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Boeing CEO Vows To Beat Elon Musk To Mars (bloomberg.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Bloomberg: Boeing Chief Executive Officer Dennis Muilenburg sketched out a Jetsons-like future at a conference Tuesday, envisioning a commercial space-travel market with dozens of destinations orbiting the Earth and hypersonic aircraft shuttling travelers between continents in two hours or less. And Boeing intends to be a key player in the initial push to send humans to Mars, maybe even beating Musk to his long-time goal. "I'm convinced the first person to step foot on Mars will arrive there riding a Boeing rocket," Muilenburg said at the Chicago event on innovation, which was sponsored by the Atlantic magazine. Like Musk's SpaceX, Boeing is focused on building out the commercial space sector near earth as spaceflight becomes more routine, while developing technology to venture far beyond the moon. The Chicago-based aerospace giant is working with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration to develop a heavy-lift rocket called the Space Launch System for deep space exploration. Boeing and SpaceX are also the first commercial companies NASA selected to ferry astronauts to the International Space Station. Boeing built the first stage for the Saturn V, the most powerful U.S. rocket ever built, which took men to the moon. Nowadays, Muilenburg sees space tourism closer to home "blossoming over the next couple of decades into a viable commercial market." The International Space Station could be joined in low-earth orbit by dozens of hotels and companies pursuing micro-gravity manufacturing and research, he said. Muilenburg said Boeing will make spacecraft for the new era of tourists. He also sees potential for hypersonic aircraft, traveling at upwards of three times the speed of sound.

254 comments

  1. The Cloud Minders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Meanwhile the permanently unemployed poor stay on the surface and rot. Jet-setting isn't good enough for ultra-rich idle scum, they want to be the space-setters.

    1. Re:The Cloud Minders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only help your kind has ever been to the poor is to make them not poor -- by making everyone poor except for your new ruling class. Look at Venezuela to see a modern example.

    2. Re:The Cloud Minders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Alaska Permanent Fund for all Americans. Medicare for all ages. Money for nothing. Chicks for free. I want my MTV.

    3. Re: The Cloud Minders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe get a blister on your little finger.

    4. Re:The Cloud Minders by johannesg · · Score: 2

      I'll take the surface with its sunlight, wide open skies, forests, beaches, cities, mountains, people, and all the other stuff we have here over orbit any time, thank you. But the rich are welcome to live in a stinking, unhealthy tin can that can fail disastrously at any moment with all their money...

    5. Re:The Cloud Minders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      Yes, you can see sunlight, wide open skies, forests, beaches, cities, mountains, people, and all the other stuff from your basement internet connection. By the way, have you checked for mold, radon, and carbon monoxide recently?

    6. Re: The Cloud Minders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bad news. It's shingles.

    7. Re:The Cloud Minders by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      Like The Donald, the rich are too smart to pay taxes. Taxes are for the poor.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    8. Re:The Cloud Minders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh my God you're so envious of the rich people and all their money don't you wish you had lots of money so you could get your ass to Mars.

    9. Re:The Cloud Minders by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      No, I wish I had lots of money so I could send some other asses to Mars.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    10. Re:The Cloud Minders by mwvdlee · · Score: 1

      If it's going to end up being the same asses going to Mars anyway, why not let them pay for it themselves?

      --
      Slashdot social media options: AIM, ICQ, Yahoo, Jabber and Mobile Text. Why no MySpace?
    11. Re:The Cloud Minders by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Because if I pay, I get to decide that they stay there.

      And I get to set the safety standards, and, bluntly, whether they arrive at Mars or blow up on the launch pad...

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    12. Re:The Cloud Minders by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1, Insightful

      "Meanwhile the permanently unemployed poor stay on the surface and rot."

      In a socially mobile country anyone can be made poor by temporary circumstances. But those permanently unemployed poor of yours are the people who lack the vision it takes to improve themselves. Perhaps it's being dedicated to an obsolete industry, perhaps it's BLM-style racial hatred, or perhaps it's falling into the black hole of addiction.

