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Drones Could Replace $127 Billion Worth Of Human Labor (businessinsider.com.au)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Business Insider: A new report from PwC finds that drones could replace $127 billion worth of human labor and services across several industries. Infrastructure and agriculture make up the largest chunks of the potential value -- some $77.6 billion between them -- including services like completing the last mile of delivery routes and spraying crops with laser-like precision. Economists seem to agree that robot automation poses real threats to human labour within the next few decades. Drones are a cheap, versatile first step toward that future. According to the new PwC report, they're also a solid cost-cutting measure. Along with infrastructure and agriculture, drones will help tech giants like Amazon deliver packages, allow security companies to better monitor their sites, help producers and advertisers to film projects, allow telecommunication firms to easily check on their towers, and give mining companies a new way to plan their digs.

8 of 254 comments (clear)

  1. Do Something! by moehoward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    It is productive human effort that CREATES wealth. I agree that there are an awful lot of people who simply don't know what to do, don't want to learn how to do something new, feel entitled, or need someone to tell them exactly what to do. To all those excuses, I say "tough poop." DO SOMETHING!

    And Amazon isn't going to be flying packages to a world of people who were unemployed by robots. Nor is the drone farmer going to sell much food to unemployed field workers. All those people WILL find something to do after a brief period of adjustment because that has happened since the beginning of civilization.

    --
    "If you want to improve, be content to be thought foolish and stupid." - Epictetus
    1. Re:Do Something! by geekmux · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It is productive human effort that CREATES wealth. I agree that there are an awful lot of people who simply don't know what to do, don't want to learn how to do something new, feel entitled, or need someone to tell them exactly what to do. To all those excuses, I say "tough poop." DO SOMETHING!

      And Amazon isn't going to be flying packages to a world of people who were unemployed by robots. Nor is the drone farmer going to sell much food to unemployed field workers. All those people WILL find something to do after a brief period of adjustment because that has happened since the beginning of civilization.

      I love the way you simply dismiss that "brief period of adjustment", as if it's simply nothing.

      50 years ago, technology replaced a lot of farm workers. We pushed for more humans to obtain education and learn a skill related to technology in order to move on and survive. Today we are finding that technology is being used to replace technology so there are not too many other avenues to turn down or even invent for humans to actually go DO. Robots will build the PC you work on, displacing thousands of jobs. Automation will build and control the car you used to have to drive, displacing thousands of jobs. Drones will deliver all of your sustenance to you, displacing thousands of jobs. AI can and will start replacing teachers, displacing thousands of jobs. Without teachers, you really don't need an army of redundant management, displacing thousands of jobs. (wait, what exactly are we teaching humans to go DO in the future? Uhhh...)

      Even something as simple as helping humans communicate with each other will be displaced by the electronic babel fish.

      And before we start rambling on about the technology disrupters of yesteryear, buggy whip manufacturers being made obsolete cannot even remotely compare to replacing teachers all over the world. And do not dismiss the speed at which disrupters are coming. Apple's Siri is not even five years old today, and Tesla's all-electric supercars aren't even a decade old yet.

      I should note that these coming innovations are not necessarily a bad thing. Humans have a finite amount of time to live (at least as it stands now), so it becomes rather pointless to force a human to drone on for 80% of their life working WAY more hours than humanly necessary. That said, society is not even remotely prepared, and will continue to champion the broken concept that humans must work 40 hours a week doing SOMETHING, else they are considered lazy and non-essential.

      Oh, and let me remind you as to what this generation considers "productive human effort". We pay YouTube stars six figures and the Kardashians are worldwide celebrities compared to royalty. I wouldn't exactly label abject narcissism as something that should CREATE wealth or hold value in the future.

    2. Re:Do Something! by Drethon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, anarchy (or pure capitalism) would be a perfect government... if people were perfect. Just like monarchy or absolute rule would be perfect... if leaders were perfect. Since none of us are perfect, we have an imperfect government with checks and balances to try to handle our imperfect people and leaders.

      When you find perfect people, let me know. I'd love to see their government in action.

    3. Re:Do Something! by plopez · · Score: 4, Insightful

      2 problems with that. An informed market is hard to create when there is a profit to be made by hiding information from people, e.g. credit default swaps. The next problem is that unregulated markets have a natural tendency to becoming captured markets i.e. monopolies.

      Regulation and intervention are absolutely necessary to maintain a healthy market.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    4. Re:Do Something! by ilsaloving · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That would be a fantastic idea if it didn't, oh, fly completely in the face of reality.

      How about you take a walk around in some of the worlds slums and see what happens when a government basically gives up on you.

      If the gov't didn't do education, who would? Nobody, that's who. Individuals don't have the resources for such things.
      There would be no police. Only armed mercenaries working for the wealthiest people who can afford them.
      All the possible consequences are too numerous to list, but it boils down to this:

      If you yourself aren't already really rich, or part of a rich family, you're screwed. You'd be, at best, nothing more than a serf grovelling in the dirt. There is no in between.

      Anyone who thinks "they have a simple solution to a complex problem", is a fantastic example of the Dunning Kruger effect.

  2. When does A.I. replace CEOs? by tekrat · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Just once I'd like to see a technological revolution where the CEOs are replaced by technology *before* the labor pool.

    You won't see robots outlawed until robots start replacing lawyers. Lawyers tend to control the law in their favor, so, once you have technology replacing lawyers, that's when the revolution really comes.

    But I always find it funny that technology replaces every person, except the most useless person in the entire organization, and that's the overpaid, underworked CEO who's only concern about the company is what the stock price is at that very second.

    Half of the CEOs in this country can't even tell you what their company *does* -- and yet they get paid more than the entire labor force of the company combined; and continually look for ways to increase their income while decreasing the income of everyone else.

    Replace CEOs with a chatbot that can play golf, and you'll notice no difference in the running of the firm. And save million of dollars in compensation.

    --
    If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
  3. So what happens by rsilvergun · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When we no longer need very much productive human effort? What happens to the ditch diggers when they're obsolete? If you're OK with them starving to death in a gutter then man up and say so, but don't fool yourself into thinking you've done any less. You can't become the next Einstein just by wanting too and working hard no matter what movie montages told you. In the real world people have limits, and we've got billions of them on they're way to planned obsolescence and mass starvation.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
  4. Name these magic immune careers by Tablizer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    there are an awful lot of people who simply don't know what to do, don't want to learn how to do something new

    Like what? I'd like examples of something that is not at risk of automation and/or offshoring. Programming and managing server farms can and is being offshored. As soon as you reach a certain age, corporations toss you in the trash like a 90's PC found in the closet anyhow. They don't value IT skills enough to keep you past Logan's Run age, so why should that be considered the safe haven from change?

    I agree one has to be adaptable these days just to stay in the game, but it appears to be a race to the bottom, to borrow a popular phrase.

    If everybody OD'd on caffeine and worked 70 hours a week to "keep up", that's just more intensity chasing a fixed number of positions. It don't see enough slots for each person even if everybody were super smart and super competitive and super-caffeinated.

    3rd-world countries subsidize labor to keep their citizens from rioting and overthrowing the leaders. They are thus de-facto slaves. Do we have to turn our country into a 3rd-world dump to compete with 3rd-world dumps and slaves via deregulation and pollution? That's solving the wrong problem: our goal should be a better society, not a society where we compete with subsidized slaves wallowing in gunk by becoming slaves wallowing in gunk.