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Scientists Propose Using Cold War Era Weapons To Deflect Asteroids (blastingnews.com)

MarkWhittington writes: Many people are considering what to do if an asteroid was headed for a collision with Earth. One such collision wiped out the dinosaurs 65 million years ago. Now, films such as "Armageddon" and "Deep Impact" depict what might happen if Earth were threatened with a similar event in modern times. As a result, some people are repurposing weapons that were built or envisioned during the Cold War to confront the celestial threat, from old ICBMs to space-based laser systems.

114 comments

  1. Now? by YutakaFrog · · Score: 2

    Yeah, if by "now" you mean 18 years ago...

    1. Re: Now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Came here to say this.

    2. Re:Now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Many people are considering what to do if an asteroid was headed for a collision with Earth

      Heroin. You do lots and lots of Heroin.

    3. Re:Now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, you take the lefty pussies out of control and put signal corps and engineering officers in charge.

      See post of Ivan above,

  2. Retarded Idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Yeah shoot some ICBMs at em, we certainly need more fucking orbital debris.

    1. Re: Retarded Idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      when a 2km radius asteroid hits earth, only cockroaches will remain to worry about anything.

      who stole your logos ?

    2. Re: Retarded Idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      when a 2km radius asteroid hits earth, only cockroaches will remain to worry about anything.

      I for one welcome our future cockroaches overlords.

  3. Meteor (1979) by arobatino · · Score: 3, Informative
  4. Hahahahaaaaaaaaaa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No they're not. Stop making shit up.

  5. Of course... by blindseer · · Score: 2

    What could possibly go wrong?

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    1. Re:Of course... by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2

      What could possibly go wrong?

      The universal excuse for doing nothing about a given problem. But...having an asteroid aiming for us would tend to concentrate the collective mind.

    2. Re: Of course... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      my friends at the u.s. and the russian general staff would have a nuke mounted on a deep space sat ready in about three days.

      and we will launch it withor without the permission of corrupt politicos.

  6. false premises leads to bad decisions by sittingnut · · Score: 2

    " One such collision wiped out the dinosaurs 65 million years ago. "
    this is not science. that is a hypothesis. a good one but nothing more so far.

    "films such as "Armageddon" and "Deep Impact" depict what might happen ..."
    really? mediocre movies are the way to model future?

    too much of such propaganda and hype may lead to bad decisions that will make bad use of scarce resources.
    resources better used on more real problems that results in real tragedy, every day right now. for instance, there are millions without clean water( and thousands die because of that). but such things are not sexy .
    not to forget, in some places whole world of people are/were destroyed by governments( especially by principal ones that fought the cold war) in ways more terrible than in any movie. but usa is not looking for practical solutions but more wars and regime changes.

    1. Re:false premises leads to bad decisions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the other hand, it's not that asteroids don't exists or can't collide with Earth.
      The chance is small but the potential damage is huge, so it's better to get some insurance to mitigate that risk. Just as how people generally get fire insurance even though there is no guarantee that their house will burn down.

    2. Re: false premises leads to bad decisions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lord knows we can't do more than one thing at a time.

    3. Re: false premises leads to bad decisions by sittingnut · · Score: 1

      we can do more than one thing, but there is always an opportunity cost . never heard of that ? look it up. my bad for assuming basic literacy

    4. Re:false premises leads to bad decisions by sittingnut · · Score: 1

      false analogy.
      chance of house fire and potential damage can be calculated and insurance premium will be based on that .

    5. Re:false premises leads to bad decisions by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      "The chance is small but the potential damage is huge, so it's better to get some insurance to mitigate that risk. Just as how people generally get fire insurance even though there is no guarantee that their house will burn down."

      After all, this is why the weapons were built in the first place.

    6. Re:false premises leads to bad decisions by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Hypotheses are specific predictions. The idea that an asteroid had a big part in killing the dinosaurs is the theory, and so far it's the one that checks out the best, via the hypotheses it generates.

    7. Re: false premises leads to bad decisions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, but only "things" that can actually happen in reality.

    8. Re: false premises leads to bad decisions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yeah, communist- maoist rationality. we need to further overpopulate the planet and make sure we will be defenceless against km sized asteroids.

    9. Re:false premises leads to bad decisions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      false analogy.
      chance of house fire and potential damage can be calculated and insurance premium will be based on that .

      Red Herring.
      A house fire is not comparable to the existential threat posed by an asteroid. Small chances, Terminal consequences.

    10. Re:false premises leads to bad decisions by sittingnut · · Score: 1

      my point

    11. Re: false premises leads to bad decisions by sittingnut · · Score: 1

      ignorance displayed by people like you should not be a surprise to anyone

    12. Re:false premises leads to bad decisions by sittingnut · · Score: 1

      it is not established science, and certainly not a sound basis for making decisions resulting in use of lot of resources which can be used for other better things that have no such problems of authenticity

    13. Re: false premises leads to bad decisions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks for proving my point. You have no rational arguments, except emotions.

