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Debating a Ban On Autonomous Weapons (thebulletin.org)

Lasrick writes: A pretty informative debate on banning autonomous weapons has just closed at the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The debate looks at an open letter, published In July, 2015, in which researchers in artificial intelligence and robotics (and endorsed by high-profile individuals such as Stephen Hawking) called for 'a ban on offensive autonomous weapons beyond meaningful human control.' The letter echoes arguments made since 2013 by the Campaign to Stop Killer Robots, which views autonomous weapons as 'a fundamental challenge to the protection of civilians and to international human rights and humanitarian law.'

But support for a ban is not unanimous. Some researchers argue that autonomous weapons would commit fewer battlefield atrocities than human beings—and that their development might even be considered morally imperative. The authors in this debate focus on these questions: Would deployed autonomous weapons promote or detract from civilian safety; and is an outright ban the proper response to development of autonomous weapons?

228 comments

  1. Turing Evolved by GrpA · · Score: 1

    Covered this topic exceptionally well, including at what point an autonomous weapon could be trusted...

    And the answer is when it becomes human.

    GrpA

    --
    Enjoy science fiction? "Turing Evolved" - AI, Mecha, Androids and rail-gun battles. What more could you want?
    1. Re:Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      When it becomes human, it can't be trusted anymore.

    2. Re:Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The problem with that reasoning is that it doesn't take reality into consideration.

      The reality is that all the major warmongers still uses landmines (Yes, even the US, with the motivation that they rather see civilians die than risk the lives of the soldiers.) and the landmines stays behind when the war ends.
      Autonomous weapons might be bad, but it isn't a choice between having them and not having them because if you don't use them something else will be used instead.
      With that choice I'd rather see terminator style autonomous drones/robots killing everything in sight, they would be a hell of a lot easier to clean up and deal with compared with landmines after the war is over.

    3. Re:Turing Evolved by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And the answer is when it becomes human.

      Humans killed 400+ civilians at My Lai, and 200+ civilians at No Gun Ri. Both massacres were the result of rage and fear. Robots don't feel those emotions, and have committed no massacres on that scale. I trust robots more than I trust humans.

      Restrictions on nuclear warheads, ships, etc. make sense because they can be verified. Restrictions on software have no means of verification, so any ban on autonomous robots is wishful thinking.

    4. Re: Turing Evolved by sirlatrom · · Score: 0

      And what makes you think there will not be made terminator style killing robots with mines in them?

    5. Re: Turing Evolved by ferret4 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Robots also do not feel mercy, and they never question orders - no matter how deranged.

    6. Re:Turing Evolved by N1AK · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Robots don't feel those emotions, and have committed no massacres on that scale. I trust robots more than I trust humans.

      Pretty shit logical reasoning given that robots have never been in a position where they are capable of committing a massacre on that scale. Kim Jong Un has never ordered the use of nuclear weapons so maybe we should give him control of US nukes.

      The biggest issue with robot soldiers isn't that they'll make "evil decisions" it's that when a country can engage in warfare without risking its civilians lives it's likely to get involved in more conflicts. That isn't to say that there are no valid concerns about how robots will be programmed, and ordered, to behave in the field as well.

    7. Re:Turing Evolved by jandersen · · Score: 2

      Restrictions on nuclear warheads, ships, etc. make sense because they can be verified. Restrictions on software have no means of verification, so any ban on autonomous robots is wishful thinking.

      Justifiable restrictions make sense, because putting rules into law means that those tasked with enforcing them are then allowed to take action - it clears away a hurdle. Bans are often like that - their intent is reactive, no proactive. It may not be possible to stop malicious software and hardware being developed or deployed, but at some point there may well be a reckoning, and then it becomes possible to determine whether a banned technology has been used, and the penalty can be adjusted accordingly.

      The other important point to make is that when nations sign up to a treaty that bans something, then they will be very reluctant to ignore the ban (openly, at least), and of course, if they don't sign up to it, that tells us something as well. These things can have significant repercussions for the reputation of those countries.

    8. Re:Turing Evolved by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      Justifiable restrictions make sense, because putting rules into law means that those tasked with enforcing them are then allowed to take action - it clears away a hurdle.

      Such laws also give corrupt institutions and governments a justification for bullying and oppressing others. And when it comes to international treaties, they make citizens of sovereign nations subject to the whims of international institutions that they have no democratic control over.

      The cost of enacting laws is a high one, much higher than you seem to imagine.

    9. Re:Turing Evolved by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2

      Robots don't feel those emotions, and have committed no massacres on that scale. I trust robots more than I trust humans.

      Do you trust a gun? Do you trust a bomb? Of course not, because the concept is meaningless: neither will cause harm without instructions from a human. Both can magnify the amount of harm that a human can do. Autonomous weapons, of which landmines are the simplest possible case, expand both the quantity that a person can do harm and the time over which they can do it.

      During the cold war, there were at least two incidents where humans refused to follow legitimate orders to launch nuclear weapons - in either case, the likely outcome of following the orders would have been the deaths of many millions. The worst atrocities of the second world war were caused by people 'just following orders'. And you think that it's a good idea to remove the part of the chain of command capable of disobeying orders.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    10. Re:Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is no trusting robots. They do exactly as they are told - no more, no less. Remember who robots take their orders from - humans.

    11. Re: Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The majority of humans will follow orders no matter how deranged, even when they know its wrong.

      Seeing as we have pretty good experimental proof that emotion will not override orders most of the time, then the benefit of positive emotions like empathy is functionally nil. However, negative emotional states WILL significantly alter a persons actions.

      "I won't do that sir, its wrong" has saved very few people. "The enemy isn't human and should be exterminated" has gotten entire races exterminated. Given the options, not having emotion is a net gain.

    12. Re: Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Majority, huh? What's telling us the number of troops who fought in the great wars were found with bullets still loaded in their guns, having had plenty of opportunity to use them.

      With humans, it takes a ton of reprogramming to turn most people into mindless killers. You get a few useful psychopaths who don't need so much of a push, but are not so far gone to slide a grenade under the CO's hooch at night, and most everyone else will kill only under the worst duress, without extensive brainwashing.

    13. Re: Turing Evolved by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      What's telling is that the only way we would identify these people is after they were killed. By other humans. In the millions.

    14. Re:Turing Evolved by EvilSS · · Score: 1

      I trust robots more than I trust humans.

      Humans are the ones who will give those robots their rules of engagement. Humans will also be the ones to create the AI software that interprets those rules. How much do you those humans?

      You mention My Lai. How much easier would it be for a massacre like that to be covered up if no human soldiers were involved. Who would step in to stop it, and report it (it was a human helicopter crew who stepped in and saved a number of civilians, and reported the atrocity). Don't try to tell me a robot wouldn't do that either. It very well could, either due to a failure of the AI to properly interpret it's rules of engagement, or because it was told to do it.

      --
      I browse on +1 so AC's need not respond, I won't see it.
    15. Re:Turing Evolved by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      You haven't really made a compelling case one way or another.

      A sufficiently intelligent AI system would reject a nebulously valid nuclear launch order. But you've also given exact examples of sufficiently intelligent humans still doing terrible things.

    16. Re:Turing Evolved by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      This has been thoroughly covered by great thinkers of the past: Doomsday Device

    17. Re: Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I won't do that sir, its wrong" has saved very few people.

      This is false. Of the ~50% of soldiers that actually fire when entering a firefight 85% aim to miss. Robots would be at 100% in both areas.

    18. Re: Turing Evolved by The-Ixian · · Score: 1

      Robots also do not feel mercy, and they never question orders - no matter how deranged.

      You know that we have a name for this in humans. We call them psychopaths.

      --
      My eyes reflect the stars and a smile lights up my face.
    19. Re:Turing Evolved by zAPPzAPP · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You lack imagination.

      Think of an autonomous weapon that lays dormant until it detects something in range, then wakes up, kills it and goes back to sleep.
      A landmine on steroids.

      You think that won't happen?

    20. Re:Turing Evolved by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      Robots are programmed by humans. Further, many human programmers are very removed from the battlefield. Additionally, war gaming make "loss of life" seem trivial. Draw the implications. I think I'd rather trust a human at the controls, thanks.

    21. Re:Turing Evolved by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      Maybe it's time to start working on a 3 Laws Safe design?

    22. Re:Turing Evolved by Nemyst · · Score: 1

      The thing you're forgetting is that at some point in the chain, there's a human calling the shots, and a robot not having emotions goes both ways: yes, it definitely means that they will keep their cool in all situations and never kill people unexpectedly (assuming no bugs of that magnitude), but on the other hand it also means they will never refuse to do orders humans would consider reprehensible. The general orders all killbots to gas the entire populace? They'll do it.

    23. Re:Turing Evolved by koan · · Score: 1

      You're horribly naive, the first thing you should consider is who actually controls these things.
      A very small group of people that have proven themselves to psychopaths/sociopaths.

      So what "you're OK with" is the idea that a small group of people can control and deploy autonomous weapons against anyone, including their own people.

      --
      "If any question why we died, Tell them because our fathers lied."
    24. Re:Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Robots don't feel those emotions, and have committed no massacres on that scale.

      Robots also don't have compassion and sense of morality. If they are ordered to commit a massacre, they will do so without a shred of reservation. By deploying robots, you are not removing the human factor, you are just concentrating the power into the hands of a smaller number of people who are far more detached of the horrors of war than the typical footsoldier.

      No state should ever hold such power, the minds of the people who enforce the will of the government is the single most important balancing factor against tyranny.

      Restrictions on software have no means of verification, so any ban on autonomous robots is wishful thinking.

      Maybe not software, but mass producing robotic chassis is not something you can just hide.

    25. Re: Turing Evolved by Alypius · · Score: 1

      Citation needed. Who on earth is telling you this stuff?

    26. Re: Turing Evolved by tnk1 · · Score: 2

      Not really true.

      Yes, a modern force uses suppressive fire, which frequently is aimed more in the direction of the enemy, rather than an aimed shot at them. In that case, however, they're not aiming to miss, they're keeping the enemy's heads down while their compatriots are maneuvering into a better firing position. If someone pops their head up during suppressive fire, you can be pretty sure that they'll get aimed at.

      The stat that you are seeming to give was a discredited one by a buy named S.L.A. Marshall who did studies that seemed to show that only 30% of troops actually fired their weapons on the battlefield in WWII. This was completely bogus. It appears that the guy didn't even actually talk to much of anyone, he just made that shit up.

      It turns out that soldiers are fighting for their lives and they are doing whatever it takes to not get killed, including returning or even initiating fire on an enemy position. They may miss because the enemy isn't a stationary paper target that can't shoot back, but they are not *trying* to miss.

    27. Re: Turing Evolved by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Well, psychopaths have their own motivations. Those motivations may include following a deranged order.

      Or they may simply be motivated to kill their officers in their sleep.

      No, most of the order followers aren't psychopaths, they're just detached emotionally from what they are doing. The have created a justification for it, and since no one is calling them on their BS, and worse, everyone else is reinforcing that justification, they feel like they are not responsible. They're quite sane, however.

    28. Re:Turing Evolved by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      More to the point, it is GIGO. If we program the robots to follow our Doomsday order, they *will* execute it. A human, even a hard ass, might reconsider at the brink of nuclear war. The robots and computers would not hesitate for a millisecond in executing the bombastic, genocidal orders they were programmed with.

      The problem with humans is not that we're savages, but that we'll talk like savages and when someone else reacts to that or our own people act on it, we realized that savagery isn't really what we wanted after all. That sometimes has saved us from certain doom. With machines, they will simply prevent reconsideration by taking it out of our hands entirely.

    29. Re: Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Robots also do not feel mercy, and they never question orders - no matter how deranged.

      Then they are not "autonomous" in the sense we are talking about if they are going to be following orders strictly. I believe the fear is that computers will "decide" to start killing people given ambiguous orders and some fuzzy logic or neural net rather than are merely some precision guided weapon like a smart bomb that can more accurately get to and destroy a target.

      We already have plenty of weapons that will kill without mercy and never question their orders, that isn't what we are talking about.

    30. Re:Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The biggest issue with robot soldiers isn't that they'll make "evil decisions" it's that when a country can engage in warfare without risking its civilians lives it's likely to get involved in more conflicts. That isn't to say that there are no valid concerns about how robots will be programmed, and ordered, to behave in the field as well.

      Which is a situation we already find ourselves in with US air power. Where airstrikes that are killing people on the ground with precision guided "smart" bombs with very little risk to the pilots are barely registering on the moral consciousness of the nation.

      I don't think the problem is with the weapons, but rather with the people using them and with the public which is seeing a war from 20,000 feet.

    31. Re:Turing Evolved by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      The other important point to make is that when nations sign up to a treaty that bans something, then they will be very reluctant to ignore the ban (openly, at least), and of course, if they don't sign up to it, that tells us something as well. These things can have significant repercussions for the reputation of those countries.

      So if the U.S signed a treaty that banned all guns from citizens, it wouldn't be enforceable as the U.S Constitution's 2nd Amendment would trump the treaty. Many other countries may not have that issue, but a treaty can only go so far and a country can only go so far or it risks revolt by its citizens and exiting the treaty any way.

      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    32. Re: Turing Evolved by k6mfw · · Score: 1

      This is false. Of the ~50% of soldiers that actually fire when entering a firefight 85% aim to miss. Robots would be at 100% in both areas.

