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Kurzweil Argues Technology Improves The World, Compares DNA to Code (geekwire.com)

Futurist Ray Kurzweil told a Seattle conference specific ways in which technology is already improving our lives. For example, while there's a general perception that the world's getting worse, "What's actually happening is our information about what's wrong in the world is getting better. A century ago, there would be a battle that wiped out the next village, you'd never even hear about it." An anonymous Slashdot reader quotes two of Kurzweil's other interesting insights: "We're only crowded because we've crowded ourselves into cities. Try taking a train trip across the United States, or Europe or Asia or anywhere in the world. Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used... we don't want to use it because you don't want to be out in the boondocks if you don't have people to work and play with. That's already changing now that we have some level of virtual communication..."

[And on the potential of human genomics] "It's not just collecting what is basically the object code of life that is expanding exponentially. Our ability to understand it, to reverse-engineer it, to simulate it, and most importantly to reprogram this outdated software is also expanding exponentially. Genes are software programs. It's not a metaphor. They are sequences of data. But they evolved many years ago, many tens of thousands of years ago..."

130 of 203 comments (clear)

  1. what happened to ask Ray Kurzweil anything? by carnivore302 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Several months back there was a call for questions for Ray Kurzweil. https://features.slashdot.org/...

    Whatever happened to the answers?

    --
    Please login to access my lawn
    1. Re: what happened to ask Ray Kurzweil anything? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      He'll answer then in 50 years. If you live for eternity, you plan for different scales.

    2. Re:what happened to ask Ray Kurzweil anything? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      They probably were too stupid to publish...

      We're just waiting for the singularity.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:what happened to ask Ray Kurzweil anything? by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Like some cults wait for the world to end?

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  2. crowded by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Has he even been in the Netherlands ? This place IS crowded. We do not have ANY unused space, there is no such thing as "out in the boondocks" here. Even the bits that appear unused are actually carefully managed pieces of 'nature'. Not a single tree there is allowed to fall over without it being discussed in a meeting somewhere.

    I have news for Mr Kurzweil. Crowded is not defined in terms of how much more people you can shoehorn in. Crowded is defined in terms of how easy it is to escape the other assholes in case you do so desire.

    1. Re: crowded by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1, Troll

      I lived in the Netherlands. Ray is spot on there, too. Even driving the long hour and a half on the highway from Amsterdam to Rotterdam, one giant supercity, you pass through many more miles of open farmland than urban area, dotted with villages. And inland it is almost solid farmland.

      Ray is right. There is a ton of room to move out of cities there without addecting farmland use much (to say nothing of improving farming techniques that will more than compensate, i.e. food prices will continue to drop over the decades even as farmland becomed marginally, a few percent, less available. And a few percent is an enormous space for more spread out living.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    2. Re: crowded by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      So that's not unused land, it's the land required to feet the huge cities.

    3. Re:crowded by Maritz · · Score: 1

      He talks about travelling across Europe, and you think a comparison to Netherlands is relevant? Compare continental Europe to Netherlands in area. Yeah. You just equated those.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    4. Re:crowded by Provocateur · · Score: 1

      Finally, after all this time, quite a number of centuries in fact, we have finally figured out why they called it the Netherlands.

      Are we going to argue about it NOW, ffs?

      --
      WARNING: Smartphones have side effects--most of them undocumented.
    5. Re:crowded by SlashDread · · Score: 1

      You premises are wrong:
      You define "crowded" one way, and claim Kurtzweil does not follow (your rather arbitrary definition).

      You seem to equate "nature" with "unused bits of land (by humans)", thats wrong, because humans are part of nature, even if you re-define nature to mean something like "all life except humans", then wrong too, because every bit of surface of this planet has been touched by humans, and is therefore "used" by humans. The ocean is where we store our unwanted plastc, the Arctic and Antarctic is where we power our global airconditioning. (Mind you we have limited ice supply, hence its time limited airco)

      So Kurtzweil must mean something like "unsused for habitation (aka: not cities)" So the issue becomes humans could use the planet far more efficiently then we do now for habitation. Its easy to see that we could form a few more London/Paris/New York's right here in The Netherlands and we could house many more people.

      Now, thee shit will hit the fan with regards to some resources (Where will the energy come from), but the resource we actually have plenty of is space... we still can go UP and DOWN, and we can even get rid of some of those "single tree that is allowed to fall down after a meeting"

    6. Re:crowded by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Well, the whole world is not the Netherlands. Sadly. ;) Or maybe not...what with the rising seas and all.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
  3. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Google's Director of Engineering, inventor of optical character recognition, inventor of the digital music keyboard and lots of other stuff - his Wikipedia page is quite lengthy...

  4. Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    10 million people live in, say, around Los Angeles. But to supply those 10 million people with water a fair percent of the watershed of California is tapped. If 1 million people moved into the all that mostly empty land between Los Angeles and Las Vegas, where are they going to get water?
    In, say, parts of New York of the south, water is more abundant. But to feed 10 million people anywhere takes land to grow food, to find a place to dispose of their sewage and trash, etc. etc.
    Determining how much land is required support each person has actually been studied. 2-9 acres is one range; there are a lot of variables.
    10 million people may live around Los Angeles, but they *off of* a lot more land.

    1. Re:Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The usage of arable land around the world is already very high globally, and lots of that "we don't want to use" land is either very expensive to develop, very destructive to develop, already in agricultural use, already in government use, already reserved for other use by the authorities, national parks and such. One thing Kurzweil did get right is that in some countries cities are getting ever bigger organically, without any central planning and regional centers are not developed systematically, even if it would improve the quality of life of the people. Technology is then one of the key enablers to connect the regional centers, in addition to public transport (the horror of socialism!).

    2. Re:Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used... by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      "10 million people live in, say, around Los Angeles. But to supply those 10 million people with water a fair percent of the watershed of California is tapped. If 1 million people moved into the all that mostly empty land between Los Angeles and Las Vegas, where are they going to get water?"

      We're suffering from a shortage of technological hubris right now. Put someone like Kurzweil in charge of the California water system, and Los Angeles sucking Wyoming dry would quickly be replaced by desalination.

    3. Re:Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used... by drinkypoo · · Score: 5, Interesting

      10 million people live in, say, around Los Angeles. But to supply those 10 million people with water a fair percent of the watershed of California is tapped.

      Yes, and that is especially wrong because it is unnecessary. Believe it or not, Los Angeles receives enough rainfall to account for more than 90% of its water use. But about 99% of that water runs straight into the ocean (where it causes brackishness during rains, because so much water is shed so quickly!) because Los Angeles has been paved all to hell, and has no ability to retain water. It's like a runner that's skipping salt.

      In, say, parts of New York of the south, water is more abundant. But to feed 10 million people anywhere takes land to grow food, to find a place to dispose of their sewage and trash, etc. etc.

