Bitcoin 'Miners' Face Fight For Survival As New Supply Halves (reuters.com)
SpzToid quotes a report from Reuters: On Saturday, the reward for [bitcoin] miners will be slashed in half. Written into bitcoin's code when it was invented in 2008 was a rule dictating that the prize would be halved every four years, in a step designed to keep a lid on bitcoin inflation. From around 1700 GMT on Saturday, instead of 25 bitcoins up for grabs globally every 10 minutes, worth around $16,000 at the current rate BTC=BTSP, there will be just 12.5. That means only the mining companies with the leanest operations will survive the ensuing profit hit. "The most important thing is to be the most efficient miner," said Streng, the 26-year-old co-founder of German firm Genesis Mining, which has "mining farms" in Canada, the United States and eastern Europe, as well as in Iceland. "When the others drop out, that means that they leave the market and give you a bigger share of the pie."
With smaller players dropping out of the game, soon it might become a "single player" game after all. If this scenario happens, then a single entity controlling 51% of the keychain nodes can potentially disrupt the entire BitCoin economy by effectively "rewriting history".
I'm not sure this is a good thing. Every advancement seemed to have moved the needle to this direction. While everyone was able to run CPU miners is was very democratic. Then GPUs came, but still people could drop in a few hundred, and continue. After FGPA, and the ASICs, it's not just very large firms, where smaller people can only "rent" nodes, and hope they can trust the infrastructure.
We might need a "reset", where ASIC is no longer viable, but I'm not sure that would still be possible.
Black lives are a subset of all lives, so if all lives matter, then black lives matter. Simple maths.
Bitcoin mining certainly is. Bitcoins themselves are just like any fiat currency: Worth what others deem it worth based on how much they trust it to still have that worth when they want to spend it.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
It's the way the IMF forces onto Greece. Big difference.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
This is precisely why Bitcoin has always been a scam. If you weren't in on the ground floor you get screwed.
Not getting the maximum profit is not the same as getting screwed. Same as any company where the early investors reap the maximum profits but the companies still trade on the exchange with robust health.
There will be another halving in a few years - you could get in now and be in that advantaged position then.
Be more worried about privacy problems with bitcoin than that you weren't an early investor.
My God, it's Full of Source!
OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
Why such a hard step instead of a constant progression?
You mean like in the same way natural resources and properties is a scam?
If you weren't around to grab it when it was available you are screwed.
it always comes back to the banksters.
Any currency is that way, whether it's based on faith or object.
Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
Not quite. If a country has a minimum wage law, then the currency is effectively underpinned by a quantity of labor.
Pretty much the modern equivalent of a gold standard, but using a service instead of a commodity.
I've always said it was a pyramid scheme. For early miners it was very easy to mine and each score was bigger, but the system relied upon ever more people buying into the scheme to create value.
The IMF doesn't force it's way anywhere. However, if you ask the IMF to lend you money it doesn't lend good money after bad into a blind pit without conditions like reforming your economy and paying your taxes. Greece could have chosen to go without but even populist demagogues like Tsipiras recognise that the reforms are necessary to improve Greece's future.
Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
Sell the equipment and resources to the miners, skim the illicit trade hidden from governments, and rob your clients blind as an exit strategy seems to be the result of Bitcoin operations. Are there _any_ bitcoin markets that show legitimate handling of client transactions for more than a few months without turning to direct theft from clients?
Eventually, no new coins ... suppose I could collect them all when the time comes. Heh. Or I could spool up some servers, declare that I have them all, hit control alt delete, and give the whole world a chance to start the whole game again.
This doesn't come anywhere close to being a coherent thought. What are you talking about?
Bitcoin depends on artificial scarcity for value- never a good thing.
All currency and money equivalents depend on scarcity else there's no point to the currency in either of the roles usually assigned to it (medium of exchange and store of value). Further, the scarcity of bitcoins is quite natural, arising inherently from the Bitcoin system.