      I think what it really happens is firefights are extremely terrifying and confusing. Bullets flying everywhere, can't tell where the gunfire is coming from. Soldiers returning fire are simply holding their rifle pointed in general direction toward enemy position, holding the trigger until magazine empties. I read someplace (or was it a PBS documentary few years ago) is these days Army and Marine infantry is trained more on responding in "fog of war." Using repetitious drills and exercises, their response are then "body reaction" to better aim/fire response. It was also mentioned about an attack on a squad in Iraq, Marines returned fire killing something like 50 insurgents but no loss of any in the squad.

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
    33. Re:Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So what "you're OK with" is the idea that a small group of people can control and deploy autonomous weapons against anyone, including their own people.

      No, but I see no indication that they can't do that with human controlled weapons.
      In fact, I see plenty of countries where this is done. Autonomous weapons won't change that.

    34. Re:Turing Evolved by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 1

      terminator style autonomous drones/robots killing everything in sight

      Still safer than a nuke. Or even an errant conventional missile. Civilians are killed in war, often intentionally. A war that is "too safe" is a war that you won't hold your leaders accountable for, and thus is a war your side won't want to give up on.

      The only way to effectively ban a weapon is to convince the user that the weapon is potentially as or more dangerous to him than to the enemy. Otherwise you're passing laws but wasting time. Useful for the US to bully smaller countries about when it suits them, but there's no way it's going to stop any of the major powers. Unless we can convince ourselves that it's too risky, and I really don't see that argument here.

    35. Re:Turing Evolved by sudon't · · Score: 1

      Humans killed 400+ civilians at My Lai, and 200+ civilians at No Gun Ri. Both massacres were the result of rage and fear. Robots don't feel those emotions, and have committed no massacres on that scale. I trust robots more than I trust humans.

      A lot of people put their trust in nonexistent beings.

      As for me, I want a bunch of those Sentry Guns on my lawn.

      --
      -- sudon't

      Air-ride Equipped

    36. Re:Turing Evolved by sudon't · · Score: 1

      Pretty shit logical reasoning given that robots have never been in a position where they are capable of committing a massacre on that scale.

      Not surprising when you consider that robots, (of the type people are imagining), only exist in Science Fiction. I think some people get a little too caught up in the movies they watch.

      --
      -- sudon't

      Air-ride Equipped

    37. Re:Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Already modded, so posting as AC, but what's to prevent any rogue actor from creating a design that ignores the 3 laws?

    38. Re: Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More than that, how could we be assured that these weapons could not be hacked or modified to not obey such laws.

    39. Re: Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Works the other way round, too.

    40. Re: Turing Evolved by david_thornley · · Score: 2

      While S.L.A. Marshall sure didn't get his conclusions from the extensive interviews which he lied about, there's other evidence that suggests the same thing.

      Consider battles of the musket era. Line up some of your soldiers, measure the frontage of the unit, find a fence of that length and height. Have your soldiers put a volley into it. Count the bullet holes. Put them up against an enemy line of the same size. Have them fire. You're going to get a lot fewer enemy hit than you'd expect from a fence, despite the fact that the fence doesn't present a danger, and you'd think the soldiers would try to be more accurate against targets that can shoot back. That's pretty definite, not something made up by someone who didn't do the research he claimed he did.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    41. Re: Turing Evolved by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      In certain circumstances, the right psychopath is exactly who you want.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    42. Re:Turing Evolved by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      We're not talking about humanoids, but autonomous weapons. There are naval mines that will sit there until they detect an enemy submarine, then fire a torpedo at it.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    43. Re:Turing Evolved by Lakitu · · Score: 1

      the US uses landmines almost exclusively because it has pledged to protect South Korea from being invaded by North Korea again. The Korean DMZ is filled with landmines, which would slow down a DPRK attack enough for there still to be things to fight over afterwards. Estimates of North Korea's army efficacy range from barely functional to mediocre, but what they do have plenty of is manpower, who showed in the original Korean war (along with the Chinese) that masses of human wave attacks using almost unlimited manpower can be effective even against modern weapons.

      As far as I know this is the only place the US uses landmines anywhere, except maybe for training.

      Even forgetting that, your point is nonsense. Landmines are the immobile suicide bombers of autonomous weapons systems, and they can be effectively cleaned up. How can you do that to futuristic killbots, which could be mobile and more effective thanks to better weapons systems? Either the systems are effective or they can be disabled easily. The tedium of clearing landmines is what makes them effective, and it's also what makes them difficult to deal with.

      What do you think autonomous killer robots would be like?

    44. Re: Turing Evolved by ferret4 · · Score: 1

      We're talking about "Autonomous" as in they're told to kill an enemy if found in a certain region, and then can be left to do that without further direction or oversight. What are you talking about?

    45. Re:Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sounds like your average Occupy protest.

    46. Re: Turing Evolved by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      Consider Rule #1. In order to handle Bad Actors, Open Sourcing has proven to offer the fastest solution. At this point in time, WiFi Access to the Robot should not be available. Some type of multiple source checking methodology should be considered. Software Testing should be opened sourced; speed would help others that would need a functioning Robot. Access to the software should be physically very difficult. Solutions should also consider that at any time a Bad Actor is attempting to tamper with the software. Finally, it should be mandatory to read R.U.R.

    47. Re: Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      98% of the populations of Germany and Japan in WWII, of widely divergent cultures.

      Any number of cultures in Africa.

    48. Re: Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But, but, but...that would be illegal

    49. Re:Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, the Russians and Germans definitely decided to quit after they passed a few million casualties each.

      Oh, wait...

    50. Re:Turing Evolved by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      You lack imagination.

      Think of an autonomous weapon that lays dormant until it detects something in range, then wakes up, kills it and goes back to sleep.
      A landmine on steroids.

      You think that won't happen?

      There was one sort of in "Live and let Die." Bond is in Lousiana, tracking through a voodoo area. One comes to life, and tries to kill him. Well the best they can do for the 1960s.

    51. Re:Turing Evolved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You. Like most everyone.

      completely 100% missed the entire point of the asimov series of robot novels.
      that being. the 3 laws can never work.

      you should feel stupid.

    52. Re:Turing Evolved by jandersen · · Score: 1

      The cost of enacting laws is a high one, much higher than you seem to imagine.

      Everything in life has a cost - even freedom. I'm not advocating one choice over another, but everything has a cost. History seems to show us that the cost of agreeing on a set of laws and enforcing them is a lot less than the costs involved in anarchy; I imagine it is going to be the same for international laws in the end. But we are really in new territory here - when I grew up, international law and -treaties were something remote that people on the ground didn't need to be aware of, whereas now, in step with the increased globalisation it is becoming an ever more pressing issue, even down to grassroots level.

    53. Re:Turing Evolved by jandersen · · Score: 1

      So if the U.S signed a treaty that banned all guns from citizens,

      Is that realistically likely to happen, do you think? Nobody in the world is in any doubt that gun ownership is important to the Americans, so wouldn't expect the States to sign up to such a thing.

      Many other countries may not have that issue, but a treaty can only go so far and a country can only go so far or it risks revolt by its citizens and exiting the treaty any way.

      Personally, I wouldn't be so sure of that. My impression is that a majority, or at least a very largeminority, of Americans are very sick of the situation with gun violence and the fact that it is impossible to begin to even talk about limiting gun ownership, because it drowns in hysteria. If both sides in a conflict are interested in finding a reasonable compromise and willing to talk, then you can find a solution, but otherwise the situation may well escalate to the point where it becomes a real conflict. I have no doubt, if it comes to that at some point, then it will end with a complete ban on all gun ownership. That is of course my private opinion, so I may be wrong, but see if you can counter my arguments intelligently, not with the sort of silly posturing and declarations of unalienable rights and constitution that is all to often the only kind of answer I get.

    54. Re:Turing Evolved by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      But we are really in new territory here - when I grew up, international law and -treaties were something remote that people on the ground didn't need to be aware of, whereas now, in step with the increased globalisation it is becoming an ever more pressing issue, even down to grassroots level.

      You mean international treaties like the Treaty of Versailles were just something remote, with no consequences? You mean like 60 million dead, with half a million dead Americans doesn't count? Or the Berne Convention, something that radically changed the nature of copyright in the US and is the basis for much of the intellectual property claims in the US?

      I'm not advocating one choice over another,

      Well, technically that is correct, because "advocating one choicer over another" means having at least a remote idea of what you are talking about. Instead, you're just engaging in "think of the children" and "times have changed" kind of FUD.

    55. Re:Turing Evolved by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      So if the U.S signed a treaty that banned all guns from citizens,

      Is that realistically likely to happen, do you think? Nobody in the world is in any doubt that gun ownership is important to the Americans, so wouldn't expect the States to sign up to such a thing.

      Obama has tried via several of the treaties he has entertained.

      Many other countries may not have that issue, but a treaty can only go so far and a country can only go so far or it risks revolt by its citizens and exiting the treaty any way.

      Personally, I wouldn't be so sure of that. My impression is that a majority, or at least a very large minority, of Americans are very sick of the situation with gun violence and the fact that it is impossible to begin to even talk about limiting gun ownership, because it drowns in hysteria. If both sides in a conflict are interested in finding a reasonable compromise and willing to talk, then you can find a solution, but otherwise the situation may well escalate to the point where it becomes a real conflict. I have no doubt, if it comes to that at some point, then it will end with a complete ban on all gun ownership. That is of course my private opinion, so I may be wrong, but see if you can counter my arguments intelligently, not with the sort of silly posturing and declarations of unalienable rights and constitution that is all to often the only kind of answer I get.

      Funny thing is, "gun violence" is worse where gun laws are strictest.

      I'm glad to have a good discussion over the topic; however, it's a little silly to insist that removing guns would solve anything, and quite easily proven that doing so only increases the problem. After all, the only thing gun laws do is remove or limit them from law abiding citizens - criminals, by which the vast majority of gun violence is done and against whom all the gun laws are targeted, don't care about gun laws - they typically get their weapons outside of the law any way without any regulation whatsoever.

      Haven't we learned enough from the Prohibition and illicit drugs industries? Ban something and you only move it out of the public sphere, completely unregulated, and causing far more issues than it ever did prior. Probably why you see a vast majority of gun violence nationwide concentrated in Detroit, MI; Chicago, IL; and Washington D.C - all places that have very strict gun laws on the books.

      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    56. Re: Turing Evolved by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      Listen, and understand!

      That Terminator is out there.
      It can't be bargained with.
      It can't be reasoned with.
      It doesn't feel pity, or remorse, or fear.
      And it absolutely will not stop, ever, until you are dead!

  2. A moral imperative makes ZERO sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    These are autonomous weapon systems, they can be reprogrammed to do whatever any bad actor could want to do with them.

    They are not giving ANY assurance of moral use by virtue of being AI controlled. That's just a fallacy.

  3. Inevitable by amiga3D · · Score: 1

    War is all about winning at virtually all cost. In today's world that will increasingly mean autonomous weaponry. Aircraft in particular have passed the ability of a human pilot to control. The biggest limiting factor in warplane development is the pilot.

    1. Re:Inevitable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      War is all about winning at virtually all cost. In today's world that will increasingly mean autonomous weaponry.

      Not to us civilized nations who signed the Geneva convention and agreed to kill each other with rules of engagement. War != terrorism or tyranny, don't conflate them to be the same.

      Aircraft in particular have passed the ability of a human pilot to control. The biggest limiting factor in warplane development is the pilot.

      This has nothing to do with a discussion on autonomous weapons. Cars can exceed the ability of a driver, but that does not mean cars are magically autonomous killers either.

    2. Re:Inevitable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to us civilized nations who signed the Geneva convention and agreed to kill each other with rules of engagement. War != terrorism or tyranny, don't conflate them to be the same.

      Well, that is great, but the major warring nations doesn't give a fuck about others playing by the rules and they will keep using landmines until they get a more efficient toy to use.
      In my book anything that can replace landmines is a good thing. Heck, even if autonomous weapons will kill as many civilians after the war is over they will do so with a lot more visibility. If that raises some awareness of the issue then it is a step in the right direction.

    3. Re:Inevitable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... virtually all cost.

      Why? There's no point winning if you have nothing left: It's why mutually assured destruction works; it's why a weaker country surrenders. Traditionally, there's a desired return to warfare: Yes, the US policy of kill, crush, destroy means modern warfare makes less sense because the return is political. This is why reducing the human cost of warfare has been driving the US military for decades. With aircraft carriers and drones, the USA can wage asymmetric warfare anywhere on the planet.

      ... mean autonomous weaponry ...

      The USA has been using targeting AI for some years, which still can't distinguish between a garden shed and a tank. A similar problem exists in the civilian sector with autonomous cars. We can't tell a computer to exclude a heuristic from a solution set, so the computer doesn't make good decisions.

      The biggest limiting factor in warplane development is the pilot.

      The answer is not dog-fighting robots. At worst, robots don't have to gain SkyNet-like intelligence to declare war on humans. At best, it doesn't matter how much gadgetry can be shoved into a war machine, as the preceding paragraph explained, a robot is still easily confused. The human is there for the same reason as always: To detect and correct out-of-bounds situations.