    14. Re: false premises leads to bad decisions by sittingnut · · Score: 1

      unsurprised laughter is the most rational reply to ignorance.

  7. it was purposeful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the one that wiped out the dino's was purposeful... it brought about our species. Im sure whoever did that is watching for asteroids such as that and deflecting them.

    1. Re: it was purposeful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Wrong. They're waiting for the right moment to replace our sorry-assed species with something awesome, like the dinosaurs were.

  8. This shit again? by Chas · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Wasn't it already figured out that trying to blow nukes off on an asteroid surface would achieve approximately JACK SHIT?

    They're not sufficiently powerful to break up mass, and due to being nuked in space, the kinetic transfer is significantly less, therefore "deflection" wouldn't happen either.

    And flying up and digging in a bunch of nukes isn't ever going to happen for a host of reasons...

    So why, all of the sudden, are we digging up a bunch of brain-dead movie fodder that we already know won't work?

    A new generation of people whose ability to reason has been compromised by mass media?

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
    1. Re:This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So why, all of the sudden, are we digging up a bunch of brain-dead movie fodder that we already know won't work?

      Because there is a strong belief in the US that nukes solves every problem.
      Also, we like explosions.

    2. Re:This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I thought it was generally accepted that painting an asteroid would be a good way to deflect it to a safe distance. It makes a whole lot more sense than using a nuclear weapon.

    3. Re:This shit again? by blindseer · · Score: 1

      "Also, we like explosions."

      Is it explosion Wednesday already?

      *BOOM*

      I guess it is.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    4. Re:This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Except when they are North Korean

    5. Re:This shit again? by sociocapitalist · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Wasn't it already figured out that trying to blow nukes off on an asteroid surface would achieve approximately JACK SHIT?

      So why, all of the sudden, are we digging up a bunch of brain-dead movie fodder that we already know won't work?

      So that we can modernize our weapons to have something positioned against the late growth in military power of both Russia and China without seeming overly aggressive in the hope of not further escalating global tensions, perhaps?

      --
      blindly antisocialist = antisocial
    6. Re:This shit again? by blindseer · · Score: 2

      Maybe some good can come from this. Let the idiots spout off solutions that won't work so that the people that have the knowledge and intelligence to see how this can fail can argue for something that will work. Sort of following the idea that "there is no such thing as bad publicity" that people follow in politics and popular culture.

      If we can get people to think that firing rockets carrying radioactive materials is something that might be considered acceptable then perhaps we could do something that might work where only something with a nuclear reactor is a feasible solution. I'm just tossing this out as an example, I don't know if it would work, but suppose instead of detonating a nuclear weapon on the surface we have a nuclear powered drilling machine that bores into the asteroid. The hole it creates would act as a rocket bell and the burning and evaporating material from the nuclear reactor heat acts as the propellant. This could throw the asteroid out of orbit far enough that it misses Earth.

      Also, this brain dead "science" shown in movies and TV is going to get people killed. Cars don't blow up when they hit a brick wall. The rubber soles of your boots won't keep you from getting electrocuted. Car doors don't stop bullets. People could write encyclopedias on how much movies and TV get medicine wrong.

      As bad as things have been in the past I do see things getting better. Outside of the super hero genre we are starting to see science being portrayed more accurately. I think that there are enough educated people out there that writers at least try to appeal to them, and people are starting to realize that real life is interesting as it is.

      Of course I could be completely wrong.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    7. Re:This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People always think of normal H-bombs, 1-10 megatons.
      There is no limit to the size of an H-bomb, only limit is how much material we can get into orbit and move close to the asteroid.
      With enough advance warning it would be a lot.

      1 megaton will not work, how about 100 megatons? 1 gigaton?

    8. Re:This shit again? by malditaenvidia · · Score: 1

      Michael Bay, please get out.

    9. Re:This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Wasn't it already figured out that trying to blow nukes off on an asteroid surface would achieve approximately JACK SHIT? They're not sufficiently powerful to break up mass, and due to being nuked in space, the kinetic transfer is significantly less, therefore "deflection" wouldn't happen either.

      Yep.

      > So why, all of the sudden, are we digging up a bunch of brain-dead movie fodder that we already know won't work?

      Because they don't really want that, they want to put those big weapons up there and be meanie to those who would possibly disagree with them. In a big Dr. Strangelove style.

      > A new generation of people whose ability to reason has been compromised by mass media?

      Nah, it's the same old generation who loved and keeps loving such power. Destroyer of worlds and the like... (a little more literal now, it seems)

      And, like someone asked, what could go wrong?

      Answer: Nothing, because we already mastered launches which can't go wrong. (AI note: that's sarcasm).

    10. Re:This shit again? by maestroX · · Score: 1

      You're being overly negative.
      Until Red Dawn nobody could imagine what would happen if North Korea invaded the US.
      If an asteroid is on our path I'm sure as hell going to vote on Eastwood to blast it away.
      We'd have Chuck Norris as a backup.
      Just stop crying already, I told you: don't watch adult movies!

