'Legalist' Startup Automates The Lawsuit Strategy Peter Thiel Used To Bankrupt Gawker (gizmodo.com)
An anonymous reader writes from a report via Gizmodo: "Two Harvard undergraduates have created a service called Legalist that uses what they call 'data-backed litigation financing,' analyzing civil lawsuits with an algorithm to predict case outcomes and determine which civil lawsuits are worth investing in," reports Gizmodo. The process is very similar to what billionaire Peter Thiel did when he secretly funded a lawsuit from Hulk Hogan against Gawker Media. "Legalist says it uses an algorithm of 58 different variables including, as [Legalist cofounder] Eva Shang told the Silicon Valley Business Journal, who the presiding judge is and the number of cases the judge is currently working on. The algorithm has been fed cases dating back to 1989 and helps people figure out how long a case will last and the risks associated with it. In a presentation at Y Combinator's Demo Day on Tuesday [Legalist was developed as part of Y Combinator's Summer 2016 class], the founders claimed that the startup funded one lawsuit for $75,000 and expects a return of more than $1 million. Shang says the $1.40 is earned for every $1 spent in litigation financing, which can prove to be a profitable enterprise when you're spending hundreds of thousands of dollars." Shang told Business Insider in reference to the Gawker lawsuit, "That's the kind of thing we're staying away from here." The company will supposedly be focusing on commercial and small-business lawsuits, and will not be backing lawsuits by individuals.
If you don't want to be bankrupted, don't post a nude sex tape of someone who was filmed without his knowledge, and then ignore a court order to take it down. Just saying.
startup wanted to cash in on this. Lawsuits as a Service! Can't wait until this extends to software patent litigation.
Awesome. Unleashing AI and Big Data on the Law. The fireworks are going to be awesome on this one. I give it 10 maybe 20 years before the whole system implodes. Everyone will be sued into oblivion.
:T:R:A:N:S:
> the founders claimed that the startup funded one lawsuit for $75,000 and expects a return of more than $1 million
Or, you know, a loss of $75,000 if they lose the case.
Gawker's behavior bankrupted Gawker, end of story. Peter Thiel picked up the legal bills so that the person they wronged could afford to sue them. It's a sad commentary on the American legal system that even a celebrity with some extant wealth can't financially sustain a lawsuit on his own.
"If there was a gay Afro-Puertorican Linux distribution, I'd give it a try" ~lucm
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
"Legalist says it uses an algorithm of 58 different variables including, as [Legalist cofounder] Eva Shang told the Silicon Valley Business Journal, who the presiding judge is
That different judges give different outcomes is already common knowledge but putting an actual dollar value on it might have significant repercussions.
What happens when someone asks for a judge to recuse themselves because the litigation value tripled when the judge got assigned? It's a lot harder to defend the integrity of the system when supposedly impartial actors have quantifiable effects.
I stole this Sig
...if it really worked, people would keep it a secret and wouldn't try or need to get VC money to fund it.
Function YouAreAWinner(PlaintiffSide as Object, Defense as Object) as Boolean
If PlaintifSide.Facts > Defense.Arguments Then YouAreAWinner = True Else YouAreAWInner = False
End Function
The solution to frivolous lawsuits is the loser pays system. If you lose a suit, you have to pay the winner's legal expenses (vetted by the judge). Automatically...
And, yes, the rule ought to cover criminal proceedings too with wrongfully accused compensated by the prosecutor's office.
In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
When your legal system becomes the realm of financial investment trading you KNOW your system is broken.
I look forward to the creation of a new stock exchange. Lets call it LAWDAC. You can now day trade on court cases.
Let Asians build the world's fastest trains and the continent-wide energy systems we can only dream about. We have lawsuit AI technology we can use to rob each other blind as we cash those unemployment checks.
Only Thiel had the financial resources to take on Gawker. Even Hulk Hogan couldn't afford to.
Money can also buy injustice http://rall.com/2016/08/16/ant...
Whoever can afford the best lawyer wins!
Good book by investigative journalist showing "magic lawyer tricks" http://netk.net.au/WhittonCart... http://netk.net.au/whitton/ocl...
With a portion of the vig going towards the defence fund.
Peter Thiel had a vendetta, and an honorable one at that. How dare Gawker's BKWs (bigoted keyboard warriors) out somebody who is gay. That is inexcusable in my view.
These financing assholes trying to get rich as a gamble have no honor.
And if you were the Supreme Court, they would have listened to you. Thing is: Gawker didn't know that and thought they were on firm legal ground. If they knew this would happen they wouldn't have done it. This is the problem: You don't find out if you're right or wrong until you've paid lawyers millions of dollars. Shouldn't be like that.
The courts are a crapshoot. With a different judge and jury, Hogan and Thiel could have lost.
Also "Two Harvard undergraduates" This is why everyone hates Harvard.