    4. Re:Inevitable by Iamthecheese · · Score: 1

      which still can't distinguish between a garden shed and a tank

      ...or at least the ones you know about can't.

      --
      If video games influenced behavior the Pac Man generation would be eating pills and running away from their problems.
    5. Re:Inevitable by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

      The USA has been using targeting AI for some years, which still can't distinguish between a garden shed and a tank.

      From this we may deduce that once all garden sheds have been leveled all targets become tanks, even if cannot know when this happens. We will count all shed hits as tank hits... because doing it the other way round would unfairly prejudice the weapons' effectiveness. Given a workable estimate of how many garden sheds may exist in the target area we simply upsize deployment so every barrage achieves the same "projected equivalent result". Some may imagine that this shed-tank blindness would be a guilty secret that could be leaked. The military complex has an effective countermeasure, the Preemptive No-Shit-Sherlock Disclosure (PNSSD). Any journalist thinking they are blowing a scandal wide open is referred to the Department Of Tankshed Statistics where folks in lab coats tally tank/shed ratio over time and produce giant reports that nobody reads except the last page, a graph that shows the ratio is increasing slowly but steadily, somehow.

      Imagine what would happen when an AI having shed problems comes up against a real War Magician.

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
  4. I support autonomous weapons platforms by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Once autonomous weapons platforms are deployed to control serfs then it's only a matter of time before hackers use them to liquidate the occupational government.

    And some of the original programmers might even have it out for them from the very beginning.....

    Stateist: Make me a swarm of robots to kill anyone that disagrees with me!

    Programmer: Yeah, I'll get right on that......

    1. Re:I support autonomous weapons platforms by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can see it now, Windows for wobots, with the current standards of software testing i'm sure this will work out really well.

      Batshit crazy.

  5. That would be the by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Military advancement of the sentry.

  6. AI guns remove the need for dead soldiers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    If a gun can shoot itself: you don't need to strap a meat puppet to it.
    If there's no meat puppets aiming guns at you: there's no need to aim guns at meat puppets.

    Autonomous weapons are "world peace" via gunboat diplomacy. Nobody is willing to die to kill a robot so when they run out of robots to die on their behalf: they will naturally surrender.

    War will become a competition to see who can build better robots at destroying other robots and eventually we do away with war entirely as computer simulations become a more cost effective means of settling disputes. Explosive slave collars would be a prerequisite to avoid the loser refusing to "pay up" but in the end that's a small price to pay for peace!

    1. Re:AI guns remove the need for dead soldiers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      War will become a competition to see who can build better robots at destroying other robots and eventually we do away with war entirely as computer simulations become a more cost effective means of settling disputes.

      Yes, up until the last robot of one side is destroyed, then the ugly begins.

      At the moment people are willing to fight to the death for certain causes, there is no reason to believe that this will change just because robots enter the field.
      If having meatbags fight side by side with robots will increase the likelihood of winning then it will be done.
      If having meatbags fight directly against robots after their own robots are destroyed will increase the likelihood of winning then it will be done.

      Autonomous weapons will essentially lead to superpowers being able to deploy a bunch of robots to wipe out whatever opposition they don't like and without risking their own soldiers there won't be much opposition back home and without own soldiers in the field there won't be much interest from media either.

  7. Re:GAY NIGGERS DEMAND ROBOTS FUCK NIGGER ASS! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I just can't understand how this could even be written by a member of the human race. It pains me to read this. What is truly sad is there is a lot of things that could be humorous if it weren't so horrible and racist. Also the profanity is upsetting. What I see here is an intelligent mind deeply disturbed. Its sad to see this and sad to this type of trolling. It hurts the LGBTQ community, it degrades all those of African descent. And now with David Bowie's tragic end the perversion of his songs are in poor taste. The horrible racist screed at the end is beyond hurtful and I apologize to those are targeted on behalf of the human race.

  8. When autonomous weapons are outlawed... by penguinoid · · Score: 4, Funny

    When autonomous weapons are outlawed, only outlaws will have unstoppable armies of soulless killing machines.

    --
    Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
    1. Re:When autonomous weapons are outlawed... by CBravo · · Score: 1

      If everyone has autonomous weapons, every insane person will have one.

      --
      nosig today
    2. Re:When autonomous weapons are outlawed... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      When nuclear weapons are outlawed, only outlaws will have nuclear weapons.

      It seems to have worked out okay, because it turns out building such things and delivering them to targets is rather difficult and mostly controllable. Plus, most countries don't even want them anyway, and signed an agreement not to develop them.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:When autonomous weapons are outlawed... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually it kinda *starts* with the omnicidal sociopaths, and eventually, after a good long time, might stop being forbidden government hardware and may eventually maybe make its way down to 'everyone'

    4. Re:When autonomous weapons are outlawed... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can reasonably be expected to see the emergence of a black market for guns, where as buying an army of killer robots is a bit more involved than that.

    5. Re:When autonomous weapons are outlawed... by malditaenvidia · · Score: 1

      The wars of the future will not be fought on the battlefield or at sea. They will be fought in space, or possibly on top of a very tall mountain. ... And as you go forth today remember always your duty is clear: To build and maintain those robots.

    6. Re:When autonomous weapons are outlawed... by WallyL · · Score: 1

      When autonomous weapons are outlawed, only the government will have unstoppable armies of soulless killing machines.

      FTFY. Emphasis mine.

  9. Dr Strangelove by fragMasterFlash · · Score: 2

    -OR-

    how /. forgot about the nasty downside of an autonomous doomsday devie.

    1. Re:Dr Strangelove by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      Good man, I top-posted the same sentiment.

  10. Some of their credentials are suspect by Krishnoid · · Score: 3

    But support for a ban is not unanimous. Some researchers argue that autonomous weapons would commit fewer battlefield atrocities than human beings—and that their development might even be considered morally imperative.

    In particular, Dr. Miles Dyson and his associates, Drs. Skyler Natalya and Keel Lbot, Ph.D.

    1. Re:Some of their credentials are suspect by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I read that as Miles Dyson, Skynet and Keel Bot. The robot apocalypse is close!

      Would deployed autonomous weapons promote or detract from civilian safety;

      When I'm riding on a ED-209 with an explosive belt ready to pop, I too ponder these essential questions.

  11. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Has few if any 'atomic' scientists on it nowadays.. It does have a lot of left wing political pundits.

  12. Another genie in a bottle. by HeadSoft · · Score: 1

    You can't put it back. In fact, it just gets bigger every year.

    If every government in the world banned them, private individuals have the means to make them anyway with cheap materials nowadays.

    1. Re:Another genie in a bottle. by N1AK · · Score: 2

      There's some merit to that argument but it does seem that given how chemical and biological weapon remains very low in no small part due to the measures in place to restrict and punish it that there's some evidence that this process works.

    2. Re:Another genie in a bottle. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OR that chemical and biological weapons are extremely difficult to make.

    3. Re:Another genie in a bottle. by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Right. Land mines are really easy to make, provided you don't include anything fancy like US land mines have to reduce their danger to civilians. If land mines are outlawed, only outlaws will have land mines.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    4. Re:Another genie in a bottle. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you are saying it's better the more people have and use land mines?

    5. Re:Another genie in a bottle. by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I'm saying that it may be better to keep safer land mines in production and ban producing the less safe ones. US land mines deactivate themselves after a given period of time.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  13. whats the difference between a autonomous weapon.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ..and a child soldier?

    (the child soldier can reload on its own)

    autonomous weapons are only as dangerous as the gun they are given by their creators. They are essentially no different than any army that already exists.

    What I don't understand, is how so many smart people can be this dumb.

  14. Hmm... by EmeraldBot · · Score: 1

    Personally, I'd rather see robots kill each other as opposed to humans slaying each other. Not only does it make sense for the militaries involved (robots can't desert, they will never be afraid of gunfire, and you don't need to tell their family that they died in the war), but the civilians would prefer it too (you don't have to risk your life being shot, you won't have to abandon your home, etc.). Autonomous machines are an advantage for everyone involved, and would be a much more humane way to solve wars.

    However, from a practical perspective, that may not be possible. The elephant in the room is that most wars are caused by resource or territorial disputes, and those are often a result of overpopulation. Autonomous wars don't kill people, and hence nothing is done about the core problem. Furthermore, traditional wars are oftentimes waged for... maybe a few decades? At most? I know of several exceptions, but I don't think we see contiguous conflicts last longer than that very often, because war is such a draining activity to be engaged in. Everyone dying tends to end wars because of public exhaustion, but with machines exploding instead, that never happens, and so we may potentially have to worry about wars dragging on for far longer than they used to.

    --
    "Set a man a fire, he'll be warm for the rest of the night. Set a man afire, he'll be warm for the rest of his life."
    1. Re:Hmm... by AHuxley · · Score: 1

      Re 'Autonomous machines are an advantage for everyone involved, and would be a much more humane way to solve wars."
      The US plan will be for area denial, the free fire zones https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... dreams of the US in Vietnam or the British in South Africa during the Boer wars.
      Anything that moves and an AI has a pattern for in its database will be engaged within a large area without hesitation.
      Its a very old idea and the US mil still seems to think air power or area denial alone will magically win any war with no messy tv images.
      It will be sold as contractors not needing to fly for hours, but the mass killing will be automated too.
      The next round of contractor boondoggles to service and support the AI :)
      Think of the ratio found mentioned in the https://theintercept.com/drone... but with an AI to give political.
      and https://theintercept.com/drone... with "nearly 90 percent of the people killed in airstrikes were not the intended targets." been done by the best contractors and mil experts.

      What will an AI do? Just match up the same programmed patterns that the humans did with the same resulting ratios.
      A Nuremberg defence defence will change from "superior orders" to the AI?

      --
      Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
    2. Re:Hmm... by tinkerton · · Score: 2

      Personally, I'd rather see robots kill each other as opposed to humans slaying each other. Not only does it make sense for the militaries involved (robots can't desert, they will never be afraid of gunfire, and you don't need to tell their family that they died in the war), but the civilians would prefer it too (you don't have to risk your life being shot, you won't have to abandon your home, etc.). Autonomous machines are an advantage for everyone involved, and would be a much more humane way to solve wars.

      Most wars are asymmetric. One side has all the big guns.
      I can imagine several effects a player like the US would prefer:

      - freedom to intervene. Using actual soldiers has provided a natural restraint on interventionism. You lose them you get complaints at home. This has changed warfare a lot and everyone wants to use airpower now and avoid landpower. Airpower itself is being replaced by remote controlled drones. For reasons I don't understand the huge financial cost of interventions is not felt directly by the population so it does not cause them to resist it.
      - advanced technology provides good business for weapons manufacturers, and these are very powerful players.
      - increase regulations so that advanced technology is required and less advanced technology is a war crime. You can see this at work in Israel where one side has advanced weaponry and the other side has scaled up firecrackers. Somehow the side with the firecrackers is committing a war crime every time it fires one while the side committing all the destruction just has to try to be 'even more humane'.
      - legal advantages : if an automated system follows rules then one can only condemn/attack the rules. The rules themselves apply in a closed theoretical system meaning they can be made watertight on paper, and it doesn't matter much if they are ridiculous in reality.

      I can probably think of others, but not right away...

    3. Re:Hmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That would be an expensive loss of materiel, and does little to nothing towards actually resolving the conflict.

      So robots will be configured to avoid and ignore oneanother whenever possible, and concentrate much of their firepower on the living.

      It *just* so happens that one side of the conflict has no people to worry about because they're invading someone else's country.

    4. Re:Hmm... by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      Yep, I'd advise a re-screening of RoboCop 2014 for you...

  15. Autonomous robots, guns and duct tape by Kjella · · Score: 4, Interesting

    What's the difference between a search-and-rescue bot and a kill bot? The function is going to pretty much identical right up to the point the target is located, just duct tape a gun to point in same direction as the camera and wire the "person located" signal to pull the trigger. It's one thing to ban ABC weapons because they're very specific technologies, but this is way too generic to work. And it's not like the military is going to avoid developing it for intelligence gathering and decision support systems, even if you keep a human in the loop it's literally going to be one flip of the switch to full automatic where the computer's recommendations are implemented by itself.

    The primary reason to keep soldiers in the loop today is because you're trying to fight a "good war" and avoid antagonizing the civilians so you want manual confirmation of each target, if you take the gloves off and say if you're found outside after curfew we'll shoot to kill and live with the collateral you could automate much more. And don't get up on the high horse, when the US nuked Hiroshima and Nagasaki they knew there's be about 100-200k civilian casualties. In a real war nobody's going to give a fuck if the robots are just 99% or 95% right, if it can save our troops and civilians and end the war for sure we're going to let them fight for us.

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    1. Re:Autonomous robots, guns and duct tape by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The subtle distinction in your example is that the civilian population was a valid target in those cities, partly due to naval and munitions build-up, and partly due to the demoralizing effect it was expected to have - critical to defeating the ingrained militarism which otherwise prevented Japanese surrender.

    2. Re:Autonomous robots, guns and duct tape by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The specific locations where also selected because they were in valleys, meaning that the shockwave would be more devastating.
      The military targets were used as an excuse, those particular areas weren't significantly more militarized than the rest of the country. The real target were the civilian population. The intent was to demoralize the country to force a surrender.
      Had the intention been to knock out military targets then there would have been other more suitable locations for the bombs.