    11. Re:This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uncle Sam knows that China/Russia knows that these excuses are bullshit. Make no mistake, this kind of misinformation is designed for domestic consumption.

    12. Re:This shit again? by monkeyxpress · · Score: 1

      And flying up and digging in a bunch of nukes isn't ever going to happen for a host of reasons...

      Well, sure, the modified orbiter needed to be more robust, and some retro-thrusters on the Armadillos would have prevented them being blown into space, but overall it worked out fine, and Bruce would have even made it back if not for a bit of bad luck with the auto-detonator.

    13. Re:This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "A new generation of people whose ability to reason has been compromised by mass media?"

      They're called Space Nutters and it's a combination of a steady diet of sci-fi, and a belief that since they're good at software, they're good at everything.

    14. Re: This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Infinitely this.
      Nukes are NOT THAT powerful like is usually shown in [insert Hollywood MOVIE].
      Nukes are pretty god damn weak actually. Still stupidly powerful, but they'd never even end the world if every one were to go off now, plus a few kilometers up so it air-blasts. We barely have enough to wipe out the significant areas of the developed world, even if 100% gets through. Radiation is a non-issue, nukes vaporize most matter in the warhead, the rest decays in 5 weeks, or months at the worst.

      Strapping nuclear thrusters on to nukes would be the best bet.
      We already experimented with nukes for spacecraft engines, but the minute amount of radiation made some pansies shit their pants. Literally less than granite worktop tier levels.
      We should experiment more with some minor rocks, create a near 100% success rate gripping system.
      Then do a thruster test.
      Then nuke thruster test.

    15. Re:This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Somebody once told me something couldn't be done, so I've spent the last 12 years convincing everyone they are stupid for not writing it off immediately"

    16. Re:This shit again? by conquistadorst · · Score: 1

      Wasn't it already figured out that trying to blow nukes off on an asteroid surface would achieve approximately JACK SHIT?

      They're not sufficiently powerful to break up mass, and due to being nuked in space, the kinetic transfer is significantly less, therefore "deflection" wouldn't happen either.

      Well you figured that out pretty quickly. Obviously you plotted out your formula out proving its impossibility on the back of a paper napkin, right? Can you show your math before you start discrediting your fellow scientists on this idea? You can figure this out on a napkin if you want to using the formula below as a starting point and then estimating the mass, velocity, and kinetic energy of an incoming asteroid. You could calculate how much kinetic energy is needed to deflect an asteroid.

      It has been estimated that a velocity change of just 3.5/t × 10^-2 ms^-1 (where t is the number of years until potential impact) is needed to successfully deflect a body on a direct collision trajectory. In addition, under certain circumstances, much smaller velocity changes are needed. wikipedia

    17. Re:This shit again? by dj245 · · Score: 1

      Wasn't it already figured out that trying to blow nukes off on an asteroid surface would achieve approximately JACK SHIT?

      They're not sufficiently powerful to break up mass, and due to being nuked in space, the kinetic transfer is significantly less, therefore "deflection" wouldn't happen either.

      And flying up and digging in a bunch of nukes isn't ever going to happen for a host of reasons...

      So why, all of the sudden, are we digging up a bunch of brain-dead movie fodder that we already know won't work?

      A new generation of people whose ability to reason has been compromised by mass media?

      The US is subtly sabre-rattling against China and Russia.

      --
      Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
    18. Re:This shit again? by rossdee · · Score: 1

      The problem is that asteroids are usually rotating.. Painting one side so it reflects the suns rays more isn't going to do anything.
      The same thing applies to going up there and sticking a rocket motor on it. Although at least with a rocket morot you could turn it on only when its facing the right way.

    19. Re:This shit again? by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2

      You could paint the whole asteroid and only the sunward side would be affected. That would produce asymmetric thrust that would change the orbit.

    20. Re:This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the realization that asteroids were mostly rubble piles happened later (during the mid-late 2000's, possibly early 2010's when small body landings and man-made impacts occurred). If the only binding force of those bodies is gravity (prior to atmospheric heating fusing / welding the outer layers together), then the possibility of effectively blowing up the object goes up as there is less force holding it together.

      Risk is then determined by the largest body held together by additional forces (Van Der Walls, surface tension, etc.), the risk that body would present to Earth on impact, and how little / much it would be deflected with the initial blast.

      There was another argument regarding craters made by explosions underneath the surface basically form a natural rocket expansion nozzle, and the vaporized material (rock?) would then push away from earth. This can affect the orbit enough to have it miss Earth if done far enough in advance. The explosion would have to be energetic enough to vaporize a significant amount of the asteroid's composition material--if it's rock / mineral I could see how kilotons would probably be needed.

    21. Re:This shit again? by Talderas · · Score: 1

      So why, all of the sudden, are we digging up a bunch of brain-dead movie fodder that we already know won't work?