    13. Re:The Cloud Minders by Alomex · · Score: 1

      In a socially mobile country anyone can be made poor by temporary circumstances.

      Unfortunately the US is no longer a socially mobile country. Once you get rid of inheritance taxes you are more likely to succeed because the wealth you inherited (Koch brothers, Trump, Mitt Romney, etc.) than by wealth you created on your own (Bill Gates, Warren Buffet, Mark Cuban).

    14. Re:The Cloud Minders by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Let them arrive at Mars please... no one wants to clean up the remains of a few exploded asshats on a launch pad.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    15. Re:The Cloud Minders by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "Meanwhile the permanently unemployed poor stay on the surface and rot."

      In a socially mobile country anyone can be made poor by temporary circumstances. But those permanently unemployed poor of yours are the people who lack the vision it takes to improve themselves. Perhaps it's being dedicated to an obsolete industry, perhaps it's BLM-style racial hatred, or perhaps it's falling into the black hole of addiction.

      Exactly. If everyone had the will to be rich, everyone would be incredibly wealthy. 100 percent of us would be in the top 1 percent.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    16. Re:The Cloud Minders by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Could someone find out whether it's cheaper to fly them to the sun?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    17. Re:The Cloud Minders by Rei · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think a lot of people confuse the possibility of social mobility with the probability of social mobility.

      Think of it like the difficulty setting on a game. Difficulty settings can range from the ridiculously easy to the virtually impossible. Likewise, different players have different skill levels in how good they are at the game. If the game had the same difficulty setting for everyone, comparing in-game scores/accomplishments/times would be an easy way to compare how good players are at the game.

      But it's not that way, because you have difficulty settings. A person can be quite good at a game, but still loose because they choose to play it on a tough difficulty setting. Likewise, a person can really suck at a game but still win because they chose to play it on an easy setting. Now, there always will be some people who are so good that they'll win at the toughest settings and some people who are so bad that they'll still lose on the easiest settings. But lots of quite good players will still fail when the settings are hard enough, and lots of quite bad players will still succeed when it's easy.

      We enter life with a variety of factors that influence our "difficulty settings" that we all have to play on. A white cis straight man with wealthy, college-educated parents raised in a good household is probably going to be playing on "easy". A poor black gay or trans woman with poor, high-school-educated parents raised in a bad environment, with no healthcare, loaded in debt from day one, having to work to support their family, limited transportation options, etc? Not so much. Will some of the former fail, and some of the latter succeed? Of course! But the odds of it are skewed. Many if not most people who would have been quite successful had they been on a level playing field will fail, and vice versa.

      I, for one, support giving everyone access to the easier difficulty settings. I don't think it's a good thing for an economy when you have potential talent not being realized and people who really should be working a cash register in management. More to the point, the cost to the economy is almost unfathomably large. So if it takes some money to make this happen? So be it. Social mobility isn't just about the technical possibility of moving from one economic reality to another; it's about the practical reality of it, and how much merit and ability are able to overcome social inertia for the majority of players in the system.

      --
      Everybody point at the libertarian and laugh.
    18. Re: The Cloud Minders by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      Or Norway, that well known failed state

    19. Re: The Cloud Minders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      maybe get a blister on your thumb

    20. Re:The Cloud Minders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No one in their right mind is suggesting that we should devote all of our resources towards advanced projects which initially only benefit a few. But if history has shown us one thing its that advancement (space, electricity, automotive, etc) improves the life of everyone, not just the wealthy. I would wager the same argument was used by some when electricity was first being implemented, would you like to try to argue that they should have abandoned the implementation of electricity nationwide and stuck with oil lamps and steam power?

    21. Re:The Cloud Minders by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1
      Excellent and insightful post. Should be modded up to 5 now moderators.

      Exactly! I rose several levels above "my place". Place was lower middle class blue collar. But it took energy and effort and outlook that many have described as pathological. It can be done, but not everyone is cut out for that. Certainly people who aren't that way should not be punished by poverty. A lot of people just want to have a way to support themselves and their family. I'm too restless for that, but it isn't remotely bad to have lower self expectations. Abject indolence is bad, but inescapable, a small subset of humans.