    3. Re:Autonomous robots, guns and duct tape by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Disclaimer, I work for a military weapons facility

      One of the "justifications" for bombing Hiroshima was that:
      -It had war materials production facility that had not been attacked conventionally
      -Hitting targets conventionally in the 1940's required mass bombing sorties (and thus mass casualties) but exposed many many more aircrews to damger
      -The Japanese had already showed they would fight to the death, and this included _all_ civilians (women and children) based on what was seen on Iwo Jima and Okinawa. If they couldn't fight, many would commit suicide, thus dying anyway.

      Nagasaki, IIRC, was not the primary target for Bockscar / Fat Man--it was a backup.

      Currently the military (at least in the US) has a big, big reservation about completely handing over ID-Track-Engage/Fire process to software without a human-in-the-loop. Software detection requires hard coded logic decisions based on what those sensors are telling you. The thought of sending a hellfire missile into a tanks made out of cardboard boxes by children is frightening enough to all of us to make this something that will not be deployed without a metric shit-ton of testing (even by DoD standards). This is one of the few areas that enlisted, flag officers, lawyers, and engineers are all in strong agreement.

      There are a few autonomous engagement systems out there currently (Phalanx CIWS and Aegis can do this), but these systems are very rarely put into this mode for the fears above. It also went through a lengthy justification process where one of the mitigating factors is that ships at sea are very unlikely to have random kids floating around them* and the use of these system is primarily when the incoming threats outnumber what the humans can ID track and engage simultaneously (i.e. there really, really shouldn't be a lot of fishing boats or civil aircraft around you if this is happening--unless they are part of the attack). Leaving it autonomous engagement mode for extended periods of time is considered very bad (and the system probably falls out of auto-engage after some period of time as a failsafe)

      * Ports and harbors have a lengthy safety checklist. This is related to why the USS Cole was able to be bombed (and the list was heavily revised afterward). Being at sea allows the Navy to get away with some things other services can't (like having Phalanax fire 100's of rounds at something without worrying where those explosive rounds will drop--they drop into the ocean). The Navy is aware these mitigations do not apply near land and busy shipping / fishing lanes and thus the checklist and tagout procedures to make sure inadvertent activation does not occur.

    4. Re:Autonomous robots, guns and duct tape by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You, of course, being a self-deluded fool, chose to ignore the difference between accepting civilian casualties and deliberately causing civilian casualties. In real war, not your ivory tower, there will be civilian casualties, both direct and indirect. Doing something that risks a hundred civilian casualties now to prevent thousands in the future is an ethical decision. Abdicating and losing the war is not.

    5. Re:Autonomous robots, guns and duct tape by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Um, one of the big reasons for hitting Hiroshima was that it contained the main headquarters for the defense of Kyushu (the southernmost of the big islands, vaguely triangular). It was a completely legitimate military target.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    6. Re:Autonomous robots, guns and duct tape by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if it can save our troops and civilians and end the war for sure we're going to let them fight for us.

      if it can kill the savages and win the invasion for sure we're going to let them fight for us.

      There fixed that for ya.

  16. Not going to happen... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... Just like we're not going to undo spying or nuclear weapons.

  17. There is an old treaty for this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The "Ottawa treaty" signed by a lot of countries but excluding China, the US, banning the use of intelligent mines or autonomously working killer robots.

    1. Re:There is an old treaty for this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nope, that just covered regular dumb mines. Nothing to do with AI or robots of any sort. Also, China is now mine-free although it is not a signatory.

  18. Self Defense by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Arguably while war is all about winning, it's not at "all cost". We (ignoring GOP presidential candidates) will not bomb an urban civilian center these days in order to kill a few hostile bad actors. Arguably the availability of precision munitions changed the moral balance from "bomb a city into submission" into the modern sensibility of "only bomb specific targets of military importance."

    Even though war is a terrible and bloody affair, we as societies have constantly been moving towards more humane and less deadly conflict. It's one thing to shoot someone shooting at you. It's quite another to kill someone in cold blood. War is arguably largely about self defense today: "I have to shoot you in order to not die." The shift I see happening with autonomous weapons is that there is no imperative to shoot people shooting at you. It might be expensive or costly to lose an autonomous infantryman, but if you can capture without killing I suspect we'll expect our autonomous soldiers to exert "self control". Obviously if it's a shooter killing civilians you would be morally justified in stopping them using violent force if necessary but otherwise autonomous troops effectively become more akin to police officers than soldiers in their relationship to the population.

    1. Re:Self Defense by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Arguably while war is all about winning, it's not at "all cost".

      It isn't, because we've been winning for a long time... that changes when you're losing... Look at the Japanese 1944-45, with the Divine Wind and tell me they weren't willing to pay any price?

      It took nuclear weapons to get them to see reason.

      Even though war is a terrible and bloody affair, we as societies have constantly been moving towards more humane and less deadly conflict.

      From your safe place behind a safe computer, you can say that.

      Go ask the people in Syria if they feel like they are taking part in a "more humane and less deadly conflict".

      You're kidding yourself if you think that is war. War is hell, and you don't win by "only kinda sorta almost fighting..." You win by so completely crushing your enemy that he puts up the white flag and says "you win, sorry for all that, let us know what the new rules are"

      Anything less and it never really ends.

    2. Re:Self Defense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      ... We (ignoring GOP presidential candidates) will not bomb an urban civilian center these days in order to kill a few hostile bad actors....

      WTF?!?!?!

      Drop the partisan BULLSHIT

      Obama's killed more innocent civilians with drone strikes to "kill a few hostile bad actors" than Bush ever did. And last I checked Obama wasn't a member of the GOP.

    3. Re:Self Defense by dargaud · · Score: 2

      Arguably the availability of precision munitions changed the moral balance from "bomb a city into submission" into the modern sensibility of "only bomb specific targets of military importance."

      And I'm beginning to seriously wonder if that works. Drop a bomb on a building containing a few 'terrorists' or similar. OK, they're dead. But their sons and nephews and cousins in the house next door are now pissed off and want vengeance, the neighbors are pissed off and scared and want random bombs to stop falling, etc. So you end up with a lot more people pissed off at you than you started with.

      I mean, just look at Iraq and Afghanistan: are they at peace since precision missiles started dropping on their heads ? Nope. With no end in sight.

      Look at Dresden, it was NOT nice, but there weren't any nazis OR supporters at the end of the night.

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    4. Re:Self Defense by swb · · Score: 1

      I would argue that many of the most successful military campaigns have involved total warfare, which includes targeting civilian populations. The strategic argument is that it demoralizes your opponent, disrupts his economic system and supply of materiel, and damages his political power and control.

      The trend towards less aggressive use of total warfare seems to be mostly a byproduct of media exposure of the military theater to non-combatants, resulting in negative public opinion and diplomatic pressure.

      The US, for example, could have put down the Iraqi insurgency after the invasion in a manner patterned after Fallujah -- expel civilians, ring the city, and level it going after insurgents. We most likely would have killed enough insurgents and cowed the population to end the insurgency. However, public opinion and diplomacy would have made widespread destruction quickly unpopular, especially with a domestic audience already somewhat divided by the war.

      It might even be argued that *not* pursuing total warfare resulted in greater suffering by stringing out the conflict over a couple of decades and leaving the theater badly damaged regardless. It also results in high costs for the aggressors, as they expend lives and materiel without really accomplishing their goals.

    5. Re:Self Defense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "will not bomb an urban civilian center these days"?

      Unless it's Doctors Without Borders.
      Or a friendly unit.
      Or our own tanks.
      Or a power-plant that - yes, is supplying a city but - could be used also to power terrorist locations within said city
      Or weddings.

    6. Re:Self Defense by umghhh · · Score: 1

      Even though war is a terrible and bloody affair, we as societies have constantly been moving towards more humane and less deadly conflict.

      From your safe place behind a safe computer, you can say that.

      Go ask the people in Syria if they feel like they are taking part in a "more humane and less deadly conflict".

      The problem here is 'we' - it does not involve the savages in Syria but societies in the West. Some of them refuse even tom contemplate use of deadly violence for whatever reason however reasonable under circumstances. That is why for instance they do not ask why police was standing by for hours while watching a mob raping women in middle of huge city (Cologne 3.12.2015). In fact no technology can stop war unless we are talking about one destroying humanity completely. Sometimes acts of cruelty are necessary to save more lives. I suspect war is just nature.

    7. Re:Self Defense by geggam · · Score: 1

      You have to make war so horrible no one wants it ever again. Do that about every 50 years because humans are idiots and forget.

    8. Re:Self Defense by jafiwam · · Score: 1

      No matter your feels on the subject, the GP is factually correct.

      Nuclear weapons being used in war marked the turning point where deaths from conflict fell considerably (and continue to fall.)

      If you think otherwise, you are ignorant of history and getting all spun up in emotion like a child.

    9. Re:Self Defense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... We (ignoring GOP presidential candidates) will not bomb an urban civilian center these days in order to kill a few hostile bad actors....

      WTF?!?!?!

      Drop the partisan BULLSHIT

      Obama's killed more innocent civilians with drone strikes to "kill a few hostile bad actors" than Bush ever did. And last I checked Obama wasn't a member of the GOP.

      Yup, Obama is just more mooslem on mooslem violence.

    10. Re:Self Defense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It isn't, because we've been winning for a long time... that changes when you're losing... Look at the Japanese 1944-45, with the Divine Wind and tell me they weren't willing to pay any price?

      It took nuclear weapons to get them to see reason.

      Not at all, the Japanese would likely have surrendered within the next few weeks anyway, in fact, several months previously, there were warnings from their own ministers that the Japanese people overall were likely to rebel themselves rather than continue the war.

      The myth of a fanatical country willing to fight to the end is mere illusion, perhaps necessary so that Americans can sleep at night with the notion that somehow the atomic bombings were actually necessary.

       

    11. Re:Self Defense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it does not involve the savages in Syria but societies in the West

      LOL. Watch the looting footage from Hurricane Katrina in the 'States if you want to see how civilized a first world society would be if they were in a war zone.

    12. Re:Self Defense by ranton · · Score: 1

      Obama's killed more innocent civilians with drone strikes to "kill a few hostile bad actors" than Bush ever did. And last I checked Obama wasn't a member of the GOP.

      Yes, and Obama killed more people with drone strikes than Stalin, Hitler, and Mao put together. I guess Obama is worse than all of them too.

      Drone strikes didn't start seeing widespread use until 2008, under president Bush. But that wasn't because of republican or democratic politics. That is simply because the technological capabilities didn't become available until then.

      Comparing the number of drone strike deaths performed by Obama with anyone else in human history is intellectually dishonest. No one has ever had this capability before. Comparing the total number of civilian deaths under Obama with other presidents is a much better approach. All I could find for Bush was a figure of about 66,000 Iraqi innocents killed in the Iraq war before 2009. I couldn't find good numbers on Obama's figures with a quick Google search, but considering I found articles complaining about 314 civilians killed in drone strikes since 2009 I have a feeling the total number is far under 66,000.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    13. Re:Self Defense by Alypius · · Score: 1

      iPads and Netflix are the new bread and circuses. Take those away from people and watch what happens.

    14. Re:Self Defense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From your safe place behind a safe computer, you can say that.

      Go ask the people in Syria if they feel like they are taking part in a "more humane and less deadly conflict".

      You're kidding yourself if you think that is war. War is hell, and you don't win by "only kinda sorta almost fighting..." You win by so completely crushing your enemy that he puts up the white flag and says "you win, sorry for all that, let us know what the new rules are"

      Anything less and it never really ends.

      You win if you get to crush your enemies, to see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentations of their women.

    15. Re:Self Defense by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      That is debatable... But you only replied to the second sentence, and ignored the first...

    16. Re:Self Defense by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      The timeframe involved since nuclear weapons isn't that long, and frankly I suspect you need to do some math, you might find your visions of peace and deathless conflict are colored by a lack of death in the west, not total deaths.

      How many deaths in the Korean War? Vietnam? Iraq? Ok, put aside wars the US fought, how about India/Pakistan wars, Isreal/Everyone else, USSR/Afghanistan.

      While it is true that we haven't had a world war since WWII, that doesn't mean that we haven't had tens of millions of deaths from war since then, they were just spread out among many conflicts.

      There was plenty of war before that as well, WWI and WWII are perhaps outliers, hopefully never to be repeated, but they don't mean war has ended. It just means that major nations haven't directly fought for 70 years.

      So what, that happened before those wars as well. Then people forget and do it all over again.

    17. Re:Self Defense by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      Conan?

    18. Re:Self Defense by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      "It's good that war is so terrible, otherwise we should grow too fond of it" - Robert E Lee

      If war were like Starcraft, I would join the military.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    19. Re:Self Defense by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      We lack the will to do the necessary evil things that must be done to win. If William Tecumseh Sherman were fighting in Afghanistan the Taliban would be done. He crushed the core Southern States in the Civil War by war to the bone. He looted, raped and burned a path through Georgia that still over 150 years later is remembered. That level of destruction or more is what is required to subjugate a population. I remember a tale about a Roman officer back in antiquity that had a problem with supply convoys getting wiped out. He finally got fed up and went through every village along the route and took all the able bodied men he could find prisoner. He had sharpened stakes embedded along the roadway and every so many paces he had a prisoner disemboweled upon these stakes to die lingering deaths. They were left there until they rotted away. The convoy attacks ceased. I am glad we don't do such things today but I'm sure if it ever got to the point where the US were about to be destroyed we'd do that and worse if necessary.