      To provide a justification for nuclear disarmament by appropriating nuclear weapons for asteroid defense.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    22. Re:This shit again? by dcw3 · · Score: 1

      Nah, it's the same old generation who loved and keeps loving such power. Destroyer of worlds and the like... (a little more literal now, it seems)

      Is that the same old generation that brought the SALT treaties, and the end of the Cold War? The same one that brought https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
    23. Re:This shit again? by Chas · · Score: 1

      Thing is you have to be able to attach it to a realistic launch vehicle.

      That right there automatically limits the size.

      The largest nuclear explosion in history was Russia's Tsar Bomba, at 50 Megatons.
      The device itself weighed in at 30 tons. That's roughly 7x the mass of some of the largest nuclear launch devices on record.

      Moreover, again, we're talking about a detonation in a vacuum.

      A nuclear explosion is roughly 85% kinetic and thermal, with the remaining 15% being other forms of radiation.

      In space, there's no medium to propagate through. So that pretty much castrates the kinetic kill, and limits thermal transfer. Leaving the remainder to be radiation pressure.

      So you're relying on a bomb to deliver large quantities of radiation pressure in the hopes of diverting. Unfortunately, such a bomb would need to be unlaunchably large.

      And no, random impacts of various smaller devices won't accomplish anything.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    24. Re:This shit again? by bigpat · · Score: 1

      Wasn't it already figured out that trying to blow nukes off on an asteroid surface would achieve approximately JACK SHIT?

      They're not sufficiently powerful to break up mass, and due to being nuked in space, the kinetic transfer is significantly less, therefore "deflection" wouldn't happen either.

      And flying up and digging in a bunch of nukes isn't ever going to happen for a host of reasons...

      So why, all of the sudden, are we digging up a bunch of brain-dead movie fodder that we already know won't work?

      A new generation of people whose ability to reason has been compromised by mass media?

      The real answer is that it depends on the particular circumstances... The composition of the asteroid, the time to impact, the yield of the nuclear weapon(s). As far as I am aware the simulations have shown different outcomes depending on the scenario. In general if you have enough warning you can use something other than nuclear weapons. But with less warning you will probably need to use a nuclear weapon or many nuclear weapons.

      So the bottom line is that there is no general conclusion you can make about using nuclear weapons.

      In some circumstances a nuke is probably the best or only option to either destroy the asteroid or at least vaporize enough of the asteroid to reduce the damage it will cause. Because some material will vaporize and if it breaks up then more surface area of smaller pieces will cause more to material to vaporize in the atmosphere. And in some circumstances a nuke will either do no good or possibly even make the situation worse. But at some point if the situation is desperate and there is very limited time for good analysis, then lobbing a nuke (or twenty) at an incoming asteroid is probably going to at least break it up enough so less mass will make it through the atmosphere. But again, if we are talking a bout a different scenario where something that was going to cause regional destruction was going to hit in the middle of an unpopulated or less populated area and now post nuke several large pieces are going to directly hit 3 major cities, then potentially you have made the problem worse.

      So the answer is that it depends and you had better be ready to run some simulations and be ready with some nuclear weapons just in case.

    25. Re: This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're an absolute idiot. Look up black rain, now globalize that to block out all sunlight.

    26. Re:This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Is that the same old generation that brought the SALT treaties, and the end of the Cold War?

      What do you think? Do you think they're in the business of reducing the weapons' race?

      Do you think the world is getting better because some greedy countries ceased to seek bigger and bigger areas of influence?

    27. Re:This shit again? by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      Wasn't it already figured out that trying to blow nukes off on an asteroid surface would achieve approximately JACK SHIT?

      They're not sufficiently powerful to break up mass, and due to being nuked in space, the kinetic transfer is significantly less, therefore "deflection" wouldn't happen either.

      No they didn't. Yes it would. They have done research and while there is a better way, that is not what they found. All that kenetic transfer you are looking for would be from things vaporizing from the release of x-rays and other high energy EM radiation. In lack of an atmosphere, the same such rays would vaporize the surface of the asteroid and be ejected from it like rocket exhaust. If they could bury it somewhat in the asteroid, that would work better for trasnfer of energy and directionality of the resultant ejection. However, the plan they actually came up with was for a nuclear device built do what they wanted. The bomb itself would be shielded in an x-ray reflector, similar to how they focus the same x-rays on the hydrogen in fusion bombs, but instead focus them on an x-ray absorber that would vaporize and be sent quite near the speed of light in the direction of the target. Calcuations showed that such a design should be able to direct 95% of the energy of an atomic bomb into the target as a kinetic energy weapon.

    28. Re:This shit again? by BigFootApe · · Score: 1

      Nukes, especially two stage nukes, are heavy emitters of X-ray light. Detonating the nuke at an appropriate distance allows the nuke to heat the surface matter of the object which blows off and acts as reaction mass. The efficiency of this coupling can also be improved via some design tricks for the device itself or by cratering the object with a kinetic impactor first then timing the detonation so it's directly over the resultant "rocket nozzle" on the object's surface.