The artificial scarcity here is not ADVANTAGING ANYONE. That is a big distinction. There is no bank to manipulate or be manipulated. The BTC from here to the very last one mined are able to be mined at a known rate. When they are mined, the currency functions without any scarcity. The only alternative here would be to have all bitcoin already in the wild. That wouldn't work. How would you solve the equation?
I know many people who mine. Only one of them has a libertarian appreciation. As for stealing to get bitcoin. Well that is hardly different when people hack ATM's, or steal peoples banking info online. But because people are criminal when it comes to bitcoin obviously people are fools to trust the system?
The banking industry in this world generates a vastly larger carbon footprint. Not to mention all of the other evils they inflict on the world. Too big to fail should be too big to exist.
I've always said it was a pyramid scheme. For early miners it was very easy to mine and each score was bigger, but the system relied upon ever more people buying into the scheme to create value.
Bitcoin is disinflationary and has already reached a critical mass of users where there is absolutely no need for anyone else to adopt it. If more people adopt bitcoin , great, if not than bitcoin will continue to appreciate if the existing userbase finds value in its fungibility. Now here is a very important point to consider. Bitcoin primary value rests in the premium for fungibility over fiat. Thus bitcoin will always be useful for its existing userbase, or any new adopters, if regulations and states exist because one of the key value propositions with bitcoin is regulatory arbitrage. What this means is that the surest way to destroy the demand for bitcoin is to remove all fiat currency, states, and laws and regulations. Do you think this is ever going to happen?
"Bitcoin is disinflationary"
The rapidly and falsely-rising 'value' of bitcoin tells me and anyone else that ever paid attention to economics that you're dead wrong.
Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
The system does not rely on anything like that. That is exactly the reason why the amount of coins that can be mined in a time period is halved after each time period.
Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
Meh, gold's not really worth shit.
Rhodium, Osmium, Platinum? Now we're talking.
Also, gemstones.
Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
"Bitcoin is disinflationary"
The rapidly and falsely-rising 'value' of bitcoin tells me and anyone else that ever paid attention to economics that you're dead wrong.
Bitcoin is disinflationary from a minting or production perspective until the year 2140 and than inflation will slow to 0. It can behave either inflationary or deflationary within an economy as a matter of supply and demand. Right now there is ~2.34 million in inflation a day hitting the markets and within a few hour the inflation hitting the markets will be half that. If you need some evidence that bitcoin can act inflationary within the economy than just look at its capitulation during 2014 where inflation outpaced demand.
Iridium - Hammer's Slammers need a LOT of that stuff.
sPh
Yes they do: but the white lives have police protection.
I've always said it was a pyramid scheme. For early miners it was very easy to mine and each score was bigger, but the system relied upon ever more people buying into the scheme to create value.
It was very easy to mine, so it was also near worthless. Both those who started to churn away GPU time and the very first people to sell/trade things of real value for Bitcoins took a huge leap of faith that this wouldn't just flop and be worth absolutely nothing. I remember reading about it when it passed $1 in value and thinking this was just a fad that would be nothing more than a few nerds passing around pizza and beer money before it flopped, so I'd strongly disagree that it looked like a pyramid scheme you should get in early on. Sure, in hindsight it's easy to say I was wrong but I'd say they got 100:1 their money on a 100:1 chance to succeed.
And the essence of a pyramid scheme is that there's no bottom, it only exist as long as it grows by feeding new money in from the bottom. While those at the top make good money, I'd argue those at the bottom are mostly no longer speculators. They're people that for various reasons use Bitcoins to transfer funds around and they'll continue to do so regardless of whether it's valued at $100 or $1000. They're not dependent on recruiting a next generation to pay them for the pyramid to stand. It's like how the people at the top of a start-up that goes boom sit with tons of shares, that by itself doesn't make it a pyramid scheme.
Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
Or... (3) Change the algorithm so that ASICs have a hard time with it but normal CPUs don't.
No sig today...
