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US Projected To Lead the World In New Solar Installations This Year (computerworld.com)

Lucas123 writes: The U.S. solar market is expected to grow 120% this year, with 16GW of new solar power, more than double the record-breaking 7.3GW installed in 2015. The total operating solar PV capacity in the U.S. is expected to reach 25.6 gigawatts (billion watts or GW) of direct current (DC) by the end of the year, according to GTM Research's U.S. Solar Market Insight Report 2015 Year in Review. When accounting for all projects (both distributed and centralized), solar accounted for 29.4% of new electric generating capacity installed in the U.S. in 2015, exceeding the total for natural gas for the first time and it will put the U.S. ahead of all other nations with regard to new solar installations for 2016.

314 comments

  1. Lucas123 == mdsolar? by NotInHere · · Score: 0

    are you a sockpuppet?

    1. Re:Lucas123 == mdsolar? by Khyber · · Score: 1

      I am a person of mixed feelings on this.

      On one hand, things need to change. We've got practically unlimited power beaming upon us in areas where life is practically unsustainable and our only real challenge is power transmission from those locations. Advocating for these technologies is a Good Thing.

      On the other hand, I am aware of mdsolar's sockpuppeting. As a person that relies solely upon one ID on any given site to gently 'advertise' I find this sort of potential advertising revenue generation fairly obvious, especially when you check versus various links AND BLOCKED ADVERTISING SOURCES.

      Follow the money. You learn a LOT when you do so.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    2. Re:Lucas123 == mdsolar? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Can't be - I don't see any FUD about nuclear power in the summary. mdsolar can't resist taking a shot at anything nuclear in anything he posts.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  2. Meanwhile in Indian by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It's easier to win if you are screwing the competition: https://slashdot.org/submissio...

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    1. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by Errol+backfiring · · Score: 1

      You beat me to it. Trade agreements, well any agreements, used to be a solution. Nowadays, they are used as weapons. That is definitely not something to be proud of.

      --
      Nae king! Nae laird! Nae yurrupiean pressedent! We willna be fooled again!
    2. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by MyLongNickName · · Score: 2

      You made an asinine comment. The reality is that India put in protectionist rules in place to ensure their folks got jobs and didn't have to compete internationally. Apparently you think it is perfectly acceptable for US tax dollars to go to a project where their own citizens don't have a chance to get some of the work because the Indian government won't allow it.

      The trade agreement specifies that contracts have to be competitive and India chose to ignore this rule. It isn't a really hard concept.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    3. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can't they just use cheap Indian labor like we do?

    4. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by Zocalo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There's clearly a lot of spin in the article linked to by the OP, for instance, they mention that the US has a similar protectionist clause in place, but the US version is apparently OK with the WTO - yet they don't explain why that is, which is a rather crucial point. If the US had somehow manipulated the WTO into letting them do something then used the WTO to stop India doing the same that's entirely different to the US complying with WTO guidelines and India failing to do so. I also suspect there's more to it that just some Ts I simply don't believe the Indian government would scrap a multi-billion dollar project just because they couldn't be bothered to re-tender it without the problematic clause.

      On the other hand, the US *does* have a track record for abusing the WTO to get what's best for the US (along with many other countries), blatantly ignoring WTO rulings that go against it (e.g. online gambling), and the main point of the article, that treaties like TPP are almost certainly going to be abused to enforce what corporates what over what's best for the population at large, is still valid, even if they possibly didn't find the best example of such abuse.

      --
      UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    5. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Justice and law are tools to be used by those in power against those who are powerless, while keeping the naive fools at bay with a dream of equality and the stroking of egos that they too are special and are the equal of their masters.

    6. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is a more nuanced article: http://www.climatechangenews.com/2016/02/25/no-the-wto-did-not-just-kill-indias-solar-industry/

      India was trying to ignore trade agreements since it felt the imports were being dumped below production costs. However, the Indian government is not subsidizing solar in its country the way other countries are.

    7. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by Khyber · · Score: 0

      "The reality is that India put in protectionist rules in place to ensure their folks got jobs and didn't have to compete internationally"

      So you are advocating overriding the law of the land in a sovereign country. Meanwhile, everyone else is trying to OUTSOURCE to that country, which would realistically mean MORE JOBS FOR THAT COUNTRY, which means they want to protect that source of income, like ANY OTHER RATIONAL ENTITY WOULD DO.

      Your view of reality is fucked. Go seek help.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    8. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To be fair if it's anti US then most on slashdot will score it up, whether they understand the concept or not. That's why slashdot is always good for rofl.

    9. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by Khyber · · Score: 1

      "India was trying to ignore trade agreements since it felt the imports were being dumped below production costs."

      They are. China is currently dumping shit so cheap that I can refit four houses with solar + DEEP CYCLE LEAD ACID (that is an important qualifier here) batteries + inverters + wiring + labor to entirely and permanently remove them from the electrical grid for a few grand per home and only a couple grand every 25 years between all those houses for maintenance.

      "However, the Indian government is not subsidizing solar in its country the way other countries are."

      Why should it be required to do so? It is its own sovereign entity, is it not, with nuclear capabilities?

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    10. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by MyLongNickName · · Score: 1

      Ah, Khyber, thank you for gracing us with your insults.

      "So you are advocating overriding the law of the land in a sovereign country"

      When that country entered into a trade agreement they need to abide by it. Not very challenging to understand. If they don't want to abide by the terms of the agreement, then they should withdraw.

      "Your view of reality is fucked. Go seek help."

      Thank you again for your insult. It says a lot about you.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    11. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by Khyber · · Score: 1

      "When that country entered into a trade agreement they need to abide by it."

      When we violate it regularly, you have no fucking place to say anything to the contrary.

      "Thank you again for your insult. It says a lot about you."

      Thank you again for your very lacking world experience (of which I have PLENTY and you can check my passport and taxes regarding it.) It only serves to make us dumber and says EVERYTHING about you.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    12. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by MyLongNickName · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "When we violate it regularly, you have no fucking place to say anything to the contrary."

      Wait. Your argument seems to have flipped 180 degrees. First you were saying that only the country's national laws applied, WTO rules be damned. Now you are saying that you are upset because you perceive that the US ignores the WTO. Rather inconsistent arguing.

      Alleged "violations" (your term) are taken up with the WTO which decides if the complaint has merit and what the appropriate next steps are. This is exactly what happened with India and the United States.

      And the reality is that the WTO rules against the United States often. A couple times each year I'll read about something where the US is found to have violated a rule, the WTO rules against the US and the US is forced to change its trade practices, pay restitution or both. In fact many groups in the US would like to see us out of the WTO because they say it hinders our ability to be competitive in the global market. I am not sure I agree with that, but it does show that the US doesn't simply ignore the WTO as you seem to think.

      And I have viewed your posting history and strongly suggest you get counseling. You are obviously a very hateful person who flies into abusive comments for no reason. Your constant insults are consistent with a person who deep down feels very inferior and uses harsh words to try to cover for it. Truly successful people don't brag about how great they... only insecure people do that. If you behave like this in real life then you will never have any healthy relationships. You may view this as a personal insult, but it is not... simply a deep concern that you are in need of serious help.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    13. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Apparently you think it is perfectly acceptable for US tax dollars to go to a project where their own

      Since when is US tax money going to Indian projects?

      citizens don't have a chance to get some of the work because the Indian government won't allow it.

      Of course thy have a chance to get work there. But not to sell the solar panels.

      Which is plain obvious necessary for the Indians or the american companies simply would get the contracts via bribery/corruption. Yes, that is bottom line an indian problem.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    14. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You made an asinine assumption. Go read the facts.

    15. Re:Meanwhile in Indian by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      US exports to India and the only way the Indians could sell on their own market was to keep the US out? Is this a mirror universe? Since when are US exports cheaper than India's products? Heck, to comply with the WTO they could buy from across the border - China. And the US exports to India dropped by 90% once this restriction was in place!

      Yeah. It has to be a mirror universe.

  3. What is it per person? by houghi · · Score: 5, Insightful

    As the US is bigger than e.g. Denmark, just saying they are largest means not that much to me. Sure, it is a lot, but how much is it per person and where will they be on the list then?

    And 29.4% of new energy sounds nice as well (wind was even higher with 39%), but what is it in the total amount of energy and where is the US in that (trow in wind if you like)

    This reads like the average CEO presentation where a lot of numbers look nice, but mean nothing. At least not really.

    So I would like to see:
    1) Numbers per person.
    2) Compare it to ALL of the energy (including car fuel) not only new installs

    --
    Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    1. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 0

      And you hit the nail on the head. But you didn't even ask the best question...

      How much in tax dollars is being spent to make this happen? More or less, all of that solar (and wind) power is being funded with tax dollars in one form or another. Either with direct rebates, or via tax credits...

      I've looked at investing in utility solar and the return on investment is completely dependent on tax money in one form or another.

      While the new stuff is nice, the real question is, how do you install 100 times this much and pay for it? Because what they have installed is simply noise compared to the totals.

    2. Re:What is it per person? by 110010001000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Lots of things are subsidized by the government and our tax dollars. Like $550,000,000,000 PER YEAR IN DEFENSE SPENDING. More than 20 times the amount of the top 10 biggest spenders COMBINED. I'm not worried about tens of millions in subsidized alternative energy rebates that arguably helps to make our country cleaner. Get a grip people.

    3. Re:What is it per person? by 110010001000 · · Score: 2

      What difference does it make "per person". Not only people consume energy for running their households. Many of these installations are for industrial and commercial purposes. Lets just say the entire world installed 40GW of solar power and 16GW is from the US. Impressive.

    4. Re:What is it per person? by Diss+Champ · · Score: 2

      From the article:
      "The IEA singled out the Middle East as a region where fossil fuel subsidies are hampering renewables. It said 2 million barrels per day of oil are burned to generate power that could otherwise come from renewables, which would be competitive with unsubsidized oil."

      While my general view on this is that my govt should get out of the habit of subsidizing any particular energy source, quoting an article focused on what govts on the Middle East are up to is hardly a fair reason to call someone a "dumb shit" when they are arguing over what the US govt is up to. You could redeem yourself by finding an article on the ways the US subsidizes the other energy sources if you like- that would be on topic and interesting instead of abusive.

      I think that ideally, one would regulate and tax various methods exactly the right amount to normalize for externalities, and go from there. Figuring out the proper cost of the externalities is where it can get crazy of course, and where special interests get right back in the door.

    5. Re:What is it per person? by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      I'm not worried about tens of millions in subsidized alternative energy rebates that arguably helps to make our country cleaner.

      Fair enough, but its closer to $10 billion per year than tens of millions.

    6. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Lots of things are subsidized by the government and our tax dollars. Like $550,000,000,000 PER YEAR IN DEFENSE SPENDING. More than 20 times the amount of the top 10 biggest spenders COMBINED. I'm not worried about tens of millions in subsidized alternative energy rebates that arguably helps to make our country cleaner. Get a grip people.

      While that is true, it is worth noting that the spending on defense is in fact the primary purpose of our federal government, it is right in the Constitution.

      Spending on solar panels is not. It also isn't a few tens of millions a year, it is closer to a few tens of BILLIONS a year.

      However, even that number is fairly small when all things are considered.

      The REAL point is that if solar ever takes off for real, it'll have to do so on its own. The current government support for solar could never last if it started to get deployed in a serious way, because then it would start to cost what the defense budget costs.

      The next question is: "Is this the best way to replace coal, oil, and natural gas power?" I would submit that we could outright give away a free nuclear power planet each year for the cost of all this solar, and in reality, if we simply provided $5 billion towards the cost of each plant, we might get 3 a year built.

      What brings more value to us, the solar we are getting or 3 new nuclear power plants a year? That is a separate debate, but I think it is one worth having.

    7. Re:What is it per person? by Zocalo · · Score: 1

      Per-capita is all but meaningless for things like this (water consumption being another) where most of the consumption is by industry, agriculture and so on. The impact of 16GW distributed across the ~320m people in the US is completely different from 16GW distributed across the same population in somewhere like India or China, and different again if those 320m people were located in Africa. %age of GDP, or even %age of new power supply installs, might make more sense, but I suspect that won't look quite so rosy given the massive defence budget and amount being spent on other energy sources, but ~3/8 of the global installations in a given year *is* impressive though, no matter how you slice and dice it.

      --
      UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    8. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What does it matter though? Is this some sort of pissing match? Surly if the goal is to move to renewable energy sources and emit less carbon, it doesn't matter how is doing the most per capita but how much in total is being removed? Standard optimization. If Denmark is producing 1% of the total CO2 and reduced their output by 50%, that's still inferior for the planet if the US is producing 25% of all CO2 and they reduce their output by 5%.

      Hell, it's great that the US is moving towards renewables, but even that's no help if China and India move in to replace what the US stopped producing. Ultimately this nationalistic BS needs to stop, and everybody needs to realize that everybody needs to reduce. Pointing fingers at any one group is pointless and counterproductive.

    9. Re:What is it per person? by ThosLives · · Score: 1

      What puzzles me about the economics of solar and wind is how solar and wind can cost so much even though they have minimal running costs. That is, all the cost of solar and wind is fixed cost (plus maintenance); there is no recurring fuel cost.

      Especially with wind, I don't understand why costs are so high, except for the fact that all the manufacturers have to do is price their product just slightly below conventional energy; it's the old "price what the market will bear" rather than "let's price it at what it costs, so people will get the benefits faster" tradeoff.

      That said - I'd rather my tax dollars be invested in "clean" energy than in other things.

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    10. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The USA are an electricity hog: with only 5% of the world population the USA consume 25% of the world electricty.
      More to the point, the USA are well behind on "renewals" as a source for energy production (not just electricity but energy overall) at about 11% of the total.
      To provide a comparison, consider that solar and wind are much less able at producing electricity when compared to nuclear, coal and natural gas (figures for specific efficiency and load factor of these are available on the web). This might change in favor of solar and wind as technology improves...
      In any case, 25 GW of solar capacity is roughly equivalent to 12 TWh/year which is a mere 0.3% of total electricity production in the USA or thereabout... see https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=427&t=3 for more details...

    11. Re:What is it per person? by tsqr · · Score: 1

      Lots of things are subsidized by the government and our tax dollars. Like $550,000,000,000 PER YEAR IN DEFENSE SPENDING.

      DoD procurement spending, which is what I assume you're referring to as subsidized by the government and our tax dollars, was just over $102 billion in 2015. Federal subsidies for electricity-related renewable energy increased 54% to $13.2 billion from 2010 to 2013, and has no doubt increased significantly since then. Doesn't seem too out of whack to me.

    12. Re:What is it per person? by merky1 · · Score: 1

      Renewable cost so much to develop and manufacture and little to operate over time. For example, Wind Energy requires significant engineering and materials to deal with the stresses in the blades. Also, braking the blades in emergencies is a significant challenge. And solar is in its infancy for large scale usage.

      So while you remove the fuel costs, the initial startup costs are much higher for renewables. And the materials are much more complex than simple furnaces and boilers.

      --
      --WooooHoooo--
    13. Re:What is it per person? by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      While my general view on this is that my govt should get out of the habit of subsidizing any particular energy source, quoting an article focused on what govts on the Middle East are up to is hardly a fair reason to call someone a "dumb shit" when they are arguing over what the US govt is up to.

      There have been plenty of articles posted in here about just how much the US subsidizes fossil fuel. A little searching might find the actual numbers which I've posted - I'm just not where I can do the research - again - right now. As for unfair comparisons, proponents of solar have had to bear a lot of criticism regarding how the Chinese subsidized solar panel production, so middle east subsidized fossil fuel production is a fair comparison - unless we don't use any of it.

      The point is, for all of the handwringing about the evilz of solar power subsidies - Why should they be different that every other power source, including nuclear? Especially nuclear.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    14. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While that is true, it is worth noting that the spending on defense is in fact the primary purpose of our federal government, it is right in the Constitution.

      The primary purpose? No. That's not quite right, I'd say "a" primary purpose, not "the" as the Preamble lists several:

      We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.

      Spending on solar panels is not.

      Is it forbidden? No. Could the US government buy solar panels for its own buildings? Certainly, and it is already doing so. Can the Federal government put solar panels on its own land? Well, since they could build dams for hydroelectric production, you'll have to argue for a difference with solar panels. Can the US government collect taxes? Yes. Is it forbidden for the US government to offer tax rebates for performing certain actions? Not so far as I've seen. And this way transcends the specific issue of solar panels, as things like home purchases, business expenses, and more are covered under similar precepts.

      Sorry, FlyHelicopters, you won't get anywhere with raising a Constitutional issue. No matter how hard you try, you're fighting the wrong game. You wouldn't be able to achieve your goal without pissing off far too many people anyway.

      Even if you were in the right, which is arguable.

      It also isn't a few tens of millions a year, it is closer to a few tens of BILLIONS a year.

      However, even that number is fairly small when all things are considered.

      The REAL point is that if solar ever takes off for real, it'll have to do so on its own.

      Why? Did the fossil fuel industry take off on its own? Here's a hint: It did not.

      Nor even electrification. Or nuclear power. All of them have had significant support from the federal, state, and local governments.

      If you're so concerned about solar, can we have that money back? It's only fair. I'd also like to be able to get the land back that the government confiscated for a transmission line.

      Of course, we should ALSO collect more money from the fossil fuel industry for the harm it has caused the environment, when can we expect that liability to be collected?

      The current government support for solar could never last if it started to get deployed in a serious way, because then it would start to cost what the defense budget costs.

      The next question is: "Is this the best way to replace coal, oil, and natural gas power?" I would submit that we could outright give away a free nuclear power planet each year for the cost of all this solar, and in reality, if we simply provided $5 billion towards the cost of each plant, we might get 3 a year built.

      What brings more value to us, the solar we are getting or 3 new nuclear power plants a year? That is a separate debate, but I think it is one worth having.

      We had that debate. Did you miss it?

      There have been plenty of subsidies towards nuclear power plants. In fact, the 2005 Energy Policy Act provided for some 15-20 billion in support for nuclear power. I believe we're still working on the plants that were put in construction after that. Well, except for Watts Bar Unit 2, which was put in mothballs rather than finished by the TVA in the 1980s. Vogtle 3&4 might come on-line in 2019.

      See, the thing you don't grasp is that Nuclear plants are large affairs, they take a lot of time to be sited, let alone actually built, so it'd be a decade before anything even began to change in the US's power profile with subsidies towards it.

      Conversely, Wind and Solar, can be micro-units, which means a steady investment, and not just by large companies, but individuals

    15. Re:What is it per person? by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      I'm not worried about tens of millions in subsidized alternative energy rebates that arguably helps to make our country cleaner.

      Fair enough, but its closer to $10 billion per year than tens of millions.

      Last I checked that number, it not only wasn't for a year, but almost 2 decades, and a large part went into "alternative" energies like oil and coal (making them "cleaner").

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    16. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 2

      While my general view on this is that my govt should get out of the habit of subsidizing any particular energy source

      I tend to agree there...

      I wouldn't have said it 5 years ago, but today I think I'd rather simply have a carbon tax and no subsides for anything. Rather than try and pick winners, pick the losers and let the market sort out the winners.

      Start the carbon tax of REALLY small, but with a slow and steady rampup published way in advance over the next 50 years, so that people would understand that while tomorrow it is nearly nothing, in 5 years it is a small something and in 25 years it is a big something and in 50 years it is a crazy big something.

      If you double the price of gas tomorrow, you just crush the economy and actually make things worse, it takes time for people to shift. So maybe you need carbon taxes to add a penny this year, 2 pennies next year, 4 the year after that, and so on, until it is maybe $2 a gallon in 30 years. If everyone knows that today, there is at least a chance that action will be taken before 30 years arrives.

      Or at least I could hope. :)

    17. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > What brings more value to us, the solar we are getting or 3 new nuclear power plants a year? That is a separate debate, but I think it is one worth having.

      Too late. Nuclear is dead, whether it makes sense or not. Time to move on.

    18. Re:What is it per person? by CaptainLard · · Score: 2

      While that is true, it is worth noting that the spending on defense is in fact the primary purpose of our federal government, it is right in the Constitution.

      Maybe time to read it again....

      http://www.archives.gov/exhibi...

      Article 1, section 8 lays out congress' jobs and it actually lists 8 things including the post office and "patents" before talking about the military. The primary purpose of the federal government is to enable a functioning state of which a military is surely a part but there is much more to it than that, thank goodness. If you look around the world, bad things happen when the military always comes first.

    19. Re:What is it per person? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      While that is true, it is worth noting that the spending on defense is in fact the primary purpose of our federal government, it is right in the Constitution.

      So throw a dollar at the military complex and call the constitution done for the year. The defence of the US government fiscal budget is absolutely mind-boggling.

    20. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The government spent about $40billion on subsidising green power. Over 95% of that went to clean coal + nuclear + corn subsidies for bioethanol. Dunno how much of the rest wen on hydroelectric dams.

    21. Re:What is it per person? by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      What brings more value to us, the solar we are getting or 3 new nuclear power plants a year?

      Given that the nuclear plants cost us money to build and then cost us money again to decommission, and can easily get us into a position where we're losing money on them if something goes wrong, that should be an easy one. And if we had made that decision intelligently in the 1970s, then we'd have a whole hell of a lot more solar in the field today. It was economically viable back then if only the subsidies given to other, more harmful power generation technologies had been diverted in its direction.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    22. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      What puzzles me about the economics of solar and wind is how solar and wind can cost so much even though they have minimal running costs. That is, all the cost of solar and wind is fixed cost (plus maintenance); there is no recurring fuel cost.

      It is the upfront costs that ruin it. Fuel is actually not that expensive purchased in bulk.

      Also, you have to consider the wholesale price of power, not retail.

      While my office pays 7 cents per kWh, half of that is for the actual power, the other half is for the delivery of the power. I'm actually paying close to wholesale for power, about 3.5 cents per kWh.

      When I'm quoted 10 cents per kWh for wind, it is actually 6.5 cents for the power and 3.5 cents for delivery. My delivery cost is the same 3.5 cents regardless of power source.

      Those wind turbines have to be put somewhere, that land has to be leased, the power has to be moved, and someone had to build and support those huge turbines.

    23. Re:What is it per person? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      What puzzles me about the economics of solar and wind is how solar and wind can cost so much even though they have minimal running costs. That is, all the cost of solar and wind is fixed cost (plus maintenance); there is no recurring fuel cost.

      Two reasons, subsidies and externalized costs. If big oil (etc.) didn't get subsidized and double extra especially if fossil fuel producers had to pay for CO2 release (etc.) then solar would be dramatically cheaper.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    24. Re:What is it per person? by penguinoid · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Lots of things are subsidized by the government and our tax dollars. Like $550,000,000,000 PER YEAR IN DEFENSE SPENDING. More than 20 times the amount of the top 10 biggest spenders COMBINED. I'm not worried about tens of millions in subsidized alternative energy rebates that arguably helps to make our country cleaner. Get a grip people.

      While that is true, it is worth noting that the spending on defense is in fact the primary purpose of our federal government, it is right in the Constitution.

      Spending on solar panels is not.

      Isn't spending on solar the same as spending on defense, security-wise? Isn't our need for oil, and our giving tons of money to countries which hate us, one of the major reasons we need so much defense?

      Energy self-sufficiency is national security.

      --
      Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
    25. Re:What is it per person? by ThosLives · · Score: 1

      I maintain that's an consequence of choosing to try and build "utility-scale" windmills (like the 500MW, 200m-long blade beast I recently read about) instead of much simpler, smaller "neighborhood-scale" supplies. If it costs 10x as much to make a giant windmill with 5% more efficiency than the equivalent collection of smaller, cheaper windmills, it's economically terrible to choose the giant one. It's not like heat-engine plants where paying for efficiency makes sense because you're reducing operating costs.

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    26. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Isn't spending on solar the same as spending on defense, security-wise? Isn't our need for oil, and our giving tons of money to countries which hate us, one of the major reasons we need so much defense?

      Not really, because solar replaces coal, not oil.

      Oil provides 5% of our electricity, Coal provides over 40%.

      Most of the oil we use goes to gas for our cars, and solar doesn't power our cars. Yea, yea, EVs and all, but EVs won't be a major thing for decades.

      Energy self-sufficiency is national security.

      We are there already, if we want to be. We have plenty of coal, oil, and natural gas to meet our needs. But keep in mind that oil is easily moved, which is why it is a world wide commodity. It is why oil pumped in Alaska often doesn't go to the US, because it is cheaper to ship it to Japan than it is to ship it to Texas.

      If the US somehow closed our borders tomorrow and refused all trade, we could meet all our energy needs. But that doesn't help unless we REALLY close our borders, because what happens around the world affects our economy. That is just the modern world we live in.

    27. Re:What is it per person? by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      No, it is a fiscal year estimate. And its all for renewables, not oil or coal.

    28. Re:What is it per person? by Khyber · · Score: 2

      "I'm not worried about tens of millions in subsidized alternative energy rebates that arguably helps to make our country cleaner."

      I actually love it and would encourage more of it. I just bought a fuckton of 99-cent 9w LED bulbs. They're great with 90+l/w (92 by my measurements) 3000K 92CRI. Every single fixture that has an E26/27 socket has one in it. If I include my LED-lit aquarium and patio, I can keep my entire house lit 24/7 for ~$0.42/day.