    29. Re:This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      let's aid the idiots one more step.

      Educate yourself here: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=asteroid+deflection+nasa

      Nukes are indeed required for certain asteroid sizes and trajectories.

      Likelihood of impact is minor, but effect would be total for mankind. as in "all humans killed".

    30. Re:This shit again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That MAY work on small examples. Not on the big ones.

  9. This is illogical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is illogical and not a worthwhile use of resources. While asteroid impacts clearly have occurred in the past, they are extremely rare on the timescale of human civilization. The prior probability of such an event occurring in the next 100 or 200 years is very low. Not only can we base this on prior probabilities but observational evidence. Lots of near objects are tracked and their orbits are extrapolated. Due to measurement uncertainty, the lack of data on recently discovered objects, and variability in the orbits of objects, these predictions become less accurate as the extrapolation moves farther into the future. Nonetheless, we have enough data to effectively rule out an impact from any known near Earth objects in the next century or two. The link I presented shows as much since all of the objects are rated zero on the Torino scale and the likelihood of an impact from any of those objects is extremely low.

    While it's worth scanning for more near Earth objects, there is little value in preparing for danger presented by any of them. It's likely that, by the time there would be a threat from any such object, technology will have advanced to the point that our current plans would be worthless. However, we do face severe threats from our own activities and the resulting climate change, extinctions, and resource scarcity. Both the severity and urgency of these threats are much greater than those posed by an impact. It would be illogical to devote any resources to diverting near Earth objects beyond simply looking for them.

    1. Re:This is illogical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's easy to be reductive. Based on the same logic brushing your teeth is a waste of resources.

    2. Re:This is illogical by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      The probability of an individual being killed by an asteroid is quite a bit more likely than dying in a terrorist attack. It's also higher than dying to a lightning strike, and is about the same as being killed by an amusement park ride. Note also that the probability of civilization being ended by an asteroid strike is much, much higher than by any of those other causes.

      And yet the cost of reducing those chances enormously is very small compared to the cost of, say, reducing the chance of death by terrorist. When you run the numbers, asteroid defence is a very cost effective way to reduce risk.

    3. Re:This is illogical by dcw3 · · Score: 1

      But, look at the Risk/Reward. When the risk is minuscule, but the result of a single occurrence would be the destruction of the planet, then not making some logical mitigation plan is unacceptable.

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
    4. Re:This is illogical by KGIII · · Score: 1

      Do you have a citation for that? As far as i know, only one person has ever died from one and one lady claims to have been hit by one - it shattered her arm.

      Now, it seems to me we actually have quite a few more people that die from your other listed causes. I want to see how they butchered the numbers to come up with that.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
  10. asteroid digestion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    usually the argument against blasting asteroids was that instead of 1 big rock hitting the earth, there would be thousand of smaller rocks hitting the earth.
    but why would that be worse? don't we chew food because as it is being divided into smaller and smaller pieces, there is more surface area for digestion and it breaks down quicker? wouldn't the friction from the atmosphere acting on the asteroid be analogous to digestion? why wouldn't a thousand smaller pieces, meaning more surface area, be beneficial? wouldn't the amount burned up by the atmosphere be more, therefore less actual mass hits the earth?

    1. Re:asteroid digestion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude.......it's like being hit by a myriad of shotgun pellets at close range.....the atmosphere isn't going to do jack shit to the fragments of a 1km wide asteroid that's been blown apart smashing into us. Now, if by some miracle you could convert the entire asteroid into grains of sand...well...maybe.....but a few thousand chunks as big as office blocks aren't even going to notice the air before they hit the ground.

    2. Re: asteroid digestion by kellymcdonald78 · · Score: 1

      No, you just flash fry the hemisphere. All that mass burning up in the atmosphere gets turned into heat, we're talking about turning the sky into an incandescent mass that radiates all that heat down to the ground. Rather have all that mass impact in one spot, bad day for that spot, but much better for the planet

  11. Cold War-era weapons? by Harold+Halloway · · Score: 1

    Chieftain tanks? Vulcan bombers? They won't work.

  12. Reagan cold war era weapons. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I deflect assteroids pretty damn well with my laser pointer bought from dollar tree. Gotta protect that glass dome from shattering!

  13. No need to worry by blindseer · · Score: 1

    The meteor impact will cause a nuclear winter that will cancel out the global warming.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  14. I'm pretty sure there is a cream for that. by dsmatthews9379 · · Score: 1

    Asteroids that is.

  15. Scientists? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm disappointed what these days is called scientists.

    On a more jovial note: cold war era weapons? Does that mean we're going to hurl Bush & Reagan into space? I'll like to see that :-)

    1. Re: Scientists? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wish we'd hurled Bush and Reagan into space DURING the cold war. Most people would be better off absent their horrendous economic policies that don't work, never have worked, and never will work except as a method for transferring wealth to the already rich.