      In fact, it's probably a good thing that everyone isn't aggressively going after wealth.

      But it isn't easy. And I really hate it when people raise expectations

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    22. Re:The Cloud Minders by Rei · · Score: 1

      Ugh... "still lose", not "still loose".... that's one of my personal pet peeves, and now I made it myself (due to a typo, but still, that's no excuse!)

      --
      Everybody point at the libertarian and laugh.
    23. Re:The Cloud Minders by mitcheli · · Score: 1

      or out of my gene pool

      <sarcasm> I typically avoid mating with Internet trolls. If you agree that you want to keep your gene pool clean, might I recommend you follow the same advice? Just food for thought. </sarcasm>

      --
      Select from tblFriends where interesting >= 4;
    24. Re: The Cloud Minders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No it's not. Check your Kerbals more often!

    25. Re: The Cloud Minders by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      According to them, it would be cheapest to just strap a solid fuel can underneath the pod, don't limit thrust so we can easily reach 15+ g and simply let it fall into the big pond next to the launch site.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    26. Re:The Cloud Minders by Charcharodon · · Score: 1
      The poor by definition do not pay taxes. You don't pay on what you don't have. Even if they did say in a country like the US. They receive so much back in benefits that their effective tax rate is negative.

      A family at poverty level in the US typically has access to about $60,000 in social spending in addition to what ever they are making under the table and in direct welfare payments. The poor are not poor.

    27. Re:The Cloud Minders by Charcharodon · · Score: 1
      The poor in the US average less than 15 hours a week working. A two person house hold with both people working 40-60 hours a week in the US are not poor. Funny how that works out.

      Some predictions are self fulfilling. Sitting on your ass whining about how life is not fair and that you'll never amount to anything is a good way to make that come true.

    28. Re: The Cloud Minders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, that well-known failed state with a 95% homogeneous (read: white) population that's utterly dependent on digging up hydrocarbons and selling them.

      That scales really well to the rest of the planet.

    29. Re:The Cloud Minders by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1

      The poor are not poor.

      Yes, the poor are so much better off simply because they don't pay taxes. Tell you what, I'll make you 2 offers, but you can only take one of them. You can have $1million a year taxed at 70%, or you can have $20,000 a year taxed at 0%.

      We both know which one you'll take.

      --
      Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
    30. Re:The Cloud Minders by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1

      The poor in the US average less than 15 hours a week working.

      Yeah, that sounds like complete bullshit, unless you're counting children or something. Citation please?

      --
      Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
    31. Re:The Cloud Minders by Alomex · · Score: 1

      And you think they do so because they enjoy being poor, or because they'd like to get more hours but there are no jobs to be had?

    32. Re:The Cloud Minders by Charcharodon · · Score: 1
      "A family at poverty level in the US typically has access to about $60,000 in social spending in addition to what ever they are making under the table"

      Public school education huh? Your reading comprehension shows.

      I'll take option 3. Which is you are a socialist, which means you are jealous of the person making $1 million a year being taxed at 70% and think he should be taxed even more, you know to pay his "fair share".

    33. Re:The Cloud Minders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just out of curiosity, what was your education?

  2. Look at me! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I can do it too! See! I can! I can!
    Mom! Dad! Elon won't let me play with him!

    1. Re:Look at me! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought we already had a secret base on Mars?

  3. Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Mal-2 · · Score: 2

    Having a plan to survive interruptions in logistical support is literally a matter of life and death -- not just for interplanetary settlers, but even for ones just crossing an ocean. Rushing things when the support services are not yet developed is not exactly a safe plan. Bold, certainly, but quite possibly bordering on suicidal.

    --
    How is the Riemann zeta function like Trump rallies? Both have an endless number of trivial zeros.
    1. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by negRo_slim · · Score: 2

      This is about advertising via bombastic hyperbole, nothing more.