      From there, my only real power usage is cooking and computers and AC, and with computers getting much more efficient, the only real power hogs are the electrical cooking elements and AC, and with the lighting and computing power requirements dropping like a rock, the need to run my AC to compensate, even in the SoCal desert, drops dramatically. The overall power savings from subsidized LED lighting alone when you factor in other costs of things like heat elimination and replacement needs totally makes up for the subsidy. This is smart usage of our tax dollars.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    29. Re:What is it per person? by Khyber · · Score: 1

      Then you haven't checked recently:

      "On Friday, Congress passed legislation making the solar investment tax credit (ITC) available for several years and creating a new production tax credit for wind power projects.

      The solar ITC, which was scheduled to expire at the end of 2016, was extended for as many as eight years as part of a $1.15 trillion spending bill."

      http://www.forbes.com/sites/wi... - December 18, 2015 - not even 4 months ago.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    30. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Stats for 2015 say that the USA is at 5.4% of electricity production by renewables sources versus Europe at 12.7%
      https://www.iea.org/media/statistics/surveys/electricity/mes.pdf

    31. Re:What is it per person? by houghi · · Score: 1

      The USA are an electricity hog: with only 5% of the world population the USA consume 25% of the world electricty.
      More to the point, the USA are well behind on "renewals" as a source for energy production (not just electricity but energy overall) at about 11% of the total.
      To provide a comparison, consider that solar and wind are much less able at producing electricity when compared to nuclear, coal and natural gas (figures for specific efficiency and load factor of these are available on the web). This might change in favor of solar and wind as technology improves...
      In any case, 25 GW of solar capacity is roughly equivalent to 12 TWh/year which is a mere 0.3% of total electricity production in the USA or thereabout... see https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs... for more details...

      Replying as this is interesting and you posted as AC and some people might miss it.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    32. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 0

      It was economically viable back then if only the subsidies given to other, more harmful power generation technologies had been diverted in its direction.

      The problem with your post is that this is simply wrong.

      It isn't economically viable TODAY, much less 40 years ago.

      Solar is NOT the solution to coal. It wasn't then, it isn't today. The longer you spend thinking it is, the more coal will get burned.

    33. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Defense spending is loaded with pork. I was getting a monthly email from my John McCain, and he'd openly brag about keeping all kinds of nonsense in the budget because it kept jobs in the defense industry.

      If we can afford welfare for Lockheed we can afford some solar. And in actual real life, the power grid is part of national security, same for road and bridges, ports, datacenters, water supplies, etc.

      You can't separate defense into tanks and not tanks in 2016.

    34. Re:What is it per person? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      If you read the Constitution, you'll find that defense is one of the primary requirements for the Federal Government to provide. Funding for solar (or other power sources), not so much... In fact, defense is about 20% of Federal spending; about 70% of Federal spending is on welfare, Social Security, and Medicare/Medicaid. Eliminating 100% of defense spending (which would be unconstitutional) would still leave us with a ~$600 billion/yr deficit.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    35. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sure you could wedge it in general welfare or interstate commerce clause.

      Seriously, though, if you're going to blather about constitutionality we'll talk about the last time the US actually declared war. That, and those recent wars were really about securing energy independence.

      Which is what solar is too. Energy independence. But better.

      Nuclear is, frankly, a shitty deal. Expensive to build. Politically a pain in the ass (Nobody wants them in their back yard). Really really really dangerous if improperly run (Or lazily/cheaply - Look at what happened in Fukashima. That was pure cost-cutting negligence) They're expensive to run and are, in reality, heavily subsidized. (They run off fuel we originally spent billions on during the cold war for making bombs.) Decommissioning nuclear plants is a HUGE hidden costs and usually hits tax payers for billions. Then there's storing spent fuel, wich is expensive and even harder to deal with politically then all of the above.

      Pebble bed reactors are a joke. Thorium reactors will never happen. All those slashdot circlejerk nuclear techs really aren't economical.

      Solar is here and solar is now. It's cheap and getting cheaper.It's not just the panels. The high power control/switching/regulation electronics are cheap. Battery storage is getting cheaper.

      I'd rather we spend money on subsidizing solar cells than sending American soldiers to some sun scorched hellhole so we can install friendly governments that give us a better deal on oil. It's cheaper, more ethical, and better for the environment.

    36. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm impressed that they're installing more than China in 2016, which has been rolling out renewable generation at a high pace lately.

    37. Re:What is it per person? by Grishnakh · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Most of the oil we use goes to gas for our cars, and solar doesn't power our cars. Yea, yea, EVs and all, but EVs won't be a major thing for decades.

      Teslas and Leafs are already proving that EVs are perfectly viable right now, just a bit too expensive compared to comparable gas cars and not that suitable for road trips. Cars like the GM Volt (50-mile range plug-in hybrid) are also very viable, not using any gas for commuting but still allowing road trips. Battery costs are coming down so pretty soon EVs will make even more sense for commuters. However, cheap gas hampers adoption; if gas taxes were jacked up a lot to account for the true costs of gasoline cars to society, EVs would become a lot more popular.

      With a lot more EVs on the road, power generation switching to renewable sources will have a big effect on oil demand.

    38. Re:What is it per person? by rvw14 · · Score: 1

      How much in tax dollars is being spent to make this happen?

      You are right. The tax incentives were the reason that I could afford to put solar on my house 4 years ago.

    39. Re:What is it per person? by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      Then you haven't checked recently:

      "On Friday, Congress passed legislation making the solar investment tax credit (ITC) available for several years and creating a new production tax credit for wind power projects.

      The solar ITC, which was scheduled to expire at the end of 2016, was extended for as many as eight years as part of a $1.15 trillion spending bill."

      http://www.forbes.com/sites/wi... - December 18, 2015 - not even 4 months ago.

      I don't believe you because you linked to Forbes.com - and I don't have the time to dive through the ad-blocker-blocker bullshit and the malware.

      Also "as part of a bill" means that probably 90% of the $1.15 trillion was going to something totally unrelated. Spread over several years again.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    40. Re:What is it per person? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I hear your screams!
      Must be hell to live in a country where the government is not allowed to spend money on stuff that makes sense.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    41. Re:What is it per person? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 0

      The REAL point is that if solar ever takes off for real, it'll have to do so on its own
      Why? Why?
      Sorry, I don't get it!
      Which idiot put this braindead idea into the populace of the united states?

      Why is everything required to do it "by its own"? If I could time travel and find that idiot responsible for sreading this stupid attitude: I would just kill him.

      Nothing which is existing right now took of by its own ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    42. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More than 20 times the amount of the top 10 biggest spenders COMBINED.

      Perhaps of the "allies" of the US would stop parasitizing it. It's time they paid their own way!

    43. Re:What is it per person? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      It isn't economically viable TODAY, much less 40 years ago.
      If your only argument is German power costs per kWh versus Americans: you are simply wrong.

      Solar power is cost effective since I first dug into it, and that was something like 33 years ago. Or more, might be I'm bad with math ... oh, 35 years.

      Solar is NOT the solution to coal. It wasn't then, it isn't today. The longer you spend thinking it is, the more coal will get burned.
      Actually it is the best replacement for coal. As it is automatically load following the big picture of the load curve. That is what right now coal plants are doing. Or do american nukes load follow? I don't think so.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    44. Re:What is it per person? by ThosLives · · Score: 1

      Those wind turbines have to be put somewhere, that land has to be leased, the power has to be moved, and someone had to build and support those huge turbines.

      Right, but that is my point: any power system requires land costs. And electrical machines and distribution, etc. are basically the same no matter what the prime mover is.

      So my question for wind is - why is a tower and some blades and some brakes and what should be a trivially simple control system so expensive compared to a combustion machine?

      For solar there are a bit more pieces, but inverters and such aren't "rocket science" and you would think they should be dime-a-dozen by now, and you don't even have moving pieces. But solar PV is still relatively expensive, and solar thermal is kind of the worst of all worlds (I understand why that is expensive, you need lots of land plus a thermal plant).

      I guess it's just wind that baffles me - why people pay so much for turbine machinery especially.

      But maybe my question is bigger than just "power" - why is construction so darn expensive in general, when labor costs are essentially flat and we have increased automation? I'm guessing it all boils down to regulatory capture, because the barriers to market entry are so high.

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    45. Re:What is it per person? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Depends.

      There are plenty of factors.

      E.g. when you have on roof top hight zero wind, you still might have decent wind in 300m hight above ground (and +200m blade length makes that 500m).

      In other words: a whole town with small turbines might produce close to zero power if the wind is perceived to be still, while at the exact same time and place a few dozen big turbines simply continue and look fine.

      The main reason why wind has the bad reputation of low CFs is simply because historically people placed plants where ever they could for subsidies etc. e.g. on your own land if you where a farmer. Bottom line as a wind mill owner you only check how much money you invest and with what profit you get it back when ever. CFs don't interest you.

      Now big wind mills are placed off shore, where they have more wind and more constantly wind, hence the costs of placing them are mich higher.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    46. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you look at it per capita, US is eleventh on the list.

      Top ten are
      Iceland
      Trinidad and Tobago
      Qatar
      Kuwait
      Luxembourg
      Brunei Darussalam
      United Arab Emirates
      Bahrain
      Canada
      Oman

      Also I believe the US is #1 in per capita GDP/kwh so it is using the energy most efficiently.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_energy_consumption_per_capita

    47. Re:What is it per person? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      That's still $10B that is far more wisely spent on renewable energy then buying bombs or building pork projects to get some congress critter's vote on other pork.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    48. Re:What is it per person? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Giving something a larger subsidy in order to make it economically viable, by definition, means it isn't economically viable.

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      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    49. Re:What is it per person? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Is anyone actually arguing that nuclear needs to load follow? Isn't that what natural gas peaking plants do today, over the top of base-load coal-fired generation?

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      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    50. Re:What is it per person? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      At least with solar, it turns out that manufacturing many square feet of semiconductors per install is expensive. It will still pay off easily over the installed lifetime, but most people aren't interested in a 5+ year ROI for some reason.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    51. Re:What is it per person? by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      While that is true, it is worth noting that the spending on defense is in fact the primary purpose of our federal government, it is right in the Constitution.

      Defense of the country yes. Defense and security of oil travel around the world, not so much. Better than 1/4 of defense spending goes to securing the movement of oil around the world.

      Spending on solar panels is not. It also isn't a few tens of millions a year, it is closer to a few tens of BILLIONS a year.

      Not even close. There is almost no direct subsidy, all the subsidies are tax credits that defer otherwise payable taxes. These tax credits are about 1/10th the credits allocated to oil alone and 1/10th that given to coal.

      The REAL point is that if solar ever takes off for real, it'll have to do so on its own.

      It has taken off "for real" and the tax credits fade each year starting in 2018 and will be gone by 2022. Costs have fallen so significantly that if trends are retained solar will be cheaper than coal without subsidy on the solar and with coals subsidies remaining. Wind is already cheaper.

      The current government support for solar could never last if it started to get deployed in a serious way, because then it would start to cost what the defense budget costs.

      You have no concept of the scale of the credits, they are insignificant in the comparison to the defense budget, not even 1% of the budget.

      The next question is: "Is this the best way to replace coal, oil, and natural gas power?" I would submit that we could outright give away a free nuclear power planet each year for the cost of all this solar, and in reality, if we simply provided $5 billion towards the cost of each plant, we might get 3 a year built.

      Your pricing on nuclear is also WAY off. The plant nearest to completion in the most recent building cycle has cost $9 Billion and isn't finished yet. The only way nuclear can be built is if the government forces the local rate payers to pay for it. And that's a subsidy any way you look at it.

    52. Re:What is it per person? by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      Wind costs so high? maybe a decade ago, not now.

      How Low Can Wind Energy Go? 2.5Â Per Kilowatt-Hour Is Just The Beginning | CleanTechnica

      And there is plenty of competition in the wind turbine market.

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    53. Re:What is it per person? by hey! · · Score: 1

      The history of Federal support for research, especially into agriculture and medicine, goes well back into the 1800s, back to the 1860s establishment of land grant universities (including MIT and Cornell). The earliest research project I know of that was funded by the Federal Government was the Lewis and Clark expedition. Even if you don't count geography per se as "science" (a modern viewpoint), the expedition had significant natural history goals. Lewis and Clarke received extensive mission preparation by the American Philosophical (i.e., scientific) Society

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    54. Re:What is it per person? by hey! · · Score: 1

      Well, different measures tell you different things. The total installations being done is actually much more interesting to you if you're a solar manufacturer, because it tells you the size of the market - a market with uniform standards and commercial laws and language. The fraction that is of all the new energy generation being installed is also useful because it gives you some idea of how much headroom there is to expand the market.

      Let's say you've got a solar technology that allows you undercut most competitors. A situation where there's enough solar being sold to make it credible to buyers and room to expand the market is very happy situation for you.

      The per capita number solar installations on the other hand tells you pretty much nothing of interest. It's more of a curiosity.

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      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    55. Re:What is it per person? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Is anyone actually arguing that nuclear needs to load follow?
      Not in this thread/article, but usually always when solar power comes up.

      over the top of base-load coal-fired generation?
      Coal fired plants are usually load following. Ramping up when the nation awakes and ramping down when people go to sleep. Slightly reacting to the whole day changes as the 2PM till 4PM small valley in the load curve.

      Isn't that what natural gas peaking plants do today
      Those plants are "load balancing". Only adjusting to the small picture, minute by minute changes in power consumption.

      Depending on your grid infrastructure ofc coal plants can be used to react relatively quickly. So they are a cross breed of load following and balancing plants. Nevertheless you always will have some pumped storage and/or gas turbines for balancing as coal plants are to slow in reacting.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    56. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In fact, defense is about 20% of Federal spending; about 70% of Federal spending is on welfare, Social Security, and Medicare/Medicaid. Eliminating 100% of defense spending (which would be unconstitutional) would still leave us with a ~$600 billion/yr deficit.

      Thanks for showing the lies that are made possible in conflating accounts, by your statement, 69% of spending could be on SS and M/M, while only 1% on welfare, and it'd still be true. But regardless of the actual percentage, Social Security and Medicare/Medicaid are not paid for with income taxes, but separate taxes that are linked to the programs themselves. Putting them together with the rest of the budget is misleading. They are called mandatory spending for a reason. And actually, you didn't define welfare, so who knows what you're including in that category. If I were interested in being witty, I'd say 100% of federal spending should be on welfare, but I know that'd be too asinine to be anything but a mockery.

      Anyway, bad presentation of numbers on you part. Even if accurate, they're misleading when examined in further detail.

      You might be able to argue you could do better than Social Security, or even Medicare/Medicaid (and putting them together is an issue too), but if you eliminated them, they wouldn't reduce the deficit, it'd just be money going back to the people, which they'd need to spend on their own continuing expenses.

      If you want to reduce the deficit, then just raise taxes anyway. That'd be honest. But any mix that confuses SS and even Medicare together with the rest of federal spending is a deceit.

      And even some welfare goes to the DOD, a surprising number of soldiers get food stamps for their families.

      But you should at least define what you consider to be welfare programs, and not conflate accounts.

      Now you might say the same about the remarks made about defense spending, but you did no better on your correction.

    57. Re:What is it per person? by GodelEscherBlecch · · Score: 1

      No disagreement that solar should have a bigger role, but that's not quite how load following works in general. I think maybe what you are saying is that solar's output naturally tracks approximately with load(?), but I wouldn't agree with that either since it peaks mid-day and peak demand is mornings and evenings.

      <pedantry>

      Technically speaking, almost nothing follows load as a real time quantity. Most everything follows a forecast of load (including nuclear), and since load following is a function of the system as a whole not individual generators, this allows the generation dispatch optimization engines to easily incorporate even slow ramping resources like nuclear into an accurate total dispatch. Nuclear may not move fast, but we don't really need it to because it is used to supply a more or less constant base of the load curve.

      Different load forecast algorithms (say, one each for T-1 day, T-1 hour, and T-5 minutes) are revised and re-incorporated into the generation dispatch engine along with current weather data leading up to real time, which offers plenty of opportunities in that lead up to keep slow-ramping generation in line with the load curve. Usually unless there is a major anomaly, the only resources being called on to correct for load in a short-term responsive fashion are certain low/medium output fast-ramp/fast-start units which have elected in to a program designated for this purpose (for which they are paid handsomely when needed, thus making this the casino section of the energy market). Solar is generally not even eligible for these programs because they require a guaranteed/certified response time and output level.

      Also, this is not a horseshoes and hand grenades situation, so following the 'big picture' of load is not really all that useful as a property. Solar's utility lies in it's renewable nature and its low long term operation cost, not so much in it's ability to be a key player in grid frequency-keeping. Solar and wind are in fact exponentially harder to incorporate into grid solutions than their dirty cousins. If they weren't so important from an ecological standpoint most of us who have to deal with this stuff would prefer they did not exist.

      </pedantry>

    58. Re:What is it per person? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Spending on solar panels is not [in the Constitution]. It also isn't a few tens of millions a year, it is closer to a few tens of BILLIONS a year.

      Having the Federal government spend money for general welfare is in the Constitution. Look it up sometime. There is no restriction given in the Constitution, other than for the general welfare.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    59. Re:What is it per person? by kellymcdonald78 · · Score: 1

      Canada doesn't hate you that much

    60. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      It has taken off "for real"

      You have a funny way of seeing "for real".

      No it isn't, it still isn't even 1% of our total power. All the easy, low hanging fruit is being done, at some point it will run into issues of scale, cost, and system stability.

      Wind, on the other hand, is "for real" and a decent chunk of power, but it still is under 5% and while we might get it to 10%, I have a hard time seeing it much higher than that, due to the need for system stability and 24/7 power.

      You have no concept of the scale of the credits, they are insignificant in the comparison to the defense budget, not even 1% of the budget.

      I have more idea of it than you think I do. And it has nothing to do with defense, those are two different things. And should solar take off "for real", then those amounts would add a few zeros and become a big issue. But without those tax dollars, solar makes no sense.

      Your pricing on nuclear is also WAY off. The plant nearest to completion in the most recent building cycle has cost $9 Billion and isn't finished yet. The only way nuclear can be built is if the government forces the local rate payers to pay for it. And that's a subsidy any way you look at it.

      I never said $5 billion would buy a nuclear plant, I said it would help pay for it, much like they are helping pay for solar. Give Nuclear a 30% government tax credit and see them become interesting again.

      And as for subsidy, that's fine, nuclear is better than coal and it is the only thing that could actually replace coal. In the sense of ZERO coal being burned. Solar and Wind cannot do that.

    61. Re:What is it per person? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Actually the founding fathers were so against a standing army that they required the Congress to reauthorize expenditures for it every new Congress (2 years). Social Security and Medicare are not welfare but self funding insurance programs. Any one who earns wages contributes to the fund with the expectation they will get their part of it when their time comes.

    62. Re:What is it per person? by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Fine, i was just point out the error. I'm not sure I agree with the 'it doesn't matter because we're already spending a lot of money' rationalization, but a lot of folks seem to like that one. I'm OK with subsidies on energy, I don't like the the poor vision we have though, and I'd prefer we at least tried to spend effectively.

    63. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      So my question for wind is - why is a tower and some blades and some brakes and what should be a trivially simple control system so expensive compared to a combustion machine?

      It isn't, for one of them.

      Have you done the math for how much power an average coal plant puts out, how much land it uses, vs. the same amount of power from wind, and how much land it uses and how many you need?

      In Texas for example, an average coal plant might put out 1,500 MW of power. Compare that to an average wind farm that may put out 500 MW of power. To make that power requires about 300 wind turbines.

      https://upload.wikimedia.org/w...

      ^ Example of such a turbine.

      Now find land for 300 of those, wire them up, install and maintain them, and there you go.

      The actual cost of fuel for a coal plant is not really that big of a deal. It isn't free, but it isn't massive either.

      https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs...

      It takes about 1 pound of coal to make 1 KWh.

      http://www.eia.gov/Energyexpla...

      Coal costs about $45 per ton delivered to a power plant, or about 2.25 cents per pound, or about 2.2 cents per KWh for the fuel.

      Once you have built the plant, selling the power for 3.5 cents per KWh wholesale can work, if you control your costs. It doesn't make building new coal plants very exciting for investors, which is why new coal isn't being built much, but existing coal, with existing plants, makes a lot of economic sense.

    64. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Teslas and Leafs are already proving that EVs are perfectly viable right now

      No, they aren't. They are proving that a very, very small subset of car buyers are willing to make a statement with their car choices.

      There is no evidence that car buyers in general will embrace them. The number of EVs sold is a rounding error. It will go up a bit, but there is no assurance it will become anything close to half of the cars sold.

      Cars like the GM Volt (50-mile range plug-in hybrid) are also very viable, not using any gas for commuting but still allowing road trips.

      It is viable in theory, they have to get the cost down before it really is in reality. The Volt is a small compact car that costs double what a gas powered version costs. It makes no sense unless it is a "statement purchase".

      Battery costs are coming down so pretty soon EVs will make even more sense for commuters.

      They are, but not to the extent required. They have to drop by an order of magnitude to do that. I'll be thrilled if it happens, but we'll have to wait for it.

      However, cheap gas hampers adoption

      And now you found the REAL problem. Lets say that 10% of all cars sold were EVs. That is more than 10 times the current number, but lets just pretend. That would mean a reduction in demand for gas by perhaps a similar 10%. When supply stays the same but demand drops, the price drops. Sure, supply will have to shrink a bit as well, but as the price of gas drops, the remaining 90% of buyers keep buying cheaper gas cars to run on cheap gas.

      And this is just the US market. Oil and Gas are easily to ship world-wide, if the US and EU don't burn it, Brazil and India will. The Earth doesn't care where it is burned, so unless you can stop it burning world-wide, you're just exporting the problem.

      if gas taxes were jacked up a lot to account for the true costs of gasoline cars to society, EVs would become a lot more popular.

      Yes, but that is a political non-starter. I actually DO think gas taxes should go up, to pay for our roads and bridges that are a mess. They can't even get a 10 cent increase in gas taxes passed, they sure as heck aren't going to get a carbon tax passed.

      Besides, if you raise gas prices to $5/gallon you'll put us right back into a recession, and no politician wants that.

      With a lot more EVs on the road, power generation switching to renewable sources will have a big effect on oil demand.

      That is a monster assumption. Even if EV sales DID jump 10 fold over today, it wouldn't put a major number of EVs on the road for 10 years. People keep cars on average for more than 10 years in the US, longer in other nations. Just because YOU buy a new EV tomorrow doesn't mean your old car is crushed and melted. Someone else will drive it for years.

      If the entire world-wide car production instantly and magically changed to EV production TOMORROW, without exception, and 100% of all cars built were EVs, it would still take 27 YEARS to replace all the gas cars on the road in the world.

      Given that is not remotely realistic, given that gas cars will continue to be made by the millions each year for decades to come, we'll still have a whole pile of gas cars on the road in 2100.

    65. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While my general view on this is that my govt should get out of the habit of subsidizing any particular energy source

      I tend to agree there...

      I wouldn't have said it 5 years ago, but today I think I'd rather simply have a carbon tax and no subsides for anything. Rather than try and pick winners, pick the losers and let the market sort out the winners.

      Start the carbon tax of REALLY small, but with a slow and steady rampup published way in advance over the next 50 years, so that people would understand that while tomorrow it is nearly nothing, in 5 years it is a small something and in 25 years it is a big something and in 50 years it is a crazy big something.

      If you double the price of gas tomorrow, you just crush the economy and actually make things worse, it takes time for people to shift. So maybe you need carbon taxes to add a penny this year, 2 pennies next year, 4 the year after that, and so on, until it is maybe $2 a gallon in 30 years. If everyone knows that today, there is at least a chance that action will be taken before 30 years arrives.

      Or at least I could hope. :)

      What you would have happen is a change in government, that new government going "herp derp, carbon tax bad! bad carbon tax go away". Then that new government would realise after it got rid of the tax that they now have a massive hole in the budget, plan cuts to everything, give tax cuts to the higher end and then give themselves a pat on the back with a pay rise...

    66. Re:What is it per person? by kellymcdonald78 · · Score: 1

      It's the amount of land that has a big impact. Compared to other energy sources, solar and wind (and hydro) require absolutely huge amounts of land. The Darlington Nuclear Plant generates 3.5GW of electricity and covers 4 acres. Solar Star (largest solar plant in the world) generated 579MW (or about 1/7) and covers 3500 acres (almost 1000 times as much)

    67. Re:What is it per person? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      What puzzles me about the economics of solar and wind is how solar and wind can cost so much even though they have minimal running costs. That is, all the cost of solar and wind is fixed cost (plus maintenance); there is no recurring fuel cost.

      Partly it's a matter of economy of scale. Fossil fuel power has been around for over a century and has been well developed in that time. Serious solar and wind have been around for a little more than a decade and are just getting going. Look at how far the cost has dropped for both in the past decade and they continue to drop as the scale of production ramps up.

    68. Re:What is it per person? by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      No it isn't, it still isn't even 1% of our total power. All the easy, low hanging fruit is being done, at some point it will run into issues of scale, cost, and system stability.