    2. Re: Scientists? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But that period gave such wonderful propaganda...

      "We are eyeball to eyeball, and I think the other fellow just blinked."
      Except for the no longer secret deal which he didn't want the american public to know he made and has been downplayed many times "they were obsolete anyhow"...

    3. Re:Scientists? by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 2

      >> cold war era weapons?

      I was thinking it could be a 1967 Oldsmobile Delta 88 sedan with a drunk Kennedy at the wheel.

  16. Scientists. by Spazmania · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Scientists" should understand the difference between the low earth orbit that an ICBM can almost achieve versus intercepting an object in deep space. Deflect an asteroid a fraction of a degree when it's still a month away and it's certain to miss the planet. When the same asteroid is in range of an ICBM, it's far far too late to do anything.

    --
    Moderating "-1, Disagree" is simple censorship. Have the guts to post your opinion.
    1. Re:Scientists. by rtb61 · · Score: 2

      So pretty much if you seriously want to do anything about it, you have to be up on the moon. Not only to find them far enough away but to 6 times more effectively launch them. Especially is you launched them via a steam cannon with variable acceleration for the first stage and rocket only for final guidance. Of course you could do the same from earth the barrel would just need to be quite a few kilometres long, with an outlet as high as practicable and you would not get as much warning. Better to use that earth mounted vacuum steam cannon(s), with magnetic suspension to fire stuff at the moon on a daily basis to build a base on the moon, for earlier detection and far more effective reaction.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    2. Re:Scientists. by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 2

      "Scientists" should understand the difference between the low earth orbit that an ICBM can almost achieve versus intercepting an object in deep space.

      Actually, "scientists" may not be talking about ICBMs at all (despite the article first claiming so), because when it goes to the vague details of the plan there's suddenly an additional word: "The Russians would like to test their ICBM defense system on 99942 Apophis ..."

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    3. Re:Scientists. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LOL hilarious

    4. Re: Scientists. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you can mount the nuke on a voyager class satellite.

      nasa has a nice presentation on the subject.

      nukes will save humanity sooner or later. from a certain asteroid size, no other technology has enough energy.

    5. Re:Scientists. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the feasibility is achieved when you remove 3-6 of the 5-7 MIRV's to provide the reduced mass. If the missile is liquid fueled, it may be possible to put extra fuel on board as a result of those mass savings (and the fuel / oxidizer will still weigh less per unit volume than uranium / plutonium)

      Whether this is enough to go from 250 miles up and 4000+ miles across to 40,000+ miles up would require a rocket scientist's input (and some input on planetary positions and impactor approach vector if there is enough time to do slingshots for more velocity)

      I would agree its more likely to succeed if engineers take the MIRV's and put them on a Delta IV Heavy than reuse the ICBM directly--but it would take more time to design and reconfigure.

    6. Re: Scientists. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you can mount the nuke on a voyager class satellite.

      nasa has a nice presentation on the subject.

      nukes will save humanity sooner or later. from a certain asteroid size, no other technology has enough energy.

      The issue is directing the energy so that it changes the object's trajectory (or reduces it to fragments of rubble small enough to all burn up in the atmosphere). Popping a nuke in space isn't going to have the same kind of "blast" that you get from setting one off inside an atmosphere, and most of the energy is going to be wasted even if you detonate it right next to the thing.

      If it's big enough that only a nuke has enough energy, then you're pretty much fucked no matter what, unless you want to "throw a Hail Mary" and send Bruce Willis up with a drill.

    7. Re:Scientists. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As Ivan wrote above, simply mount the nuke on some sort of existing deep space satellite bus (Voyager comes to mind, or one of these asteroid-meeting sats from the Japanese or the Europeans). Add serious high speed, high resolution cameras, maybe add radar. Use nuclear batteries for powering said systems.

      Then maneuver sat (probably some autopilot for terminal maneuvering is required) next to the asteroid, detonate nuke.

      All technology readily available.

      All known and feasible, except if you are a green-red commie who has learned to hand-wring whenever the term "nuclear" is spoken.

    8. Re:Scientists. by MoarSauce123 · · Score: 1

      Not only that most asteroids are significantly faster than a missile, so the trajectory of both needs to be spot on. Space lasers might be an option. Would be nice to see that there is finally a use for all the stuff Reagan wasted billions on.

  17. Re:APK dead at 58 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    THANK THE FUCK CHRIST

  18. Re:APK dead at 58 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    HOSTS are for LUDDITES. Hosts won't let appers app apps the way apps are to be apped.

    Apps!

  19. Not theoretically impossible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    While probably very inefficient, using a nuke to nudge a asteroid sideways should be possible because THERE IS NO PRACTICAL LIMIT to how powerful we can make a fusion bomb (until you get to things like you've exhausted the amount of hydrogen you can gather together, etc.) I read an article a while back that talked about this and it stated that people had decided not to design such a thing because if some whacko got ahold of it, it could be game over for us all.

    1. Re:Not theoretically impossible by Chas · · Score: 1

      There are limits though.

      Because, sure, we can make some million ton bomb that pops off with a couple thousand megatons of force.

      But how do we get it up into space?

      The lift capacity of a space shuttle is roughly 25 tons.

      Tsar Bomba, a droppable or stationary bomb, the most powerful ever detonated, weighs in at 30 tons, with a 50 megaton yield.

      Oh yes, and you're detonating in space, a vacuum, which robs it of most of the power you need to divert or destroy such an object.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
  20. Who's gonna pay for it? by braindrainbahrain · · Score: 1

    The last time someone was serious about defending the Earth, nobody cared enough to pay for it.

  21. Great science fiction, not great science by k6mfw · · Score: 1

    What this thread is missing is "time to call Bruce Willis" comment. OK, blowing up a threatening asteroid is common movie plot and pretty much all are great entertainment (I enjoy watching Armageddon, "I don't care if they are physically perfect, can they survive a space launch?" Physician: "I don't understand how they even survived the tests!").

    An ICBM is an impressive weapon. Launch vehicle with huge flame and lots of smoke, screams through the lower atmosphere at incredible high Q. Vaults halfway around the globe, incoming warhead meteors through the atmosphere. And then BOOM, a city reduced to a smoldering flat piece of ash. Now take that same bomb and add more speed to put it into orbit. Hmmm, ain't that easy. Will need to add another stage or modify for longer burn time and reduce mass of final item to put into orbit. Darn it, Tsiolkovsky developed that equation and nobody can figure out how to violate it (it is based on conservation of momentum so lots of luck repealing that). OK let's take that ICBM that is made for orbit insertion to the next level: Getting out of earth orbit. I think this is where it gets really hard as it seems need something of really high ISP. I was reading someplace (I don't quite know how to work the Rocket Eqn so I base this on what I read), need pressure fed booster meaning turbo pump for a LH2/LOX rocket as only that fuel/oxidizer combination has ISP good enough to get something of significant mass beyond earth orbit. So all this talk about firing nukes at a rogue asteroid is bankrupt as the SSTO. But I guess that don't stop people from generating PPTs and sensationalize articles.

    Hey, are we due for another pack of asteroid/meteor movies? Perhaps some new creative angles instead of the gimmick like secret USAF spaceplane to the rescue has pretty much worn its course since it was introduced in Marooned.

    --
    mfwright@batnet.com
    1. Re:Great science fiction, not great science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Time to call Bruce Willis

  22. once again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Another ( 'Some Scientists'.... ) post with minimal information content...
    Give a link to online orbital/solar system programs to calculate how long to target, how big a payload/launcher, and how hard all of this would be.
    Real numbers.... not just vague hand-waving. Stories in the dark around a campfire have better information.

    The Moon would be the best place to station a response base ( low gravity well... ) as well as observation telescopes... IMO - IAAPhysicist...
    Rockets, warheads, people, telescopes, linear accelerators, lasers, tasers, masers, and steam-cannons, solar power,
    food and air supplied regularly....

    In fact - lets see a cost/time/resource analysis for all of this NOT DONE BY A MILITARY CONTRACTOR!
    Also needed: really expensive crowbars to remove politicians heads from their a*s*e......

    So maybe my grandkids can have some peace of mind....
    now get off my lawn!

  23. Neil DegrasseTyson wants to kill us all by formfeed · · Score: 1

    In the last few years this asteroid-doomsday-talk really took off.

    Sure there is a risk, but maybe not higher than a worldwide pandemic, a nuclear war, or Odin sending a flood.
    - Or do THEY know something? Like, that the risk suddenly got higher by something WE did...??!!

    That's when it dawned on me:
    It is the outer planets that protect us from space debris. And Neil DegrasseTyson removed Pluto!

  24. FALSE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuke+sat will be maneuvered to the "proper" side of the asteroid in order to evaporate serious amounts of matter from the asteroid. This in turn will generate sufficient impulse to change the trajectory of the asteroid. Earth will be spared.

    The problem with you Americans is that you are even too stupid to listen your own scientists video presentations. Or maybe you are too stupid to find them on your own video service called youtube.

    greetings

    Ivan

  25. Get An Education by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    To do that, search for "Ivan" in this page. He will explain it* to you imbecile.

    * how to deflect massive asteroids using nukes.

    This intelligence will also explain to you that from a certain asteroid size ONLY nukes have sufficient energy to get the job done.

  26. FALSE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    First educate yourself: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=asteroid+deflection+nasa

    Then, imagine detonating the nuke right next to the asteroid. This will use asteroid material to generate a massive vapor impulse, like rocket exhaust. Just much, much more powerful.

    This will not blow the asteroid into pieces, but deflect the trajectory sufficiently in order to generate a new, harmless-for-humans trajectory.