Rate_of_return = f( sum(legal_and_tech _buzzwords) x (networth(judge) - lifetimeincome(judge)) x sum(networth(plaintiffs)) )
I recall reading a science fiction story in Analog (I think in the 1980s) about judges being profiled as a way to win court cases. Items such as arguments used based on their history, delivery of arguments and review of previous cases and their judgements. The one particular case highlighted that the one judge preferred short, direct arguments, and this was used to help win the case. If I recall, the lawyers etc had earpieces (or maybe briefcases) with a wireless link to a van outside the court which had a data connection back to the office where the computer gave real time updates. I am not sure what the story was called .....
Since AI could soon outpace many human lawyers...we'd need "Judge" alg to combat these AI and then probably some more Jury AIs with random seeds as well?
4wdloop
The problem with the legal system is 'no win no fee.'
It lets people do speculative lawsuits for profit at no risk to themselves. It's not that they're righting a wrong, its that they play victim to make profit. The law firm picks the best plots and most plausible actors, with the best tear jerker endings for their lawsuit-business. The pursues those as likely the most profitable.
Meanwhile the person being sued expends a lot of time and effort with no gain to themselves to defend against the suit. They know that even when they win, they will often still be required to pay their own legal fees, and at minimum will still have to pay for their own lost time.
An app to launch the lawsuit (vs a phone call) just lowers the effort to launching a speculative lawsuit. Now they don't even need to pick up the phone and dial that 1-800 number on the TV!
If you launch a lawsuit, there has to be a downside for you if you lose. It can't simply be a risk free way to make potentially big money.
No win no fee, has to end. Instead you could have "no money down", where the law firm lends you the money to sue, and is required to recover that if you lose. That would give you the same ability to sue without having money, but a liability if you lose. If you don't believe in your own lawsuit enough to put your money where your mouth is, then why should the courts?
So if I agree to bang a retarded gay pedo I'm all good? I think I could live with that.
So basically you are so disinterested in the lawsuit that you wouldn't spend a months rent of your own money. If it was free, you would have launched your speculative lawsuit just to see if you could make some money.
I think the small fee weeding your crappy speculative lawsuit out.
I don't think thats a bad thing, I think that's a very very good thing.
Look at the other person in this, the person you're making an allegation against. They would have to expend a lot of time and effort and money disproving your claim, yet you care so little about it, you'd only do it if it was free and painless to yourself. That's clearly not fair.
To me, honestly, you sound like an asshole making false accusations, you won't even spend a months rent money on to prove.
This is nothing like Thiel's lawsuit. He wanted to hurt Gawker. This is about automating the existing field of bankrolling civil litigation for a cut of the settlement. It happens now, but has human beings estimating the payouts. I mean, the obvious example is attorneys who get 25%-33% of the settlement, but there are also investment groups that do this.
It tends to be a good thing, as they (wanting to make money) only back non-frivolous cases, and help the little guy stand up to the juggernauts. How else can one person sue a billion dollar firm?
Your ad here. Ask me how!
This algorithm requires that case to already be assigned to a docket. This behavior happens now, but it's lawyer to applies to the investor group, and their lawyers who evaluate it.
It sounds like several lawyers already rejected your case. That is prima facia evidence to an algorithm it has no merit.
Keep in mind, this isn't "how worthy is this case" but "of my limited funds, where should I invest?"
Your ad here. Ask me how!
Lawsuits as a business. The last time I heard about that, I saw it in this video on software patents:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
If you haven't seen it, you should, because it could very well be about you. And this startup may make this even more likely to be the case.
We used to invest in businesses, who then provided goods and services to customers. That's a thing of the past, simply because the number of people who actually have money left to buy crap isn't enough to make this investment viable.
So the logical next step is to invest in lawsuits. Here you needn't provide a service someone wants, you can actually force him to pay.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... an illegal agreement in which a person with no previous interest in a lawsuit finances it with a view to sharing the disputed property if the suit succeeds.
This scheme is by "Harvard Undegraduates". Please tell me they are not from the Harvard Law School. BAHAHAHAHAH!
This only PROVES the legal system is broken.
Payday Lawsuits? "Come on down, and let's sue somebody!"
Now every billionaire can attack that pesky media. You really need to understand this is a "fund my hitjob." It has nothing to do with helping anyone but these fellows to line their pockets as the rich have a simple way to invest and stifle those pesky peasants. Fricken Harvard should have a flash flood and wash all thier shit into the street so you can see what those people are doing.
I can make $1.40 on every $1 I invest in lawsuits?!?! WOW! Sign me up, that is way better than the DJIA.
This is how civilization ends, not with a bang, not with a whimper but with a million assholes filing suits
Gawker was a blog. Nothing of value was lost. There was no original content (other than comments).
"That's the kind of thing we're staying away from here." The company will supposedly be focusing on commercial and small-business lawsuits, and will not be backing lawsuits by individuals.
Because patent trolls and the like are better???
Wait what now?
You know the law has become meaningless when lawsuits become an income stream rather than a mode of redress.
Isn't it bad enough we have rich people influencing our politics, now we have to worry about rich people influencing our justice system (more than they already do)?
Peter Thiel intentionally bankrupted Gawker. He didn't probably didn't make money from the deal. The founder explained this is completely different.