      Solar in 2015 was 0.95% of total US generation in 2015 (it exceeded 1% in the 1st quarter of 2016) of the 11% that is renewable, wind was at 4.1%. In the first quarter of 2016 Wind accounted for 30% of all new generation, Solar accounted for another 30% (it's total percentage of generation has been doubling every year since 2012). Installed per watt costs currently are at $3 a watt for commercial installation and falling at about 20% a year. With the government tax credits which are no different than the same credits given to coal and significantly smaller than the credits given to nuclear the most recently completed solar plants were generating electricity at an amortized rate of 5 cents per kwh on 20 year purchase agreements. At current growth rates Solar is projected to be 5% of the power grid by 2020 and nearly 15% by 2030. Provided costs keep falling at the rate they are currently those are low estimates as the estimates assume constant pricing relative to inflation. These are all current numbers as of 2015.

      Wind, on the other hand, is "for real" and a decent chunk of power, but it still is under 5% and while we might get it to 10%, I have a hard time seeing it much higher than that, due to the need for system stability and 24/7 power.

      Both are real, and your assumption about stability is straight out wrong. Solar comprises 30% of the power grid in Hawaii right now. They've limited to 30% while they test some stuff but last I saw HECO believes they can push total solar to 50% with only minor grid improvements but would need some significant grid upgrades to handle more (due to the separate power grids on each Island). Storage is a reality as this point, California is in the process of installing nearly 100MW of storage. But the solution is easy regardless, you simply drop power rates to zero when there is excess generation. There are significant portions of Texas where power after 9pm is free due to the excess wind production. With periods of free power there will be lots of companies that spring up and use that power to generate hydrogen that they reconvert to power with a fuel cell to fill in the lows. BTW recent German studies have shown that a mix of wind and solar can reach 80% of grid baseload generation with only a little bit of overbuilding and mandated storage.

      I have more idea of it than you think I do. And it has nothing to do with defense, those are two different things. And should solar take off "for real", then those amounts would add a few zeros and become a big issue. But without those tax dollars, solar makes no sense.

      Your idea of what the costs of solar are and the grids ability to handle it are so out of date they don't even come close to reality. The numbers and assumptions you've put forward are at best 5 years old, hell your assumption about maximum solar percentage is more than 10 years old and already been proven wrong. Solar makes perfect sense, the accelerated depreciate it receives is less than other forms of power and by 2020 it's going to be competitive without that accelerated depreciation. ROI rates are so high most of the companies investing in solar are turning down investment money because they can't possibly spend it. Last round of construction bonding Solar city went after they turned down over $200 million. You would know this if you followed the market as it's been the talk of the market energy discussions for 4 years now.

      I never said $5 billion would buy a nuclear plant, I said it would help pay for it, much like they are helping pay for solar. Give Nuclear a 30% government tax credit and see them become interesting again.

      The insurance nuclear receives cost free from the government already far exceeds all solar "

    69. Re:What is it per person? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Top five spending categories: Pensions (Social Security) - $1221B, healthcare $990B, defense $829B, welfare $383B, and interest on the national debt $240B. And right now, Social Security runs in the red adding to the Federal deficit, and has done so since 2010.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    70. Re:What is it per person? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      SSI/Medicare is not self-funding; in fact, it's been contributing to the deficit since 2010. It's running in the red, because those funds were not promised to you, were not guaranteed to you, and were in fact used for decades to increase Federal spending. Now that withdrawals are running higher than taxes (16% on all income up to $101,000), it's adding to the deficit.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    71. Re:What is it per person? by delt0r · · Score: 1

      Solar figures lie right out of the gate. With statements like X GW of installed capacity. Yet it may not even produce that much power on a cloudless day in the middle of summer at local solar peak. It is really totally meaningless since i can install that GW of capacity in many different places and get very different expect MWh per year. Even in the most optimal sites the average power is less that 25% of the stated capacity assuming that is true peak capacity.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    72. Re:What is it per person? by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      Oil provides 5% of our electricity, Coal provides over 40%.

      Coal hasn't been over 40% of our electric in nearly half a decade: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Current estimates (~November 2015) has coal around 33.6% of US electricity generation (and dropping quickly).

    73. Re:What is it per person? by tsotha · · Score: 1

      Wind is more expensive than fossil fuels on an ongoing basis. Those turbines are expensive to maintain, and they do take damage from various sources (mostly weather).

    74. Re:What is it per person? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Whatever. The SS Trust Fund still has a positive balance and is expected to last until at least 2030. If the Federal government reneges on that obligation it isn't going to be pretty.

    75. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Solar in 2015 was 0.95% of total US generation in 2015

      When you start from nothing and throw ten billion tax dollars at it, you can do that.

      At current growth rates Solar is projected to be 5% of the power grid by 2020 and nearly 15% by 2030.

      We shall see, but I think someone is smoking crack. The chances of either number happening are zero in my opinion.

      Solar comprises 30% of the power grid in Hawaii right now.

      Hawaii is a special case and doesn't carry over to the 48 states. They have extremely stable weather, a ton of sun, and sky-high power prices due to being the most remote islands on Earth. About 32 cents per KWh, compared to less than 12 cents for the lower 48 states.

      And it isn't as good as you think:
      http://www.nytimes.com/2015/04...

      There are significant portions of Texas where power after 9pm is free due to the excess wind production. With periods of free power there will be lots of companies that spring up and use that power to generate hydrogen that they reconvert to power with a fuel cell to fill in the lows.

      Call me when that happens. There are many reasons why the above is happening in Texas, it would be rather hard to build a business depending on it for the next 20 years. You're confusing the issue of something being *technically* possible with it being politically possible and reasonable from an economic point of view.

      ROI rates are so high most of the companies investing in solar are turning down investment money because they can't possibly spend it. Last round of construction bonding Solar city went after they turned down over $200 million. You would know this if you followed the market as it's been the talk of the market energy discussions for 4 years now.

      That is because there are caps and limits on the Dept of Energy incentive programs to fund and subsidize solar. They don't want to install more than they'll get paid to install. I've looked at investing in solar. It has a nice ROI if you assume the government gravy train will never end, but it falls apart otherwise.

      Maybe you should study current rates and market trends.

      I have, more than you know. Countries like Denmark and Germany are spending huge sums to accomplish things that look impressive in their own nations, but would never scale to the world. And the changes they make don't actually solve anything, since we all live on the same planet.

      Frankly, I find most of the "wind and solar will save us all" people to be rather delusional when it comes to the future of this stuff. You're ignoring a number of non-technical reasons why your numbers won't happen.

      Example:

      http://www.skepticalscience.co...

      That is a perfect case study in why it WON'T happen. First, it assumes that we'll hit the target by cutting our energy consumption in HALF, even after accounting for a growing population. It also assumes that by 2050 we'll replace all cars with EVs. Except, that will be nearly impossible unless people have the money to buy a lot of cars, since we'll have to end all gas car production in the next 5 years otherwise. It would take, at current car production rates, 27 years to replace all the gas cars in the world with EVs.

      It then also requires and assumes that all the natural gas used to heat homes, power cooking and cleaning, will all get replaced. So somehow there will be money to replace a billion expensive durable goods that use oil/gas/etc. in the next 25 years.

      Allow me to quote:

      "Accomplishing all of this will require a major effort, but Ecofys has a number of suggestions how we can start:
      Introduce minimum efficiency

    76. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      39% is close enough to 40% for most people.

      In 2014, the last year we have numbers for, it was 39%

      https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs...

      It is worth noting that coal has been dropping due to the challenge of building new plants and the low wholesale price of power. There isn't much margin in coal power right now, making it hard to keep up with all the government mandates on coal plants.

      It is worth noting that much of the drop in coal has been made up for by natural gas.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      According to the US Energy Information Administration, in 1980 the world had enough proved gas reserves to last 48 years at the 1980 rate of production. Cumulative world gas production from 1980 through 2011 was greater than the proved gas reserves in 1980. In 2011, world proved gas reserves were enough to last 58 years at 2011 production levels, even though the 2011 production rate was more than double the 1980 rate.

      So in 1980, we had 48 years of gas left, at 1980 production levels. At that rate, we ran dry in 2028, just 12 years from now.

      In 2011, we now have 58 years of gas at 2011 production levels, which are more than DOUBLE the rate of 1980, putting the "end" at 2069.

      So for all the doom and gloom of "peak oil" and "peak gas", we added 41 years to the "end" date while doubling production. And it just keeps going up. Now it won't continue forever of course, it has to stop at some time (there is some specific total amount of gas in the ground after all), but it won't be by 2050, and frankly I'll be shocked if it is by 2100.

      Current estimates (~November 2015) has coal around 33.6% of US electricity generation (and dropping quickly).

      Lets assume that is true. So what replaced the missing 6% of power? It wasn't wind and solar. They went up slightly, maybe half a percent each. So lets say 1% of the missing 6% is wind/solar. Where did the other 5% come from? Natural gas.

      Better than coal, but not really a solution if AGW is your concern.

      ---

      Anyway, all of that is beside the point. I pointed out that oil was such a low total number to make the point that we aren't fighting wars overseas to protect oil because we need it to power our homes (it is actually far less than 5%, as noted in the link I provided). It is to power our cars.

    77. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      You are right. The tax incentives were the reason that I could afford to put solar on my house 4 years ago.

      I believe that most of the solar in the US, with perhaps a few exceptions on the coasts in expensive areas, are only being done due to tax incentives.

      But fair enough, if that is what we want to spend our collective money on, so be it. I just prefer we be honest about it rather than imply that solar by itself is so magical.

      Side note: I'm not against solar, I'm against expensive solar. Give me a 50% tax credit and 10 years of guaranteed net-metering and I'll install solar on my roof tomorrow, no question. Wouldn't even have to think about it.

      My complaint is all about the cost.

    78. Re:What is it per person? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      You didn't quite understand what I was saying. I'm not happy at all with the unbelievable amount of spending going to defense, where it seems wholly unnecessary unless we're getting ready to fight two gulf-war sized events at the same time. I keep hearing how the current administration has "gutted" the military from the Republican candidates (hyperbole), and how we're going to have the smallest standing army since the end of World War II, and I keep asking myself why that's a bad thing. We're not fighting World War II anymore. We're not even in the Cold War anymore. Why do we need to sink all this money into defense, when 8 of the next 9 governments in the top 10 list of defense spending are allies?

      Just one year of not building new bombers, submarines, aircraft carriers, and other stuff we don't need could fund an infrastructure rebuilding across the nation that would repair neglected bridges and roads, rebuild the electrical grid, and cause a revolution in how we generate energy. I know there's not a linear progression to these kinds of things, but if $10B is showing this kind of growth, what would $30B do?

      If people truly care about government spending being out of control, they need to let go of their sacred cows, especially when one is a big fat pig that eats more than it's share.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    79. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Just one year of not building new bombers, submarines, aircraft carriers, and other stuff we don't need could fund an infrastructure rebuilding across the nation that would repair neglected bridges and roads

      While I understand your point, and it is a fair one to make... There is something to consider that perhaps you haven't thought about.

      The skilled workers and tooling required to make the machines of war is hard to make and setup and is lost quickly if you don't use it. We are still building aircraft carriers and submarines for this very reason. We don't really NEED more, the new ones don't do all that much new stuff. (they do, but it is evolutionary in nature) Instead the primary purpose is to keep the ability to do it alive.

      Newport News Shipbuilding is the only place in the world that can build a nuclear carrier. There is exactly one dry dock that can do it at Hampton Roads. If you wanted to increase production, it would actually take quite a few years to get anything up to speed.

      Now imagine that we say we have enough carriers and we'll take 5 years off from building them, skip the next one and save $10+ billion dollars.

      Is Newport News supposed to maintain Hampton Roads for 5 years without work? What about all the people working there with critical skills? You'll never get them all back.

      If in 5 years, we say "ok, lets build some new carriers now", you'll spend more money than you saved in getting back up to speed. It doesn't actually save anything.

      The same thing is true with tanks and a whole lot of other military stuff. When the decision to shut down C-17 production and F-22 production, I thought that was sad, because it means we will never get another of either. The cost to spin production back up is simply absurd, you're almost better off just designing a new airplane.

      https://upload.wikimedia.org/w...

      If you look at that, you'll see a smaller British JumpJet carrier next to a US Nimitz supercarrier... there is only one place in the world that can build that larger ship, if they don't always have a ship to build, you'll lose that ability and it will take a lot of money and time to get back there.

      Back to tanks, there is exactly one plant in the US that can build tanks. It is in Lima, OH:

      http://www.foxnews.com/politic...

      Yes, to some extent, it is a jobs program, but if you shut that place down, it will be rather expensive to build any new tanks in the future, and you might end up having to design a brand new tank from scratch if you do shut it down.

      Quote:

      "Congressional backers of the Abrams upgrades view the vast network of companies, many of them small businesses, that manufacture the tanks' materials and parts as a critical asset that has to be preserved. The money, they say, is a modest investment that will keep important tooling and manufacturing skills from being lost if the Abrams line were to be shut down."

      There is some truth to that...

    80. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The defense was intended to be provided by the Militia. The Founders saw a standing army as inherently harmful to liberty. That's why defense appropriations have a two-year time limit. Getting rid of our standing army would not only be Constitutional but directly in line with the Founders' intentions. It may also be completely stupid, but that's neither here nor there.

    81. Re:What is it per person? by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      Lets assume that is true. So what replaced the missing 6% of power? It wasn't wind and solar. They went up slightly, maybe half a percent each. So lets say 1% of the missing 6% is wind/solar. Where did the other 5% come from? Natural gas.

      While it is true most of the replacement was natural gas, you're wrong on the solar/wind growth numbers (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Renewable_energy_in_the_United_States). In the last decade, non-hydro RE (which is primarily wind/solar) has increased its share of production by an additional 4% of the total mix. While still smaller than nat gas, it isn't the ~1% you're claiming. And the adoption slope remains upward for renewables. Some 60+% of all new energy capacity additions last year was renewables: http://cleantechnica.com/2015/...

      In summary, as coal plants phase out due to age retirement, at least 50+% of the capacity pickup year-to-year will come in renewables. Frankly, if the cost dynamics continue to appreciate for solar (and I've seen no sign of them slowing down), renewable could conceivably get 100% of the annual capacity replacement.

      Better than coal, but not really a solution if AGW is your concern.

      I disagree. The total picture (worldwide in fact) for coal is pretty damning. And natural gas done right (i.e. without leaks) is a far sight better for the environment. Moreover, the "total energy picture" is very rosy for the future adoption of green energy atm. Even without government incentives. As is the fact energy consumption has been flat for over a decade. Frankly, I believe if they ever perfect the residential home battery, solar adoption will just go nuts. We're on the correct trajectory. Change just takes time.

    82. Re:What is it per person? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Solar's utility lies in it's renewable nature and its low long term operation cost, not so much in it's ability to be a key player in grid frequency-keeping. Grid frequency keeping and load following are related but not the same thing ;D

      The quote above supports basically and since load following is a function of the system as a whole not individual generators,

      And so following the 'big picture' of load is not really all that useful as a property. this is simply wrong. If I know my solar plants follow a certain curve, so follows a forecast of load (including nuclear), and since load following is a function of the system as a whole not individual generators, this allows the generation dispatch optimization engines to easily incorporate even slow ramping resources is "simplified". In other words: I need less load following plants. Obviously I have to know the weather report to make a prognosis before. In so far your Most everything follows a forecast of load is right.

      Not really sure what you wanted to say, if you want I correct your post and set in the correct terms for your layman terms :D E.g. there is a difference between "load following" and "balancing".

      Actually, FYI: in Germany big solar plants are used to stabilize grid frequency. Something with the electric property of being a "capacitor" and how to connect it trailing or leading to the grid ... but that is even for me a bit to complicated :D

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    83. Re:What is it per person? by GodelEscherBlecch · · Score: 1

      Actually, FYI: in Germany big solar plants are used to stabilize grid frequency. Something with the electric property of being a "capacitor" and how to connect it trailing or leading to the grid ... but that is even for me a bit to complicated :D

      Haha, yes I have seen Amprion and that shit is straight up crazy.

    84. Re:What is it per person? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      The total picture (worldwide in fact) for coal is pretty damning.

      Unless wind and solar become actually cheaper than coal without government subsidies, then it will continue to be burned *somewhere*.

      Maybe not the US or EU, but someone on Earth will burn it.

      Frankly, I believe if they ever perfect the residential home battery, solar adoption will just go nuts. We're on the correct trajectory. Change just takes time.

      I honestly hope your belief turns out to be true. But I've been around long enough to remember many promises that didn't come true.

      As for change, it may well come, but I suspect it won't come nearly as fast as you hope it will, and if it comes in 75 years, it likely won't matter, the point of no return will have been passed.

    85. Re:What is it per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Top five spending categories: Pensions (Social Security) - $1221B, healthcare $990B, defense $829B, welfare $383B, and interest on the national debt $240B.

      Better, now you're getting more specific, but you're missing the point, aren't you?

      Social Security, separately funded still, isn't it? Its revenues are not drawn from the general tax base. Healthcare, aka, Medicare, still separately funded as well. And those expenses are not going away. That money was collected under a promise, it would be wrong to keep taking it and not delivering. It's not discretionary. It's mandatory.

      But then you look further at the Welfare, and see it includes...Workers Comp? That's an insurance program too. I can't count it as welfare. Money taken with a promise itself. I'd have to look more and see what else is similar, but looks like it'd knock off a percent or two just from a quick look.

      So that's a bit over 2000 billion out of the pool, leaving the defense spending looking much larger if you don't conflate it with the mandatory programs.

      Which is why they do. It serves to mislead very well. Do you not see it?

      And right now, Social Security runs in the red adding to the Federal deficit, and has done so since 2010.

      So? Did you think I was making a claim about it being revenue-neutral right now? I wasn't. I was pointing out that it's not discretionary spending, and that you conflated numbers. Social Security still isn't being funded from the general tax pool, so what are you trying to make an argument for revising its policies to make it year-to-year or something?

      Whatever. Do it if you like, but you'll still have those obligations. It's not a discretionary program at all.

      You end it? It was collected with a promise. That money is going to go back to the people who have a right to it. You won't change the deficit at all or the debt.

  4. Right... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So you mean to say that they don't have much installed yet which makes it really easy to double the amount they have within the next year?

  5. What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    So.... what is that in AC Wattage units? (Considering I've worked at several power plants I ought to know this.)

    Reading towards the end of the article it seems to indicate 100-200 MW total, which is not worth bragging about considering how much electricity we produce and consume in the United States.

    The plant I work at now consumes around 100 MW when running, we have 6 on site gas turbines producing 20MW each.

    Solar Photovoltaic and solar thermal unfortunately do not have a good track record for going up to the 500 to 1000 MW range which is what you want for a nice utility sized power plant. Maybe we could have more small solar power plants, unfortunately they have a large foot print in terms of space used. (How many square miles would it take for a 1000 MW sized PV plant?)

    Before anyone even starts, de-centralized power is in 'development' stage. I see rooftop solar as more of an energy saver/efficiency more than anything else but not a 'break even' per se. I expect most of the coal plants in the U.S. will get replaced with natural gas.

    The real interesting thing will be when all the nuclear units that went online in the 70s and 80s need to be replaced... fun times ahead.

    1. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Before anyone even starts, de-centralized power is in 'development' stage. I see rooftop solar as more of an energy saver/efficiency more than anything else but not a 'break even' per se. I expect most of the coal plants in the U.S. will get replaced with natural gas.

      I've looked into rooftop solar three times, the most recent two months ago.

      I spoke with a local solar installer. It just makes no sense, no matter how far you turn your head to the side. And that is with the federal government picking up 30% of the cost outright, plus another rebate from the local power company, plus cheap financing. It STILL makes zero sense.

      You have to REALLY make a lot of assumptions about the future for it to kinda sorta make sense. As in, regular power prices will double over the next decade. And the new equipment will work for 20 years trouble free. And you'll always get net-metering. And it will add 50% of the system cost to the value of your home.

      And so on. Do all that, and yea, it can make sense. But it takes ALL of that, plus the tax money, to work.

    2. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Before anyone even starts, de-centralized power is in 'development' stage. I see rooftop solar as more of an energy saver/efficiency more than anything else but not a 'break even' per se. I expect most of the coal plants in the U.S. will get replaced with natural gas.

      The real interesting thing will be when all the nuclear units that went online in the 70s and 80s need to be replaced... fun times ahead.

      I'd have to agree that de-centralized power is a growth market. I travel a lot in Germany where I have seen the number of rooftop solar plants grow enormously over the last decade. On the other hand I read somewhere that Florida operates several fossil powered electrical plants whose output is to a large extent consumed by household airconditioning units. It always seemed to me that would be a classic case for de-centralized power but then again many Americans seem to equate support for Oil and Coal with patriotism so maybe nothing will change down there.

    3. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 0

      And you'll always get net-metering.

      Great points. Net metering is already starting to go away as utilities convince regulators that they shouldn't be paying peak prices for power they can buy or generate for less. My guess is step next thing will be for utilities to push to make solar installations interruptible sources of power for grid management. That would mean you couldn't be assured of the ability to sell excess power, even at a reduced cost.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    4. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 2

      One of the limiting factors right now is residential solar is an add on, so you have to overcome the cost factor as well as the appearance factor in selling it. To really take off it should be designed in at construction, so the roof is designed to incorporate the panels as well as for ease of maintenance, a storage battery and inverter are built in as well and the wiring is designed for AC and DC operation. For example, wall plugs could provide standard AC as well as DC for devices via a USB plug, eliminating the need for wall warts. A higher voltage DC line and plug would be nice but given their really isn't a standard in wide use that would be less likely despite its advantages over AC to DC devices; such as having DC LED lights throughout the house, plug in and hard wired. If it were built in the costs would be lower and part of the purchase price.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    5. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by sumdumass · · Score: 2

      It is not that support for oiland coal are patriotism or anything. It is cost and artificially increasing them that seems to be necessary for it to make economic sense. If the power plant can deliver the energy more reliable and cheaper, using that makes sense. If rooftop solar can, that makes sense. Where the objections come in to play that gives you the patriotism impressions is when the costs of one are inflated to make the others more attractive. It is simply unamerican to have the federal government dictate you need to pay more for something just to pad the pockets of a sector of business. That is also one of the biggest objections to Obamacare - the individual mandate.

      Unfortunately, Most Americans do not consider externalities that they did not have to bother considering previously as justification either.

    6. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That "cost", however, tends to be computed by turning a blind eye towards the expense of coal/oil effluents. To say nothing of the expenses and effluents resulting from the need to extract fuel and transport it.

    7. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Where you live changes this but just for information....

        I experimented around the house and "installed" 1KW of solar and a 500 watt wind turbine and have 960 ahr of lead acid battery. None of my solar / wind is connected to grid or wired permanent into the house. What I found is this.

      Net metering is the losing way to do solar. If you are going to do it go completely off the grid. Tesla powerwall will be the cheapest battery( not sure how long they last) the second cheapest is a forklift battery.... used (reports of these lasting decades).

      First you have to change your lifestyle. LED bulbs are the #1 place to save energy in the household. #2 and #3 areas are newer energy efficient refrigerators and a gas dryer / clothesline.

        I live in the Silicon Valley area and with 4kw of solar and 1.5 kw of wind with a decent battery I could completely go off grid. At .36kwhr for the current rates my break even costs with todays prices of everything is around 8 years. This is self installed. Recent drops in power costs have it down to .33kwhr but it never stays cheaper.

      Energy costs always rise and the utility companies are going to have to raise rates even more as more people disconnect from the grid or start subsidizing their bills with producing power.

      None of my estimates include tax incentives.

    8. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by gaiageek · · Score: 1

      Please print out your reply, frame it, and give it to your children with the instructions to pass it on to their children - and so on. I'm pretty sure they'll find your "It STILL makes zero sense" comment interesting when sea level rise is being measured in meters.

    9. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was some story about a japanese manufacturer introducing DC air conditioners and other DC appliances a few months ago

    10. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well that escalated quickly.

    11. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Where do you live? In most parts of the world you can't lose with solar now. You don't need to make assumptions about future energy prices or anything like that, and the panels only need to last a few years to pay for themselves in most places. In any case, any reasonable quality panel will come with a warranty longer than the pay-back period, and ditto things like the inverter.

      Even without feed-in, there are few parts of the world where solar won't pay for itself in under a decade, and then it's all profit.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    12. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by LtNacho · · Score: 2

      Do you have some actual numbers to back this up? For our installation our payback period is 7 years with subsidies. The panels have a 20 year warranty and are likely to produce power for another 10 after that. How does that not make sense?

    13. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by castionsosa · · Score: 1

      Were it not for the need for A/C without a complete redesign of a house (and no, swamp coolers don't work in humid areas), most places in Texas could run off-grid with a rooftop panel array, coupled with a propane tank.

      On a small scale, a few panels on the roof, a couple AGM batteries, a MPPT charge converter, and a PSW inverter can be used to add a dedicated circuit so low-draw devices can use that, and not suck off the mains power. Add a bit more wattage, you have a dedicated, clean power circuit that your computer can use, regardless of the status of mains power. Tile the roof with panels, you can use a PowerWall or other storage battery methods (there are YouTube vids on what the forklift batteries can power. Even if they hold a fraction of the charge as they did new, they still can run a lot of stuff.) Instead of buying a "smart" fridge, one can buy a fridge that switches between propane and electric, using a gallon of propane every 4-5 days. Alternatively, one can run a high efficiency fridge from solar as well.