    Comprendre ?

  27. Yeah, Commie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If only everybody adhered to Communist or Mohammedist orthodoxy, then we would have paradise on earth.

    You Commie-Mohammedics would also "change the conscience of asteroids", I assume. So that they change their trajectory off earth.

    Or would your "god do that" ????

    I tell you something: God gaves us nukes, rockets and deep space satellites, so that we can alter the trajectory of even massive asteroids in order to avoid planet earth. We are supposed to use them, should the need arise.

    And he threw Communism and Mohammedism onto earth in order to test the moral capabilities of resistance in us humans.

  28. Yeah Maoist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe you educate yourself before your emit your boilerplate propaganda:

    https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=asteroid+deflection+nasa

  29. WRONG by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Please search for "Ivan" on this page in order to correct your false reasoning. Nukes are indeed the best tool for deflecting asteroids.

    https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=asteroid+deflection+nasa

  30. Guess What by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your government has an agency called "NASA" and they employ some of these phy-wizardos and they have figured how to do it.

    Even better, they have filmed a video explaining the whole problem and the entire solution. Which indeed requires nukes depending on trajectory and mass of asteroid.

    You only need to find the video:https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=asteroid+deflection+nasa

    If only mankind would be smart enough to operate a search bar....

  31. Tunguska Disagrees by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is a place in Siberia, hit by an asteroid and it had the power of a large nuke explosion.

    If that kind of thing would hit New York, London or St.Louis, we would be talking about millions killed.

    And the Tunguska sucker definitely is not the biggest asteroid around.

    Finally, just recently Siberian humans dogded the bullet from an asteroid sucker estimated to have been as powerful as a nuke explosion. Thank god it spent most of its energy on a "flat" trajectory inside the atmosphere. It was still powerful enough to generate a supersonic shockwave blowing out thousands of windows.

  32. Math by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sooner or later a kilometer-sized thing will impact earth. That thing will probably take 99% of humans or even 100% with it. So it is unlikely, but quite total.

    Defense is to take existing nukes and existing sat technology, "fuse" it and change the asteroid trajectory.

    Cost is almost literally the US. DoD postage budget, because most of the technologies are readily in existence.

    1. Re:Math by KGIII · · Score: 1

      That's great! Now, why are you telling me that? Read the post I replied to, read my post, and then please explain why you think I don't know that.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
  33. Wrong Tactic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You do not aim to disintegrate. You aim to use the asteroid material in order to evaporate some of it and thereby generate thrust. The thrust will put the asteroid on a "safe" trajectory relative to earth.

    This means existing nukes can successfully deflect even very big asteroids (several kms sized). Beyond that size, we have to continue to pray.

  34. Voyager ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Are you really so ignorant, boy ?

    Sure we will only use the warhead and fuse it to voyager. The ICBM itself is to capable of hitting the asteroid. Rather ArianeV+voyager+nuke.

  35. Adolf Hitler by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    was not a physicist. Neither was Stalin. Neither was Mao.

    The social scientists are the most evil people on this planet.

  36. Lighter Nukes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ....are up to the job for *most* asteroids. Educate yourself on youtube. It is all out there.

  37. Dinosaurs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    .... once ruled planet earth. Our forefathers THEN were mouse-like creatures, but already mammals.

    Something happened which killed all those big dinos. Only the small creatures survived, including small dinos, which we now call "birds".

    It is entirely plausibly that earth was hit by an asteroid, which threw up so much vapor and dust into higher atmosphere that the food supply for the big dinos was severely reduced. At least, so goes a major hypothesis.

    Just because this did not happen for the last 10000 years (for which we have *some* records), does not mean it will not happen in the next few years or in the next 1000, 10000, 100000 years.

    Do YOU and YOUR FAMILY want to go the way of the big dinosaurs ?

    1. Re:Dinosaurs by KGIII · · Score: 1

      The probability of an individual human being killed by an asteroid is so close to near zero that I can't even begin to calculate it. I'm well aware of the math, or I'd have not asked the question. I know how the current theory about the dinosaur extinction works. I know how the probabilities work. I know the estimates for NEO and the time-frames associated with them.

      Now, provide a citation - that has the math, that shows the probability for an individual is higher than the other risks. Or stop spreading FUD. Facts are better than fear. Unfounded claims are FUD. If you're right then you should be able to show me the math. I do not see the math. I have not yet seen the math. I even went looking for the math - I found nothing even remotely close to the claim. If you absolutely need me to, and pay me for my time, I will do the math for you.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
  38. Also by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Google for Chelyabinsk Asteroid. Sure as hell it was a near-desaster for millions.

  39. I didn't forget to write a stupid title by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This post is spam, links to the "real" article that true to get you to "answer a survey question" to actually read it. Nice going slashdump.

  40. I didn't forget to write a stupid title by ca19 · · Score: 1

    This post is spam, links to the "real" article that true to get you to "answer a survey question" to actually read it. Nice going slashdump.