      Sewage is a big issue. At best you need enough room to compost the poop, and since nobody here wants to be a night soil man we have a whole expensive infrastructure for piping the shit around... using water. A lot of water. And then, the water is maybe used for irrigation. But we could at least be using AIWPS and getting clean water out of the other end of the system, albeit at some cost in space. Which brings us back to what you were saying, of course.

      Food is actually a much smaller issue. Vertical gardening on aeroponics can produce a whole lot of produce in a very small space with very little resources. There are dozens if not hundreds of such operations across the country so far, and they are reproducing rapidly.

      Trash is a huge issue, but it should be a lot smaller. Notably, all packaging should be recyclable, and what isn't recyclable should be compostable. It should be outright illegal to sell anything that comes in a non-recyclable package. That would go a long way towards solving this problem.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Determining how much land is required support each person has actually been studied. 2-9 acres is one range; there are a lot of variables.

      So, using your worst case, we get a circle 200-odd miles in radius around LA to provide for LA. Less than half that using your best case.

      Note that your best case number (two acres per head) is a more realistic number for the most part....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    5. Re:Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      It is all over the news that 99% of the water used^H^H^H^H wasted is used in agriculture, e.g. Almond farms.
      86% of all Almonds come from the US, destroying e.g. Spanish Almond farmers who can not switch to machine based harvesting. Why? What is so fucking important if a bag of Almonds costs 99cents or $1,49, so the rest of the world can also have a living on it?
      Most of the Almonds are grown in California, every year adding another 10,000 acres of production.

      But we all know that either global warming or El Nino or La Nina is responsible for the water issues. Obviously not the bad planning and stupid lobbies and politicians belonging or following such lobbies.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    6. Re:Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used... by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      The California water shortage is primarily due to increasing population, which turns a cycle of dry years into a crisis.

      When problems like this crop up liberals wring their hands and preach for a return to their beloved Stone Age. Let scientists characterize the problem, and let engineers fix it.

    7. Re:Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Can sterilized packaging only be made from non-recyclable plastics?

      A quick google showed me that polypropylene is autoclaveable, so the short answer is no

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    8. Re:Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      The California water shortage is primarily due to increasing population, which turns a cycle of dry years into a crisis.

      No it is not.
      It is primary due to insane water consumption by Almond farms. And secondary to all other farming.

      I suggest to google for it, can't be so hard.

      Human beings don't need much water, actually a no brainer. You could increase the population of California by a factor of 100 and the change in water "waste" would not even show on the demand curve.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    9. Re:Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used... by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Glass is recyclable and has historically been used for storing medical supplies. What's the problem with using it?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
  5. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Mats+Svensson · · Score: 3, Funny

    Who are you to ask us that question?
    Who are you, and why should we care?
    What is the point, why are we here?

  6. Nah by BlackPignouf · · Score: 2

    Just ignore the biggest problems (oil dependence and climate change), concentrate on everything else, and say it all looks good!
    Technology needs an imperial fuckton of energy (mostly from oil, gas and coal) for sometimes dubious results that don't do much, if anything, to improve our quality of life (Pokemon Go, Bitcoins, ...).
    Let's not forget that technology isn't science, and that we shouldn't do everything just because we can.

    1. Re: Nah by Maritz · · Score: 1

      This is Slashdot. AGW has no power here. Hippy conspiracy innit.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    2. Re: Nah by doom · · Score: 1

      Climate change is a bitch but won't kill us all.

      One of the nicer things about climate change is I can look forward to everyone in Florida having conversion moments when Miami is under water.

      Of course, what they do after that is one of the worst things about climate change.

    3. Re:Nah by thrasher+thetic · · Score: 1

      Calm down there chicken little. You're missing the point. Unless you're arguing that quality of live for the vast majority of human beings on this planet isn't significantly better than it was even 50 years ago, in which case continue.

  7. Huh? by DerekLyons · · Score: 4, Interesting

    "A century ago, there would be a battle that wiped out the next village, you'd never even hear about it."

    Huh? Maybe in the remote parts of Africa or some other place that was still stuck in the stone age. Maybe. In the parts of the worlds actually living in the (early) 20th century not so much.

    ""We're only crowded because we've crowded ourselves into cities. Try taking a train trip across the United States, or Europe or Asia or anywhere in the world. Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used... we don't want to use it because you don't want to be out in the boondocks if you don't have people to work and play with. That's already changing now that we have some level of virtual communication..."

    Not in the US, or most of Europe, or a good chunk of Asia. Not used for housing or urban sprawl isn't the same as not used. And no, it's actually changing much - communication isn't the only issue, access to stuff (physical goods) is also important, as is access to experiences. And neither have markedly changed if you live in the actual boondocks. (I find most people who live in big cities have little idea what conditions are like outside of the metro area.)

    When will computer geeks grasp that most of the human race actually enjoys the company of others and that there are actual economic reasons why people cluster?

    1. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      When will computer geeks grasp that most of the human race actually enjoys the company of others and that there are actual economic reasons why people cluster?

      When they spend time on a farm and realize that growing food for even one person to eat year-round requires an enormous amount of space.

    2. Re:Huh? by AussieNeil · · Score: 2

      Exactly! Living in a large metropolis of a low population state, I hadn't appreciated how very little land is not used for some purpose until moving to the country. Any apparently unused land just lacks economic value. I appreciated from a few years of working for this state's water supply utility that all regularly flowing surface water streams had been dammed for water. There were no naturally flowing water courses unless water flow was so infrequent as to make it uneconomic to dam the stream...

    3. Re:Huh? by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      As long as your definition of enormous is a few acres, you are correct. What it takes more than space is time and work. Lots of time and work to plant and maintain, then harvest. And, after harvest (spring->fall}, it must be preserved for winter. Takes a lot of t/w.

      My wife had a foggy dream of being self-sustaining. I wasn't interested in being a farmer. She gave up on the idea very quickly.

    4. Re: Huh? by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Good idea. We should implement a Year Zero Policy for geeks. Force them to do manual labor for some time. Make that one year at the very least. They will either die or emerge as more decent persons. Either outcome is good.

      Your exact idea has been tried. This is how it turned out:
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    5. Re:Huh? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      My wife had a foggy dream of being self-sustaining. I wasn't interested in being a farmer. She gave up on the idea very quickly.

      The robotic revolution is finally at hand. Food production is going to become a job for robots like everything else. The problem isn't going to be where food comes from, it's going to be whether the elites let you have any.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    6. Re:Huh? by Aristos+Mazer · · Score: 1

      > When will computer geeks grasp that most of the human race actually > enjoys the company of others and that there are actual economic reasons > why people cluster? That's exactly what Kurzweil DID agree with. He said we've crowded into cities because we want to crowd. But it has downsides. His contention is that as we improve communications and physical delivery of goods, we can have the economic benefits and companionship benefits of clustering without actually clustering.