    20. Re:Self Defense by swb · · Score: 1

      From what I remember reading, Sherman's March to the Sea had general orders to destroy Southern economic output but not to wantonly harm civilian population or things necessary to keep them alive, although even if true, it's an open question on what level of discipline was maintained over the campaign at the unit level.

      The Romans largely set the gold standard for total warfare, often annihilating their opponents armies completely, burning their cities to the ground, looting everything of value and enslaving anyone left. Carthage and Gaul come to mind. Marcus Licinius Crassus had 6,000 rebel slaves crucified on a stretch of the Appian Way miles long to serve as a warning to any continuation of the rebellion.

      The thing is, in modern military campaigns I don't think you would have to actually destroy an entire country completely or kill all their civilians. My sense is that after a brief period of time where you had firmly established total warfare as the core strategy you would cow the population. A path through Iraq or Syria wide enough for a couple of divisions of mechanized infantry where every form of resistance was met with total destruction would result in a quick calculus that resistance really was futile and that subjugation was a better choice.

    21. Re:Self Defense by KGIII · · Score: 1

      It's amazing how many misconceptions people have about things they've never seen. That is not directed towards you. Truth be told, you'll never laugh as hard as you do when you might not see the end of tomorrow. While I don't think everyone should visit an active combat zone, there shouldn't be any to visit, I do think it would do a lot of people some good. One can just go visit a torn up nation and see similar.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    22. Re:Self Defense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're not aware that it is also part of the myth, used to build an illusion to let people sleep at night. Myths are often built on such half-truths and incomplete stories.

      But if you want more directly, the kamikaze was a fool's idea with limited impact, almost ineffective, and most frequently used those barely more than children to do it, not trained and experienced fighters. Why? Because they were victims themselves, brainwashed and indoctrinated into their role.

      Sadly, not something hard to do with far too many people, I'm afraid you could do it with almost any group of young men. And there's also the threatening. Kinda hard to resist when they'll shoot you and your family. Or hanging, or whatever method of execution they had.

      But many veteran officers and pilots in Japan? Resisted the idea, and found it repugnant. They didn't think it was glorious, they thought it was madness and suggested those who thought of it be the first. The rest of the populace probably would have agreed with them, they were only told to be afraid, but when it comes down it, they didn't want to do anything but go about their own lives. In peace.

      Good to see you're willing to consider the notion, though obviously it wouldn't make a difference in regards WW2 (unless you plan on time travel), but perhaps in the future, you'll not make the same choices.

    23. Re:Self Defense by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      But if you want more directly, the kamikaze was a fool's idea with limited impact, almost ineffective

      I disagree with your assessment of the effectiveness of it, on the contrary, it was actually quite effective, considering the situation and balance of power that existed at that time.

      Had it been used sooner, Japan might have won, they simply waited too long to employ it.

      There is a reason we use guided missiles today rather than rockets or battleships with big guns, they are simply more effective. The Kamikaze was the first guided missile, and they were quite effective, sinking dozens of ships, damaging hundreds more, for the cost of about 4,500 airmen willing to give their lives.

      And there's also the threatening. Kinda hard to resist when they'll shoot you and your family.

      The irony is that Japan didn't generally have to use such tactics to convince people to do it, they were all volunteers. Japan had spent a long time building up a culture where dying for the Emperor was the highest and best good use of your life. Look at some of the latter battles of the war, count the number of people defending the islands, the number of dead, and the number captured. Those numbers are more extreme in terms of percentages than any other battlefield anywhere else in the world.

      But many veteran officers and pilots in Japan? Resisted the idea, and found it repugnant. They didn't think it was glorious, they thought it was madness and suggested those who thought of it be the first.

      They might have said that after the war, and there is always someone, somewhere, who says "I told you so", but the truth is, they saw the world differently than the west does. You have to take off your western glasses and understand that morality is just a point of view, the universe doesn't really care.

    24. Re:Self Defense by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Read up on the Japanese surrender and the events leading to it. After the destruction of the Japanese navy and the crippling of the Japanese economy in many ways (the carrier bombing of coal ferries running between the northernmost Home Island and the biggest one the most devastating) and the Soviet declaration of war and the first nuke, they showed no signs of surrendering. After the second one, the Emperor and Prime Minister pulled off some unconstitutional political maneuvers to surrender. Nobody knew what Anami, the Minister of War, was going to do. (Nobody ever found out what he was thinking, since he committed ritual suicide that night.) Some Army officers attempted a coup, invading the Imperial Palace in an attempt to stop the surrender.

      Given that, I have precisely zero confidence in any prediction on when the Japanese would have surrendered if we hadn't used both nukes. I do not trust arguments from anyone who pretends to know what the Japanese would have done.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    25. Re:Self Defense by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      Obama's killed more innocent civilians with drone strikes to "kill a few hostile bad actors" than Bush ever did. And last I checked Obama wasn't a member of the GOP.

      The GOP leading candidates will *happily* tell you that they'll carpet bomb Syria. That's not partisan, that's their campaign *platform*. That's not partisan bullshit, that's what they proudly argue is what *needs* to happen. Hillary and hawkish democrats are for targeted strikes and Bernie and the more liberal democrats are for nothing at all.

      We're in a fucking twilightzone if it's now a 'Liberal Smear' to "accuse" GOP candidates of supporting their own campaign platform and stump speech. "HOW DARE YOU ACCUSE CRUZ OF SAYING WE SHOULD CARPET BOMB SYRIA UNTIL THE AND GLOWS!"

      You don't get to accuse Obama of being "Soft on terrorists" and also accuse him of carpet bombing at the same time. Obama and GW Bush both were quite restrained in their air campaigns. That's not partisan, but GW Bush isn't a fucking GOP candidate so my point stands of "GOP Presidential Candidates".

    26. Re:Self Defense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I disagree with your assessment of the effectiveness of it, on the contrary, it was actually quite effective, considering the situation and balance of power that existed at that time. Had it been used sooner, Japan might have won, they simply waited too long to employ it.

      Considering the situation and balance of power, it did nothing to impact the war's outcome, so no, it was not effective, and using it sooner would have been even more stupid than the stupid things they did do.

      There is a reason we use guided missiles today rather than rockets or battleships with big guns, they are simply more effective. The Kamikaze was the first guided missile, and they were quite effective, sinking dozens of ships, damaging hundreds more, for the cost of about 4,500 airmen willing to give their lives.

      Ah, one sided thinking. Lives wasn't the issue that Japan had. War material was, and trained soldiers.

      The US uses guided missiles today, and has the resources to go on making them for an indefinite period of time.

      The same was not true of Japan, not during WW2. I doubt it'd be true today. They have the factories and the technical know-how, but I don't think they have the resources.

      The irony is that Japan didn't generally have to use such tactics to convince people to do it, they were all volunteers.

      The reality is that for some they did. The Kempeitai was ruthless as the Gestapo.

      But it was also a bunch of propaganda. As I said, it's pretty easy to get young men to go off and die in glory. Some might say it's evolutionary destiny.

      Japan had spent a long time building up a culture where dying for the Emperor was the highest and best good use of your life. Look at some of the latter battles of the war, count the number of people defending the islands, the number of dead, and the number captured. Those numbers are more extreme in terms of percentages than any other battlefield anywhere else in the world.

      Look at some of the diaries from people fighting in that war, or living at home. Many of them would have chosen to end it if they'd been consulted.

      Needless to say...they weren't. Nobody ever consults the peasant rabble. Why they might just say "No, we'd rather not have a war" and where would that get everybody? Where indeed!

      Much better to only bring forth the heroes, the ones who nod along with the official story, and make yourselves out to be heroes.

      They might have said that after the war, and there is always someone, somewhere, who says "I told you so", but the truth is, they saw the world differently than the west does. You have to take off your western glasses and understand that morality is just a point of view, the universe doesn't really care.

      Well, some might have said it after the war, because if they said it DURING the war, they'd risk being shot. Such is life in the military, across the world. Or in public. It's hard to be a civilian opposed to a war that is being sold, whether you're Japanese or American. You need to take off the mask being shown to you, and realize that the image of the Japanese, the Germans, was crafted by propaganda too. It was useful to present an implacable other as the enemy, one that necessitated a brutal ruthless fight. And it was done on all sides of the war, and probably all sides of every war.

      And still true today, look at how many politicians were sucked along in the tide of the war against terrorism, and worse yet, how many innocent and naive people. The politicians I have to weigh with their calculated self-interest, the rest? Sheep being driven along.

      The sad thing is, sometimes the herd does need to run from a wolf.

    27. Re:Self Defense by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      From your safe place behind a safe computer, you can say that.

      Go ask the people in Syria if they feel like they are taking part in a "more humane and less deadly conflict".

      That's like saying "Global Warming isn't true because it snowed today!" The Syrian conflict is a horrific, awful anomaly. Even then, it's pretty restrained by historical standards and more than offset by the otherwise tranquil world scene at present. It should also be noted that much of what Assad is doing isn't involving guided munitions because he just flat out doesn't have them. And his opposition has no airforce at all.

      Compare that to 100 years ago and a similar conflict probably would have resulted in flat out genocide and deliberate extermination of 70% of the population. Current estimates are that about 0.5 - 2.5% of the population has been killed in the conflict. That's comparable to the American Civil War, but the vast majority of the world is at peace so as a percentage of world deaths it's pretty tiny. The Syrian conflict is almost notable because the world is otherwise so peaceful.

    28. Re:Self Defense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Read up on the Japanese surrender and the events leading to it.

      Read up yourself. In fact, the Allies had broken the Japanese diplomatic codes, and knew before the Potsdam Conference that the Japanese were broaching the subject of peace with the Soviet Union. They also spoke to the Swedes and the Swiss. Or was it Portugal?

      Their internal papers will probably be hard to find, for the most part, they were destroyed, for various reasons.

      After the destruction of the Japanese navy and the crippling of the Japanese economy in many ways (the carrier bombing of coal ferries running between the northernmost Home Island and the biggest one the most devastating) and the Soviet declaration of war and the first nuke, they showed no signs of surrendering.

      Hmm, you do know that the Soviet declaration of war was August 9th, three days after Hiroshima, right?

      It can be a bit hard to find out what somebody is doing in that period of time, especially when half the world away.

      But no, as I said, before that, the Allies knew that Japan was going to bend the knee. The real sticking point was the unconditional surrender, they were really afraid the Emperor was going to be summarily executed.

      After the second one, the Emperor and Prime Minister pulled off some unconstitutional political maneuvers to surrender. Nobody knew what Anami, the Minister of War, was going to do. (Nobody ever found out what he was thinking, since he committed ritual suicide that night.) Some Army officers attempted a coup, invading the Imperial Palace in an attempt to stop the surrender.

      Anami had actually signed a document opposing any coup, and it was a bunch of junior officers who tried fighting the inevitable. You can find that sort all over the place. Even General Lee had the same problem. Hotheads don't know when to stop fighting.

      I will grant his death note was a bit ambiguous though. Maybe he was just trying to give SAC a reason to spare the Emperor.

      Given that, I have precisely zero confidence in any prediction on when the Japanese would have surrendered if we hadn't used both nukes. I do not trust arguments from anyone who pretends to know what the Japanese would have done.

      That's ok, I don't trust the arguments from Truman either. He had his own conscience to spare.

      Not to mention every other person who has dogmatically asserted that without the atomic bombs being dropped, the Japanese would never have surrendered.

      Oh wait, you didn't realize they were mind-readers themselves?

      Either way, somebody is saying what the outcome would be, there is no escaping that burden.

      Well, unless you want to roll some dice to decide the fate of the universe.

    29. Re:Self Defense by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      The past 30 years honestly doesn't look all that peaceful to me.

      Frankly, if you think that major war is gone, well, I invite you to travel back to 1912, when many people said the same thing. Europe was ablaze in prosperity and growth, there had been no war for 2 generations, and the leaders of all the major nations were related and tied together in various ways.

      What could go wrong?

    30. Re:Self Defense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The past 30 years honestly doesn't look all that peaceful to me.

      Compared to what?

      All you have is a list of current conflicts that have been unresolved, nothing to weigh it against.

      Now if the assertion was that the world was peaceful, that'd be one thing, but that's not quite the argument.

      It's easy to think that what is happening today, is of great moment, but as I was reading, in the great balance of things, often such tragedy becomes lost in the noise of the continuing churn of birth and death, our stories matter to us, but the world keeps on turning.

      Frankly, if you think that major war is gone, well, I invite you to travel back to 1912, when many people said the same thing. Europe was ablaze in prosperity and growth, there had been no war for 2 generations, and the leaders of all the major nations were related and tied together in various ways.

      What could go wrong?

      Your historical education into the psychology of a given time? Which is not terribly unexpected, given that it was a century ago, but you'd at least know about the Anglo-German arms race, right? You did hear about the Dreadnought, right?

      Then there was the ongoing collapse of the Ottoman Empire, which had just been stung by Italy, and before that Austria-Hungary, and the various Alliances and Entente's.