      Net metering is better than nothing, but it might be better to just run solar in an off-grid capacity, where mains power is only used to keep the storage batteries topped off. This may not give you a negative bill come low-use times, but the homeowner will still benefit from it greatly.

    14. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      DC distribution in the home has some issues that make it somewhat impractical and not worth the bother for small devices like lights and some appliances. You would need to step it up to a pretty high voltage to avoid having more loss in the wires than you would get with AC, but that brings its own problems with safety (isolation in particular, you don't want arcing).

      You also can't use a transformer for simple isolation, because transformers only work with AC. There are other options, but none as easy and cheap as a coil of wire.

      In short it's usually better to distribute as AC and then convert to DC for anything less than maybe 1000W. Once you get to car charging or air conditioner levels it can be worth doing DC from your panels.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    15. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Where do you live?

      Texas

      I pay 7 cents per kWh for my office power and 10 cents per kWh for my house power, both coal.

      It would cost me 10 cents per kWh for my office to be powered by 100% wind and 13 cents per kWh for my house to be powered by 100% wind. Solar isn't even an option here (at least from the power companies).

      In most parts of the world you can't lose with solar now.

      Generally in the 1st world, only those nations that have stepped in and either subsidized solar or taxed the crap out of everything else. Sure, in Germany where you pay 35 cents per kWh, yea I'm sure solar makes sense. But so what, they are paying up to 5 times my power rates.

      https://www.ovoenergy.com/guid...

    16. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      What is your current monthly bill? What effective interest rate were they charging? What have you done to improve the energy efficiency of your home? Did you need to do any upgrades to your roof to make it viable?

      Generally speaking, rooftop solar is $3/W for a complete installed system, 10% higher in some locations based on labor and demand. Median for the US is about 1800 hours per year equivalent full output for a fixed rooftop array. So the system gives you about $1.67/annual kWh, or $1.15 after tax rebates, which makes it advantageous if your blended cost of electricity is $0.15/kWh or more at a minimum effective rate of return of 13%. If you are at a more risk tolerant and only need 8% return then you are good down to $0.10/kWh.

      But yes, the kicker is net metering. Without that you would likely need to look at a comparison with off-grid economics. Based on the best numbers I have, that adds $400/kWh and translates to around $0.15/kWh additional, or effectively a doubling of costs or halving of return. The ideal solution is that you have a very small utility service (120V, 20A) that just hooks to a battery charger for cloudy days, but I am sure the utility would charge a huge premium for it.

    17. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Do you have some actual numbers to back this up? For our installation our payback period is 7 years with subsidies. The panels have a 20 year warranty and are likely to produce power for another 10 after that. How does that not make sense?

      The lowest installed cost here for a 10KW system is about $35,000 before rebates. I have gotten quotes from more than one company, I think it is high, but that seems to be the going rate around here. Considering I pay 10 cents per kWh for my house, that simply makes no sense, even with the 30% back from the IRS. For a $35,000 up front investment ($25,000 after tax credit), I'd save about $125 a month in power, or about $1,500 a year.

      Saving $1,500 a year for a $25,000 investment is a lousy return on investment. Double that when you consider net-metering will go away at some point.

      I would be far better off doing a lot of other things, such as spraying foam in my walls, replacing my windows, doing a radiant barrier in my attic, etc. Those would all return more than solar panels would in terms of monthly costs saved.

      BTW, does your 7 year payback assume net-metering? What if that goes away next year? We have net-metering at the moment, but that will only last for as long as not very many people have solar. It will, for economic reasons, HAVE to go away when 20% or so of the houses in an area have solar. If everyone has enough to offset most of their bill, then the power company will have to run power stations at night, run the whole grid, but collect nothing for power. That doesn't work. Net-metering has no future.

      The 20 year warranty only means something if you can collect on it. Lets see some major national brands and companies behind these things before that becomes a selling point.

    18. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also in some places net metering 'looks' like a good deal.

      For example in my state the reset date is the last day of June. Meaning any credits I get during June are basically gone unless I have racked up enough negative credit from earlier in the year. For your first year depending on when you install you still end up paying. Notice how it clips out right in the middle of peak production. It is setup that way so you end up negative on the year for your first year. It eventually evens out, but takes 1-2 years for it to happen.

      Also many of them have 'gaming' rules. So lets say you want a battery bank and net metering. Well you cant (legally). It would be gaming the system. I can not shunt power to a battery bank then once that fills up shunt the excess to the grid. In my state you are either grid tied or not.

      Solar makes sense only if you can get 10-15 years use out of it in my state. Even then it can be a wash. Now some areas of the US you can make that ROI into 2-6 years. It has been that way for a long time.

      Most of the cost these days is not the cells themselves anyway. It is the install cost. Getting a certified electrician willing to climb onto a roof is not cheap. I can get the parts form 5-15k before rebates. Then add another 10-15k for install. You can pull that sort of thing off in india or china where the do not seem to value human life as much. Add more cost if your roof can not take the load of a few thousand pounds of panels being put up there. Most installs that is not an issue. But for some it can be.

      It is fairly easy to see the ROI is not there yet in my area. Very few in my area have it. Now in different parts of the country everyone seems to have them.

      If you could buy 500W+ panels that fit in a square meter you could get the install cost down quite a bit. Then it becomes feasible for most people to install.

    19. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because you're making assumptions on your situation. I live in the greater Denver metro area. My typical monthly electric bill is about $70. Talking to my neighbor, his solar system cost him about $20K. I've lived in my house for 6.5 years and due to being on a co-op, my electric rates have literally not changed since I've lived there. The payback for me would be on the order of 23 years assuming nothing ever goes wrong and I never need to do any maintenance of any kind.

      See how it can not make sense? Granted, if we're talking about green, I'm already powered by renewables without needing a solar system. My house is one of the ones that's literally powered by garbage. I live near by a dump that has been converted into a bio-reactor. It produces power for something like 850 homes. Probably why my power rates haven't changed. Always more garbage to use.

    20. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 3, Informative

      What is your current monthly bill?

      Average $250 a month

      What effective interest rate were they charging?

      I can borrow from my house at 3.5%

      What have you done to improve the energy efficiency of your home?

      Replaced HVAC with a really good Trane 2 stage, 2 speed 16 SEER unit, cut $100 average off my bill overnight, best upgrade I ever did. For $17,000 (5 ton and 3 ton units, including everything inside and out), I get a colder house and $100 a month back in my pocket. And my old unit broke, so I had to spend money anyway.

      Did you need to do any upgrades to your roof to make it viable?

      No, I have a brand new roof as of 2 years ago, thanks to hail (and Allstate)

      Generally speaking, rooftop solar is $3/W for a complete installed system

      $3.50 a watt here, I've been quoted by three different companies, that is just the going rate. $35,000 for a 10KW system.

      advantageous if your blended cost of electricity is $0.15/kWh or more at a minimum effective rate of return of 13%

      I pay 10 cents per kWh and my cost is $5K more than your estimate. :) That is part of where it torpedoes.

      If you are at a more risk tolerant and only need 8% return then you are good down to $0.10/kWh.

      It is actually closer to 5%, given my install cost and my power cost. But even that might be worth doing, if I could get a 10 year net-metering guarantee.

      But yes, the kicker is net metering.

      Yep, that is what torpedoes it. There is no chance that net-metering will survive as it stands today. Taken to the logical conclusion, imagine if we all had solar enough to offset our annual bill, but that we needed the power company to provide power at night, but we all fed power back during the day. And we all had zero bills because of net-metering, yet expect the power company to provide a grid.

      That will never happen of course, so somewhere between today and then it would have to change.

      ---

      In principle, I would LOVE to have solar power, how cool would it be to have clean free power from the sun! But it has to make financial sense, and it just doesn't.

      BTW, to give you an idea, I live in a city of 250,000 people and there is a local solar association here. By their own count, a whole 150 homes in my city have put solar on the roof. Out of 250,000 people. It simply doesn't make sense here. I have never actually seen a solar install on a roof in person, only pictures on TV or the Internet. It just isn't done here.

    21. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 0

      Also many of them have 'gaming' rules. So lets say you want a battery bank and net metering. Well you cant (legally). It would be gaming the system. I can not shunt power to a battery bank then once that fills up shunt the excess to the grid. In my state you are either grid tied or not.

      That is the same here, we have to be grid tied and it has to go off if the grid goes down.

      Now you can put two meters on your house (normal solar here is one smart meter, you need two smart meters to do this) and do an internal tie where the grid connection goes down and you switch to internal battery, but the cost would be crazy expensive.

      Most of the cost these days is not the cells themselves anyway. It is the install cost. Getting a certified electrician willing to climb onto a roof is not cheap. I can get the parts form 5-15k before rebates. Then add another 10-15k for install.

      Yep, install cost is the big issue. Panels are cheap, but the panels alone are not enough. You need a smart inverter, wiring, mounting brackets, and a bunch of other odds and ends. I've found a complete "do-it-yourself" kit for $17,000 that provides everything you need to install a 10KW system yourself, but I haven't been able to find anyone to install it for less than $15K. Which I think is nuts, but whatever.

      It doesn't help that I have a tall house, my first floor ceilings in the main living room are 18+ feet tall, the peak of my roof is over 35 feet off the ground. I have zero interest in climbing up there.

      Still, it only cost $10K to put a brand new 25 year roof on, and it took them only one day to do it (with like a billion Mexicans of course). And that price included materials, labor, and a complex roof install fairly high up.

      I think solar prices, at least in my area, are just expensive because so few people are doing it. I have 100 companies to call for a roof.

    22. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 0

      Net metering is already starting to go away as utilities convince regulators that they shouldn't be paying peak prices for power they can buy or generate for less.

      In fairness to them, should they?

      Imagine it to the extreme, everyone has solar and annually produces what they consume, but not as they need it. Everyone needs power at night and at odd times, but wants to feed the extra to the grid (which no one wants).

      What does the power company do? Run power plants to provide night power, maintain a grid, all for zero bills?

      Clearly it will stop before that point. The question is, where between here and there.

      That is why I refuse to "assume" net-metering when looking at solar, I just don't see it happening.

      Now a solar system that can charge a local battery and let me do my own off-set? Sure, I'll look at that, but then the cost doubles again. :)

    23. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Where do you live? In most parts of the world you can't lose with solar now. You don't need to make assumptions about future energy prices or anything like that, and the panels only need to last a few years to pay for themselves in most places.

      Time to chime in with one of my favorites. A big percentage of the anti-solar crowd seems to think that the second the warranty expires, a solar panel dies. Or at least those in here.

      The only time disadvantage I can see is that an earlier install might lose out to newer technology over time, but that doesn't stop us from buying cars or computers.

      All in all, I think the anti-solar crowd is arguing old hat.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    24. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by khallow · · Score: 1
      I think the better approach here is for you to learn some economics. As has already been observed, the whole thing depends on the cost of electricity. FlyHelicopters lives in a place where electricity is $0.07 per kWh.

      I'm pretty sure they'll find your "It STILL makes zero sense" comment interesting when sea level rise is being measured in meters.

      I imagine FlyHelicopters's descendants will for the most part be smart enough to not breathe water.

    25. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Texas has plenty of sun. Your electricity is currently coal powered, which means it is damaging your health (or some other person's health).

      It makes sense to put some solar up where you live. In a few years it will have covered its costs and you will be making a profit.

      Comparing commercial scale solar and wind to your coal power, you forgot to include the environmental and health costs. Maybe you are lucky and don't have to deal with them.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    26. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      6.033 DeLoreans (Doc Brown model).

    27. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Meters, huh? Maybe, who knows... easy for you to say, since neither of us will be here in a thousand years to know either way, now will we?

      It might rise another half a foot or so by the end of this century. I suspect we'll all be just fine. And if we're not, we are just as likely to be better off adapting to the change as trying to fight it.

      Any change in climate due to mankind is largely committed at this point. A few more solar panels and a few more wind farms won't change that.

    28. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      Any change in climate due to mankind is largely committed at this point. A few more solar panels and a few more wind farms won't change that.

      Adding renewables (actually: reducing emissions) won't fix the damage that has already been incurred, but it will definitely reduce the amount of additional damage in the future.

      It's the difference between accepting a bad situation and minimizing the damage as much as possible, vs deciding instead to continue making the situation worse.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    29. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      De-centralized power works right now. If we had solar panels on every rooftop, feeding into the grid, essentially using the grid as a giant battery, we would have no need for large power plants. It can work now.

      That's why the nuke and coal and dinosaur-tech power companies are afraid of solar. It literally gives the power to the people. They don't know how to make money off it. It will inevitably replace your old plant and all the old plants. It's economics.

    30. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Texas has plenty of sun. Your electricity is currently coal powered, which means it is damaging your health (or some other person's health).

      About 5.5 hours a day, on average.

      Yes, the coal power is "bad", but it is also cheap. Yes, I could switch to wind power and pay a bit more, but ultimately it wouldn't change anything. It hurts me financially for an undetectable difference overall.

      It makes sense to put some solar up where you live. In a few years it will have covered its costs and you will be making a profit.

      Except, it doesn't... I've posted the detailed numbers in this story in another reply, but in short, it simply makes no sense. My out of pocket cost to install a 10KW system is about $25,000 and my annual savings in power is about $1,500. But that assumes net-metering will always be here, which it won't. When that changes I don't know, but my annual return on investment is, give or take, about 5% assuming it ALL works out the way the spreadsheet says it will. Which isn't enough to justify taking the risk.

      So as it stands, with net-metering, my payback is 16.6 years, unless power rates go up, so lets be kind and say 12 years. Fine, but I'll have to buy an inverter by then and there will be SOME type of maintenance due. It isn't a completely zero cost thing.

      It just makes no sense.

      Comparing commercial scale solar and wind to your coal power, you forgot to include the environmental and health costs. Maybe you are lucky and don't have to deal with them.

      I don't forget them, but my paying more doesn't change them. Imagine a swimming pool, now imagine 100,000 people pee in that pool. Pretty nasty, right? Now imagine 100 people stop peeing in the pool? All clean? No, it isn't. In fact, you have to get almost ALL the people to stop doing it before it isn't enough to matter. 100 people peeing in a 20,000 gallon swimming pool is actually not that big a deal, but 99,900 people vs 100,000 is basically no difference.

      Harming myself financially to make basically no difference to the environment would be illogical. Oh sure, if EVERYONE would do it, then yes, it would help. But I don't have the ability to control that and my actions won't inspire people.

    31. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Measured in meters? It's already measured in meters, over a long enough timeframe. But given the fact that sea level rise is slowing down (data can be found here), we'll probably see 150-200 mm rise over the next 100 years. Less than we've seen in the past.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    32. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The lowest installed cost here for a 10KW system is about $35,000 before rebates"

      Wow! You are getting the shaft. You can purchase a roughly 10Kw rooftop system for ~$15k. Even if you go fully off grid it's ~$22k. Someone's getting a new boat after installing your system.

      I installed my own system. Grid tied. It's small, about 2.6Kw. Under $7k all-in. Should pay for itself in about 7-8 years, perhaps sooner. It'll shave off the most expensive electricity during the hot summer months when the A/C is running and Spring/Fall should be near even. (I watched it produce about 500w the other day during a light rain)

      "I'd save about $125 a month in power, or about $1,500 a year."

      You must have cheap electricity or perhaps a 10Kw system is too big. Hint: You don't have to get to zero net usage. (at least here, electricity gets more expensive the more you use so just shave off the expensive part for quickest ROI)

      "BTW, does your 7 year payback assume net-metering? What if that goes away next year?"

      Mine does. Yes, it's a risk. I am assuming a public outcry would at least get current systems grandfathered in. PG&E got a $5/month fee for the grid and $175 hookup fee passed through CPUC this year for new installations. It'll make getting rid of net metering more difficult since they won't be able to use the "They aren't paying for grid maintenance" card. Worst case, I lose net metering and lose part of my investment. A risk I'm willing to take. The benefit to society is a reduced need for the really dirty plants to come on line during peak usage, which is part of the reward for me. YMMV.

    33. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by shawn2772 · · Score: 2

      I pay 7 cents per kWh for my office power and 10 cents per kWh for my house power, both coal.

      That's dirt cheap, among the cheapest in the country. In fact, it's below the average for Texas, which is 11.5 cents. And, are you sure that's the total rate? Most utilities do a tiering system where usage above certain thresholds costs more. For example where I live (Utah, which also has very cheap power, coal and hydro), I pay 8.9 cents per kWh for the first 400 kWh, 11.6 cents for the next 600 kWh and 14.5 cents above that (perhaps there are more tiers; that's as high as I've gone, even in a hot summer and with an electric car charging in the garage).

      My payback period, assuming rates are unchanged, would be about 12 years. Without the government subsidies, it jumps to 15, but the system I looked at is warrantied for 25 years (equipment and labor). That unsubsidized payback is marginal, but not bad, assuming good financing and a lowish discount rate. I think it may make even more sense to install just enough solar to ensure that I never buy any power at the 14.5 cent tier, and knock out a chunk of the 11.6 cent tier.

      People living on both coasts are paying closer to 20 cents per kWh, and in areas with peak/off-peak pricing it can go as high as 35 cents per kWh on-peak -- which is when the solar panels are generating the most. In those areas solar is a no-brainer even without any subsidies. Given decent financing terms, those peoples' monthly solar loan/lease payment will be lower than their monthly electric bill from day one, and after the system is paid off their power is free.

      So... even unsubsidized, solar is a clear win for a huge swath of the population (most of the population lives on the coasts) right now. It's less clear for the rest of the country, but I think carefully-constructed deals can still be a win with subsidies and perhaps without. As solar prices continue dropping and efficiencies continue increasing it will soon be a clear win for almost everyone.

      At that point things are going to get really interesting, because the fixed costs of operating and maintaining the grid will start to become a much more significant portion of the utility companies' costs, and all of those grid-connected solar-powered homes will become a drag on the utilities' finances. They'll have to introduce high monthly connection fees which will make solar less attractive. Maybe by then storage will be cheap enough that people will choose to disconnect from the grid, making the utilities' problems even worse, requiring even higher connection fees. State and local government may end up requiring that all residences be connected to the grid and pay the connection fees, or start collecting monies for grid maintenance as part of the property taxes or something.

    34. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by LtNacho · · Score: 1

      Interesting. I live in New York and we're at 14 cents per KWH. We also have state incentives in addition to federal. That all makes the financials better for my situation. My payback period does assume net metering and that is something I am concerned about, but at this point I think net metering will hold for at least 7 years here. We could argue external costs, the benefits / drawbacks of the incentives, but the pure financials have to make sense for widespread adoption. I agree that a 17 year payback doesn't make much sense and you would be better off investing in making your house more efficient.

    35. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately as it seems most people seem to have the same attitude as you towards "making a difference", nothing will ever change until a strong leader for change appears. Georgetown seem to have forward looking leaders. :o) http://www.texastribune.org/20...

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    36. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      they also think it should be instantly 100% effective in 5 minutes. they seem to forget its taken decades for fossil fuels to get as efficient as they are now even though they are still horrible polluters.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    37. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      What does the power company do? Run power plants to provide night power, maintain a grid, all for zero bills?
      Yes. As night power is base load. The fact you have a 1GW roof top solar power plant does not influence the actually installed:
      a) grid
      b) plants
      at all.
      At night absolutely nothing is changing regardless how many people install roof top solar. Same amount of power needed, same amount of plants involved, same amount of power produced, fuel consumed etc.
      In other words: exact same costs for utilities regardless how much solar power you install.

      No idea why people like me have to take you at your neck and put your nose into this "shit" when all this is plain and obvious.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    38. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Friend lives in Texas, after subsidies his solar setup cost about $8K or so as I recall. His electric bill has been zeroed most months and about $30 when it hasn't been. I'd say it was worth it for him at least. In my area there's no subsidies and no installers I'd be willing to come near my house. When I've gotten costing it's been in $20K range and not cover my bill so until something changes it's not good for me - yet.

    39. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Sorry for mixing two addressants.

      I can not shunt power to a battery bank then once that fills up shunt the excess to the grid. In my state you are either grid tied or not.
      Of course you can. This is called balancing energy. All this "SmartGrid" stuff and putting EVs on a SmartGrid is exactly about this. The Power company wants you to fill your battery when they have excess power. Instead of being forced to sell it for a negative price e.g. ((( yes yes ... you have no clue how it works so your first shout is: no no no, I want to charge my car when *I* want ... rest assured: no you wont. )))
      And of course it is completely legal to build a 10MWh battery and use it only for balancing power Very likely even in your country. You only have to announce it to the grid authorities and the power companies. (Or your country is in fact decades behind in grid technology and politics) I can attach as much power as I want as a "consumer" and as a "producer" ... If I want to work in the balancing market, or reserve power even. I only have to announce it and fulfill the regulative requirements.

      Most of the cost these days is not the cells themselves anyway. It is the install cost. Getting a certified electrician willing to climb onto a roof is not cheap. I can get the parts form 5-15k before rebates. Then add another 10-15k for install.
      That is complete bollocks. You can install the panels yourself and let the electrician only do the connections. Or even only verify the connections.

      It doesn't help that I have a tall house, my first floor ceilings in the main living room are 18+ feet tall, the peak of my roof is over 35 feet off the ground. I have zero interest in climbing up there.

      What about using one of the house fronts instead? Perhaps you don't like the looks ... but well, a matter of taste, IMHO.
      There are plenty of other things to consider. E.g. if your house is a bit tilted versus north/south the two fronts that cover most of south and west might be the most interesting. To give shade and produce power. Probably just the corner pointing south west and 5 yards in each direction.

      Or you build something we call in german a winter garden. A glass house connected to one side of the house giving protection on cold days, probably with a small pond in it to balance heat and cold. You could place solar panels around in a way that they mainly produce shade in the summer. To prevent heating up the glass house. In other words: don't focus on the energy they produce but the benefit of shade. Yeah ... you could get that cheaper :D

      Also there are plenty of solar solutions that don't rely on PV panels but on foils or even paint. Probably something like that suits you more.

      Interesting perhaps to save costs: if you have a roof suited for it, you simply can place two sided panels in a west and east facing direction (like wine yards). They bottom line produce the same amount, often more kWh but have a different peak (two peaks) during daytime kW than the typical south facing panels.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    40. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I really wonder how you justify all your math when it comes around economics, when you get simple stuff like this wrong:
      It might rise another half a foot or so by the end of this century.
      Sea level rises are about 2mm per year. With 84 years (and 9 month) left in this century that is by simple pi over thump calculation: two feet. Not half a foot.

      Any change in climate due to mankind is largely committed at this point.
      True, so we likely have those 2 feet rise.

      A few more solar panels and a few more wind farms won't change that.
      Semi true, as the time and hopefully mankind goes on after the next 100 years.

      With majour economies trying to reach zero CO2 foot prints soon, I'm confident we can turn the tide.

      E.g. India and China have long coasts. They lose lots of land, they have a high incentive to change their habits.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    41. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hell, roofs in Texas don't even last 15 years -- couple of hail-storms and you have a busted solar array and you need your roof replaced. I agree with you, here in Texas, it makes zero sense to install solar panels on your house.

      Harming myself financially to make basically no difference to the environment would be illogical. Oh sure, if EVERYONE would do it, then yes, it would help. But I don't have the ability to control that and my actions won't inspire people.

      That's the 'Tragedy of the Commons', and hence why this problem can only be solved by government intervention.

    42. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I told you already to google for reliable sources.

      That would be in this case german sources. I doubt you find many that pay over 30 cents. I believe if I count everything I'm at 28 cent, and I did not even switch to a cheaper provider yet. Funnily if I would switch to a 100% renewable my power bill would be much lower.

      But so what, they are paying up to 5 times my power rates.

      No they don't. They pay less than half what you pay.

      X * 7 cents > (X / 10) * 30 cents.

      Your X is the amount of power you consume. You think you pay "consumer" prices but in fact you pay "corporate client" prices. The german average for a family of 4 is like 4.400kWh per year. Which equals to roughly EUR 1500 per year in costs.

      We all know you pay much much much more :D

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    43. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      The bills aren't zero, though. You still pay a grid connection fee. You still pay for 'delivery charge'. And yes, there obviously will be a tipping point where net metering will need to change, but we're nowhere close to that regardless of what the corporate puppets on the Nevada PUC have decided to do. It's worth noting that California had the same chance to change net metering shortly after Nevada made their decision, and decided to change nothing.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    44. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      Sure you did, why don't you put down the actual numbers because every time I've done it the ROI is less than 10 years unsubsidized and 3 years with the subsidy. A 3 year ROI beats nearly every single investment you can make. Also the panels themselves are warrantied for 25 years. You have a guaranteed 25 years of power, how long they last after that is an unknown, but the panels Carter put on the White house were still generating power when GW Bush took them off. In fact the vast majority of the panels installed in the 70's are still generating power.

    45. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      An average of 5 peak sunlight hours per day puts you the same as California, Nevada, Utah, and Colorado - all of which are installing solar as fast as possible.

      People are installing solar in New York, Maryland, Delaware, and Pennsylvania, which get even less peak sunlight, and it still pencils out.