    7. Re:Huh? by GrumpySteen · · Score: 1

      "A century ago, there would be a battle that wiped out the next village, you'd never even hear about it."

      Huh? Maybe in the remote parts of Africa or some other place that was still stuck in the stone age. Maybe. In the parts of the worlds actually living in the (early) 20th century not so much.

      Just to add to that, a century ago, about 30% of the people in the US had telephones and the first coast to cost long distance call was made. Intercontinental telegraph lines already connected North America, South America and Europe. In many cities, theaters showed hour-long newsreels during the day (commercial TV stations wouldn't show up for another 15 years or so). Newspapers and radio were everyday sources of information for everyone.

      Also, a century ago was 1916. WWI was in full swing. There were millions of refugees trying to escape the war and 17 milllion people died before it was over. Because of the scale and horror of it all, people were extremely attentive to things like the next village over being wiped out.

    8. Re:Huh? by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      There was an old British sitcom, The Good Life, about a couple who tried to go self-sustaining. It's really very funny, you should watch it.

      The final episode was unusual. Most of the series was very upbeat - the Good's faced up to all the problems that came their way, fighting for their dream with ingenuity and determination. They turned their garden into a miniature farm, made contacts to barter their excess production for what they couldn't make, and learned many new skills - until the last episode, when two disasters strike at once, destroying their garden farm and most of their possessions. The episode ends with the couple desperately trying to retain their cheerful optimism and commitment to their dream even in the face of impossibility.

    9. Re:Huh? by swb · · Score: 1

      "A century ago, there would be a battle that wiped out the next village, you'd never even hear about it."

      Huh? Maybe in the remote parts of Africa or some other place that was still stuck in the stone age. Maybe. In the parts of the worlds actually living in the (early) 20th century not so much.

      I think there's some truth to this, in that not even that long ago when something awful happened far away it may have gotten printed in a larger newspaper but even then the details were spartan, often delayed by days or weeks (depending on how far back we're talking).

      But now? We get to watch high definition video of the something awful happening in almost real time and within hours we have a mountain of data on it, from facts to photos to additional video, from the other side of the world.

      The benefit of not knowing or knowing very poorly was that the something awfuls were less inflammatory. You were, somewhat rightly, more aggrieved about the local awful things, which based on nothing more than probability, were far less awful. And because the focus was more local, the awful things usually involved people like you, so there was less likelihood that the awful things immediately raised tribal instincts.

      Now? A member of $group1 is a victim of $group2, and within hours $group1 is rioting in the streets or whipping their members into a froth (if they didn't already whip themselves into one after watching constant HD video replays). Even people without a dog in the fight reframe their conception of their local lives based on what they see, despite these things being remote.

    10. Re:Huh? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

      growing food for even one person to eat year-round requires an enormous amount of space.

      And by "enormous amount of space", you mean something like two hundred square meters for your annual carbohydrate needs? Modern agriculture is insanely space-efficient. Now of course food is more than just about grain, but the UN calculates with a square 70 meters in size even for western-style diet. But maybe a good start for the western population would be stopping throwing half of the produced food into garbage before it even gets into our stomachs?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    11. Re:Huh? by doom · · Score: 1

      DerekLyons wroe:

      "A century ago, there would be a battle that wiped out the next village, you'd never even hear about it." Huh? [...] in the (early) 20th century not so much.

      Yeah, actually someone would notice something had happened to the next village long before "never".

      (Note: World War 1 started in 1914. "A hundred years ago" just isn't as long as it used to be.)

      When will computer geeks grasp that most of the human race actually enjoys the company of others and that there are actual economic reasons why people cluster?

      Okay, so Kurzweil is betting on "the Naked Sun" scenario, rather than "the Caves of Steel", but to be fair to him, he's at least noticed that there's some tension between VR technology and New Urbanism. At Kevin Kelly's last Long Now talk, it was clear that this hasn't registered on him yet.

    12. Re:Huh? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      These things are possible because of technology.

      Ten-beer question: are they inevitable because of technology?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    13. Re:Huh? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      When will computer geeks grasp that most of the human race actually enjoys the company of others and that there are actual economic reasons why people cluster?

      That's exactly what Kurzweil DID agree with. He said we've crowded into cities because we want to crowd. But it has downsides.

      Um, no. Very few people want to crowd, because crowding is quite frankly uncomfortable. We put up with it because the benefits far exceed the downsides.

      His contention is that as we improve communications and physical delivery of goods, we can have the economic benefits and companionship benefits of clustering without actually clustering.

      Only if one is the stereotypical computer geek who doesn't actually enjoy the physical company of another. (And who doesn't grasp that 'crowding' delivers far more than economic and communications benefits.)

    14. Re:Huh? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      "A century ago, there would be a battle that wiped out the next village, you'd never even hear about it."

      Huh? Maybe in the remote parts of Africa or some other place that was still stuck in the stone age. Maybe. In the parts of the worlds actually living in the (early) 20th century not so much.

      I think there's some truth to this, in that not even that long ago when something awful happened far away it may have gotten printed in a larger newspaper but even then the details were spartan, often delayed by days or weeks (depending on how far back we're talking).

      Do you honestly not grasp the difference between "next village" and "far away"? (Not to mention failing to grasp the standards of mass media that existed as early as the mid/late 19th century.)

  8. Umm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    'A century ago, there would be a battle that wiped out the next village, you'd never even hear about it'.

    In 1916? Really? World War I aside, anywhere you'd have heard about it in 1916 I suspect you would today. It wasn't the Middle Ages.

    1. Re:Umm by vivian · · Score: 1

      A lot of villages got wiped out in WW1 - and I don't think the world would have known about every single one that got smashed.
      As for the world being a better place - well I am definitely glad I was born into this century where the loss of 1000 soldiers is almost instantly in the news, considered a major catastrophe and would cause much soul searching by the population back home about whether the cost was worth it - compared to the hundreds of thousands that were pushed into the meat grinders of WW1, with the press keeping silent about the true scale of casualties.

    2. Re:Umm by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      12 comments deep before I find one that isn't some idiot's snark.

      He is just re-making an old observation here, that instant worldwide communication (and now, camera videos) make the entire world a place of disaster observation. Heck, any old incident for that matter.

      Tornado, hurricane, murder, car accident, train accident, these were incredibly rare in the days of old film cameras. Few had one, and never at the ready.

      Now these scenes are not just common, but daily. We have an entire world of rare events to view on the Internet each evening...or live.

      But that is a chimera making things seem worse when, by all objective measures, things are getting better.

      Imagine a galactic society with fast information exchange. Or slow, lightspeed for that matter. Every minute you would see bombs and wars and collapsing buildings from a million worlds coming in...even if that society were 10x more peaceful per capita.

      As for the land, he is right. Although much of the "unused" land is used by farms for the people in cities, as a fraction there is a buttload of room for living without impacting farm area much.

      For that matter, improvements in farming not only compensate for population increase, but do so faster than it becomes a problem (thanks, Julian Simon [.org] for the unshocking observation). It would similarly budget for people moving out into these vast, "unused" spaces, and faster than it gets used.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    3. Re:Umm by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      I don't think the world would have known about every single one that got smashed.

      You moved the goalposts. *He* said "A century ago, there would be a battle that wiped out the next village, you'd never even hear about it.". The 'you' in there doesn't refer to the world but the next village over.

  9. does he even know anything about DNA ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    If you really want to compare DNA to software, please at least also make reasonable timeframe comparisons... A 100000 year-old piece of code is not "outdated" if the original software is 4 billion years old. In fact, it is actually brand new. But to Kurzeil's defence, let us all admit how hard it is to represent such durations in our feeble minds, who already have trouble thinking about what will happen in 10 years...

    1. Re:does he even know anything about DNA ? by Alwin+Henseler · · Score: 1

      A 100000 year-old piece of code is not "outdated" if the original software is 4 billion years old. In fact, it is actually brand new.

      Yeah... Debian experimental-style new. But a lot depends on your definition of "original"; quite a few patches have been made over time so perhaps little (if any) of the original code is left.

      As for 100,000 year-old code: pfff... I keep a some local repositories around that see regular updates. Daily *and* nightly builds, a full suite of regression tests on real hardware, automated backups... the works.

      On a side note: the hell with versioning or changelogs. Just kick out a stable release every couple of years, stick a funny name on it, and call it a day.

  10. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by DrXym · · Score: 4, Funny

    He pops pills thinking it will make him immortal, he promotes ideas like the "singularity" where people will upload their minds into computers and other such nonsense. The hubris is so great he'll probably die by having a heart attack and his autopilot Tesla will plough straight into picture of a sunset.

  11. What's wrong in the world. by MrKaos · · Score: 1, Troll

    We get information about the world wide slide of the west into a dystopia, where every single country is passing more laws designed to 'keep us safe' which roughly translates to 'give politicians more power to control us'. You can almost see the politicians high fiving each other in the background as they deceive us with some new outrageous lie.

    We get information about how world wide mega corporations suction the wealth of nations into their ever increasing profit books while introducing 6000 page monoliths of trade agreements to governments around the world and refer to the laws of countries designed to protect their people as 'obstructions' to trade as they complete the conversion of citizens rights into capital.

    We get information about how spy agencies around the world increasingly capture record store our personal information as they move from covert to overt intelligence operations.

    We get information about the world wide destruction of ecosystems, species collapse, combined with global warming and all of the political and social tactics used to stop any progress because if you can deny the carbon externalities then all the rest of them must be bogus as well.

    It is what is implied by the better information, that the hidden autocrats controlling the reigns of global power aren't going to let go any time soon. The old powers control the wealth of the world and we all do not and they will not let go. That is the 'implied' information from this better information.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    1. Re:What's wrong in the world. by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Why is this moderated a Troll?

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  12. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Some+nick+or+other · · Score: 2

    Kurzweil (on the one hand) and all those people thinking the terminator scenario will happen (on the other) feel like theists who try to quash their theism by force, but it just pops up elsewhere in another shape.

    Kurzweil's "we're all going to be immortal and the singularity will bring plenty to all" is: technology will let us make God and we will all go to techno-Heaven.
    The terminator/golem scenario with the out-of-control superintelligences turning the whole world into computer material is: technology will let us make God and we will all go to techno-Hell. The more you get into the really bizarre end of the theology, the more obvious it is.

  13. Commuciation doesn't solve the logistics by Kiuas · · Score: 4, Interesting

    we don't want to use it because you don't want to be out in the boondocks if you don't have people to work and play with. That's already changing now that we have some level of virtual communication..."

    People don't just live in the cities because they want to be around other people for work and play, cities are also handy in that all sorts of crucial services are nearby. There's a reason cities developed as trade hubs to begin with: people are lazy and would rather walk a couple hundred meters and take a subway to go fetch their laptop from the shop rather than driving long distances for it. Likewise, being close to emergency services is something that only cities can offer. Here in Finland the average response time of an ambulance in cities is about 8-10 minutes in emergencies, whereas up north in Lapland it can easily be an hour even with a helicopter. Libraries, schools, hospitals, post offices, drug stores, etc, all of these and much more are something you can find in nearly every part of any larger city but you might have to travel a couple hundred miles to out in the countryside.

    I'm not saying Ray's wrong overall: it's true that living out of cities has become more viable with technology, but it's a bit shortsighted to assume that the only reason people are concentrated into cities are social reasons and entirely ignore the benefits provided by the kind of service infrastructure that cities offer and sparsely populated areas do not.

    --
    "It is the business of the future to be dangerous" -Alfred North Whitehead
  14. "Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used"? by Maow · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Try taking a train trip across the United States, or Europe or Asia or anywhere in the world. Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used...

    Sounds like nonsense; just because there aren't houses on it doesn't mean it's unused. There's a lot of farmland in, for example, central North America, or outside the larger European cities.

    Also, forests, for example, might be called "unused" by some, but I'd argue that they are useful just as they are and if we raze them all for farmland and housing we'd be in a bad way.

    For example, forests are repositories for all kinds of specialized DNA (refererring now to the 2nd quote in TFS), and to stretch the DNA-is-code analogy, it's rarely a good idea to discard forever any when storage is cheap.

    1. Re:"Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used"? by mridoni · · Score: 1

      Forests continuously produce oxygen for us - and other living creatures - to consume. Even if you don't interact directly with them, it doesn't mean they're not important. To continue the softwareanalogy, they're a vital part of Earth's "operating system".

  15. "Futurist" = "Idiot in residence" by gweihir · · Score: 1

    Kurzweil ist a stellar example for that. He is also wrong, 100 years ago, Newspapers were rare and expensive, but they did report all the things that mattered. At that time, the idea was already several centuries old (on paper).

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    1. Re:"Futurist" = "Idiot in residence" by monkeyxpress · · Score: 1

      Kurzweil ist a stellar example for that. He is also wrong, 100 years ago, Newspapers were rare and expensive, but they did report all the things that mattered. At that time, the idea was already several centuries old (on paper).

      This is the problem with having a plutocracy. You have to make up lots of bullshit jobs for all the kids-of-someone-rich who didn't win at the talent lottery.

    2. Re:"Futurist" = "Idiot in residence" by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      100 years ago, Newspapers were rare and expensive

      No they weren't. The price of a newspaper in 1915 was $.05 for Sunday. Today, the NYT costs $5 for Sunday. Adjusting $.05 from 1915 gives $1.17 today. So the cost of newspapers has risen dramatically from then.

      Two hundred years ago they were more rare but still available to anyone in a decent sized city.