      --
      On the Oregon Cost born and raised, On the beach is where I spent most of my days
    2. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by rtb61 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Nope, this represent a major seismic shift in corporate ideology, a humanity saving shift. That shift is the change from a war industrial complex to a space industrial complex. Instead of turning in on ourselves in a egoistic orgy of self destruction through war for profit, that energy is finally starting to shift out into space. Instead of glorifying mass murder and the most brutal engines of destruction, that energy will be focused on better space craft, a full fledged Lunar City, colonies in space and even terra forming mars and that is just the start with hints already coming out about how to get past the FTL barrier. So a change that should be celebrated in every home, a shift from end of the species war to extinction to becoming a galactic species.

      Likely many are just way to shallow, self centred and narcissistic to appreciate things which benefit humanity as a whole, they quite simply can not see it because it is never reflected in the mirrors they stare at every day of their lives.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    3. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what a nice thought

    4. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Misanthropy, delusion, and rockets. Space religion for weak-minded adult children. Put down the sci-fi, and read some history; you'll learn all your space fantasies are rooted in militaristic nationalism.

    5. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by stranger_to_himself · · Score: 2

      So a change that should be celebrated in every home, a shift from end of the species war to extinction to becoming a galactic species.

      Great - now all we have to do is spend 2% of GDP on it.

    6. Re: Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      competition will help speed up getting to Mars

    7. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      I've noticed that there are a lot of people on Slashdot who read too much science fiction. Instead of fixing local problems, people get wrapped up in tech porn. It's almost like they escape problems here by thinking of grandiose plans in space and imagine that they will solve anything. If your dog covers your back yard in shit, you clean it up, not buy a new house.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    8. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by geekmux · · Score: 1

      Nope, this represent a major seismic shift in corporate ideology, a humanity saving shift. That shift is the change from a war industrial complex to a space industrial complex. Instead of turning in on ourselves in a egoistic orgy of self destruction through war for profit, that energy is finally starting to shift out into space. Instead of glorifying mass murder and the most brutal engines of destruction, that energy will be focused on better space craft, a full fledged Lunar City, colonies in space and even terra forming mars and that is just the start with hints already coming out about how to get past the FTL barrier. So a change that should be celebrated in every home, a shift from end of the species war to extinction to becoming a galactic species.

      Likely many are just way to shallow, self centred and narcissistic to appreciate things which benefit humanity as a whole, they quite simply can not see it because it is never reflected in the mirrors they stare at every day of their lives.

      That's a nice story, but I'll believe this when you figure out a way to remove the warmongering gene from the human race.

      Look back at one of the most amazing space achievements in human history. We put a man on the moon. And yet even that didn't do jack shit to stop the conflict in Vietnam, which raged on for many years after. I fail to see how another space race would ever change the war-for-profit mentality. Man would have to sacrifice Greed and Control, and that will never happen. Thousands of years of evidence prove it.

      Believe me, I wish you were right. Sadly, you're not.

    9. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Kierthos · · Score: 1

      You do realize that the price of tech trends downward over time, right? ENIAC cost over $400,000 at the time (which would be over $6.8 million today), but you have orders of magnitude more processing power on your smartphone, which is what, a couple hundred bucks?

      Yes, there's a lot of start-up and investment cost, because we've never done this before. But as we overcome technological limitations, it will become less expensive.

      Besides which, the percent of the GDP spent on the military is above 5%, IIRC.

      --
      Mr. Hu is not a ninja.
    10. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by sinij · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Instead of glorifying mass murder and the most brutal engines of destruction.

      This part of our history will serve us well when we encounter other species.

    11. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Instead of fixing local problems

      The local problems aren't going to all be fixed. Most are likely to be persistent for a very long time to come, and might never be fixed. Plus, changes that come about with the prospects of a multiplanetary species may well prove to be rather key, including, but not limited to, technology that otherwise simply wouldn't be invented and additional abundance of resources. This is the simple fact of the matter, for all the well-meaning speeches that make politicians and stockholders happy.