The price already did increased, even x3 in last ~month, possibly that was in anticipation of this effect
Exactly, there is no fight for survival since the price more than doubled. Any miner that survived during the time bitcoin spent in the mid 200's recently is quite happy even with the split. If anything miners that had shut down are now finding it profitable to turn their hardware back on, again even factoring in the split. With current prices and a split we are equivalent to the low 300's. Mid 200's to low 300's (equivalent) is a win for miners.
Sure, a handful of very old mining hardware might be turned back on for now, hardware that needs 500+, they're just going for a brief final run until the split but they haven't really been players for over a year.
Bitcoin is just like dog shit. It's worth what others deem it worth based on blah blah blah blah blah.
Sure buddy, deflation of currency doesn't advantage those that have a lot of that currency. That's a totally reasonable thing you're saying.
Everything takes energy.
Its a solved problem, the mining/minting algorithm can be based on proof of ownership not proof of work. See Nxt for example. The problem is in distributing the ownership initially after block chain genesis.
"Continue to appreciate"
Sweetheart, when a currency appreciates, that's deflation. You can say "disinflationary" all you want.
In the past the value of bitcoin was inherently tied to the production costs of bitcoin where there is a very narrow margin of profit above the minting costs from production.
What makes you think this has changed? The price has roughly doubled with a reward halving upcoming.
Thus if bitcoin every did go mainstream than the electrical costs to mint such bitcoins would also similarly skyrocket .
No, bitcoin could switch from a proof of work system to a proof of ownership system. The problem with the later is the initial distribution of coins, but that is a problem for a new coin not an established coin that is already widely distributed.
Bitcoin won't be viable for shit until you can process a few million per second.
Visa averages around 2k tps (transactions per second)
Visa is not supporting a speculative investment scheme. Bitcoin is more analogous to high frequency wall street trading, not actual consumer transactions. Bitcoin is *currently* primarily a speculative investment scheme.
Honest question from someone who only knows the basics: how do you trade bitcoins without miners around? I thought the transactions had to be embedded in the blockchain.
You use a proof of ownership mining/minting scheme like Nxt rather than the current proof of work mining/minting scheme. In proof of ownership it is the owners of coins who make their computer a node in the network for the processing of transactions which maintain the blockchain.
Switching to proof of ownership is something bitcoin could do. Especially now that coins are widely distributed. The big problem with proof of ownership is the initial distribution of coins, bitcoin is beyond that.
Of course miners will oppose any such switch. But if bitcoin wishes to survive in the long term and not be centrally controlled by mining hardware manufacturers (China) operating their own farms next to dirt cheap hydroelectricity (China), and return power to users (owners of coins), and truly be peer-to-peer (owners participate as a node in mining/minting network), then proof of ownership is one of very few options.
The black community is and has been doing plenty for a long time. What they don't have control over is themselves and their young men being stopped, frisked, arrested & incarcerated for things where white men don't get hassled, go free, get probation or lesser sentences.
Once you're in the system, everything in your life changes. You can't simply serve your time and have your life reset like it's a video game.
Your job prospects are affected, every traffic stop becomes a major event, you can be refused housing or denied renting an apartment, credit terms, bank loans, even your college application is under greater scrutiny.
Former convicts end up leaving jail in debt - and I'm not talking about owing a few hundred or a few thousand for cigarettes & snacks but 10s or even 100s of thousands for the burden of keeping you locked up, while you were making thirteen cents / hr in prison labor.
It's used to be that "paying your debt to society" meant serving your time & walking the straight & narrow after. Nowadays, the sentence is just the 1st installment and you don't get prime interest rates for the $20k - $50k for the time you spent in the State Hilton
Pain is merely failure leaving the body
there are massive amounts of old bitcoins not currently accounted for, whoever has them of the original players stands to make a lot of money slowly flooding the market with them
Snowden and Manning are heroes.
"Continue to appreciate"
Sweetheart, when a currency appreciates, that's deflation. You can say "disinflationary" all you want.