      Fortunately, they had at least worked out the Hague Conventions.

    31. Re:Self Defense by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Truth be told, you'll never laugh as hard as you do when you might not see the end of tomorrow.

      I believe it.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    32. Re:Self Defense by dave420 · · Score: 1

      The "mob" in Cologne was not actually a mob, but smaller groups of people, indistinguishable from other revellers. The police didn't stand by, but acted as soon as they could. Let's stick to the facts, please?

    33. Re:Self Defense by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Nobody's saying the Japanese would never have surrendered. However, we know that after the Soviet declaration of war, two nukes, and everything else going wrong, that the Japanese surrender was the result of an unusual and probably illegal political move, and that lots of Japanese were willing to use violence to stop the surrender. Therefore we don't know what would have pushed Japan into surrender.

      Anyone who says it would have happened within a few weeks is not talking out of his or her mouth.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    34. Re:Self Defense by umghhh · · Score: 1

      I'd say the behaviour in case of massive natural disaster in and around own country may be similar yet the fact also is that big group if not majority of people that walk trough the Balkans etc are not doing that because they are fascinated by culture of the countries they want to settle into but by their welfare systems and they rather despise the the way of the west. Not all but big enough group does. This may be religion or its interpretation but I'd say a large enough group of young males without anything sensible to do will cause massive problems i.e.behave like savages. Add to this that most of them have no education and come from 'middle ages' in term of societal structures and you have problems slightly bigger than looting etc you would expect after massive destruction caused by natural disaster.
      At least that is how it looks like to me.

  19. Uh huh... by Pseudonym · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Some researchers argue that autonomous weapons would commit fewer battlefield atrocities than human beings [...]

    No, it's just that if an autonomous weapon does it, it would be more difficult to call it an "atrocity". If a dozen villagers are killed because of a minefield that some idiot decided should go near where they live, the only reason you can't call that a "massacre" is that there was no human making the targeting decision.

    In the 1920s, there were some who argued that aerial bombing would be more humane because they could be far more precise than field artillery, hitting only the target that you want to hit. Look how well that worked out.

    --
    sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f(q{sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f});
    1. Re:Uh huh... by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      In the 1920s, there were some who argued that aerial bombing would be more humane because they could be far more precise than field artillery, hitting only the target that you want to hit.

      Wow, those people didn't understand the state of the art airforce technology of the time........during WW2 Germans would say, "If you want to be safe from bombers, find the thing they are trying to bomb and stand on it."

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    2. Re:Uh huh... by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 2

      According to one study, only 5% of British bombers setting out bombed within 5 miles of their intended target. Yeah, it was probably about as safe standing right on the target as anywhere else.

      I'd imagine the US Army Air Corp had somewhat higher accuracy rates, bombing during daylight and using the Norden bombsight, although I'd guess it was still rather dismal by modern standards.

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
    3. Re:Uh huh... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's worse than that, antonymous weapons seem to encourage bad behaviour. Look at the record of drones in Afghanistan and Pakistan. It seems that when you can kill people from thousands of miles away by pressing a button and having a robot do the dirty work, a lot of innocent people get killed. Operators actually call the victims "bug splat", like something you get on your windshield.

      The more remote you get from the act of killing, the easier to becomes to commit atrocities.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    4. Re:Uh huh... by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      In the 1920s, there were some who argued that aerial bombing would be more humane because they could be far more precise than field artillery, hitting only the target that you want to hit. Look how well that worked out.

      Pretty well. We have laser and image recognition guidance systems that can't take out an individual pickup truck or go through the window of a house before destroying basically only the single house ...

      I'd say they were right.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    5. Re:Uh huh... by BitZtream · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Look at the record of drones in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

      You mean the ones that performed more strategically and killed fewer collateral targets than any wars before them ... EVER?

      Operators actually call the victims "bug splat"

      Yea, its called disconnecting, and they are trained to do so. Its the only way a morale and just person can spend their days killing people. You don't want the guys who can do it all day long and call it what it is doing it, those people are dangerous and enjoy murder so they will do things that shouldn't be done.

      On the other hand, most of the people doing these things are geeks just like you and me, well ... not like you, these guys have spines

      Anyway, they are taught to behave that way so they can actually sleep at night, but hey, don't let your total lack of understanding of all things military stand in your way of judging people because you saw some highly edited video generated by a man with an agenda the size of greater Asia.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    6. Re:Uh huh... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      War? Remind me again when the US declared war on... Err... Remind me which country too.

      It's not a war, it's an anti-terrorism operation. An extreme form of policing. Comparisons to wars make no sense.

      Soldiers should feel bad when they kill civilians. It's a war crime to not take steps to avoid civilian casualties. Luckily for them the US doesn't allow its personnel to be prosecuted for war crimes, and no one can force them to.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    7. Re:Uh huh... by KGIII · · Score: 1

      Heh... I'm a bit of a student of history and that includes understanding what changes have been made.

      Simply because you said, "I'd imagine..." I'll let you know that you're correct on all of it. The US had much better accuracy when bombing during the day - and did most of their raids during daylight hours which turned it into a very deadly task. Todays ordnance is much more accurate, including the ability to track a "painted" target.

      It's quite possibly one of the biggest changes made to combat and thus to war. At one point, there were people who thought the wars would be won simply with bombers and that the effect of the bombs would be demoralizing on the civilian populace. That turned out to not be true. Even Japan did not surrender "because of" the nukes. (They were a contributing factor of significance.)

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    8. Re:Uh huh... by Sys32768 · · Score: 1

      Yes! How do we mod this up to 6? I think this is the primary argument. Consider the difference between killing someone with a bayonet, and killing them with a gun at a distance. And just for extreme comparison, the job of ordering someone to do the killing. The less visceral and more game-like the experience, the easier and more frequently it will happen.

    9. Re:Uh huh... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      That depends on the period. Early British strategic bombing couldn't reliably find a city, a raid on a particular city being reported sometimes as scattered bombing in western Germany. They improved a lot over the course of the war.

      US strategic bombers, bombing identifiable targets in the daytime with good visibility, could be extremely accurate. They very often didn't get good visibility, weather over Europe being what it was. They exaggerated the precision achieved for morale purposes.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    10. Re:Uh huh... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      they are taught to behave that way so they can actually sleep at night

      that's exactly his point, they are taught to do unspeakable acts in a way that lets them not loose any sleep over it

      that dramatically lowers the inhibition on when you should use that kind of force
      which means it will be abused that much sooner

      power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely
      there is nothing as close to absolute power as the ability to kill with impunity

  20. Landmines by MrKaos · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Landmines kill little kids without asking. Do we want more things killing automatically?

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    1. Re:Landmines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Landmines don't JUST kill little kids without asking...they kill anyone moving near them without asking. At least with killer bots, there will be some type of assessment made, if all works well, to only kill one type of person. How well it does the assessment is in question.
      If one considers how we almost nuked the USSR by mistake, but a human stopped it, then we can honestly say an autonomous nuke would have nuked them. (and, by extension, us in retalliation) Why it would have been worse than having the Taliban and Daesh gain power.

    2. Re:Landmines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Landmines kill little kids without asking. Do we want more things killing automatically?

      Hate to say this, but the bigger downside is they do so AFTER the conflict. During a conflict, well, war is hell.

    3. Re:Landmines by LWATCDR · · Score: 2

      Autonomous weapons have been around for about 70 years probably starting with the German T-4 torpedo that they could fire in the general direction of a convoy and it would seek out a ship to sink. If you count landmines it is at least 100 years.
      This is just a chance to make news and get attention.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    4. Re:Landmines by rhazz · · Score: 1

      Landmines kill indiscriminately - that is exactly the problem with landmines. An autonomous weapon in this context would be something which can analyze a situation to some extent and potentially decide not to kill. The comparison adds nothing to the debate other than a knee-jerk emotional response.

  21. Re:whats the difference between a autonomous weapo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There are already treaties against the use of child soldiers in all national armies. Nobody uses them except terrorists and guerilla/cult groups.

  22. It's almost over. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Humanity is doomed.

  23. Discourage development of autonomous weapons. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's easier to convince a human soldier to defect and fight against the ruling class. I don't see how we can "convince" and autonomous weapon to defect.

  24. Good luck enforcing it: by Hartree · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Many restricted military technologies are fairly easy to detect. Nuclear weapons require a massive industrial input that has well known signatures, for example.

    A robot is different. It can be something that's dual use. One day it's a regular robot. Look at the software. All civilian and a nice strong optics mount point on it.

    Change the software and swap some of the camera gear for a small machine gun and use the rest for aiming, it's a killbot. This is just one example. Another obvious one is putting an autonomous drone software package into the flight computers of an airplane that can also be manned. This game can go on and on with just about any weapons system you can think of.

    It doesn't take industrial facilities that are different from usual ones to make them. If you can make versatile robots for civilian use, and separately make weapons you just have to put them together at the last minute. They don't have any particular signatures the way chemical weapons and their precursors do. Most nations are already making ordinance, so who's to say whether a human is going to be in the loop to fire it or if it's triggered by an AI?

    If people want to cheat on this, it'll be pretty easy to do so.

    So far, the landmine bans haven't seemed to have slowed down the planting of them a bit in various wars. We have to have demining teams, not just for cleaning up old wars, but the very ones that are going on now.

    I don't expect this to have a much greater effect.

    1. Re:Good luck enforcing it: by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      A robot is different. It can be something that's dual use.

      A bending unit that ... must kill all humans, perhaps?

  25. allow autonomous weapons by dimko · · Score: 1

    and you end up with no possibility for revolutions. Tyranny will be rampage. Rich will afford such weapon, poor will not. As simple as that.

    1. Re:allow autonomous weapons by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Robots are autonomous, not invincible.

    2. Re:allow autonomous weapons by dimko · · Score: 1

      With right technology applied - they are MUCH more difficult to kill.

  26. "Meaningful human control" by Firethorn · · Score: 2

    That's something of a question, isn't it? What does "meaningful human control" translate to? Does it mean that a human has to okay each weapon discharge? Does it mean that we aren't supposed to release a swarm of von neumann kill-bots with 'destroy everything' as a goal? What if we release them in an area with orders to kill any humans with weapons that don't have a valid IFF signal?

    In addition, I've seen with UN weapon ban treaties that they're sometimes used as a 'we don't have them, so you shouldn't either' tool. Who's closest to these sorts of weapons? The USA. Who's NOT going to agree with any treaty limiting the effective use of these weapons? The USA. Rendering the ban useless.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  27. Simple solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let's start the debate with: "If the government can have them, the people can have them too."

  28. In the immortal words of Bender by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  29. Underestimating the threat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cybernetic warfare is going to change everything and it's not just for State actors. The coordination of connected weapons and intelligence platforms is the key here. Even very simple weapons systems can be effective with the right coordination and it is this rapid tactical and strategic computation that is the threat.

    We are now in a cybernetic arms race, whether you know it yet or not. If you don't know it yet, good luck.

  30. The point at which weapons prohibitions fails by Iamthecheese · · Score: 1

    Prohibitions against everything from the MAOB to the rifle have been tried at one time or another. The three that have stuck are chemical, biological, and (mostly) nuclear. Why just these three out of all the way we have of killing each-other? Why is white phosphorous still used but Sarin isn't? It's not because one is more horrible. It's because one is prohibitively expensive and dangerous to "safely" develop, use and transport. Why moab and not nuke? because one is prohibitively expensive and dangerous to develop, use and transport. And why landmines but not smallpox? It's not the number of civilian casualties.

    There will come a time when fully automated weapons systems are less expensive to deploy, and safer for one's own side, than a soldier. We already have some fully automated weapons systems out there, for example those guarding the Korean DMZ. But when that day comes no prohibition will prevent widespread deployment of fully autonomous weapons.

    --
    If video games influenced behavior the Pac Man generation would be eating pills and running away from their problems.
  31. Re: whats the difference between a autonomous weap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Robots are better at border-patrol. They're always alert, faster on the draw, less vulnerable, totally fearless and can see in the dark.

  32. Autonomous Weapons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Autonomous weapons don't kill people. People with autonomou ... wait, wrong thread!

  33. ED-209 by Coisiche · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The original Robocop movie correctly predicted how these things might turn out. Infallible is not the adjective to apply.

    Still, at least it shot a company exec during a demo, so not a total failure.

    1. Re:ED-209 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The original Robocop movie correctly predicted how these things might turn out. Infallible is not the adjective to apply.

      Still, at least it shot a company exec during a demo, so not a total failure.

      Let's see.. From what I remember the human brain cyborg thingy in Robocop also shot a company exec in the end.
      The most brutal killings of innocents were done by humans.
      As long as robots doesn't fail more than humans it's a step up.
      Do we really need the whole "automotive cars have to defy the laws of physics to protect teleporting buses full of nurses from driving off a suddenly existing cliff" discussion again?

    2. Re:ED-209 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      human brain cyborg thingy in Robocop also shot a company exec in the end

      He also took drugs

    3. Re:ED-209 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From what I remember the human brain cyborg thingy in Robocop also shot a company exec in the end.

      No, he was fired prior to being shot.