      You were also right. They carried a great deal of news. Spanish-American War (1898) anyone? Reporters (Hemingway) on the field. Same for the Boxer Rebellion (1898) in China.

    3. Re:"Futurist" = "Idiot in residence" by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

      I did find it odd that the selected quotes were both wrong in important ways. I suppose he's having fun playing gentleman philosopher.

  16. Re:Machine Intelligence and God by gweihir · · Score: 1

    Physicalism is about as scientifically sound as any other fundamentalist religion-type view. Its proponents claim to be anti-religion, but they are doing basically the same thing and with about as much scientifically sound evidence.

    At this point Science does not have any insights into what consciousness, intelligence, intuition, etc. actually is. In particular for consciousness, there is simply no mechanism in Physics, but it looks more and more like intelligence on the level of a smart human being cannot actually be done with computing machinery in this universe either, not enough matter and energy available.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  17. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by gweihir · · Score: 3, Insightful

    He is a stellar example of an idiot with no understanding of science and a big ego. Kind of like a politician, but without the PR training and the power. As such he can be used as a negative example. I do not see any other use knowing about him would have.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  18. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by gweihir · · Score: 1

    Indeed. These people want to believe something very much religion-like, bit are somehow smart enough to see how ridiculous traditional religion is. So they invented a surrogate that is not one bit better, but a bit less obvious.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  19. Outdated DNA by lapm · · Score: 1

    Hows DNA outdated? Thats like claiming we humans are outdated.. DNA is current and perfectly suited to job at hand. We humans should not try beat nature in engineering of DNA... After all its nature that has unlimited resources and unlimited chances to progress.. We humans tend to make mess.

    1. Re:Outdated DNA by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1

      Mother Nature started the fight for survival, and now she wants to quit because she's losing?
      - Charles Montgomery Burns

      --
      Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
    2. Re:Outdated DNA by Maritz · · Score: 1

      Depends what you mean by "beat" nature. Nature isn't trying to do anything in particular. Random mutation is acted upon by non-random selection. That brought us along, but it took quite a while, didn't it? If we have a specific thing in mind, natural selection is a SLOOOOOOOW way to get there (if you ever get there).

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    3. Re:Outdated DNA by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      In a way, genetics is optimizing individuals for the survival of the species, not for the survival of the individual. So it could possibly be the case that our manipulation of an individual's genetic code for improving the quality of life of said individual, especially in later phases of life, is not related to what nature does to the whole species.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
  20. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by wbr1 · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Well, he does have a B.S. from MIT, the Grace Hopper Award, and the National Medal of Technology. So to say he is an idiot is more like ego stroking for you and not a true statement.

    Now, not believing the future he sees is another thing. I don't believe most of it, but he makes some good points. Do I believe in some unseen singularity that will merge man and machine and boom all will be good? No, just as I do not believe in a mystical sky being who's son's blood is wine.

    But, his statement that while things seem worse, they are not is very true. We live in a society that thrives off of BAD news. It sells. And we can get it instantly. Even if there is less of it to report, it seems like there is more.

    Do I think that AI and automation will surpass us one day? Yes. I do not think it will be in my lifetime, but it will happen. And, I have no predilection as to whether it will be a Butlerian Jihad moment or the saving of mankind. Why, because I know that it is impossible to see the future. Otherwise I would have my fusion powered flying car by now.

    --
    Silence is a state of mime.
  21. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

    It looks like you have written words, but I can find nothing intelligible in what you have said.

    --
    (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  22. Re:Kurzweil is irrelevant by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

    No intelligible information in your pile of gibberish, either.

    --
    (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  23. Maybe he writes from an Amarican POV by johanw · · Score: 3, Interesting

    > ry taking a train trip across the United States, or Europe or Asia or anywhere in the world. Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used... we don't want to use it because you don't want to be out in the boondocks if you don't have people to work and play with.

    Hah, try that in most of Europe: building a house in an area not appointed to housing even if you own the land. The police will be very quickly to tell you that is not allowed and if you don't remove the building yourself the state will do it for you and send you the bill (unless you are very rich and influential). In The Netherlands there is even hassle about people owning vacation houses who live there permanantly (which is not allowed but sometimes ignored by the local authorities).

    Many people here have no choice but to live in a city.

    1. Re:Maybe he writes from an Amarican POV by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Wow - Europe is even more oppressive than I realized.

      Try being one of the people whose house burned down in for example the Valley Fire, which occurred in Lake County, CA. First, the permit process is taking around a year. Second, permits for a single-bedroom dwelling are $30,000 and they go up from there, and you have to fully repermit if there are no plans on file. There aren't for most of them, because most of them are remodeled hunting cabins. Third, a lot of these places can't be permitted for a leachfield under current laws because of the size of the lot, and there is no sewage service in most of the county; for the most part it happens only on the town grids, almost everyone else is on septic. Except in Anderson Springs, where about four out of over a hundred houses didn't burn. They're getting a new sewage system... in a year.

      The truth is that there's plenty of housing oppression in the USA.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Maybe he writes from an Amarican POV by 110010001000 · · Score: 2

      Are you stupid? It is called "zoning" and isn't oppressive. The reason for that is we the taxpayers need to subsidize these houses, which are playthings for hunters and rich city folk who want a vacation cabin. Who builds and maintains the roads, sewage (if it exists), electricity, water systems? This is VERY expensive. Libertarians are so dense. They have no clue the infrastructure needed to allow them to live in that "rural" cabin. Of course whenever there is a issue they call for help from the fire/police/medical.

    3. Re:Maybe he writes from an Amarican POV by abies · · Score: 1

      There are similar reasons for such restrictions in Europe. Point here was that US is not that different from Europe in regards to building rights, not that we should be able to build anything anywhere.

      In my area, there is a limit of height of buildings, because it is on landing path for local airport. One of buildings there is 5 meters too high and they got order from local county that they need to dismantle two top floors (and it is multi family, condo building). People are already living there, paid for apartments, original building developer went bankrupt because of other investments. No idea what is going to happen there, who will pay for it, where these people will live, how this is going to happen technically (dismantling two top floor while there are number of occupied floors below is certainly not safe). All that because somebody was not 'oppresive' enough to control the building while it was being created (original plans called for few less floors AFAIK).

    4. Re:Maybe he writes from an Amarican POV by Maritz · · Score: 1

      Wow - Europe is even more oppressive than I realized.

      "Even more". lol

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
  24. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1

    It’s one of life’s great mysteries isn't it? Why are we here? I mean, are we the product of some cosmic coincidence? Or is there really a God watching everything, you know, with a plan for us and stuff. I don’t know, man, but it keeps me up at night.

    --
    Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
  25. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    You know you could just go and look it up.

  26. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Oligonicella · · Score: 3, Informative

    For instance:

    Inventor David Shepard appears on a 1959 episode of "I've Got a Secret" [with demonstration] with the secret "I invented a machine that read and writes." Mr. Shepard is considered to be the inventor of the first OCR (Optical Character Recognition) machine, though that term is not used here.

    So, it's been around too long for him. What we appear to have with crediting Kurzweil with inventing OCR is a moving of goal posts to accommodate his tech instead of the fundamental idea and implementation.

    A search on "OCR inventor" yields the name Emanuel Goldberg as the inventor of Optical Character Recognition (1931).

    So Kurzweil moved it into a more modern computer, he didn't invent OCR per se.

  27. Re:Machine Intelligence and God by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1

    This statement:

    Science does not have any insights into what consciousness, intelligence, intuition, etc. actually is.

    Contradicts this one:

    it looks more and more like intelligence on the level of a smart human being cannot actually be done with computing machinery in this universe either, not enough matter and energy available.

    If we don't know what intelligence is, how can we know whether or not it's possible to create using computers? The very fact that our brains do not comprise more matter or energy than the universe is evidence that what you're saying can't possibly be true. You're basically putting forward the age-old "God of the gaps" argument, and it holds up just as much as it ever did. Just because we don't understand something now is not evidence that we'll never understand it.

    --
    Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
  28. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    In particular the statement "inventor of the digital music keyboard" is provably false. The Kurzweil K250 was definitely a top-flight instrument at its introduction, but there were already a number of other digital synths available at the time. I'm sure Jon Appleton and John Chowning would get a chuckle at the claim.

  29. Re:Machine Intelligence and God by MrKaos · · Score: 2

    At this point Science does not have any insights into what consciousness, intelligence, intuition, etc. actually is.

    I'm curious if there are different types of consciousness. For instance aside from size, the difference between dolphin, elephant and, human brains and the way they work. Does that make for a different type of consciousness? Or is consciousness the same and awareness is what is different?

    You look into the eyes of an animal and you can see a conscious awareness. Apart from wanting food, sex and sleep what else is going on in those consciousnesses? A fast constantly aware consciousness of a dolphin whose brain is always half asleep and half awake to a slow type of conscious awareness of an elephant that isn't threatened by much of anything. It also seems that emotions are constants and that an animals experience of emotions is similar to ours (or ours to theirs), after all we seem to forget that we too are animals. But that stuff seems to be the chemical experience of life.

    In particular for consciousness, there is simply no mechanism in Physics, but it looks more and more like intelligence on the level of a smart human being cannot actually be done with computing machinery in this universe either, not enough matter and energy available.

    What if the universe is consciousness? Not conscious, as in aware but actual consciousness. Simulations of reality would have to end somewhere and what if the explanation of the creation of the universe is only missing how consciousness relates to it. Our individual experience of reality is consciousness, but what if the manifestation of the universe itself came when consciousness became aware, and then aware of itself?

    What if consciousness is not a function of complex systems in the universe and reality is the other way around. What if the universe and complex systems are a function of consciousness manifesting into reality? What if the 'big bang' was the universe saying 'I am' and every living creatures experience of reality is the universe observing itself?

    Just a thought.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  30. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    I'm glad there are still people who think like this, especially in California.

  31. The World's Getting Worse by sudon't · · Score: 2

    "...there's a general perception that the world's getting worse..."

    Well, yeah, amongst people lacking any historical perspective. And maybe amongst politicians, although I'm not always certain they actually believe what they're demagoguing about. I mean, there are people - many people - who think that crime is worse today, when it's actually at record lows. Whether it's you, me, or Kurzweil saying it, these people's minds won't be changed. Let's face it, most people are not all that educated, and get most of their knowledge about the World through the television.

    --
    -- sudon't

    Air-ride Equipped

  32. Re:Kurzweil is irrelevant by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    I automatically disregard anything he says. He desperately needs to learn some science before he spouts rubbish about it.

    Why are all you people with gloom as your default setting not in Philadelphia right now with your comrades? This is a nerd forum. We're the people you despise until you need us to get something done.

  33. Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used ??? by kenj123 · · Score: 1

    He loses a lot of credibility with this statement. What I guess he means is the land is not occupied by people. But if you take a look the land is heavily used for grazing, timber, mining. I've flown over and driven over the US quite a few times and it really depresses me. The Mississippi is turned into a big drainage ditch. From the ground I see cattle grazing everywhere and they have huge effects on the original ecosystem. The ranchers that have been protesting out west about grazing on government land have gotten in trouble for burning native shrub so it can be replaced with grasses better for cattle. Even historically there has been much fighting over land in the west, they were called the range wars. Montana was the most famous, but there has been lots of other wars over water, fences and sheep vs cattle.

    1. Re:Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used ??? by epine · · Score: 1

      He loses a lot of credibility with this statement.

      People get old, you know.

      In all, the researchers calculated, those who completed at least some of these booster sessions were forty-eight-per-cent less likely to be diagnosed with dementia after ten years than their peers in the control group. Fake it to maintain it, meanwhile, appeared to have no effect.

      The man is rapidly becoming a parody of whatever it was he once accomplished.

  34. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

    Well, he does have a B.S. from MIT, the Grace Hopper Award, and the National Medal of Technology. So to say he is an idiot is more like ego stroking for you and not a true statement.

    Obama has a Nobel peace prize, if you have a point then make it

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  35. Most land is used. by Z00L00K · · Score: 2

    Almost all land in Europe is used, but it's not settled.

    It takes about 60 years for a forest to grow, farming is needed for food and interim areas are needed for plants to prosper.

    --
    If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    1. Re:Most land is used. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Almost all land in Europe is used,
      Actually it is not.

      Starting with the lands that can not be "used" except for hunting like mountains, 30% of Europe are nature reservations. Probably it is even more.

      Meanwhile we have interconnected natural preservation zones ging from Spain via France up to Poland. It is just a lot of small areas, but the goal is to have a patchwork of interconnected natural preservation regions that stretch over all of the EU.

      On the other hand: most woods you see when drive through them with a car or pass by in a train are of course "farmed". No idea how that is called in english.

      Look at the image here: https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
      The green zones are nature preservation zones. Not yet interconnected as planned (no idea how old the map is).

      The only agriculture/farming allowed there is old school traditional like having special sheep races in "Die Lueneburger Heide" or keeping old Apple/Pearl plantages on meadows.

      And the map above is only the "nature preservations" it does not include the land that is simply not used because no one has a use for it or does not need it.

      The same map for France had far far far more green and Poland is basically uninhabited in relation to Germany or France. Same for Portugal or Hungary ... just random examples.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  36. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    He's a frequent Slashdot contributor.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  37. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

    People want to live forever. Once they realise that the afterlife is a lie, they'll put their hopes in even a slim hope like technology that doesn't exist yet but may one day be possible, like uploading or cryonics.

    Sure, the chances of waking up again after the dying an freezing is one in a million. But the chance of waking up from the crematorium is zero, so clutch at that straw and hope luck is on your side.

  38. What? 99% of land not used? by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 4, Informative
    I have traveled in India extensively in trains. My mom has actually dissolved baby formula in the condensed steam from the locomotives to feed me. (Indian loco drivers are kind to mothers traveling with infants). No, 99% of the land is not being left untouched. Even while traveling through the Western ghats and all the tunnels, or through the Chambal valley in Madya Pradesh, through the Vindhyas ranges, or Aravalli ranges ... The signs of human habitation are ubiquitous.

    Farming every tiny itsy bitsy pieces of flat ground, herding goats and cows in the slopes strewn with rock, making one wonder what do these goats eat? rocks? There are no untouched pieces of virgin forests left in India. Not in significant quantities.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  39. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Maritz · · Score: 1

    Look at you, discussing 'likelihoods' with simple matters of fact. If you care, look it up. If you don't, don't opine.

    --
    I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
  40. Really bad timing for flat earther shit by dbIII · · Score: 1

    A century ago, there would be a battle that wiped out the next village, you'd never even hear about it

    Considering that exactly a century ago those battles were actually happening (Poziers etc) and were reported on the opposite side of the world on the same day it's really bad and insensitive timing for that "grandpa was a flat earther" shit.

    Other things - "99% of the land" - the guy may have stuff worth listening to but he's wrapping it up in utterly ridiculous bullshit.

    Genes are software programs. It's not a metaphor

    Yes it fucking is you tool. The PopSci-lite dumbed down suggestion that all you need is genes to entirely describe an organism is a metaphor and not reality.

  41. News? Interesting? by argStyopa · · Score: 1

    Not so much.
    I'm not sure why a futurist telling us the obvious is worth posting?

    --
    -Styopa
  42. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by ranton · · Score: 2

    Indeed. These people want to believe something very much religion-like, bit are somehow smart enough to see how ridiculous traditional religion is. So they invented a surrogate that is not one bit better, but a bit less obvious.

    On one side you have wishful thinking, and on the other side you have people actually doing research to make things happen. Even if the promises of either side never pan out, one is quite a bit better than the other.

    --
    -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
  43. How fast is a brain? How fast is a computer? by XXongo · · Score: 1

    Well, it takes about 40 seconds for a supercomputer to perform the same number of computations a human brain does in one - a giant waste of computing power, but it's actually been done.

    Interesting datum, but, at the moment we don't even know what the brain is doing with its computing power.

    Let's check the calculation. The brain had 100 billion neurons, each with an average of 7,000 synapses, so that's 700 trillion synapses. Each neuron fires at a rate on the order of 1/7 Hz (close enough), so that's 100 trillion synapse firings per second. The fastest supercomputer is a little under 100 petaflops, so the fastest supercomputer does 1000 floating point operations for every neuron firing in a brain over the same time.

    If only we had a good idea of how many floating point operations were in one neuron firing, we'd know something here. But the problem is that the brain is massively interconnected, while a computer is very simply interconnected. How many operations does it take to simulate a massively intereconnected system with a simply interconnected system?

  44. Illusion by shaitand · · Score: 1

    "We're only crowded because we've crowded ourselves into cities. Try taking a train trip across the United States, or Europe or Asia or anywhere in the world. Ninety-nine percent of the land is not used..."

    This sounds like the perspective of a city dweller. In the US at least, unless you are going out west and talking about desert the land is actually much more populated than even 20 years ago. More and more it's becoming like most state/national parks, a thin screen of trees creating the illusion of being out in the wilds while the next camper is just on the other side with no real private space.

  45. Re:Machine Intelligence and God by Maritz · · Score: 1

    Physicalism is about as scientifically sound as any other fundamentalist religion-type view.

    The view that the mind is what the brain does (materialism) is supported by evidence. Tons and tons of evidence. So.... you are wrong.

    At this point Science does not have any insights into what consciousness, intelligence, intuition, etc. actually is. In particular for consciousness, there is simply no mechanism in Physics, but it looks more and more like intelligence on the level of a smart human being cannot actually be done with computing machinery in this universe either, not enough matter and energy available.

    You seem to be arguing that there is something magical about the human brain. It is an information processing machine. It's a poorly understood one, but your claim that it is somehow impervious to physics is absurd.

    It's possible to make a machine that does what the human brain does. Might be wetware, might be hardware, might just be software. We may not be smart enough to build it, but that doesn't mean it cannot be built. Brains exist already. That tells you something. They don't need gigajoules of energy either.

    --
    I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
  46. Re:Machine Intelligence and God by Maritz · · Score: 1

    I predict that we are in a natural (non simulated) universe. Bold prediction eh? If there are parallel universes I expect natural ones to outnumber simulated ones.

    --
    I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
  47. It's a shame about Ray by Maritz · · Score: 1

    Kurzweil is getting worse. He wants to be taken seriously, but then he says things like "99% of land is not used". That's pretty fucking stupid, Ray.

    Couple of years ago he said all you need to make a brain is the few bytes you find in the DNA. Uhhh... No, Ray. Embryology. The brain has to interact with a real environment in order to develop. So it takes waaaaaaaaaay more information than the DNA code itself.

    I've no doubt he is/was a smart guy but he keeps talking shit.

    --
    I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
  48. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I looked it up. They're not his inventions. Get f***ed.

  49. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    Technically, not inventor of the concept but one of those who improved it over the years.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  50. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    But Tauschek's OCR machine was patented in 1929 already.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  51. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

    That's probably because neural networks were crap when Kurzweil was working on OCR, so he didn't use them, so why would he be mentioned in a neural net textbook? Likewise, it's more likely than not that he didn't use machine learning either, at least not in a way that we're using it today (he quite possibly did some "traditional" model fitting, but if you include that in machine learning is up to you).

    I think the problem here may lie in the fact that Kurzweil was one of those people who brought OCR into the realm of personal computing, thus making it usable for a very wide audience that was previously unaware that such thing had even existed before. It's probably the same as with the fact that computer virtualization is "the new craze" but not all people are aware that it was invented at IBM in mid-1960s or so. It's just new in PCs, not new in computing in general. Similarly, in the US and western countries in general, often local inventors or discoverers are favoured in public consciousness over non-local prior art; the examples are numerous here.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  52. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    It must have been a very poor EE college if it didn't have a Tesla coil for fun! ;) (Or maybe just a very depressed one?)

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    Ezekiel 23:20
  53. Re:Machine Intelligence and God by gweihir · · Score: 1

    You wish. The evidence does say no such thing. Only if you to assume Physicalism first, then you can prove .... Physicalism! That is the same meaningless nonsense that any other religion does (and Physicalism taken as truth is nothing but religion).

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  54. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    Actually, I'd argue that Marx and Lenin invented that one, not Kurzweil and the ones like him. Checkmate, Americans!

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    Ezekiel 23:20
  55. Re:Machine Intelligence and God by gweihir · · Score: 1

    It does not. The problem is on your side and it is invalid assumption of truth of certain things that are most decidedly not proven to be true. Just like any other religious fundamentalist.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  56. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    Are you seriously comparing merit-based science and technology awards to the f**ing Nobel peace prize?

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  57. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by gweihir · · Score: 1

    Oh, he didn't make it to more than a B.S.? Figures. The rest are political things, no reflection on skills or insights.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  58. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by gweihir · · Score: 1

    Here is a hint: The problem is on your side. And it cannot be fixed.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  59. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by gweihir · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Kurzweil is not only a moron, his "accomplishments" are fake. Hint: Do not look up "Kurzweil", look up the things he claims to have invented. Just another fraudster living big because of stupid fanbois.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  60. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by gweihir · · Score: 1

    So basically failed terror-management. Pathetic. Incidentally, we do know absolutely nothing about whether there is an "afterlife" or a next life waiting for us. We do know that some people use stories about one to defraud us (most religions, but also the Cryo-Freeze people and the "upload into computer" people and the like), but that does say nothing about the validity of the idea itself.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  61. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by gweihir · · Score: 1

    There is a sucker born every minute...

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  62. Overweening ARROGANCE! by kheldan · · Score: 1

    ..and most importantly to reprogram this outdated software..

    You stupid son of a bitch, we are not anywhere near the point, knowledge-wise, and especially wisdom-wise, to 'edit' our own genomic 'software'. Some of you make jokes about a zombie apocalypse? This is the arrogant mindset that will bring about the equivalent of that! GMO foods are bad enough: I don't even say anything about them anymore because the horse has already left the barn: it's out in the wild now, literally in the wind, and nothing can ever change that. Screwing with our own DNA on the level he seems to imply? No. Just, No.

    --
    Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
  63. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

    Neural networks ARE machine learning.

    No argument against that from me!

    OCR IS Neural networks.

    Now that is debatable. Or, you know, it actually isn't - there's no identity between the two. It's not even a case of one being a proper subset of the other, they merely intersect.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  64. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    You forgot the most important question: Where shall we have lunch?

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    Ezekiel 23:20
  65. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Good point. I was making a convenient overgeneralization, conflating their intersection (which is significant) with identity.

    Most of all, I appreciate that your link shows the technology was invented by an Austrian in the 1930's.

  66. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    #NotAllAustrians ;)

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    Ezekiel 23:20
  67. Population Growth by neoRUR · · Score: 1

    The world population is around 7.4 Billion people most of it in china and India. But in not too many years, say 100 years, the population will be 11 billion, 100 years ago it was about 1.8 billion. The problem is not now, but it will definitely be coming. Imagine having 3 times as many people next to you. twice as many cars and longer lines everywhere as people wait to get what they need. The world is really not enough room, that is why there is a big push to get to Mars, not fast enough I'm afraid.

  68. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

    It doesn't keep me up. Even if we are cosmic accidents (and I happen to believe we are, though I suspect life, mainly unintelligent, is widespread throughout the universe). There's no "why" to the fact we are here, beyond explaining the biochemical origins of life and the peculiarities of hominoid evolution that lead to the rise of genus Homo. We are here, and that's what counts, and to my mind, the fact that we are the end result of a series of many probable and equally improbable events makes human life incredibly precious. Without some big sky god who can do it all again any time it wants to, it means if we wipe ourselves out, we may be wiping out something that is rather rare in the universe.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  69. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

    I'm particularly troubled by these comparisons of DNA to source code. First of all, any programmer that would create code as sloppy and filled with junk sections would probably be canned. While the analogy works in simple terms, the way DNA and RNA encode and then transcribe that back into proteins is far far more complex than how a computer runs code. In some ways, DNA is far superior, because it tends to be a lot more fault tolerant, but in other ways it is much less efficient and tends to be much more error prone (which is a good thing, those transcription errors are one of the major ways in which life evolves).

    Ultimately the analogy fails because cells are not computers. They do not function like computers. DNA could almost be more compared to something like a printing press, except that on occasion letters get inserted into the process, sometimes even entire sequences, and on other occasions letters go missing, not to mention the odd occasion where another press's sequence of letters get transferred.

    It is a useful analogy for introducing certain concepts surrounding cellular activities and protein production, but it remains an analogy only at that basic level, and fails on the details.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  70. Re:Kurzweil is irrelevant by Megol · · Score: 1

    You can't be serious: you have just been served information containing the posters opinion of Kurzweil. The post is clearly stated too, not gibberish at all.

    I agree that Kurzweil spouts rubbish about things he don't understand. Religious people often do.

  71. Re:Machine Intelligence and God by Megol · · Score: 1

    You are wrong and extremely so. What have been simulated in supercomputers are tiny slices of simple animal brains, taking orders of magnitude longer than your 40:1 ratio. Simulating a human brain? Never been done. There aren't enough data to even begin simulating smaller parts of the human brain, one actually have to know about the system one want to simulate to do it!

    Even so we don't even know what level of abstraction is necessary when simulating a brain to get something working like in nature.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

  72. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Camel+Pilot · · Score: 1

    Is God watching or will God (that is the singleton) emerge and be present latter in the progress of the Universe. Perhaps we have it all backwards... Are you for or against the singularity? Your position on the matter may determine where your essence spends eternity.

  73. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Camel+Pilot · · Score: 1

    Either life is rare and we are one of the few if not only intelligent, self-aware entities in the universe or due to the immensity of the universe life is common and rather prevalent though out. Either possibility is mind blowing.

  74. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Are you seriously comparing merit-based science and technology awards to the f**ing Nobel peace prize?

    I don't take any award seriously absent a reason to do so.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  75. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

    I think life is probably fairly common. Intelligent life very likely much less so. Even on Earth, intelligence is a solution to the problem of survival used by only a small fraction of organisms, and even among the organisms that use intelligence as a solution, that intelligence doesn't have to be at the level exhibited by a rather small number of tool-using animals.

    But it's going to be a long time before we figure out whether intelligence is rare or not. I don't think SETI is the answer, since incidental transmissions (like TV and radio) only propagate out a few light years before they become indistinguishable from ordinary background radio sources. No, I actually think we'll ultimately identify other civilizations through advancements in optical and radio telescopes which will betray tell-tale signatures like pollution in the atmospheres of Earth-like exoplanets. That's still many years away, but eventually we're going to build large scale space-based interferometer array that will be sensitive enough to image continents and oceans on exoplanets.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  76. Re:Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1
    --
    Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
  77. Re: Who is Kurzweil? Why should I care? by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

    So basically it's like when we read that Bill Gates "invented" BASIC in the newspaper.