Yes , of course bitcoin is often acting deflationary(which is great) , but sometimes behaves inflationary based upon supply and demand. I am clearly making a distinction between minting (disinflationary) and how bitcoin behaves in the economy (sometimes inflationary and sometimes deflationary). There have been long periods of inflation as well. Take a look at 2014.
Because Ethereum's PoW oh wait PoS oh wait but maybe is a joke?
it's in my head
You mean like Ethereum? Why not just jump ship from Bitcoin?
Ethereum has many problems besides its goals of switching to an untested and insecure proof of stake algo. It was largely premined , it is insecure , it won't scale, the halting problem and recursion will haunt it, its functionality can be replicated by bitcoin more securely, it lacks a network effect, most of the largest stakeholders can be targeted, they are planning on reversing the history and blacklisting thus removing immutability, ect..
A new bitcoin algorithm, written in Beginners' All Purpose Symbolic Instruction Coconut.
10 c = speed of lite beer
20 accelerate my ass to c
30 gosub and return to Earth just in time for no new coins being min(t)able
40 sell junk on ebay for bitcoin
50 ? "profit!"
60 REM Never spend bitcoin
70 go to 40 until I gots them all
When the no-new-bitcoins era comes, and you are greeted by a homeless guy who tells you he "gave" away everything for all the bitcoins in the world ...
How does that story play out?
Know your pads. One time pad: good for cryptography. Two timing pad: where to take your mistress.
And what could be more natural than bitcoin, a construct of mind?
Even the universe itself, all of nature, does not boast philosophical intuition for being necessary to exist, at least to us bumheads.
Know your pads. One time pad: good for cryptography. Two timing pad: where to take your mistress.
That's basically what props up all the currencies: That people think they can still get something in exchange for it tomorrow. The moment this stops, the currency's value drops rapidly.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
No, you don't have to work for less than a slave would make, you could always choose to starve to death...
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
Who got rich during the California gold rush era? HINT: it wasn't the gold miners. The answer is: The people who sold the miners and other gold rush followers the tools and supplies they needed.
Yes - fiat currency declared by a recluse with a false name.
Makes it far worse than fiat currency of a state with real assets doesn't it?
I really don't get why bitcoin perpetrators take this angle - it's an own goal.
If you go back to the very first article about bitcoin on Slashdot you will see multiple posts about it being deflationary and an obvious pyramid scheme.
By sheer fluke I'm rereading Mark Twain's "Roughing It" where he has a lot to say about that topic, although it was the Nevada silver rush at the time.
Disinflationary - You keep on using that word. How about instead of trying to mislead people you just write "deflation"? You can't? The rubes would catch on and not add to the pyramid scheme?
The entire thing is a scam baited for geeks and really pisses me off.
False dichotomy. I disagree with you so you attempt to use the most ridiculous comparison possible to attempt to justify your position.
No, my brother the drug addict, you may not take my rent money to pay for your habit, my children need a roof over their heads. I will give you money but only for rehab.
The Greeks had everything planned to refuse the IMF's conditions, exit the EEC and reintroduce the drachma but that wouldn't have reformed the greek economy nor changed their habit of not paying taxes. Greece's problems aren't the IMFs conditions, it's a declining economy, an omnivorous non-productive public sector and a bankrupt government.
I, like the IMF, & the USG think that the Greeks also need debt relief, but that's something the EEC will not give until the greeks finish implementing reforms.
Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
Then maybe those reforms should start by not buying more submarines, but I guess Germany wouldn't want that to happen...
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
Ah so it is the submarines that were the biggest issue in the Greek debt crisis. Yup, that's what every meeting between the Greeks and the IMF/EEC spent the most time on which was reflected in the importance Submarines were given in newspaper headlines of the day where The Submarine Issue dominated economic reform...
That you think an argument as weak and easily provable as a minor detail as this is is important shows how poorly you understand the Greek crisis & the IMF. It does serve to clearly display (at least some of) your bias though.
Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue