amounts of ice. The reason it's not a big concern is because, unlike sea ice, it would take a long time to melt, no matter what happens with climate change.

  85. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

    It is probably in our best interests that the climates we live in are compatible with us.

    Well, then global warming should be good news,

    And for some, after adjustment, it will be good news. For others? a catastrophe. This is the part that so many do not get. Canada so far has had an extension of the term between killing frosts, so the frost free season is lengthening. - also the Western US. Here is some interesting US data.

    http://nca2014.globalchange.go....

    Then again, some places might not be so fortunate. Some may even become colder. As the Greenland ice melts, the Weather in England might get a little frosty. This might happen if the gulf stream gets interrupted by the cold fresh water influx from Greenland.

    At present in Ireland, they grow cabbage palm at the same latitude as Newfoundland - the warming effects of the gulf stream are so dominant, all may go away.

    http://www.smithsonianmag.com/... And some areas that are now verdant, may become arid. All sort of the luck of the draw.

    I always like to put discussions in the manner in which others can relate. Strategically, is it wise to gamble that the US will always be blessed by climate? If large portions of the country turn into desert - is that a good formula for continued role as the world's superpower.

    And that petrofuel. Is it patriotic and smart burning huge amounts of that portable energy dense fuel in gas guzzlers that we may some day need for our jet fighters?

    Not the most glamorous web page, but interesting: http://vanrcook.tripod.com/Ger... Oddly enough, many people who consider themselves more patriotic, and love their country more than others, are happy to burn as much fossil fuel and use as much of the energy dense petrofuel, that they may have a leading role in our diminished power. All by foolishly believing people who are not at all patriotic, but have money as the central theme of their lives, but are smart enough to enlist them.

    Me? I consider it my patriotic duty to enable the warfighters the best chance of fulfilling their missions.

    So I'm going to drive, but I'm also going to conserve. I'm also going to attempt to have my country in good shape as long as possible.

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  86. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

    On the other hand, the sea rise from the current warming trend will leave much of the coastline (where many people live) uninhabitable.

    Very expensive real estate owned by very wealthy people.

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  87. Re: Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is a faction that points out that warmer temperatures mean higher crop yeilds, more living space at higher latitudes, and fewer deaths via freezing. The human body operates better in warmer temps, and is better able to handle drought than ice.

  88. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 2

    For the past several million years, the earth has undergone regular glacial cycles, first every 40000 years, then every 100000 years. There have been dozens of these. That's not controversial or "a theory", it's something you can read off ice cores.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

  89. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 2

    On the other hand, the sea rise from the current warming trend will leave much of the coastline (where many people live) uninhabitable.

    At about 3mm / year, we're looking at a foot per century, or a meter per millennium. That's easy to adapt to..

    Umm, no. Your simple version of sea level rise is really good, as long as you don't take into account just how low much of the coastline is. That and tides. That and storms. That and the fact that rise and sometimes fall are not always the same everywhere - in some areas, land is rising as it rebounds from the last ice age. So new land is being created at the shoreline.

    Even so the rise is not consistent per year. Hell, in 2010, the ocean levels dropped due to a combination of conditions:

    http://www.scientificamerican....

    Furthermore, taking current topographical maps and combining them with sea level rise data is bullshit anyway; most coasts are sedimentary, not rocky.

    While I don't have the data on most coasts, that would be much worse than a rocky coast. As inevitable storms especially when combined with king tides, low barometric pressure and wind, can take that small yearly difference, and amplify the bejabbers out of it.

    What's the odds of that happening? Ask the peeps in New Jersey and New York City about Hurricane Sandy.

    http://blogs.wsj.com/metropoli...

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  90. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 2

    If large portions of the country turn into desert - is that a good formula for continued role as the world's superpower.

    Large portions of the US are already desert. So far, climate change has led to an overall increase in precipitation in the US. Overall, long term, climate change will probably not lead to significant net changes for the US; if it does, it will be towards less desert.

    And for some, after adjustment, it will be good news. For others? a catastrophe.

    That's always the case with climate. It is naive to think that eliminating human carbon emissions will cause the climate to stabilize. Generally, pushing the climate in the direction of warmer temperatures is better overall.

  91. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Umm, no. Your simple version of sea level rise is really good, as long as you don't take into account just how low much of the coastline is.

    A meter of sea level rise is a meter of sea level rise, no more and no less. Tides don't change that. In fact, places like the Netherlands do fine with much of their country below sea level.

    While I don't have the data on most coasts, that would be much worse than a rocky coast.

    No, actually, it is not.

  92. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 1

    Lrrr: We will raise your planet's temperature by one million degrees a day, for five days, unless we see McNeal at 9pm tomorrow - 8 central!

  93. This can't be correct by MagickalMyst · · Score: 1

    Al Gore told us that the polar ice caps would be melted by 2014.

    We all know that politician's don't lie....

    --
    Political correctness is really just herd psychology pushed by insecure people who desperately seek social conformity.
  94. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by MagickalMyst · · Score: 1

    "My question is what temperature is the Earth supposed to be? "

    It varies. We don't live in a static world; we live in a dynamic one.

    Dinosaurs once roamed the earth. Then they were killed off by an ice age. Then it warmed up again, leading us to the modern age.

    Logic would dictate that the earth will get cooler and have another ice age, and then warm up again.

    Cycles of nature.

    --
    Political correctness is really just herd psychology pushed by insecure people who desperately seek social conformity.
  95. Re:"Sea ice and land ice are two separate phenomen by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

    According to this skepticalscience.com:

    > Sea ice and land ice are two separate phenomena. Antarctica is losing land ice at an accelerating rate. Sea ice around Antarctica is increasing. The reasons for sea ice increasing in a warming Southern Ocean are complex

    http://www.skepticalscience.com/antarctica-gaining-ice.htm

    You are right, SkepticalScience lists "Antarctica is gaining Ice" as number ten on their list of top Climate Myths. Either the crew at NASA are now foul mouthed deniers, or the blogger activists at SkepticalScience aren't as fair handed and open minded as they boast...

  96. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He fucked all night and now his hand is sore and bleeding.

    FTFY

  97. Re: Famous Bill Gates Quote by LinuxLuver · · Score: 1

    Guess you weren't paying any attention to the consequences of warming / cooling. Or that this natural process is sometimes due to the activities of one or more species causing the climate to change. Like when the cyano-bacteria caused the atmosphere to be unbreathable for a billion years. It's just natural. (And sometimes lethal).

    --
    Only boring people are ever bored.
  98. Re: Famous Bill Gates Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You mad or something? Or just have the maturity of a 14 year old?

  99. Re:Famous Bill Gates Quote by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    The issue isn't what temperatures on the Earth are supposed to be. The issue is how fast the temperature is changing. Take the temperature increases that have happened over the last 100 years and are expected over the next 100 years (with BAU) and spread them out over several thousand years and they aren't that big a deal. The problem is that the temperature change is happening at a rate that outpaces the ability of natural systems to adapt.

  100. To be expected in a non-warming world by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Since the PDO went negative around 2001-3 and the AMO has peaked and is on its way down and the sun in at a low point not seen in centuries can I ask what you expected? That the all powerful CO2 trace gas would somehow overpower all the natural forces? Ha, good one.

    A question for everyone who thinks that CO2 controls the climate. How long with rising CO2 and flat or falling temperatures before you admit your theory is wrong? 20 years? 30? Never?

    Both of the satellite datasets (RSS, UAH) show no warming for 18+ years. In that time CO2 has risen 10%.

    Why do I use the 2 satellite measurements?
    First they have the greatest coverage. RSS goes from 82.5N to 82.5 S and UAH, 85N to 85S.

    Second they are the least adjusted. Unlike NOAA which makes completely unjustified adjustments by raising good data (ARGO bouy temps) to match what they themselves admit is bad, corrupted data (ship engine intake temps).

    Lastly they are run by 2 scientists with good credentials (Dr Mears & Dr Spencer respectively) and despite looking at what is almost the same data come to different conclusions. Dr Mears thinks CO2 does control the climate and Dr Spencer does not. I like that. Not only does it keep them honest it makes me think and read both sides to see why they are so different in their conclusions despite almost identical data. So far I side with the position of Dr Spencer.

    So after this nice el-nino (2015-16 winter) we will in likely get a la-nina which will be very cold. There will be stagnating temperatures at best and severe cold at worst. Sorry to all the "CO2 fanboys (and fangirls) out there but CO2 does not control the climate and our paltry addition to the levels in our atmosphere is a good thing.

    1. Re:To be expected in a non-warming world by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Second they (satellite temperature records) are the least adjusted.

      What a laughable statement. It takes far more adjustments and manipulations to derive temperatures from satellites than it does for surface temperature measurements. Even Dr. Mears says he trusts the surface temperature measurements more than his satellite measurements.

  101. Translation... by TaleSpinner · · Score: 1

    "...Oops they caught us in another out and out lie, so we have to pretend that was never what we meant. We will return to our regularly scheduled lying as soon as practical."

    And notice once again another political arm of the UN, the IPCC, once again treated as if they were really "scientists" and not just socialist activists with retreaded 'community organizing' degrees trying to use the global warming agenda to torpedo capitalism...

  102. Re:"Sea ice and land ice are two separate phenomen by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    You do realize that science isn't a matter of making pronouncements and engraving them into stone, right? This is a new study with new information. It's unexpected, but that's what happens in science every now and then.

    Up until now, the best guess was that Antarctic ice was diminishing, and this study challenges that.

    The myth listing was to address the claims that Antarctic sea ice is extensive, so the Antarctic is icing up. That is bad reasoning, even if it turns out that the ice is increasing.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  103. Re:"Sea ice and land ice are two separate phenomen by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

    You do realize that science isn't a matter of making pronouncements and engraving them into stone, right? This is a new study with new information. It's unexpected, but that's what happens in science every now and then.

    Up until now, the best guess was that Antarctic ice was diminishing, and this study challenges that.

    The myth listing was to address the claims that Antarctic sea ice is extensive, so the Antarctic is icing up. That is bad reasoning, even if it turns out that the ice is increasing.

    Don't tell me that, tell SkepticalScience that. They declare Antarctic ice is increasing as a 'myth'. Your discussion and reasoning that it isn't a disproof of overall warming nor sea level rise is dead on. That is to say that Antarctic ice increase is not a valid argument or reason to reject the overall conclusion from all other evidence, it even fits into existing theory. However a "Myth" is different and SkepticalScience was and is just flat wrong to have called it that. There was always conflicting evidence on what Antarctic sea ice mass was doing, but it was unequivocal that Antarctic sea-ice extent was breaking records repeatedly. This NASA finding isn't coming out of a clear blue sky or something, and to have declared such a notion a "Myth" was and is irresponsible.

  104. Re:"Sea ice and land ice are two separate phenomen by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    You are right, SkepticalScience lists "Antarctica is gaining Ice" as number ten on their list of top Climate Myths. Either the crew at NASA are now foul mouthed deniers, or the blogger activists at SkepticalScience aren't as fair handed and open minded as they boast...

    I think the "crew at NASA" were honestly reporting the results they found from some satellites with radar altimeters and laser altimeters. But evidence from the GRACE satellites conflicts with what they report and shows a loss of ice mass from Antarctica. The GRACE satellites measure changes in gravity so they have less issues than a satellite trying to measure the height of the ice surface. Time will undoubtedly resolve the discrepancy.

  105. Seems to me we still don't know enough... by martinfb · · Score: 1

    Seems scary to consider that if, in fact, (we) may be wrong about global warming, i.e. polar ice is not doing what is forecast; then we ought to just plain stop messing with stuff. What's confusing are the conflicting data. How can we voting lay-persons make any decisions when the data are potentially invalid? Man-oh-man! Let's get it together, people. I bust my ass to be sure things are correct! How about ALL the other "qualified" reporting scientists do the same?!

    --


    Self-importance and self-indulgence is the root of ALL evil.