  34. wrong by aepervius · · Score: 1

    "Some researchers argue that autonomous weapons would commit fewer battlefield atrocities than human beings"

    They would commit only as much atrocities as their master giving the order ,e.g. the generals handling the command, would allow them. Therefore it would still be HUMAN being declaring what's the ROE. 5% civilian casualty allowed. 20%. 100%. The number would be set by human. At least in the case of human we can have other human balking at atrocities and rebelling against order or getting taken to task after the war. With machine it would be a "I am not liable the machine misinterpreted etc...." bullshit shitfest. And with no easy way to demonstrate the falseness of it. And if it is machine there is FAR LESS incentive to say no to a war, when there is nobody from your country which will see the consequence. Body bags on TV are a very strong politic brake to wars, when they are "yours". Heap of scrap don't. So it is much easier to decide to go for a war. Which is why by the way we see so much bombing by the US using drone : they know there is nobody protesting much because no US body bags. So they bomb more and more. There is no incentive to slow that down. THIS is the real danger of autonomous or semi autonomous weapons : the lowering of the barrier of moral usage to almost nothing.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  35. Trust? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem here is that the autonomous weapons will be programmed by humans and incapable of going against their programming.

    It's one thing if we had fully sapient AI, but machines are far less likely to question illegal and/or immoral orders than the regular rank and file -incapable in fact- and are basically guaranteed not to turn on you if you start having them commit atrocities or fire at civilians. Which is what they'll get used for, as we've already seen considerably greater lapses in morality and ethics from just the detachment of piloting a drone.

    Now imagine all you need to do is find one authorized programmer willing to introduce a few targeting "bugs" in exchange for immunity from prosecution later.

    I'd sooner trust Skynet with this.

  36. The opposition must have missed something by Sax+Russell+5449D29A · · Score: 1

    But support for a ban is not unanimous. Some researchers argue that autonomous weapons would commit fewer battlefield atrocities than human beings—and that their development might even be considered morally imperative.

    I hope the people suggesting this have taken into account the responsibility factor. *When* an autonomous weapons platform commits a war crime, who gets sent to Hague? The CEO of the manufacturer? The brogrammers who made the code?

    --
    -SR
    1. Re: The opposition must have missed something by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Exactly the same person who gets sent to the Hague right now, when war crimes are committed by the winning side.

      Starts with an N, ends with obody.

    2. Re: The opposition must have missed something by Sax+Russell+5449D29A · · Score: 1

      Now that I think about it, you're absolutely correct.

      --
      -SR
    3. Re: The opposition must have missed something by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Welcome to Slashdot. Thanks for joining.

      Why do I say that? 'Snot often that people don't double down and argue, even when they're clearly wrong.

  37. autonomous deliver vehicles for biologicals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why not just put everyone to sleep, lock up those with powder residue and be done with it... Oh wait, because fanatics just want their own way and don't care about Geneva, or any other pieces of paper that tell them how to protect their thinking.

  38. Re:GAY NIGGERS DEMAND ROBOTS FUCK NIGGER ASS! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You sir, represent everything wrong with america.

  39. Ground drones by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Drones can be armed, so yes, it totally is related to autonomous weapons.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  40. After five movies and a TV series by sabbede · · Score: 1

    I think we all know not to build Terminators.

    1. Re:After five movies and a TV series by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I remember reading an interview with a robotics professor
      he recounted being visited by a general who went 'you know the terminator movie? I want you to build me that'

      so no, no we don't know to not build Terminators
      there's a bunch of people actively pursuing it

  41. Truly, truly sad by jenningsthecat · · Score: 2

    What a shame that in this relatively late stage of human development we should still be debating the moral pluses and minuses of applying technology to kill each other. Talking about "offensive autonomous weapons beyond meaningful human control" and "autonomous weapons would commit fewer battlefield atrocities than human beings" - shouldn't we be raising the level of discourse? A lot?

    --
    'The Economy' is a giant Ponzi scheme whose most pitiable suckers are the youngest among us and the yet-unborn.
  42. Luddites inbound. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The original Robocop movie correctly predicted how these things might turn out.

    And we should drop all research into cloning, including mere organs, because I saw Star Wars when it came out, and we don't want an army of stormtroopers taking over the senate, amirite?

  43. Milk and cookies kept you awake, eh Sebastian? by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

    This 'autonomous weapons systems' debate is under attack, a hostile takeover by radical factions of the Artificial Intelligence research community. When I first glimpsed Hawking's phrase offensive autonomous weapons beyond meaningful human control I immediately thought, he's talking about land mines, right? --- but no... it appears they had some hideously complicated Futurist Thing in mind. Okay... perhaps we're just talking about AI because it is fun to talk about it and it takes our minds away from other unpleasant things.

    What are we really afraid of? Let's shelve AI for just a moment and make a list.

    Things unable or unwilling to identify and spare civilians.
    Things that could 'turn' on their masters.
    Things that don't know or care that the war ended years ago.
    Things too dumb to realize that they were made to do evil.
    Things with lithium batteries which are harmful to the environment unless disposed of properly.

    A short list! Since LAND MINES meet these criteria (except the last, they are better for the environment than cell phones) without the tiniest glimmer of artificial intelligence --- I would suggest that this fixation on AI is hyper-specific and a little obsessive.

    It's like any other piece of technology we might make. If it is designed, engineered and made well by humans who make a reasonable effort to at least consider my short list and take every step to mitigate these items, no matter how smart it is, we'll be as well off as we could possibly be, given that people are making such things.

    If we must produce artificial intelligences for war, they should be made by the same companies that make those automotive jumper cables you see for sale at 24 hour convenience stores. The human race would have nothing to worry about.

    It also appears the 'autonomous weapons systems' debate has been invaded by people who hate war itself. Who let them in? I would expect the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists to advise them sternly, this is not the place to justify or condemn the existence of war itself, this tribunal has been convened to discuss things with processors and neural nets and instruction sets and big fat dual-use research contracts and stuff. We cannot allow you to disrupt these proceedings. (No fighting in the war room!) But sadly --- the Bulletin is permitting people to express their distaste for war. Those who love war find this rude and insensitive. Don't they have feelings,too?

    THE BULLETIN: "But no, you're the one who's out of order, bringing up land mines as if they are in any way relevant to this 'autonomous weapons systems' discussion. Land mines are cheap, mass-produced, inevitable, deployed, funded, signed sealed and delivered. There is no way to prevent their use because bad people use them all the time. With land mines we have no choice. But we still have time to choose not to make artificial intelligences. For war. We have a choice."

    HOCUSLOCUS: "Okay... so, what if you get your wish and all you AI Play Nice Boy Scouts sign a treaty or something... and we are not afraid any more... so a self-ware AI robot is IS produced, not for war, but to travel the world (autonomously!) to clean toilet bowls. Because you can be sure that in the future we'll be playing among the stars and harnessing neutrinos but no one will ever be able to male a toilet bowl that doesn't crust up with shit. In order to really get toilets clean you need the kind of weaponry the military is only dreaming about today. So this AI has some serious big honking space gun WOTAN stuff. What do you think will happen on the day this machine figures out where all that shit is coming from?"

    THE BULLETIN: "We concede you have a point. But at present no one is concerned about the specific scenario of toilet cleaning robots. We may some day convene a symposium to discuss them, specifically, but not land mines. Is that understood?"

    In Blade Runner

    --
    <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
  44. Second Amendment by PvtVoid · · Score: 1

    I will give up my killbot when you pry the controller from my cold, dead hands! Because the Constitution!

    1. Re:Second Amendment by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      So if you're an anti-gunner you're saying that you want to hire OTHER PEOPLE to do violence for you, aka cops. Interesting.

    2. Re:Second Amendment by PvtVoid · · Score: 1

      First they'll come for out killbots, then our machine guns, and sooner or later they will take away our muskets. It's a slippery slope! Wake up, sheeple!

    3. Re:Second Amendment by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      Your statement has nothing to do with what I said. I was pointing out hypocrisy.

  45. LOVE THAT WEAPON by JimSadler · · Score: 1

    The US does not have a population large enough to fight a traditional war against nations like China who can arm many millions of soldiers. We would be in the position of having to go to nuclear, germ or gas warfare in a land war with China and some other nations as well. The very nature of that kind of war would mean the death of many millions of noncombatants. It would also mean the slaughter of vast numbers of American troops and a devastation of our economy. But autonomous and drone types of weapons can take out specific targets with far less slaughter of innocents. They can also be quite intelligent and do things like only respond to people carrying a weapon. They can also give us ways of avoiding the limits of foreign powers. For example, there are nations that will not allow any armed ship to dock in their ports. Drones could transfer to a vessel standing near- by and thus allow our ships to dock and still have vast protection, such that any enemy attack would result in a high- speed attack with immediate consequences, for any enemy attacks upon our ships in port.

    1. Re:LOVE THAT WEAPON by koan · · Score: 1

      So robot killers is the answer?
      How about not going to war?
      Take a look at the US leadership and how it behaves overseas (not to mention locally).
      If you ask moi the USA is the threat, this country's leadership is a threat to humanity, and giving them control of fully autonomous weapons would be the very last thing you would do.

      --
      "If any question why we died, Tell them because our fathers lied."
    2. Re:LOVE THAT WEAPON by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 2

      Honest question: Do you believe that there are situations where a country is either a) justified, or b) morally required to utilize force of arms?

      --
      Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
    3. Re:LOVE THAT WEAPON by koan · · Score: 1

      That is such a loaded, useless question.

      --
      "If any question why we died, Tell them because our fathers lied."
    4. Re:LOVE THAT WEAPON by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 1

      How so? Either the use of force a) requires no justification, b) can be sometimes justified, or c) is never justified. If b) we can discuss the 'sometimes.' If a) or c), there's no room for discussion.

      I'd like to hear your thoughts on this, so to speak.

      --
      Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
    5. Re:LOVE THAT WEAPON by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      O come on...China has demonstrated no 'imperial imperative to grow', there is little incentive in fact for them to be in a war even one they think they MIGHT win...they know just as well as we do that a war would be fundamentally devastating...you could argue that this may change in the event a 'madman' got in to power but their governmental structure is no more or less prone to that then the US, UK etc.

      Seriously, you really think we have the programming & technology for an 'autonomous drone' to be able to pick a 'good person' out from a 'bad person' when both are carrying weapons? Are all combatants expected to have implanted RFID chips to distinguish 'them' from 'us'. We are no where even CLOSE to the kind of artificial intelligence needed to make the proper decision. Even human combatants on a battlefield have extreme problems picking out 'them' from 'us' & you want to give that decision to a machine that has no idea of the context of how a particular situation developed from a series of events where all information about that situation can't possibly be known. A human actor may make a bad decision too but a human knows the consequences of such a decision & has to live with it for the rest of their lives...a 'conscience' is a good thing...as devastating to a person as PTSD is, its a reflection of a 'good underlying reaction to violence'...an autonomous drone would have no such reaction, would feel 0 remorse & can't be at all trusted to make the correct decision (for any value of 'correct' that isn't 'madman levelling a city is good').

    6. Re:LOVE THAT WEAPON by Bender0x7D1 · · Score: 1

      It is a useless question since it devolves into endless "What ifs..."

      For example, what if Canada invades and starts killing everyone in North Dakota? Sure, that seems pretty justified to use force to defend yourself. What if you want to invade another country to take their farmland? Well, that doesn't seem justified. Then you get the, well what if you had a bad harvest and half your country will starve over winter without the extra crops? Or, what if both countries are short on food and neither wants to have their population die from starvation, so plan to attack each other? Or, what if a country is massing forces on your border? Do you have to wait for them to cross the border/start killing people before you can be justified in using force? What if they have chemical weapons near the border and you think they are waiting for favorable winds before releasing them?

      Oh, and never justified means you are willing to watch someone torture, maim, blind and mutilate your friends and family (and yourself) because it only takes one side to start something. Anyone who says differently has no idea how cruel the world - and people - can be.

      --
      Reading code is like reading the dictionary - you have to read half of it before you can go back and understand it.
    7. Re:LOVE THAT WEAPON by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 1

      Well, the what ifs are important.

      But in this case, if use of force is justified *at all*, then the next question becomes, 'If the use of force is justified, does a country have a moral imperative to minimize it's own casualties as much as possible?'

      Conversely, does it have a moral imperative to minimize enemy casualties wherever possible? Or in some cases, does the enemy forfeit all expectations of, for lack of a better term, kind treatment?

      Take the idea that in WW2, an invasion of the Home Islands of Japan would cost millions of lives, between American servicemen, Japanese servicemen, and civilians. Two nukes and substantially fewer deaths all around, arguably, were the lesser of the two evils.

      > Oh, and never justified means you are willing to watch someone torture, maim, blind and mutilate your friends and family (and yourself) because it only takes one side to start something. Anyone who says differently has no idea how cruel the world - and people - can be.

      Personally, I agree. Violence begets violence (although not always; violence untempered with after-violence reconciliation certainly does) but pacifism begets slavery.

      --
      Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
    8. Re:LOVE THAT WEAPON by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      use or initiate?

  46. Piffle by koan · · Score: 1

    "Some researchers argue that autonomous weapons would commit fewer battlefield atrocities than human beings—and that their development might even be considered morally imperative."

    Fuck your moral imperative, if you're going to remove humans from the chain then remove them entirely, no more human participation in war.