      It's fair to say that you get super cheap energy from the grid - I know I do. But to say "we only get 5 hours of sunlight" is complete bunk.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    46. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So in order for a 20 year warranty to be any good to you, you want a company to have been around for 20 years first? If everyone took that attitude, no company would ever make the mark.

      You do realize that these warranties are usually serviced by a third party under contract, right?

    47. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      they also think it should be instantly 100% effective in 5 minutes. they seem to forget its taken decades for fossil fuels to get as efficient as they are now even though they are still horrible polluters.

      I really enjoy old school engines. The technology of them at any rate. If you go to Youtube you can see a lot of the old hit and miss engines, Heavy oil engines, Kerosene/gasoline hybrids.

      But as cool as they are, They are incredibly primitive, and a maintenance nightmare. Today, when we regularly putt 200 300 K miles on our engines without a thought., we might lose sight of the broken wrists and arms, the constant breakdowns, the weight and amount of labor just ot get them to run.

      Just for fun, here are a few: Enjoy!

      A 1911 Chase touring car. https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      Look at this beauty - a 1912 Cadillac. Superb, but can you see today's folks putting up with that starting sequence? https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      Here's an 1885 Benz Motorwagon. Not certain if an original or a replica https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      Not an automobile, but this is one of my favorites,an old Fairbanks Morse it's just fun to listen to. https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      And you know what? I'd bet my life that the horse and buggy people all had variations on what the fossil fuel fanatics say about alternative energy.

      I'll leave with this - The polluted and death filled Horse drawn paradigm in the cities. Certainly more disgusting and grim than the automobile paradigm today, but some folks fought damn hard against th epetrofueld automobile. http://uctc.net/access/30/Acce...

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    48. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The internet is a critical thinking free zone it's all about feelings and intuition here.

    49. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by slashping · · Score: 1

      Sea level change isn't slowing down. In the last 20 years, it's been going up by 3.3 mm/year, while in the decades before that it was only 1.7 mm/year. Major glaciers in Greenland and Antarctica are speeding up. The most likely scenario is that it will keep speeding up the next century.

    50. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Other papers state counter - that sea level rise is slowing. And if you look at the data I linked to, the rate of change is dropping - it's slowing down.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    51. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      The bills aren't zero, though.

      No, but they are bloody darn close. If I install solar tomorrow and put enough on to produce annually what I consume, then more or less they are zero. The only cost would be a $5.99 connection fee.

      You still pay a grid connection fee.

      Not much of one, I pay $5.99 a month to have a connection to the grid. That wouldn't actually provide power at odd hours and maintain the grid if that is all they collected each month.

      You still pay for 'delivery charge'.

      No, with net-metering, if you use 2,000 kWh from the grid and you end up feeding back 2,000 kWh to the grid, there is no "delivery charge". It is canceled out and you pay basically nothing.

      And yes, there obviously will be a tipping point where net metering will need to change, but we're nowhere close to that regardless of what the corporate puppets on the Nevada PUC have decided to do.

      That is easy to say, when you have no money on the line. It becomes a bit more complex when you're considering putting up $25,000.

      As it stands, with net-metering, I would save about $1,500 a year in power after putting up $25,000. If net-metering were to go away and they switch to buying the power at wholesale rates and not providing "delivery charge" credits, then the $1,500 goes to about $750 a year (or less).

      It was bloody marginal WITH net-metering, it becomes utterly pointless WITHOUT it.

      ---

      It is also worth noting that electricty only provides about 2/3 of the total energy to my home, so even with 100% solar, I still would spend about $85 a month on gas. This month is actually pretty averge, since it isn't hot yet but the cold of winter is gone.

      My monthly bill was $237.31 - Of that, $151.50 was for electric charge and $85.81 was for gas. With a 10KW solar system, about $125 of that bill, on average, would be removed. I used 1,597 KWh of total power this month, so my average charge per KWh was 9.5 cents, and that includes all taxes and connection fees.

    52. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Sure you did, why don't you put down the actual numbers

      I've only posted them like three different times in this one story.

      What I find is that people then try to say it somehow makes sense anyway. Or argue something else, or don't reply at all.

      $25,000 net cost ($35,000 before tax credit) to me to install a 10KW system, it will save me about $1,500 a year in power, assuming several things.

      1. Net-metering won't change
      2. The equipment won't cost anything to maintain

      That is a 16.6 year return on investment, and that is WITH the 30% tax rebate. And it only works WITH net-metering, which likely won't be here in 16 years.

      If you remove net-metering and add $500 a year of maintenance costs (averaging what you need over 10 years, including a new inverter), and the return on investment is infinity, since the system will never pay for itself.

      Why don't you post your 3 year ROI numbers?

    53. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      An average of 5 peak sunlight hours per day puts you the same as California, Nevada, Utah, and Colorado - all of which are installing solar as fast as possible.

      CA is installing 40% of the national distributed solar, largely due to large tax incentives within the state.

      The next 9 states are another 44%, for a total of 84% of the national solar installs in just 10 states.

      Why is it that you can't understand it is all about the tax incentives that make this work, without them it simply doesn't.

      It's fair to say that you get super cheap energy from the grid - I know I do. But to say "we only get 5 hours of sunlight" is complete bunk.

      I looked up this past month's bill, it was almost exactly 9.5 cents per KWh and that includes all taxes and fees.

      Where I live, we average 5.5 hours of sunlight a day annually. Oh sure it is 10 hours some days, but it is nothing other days. Actually it may be less than that, I just went here:

      http://pvwatts.nrel.gov/pvwatt...

      and did a quick calculation, it says based on the angle of my roof, I would get a net effective 4.68 hours of solar radiation per day for a 10KW system. It would save me an estimated 13,100 KWh per year, or about $1,244.50 which is even less than the estimates from the solar power installers.

      Spending $25,000 out of pocket after tax credits to save $1,244.50 a year is a really bad investment, considering the risks. It assumes net-metering never goes away, which if it did, would remove much of that savings. It also assumes that for 20 years, ZERO maintenance would be required to the system. Oh sure the panels likely are fine, but the inverter won't last 20 years and there is always something to fix now and then.

    54. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      No they don't. They pay less than half what you pay.

      English is not your strong suit, is it?

      I said "power rates". My words. "power rates" refers to the price per KWh.

      Germany pays (yes it does, multiple Internet sources agree on this) an average of 35 cents per KWh, I pay between 7 cents and 9.5 cents per KWh depending on location.

      The total amount of power consumed is beside the point. The US is not going to go down to the German average per year, it just won't, that is a completely pointless comparison since it just will not happen. Our houses are bigger, we have large areas of very hot summers, and we simply consume more resources. This will not change in the near term and won't move all that much in the long term.

      As long as the US pays an average just over 11 cents per KWh, all the stuff that makes sense in Germany at 35 cents per KWh does NOT make sense here, unless tons of tax incentives are tossed at it.

    55. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Still, it only cost $10K to put a brand new 25 year roof on, and it took them only one day to do it (with like a billion Mexicans of course). And that price included materials, labor, and a complex roof install fairly high up.

      I think solar prices, at least in my area, are just expensive because so few people are doing it. I have 100 companies to call for a roof.

      Damn, I can barely get a price quote under 15,000 for my roof, mine isn't that high up, or especially complex, and while I have a lot of companies to call, almost none of them bother to call back.

      So far, it seems easier to go with the solar install people, who happen to do roof work as well, especially since the portion of panels I put on the roof will be covered as a deductible expense. They've called me back, and shown an interest in giving a shit.

      I'm not saying we need a federal roofing inspector, but I'm beginning to wish my state, or county, or city, bothered to give a crap. I can't trust their warranties or guarantees, I don't expect the installation to be meet code, let alone the manufacturer's specifications, or even my insurance company. I have zero confidence in holding them accountable either. Two Jokers in a truck, while the alleged responsible party puts all the blame on them...how does that work out in my favor?

      My only problem is that it'll cost 50 grand to do it, but that's because there is a patio I need to be torn up and replaced so I can cover it with panels. Who the fuck puts a single layer of clay pieces over dirt and calls it a patio anyway? Who the fuck?

    56. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 0

      That's dirt cheap, among the cheapest in the country.

      Yes, and it is one reason why I'm not installing solar on my roof, and no one else around here is either.

      In fact, it's below the average for Texas, which is 11.5 cents. And, are you sure that's the total rate? Most utilities do a tiering system where usage above certain thresholds costs more.

      Yes, completely sure. I just looked up my bill for last month for my house.

      Putting aside my gas bill, which will be there regardless of solar, I paid $144.01 in electric energy charge, $1.50 in city sales tax, and $5.99 in municipal franchise fee.

      Total was $151.50.

      I used 1,597 KWh of power, so I actually paid just under 9.5 cents per KWh, including all monthly fees and taxes. There is no tiered rate, the price is the same no matter how much I use. It actually drops a bit, considering that there is a $10 flat customer charge included in my $144.01 up there, so doubling the power would not double the bill, but it would be close.

      My office, I actually pay 7.2 cents per KWh, I looked that up a few months ago, that is what it worked out to, total bill divided by usage.

      Side note: I'm in a co-op, I actually get a check back for a few hundred dollars each year. Any profits made over the reserves required are paid back to the members. The capital credits are retired on a regular basis as well, so I often get a second check for some small amount each year as well.

      My payback period, assuming rates are unchanged, would be about 12 years. Without the government subsidies, it jumps to 15, but the system I looked at is warrantied for 25 years (equipment and labor). That unsubsidized payback is marginal, but not bad, assuming good financing and a lowish discount rate. I think it may make even more sense to install just enough solar to ensure that I never buy any power at the 14.5 cent tier, and knock out a chunk of the 11.6 cent tier.

      You are assuming that you'll always keep net-metering, but that can't happen. It will for awhile, but sooner or later, if too many people put solar up, it will have to go away. Do the math WITHOUT net metering, I'm willing to bet your payback period extends out beyond 25 years.

      People living on both coasts are paying closer to 20 cents per kWh, and in areas with peak/off-peak pricing it can go as high as 35 cents per kWh on-peak -- which is when the solar panels are generating the most. In those areas solar is a no-brainer even without any subsidies. Given decent financing terms, those peoples' monthly solar loan/lease payment will be lower than their monthly electric bill from day one, and after the system is paid off their power is free.

      Sure, I agree, if I lived there, solar would indeed make sense. But then I would ask the question WHY is power so expensive there? It shouldn't be. In fact, the idea that it costs MORE to buy MORE power is stupid. Generally when you buy more, it costs LESS.

      Walk into a car dealer and buy one car, pay X price. Buy 20 cars from the fleet department, pay less than X price. The reason power is higher there is due to taxes, regulations, and government meddling in the markets.

      It costs 2.2 cents per KWh to buy the fuel for a coal fired power plant, it costs another penny or so to run the place. Which is why wholesale power for coal in Texas is about 3.5 cents per KWh. There is a delivery charge added to that, another 3.5 cents, then taxes and fees and profit.

      If you're paying 20 cents a KWh, then you're just paying government to make your power expensive. Even wind power doesn't cost that much. Here wind power is about 6.5 cents wholesale.

      At that point things are going to get really interesting, because the fixed costs of operating and maintaining the grid will start to become a much more significant portion of the utility companies' costs, and all of those grid-connected solar-powe

    57. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Interesting. I live in New York and we're at 14 cents per KWH. We also have state incentives in addition to federal. That all makes the financials better for my situation. My payback period does assume net metering and that is something I am concerned about, but at this point I think net metering will hold for at least 7 years here. We could argue external costs, the benefits / drawbacks of the incentives, but the pure financials have to make sense for widespread adoption. I agree that a 17 year payback doesn't make much sense and you would be better off investing in making your house more efficient.

      Thank you for the considered and measured response. Too many people here respond with vitriol. :)

      Allow me to say, if I was in your shoes, I may well install solar as well. At 14 cents per KWh and added state incentives (which we don't have in Texas), I can see how that would tip the balance in favor of solar.

      As for net-metering for 7 years, that may well be reasonable. I personally wouldn't want to count on a lot longer than that, but 7 years is not THAT long either. If my payback period was 7 years, I would probably take the gamble.

      I agree that a 17 year payback doesn't make much sense and you would be better off investing in making your house more efficient.

      Yep, that is why none of the houses around here have solar. :) As for my house, you're correct. My power company came out and did an energy audit for me for free (and gave me a 12 pack of CFL bulbs for free). My number one cause of heat/cold loss? My windows. I really, really need new windows. I have dual pane windows, but they are cheap builder grade units and some of the seals are not holding. They used a thermal camera to show the problem spots, but overall I could probably cut $50-100 a month from my energy bill by replacing windows.

      The only problem is that I have so much glass, putting in the good stuff will be over $10,000. It is a better rate of return than solar, given that it is a guaranteed rate that doesn't depend on government laws, sunlight, or anything else to save me power. But it still isn't exciting.

      The primary problem is that I pay so little for power, I have no incentive to save it. The only upgrade that DID make sense was HVAC. I replaced a 12 year old crappy 13 SEER HVAC with a new 16 SEER two stage, two speed unit. It cut a bunch off my bill overnight. And I had to do it anyway, since the downstairs AC finally crapped out and it would have been thousands to fix. And I need HVAC, so might as well save each month. The house stays cooler in the summer and warmer in the winter, since it is a much more efficient unit.

      Other areas to save, don't save enough to bother with. I did replace every bulb in my house with LED, that does make a difference and the payback period is 1-2 years, complete no brainer. Anyone who still uses incandescent bulbs in their house is bad at math. CFLs make a hum, but the LEDs are completely silent and provide smooth stable light. They now cost less than $5 each, so at 9 watts for a 60 watt replacement, that makes a billion tons of sense. I even replaced the bathroom and closet lights, just because.

    58. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      Let me guess, you live in Washington or Oregon where your power rates are 5.35 cents a kwh and you think your ridiculously subsidized power rates are comparable to the rest of the country? Because let me tell ya, a 10kwh system isn't going to save $1,500 bucks where I live! Hell I pay $300 a month for nearly 6 months during the summer and I have a power rate that tiers to three separate prices depending on use.

    59. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      So I charted the data you cited and it doesn't look like it's slowing down to me. A linear trend line through the data shows about 3.3 mm/year of rise which would be 330 mm in 100 years. A recently published study found that over the last 2800 years the fastest sea level rise (until the last 150 years) was around 30 or 40 mm/century and sea level didn't get more than 76 mm above or below the 2000 year average.

    60. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by delt0r · · Score: 1

      So a quick BOTE calculation, for an *average* of 1GW in the most optimal places in the world, you need about 36km2. This is very optimistic and doesn't include self shadowing etc, so realistic figures would be closer to 40km2 or more. This is smaller that a square 7km on each side. So well with the realms of plausible. However it is only 1 GW average, and we have the problem of the cost. No one is going to pay $2 kWh for power at the station. Well i don't think they will.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    61. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by delt0r · · Score: 1

      You forgetting the all important Zombie Apocalypse Readiness Factor (ZARF). Solar is a big bonus in ZARF! With solar and a moat, you get a ZARF of at least 2 depending on your drawbridge design.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    62. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, I agree, if I lived there, solar would indeed make sense. But then I would ask the question WHY is power so expensive there? It shouldn't be. In fact, the idea that it costs MORE to buy MORE power is stupid. Generally when you buy more, it costs LESS.

      Walk into a car dealer and buy one car, pay X price. Buy 20 cars from the fleet department, pay less than X price. The reason power is higher there is due to taxes, regulations, and government meddling in the markets.

      You're mistaken, as above was talking about PEAK power, as opposed to wholesale power or other arguments where it is simply a matter of scale.

      Go into a dealer, and say you want 20 cars...you'll have a couple of weeks for them to get you those if you want to pay fleet prices. Go in and say you want 20 cars right now? They may be able to provide, but some dealers won't be able to manage it. And if you want 20 specific cars, or 20 uniform ones, don't count on it. They may be able to supply some, but not all.

      Now when it comes to electrical power, well, they don't have to worry TOO much about types of power, the few places that still had DC customers for example, have transitioned them off to a large extent, and there are relatively few isolated exceptionals on the US grid, like upstate New York, but the amount, and the connections, it can be quite complicated. Power production prefers to be steady, for various reasons, but demand tends to fluctuate even in a single day, or a particular time. And yes, power demand has a cost on transmissions lines as well. Say you want your home to be supplied with a lot more amps. Depending on what was installed, you may not be able to manage 250-amps, and some older homes have under 100-amp supplies. You can get, say a 500-amp supply to your home if you want, but it will cost more. And if you want 3-phase industrial power, expect to pay for that too.

      So no, you can't just assume that you'll pay less. Sure, if you are willing to commit to a specific amount, you might get a wholesale deal, but that's not how residential power pricing works anyway.

      As for why some places have peak power pricing, it's to account for actual costs of production/supply, rather than having it averaged out. That way high-demand users, who put a strain on the system, are made to pay for it, rather than have it lost in the flow.

      It has its merits as an argument over flat-pricing for consumers, if something of a downside for those who can't be flexible in their power-usage, or who can get caught unprepared in an emergency.

    63. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, that is why none of the houses around here have solar. :) As for my house, you're correct. My power company came out and did an energy audit for me for free (and gave me a 12 pack of CFL bulbs for free). My number one cause of heat/cold loss? My windows. I really, really need new windows. I have dual pane windows, but they are cheap builder grade units and some of the seals are not holding. They used a thermal camera to show the problem spots, but overall I could probably cut $50-100 a month from my energy bill by replacing windows.

      The only problem is that I have so much glass, putting in the good stuff will be over $10,000. It is a better rate of return than solar, given that it is a guaranteed rate that doesn't depend on government laws, sunlight, or anything else to save me power. But it still isn't exciting.

      One wonders what kind of excitement you'd expect from such home improvements. It's not like you want things to be interesting. But have you considered as an interim to get window film over your windows? This would only be necessary on those that are sun-facing, mostly the south, but sometimes the east and west, and would run a reasonable price per square foot. Some of them won't even interfere with opening the windows.

      Of course, if you don't care about opening the windows, you can get a bit more involved and cover the seals as well, but as you say you are in Texas, solar heat gain is likely big enough to merit dealing with just on any south-sides. If you cared to do it yourself, maybe 500 dollars might pay off rather quickly.

    64. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by j-beda · · Score: 1

      Saving $1,500 a year for a $25,000 investment is a lousy return on investment.

      I don't know - a 6% return is pretty decent. Historical stock market returns are in the 6-11% range, with significant volitility. Bonds and other investments are typically lower. Additionally, but one should keep in mind that when one avoids speding money, that saved money is equivalent to tax free income. Depending on one's tax bracket, that can significantly change the calculations.

      A 6% tax free return on investment would seem to be hard to beat with any reliability, and the risk profile for this type of investment seems much lower than anything with similar returns. What else are you going to do with your $25,000?

      WIth that said, I haven't dropped any coin on similar investments myself.

    65. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      The extra 16% on install cost takes a lot out of it, but for what it is worth, the delta between your cost of capital and rate of return is what gives you your net metering "guarantee."

      If you want to lower your risk just put in a smaller system though-- go for 4 or 5kW now and leave space to add later. Then you have substantially lower net metering risk (the system isn't likely to ever produce more energy than you consume within a month, which will be the last type of plan to be dropped). You get the feel-good of being "green," and lower your long term bills. Micro inverters work well for this type of setup.

    66. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The graph on the site you provided shows 75mm rise in the last 20 years, in a linear upwards trend. Disregarding (rather optimistically most would say) the recent sharp rise at the end of the chart, and any further increases in CO2/temp you get a 100 year number of 375mm. Given sea level rise isn't consistent by location it's easy to see a 1/2 metre rise in many locations. If it pans out that the mainstream science was right and the fossil fuel lobby got their numbers wrong ie: CO2 does cause warming, then you are looking at the 1 metre by 2100 mark that engineers work on in my country (Actually 1.3 metres at 2100 due to a conservative 0.3m error margin).

    67. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      Good point, I forgot about DC line losses. Your car charger comment, however , is spot on. Designing a solar installation as part of the structure could include ensuring it is cable of supplying a car charger, and use the power generated to charge a car when demand is likely low on the grid and thus avoid the situation where you are supplying grid power at a time when it is least needed and thus reimbursed at a low rate.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    68. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      They really shouldn't pay top dollar at times when they can produce for less from other sources; which is the utilities argue net against net metering and why net metering returns should not be included in a total cost of ownership calculation.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    69. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      No idea why people like me have to take you at your neck and put your nose into this "shit" when all this is plain and obvious.

      That is what I keep thinking about you.

      Yes. As night power is base load.

      Yea, so they will provide all that power at night for FREE, and run the grid for FREE, just because... REASONS?

      At night absolutely nothing is changing regardless how many people install roof top solar. Same amount of power needed, same amount of plants involved, same amount of power produced, fuel consumed etc.
      In other words: exact same costs for utilities regardless how much solar power you install.

      IF MY UTILITY BILL IS ZERO, THEY GET NO MONEY. HOW DO THEY RUN THE POWER GRID 24/7 AND PROVIDE POWER AT NIGHT FOR ZERO DOLLARS?

      Just in case you missed it the first time, since I've said this already.

    70. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      WUWT? ROTFLMAO! Btw, here's the latest plot from your original source at sealevel.colorado.edu of data extended to 2016: Sea level from 1993 (seasonal signals removed). I don't see any signs of a slow down. You can try to say it slowed down a bit from 2003 - 2011 as the WUWT article did but 2011 is a cherry pick because of the large dip that year. The 2011 dip btw was due to a strong La Nina that year that brought an excessive amount of rain to some areas which took a couple of years to drain back out to the sea.

    71. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Adding renewables (actually: reducing emissions) won't fix the damage that has already been incurred, but it will definitely reduce the amount of additional damage in the future.

      You're completely correct. However, you don't address the issue of "will these changes make a noticeable difference?"

      Example. You have a swimming pool, 100,000 people are peeing in it. Result? The pool is no longer safe to swim in without being cleaned. Now lets say you remove 2,000 of the people peeing in the pool. Better result, right? Not really, the pool is still not safe to swim in. Now lets say you remove 99,000 of the people peeing in it. Much better? Yes, now it probably is safe to swim in (even if you emotionally don't want to because *eww*).

      Solar currently makes less than 1% of the power in the US. Raising it to 2% won't really change the outcome. Raising it to 20% won't either, considering the US isn't the only CO2 emitter in the world.

      Raising the worldwide total of solar to 20% (which would be a monster task) would be nice, but even that might not make enough difference to really change anything. It would also cost a TON of money.

      The question is, "is that the best way to spend that money?" Or would that money be better spent planning for the changes that are coming?

      ---

      Different example:

      You're on the Titanic, you just hit the ice burg, you're trying to do everything you can to save the ship.

      The chief designer comes to you and says, "the ship is going to sink". You don't want to hear it, so you keep fighting it, saying "well, if we form a bucket brigade, it'll slow it down by buying us more time".

      Yea, but rescue is 5 hours away and the ship has 3 hours of life left. If you form a bucket brigade, you'll buy another 20 min of time, but it won't make enough difference to count.

      Instead, what if you spend your 3 hours ripping up the decks, building makeshift life-rafts? You have a 2 hour gap that you have to "adapt to" to allow people to stay out of the water before RMS Carpathia arrives. You can fight the loss of the ship (or in this case, the coastal cities), or accept that they are now lost and start moving people now.

    72. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      A 6% tax free return on investment would seem to be hard to beat with any reliability, and the risk profile for this type of investment seems much lower than anything with similar returns. What else are you going to do with your $25,000?

      While I would normally tend to agree, there are a few issues with that.

      First, the 6% return on investment requires that the system have ZERO maintenance cost over a 16 year period to pay itself back. Now I get that solar is low maintenance, I get that. But it isn't likely ZERO maintenance over 16 years. At the least you'll need to replace the inverter once most likely.

      Second, the 6% return on investment depends on net-metering remaining for 16 years. I don't see that as very likely. Maybe for half of it. But keep in mind, the $1,500 saved is just an estimate, it could be more or less. If the angle of my roof is off from the 30 degree number, then it will be less unless they can adjust it during installation. Further, if net-metering goes away, then so does half of the savings.

      So it isn't really 6%. It could be 7-8% if I get more than average amounts of sun, net-metering stays for 16 years, and nothing breaks for almost two decades. OR... It could be almost ZERO percent if I get a bit less than average sun, one or two things break over two decades, and net-metering goes away.

    73. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      If you want to lower your risk just put in a smaller system though-- go for 4 or 5kW now and leave space to add later.

      Sure, but a 5KW system is $15K out of pocket to install, vs $25K for 10KW. A lot of the cost is not panels, once you're out here putting in everything, there are many sunk costs.

      . Then you have substantially lower net metering risk (the system isn't likely to ever produce more energy than you consume within a month, which will be the last type of plan to be dropped).

      We have smart meters, so they can track energy in both directions. If I'm producing extra during the day and using extra at night, I'll be paying 9.5 cents for the power at night and "earning" 3.5 cents for the extra during the day.

      The math completely doesn't work at all when that happens. The only way it works is if I get credit for 9.5 cents for every watt I put on the grid, no matter what.

      I have zero faith that has any long term future, and frankly it shouldn't, it makes no logical sense for the power company for so many reasons.