This start up helps you beat the game that a big company that gets sued plays in which it drags out the lawsuit causing the litigant to drop the case, even if their lawsuit is rightful. Nothing about the strategy is to bankrupt companies.
Democracy Now! - your daily, uncensored, corporate-free
83% of American households have some form of subscription television service.
And they pay negative dollars per month for this service. Many local cable companies charge less for a bundle of Internet access and the lowest tier of subscription television service (local channels, C-SPAN, public access, and home shopping) than for Internet access alone.
3-4 months of that would cover at least enough of a mid market law firms time to assess the merits of case.
3 to 4 months of negative? Or are you implying that Internet access is not a necessity to find and/or keep a job?
We also have these things called public libraries were ordinary citizens like you or I could get access to either online resources
Good luck with that when the public library has closed for the night or for the weekend by the time you would have arrived there from work.
because they can't comprehend making their own food
That or they can comprehend being threatened with imprisonment when city codes ban gardens.
or exercising without equipment
That depends on weather and on how strict the local police are about giving children priority on public playgrounds.
or getting around without a taxi.
What should they do instead? Ride the bus? Buses in my home town don't operate at night, on Sundays, or on major holidays. Under the "employment at will" principle widespread in the United States, employers can and do exercise their rights to fire employees for notifying them that they aren't available at those times. Many, such as Walmart, also have a "must be available on weekends" policy of refusing to hire applicants who mark down that they aren't available on Sunday.
> Thing is: Gawker didn't know that and thought they were on firm legal ground.
Once the court tells you "don't do this" you DON'T DO THIS. That's true ESPECIALLY if they're wrong.
You DO IT, then sort it out with an appeal. You DO NOT ignore them.
You CAN get punished for that, EVEN IF they were wrong!
This is very, very basic legal knowledge. I'm going to assume their lawyer told them this and the client was stupid, because they might get disbarred for giving legal advice that was bad enough.
This is wrong. Dangerously wrong.
If a judge gives a bad order that will hurt you, you file for a stay of that order pending appeal. Ignoring the order leads to punishment, as happened here! The Supreme Court has limited jurisdiction, they are simply going to ignore almost all of the petitions for a writ of certiorari sent to them. And it you will still get punished for just ignoring the order even if you were right! You can't just wait for orders from a higher court to comply. If the judge refuses to stay their order while you appeal it, you have to comply. Period. If they were wrong, well, you'll have to convince the courts of that on appeal. You don't get to just ignore everyone but the Supreme Court because you don't like an adverse ruling, it simply does not and hasn't ever worked that way.
I can't believe people modded this up, because it displays utter ignorance of legal process. Seriously, at least a few of you should have read Groklaw. You can go back and find that even SCO knew better than to flat-out ignore a court order like that. You can find many times where they asked for stays, plenty of times where they sent surreplies and dug in their heels at every opportunity to avoid complying, but not so much where they simply ignored the order.
So let that sink in for a moment: Gawker sunk below SCO's level here.
I tend to blame the client here, because I have to believe anyone could have made it through law school if they were giving advice that bad. If not, they're free to explore a legal malpractice claim against their own lawyers. Because what they did is so mind-bendingly stupid that you have to be willfully ignorant of legal process to think it makes any kind of sense that you can ignore anyone lower than the Supreme Court.
...if you can't collect. Using the Gawker case as an example was interesting as I don't think Thiel funded it as an investment. You can have a slam-dunk case and still not find an interested lawyer to take it because there's no money to be collected. No, I didn't read TFA but I'm guessing that's one reason why they limit it to businesses and probably only businesses who can pay, even after they go bankrupt.
I have a friend whose business brought suit against a Kardashian business venture. Thought he was going to retire on the winnings and found a law firm to take it on contingency (they all have their 'algorithms'). Lawyers got paid and he got chump change.
It sounds like this is designed to extract money out of the legal system by "backing" lawsuits, like as investments. IANAL, but this sounds so wrong on so many levels.
I might have cheered for this sort of thing, had it been offered as a low cost app or service to individuals seeking redress against big powerful companies with armies of lawyers, but instead, its looks like just another weapon for the army of lawyers.
Patent trolls are smiling.
You are being ripped off every second of every day, so that advertisers can help rip you off even more tomorrow.
I think you are overestimating the cable bill and underestimating the rent of most people. 4 months of my cable bill would not pay my monthly mortgage and I have an oddly extensive and expensive cable package and a relatively small mortgage.
You got me into this! You were the ideologue! I'm only a poor assassin! - Twenty evocations, Bruce Sterling
This sounds like an algorithm for champerty kind of like a FICO score for real property mortgages. The rub is that that champerty is unlawful in many states. Champerty is so rare in the U.S. that the term only comes up in legal dictionaries. http://dictionary.law.com/Default.aspx?selected=171 Basically, champerty is a term for "investing" in someone else's lawsuit with the expectation of a big payday when they win. A third party taking a fiscal interest in a lawsuit is different from a legal professional contracting for a "contingency fee". Way back when; the ruling class would take a champerty share in a case then pressure the judges to rule to their profit. (You really don't want to know why I know this term.)
NRRPT/RCT