    All they are really talking about here is a weapon that will never say no, like humans sometimes do.

    --
    "If any question why we died, Tell them because our fathers lied."
    1. Re:Piffle by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      This. "I was only operating under orders!"

    2. Re:Piffle by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      The people giving them the orders can still say, "no", and they might be more inclined to if the realize that they're actually the last human between some villager and the end of a gun.

      Even drone pilots realize what they're doing, and from what I can tell, what they're doing has the same visuals as calling in support in Call of Duty. Unless someone tries to lie and tell you that you're actually playing a video game, you know you're killing people. You don't get the smell or the visceral impact of shooting or stabbing someone, but you know you're doing it. There is definitely an impact.

    3. Re:Piffle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't get the smell or the visceral impact of shooting or stabbing someone,

      and this is acutally critical,
      because it dramatically increases your ability to rationalize it away as justified
      and thus it also dramatically increases the chances of abuse happening on a large scale

  47. Autonomous robots do MORE attrocities by gurps_npc · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Look, do you know how hard it is o convince a solider to commit an atrocity? They don't just start doing it. It takes years and years of training and exposure to the horrors of war before soldiers are willing to do those things.

    But robots could be turned on and ordered to do atrocities that no human would agree to do.

    If a rogue general wanted to convince US soldiers to kill everyone in the White House, or to kill everyone in Congress, he would find it very difficult. It would take almost nothing for a rogue General to convince a squadron of drones to do the exact same thing.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    1. Re:Autonomous robots do MORE attrocities by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Autonomous weapons platforms don't kill people; people kill people. It is precisely as easy to convince a robot to commit an atrocity as it is to convince a cruise missile, and your rogue general already has access to these. If he wanted to kill everyone in D.C., he wouldn't have to convince a single soldier to do anything, because current non-autonomous ranged weapons are more than sufficient.

    2. Re:Autonomous robots do MORE attrocities by burtosis · · Score: 1

      There is no putting the genie back in the bottle. For all of human history nothing stopped the masses from overthrowing tyranny except the restraint and convictions of the people. But fast forward 250 years where a mega corporation could have full automation production of these drones, robots, and autonomous systems - the entire remaining 99.9999% people on the earth could be wiped out with no recourse. I'm fairly sure we are seeing the final steps in the removal of any possible threat the people at large pose to those who wield power. Good luck with your gun when a drone army airstrikes your dwelling before sending in armored kill bots.

  48. Skynet by naris · · Score: 1

    does not approve of this message!

  49. Let's be honest about thtis by rickb928 · · Score: 1

    As mentioned elsewhere in this story and thread:

    Landmines are autonomous, durable, and persistent. Very dangerous. And easily forgotten by their employers.

    Claymore mines ditto, though less appreciated for their durability, and found so much more quickly.

    Technology has produced much more interesting autonomous weapons, mobile, with greater range, but if you're all worked up because they are being controlled by operators half a world way that high-five each other when they obliterate a wedding party, well, you've missed the old white men and women in a room full of screens showing blobs moving and some going cold...

    And before that, old white men in subway tunnels moving little wooden icons around a map, listening to telephone reports, and lighting up a cigar to celebrate that they have, once more, survived the night.

    War is more and more fought elsewhere. This may be offensive to your delicate sensibilities, but be thankful you are not shooting from your bathroom window. Or not. Just don't ask me to pretend you have any moral high ground. We must change things or accept the world as it becomes.

    --
    deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
  50. Re: whats the difference between a autonomous weap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Kind of like an attack dog, but even more vicious and with just as much self-control.

  51. Brain dead obvious by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In general I believe that any rules are bound to be broken (look at North Korea for an example of a country flouting all 'rules' they agreed to) and as such is little more than pablum for the masses to feel good it's otherwise brain dead obvious that a ban on autonomous weapons (meaning anything that can select a target on its own & apply all force necessary up to & including death) is good.

    Yeah, humans commit all kinds of atrocities & we should be working to stop that too (with 7 Billion autonomous people on the planet 'how' is open to debate too)...this isn't a question of 'either/or' but 'in addition to'...we have humans committing atrocities, adding a non-human machine to this mix that can 'think' for itself is a recipe for disaster. I don't care how smart the programmers think they are we are no where close to allowing a machine to decide who should live & die.

    In any case, its still just all academic as any such ban is like anything else that is banned when you have criminals...criminals by definition don't care about rules.

  52. Damned NIMBYs strike again! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So the one bright idea I have to help save lives of US troops, and they want to ban it... Such is my luck.

    Well, the one idea that was as close to exclusively being me. lol!

    Anyway, imagine something with the style of robotic simplicity like a furby, now give it the brains and sensors of a cell phone,
    the variable form of an armadillo, and a big fat chunk of explosives, with variable primering so you can better select the blast yield.

    This is a notional weapon of course, in practice, the armadillo thing would have to be changed depending on local wildlife, maybe...

    So, the thing can roam around, bury itself, roll into a ball, unroll, with the shape determining some of the blast, and various sensors inside
    to help find and kill/destroy whatever.

    You can do simpler things with cluster bombs, minefields, torpedos, missiles, gyrojet type bullets/mini missiles, UAVs, microUAVs, whatever.

    With the simpler weapons, you could have multiple control nodes, slave nodes, etc. And also maybe a failsafe to help prevent blasting your own troops to bits.
    Although, not sure many of them would want to be in the middle of a fancy AI mexican dynamite trick.

  53. 100+ comments and no Gort reference? by Solandri · · Score: 1

    In The Day the Earth Stood Still, Gort is a member of an autonomous robot police force built by aliens, programmed to preserve peace in the universe by destroying any aggressor. Thus forcing fickle and emotional sentient beings to behave.

  54. Too late, they already exist! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Think of mines. Even though they may not be really smart, they already pose many of the same issues other types of autonomous weapons will have.
    If you want to get really worried though, read up on the basic premise behind Fred Saberhagen's "Beserker" series of books and short stories.

  55. Moot point... by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

    ...unless you're also going to halt *all* AI development because any automated weapon without an AI can be controlled by any sufficiently advanced AI.

    For instance, all the UAVs could be controlled by an AI, thereby taking a non-AI weapon and making it an autonomous weapon. As long as you have remotely controlled weaponry and AI development - however disconnected they may be - you have the potential for an autonomous weapon that could be outside of human control.

    That said, a claymore is a very simple autonomous weapon - albeit one that can be easily disabled, but it's autonomous nonetheless.

    --
    Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
  56. Start with the land mines by blackanvil · · Score: 1

    Great idea, lets start with land mines, ban their production in the US (US-based companies build and sell more land mines than any other country, most without auto-deactivation or other features that let them stop being a problem after the war ends), sales, and shipment through US controlled territory. Oh, wait, that would impact profits, nevermind.

  57. There are locusts in the soil! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Think of an autonomous weapon that lays dormant until it detects something in range, then wakes up, kills it and goes back to sleep.

    What if it doesn't go back to sleep?

    "There are locusts[1] in the soil"

    -- Greg Bear, Moving Mars

    [1] Locusts refer to secretly seeded nano-factories capable of creating and replicating lethal autonomous weapons en mass. One might weep for the future, if there were one.

  58. My Position by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am in favor of autonomous weapons that are attacking people who want to do harm to myself, my family, my friends, and other people that I care about.

    I am against autonomous weapons that are attacking me, my family, my friends, and other people that I care about.

    So if we can please get rid of the autonomous weapons that I am against, that'd be swell. Thanks!

  59. Bad firmware update. by mnslinky · · Score: 1

    Dear Umbrella Corp Customer,

    We rolled out an automatic firmware update last night that seems to have a few bugs. If your AutoGunner 3000 killed your entire village, please follow these steps to restore it to factory mode:

            1) Using a paper clip, press the small reset button (located on the front of your AutoGunner 3000's turret, directly below the .308 barrel).
            2) Continue depressing the button for approximately 5 seconds. If the turret begins to move, release and start the procedure over.
            3) If you survived^H^H^H^H^H^Hhear a slight beep, your AutoGunner 3000 should begin a warm boot process. Any remaining shells or cartridges in the hopper or magazine will be emptied. DO NOT STAND IN FRONT OF YOUR AutoGunner 3000 DURING WARM BOOT.
            4) Re-apply the firmware update (available on our website).

  60. Dont worry others wont use them. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They promise.

  61. The B.A.S. idiots blathering again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Get back to me when they find a way to enforce the bans on North Korean and Iranian nuke programs.

    The extreme leftists who run the phoney BAS, have NEVER honestly been concerned about nuclear weapons - they are a propaganda group dedicated to the goal of Western Civilization committing suicide. They have spent decades trying to dupe the more-stupid segments of Western society to force their politicians to disarm, and no real effort at all trying to get the evil dictators of the world to disarm. The usual Marxist evil claptrap, wrapped as usual in air-headed beauty contestant style rhetoric about peace and flowers and cotton candy and unicorns.

  62. Variations on a theme by WOOFYGOOFY · · Score: 1

    Looked at from a certain perspective, the overwhelmingly bad threats we face going forward are all variations on a single theme- huge power over life and death is devolving into the hands of smaller and smaller groups of individuals. The size of the group needed to pull off an attack is shrinking, while the number of people harmed and the severity of that harm are both simultaneously going through the roof.

    This characterizes the nature of the threat of terrorism - small arms fire is bad, automatic rifles are much worse and small groups of people flying planes (a high technology) into skyscrapers (another high technology) is worse yet. So this is yet another example of that phenomena, albeit a more obvious example.

    We're going to bestow obscene weapons of ultimate destruction upon ourselves then, we're going to use them, just as the critics are saying. At some point it's got to happen that we wake up and realize that only path to survival for us is to attack the root cause of the problem- human thought and behavior- specifically terrorism comes from just two sources.

    One is the obvious, the infliction of real economic and power injustices by a tiny ruling minority upon the majority. The minority essentially treat the lives and fortunes of the majority as an asset to be strip mined for their personal benefit. Call it what you want, dehumanization, oppression, exploitation, enslavement, rape it's all the same thing, the same strain of thought and impulse: over there is that other person- let me find a way to separate him from anything I may want and then turn the very act of his living, his existence, into an event which benefits only me.

    This breeds huge criminal and extremist political movements all over the globe- in the Middle East, in Russia which is effectively a kleptocracy, and even in the US which is effectively a plutocracy.

    The reason for a lot of the "crime" is because "crime" and the "black market" is the only rational way for people to put bread on their table. So also with extremist political movements. People know when they're treated unfairly, when their lives have been stripped of meaning and hope. Not everyone thinks the best choice is to set himself on fire, and if that widespread general malaise gets harnessed by a unifying narrative which promises to solve all those problems, then you have something like ISIS or al Queda.

    Besides economic and social injustice, the other source of terrorism is sociobiologically driven impulses which for some reason are immune to satiety or attenuation of any form. They just keep driving people to *more* of the behavior without limit. More money, more power, more land, more resources, more control over other people and what their lives will be like. From a sociobiological perspective, all those drives serve one purpose- to advance the "cause" of your genes, to increase your personal reproductive fitness at the expense of your alleged competitors for the same reproductive-enhancing resources and opportunities.

    And in fact, control over and access to all that stuff DID, over the course of evolutionary time, prove to be the deciding factors in who lived long enough to spread their genes and who was genetically shut out. As a consequence, we are all to a greater or lesser extent possessors of those impulses. But for some people, or for all people in some environments, those drives just never experience satiety or attenuation by other life events. They brutally and callously determine their bearers' behaviors and dominate their world view.

    So bin Laden, who had many wives, and many children and tons of money STILL felt insulted, dismissed and humiliated when his offer to defend Saudi Arabia from Saddam Hussein was rebuffed by the Saudi royal family. So Saddam Hussein who had effective control over the land wealth and political power of a sovereign state only used it to aggrandize himself and seek yet more power. So John Rockefeller, Andrew Carnegie, and Bill Gates - who are known now by many for their charitable trus

  63. Are they removing the ones already in use? by MercTech · · Score: 1

    I guess it depends on how you define autonomous weapons.

        Back in the 1980s there were several weapons systems that would be programmed to lock in on a certain target characteristic (sound signature, EM signature, heat signature) and autonomously maneuver to strike their programmed target. Later tech could be programmed to automatically acquire a target based on signature parameters. Digi-cam actually makes it more difficult for certain tech to automatically acquire a shape and heat signature for a human body.

        Many would think of the hunter-seeker drones when they hear "autonomous weapons" but there are many more variants that could be included in that term.

        What needs a ban is attaching weapons to surveillance cameras. If man can network it, man can hack it. To my knowledge; only a few localized insane installations have weaponized their security surveillance system. But, wow, if we had those in schools we could prevent school shootings! Or, you could have school shootings with the whack job not even having to enter the building.

        This curmudgeonly old fart thinks of the movie "Runaway" every time I read a reference to the "Internet of Things". The death by weaponized, networked, vacuum cleaner in that movie was a sphincter clenching meme when you start thinking of automating to a "smart house" level of tech.
    http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0088024/?ref_=nv_sr_6

    --
    NRRPT/RCT
  64. Drones by NewYork · · Score: 1

    I've developed a DRONE that can TRACK each and every BRAHMIN in the World;
    If drones have Facial recognition software they'll become ultimate killing machines;