      The panels are down to less than a dollar a watt, I've seen them for 75 cents online. So $7,500 of the $25,000 install cost is panels, the rest is labor, inverters/wires/etc., and permits and racks and such.

      I suppose if the panels were indeed made completely free, this would all make sense, but until we get the total cost of install down, it simply doesn't.

      ---

      You get the feel-good of being "green," and lower your long term bills.

      And now we come to the primary problem of this whole plan. Yea, feel-good is nice, but most people want to spend their money on practical solutions. A few years ago I replaced my 12 year old 13 SEER HVAC system with a brand new 16 SEER 2 stage, 2 speed system. It did three things for me:

      1. The house gets cooler/warmer faster, the system is far more able to control the temp in the house compared to the old system. It also more even since it can run at a reduced 60% setting for longer, keeping the air moving and not going from BLAST ON to OFF.

      2. My power bill went down perhaps $100 on average each month. The summer dropped the most, but overall it was a nice savings and clearly noticeable.

      3. I need HVAC, and my old system seized up at the compressor. So I had no working AC for downstairs. Sure, for a few thousand I could have replaced that and kept the old system going, but spending thousands on a 12 year old crappy system is stupid.

      So replacing my HVAC solved multiple problems, primary of which was my AC needing to work.

      Solar? Besides "feel-good" and maybe a long term return on investment, what *problem* does it solve? Save the planet? For $25,000, you'll need a better answer than that. :)

    74. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Let me guess, you live in Washington or Oregon where your power rates are 5.35 cents a kwh

      No, I live in Texas where I pay a flat 9.5 cents for power.

      Hell I pay $300 a month for nearly 6 months during the summer and I have a power rate that tiers to three separate prices depending on use.

      Two things:

      1. $300 a month is nothing, I have $500 bills in the summer. I also work from home, like my house at 72 degrees, and probably have a larger house than you (I'm in Texas, lots of houses here are big)
      2. You're being ripped off by your utility and/or government. Power should get cheaper the more you buy, not more expensive. You pay more because of non-power cost reasons, that doesn't make solar good, it makes your situation crap.

    75. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      They really shouldn't pay top dollar at times when they can produce for less from other sources; which is the utilities argue net against net metering and why net metering returns should not be included in a total cost of ownership calculation.

      I agree. But then most of the ROI I see solar do assumes net-metering.

      Remove that and for most people, I suspect solar becomes a bad financial choice.

      Sure, with battery backup on site and shifting power use across 24 or 48 hours using a battery, may solve the problem in the long run, the cost of that solution makes the problem worse, not better, at least for now.

    76. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      And, as has been discussed already, you and I both live in places where grid power is stupidly cheap in comparison to other places. Just because Solar doesn't pencil out for you or me, doesn't mean it is bad for everyone. It has something to do with incredibly small sample sizes when doing a statistical study.

      Solar does work in Texas, but perhaps not in your municipality because your energy company isn't putting the screws to you like other ones do. It works in Ohio too, but not around the Cincinnati area because we have barges loaded with coal floating past downtown every day, delivering coal to the rest of the nation (and world). However, our two data points don't make an accurate set to analyze.

      Fortunately, there are some folks that have far more data than that, and have done it properly. If you look on pages 13 and 14, they've done some nice maps of the US where they've indicated where the break-even cost on solar is depending on the installed cost per watt, and if time-of-use rates applied. At $3/watt, it's break-even everywhere except the Pacific Northwest, some bits of Appalachia (coal country), and southeast Missouri (on the Mississippi, where all the coal form coal country is shipped).

      Are you really trying to tell me that because Solar doesn't pencil out for you, that everyone else that researches this stuff is wrong?

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    77. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is it that you can't understand that what doesn't math out for you, does math out for literally millions of other people?

      Your rate that you pay for energy is below the average. Why is that hard to understand?

    78. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      2. You're being ripped off by your utility and/or government. Power should get cheaper the more you buy, not more expensive. You pay more because of non-power cost reasons, that doesn't make solar good, it makes your situation crap.

      Nope, not when it's irregular. Which is what residential power usage tends to be. Sure, on the individual scale, there's no way you can make a meaningful bump on the utilities's meters. You're unlikely to even impact your local neighborhood without some serious effort, ala BatCave or time-traveling DeLorean scale.

      Build an aluminum smelter, where you're going to purchase power day-in, day-out, sure. They'll work with you.

      For your home, where you may need lots of power one day, none the next? And where your neighbors may suddenly want power too?

      That leads to peak problems, which causes costs since they can't plan for it the cheap way, but have to be ready to grab it when they can, and that's not always feasible.

    79. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      They really shouldn't pay top dollar at times when they can produce for less from other sources; which is the utilities argue net against net metering and why net metering returns should not be included in a total cost of ownership calculation.

      I agree. But then most of the ROI I see solar do assumes net-metering.

      Remove that and for most people, I suspect solar becomes a bad financial choice.

      Sure, with battery backup on site and shifting power use across 24 or 48 hours using a battery, may solve the problem in the long run, the cost of that solution makes the problem worse, not better, at least for now.

      I agree, which is why I think residential solar won't see significant adoption until the units are built in as part of the design during initial construction. That would greatly reduce installation costs as well as better integrate the design and functionality of the equipment.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    80. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Fortunately, there are some folks that have far more data than that, and have done it properly. If you look on pages 13 and 14, they've done some nice maps of the US where they've indicated where the break-even cost on solar is depending on the installed cost per watt, and if time-of-use rates applied. At $3/watt, it's break-even everywhere except the Pacific Northwest, some bits of Appalachia (coal country), and southeast Missouri (on the Mississippi, where all the coal form coal country is shipped).

      That all sounds nice, but if you read it, you'll notice that they make some "assumptions" which actually aren't true today.

      "We also ... assume a carbon policy resulting in an effective cost of carbon equal to $25/ton of CO2"

      So they are assuming we'll have a carbon tax. So the entire thing only applies after that happens, which I don't see happening any time soon.

      Also: "we increased the base derate factor to 82%, representing anticipated improvement in inverters and other balance of system components."

      So they are assuming that the systems will produce more power than they actually do today, because "improvements". Fine, then wait until such things exist before telling people what the break-even cost is.

      ---

      Another quote:

      " It is important to note that in practice only a fraction of customers in these utility service territories are likely to meet all the criteria (full retail net metering, good solar exposure, and financing) to be at breakeven, and the presence of break-even conditions does not necessarily equate to large consumer adoption. Furthermore, there are budget caps for most current incentive programs and typically limits on the amount of net-metered systems that can be connected to the grid in a specific utility service territory."

      So frankly the whole thing sounds really good on the surface "oh look, lots of people at at or near break-even the future is here!" only to discover that really, it isn't.

      Are you really trying to tell me that because Solar doesn't pencil out for you, that everyone else that researches this stuff is wrong?

      Of course not, I fully understand why so many homes in San Fran have solar. The price of power there is high (along with real estate), and they have tiered power rates, plus incentives in the state to make solar work. If I lived there, I'd probably install it too.

      That being said, I suspect a lot of people that think solar makes sense, either don't do the math correctly or make assumptions that won't work out in the long run, but by the time they find out, they can't change their mind. Also, since no one likes to admit they made a mistake, they rationalize it to themselves and move their expectations "saving the earth" rather than "saving money".

      And, as has been discussed already, you and I both live in places where grid power is stupidly cheap in comparison to other places.

      I would follow that up with "so why exactly are power prices all over the place?" Coal doesn't change in price that much from place to place. It costs about $10, give or take, per ton of coal, to deliver it to your average plant. Some will be less, some more. Then you have running costs, which don't vary THAT much. Then delivery costs which average 3-4 cents per KWh. Why is anyone paying over 12 cents per KWh for power?

      If you jack with the market, put silly tiered rates that make bulk purchases go UP in price, tax it heavily, etc. then of course you can make solar look good. But power should not be that expensive and generally if it is, someone is messing with the system.

      It is the willingness of so many people to accept 20 cent (or more) KWh rates that is the real problem, or perhaps the unwillingness to challenge the system as to why power is that much. Hell, even wind power doesn't cost that much (if you prefer something besides coal), so do it with wind. Natural gas (where it is local) also costs very little these days.

      Now there are special cases, Hawaii for example, due to a lack of local resources and distance, so I totally get solar there. But CA? There is no reason power should cost what it does in CA, other than politics.

    81. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      I agree, which is why I think residential solar won't see significant adoption until the units are built in as part of the design during initial construction. That would greatly reduce installation costs as well as better integrate the design and functionality of the equipment.

      I would tend to agree. If you are a tract builder and have 150 homes to put up, you can contract with someone to install solar on every one of them, your costs of doing it at that time would far, far less, than doing them one at a time.

      Do you know of any major home builders that make solar on the roof a standard feature so that all the homes in the neighborhood have them?

    82. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      We are not talking about "zero".

      We are talking about what costs "are solar putting on the grid at night". That was your argument. Point is: no cost at all. Everything the grid needs at night it already has. Where the power over daytime comes from is irrelevant.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    83. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you lost track of the thread then...

      Net-metering is what I was talking about. Net-metering will never survive, it can't.

      As it stands, if I produce 20,000 KWh extra during the year and pump it back to the grid and consume 20,000 KWh off the grid, then I pay nothing (or effectively nothing, there is a $10 connection charge, but that won't run the power companies or power grid).

      My pumping all that power during the day onto the grid doesn't help provide power at night. They need power stations for that. Power stations cost money to run. If we all put up solar, they will have no money.

    84. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you know of any major home builders that make solar on the roof a standard feature so that all the homes in the neighborhood have them?

      There are, yes. For example.. But I imagine it doesn't immediately help you or most individuals. Which is why there are neighborhood solar projects as well:

      http://www.superiorsolar.com/neighborhood-solar-benefits-everyone
      http://neighborlysolar.com/
      http://www.earthshare.org/2014/06/solarbulk.html
      http://waldenlabs.com/how-to-power-and-entire-neighborhood-with-solar-energy/
      http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/solar-at-home/the-pleasant-way-to-go-solar-neighborhood-cooperatives/

      Solar co-ops are a thing.

      Personally, I'm trying to get my local electric utility to add a thermal camera to their energy audits, it would help a lot more than their generic advice.

    85. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      My english is good enough as I pointed out when I came to "total costs" which shows you, or should show you: the power rate is irrelevant.

      Germany pays (yes it does, multiple Internet sources agree on this) an average of 35 cents per KWh, I pay between 7 cents and 9.5 cents per KWh depending on location.

      Yes, and I told you: those sources are wrong, the average is 28cent, not 35. And it is dropping rapidly right now.

      As long as the US pays an average just over 11 cents per KWh, all the stuff that makes sense in Germany at 35 cents per KWh does NOT make sense here, unless tons of tax incentives are tossed at it.
      Of course it does. As like everything else: it would be cheaper in your country than in mine.
      When do you finally grasp that a cent in Europe, especially in Germany, is not a cent in the US?
      What does a gallon of fuel cost in your country? Guess what it costs here? How is that relevant for anything? For starters: it forces people here to use cheaper cars or drive less, use trains more often etc. But beyond that: it is not relevant at all. The situation here is completely different than in the US. E.g. we have a working public transport system, basically everywhere. So: *I can simply use a train and don't need a car*. And as a side note, I'm doing Aikido and get flamed for every post on youtube where people claim Aikido is useless in a "real street fight": Europe is safe! If you want to be beaten up in a street or mugged or robbed you really actively have to seek for trouble. (Yes, places which are unsafe exist, however I know no such place) It is no damn problem to come to a central station at 1:00 at night and either walk home or use a late night bus or local train to get home. Also I can use a bike safely everywhere. I just remember a thread half a year ago about special biking lanes on streets. The consensus on /. was: it will never work in the US as cars will park on it or drive on it. (facepalm) ... if you would know what it costs in the EU to park on a bike lane and get your car removed ... trust me, you get a used car for it in the US. OTOH again, some people here on /. told me what they pay for car insurance in the US ... ridiculous.

      So basically as soon as one explains: this never works in the US, he is right and wrong. Right: it does not work "right now" because the circumstances are different. Wrong: it would work if circumstances are different. So: either you want it or not. If you want it, change the circumstances, then the stuff on topic.

      Back to topic.
      You simply can not argue in any plausible way with german/european power prices for anything going on in the US. One simple thing e.g.: grid costs for consumers are usually rolled on the kWh a customer consumes. With same or higher costs for the actual infrastructure, but much lower kWh consumption obviously the grid part of the "power rate" is much much higher in my country than in your country.

      Example:
      For every European household the connection to the grid costs 300EUR per year.
      For every US household the connection to the grid costs 300EUR, too. (give or take ... for sake of argument). Why? There is no fundamental difference in how it works. Only "price niveau" or "level of living" would make a difference (like how much costs a burger in the US versus in the EU), but that is irrelevant for the argument.
      I use something like 1500kWH per year.
      I pay 420Euro, per year, at a "rate" of 28cent for those 1500kWH. So: over 50% are grid costs.

      Your rate is what? 7cent? Don't remember if it was 10cent with grid fees. Your grid costs are likely 7% or something.

      Anyway, I think you get the example. The "grid fee" on your bill is only per kWH because the over all total consumption and grid usage of all customers together is most easiest broken down by that. And somehow you want a "fair price" for every customer. Suppose all US customers would half their power cons

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    86. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      If the net metering is for power only, ofc it would work.
      The grid fee would be separate.

      E.g. if you feed in 20000kWh per year "your customer" would pay the grid fee. And you would only be payed for the "production" of the power.

      For the same 20000kWh you consume *you* would pay grid fee and production costs.

      So the question is: do you only want to produce occasionally at peak times and "lower" your bill, or do you want to go so far that you "earn money" or do you just want to be "net zero" in money on your house, or do you not care about paying a bit but want to be "net zero" on kWh?

      In Germany the idea of "net metering" does not exist.

      You feed into the grid and get a tariff that is right now controlled by law.
      You consume from the grid and you are billed according to your contract with your power company for kWh consumption/production and by the grid company (via the power company on a joined bill) for grid usage, also based on kWh transported. (For industrial customers grid fees work different).

      If I understand /. right, some people think you can draw X kWh from the utilities and feed back in X and be at zero costs? Of course that would not work. To be at zero, you need to feed more in to compensate for the grid costs you had when you drew the power.

      ((Also: In Germany you are no longer obliged to sell your solar power at "law tariffs" into the grid, you can sell it as well at the spot market. Many do that and earn a premium.))

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    87. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      If the net metering is for power only, ofc it would work.
      The grid fee would be separate.

      Here it isn't... And the only way solar even remotely works here is if you get complete net-metering with all fees included.

      If I understand /. right, some people think you can draw X kWh from the utilities and feed back in X and be at zero costs? Of course that would not work. To be at zero, you need to feed more in to compensate for the grid costs you had when you drew the power.

      It isn't a *think*, it is a fact. In MOST of the US (not all, there are rare exceptions) you get complete and pure net-metering.

      You get paid full retail price for your fed-in power, including the grid fee.

      If my bill is $150 today and I install solar and produce and feed back to the grid during the month as much as I consume, then my bill drops to $10, which is the monthly connection charge.

      That's it. I get 100% credit for all power fed to the grid. It works this way today because so few Americans have solar, but the utilities are pushing back as more people get solar and take advantage of this, they want to end net-metering outright. They want to buy your power for wholesale cost with no grid credit.

      Right now, I paid 9.5 cents per KWh at home last month, of that, wholesale price is about 3.5 cents per KWh. So without our current net-metering, I would get paid only 3.5 cents per KWh generated. As it stands, I get paid the full 9.5 cents per KWh.

      The 6% rate of return on solar that I am *estimated* to get right now, DEPENDS on the net-metering that I can get today. If it drops to 3.5 cents, then my return is cut in half to about 3% (or less)

    88. Re:What is that in REAL wattage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your electricity is currently coal powered, which means it is damaging your health (or some other person's health).

      Solar systems also do environmental damage, just from the chemicals used in the production processes. Disposal over the long term is likely to be a serious problem as well, especially the batteries!

  6. SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 4, Informative

    Last year I called SolarCity, they are offering to install panels for "free" to your home, then sell you the power for less than you're paying now.

    Sounds like a no-brainer, right? No up front cost, no maintenance, guaranteed power for less than you're paying now.

    Why NOT say yes?

    Except, they won't install in my area. They WILL install 2 miles away, because that is a different electric energy provider that gives bigger rebates than mine does (I live in a co-op that doesn't provide huge rebates and tax incentives).

    ---

    So it really comes down to the fact that all this solar makes sense only if you count on a whole pile of tax dollars.

    Even utility scale solar, which I've looked at investing in purely from an investment point of view, requires tax dollars to make work.

    http://www.absolutelysolar.com...
    FIT Program Areas
    FIT â" LADWP: The Department of Water and Powerâ(TM)s new solar Feed-In Tariff program. Buildings and land in the city of Los Angeles and parts of the Owens Valley are eligible.
    Look at the very bottom of that page:

    http://energy.gov/savings/ladw...
    And there is the program, promising to pay FAR above the "going rate" of power.

    So solar works, assuming you can count on the government money to keep flowing.

    1. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by DirkDaring · · Score: 1

      Maybe they should divert some of the 300+ billion that fossil fuels get in subsidies.

    2. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Basically they don't install it where you live for exactly the same reason as you wanted it installed. You would have installed it to pay less in electricity, to increase your available money, and they don't install it at your place because it would not increase their revenue. Shocking.

    3. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Basically they don't install it where you live for exactly the same reason as you wanted it installed. You would have installed it to pay less in electricity, to increase your available money, and they don't install it at your place because it would not increase their revenue. Shocking.

      You're missing the point. They won't install it here because there isn't enough government money in the form of local rebates and incentives to do so.

      Translation: Solar only works if a decent part of the cost is paid for by taxpayers.

    4. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They get those "subsidies" too. Although most people call them "expenses".

    5. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just like nuclear reactor or gas power plant also got subsidies.

    6. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're missing the point. They won't install it here because there isn't enough government money in the form of local rebates and incentives to do so.

      Translation: Solar only works if a decent part of the cost is paid for by taxpayers.

      So does nuclear. So does coal. Every form of power generation is heavily subsidised, but for some reason nobody is bothered that their tax dollars prop up fossil fuel power or nuclear power yet everyone gets their knickers in a twist about subsidising renewables.

    7. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by GLMDesigns · · Score: 2

      Which subsidies are you referring to. Every time I ask I get the same answer: accelerated depreciation. Sorry. I don't consider that to be a subsidy.

      I'm not a fan of fossil fuels so if you have links to subsidies (again not accelerated depreciation) I would be interested in seeing them.

      --
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    8. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by known_coward_69 · · Score: 1

      and fossil fuels only work when oil companies get cheap leases on federal land and a million man milirary ready to kill thousands of people to keep the overseas oil flowing in the name of freedom

    9. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And sports stadiums, because, jobs and you know, we need a home team, and jobs...never mind the extra police and road tear and congestion and all those other services...just say jobs and home team, Go Blue! or Red!

    10. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      Ok, so you are angry that you don't get something for nothing?

      From a network effect, rooftop solar reduces system costs: peak demand shifts from 1:30PM to about an hour before sunset, and the total peak magnitude is reduced. This is good for the utility, since it's costs are based on peak power flow.

      The Net Metering problem though is that users cram power one direction during the day and use it at night. The first solution to this is "smart grid" crap-- making sure your demand is minimized during the new peak period: pre-cool house; water heater, washer, dryer off; don't start cooking dinner until after 7:00; etc. When residential users do this, they reduce their usage of the grid, and can lower costs while still making net metering attractive for everyone. Seasonal effects are worse, and likely should be the first to go-- only carry a 4-month rolling balance or something.

    11. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by Mars+Saxman · · Score: 1

      The government money only needs to flow long enough to subsidize enough investment to bootstrap the industry. Prices are coming down and scale is going up, exactly as you would expect. The government is probably stuck providing some degree of subsidy for a long time to come simply because such political programs are difficult to kill, but it won't take many more years before solar is cheap enough to be the obvious choice with or without subsidy.

    12. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Ok, so you are angry that you don't get something for nothing?

      No, but I expect to get something for something. If I'm going to spend $25,000 on solar power, it has to provide more than $1,500 a year in power bill savings.

      From a network effect, rooftop solar reduces system costs: peak demand shifts from 1:30PM to about an hour before sunset, and the total peak magnitude is reduced. This is good for the utility, since it's costs are based on peak power flow.

      Good for them, but that isn't my problem. If the utility wants to provide more money to help pay for solar, I'm all on board.

      The Net Metering problem though is that users cram power one direction during the day and use it at night. The first solution to this is "smart grid" crap-- making sure your demand is minimized during the new peak period: pre-cool house; water heater, washer, dryer off; don't start cooking dinner until after 7:00; etc. When residential users do this, they reduce their usage of the grid, and can lower costs while still making net metering attractive for everyone. Seasonal effects are worse, and likely should be the first to go-- only carry a 4-month rolling balance or something.

      Yea, that SO isn't going to happen.

      If you think it will, come over to my house and talk to my wife, tell her that she can't run laundry during the day when the kids are in school, that she can't cook dinner for the kids, well, at all, since the kids go to bed at 7:30pm, they eat dinner at 6pm. You won't get 10 feet with most moms when you start messing with their schedule and kids.

      And it is 100+ degrees in the summer, you can't really "pre-cool the house", the AC has to actually come on during the day.

      As for water heater and cooking, the irony is that our cooking, our clothes dryer, our furnaces, and our water heaters are all natural gas powered, so those are beside the point. If you don't live in an area with natural gas, you probably don't think about it, but a decent chunk of our power needs are met with natural gas directly, not electricity. And that isn't going to change any time soon, we just replaced both the hot water tanks and the HVAC within the past few years, it will be a decade or more before they need replacing again.

      We use about 5 times as much power in the summer as the winter, due to all the natural gas power sources. My electric bill is often $400+ in the summer, but only $100 (or less) in the winter. There is no way to average that out.

    13. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      but it won't take many more years before solar is cheap enough to be the obvious choice with or without subsidy.

      I'm interested in knowing how the install cost is going to come down. 74% of all the solar installed in the US last year was utility scale solar. The residential stuff makes the news, but it is a small percentage of the total and almost half of all of it is in one state, CA.

      The panels are below a dollar a watt, 75 cents give or take. Maybe a dollar for premium panels. But the other equipment and installation adds $2.50 more to that price.

      The panels could be free, it still wouldn't be cheap enough to make any sense. Not here at least.

    14. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Oil provides only 5% of our electric power. It is really all coal and natural gas, which are domestic.

      Oil comes into play in gas prices for vehicles, not in power prices for homes and businesses.

    15. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Every time I ask I get the same answer: accelerated depreciation. Sorry. I don't consider that to be a subsidy.

      Go study a dictionary and get back to us. Definition 1 is "a direct pecuniary aid furnished by a government to a private industrial undertaking, a charity organization, or the like." Aid is support for or relief, you know, know tax relief. You are engaging in bullshit selective revisionist thinking in order to give Big Oil a free pass on their special tax break.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    16. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      So it really comes down to the fact that all this solar makes sense only if you count on a whole pile of tax dollars.

      The same can be said for pretty much everything. The people elect the government, the government set the policy, and the policy is driven by taxation and regulation.

      It's the reason why the Australian wine industry is so massive while beer prices are ludicrously high. It's the reason why smoking rates are plummeting in some countries at faster rates than others. It's the reason why green house gas emissions are reducing in different rates in different countries despite the fact that a common technology is theoretically available to all.

      Taking into account tax dollars in your cost benefit analysis makes little sense unless the assumption is that those tax dollars will change during the payback period of the installation.

      Now if you'll excuse me I'm going to go get some subsidized coffee, a latte since I can afford the milk because my government spends money boosting the dairy industry and I will drink it from a recycled paper cup, something else that my government has subsidised. Then I'm going to go home sending a shitload of taxes out my exhaust pipe, pay in a parking spot that requires a monthly payment to the government so I can sit on my couch in my house that I pay a tax for the right to own.

      2 things in the world a certain, death and taxes, and I think we're going to solve death first. :-)

    17. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      So it really comes down to the fact that all this solar makes sense only if you count on a whole pile of tax dollars.

      This will continue to be true until it's not. Every year solar gets cheaper, while most other energy sources get more expensive. At some point (probably within 5-10 years) solar will be the same price as (or less than) traditional power, at which point the subsidies can go away, and solar will still sell. Until then, the subsidies are how we get from here to there -- the only way to improve the product is to build a market and sell the product, to build up the economies of scale and the necessary experience.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    18. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by Drethon · · Score: 1

      So you are agreeing with the point that solar power is not yet cost effective in all locations?

    19. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      Do you know what an accelerated depreciation is?

      It's not a subsidy.

      I am NOT pro oil by any means. What I would like are examples of subsidies instead of people parroting what they believe are irrefutable facts.

      If you start a moving business, rent a van. Your rental costs are 100% deductible. Meaning that if you charged $1000 for moving. Paid $100 for the van you would pay taxes on $900. If you bought a dolly and some padding they would be 100% deductible. But if you bought a van it would not be 100% deductible. It's a capital expense and you could only write off a portion of the money spent buying the van. If the government thinks that the van has a life expectancy of 5 years then you can only declare a portion of the investment off each year.

      There are many, I'm one of them, who despises the way the government considers the life of an capital good. If you were to be a consultant and spent $500 on a SSD card would you think you were "subsidized" by the government if you wrote off the card over 2 years instead of 3? I wouldn't.

      The capital good depreciation schedule is a foolish idea. The company spent the money. It was an expense, they can't declare it again the next year; and if they sell the equipment they have to pay taxes on what they received.

      Explain, in your words, how this qualifies as a subsidy.

      --
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    20. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Explain, in your words, how this qualifies as a subsidy.

      If they don't have to pay taxes that they otherwise would have paid, and that others have to pay, it's tax relief, and thus it's a subsidy. I thought I made that quite clear in my prior post, but some people just need things spelled out in small, simple words. You're welcome.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    21. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      This will continue to be true until it's not. Every year solar gets cheaper, while most other energy sources get more expensive.

      Everyone loves to say that, and it makes sense if you don't look too closely at it.

      There are several flaws with that viewpoint.

      First, solar panels are already cheap, dirt cheap. Less than a dollar a watt, much less in some cases. The panels could be free, it wouldn't lower the cost of solar much more. The real cost of solar is in labor, land, and maintenance (which isn't nothing, despite what you have heard).

      Second, as demand for something drops, so does the price. The US and EU might burn a big less coal, oil, and natural gas over time, but all that does is drive the price of those things down. As the price drops, they becomes competitive again. Also, the Earth doesn't care WHERE coal/oil/gas is burned, only that it is. None of this makes a lick of difference unless you stop it world wide. If the US stopped burning coal/oil/gas tomorrow, the price of those things would drop like a brick and suddenly third world nations would have a field day with cheap power. Someone, somewhere will burn it.

      Finally, solar can't replace coal/oil/gas, it doesn't work 24/7 and you aren't going to ever build a big enough battery to store weeks worth of total power consumption, or build an international power grid across national lines.

    22. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

      They accelerated depreciation doesn't mean you pay less. You pay the same amount.

      Example you start a consulting business. You have expenses. You have a phone bill, travel to your customers, buy business cards. You make $2,000 for the year and spend $1,00. You pay taxes on your profit of $1000.

      The next year you again make $2000, you again spend $1000 on phone, travel, business cards but your computer broke. This time you spend $1000 on a computer. You may think, that since you spent everything you made that you wouldn't have to pay taxes. But you would be wrong. Since the computer has a life span of 5 years you would only be able to declare $200 from your computer.

      This means that you had expenses, according to the government of $1200 (even though you spent $2000) and so you need to pay taxes on $800.

      Accelerated depreciation would be that you could depreciate the equipment at a faster rate. Say 50% the first year, 20% the second, and 10% for each of the final 3 years.

      This isn't "giving" you anything.

      You would still need to pay taxes on profit even though you didn't make anything. Everything you made went into the business.

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    23. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by jratcliffe · · Score: 1

      What's it's "giving" you is the time value of money. Assuming a 40% marginal tax rate, if you can deduct 100% of the cost of the computer this year, you're getting a $400 tax deduction now, which is worth more than $80/year over the next five years.

    24. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A company getting a tax break is most certainly a subsidy. Accelerated depreciation lowers a company's taxable income, acting as a tax break. Why do you consider tax breaks for solar to be a subsidy but not tax break for fossil fuels?

    25. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      So to take your line of thought to it's logical conclusion, the 45% of tax returns with zero tax due are actually getting a subsidy from the Federal Government.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    26. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      or build an international power grid across national lines.

      Such as the Synchronous grid of Continental Europe, you mean?

    27. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      That's like the comedy skit of your wife coming home after spending $1000 dollars on unnecessary shoes and dresses and saying how she saved $2000.

      No. You didn't save $2000. You spent $1000 on unnecessary things.

      The company spent money on an item. I think this "should" be a 100% write-off on the first year. It's an expense. To expand the definition of subsidy to include changing a depreciation schedule doesn't make sense. It stretches the definition of subsidy beyond it's definition.

      I don't consider this to be a subsidy. And I'm a vocal proponent of subsidies for solar and wind; a proponent of spending a lot of research dollars on R&D. I'm against any subsidies for oil and coal. I'm not a fan of Big Oil. And yet ... I consider it to by hyperbole to consider accelerated depreciation to be a "subsidy."

      --
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    28. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by tburkhol · · Score: 1

      If they don't have to pay taxes that they otherwise would have paid, and that others have to pay, it's tax relief, and thus it's a subsidy. I thought I made that quite clear in my prior post, but some people just need things spelled out in small, simple words.

      I'm trying to figure out where accelerated depreciation equals "taxes not paid, that others have to pay."

      I'm imagining two companies that buy a $1M plant and have $200k revenues. In a conventional business, you depreciate the plant over 20 years, take a $50k/year depreciation credit, and pay taxes on net of $150k*20 years = $3M. In O&G, they depreciate over 5 years, take $200k depreciation for those 5 years and pay no taxes. For the next 15 years, they pay taxes on their full $200k revenue, and $200k*15 years is still $3M.

      If you want to do present value calculation, then you'll end up with some benefit, but it's a much smaller number than the "depreciation."

    29. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      . It's a capital expense and you could only write off a portion of the money spent buying the van. If the government thinks that the van has a life expectancy of 5 years then you can only declare a portion of the investment off each year.
      In every country I have aver been: you write off all of it. Just you need to split it over several years. Considering a car below $50k I would assume 5 years, but could be 10.

      You usually write off all your expenses how else should it work?

      and if they sell the equipment they have to pay taxes on what they received.
      No they don't. They lose the tax benefit on the "writing off" they made before. They only pay taxes if they make earnings on that sale.

      E.g. if I buy a Jaguar or Lamborghini , put it into cold storage for 10 years, I write off the cost for it. If I sell it later I either make earnings or a loss. If I make a loss, I might to have to pay back some of the "write offs". But that is not a tax. If I make earnings, obviously I have to pay the tax on the earnings.

      Depending on what goods you buy and what the "writing off" period is, you can make money, as you don't have to pay the "written off" taxes back.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    30. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Wait.

      A company advertises that they will install solar to lower your rate, and when they're honest about not being able to do that for your particular situation, it's bad?

      I would much rather have companies that are honest and will do a full assessment and not blow smoke up my ass. That's a refreshing change.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    31. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      How about "externalizing the costs of burning mountains and releasing it into the air we breathe" ? That counts as a subsidy in my mind.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    32. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by jratcliffe · · Score: 1

      We can have lengthy debates about what constitutes a subsidy, but the simple fact is that accelerated depreciation does lower the net present value of the taxes you'll pay, which has value to you (since cash now means either greater investment earnings or less interest paid), and costs the federal government money (since it has to borrow more money, and pay more interest, than it otherwise would).

      The standard for tax accounting (for all but very small businesses which do cash accounting) is multi-year depreciation for capital assets. You can argue that shouldn't be the case at all, but it is, so varying from it in a way that benefits the taxpayer is, well, a benefit to the taxpayer, which reduces the cost of making whatever purchase is involved.

    33. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Is anyone actually arguing that it is? If they are, they they are fools.

      I live in a city that is less than 200 miles from where most of the US coal is dug out of the ground, and we have insanely cheap grid power - including transmission costs, I pay 8.3 cents per kWh. I had a chance to talk to one of the co-founders of SolarCity about a year ago and asked him why they aren't operating in Ohio, and he said that is why - they can't make the math work for enough people because the grid power is just too cheap here right now.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    34. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      It also used to take several weeks to get an install done for rooftop solar. Now it's done in less than a week, because the mounting hardware is better, the panels are more efficient (requiring less per install), etc.

      The costs will come down as the installs scale up. It's already happening.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    35. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      I can't speak about the rest of the world. Here in the US items such as computers, vans, etc... are considered capital expenditure; the gov't gives it a useful life span and you write-off said asset over a period of time.

      http://www.accountingtools.com...

      "A capital expenditure is recorded as an asset, rather than charging it immediately to expense. The fixed asset is then charged to expense over the useful life of the asset, using depreciation. For example, if you acquire a $25,000 asset and expect it to have a useful life of five years, charge $5,000 to depreciation expense in each of the next five years."

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    36. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      In my mind too. But that's only in our minds until it becomes part of the tax and legal code. As of now it's not.

      We don't externalize the costs of mining for precious metals either.

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      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
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    37. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      That is what I said, or tried to say.

      The parent wrote as if long term writing offs won't exist and are capped after a few years of writing them off.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    38. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by delt0r · · Score: 1

      I know 300B sounds like a lot. But for an economy the size of the US it isn't that much really.

      --
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    39. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by tsotha · · Score: 1

      Right, right. Because, if not for oil, we could just strike the military out of the budget.

    40. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by j-beda · · Score: 1

      So it really comes down to the fact that all this solar makes sense only if you count on a whole pile of tax dollars.

      Well, it also makes sense if you live in an area where electricity costs are "high" (for some value of "high"). It looks like your area has extremely low electricity costs. From your own numbers, if your electricity costs were doubled, then your savings would also be doubled and the ecconomics might be more to your liking. It does looks like there are a number of regions with twice your electrical costs.

    41. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      The real cost of solar is in labor, land, and maintenance (which isn't nothing, despite what you have heard).

      Indeed, but progress is being made on reducing those costs as well. Innovation doesn't happen only in the manufacturing side of things -- labor, siting, and maintenance costs can be (and are) reduced as well.

      If the US stopped burning coal/oil/gas tomorrow, the price of those things would drop like a brick

      Indeed, the price would drop, but not down to zero. It would drop down to somewhere just above the price that is required for the coal/oil/gas mining companies to cover their costs. And if people aren't willing to pay at least that much for it, then the coal/oil/gas mining companies will simply stop mining it, since there's no point for them to continue operations if they can't make at least a minimal profit from doing so.

      So that's the real end-game: renewable power so cheap that it's no longer worth digging various crap out of the ground and transporting it to market, and thus most of the fossil-fuels companies go the way of the buggy-whip manufacturers.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    42. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      So that's the real end-game: renewable power so cheap that it's no longer worth digging various crap out of the ground and transporting it to market, and thus most of the fossil-fuels companies go the way of the buggy-whip manufacturers.

      Yea, I get that... and while in theory you're not wrong, there are two really big problems with that plan.

      1. This won't happen in the 21st century. It might happen in the 22nd century. There is too much entrenchment in the world to have it all change as fast as you'd like. The problem with this is that the experts that tell us that AGW is happening, ALSO tell us that waiting 85 years to solve this isn't an option. So by the time we have your solution, it will no longer matter.

      2. People like the fact that we have reliable power. My power hasn't gone out in years, it is 24/7/365 reliable, rain, wind, storms, nothing knocks it out. You're suggesting that we move to a system where power is no longer so reliable. You can't go to a wind/solar power grid and have everyone have 24/7/365 power anytime you want it as much as you want, it just would never work.

      I know, I know, "pumped storage", "batteries", etc. etc. You know, some math is a nice thing. The amount of pumped storage you'd require to make up for wind/solar shortages over large areas of the country during heavy storms, and other weather events is beyond the pale, the locations for it don't exist, the fresh water doesn't exist. Batteries? You would need more than you can probably imagine to remotely make it work, and the issue becomes charge/cycle/discharge times to provide power to everyone.

      Then the typical response goes, "we'll have a smart grid and your appliances will only run at night or at 10am or whenever the grid says to". Yea, thanks but no. People like being able to live their lives as they see fit, my wife does the laundry during the day, she cooks at 5pm for the kids, etc. You are NEVER going to tell her, "oh sorry, the smart grid said you can't use that right now".

      That will NEVER fly. We have dependable power now, any replacement must also be 100% dependable. Wind and solar are not. They are fine, but not dependable.

      Then someone says "yea, but the sun is always shining somewhere and the wind is always blowing somewhere". Yes, it is, but that doesn't mean you can move a trillion watts of power over 2,000 miles and across 15 countries dependably. Not due to technical reasons, I suspect we could solve the technical issues. But political, economic, and social reasons.

      I find that many people like to ignore the political realities of changing our power system. But you can't, because there is a real world out there beyond the keyboard, and most of it doesn't care as much as you do.

    43. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Well, it also makes sense if you live in an area where electricity costs are "high" (for some value of "high"). It looks like your area has extremely low electricity costs. From your own numbers, if your electricity costs were doubled, then your savings would also be doubled and the ecconomics might be more to your liking. It does looks like there are a number of regions with twice your electrical costs.

      You of course are correct, if I paid 19 cents per KWh instead of 9.5 cents, then yes, this whole thing might make a ton of sense.

      But that misses the point. WHY does power cost that much in some parts of the US?

      Coal costs about $45 a ton delivered, more or less, anywhere in the US. Maybe $10 more to remote far away locations. You're looking at between 2.2 cents and 3 cents for cost of fuel for coal. Then you need another penny to run the plant, 1.5 cents if they run it poorly.

      That is a wholesale price of power of about 5 cents per KWh on a worst case and that gives the power plant a profit margin to boot. Power delivery costs 3-5 cents per KWh give or take.

      Why is ANYONE paying over about 12 cents per KWh anywhere in the lower 48 states? THAT is the question you need to ask.

    44. Re:SolarCity - Tax dollars - Why this is happening by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is ANYONE paying over about 12 cents per KWh anywhere in the lower 48 states? THAT is the question you need to ask.

      You'll want to contact the various state utilities commissions then, they tend to set rates, or at least control them.

      But your analysis of coal left off one cost. Pollution control. I believe North Carolina just got done settling a lawsuit with the TVA over paying for that.

  7. This is because.. by SadButResolved · · Score: 1

    The tax break ends this year they have to purchase now or lose the tax incentive.

    1. Re:This is because.. by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Wrong. That was the case until the ITC was extended in the Federal Omnibus bill.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  8. Baa Baa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Baa Baa (as in sheep since I don't know what noise lemmings make)

  9. 40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 4, Informative

    A few interesting points from the article:

    1. Almost 40% of the distributed PV capacity in the U.S. is located in California. The next nine states after California account for another 44%, according to the EIA.

    This is key because CA pays one of the highest kWh rates in the US (places like Hawaii are higher, but there aren't that many people there).

    http://www.bls.gov/regions/wes...

    San Francisco pays 40% higher energy prices on average than the rest of the US. So of COURSE solar makes more sense there. But it doesn't most other places.

    California's leadership in distributed solar capacity is driven by a combination of factors, including high electricity prices, a large population, strong solar resources, and state policies and incentives that support solar PV, according to the EIA.

    2. One of the factors spurring growth last year and this was the impending expiration of the U.S. government's solar investment tax credit (ITC). That measure, passed in 2008, offered a 30% tax credit for residential and business installations. It was due to expire this year, and the tax credit was supposed to drop to a more permanent 10%. In December, however, Congress passed a three-year extension on the 30% ITC.

    So a crap load of tax dollars are propping this market up. It actually goes further than this. There are many state and Dept of Energy programs that further fix the rate of solar power to above market rates, to provide guaranteed returns for utility solar power.

    http://energy.gov/public-servi...
    Just a sample of some of the various programs to pay for solar and wind.

    3. The total operating solar PV capacity in the U.S. is expected to reach 25.6 gigawatts (billion watts or GW) of direct current (DC) by the end of the year, according to GTM Research's U.S. Solar Market Insight Report 2015 Year in Review. Last year, solar installations broke all previous records, but the amount was only 16% more than in 2014 with 7,260 GW of new DC solar power.

    That sounds impressive, doesn't it? Well, consider this:
    In 2014, the United States generated about 4,093 billion kilowatt hours of electricity.

    So the new DC solar power being installed is 7.2 billion out of 4,093 billion total. It is nice, but we could install that much every year for the next 20 years and it wouldn't make a real dent in the total.

    1. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      3. The total operating solar PV capacity in the U.S. is expected to reach 25.6 gigawatts (billion watts or GW) of direct current (DC) by the end of the year, according to GTM Research's U.S. Solar Market Insight Report 2015 Year in Review. Last year, solar installations broke all previous records, but the amount was only 16% more than in 2014 with 7,260 GW of new DC solar power.

      That sounds impressive, doesn't it? Well, consider this: In 2014, the United States generated about 4,093 billion kilowatt hours of electricity.

      So the new DC solar power being installed is 7.2 billion out of 4,093 billion total. It is nice, but we could install that much every year for the next 20 years and it wouldn't make a real dent in the total.

      I'm not sure if you don't know the difference between a Watt and a Watt.hour, or if you think that there is only one hour in a year. But anyway you got saved by your other mistake, which was to go from 4,093 billion kilowatt hours to 4.093 billion total, forgetting the kilo and the fact that solar panel don't output power during night and don't work at full capacity during day. The order of magnitude of your 7.2 vs 4093 should probably be somewhere around 12 vs 4093. (24*365 hours in a year, solar peak capacity vs average power ~0.2, and the missed k taken into accound)

    2. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It may not be impressive, but Austin isn't too shabby either, with a 35 MW plant going for a while now, 162 MW being added on.

    3. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by swb · · Score: 1

      So a crap load of tax dollars are propping this market up. It actually goes further than this. There are many state and Dept of Energy programs that further fix the rate of solar power to above market rates, to provide guaranteed returns for utility solar power.

      I'm inclined to believe that a big chunk of solar's success boils down to tax credits, not inherent economic viability.

      But then there's all the complaints about the subsidies to carbon energy, which are at least fair on the surface.

      My question, though, is why is a huge necessity like energy subsidized at all? Is it perverse competition incentives, like giving a tax break to some oil related industry in order to attract jobs from some other state's similar industry? Extremely indirect subsidies, like enhanced coast guard patrolling of offshore oil fields for safety or security purposes?

      And do indirect subsidies like this actually count towards the actual cost of energy?

    4. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar *PV* puts out nothing at night, but that's not the only solar. And NO generation method works at full capacity during the day. Which is why they rate them based not on nameplate, but expected output. And then buy enough over capacity to cover its failure.

      How many days does the sun stop shining? About none?

    5. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      I'm inclined to believe that a big chunk of solar's success boils down to tax credits, not inherent economic viability.

      This has been my conclusion as well. Without the federal IRS 30% break, the state breaks, and the other programs, solar wouldn't be doing much of anything. Even as it stands, it is still below 1% of our power generation.

      Wind makes far more sense, it is at least in the ballpark of reasonable.

      But then there's all the complaints about the subsidies to carbon energy, which are at least fair on the surface.

      You'd think, but a lot of what counts as a "subsidy to carbon energy" isn't as simple as direct money. For example, the IMF counts the carbon released as a "subsidy" when a proper carbon tax is not in place. To the tune of $400 billion a year in the US alone. Clearly $400 billion a year isn't changing hands, but according to the IMF, US coal producers are getting that much of a "subsidy". In other words, the IMF thinks we should be taxing coal out of existence (which is what $400 billion in taxes would do).

      Is it perverse competition incentives, like giving a tax break to some oil related industry in order to attract jobs from some other state's similar industry?

      Yea, but keep in mind that when Pennsylvania decides to give Shell a tax break to build a refinery, that is about jobs and business, not oil. Shell could be making hats, the tax break would be the same.

      Consider that Tesla got $1.25 billion to build a factory in Nevada. Nice, but I don't consider that to be a "green tax subsidy", rather it is just a jobs and economic one.

      And do indirect subsidies like this actually count towards the actual cost of energy?

      Some do, some don't. Consider that oil is only 5% of the US total electric production, about equal to wind. Coal and Natural Gas are where we get the bulk of our electric production from and both are mostly domestic, so our massive military and the wars are about gas for our cars, not power for our homes.

      Carbon may well end up hurting us all, but it doesn't make power more expensive today.

    6. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by edtice1559 · · Score: 1

      And rolling blackouts. Lets not forget that having solar may mean a more reliable source of energy. I know it's been a while since the rolling blackouts have actually happened, but increased reliability is worth a price so it doesn't have to represent a cost savings to make sense.

    7. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      How is solar reliable? It only makes power when the sun is up.

      My power works 24/7/365. It has been so long since a power outrage, I honestly don't know when the last one was. It has been years, and even then it probably was for 1 min or so.

      I am not sure the power has been out for more than an hour since I've been an adult. That is more than 20 years.

      As for the rolling blackouts, in CA that was caused by a seriously messed up power market and politics, not a lack of power. That was a self-created problem and it was fixed, which is why it hasn't returned.

    8. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by edtice1559 · · Score: 1

      The premise of your post is that politics are no longer seriously messed up? I agree with what you are saying for most of the country, but if I lived in California, I would consider a solar system with a battery. When the sun shines is when you need cooling and refrigeration the most. If I were wealthier I would want to insulate myself from populist energy politics.

    9. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      How is solar reliable? It only makes power when the sun is up.
      The sun is reliably up every day roughly 12h.
      Sun rising more or less the same time as the day before, going down more or less the same time like the day before. Only reliably shifting both times towards noon when winter is approaching and reliable shifting both times towards midnight when summer is approaching.

      I believe if we are talking about earth there is probably nothing more reliable than the sun.

      You mean clouds ??? Well, the loss of power due to clouds is:
      a) exaggerated
      b) easy to have prognoses on via weather forecasts
      Hence: it is still reliable, just perhaps the amount of power produced is not what you accounted for.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    10. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      The sun is reliably up every day roughly 12h.

      No, it isn't. Here in nice sunny Texas, the sun averages 5.5 hours of exposure annually. But it varies wildly between nothing and 12+ hours depending on the day/time of year.

      That isn't remotely reliable. You can't run a power grid that way. People want power 24/7/356, not "sometimes".

      Wind and solar alone simply cannot provide even half our power, it just doesn't work.

    11. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      I agree with what you are saying for most of the country, but if I lived in California, I would consider a solar system with a battery.

      If I lived in CA with their tax incentives and power prices, I might do that too.

      But since I don't, and don't, I don't. :)

      Let me be clear... I am NOT against solar in principle. I think the IDEA of solar on the roof and a load shifting battery in the garage makes a lot of sense. Right up until the price tag comes up.

      My primary objection to solar is the price of it, nothing more or less. If you offered me a 50% tax credit and guaranteed net-metering for 10 years, I'd put solar on my roof tomorrow without reservation.

      I LIKE solar. I DON'T LIKE the PRICE of solar. :)

    12. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by edtice1559 · · Score: 1

      My point is that people don't only buy things because they are cheaper. People are willing to pay a premium for things that are *better*.

    13. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No, it isn't.
      Yes it is.
      You simply failed again to read the complete post :D

      the sun averages 5.5 hours of exposure annually
      No it does not. It averages to the equivalent of 5.5 hours of full noon sun. That is something completely different.

      Wind and solar alone simply cannot provide even half our power, it just doesn't work.

      Well, if you would plaster all of the deserts in Texas with solar and all the coast of Texas with wind, on shore or off shore: you would power the whole two american continents several times over.

      Your idea about what area you need is simply off by magnitudes.

      People want power 24/7/356, not "sometimes".
      Really? Are you sure about that? So, tell me: how much power do "people" want at 12:00, at noon? How much power do they want at 7:00/9:00AM? How much power do they want at 4:00/7:00PM? Surprisingly that is a complete different amount of power than e.g. 11:00PM or 4:00AM.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    14. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Well, if you would plaster all of the deserts in Texas with solar and all the coast of Texas with wind, on shore or off shore: you would power the whole two american continents several times over.

      At night? During winter?

      No one ever has an answer to that issue.

      Really? Are you sure about that? So, tell me: how much power do "people" want at 12:00, at noon? How much power do they want at 7:00/9:00AM? How much power do they want at 4:00/7:00PM? Surprisingly that is a complete different amount of power than e.g. 11:00PM or 4:00AM.

      Yes, 100% sure, just ask my wife.

      I want all the power that I want, whenever I want, any time I want, as much as I want.

      If I want to run all my appliances at one time, fine, I want to do that. If I want to turn the AC to super cold in the middle of the day in the middle of the summer, fine, I want to do that.

      Everything should work, 100% of the time, whenever I want it to, without any limits or restrictions. Why? Because that is what I have NOW! If your plan requires that I give that up, then you can shove that plan where the sun doesn't shine.

      If you honestly tell me that my two choices are my current 24/7/365 anytime I want it power based on coal and natural gas, or a "smart grid" that tells ME when I can run stuff and when I can't, but it is based on wind and solar... Well then you can keep your wind and solar, not only am I not interested, but millions of Americans won't be either.

    15. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At night? During winter?

      No one ever has an answer to that issue.

      Actually, yes. In terms of sheer volume, the suggested method would be enough to cover the max load. But assuming you want to even the flow, there are several answers to those issues (including pumped storage of various kinds), but it'd be silly to even bother, because there's no reason to locate all of the electrical production for two continents in Texas, the transmission lines would be terrible.

      The only reason to mention the potential capacity is to note how much production is available, even in one single state, so you don't have to get your knickers in a twist about some shortage in terms of generation.

      That said, Tres Amigos is going up to help alleviate some issues across the national grid as it is already.

      Yes, 100% sure, just ask my wife.

      I want all the power that I want, whenever I want, any time I want, as much as I want.

      If I want to run all my appliances at one time, fine, I want to do that. If I want to turn the AC to super cold in the middle of the day in the middle of the summer, fine, I want to do that.

      Everything should work, 100% of the time, whenever I want it to, without any limits or restrictions. Why? Because that is what I have NOW! If your plan requires that I give that up, then you can shove that plan where the sun doesn't shine.

      You won't get it, and you don't have it now. At a certain point of draw, your electrical power will shut off since you've overload your connection to the mains, and those restrictions and limitations do exist, and you can't ignore them without rewriting the laws of physics.

      And this applies not just to your house, but to the overall grid around you.

      Hopefully you're in a position where qualified professionals did design things so that it's unlikely there will be an issue for you unless you do something stupid, or things go wrong, but nope, we can't get you free of any limitations or restrictions. They're there, and I have no doubt that if you tried, you could exceed the amperage your house panel can take. You can also easily do it for your outlets and the wiring between them. Just buy a few vacuum cleaners and try to run them all on the same circuit. Or a couple of microwaves. Or some space heaters.

      You have limits and restrictions RIGHT NOW.

      Sorry, but you're just sounding like a hysterical twit, puttering about how it should just work, while blindly failing to recognize how much engineering goes into all the work around you. Keep your desire to be an ass about things in check, ok?

      If your plan requires that I give that up, then you can shove that plan where the sun doesn't shine.

      If you honestly tell me that my two choices are my current 24/7/365 anytime I want it power based on coal and natural gas, or a "smart grid" that tells ME when I can run stuff and when I can't, but it is based on wind and solar... Well then you can keep your wind and solar, not only am I not interested, but millions of Americans won't be either.

      Fortunately, nobody's telling you that, so you can stop puffing your chest out about it.

      See, what you don't get with all these various plans for smart-grids when it comes to appliances is that they're intended to make it seamless for you and reduce outages that might discomfit you.

      For example, say a line goes down and your neighborhood can only take in part of the load it normally would. What to do, what to do. Well, a smart grid would be able to tell the various stand-by electric water heaters to shut off, and refrigerators, and even ACs, while leaving the lights and your TV still on. This is good for you, as it gives a better range of failure modes than just dropping the line because it can't take no more.

      This would apply regardless of what power source generated your power, but that wind and solar are a highly-distributed generation system means that you don't need to worry what happens when a single large power unit goes offline in an unscheduled emergency.

      But go ahead, keep huffing and puffing, eventually we can hook you up to a wind turbine and get some power from it. Think of the savings!

    16. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I want all the power that I want, whenever I want, any time I want, as much as I want.

      If I want to run all my appliances at one time, fine, I want to do that. If I want to turn the AC to super cold in the middle of the day in the middle of the summer, fine, I want to do that.
      And that averages out to be no problem, considering that 75% of the time "where you want what ever power you want" the rest of the population is sleeping, needs no power etc.

      The idea that all your neighbours need non existing solar power and you have no wind at 4:00 in the morning is absurd. 99% of them are sleeping. Plain and simple. The power the utilities have to provide at 4:00 is so low, that you can simply replace 60% of your power plants with solar power. Yes, now you have to think what to do at noon when there is no sun. For that you have a grid.

      You simply don't try to grasp how grids work :D Germany has now about 39% of its power from renewables, most from wind and solar. I have as much power as I ever want. Now it is 00:37 ... around me everyone is sleeping. No one cares that solar right now does to produce power. No one needs it.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    17. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      You simply don't try to grasp how grids work :D

      Smile all you like, you're the one who clearly doesn't get it, and since you aren't listening to anything, there is no point in replying to the rest of your post.

    18. Re:40% distributed PV capacity is in CA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Next time, instead of making a bitter tantrum post as you stomp away, say nothing.

      It'll look less bad.

      But once again, to assure you, everybody involved in renewable power is quite aware that the infrastructure of developed countries is based on reliable power, that's why demand response plans are intended to make it so that it's invisible to you and other consumers when they're activating.

      Why? Because you'll be better off once a more robust and nimble grid is put into place, with the benefit of a more distributed power production system and reduced pollution.

      Yes, you probably will never see the cleaner air, you will probably never even notice the substations changing their power profile, but it's going to happen.

      And it will be better.

  10. You dont need to spend anything to save with solar by jaketeater · · Score: 2

    Let everyone else waste their money buying solar panels, it lowers the demand for from-the-grid energy, which lowers the price of the electricity for which you pay...

  11. Wordsmithing is Fun! by Irate+Engineer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I love it how it is phrased "U.S. leading in new installations!" vs "U.S. catching up to per-capita installed capacity already found elsewhere."

    Gotta be #1, always!

    --

    Left MS Windows for Linux Mint and never looked back!

    Vote for Bernie in 2016!

    1. Re:Wordsmithing is Fun! by delt0r · · Score: 1
      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
  12. Re:You dont need to spend anything to save with so by tomhath · · Score: 2

    Except when power companies are forced to buy the power generated from the panels at a premium price, everyone contributes to that subsidy

  13. Re:You dont need to spend anything to save with so by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    no, it means that due to having to pay over the market wholesale rate to solar twats, who also use the grid like a battery, less people pay for the upkeep of the power plants that actually keep the lights on (base load), this means that the poorer people who don't have the cash to waste on solar pay even higher prices, reverse robin hood!..

    Eventually when enough self centered solar twats have it installed, the grid becomes unstable as the unprofitable base load (coal,gas,nuclear) get shutdown.

    And before any idiot says "what about storage", There is not enough materials available to build enough batteries on the whole planet!!. and no, there is no miracle battery around the corner!!!. (look at the chemistry! if you want to know why!).

  14. Fossil fuel subsidies by sjbe · · Score: 1

    So it really comes down to the fact that all this solar makes sense only if you count on a whole pile of tax dollars.

    To some degree you could say the same about fossil fuels. Fossil fuels are hugely subsidized by governments to the tune of something like $5 trillion worldwide. Solar is just a small percentage of that.

    The only difference is that you don't notice the subsidies for oil and gas but there is no question that they are there and substantial.

    So solar works, assuming you can count on the government money to keep flowing.

    That's to be expected for an emerging technology. You subsidize a technology like this until it can scale up to the point where it can compete on its own merits. Solar is getting there but without some continued support the technology will not advance sufficiently rapidly. What doesn't make sense is subsidizing fossil fuels which are a mature technology and one we wish to deprecate the use of.

    1. Re:Fossil fuel subsidies by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      To some degree you could say the same about fossil fuels. Fossil fuels are hugely subsidized by governments to the tune of something like $5 trillion worldwide. Solar is just a small percentage of that.

      It is SO easy to report a number like that, but you really have to be careful in doing so.

      The VAST bulk of these "subsidies" are not real money. No one is paying $400 billion a year to Exxon or BP.

      For example, from the very link you provided:

      "The bulk of energy subsidies in most countries are due to undercharging for domestic environmental damage, including local air pollution"

      So it is just the IMF's opinion of what carbon taxes SHOULD be to make up for the pollution. It isn't remotely the same thing as direct tax payments to install solar.

      That's to be expected for an emerging technology. You subsidize a technology like this until it can scale up to the point where it can compete on its own merits.

      Except, it never likely will. The problem with solar is not the cost of the panels, those are already dirt cheap. The cost is in land, labor, and other items needed to build solar out, either utility scale or distributed scale.

      The panels could be free tomorrow and it wouldn't change the install cost by that much.

      What doesn't make sense is subsidizing fossil fuels which are a mature technology and one we wish to deprecate the use of.

      See above. We really AREN'T subsidizing fossil fuels. No one is paying hundreds of billions of dollars to Exxon to pump more oil.

  15. Solar Panels in Full Winter Locales by ThatBeDank · · Score: 1

    My favorite place to see fools waste money on solar panels are in locales that traditionally do not have much sunlight for most of the year along with significant amounts of snowfall. Boston in particular is rife with people who invest oodles of money into systems like this and then wait twenty odd years to have their solar investment pay off. Good luck getting any electricity when your panel are buried in snow.

    Granted, if you're installing them to game your home's property value you might make that back a lot faster...

    1. Re:Solar Panels in Full Winter Locales by WindBourne · · Score: 1
      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  16. Looks like by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    Nuclear retirements are easily covered. Should step up Oyster Creek and Fitzpatrick.

  17. No you won't by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    but with everyone else having been big on solar for years, it makes you look good to lie and say you will "lead".

  18. Still needs to be hooked to the Grid. by jellomizer · · Score: 1

    The biggest problem is that Most Solar still has us hooking to the grid, and at whim of the state and the power companies.

    The fact that the U.S. is very large in area, and low in population density. The Power Grid, isn't so effective then it is in say Europe, or Asia, however self sustaining Solar with battery night backup can be a good solution. Once we realize that the power companies are going to be obsolete in suburban and rural areas, And should just focus on cities.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    1. Re:Still needs to be hooked to the Grid. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's going to take one heck of a storage/distribution technology to realize. My home uses somewhere north of 400 KWh of electricity a month (I do have an electric water heater) while it wouldn't be too costly to cover that ($4-6k amortized over a few years) with solar/wind installs the batteries/hardware would easily push it over the top of economic viability for most people. The cost of panels is no longer really a hang up for wide scale solar usage, it is the cost of the hardware to utilize (and in an "off grid" setup store) the electricity generated by those panels.

  19. Baa Baa by ole_timer · · Score: 1

    Baa Baa as in the sound sheep (since I don't know what sound lemmings make).

    --
    nothing to see here - move along
  20. Externalized costs are real subsidies by sjbe · · Score: 1

    The VAST bulk of these "subsidies" are not real money. No one is paying $400 billion a year to Exxon or BP.

    Well I happen to be a certified accountant and the fact that some of these subsidies are not cash money doesn't make them any less real. In cost accounting it's called an externalized cost. Literally a cost someone else pays. There is a very real and measurable cost to that pollution which the companies selling fossil fuels do not have to pay for. That is in effect a subsidy to those companies because it relieves them of having to pay the full cost of the product they sell. It would be no different than a government helping a car maker to sell their car without having to pay for the steel they built the car with. It's no different than cigarette makers not having to pay for the health care costs that smokers incur from using their product. The fact that cash did not change hands directly does not make these costs any less real nor does it mean they are not subsidies.

    You can argue about the exact number but that completely misses the point. The point is that there are HUGE externalized costs that we are not forcing oil and gas companies to deal with. That IS a subsidy. AND on top of that we also subsidize them directly to the tune of hundreds of billions of dollar annually worldwide.

    Except, it never likely will. The problem with solar is not the cost of the panels, those are already dirt cheap. The cost is in land, labor, and other items needed to build solar out, either utility scale or distributed scale.

    The panels are NOT "dirt cheap" though they are getting cheaper. The cost of land is generally not an issue - there is plenty of available land on rooftops or available cheaply in sparsely populated areas. The grid is already built. It needs upgrades but it needs those even if you don't consider solar in the equation.

    We really AREN'T subsidizing fossil fuels. No one is paying hundreds of billions of dollars to Exxon to pump more oil.

    Nonsense. We absolutely are paying billions to oil companies to pump more oil. It's not even a debate. 20 Seconds on Google would disabuse you of this false notion.

    1. Re:Externalized costs are real subsidies by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Well I happen to be a certified accountant and the fact that some of these subsidies are not cash money doesn't make them any less real. In cost accounting it's called an externalized cost. Literally a cost someone else pays.

      Yea, but it doesn't hold up to direct payments. I get the concept, you aren't telling me anything new, but frankly it is rather dishonest to compare a "we wish we had carbon taxes" thing to "real actual dollars being spent".

      The panels are NOT "dirt cheap"

      Yes they are, 1 dollar a watt, or less.

      http://www.directsolarsupply.c...

      75 cents a watt, there you go. That is dirt cheap. The cost to get those panels installed on my roof? $3.50 a watt.

      Making the panels free wouldn't really do much to the overall cost of putting them on my roof.

      The cost of land is generally not an issue

      It is always an issue, it costs something.

      there is plenty of available land on rooftops

      Installing on a roof costs more than on the ground, eating away the savings of space.

      Nonsense. We absolutely are paying billions to oil companies to pump more oil. It's not even a debate. 20 Seconds on Google would disabuse you of this false notion.

      And you prove my point. You're the one with the false notion. Here, I'll use your own link you provided:

      "The Guardian has found that:

      A proposed Shell petrochemical refinery in Pennsylvania is in line for $1.6bn (£1bn) in state subsidy, according to a deal struck in 2012 when the company made an annual profit of $26.8bn."

      A jobs subsidy scheme worth $78m to Marathon Petroleum in Ohio began in 2011, when the company made $2.4bn in profit.

      Those are state incentives given to build a business in the state. All sorts of businesses get such things. It just "happened to be oil", but it could have been any type of business. It is about bringing jobs to the state, nothing more or less.

      To claim they are "fossil fuel subsidies" is dishonest. They are business and job subsidies. If Pennsylvania hadn't given that state subsidy, then Shell may well have built that refinery in another state, or even another country.

      It is no different than this:

      http://www.rgj.com/story/news/...

      Nevada gave a $1.25 billion dollar subsidy to Tesla to build their gigafactory there. Why? Jobs and economy. Same reason as the above for Shell and Marathon Petroleum.

    2. Re:Externalized costs are real subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Umm, so you're saying paying teh evil tax monies to Shell and Exxon is OK because teh jobz, but paying teh evil tax monies to encourage solar installation is bad because... what? you don't like clean air?

    3. Re:Externalized costs are real subsidies by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      To claim they are "fossil fuel subsidies" is dishonest. They are business and job subsidies.
      Yes, and claiming that coal kills (has killed) more than nuclear power is dishonest, too. That are mining accidents. Mining is dangerous. Regardless if you mine coal, diamonds or gold. Surprisingly in the latter two businesses the miners have better protection bedsides the fact that they go into much greater depths.

      For what the end product is used, coal for firing coal plants, diamonds to put them on drilling heads for oil or gold for placing it into your computer: has nothing to do with energy production, computers or oil.

      As a matter of fact we could have an rising island somewhere which is pure coal, we just put it onto ships and burn it and never have a death from it.

      What do we learn from this? We can always find a metric that makes one thing look good and the other bad. Most of the time the metrics makes no sense. In the coal mining example: plenty of coal is used to refine iron ore. Impossible with nuclear power, as you need the CO that coal burning is producing to reduce the ore to iron. I guess the numbers the /. ers post about coal death per year or since we count, have nothing to do with for what the coal is actually _used_ for.

      Bottom line: mining is dangerous. Sucks to mine in a 3rd world country where regulations are non existing or controllers are bribed to accept the status quo.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  21. Every little bit helps. The price of solar by pjv936 · · Score: 1

    decreases every year. As for the tax rebate on solar people need to know that the fossil fuel extraction industry is getting the fossil fuel at a great discount and they also get tax subsidizes.

    1. Re:Every little bit helps. The price of solar by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      no, only massive bits help.

      Quiz time kids.

      16GW of solar panel vs. 2.5GW nuke plant, which makes more energy in a year?

      not that i'm against solar, but instead of these chickenshit installations we really could make massive collection arrays in desert and with long distance UHVDC lines power the whole country

  22. What would it mean if it were so? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Would reality be different if someone who had something to say you didn't want to hear came from someone you already hated for that reason, or from someone you had never known before?

    That's the problem with you insistently-low-information idiots. You think that being pissed off with someone's claim is enough to make that claim, and any claim they make in the future, automatically wrong. Because you feel it should be so.

    YOU, and your ilk, are no different from the SJW types who insist that tales of inequality or injustice cannot be mouthed by a "privileged class". You just have a different target. NO OTHER DIFFERENCE WHATSOEVER.

    1. Re:What would it mean if it were so? by Khyber · · Score: 1

      You aren't paying attention to the words and intent behind them. You're taking everything at face value and not thinking. You are the kind of cowardly fool we don't need in this world.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  23. WTO *aren't* happy with it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The WTO already have rulings against the USA on the canadian softwood lumber issue, which the USA, like every world agreement they don't want to personally accept, but insist others must or be crushed, have ignored.

    The internet gambling one has led to the WTO allowing another nation to ignore the copyrights of USA for a time in redress.

    The thing is the USA is quite happy to ignore and only if they get Russia and China to join in can they force the USA to compliance, whereas the other way round, only Russia and China can ignore USA's willingness to kill to get their way.

  24. The subsudies they get. Even DoE admit it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You keep talking shit, though. google it.

    https://www.treasury.gov/open/Documents/USA%2520FFSR%2520progress%2520report%2520to%2520G20%25202014%2520Final.pdf

  25. Well, what about CO2 per person? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh, in THAT case, since you're not doing so well, you don't WANT it to be related to per-capita. China has lower per capita, but more capitas, so you ignore the per capita and go total.

    Here, where the story isn't to your liking, it must be the other way round.

    Typical idiot two-facedness.

  26. Re:You dont need to spend anything to save with so by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Except when power companies are forced to buy the power generated from the panels at a premium price, everyone contributes to that subsidy

    Except that doesn't happen anywhere in the USA. At best, some people get a halfway decent deal. Some people don't get anything back at all.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  27. Data on other countries?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How does US know the data of other countries??

  28. time to stop the subsidies by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Seriously, it is LONG past time to stop the wind/solar subsidies and instead, take other steps:
    1) require that all new buildings below 6 stories to have on-site AE that equals or exceeds the energy needed by the HVAC. This allows builders to decide how to deal with this, while also stopping the massive energy growth for buildings.
    2) stop the subsidies for oil/gas drilling and instead convert them to drilling for geo-thermal energy. In particular, for those that convert old wells to geo-thermal. This will keep the drillers going while allowing them to produce clean energy.
    3) add in more safe nuclear into our energy matrix. In particular, we need gen IV reactors, not the old gen III (or III+) that are too expensive to build.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:time to stop the subsidies by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      I agree, it is long since time we ended all fossil fuel subsidies, tax exemptions, tax exclusions, and cheap rates for shipment and liability.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    2. Re:time to stop the subsidies by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      totally agree with that, but, that does not change the fact that we need to stop the subsidies on wind and solar.
      Heck, if we are going to keep wind subsidy going, then lets change to so that all of the new generators have to be the tall ones that have a 40-50% run time.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:time to stop the subsidies by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      98 percent of the total amount of subsidies are that going to fossil fuels.

      First rule of accounting: pay attention to large amounts first.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    4. Re:time to stop the subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In total dollar value probably, but one has to wonder what that is in terms of a "per capita" (or per kWh, Joule, etc). On the face of it if you have a situation where the Dairy industry is getting "subsidized" to the tune of $50 Million and the Pork industry is getting $10 Million it sounds like the Dairy industry is raking it in. But if the Dairy industry has $5 Billion in revenue and the Pork industry only has $1 Billion in revenue then they are both getting a 1% subsidy. In any case I agree with the general concept that ALL subsides should be ended, in all forms (externalizations, tax write-offs, etc), but it should be noted that companies won't be saddled with the costs, they will simply hand them off to their customers. In many cases taxing a company simply results in an indirect tax on the public.

    5. Re:time to stop the subsidies by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      When we do triage, we aim to stop the bleeding and save the greatest number. So ending fossil fuel subsidies and exemptions has the highest ROI and makes America stronger.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    6. Re:time to stop the subsidies by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      nah, that is just total BS. if you are going to compare TOTAL subsidy in relation to how much energy was generated, then it should be looked at WRT how long that has been going on. Subsidies for oil/gas/coal has been going on since the 1800s.
      Time to stop it.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  29. Were the Republicans Wrong? by BrendaEM · · Score: 1

    That's strange. If the Republicans could be wrong about solar, then maybe they could be wrong about global warming, or the environment, even.

    --
    https://www.youtube.com/c/BrendaEM
  30. Severely understated by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    In actual practice, most of the US solar market that is not hooked up to the grid is not counted. Only industrial solar and commercial solar tends to be counted.

    It's a lot bigger than that.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  31. Wake me up when.... by DidgetMaster · · Score: 1

    I can spend about $8000 on a solar system that will save me about $1200 per year ($100 per month on average) in electricity costs. ROI needs to be 7 years or less. A system that takes 20+ years to pay for itself (and then only if nothing goes wrong), does not interest me. It's like an electric car. If I have to pay an extra $20,000 to buy one, it doesn't make any sense to buy one and only save $100 per month in gas.

  32. Still not enviromentally friendly by johnsie · · Score: 1

    Most solar installations need a battery to store the power. When the batteries fail they often go into landfill sites where they can leak.

    1. Re:Still not enviromentally friendly by Hussman32 · · Score: 1

      Not sure where you heard this, most home solar installs don't need a battery unless it's rural without utility supplied power lines.

      --
      "Who are you?" "No one of consequence." "I must know." "Get used to disappointment."
    2. Re:Still not enviromentally friendly by johnsie · · Score: 1

      I work for an Energy company. Without the battery your solution doesn't work at night ;)

    3. Re:Still not enviromentally friendly by johnsie · · Score: 1

      Or maybe you are only supplementing what's coming in from grid. If so then that's not full solar and doesn't help much, especially at night.

  33. heh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    US has more money to waste than most.

  34. Also: lots of solar "facts" are lies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There are all sorts of ways that "facts" about renewables get twisted:

    1) Capacity is often given in terms of "nameplate" capacity: what you get under ideal conditions. This is crucial for solar, in particular, because you can't ever get anywhere near "nameplate capacity" in the winter. For a lot of the US, winter capacity is only half of summer capacity, or less.

    2) Maintenance costs are never included in the total price and, for solar, this can include such things as clearing snow off the panels in winter or cleaning the dust off the glass in the desert and so on.

    3) Transmission is almost never included in the price. Texas built some nice, expensive wind farms in far west Texas. Then the state spent billions of dollars to bring that power back to the center and east of the state where it would be used. Those billions were not counted in the price of the wind energy, they were counted as "infrastructure" costs.

    4) Balancing the grid with an intermittent source of power is tricky and can be expensive. Imagine a city where every house has a rooftop solar panel. Imagine a bunch of dark clouds blow in with an afternoon storm: other power has to be brought on quickly to make up for the solar loss. When the storm blows through, that extra has to be removed just as quickly. Keeping a gas fired plant on standby for this purpose is expensive and tricky. This cost is also not marked down as a cost of solar power, just a cost of operating the grid.

    There are lies, damned lies and statistics. Then, 'way out past statistics, you find "renewable energy lies".

  35. How about when the power company goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I still can have power for a very long time, and enjoy living a comfortable life, while others will be in the dark and cold.

    It's not just about Money, it's about independence.

  36. Give me one location that's good for solar, and... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Give me one location that's good for solar, and I'll show you a thousand better locations for Nuclear.

    Clearly, long-term (100-200 years, and possibly as short as 20) the solution is fusion. Period, end of discussion.

    The problem isn't how we get off carbon-neutral energy, the problem is when. We need to do this ASAP. That doesn't mean we have to dump the idea of liquid fuels, either. But it does mean that the production of those fuels must be done in a carbon-neutral way.

    I would strongly argue that what needs to happen is a massive manhatten-style project to get LFTR nuclear up and running, while at the same time we dump even more money into research programs like ITER and W7-X.

    Why LFTR? Because it's a known technology that just needs to be upscaled to commercial deployment, and more importantly, not only can it easily produce 700-1000 MW per reactor, but the design is safe (no chernobyl or fukushima's), is not susceptible to nuclear proliferation, and can burn up those 'spent fuel rods' currently sitting in pools at most PWR reactors.

    Even IF we get fusion well before LFTR is perfected, we will still need to deal with the 'waste' from PWR reactors. LFTR is the clear answer to this problem.

    China is leading the charge to LFTR reactors, the US should follow suit. It's madness to replace our PWR reactors and coal fired power plants with natural gas. Burning natural gas is a complete waste of that resource. Petroleum products should be redirected to the chemical industry first, mainly for plastics.

    I'm not saying solar, wind, and hydro can't be part of the answer, of course they can be. But to think we'll get away with just solar without having to do LFTR and Fusion is madness.

  37. Re:You dont need to spend anything to save with so by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    it lowers the demand for from-the-grid energy, which lowers the price of the electricity for which you pay...
    In the long run yes. In the short run, no.
    If I have two coal plants and can only use one to sell power. I charge you anyway for my other plant, idling or just sitting in cold storage.
    Power costs wont go down significantly until I can get rid of my obsolet plant.

    The single plant I'm using, regardless if I have a second obsolet idling plant: produces power for the exact same cost as before. The price can not go down. It only can go up. Until we have the turning point where coal is significantly cheaper than right now and I can/need to forward that cost benefit as a price benefit to you.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  38. The Navy is a huge big oil subsidy. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The navy exists to secure petroleum supply and shipping. There is little else it exists for that is not rounding error.

    It could be argued almost all other power projection of our "Defense" department is for oil more than any other resource or industry: Air force, satellites, CIA, Marines, foreign army bases.

  39. Re:You dont need to spend anything to save with so by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

    Except that doesn't happen anywhere in the USA.

    Except, that it does, if you're a "utility". It just doesn't work for residential installations for personal consumption...

    http://energy.gov/savings/ladw...

    They pay a premium price for utility solar to make it work, raising the price of power for everyone. That is just one program, there are many more like it.

    http://www.absolutelysolar.com...

    I've looked at investing, the problem I personally run into is that their entire business model really depends on government money to work. The numbers just don't pencil out otherwise.