      This attitude reminds me of how humans supposedly should wait before we're "philosophically mature enough" to invent powerful technology. If we did that, this conversation would not be happening, and assuming disease hadn't killed us in our first years of life (which it probably would have) we would probably be spending 16 hours a day for a month working on the harvest so we wouldn't freeze to death in the winter, and would have no time or energy to even speculate on this.

      If you wait for all the local problems to be fixed before you journey to the stars, the species will be extinct long before a single foot is set on another planet, or the "fixes" will be far worse than you can imagine and done for the sake of expediency above all else. I realize some people hate this fact, but all the hate for it in the world for it and chiding about "for the children!" is not going to change any of this.

    12. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Instead of fixing local problems, people get wrapped up in tech porn.

      And they have forever. And that's actually a good thing. Those ships that brought most people's ancestors to where they live now are technology. Wagons are technology. You have to deal with it that not all people are stuck in the mud.

      It's almost like they escape problems here by thinking of grandiose plans in space and imagine that they will solve anything.

      Wanderlust is an integral part of the human experience. Not everyone has it, but aside from people who might be fleeing overcrowding or lack of opportunity, it is something rooted in their psyche. We are not trying to solve anything, we are just doing what we do. It's the difference between someone who wants to go to the Grand Canyon for the experience, and someone who wonders why anyone is interested in a big ditch

      This isn't even an indictment of you. There is a very big place for people who resist change, and don't like risk. The world also badly needs adventurists, people who strike out towards something new.

      In the end, all practical matters aside, a lot of people are interested in going to Mars, even as a one-way trip. Others are happy to not ever venture out of the city the live in. Its just how people act.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    13. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All you need to do is look for SDI art posters from the 1980s; how many mile-long neutron cannons are in orbit today? None...

      http://www.globalsecurity.org/space/systems/images/sdi-image02.jpg

      http://up-ship.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/railgun-2013-10-06.jpg

      etc etc etc

    14. Re: Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      It's a lot easier to build a better computer than to send people into space with a far better ROI. The risks inherent in space travel put off most investors.

    15. Re: Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      What are you doing to contribute to the solving of our terrestrial problems?

    16. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Rei · · Score: 3, Informative

      Except that not only are costs trends in the space industry not comparable to computers and smartphones... they don't even track with the general economy. NASA budgets based on the NNSI, the Nasa New Start Index. It's a higher inflation rate than common metrics like the CPI.

      The reason for this is that common metrics are based on a grab-bag of consumer goods. Over time consumer goods have shifted from being hand-produced by domestic labour to mass produced in factories with cheap overseas labour. Meanwhile, however, rockets continue to involve large amounts of manual labour by highly trained individuals.

      Nor does rocketry have some sort of amazing tech advance that's been driving it down. Fuels have changed little in recent decades. Engine efficiencies have drifted up and stage masses down, but there have been no spectacular leaps. Dreams of major leaps forward, such as the Shuttle, VentureStar, etc have played out poorly. That doesn't mean that they always will - it's just that the situation as it stands isn't rosy.

      Don't get me wrong, I do think there's hope. One, companies like SpaceX that start from scratch and thus can apply "lessons learned" from scratch are at a big advantage, as well as not having to make hard decisions about what sort of legacy "baggage" is worth keeping around. Secondly, smart design approaches can help keep costs down. SpaceX, for example, manages to get some degree of mass production on its engines by using so many that are identical (or virtually identical, in the case of the vacuum versions with the extended nozzle) on every launch. And with the Heavy they'll step that up even more. The upper and lower stage cores are also very similar, and the boosters on the Heavy will also be very similar to the cores. So they get some degree of economies of scale, and a lot more unit testing on at least the engines (not as much with the cores, unfortunately, and that's come back to bite them - the downside to starting over is that it's a total reset on system reliability). From a technological standpoint, using new (by space industry standards) manufacturing techniques like friction stir welding, and balancing ground handling costs with rocket performance (aka, the "semi-balloon tank" design, where the rocket is strong enough to support itself unfilled but not strong enough to withstand launch forces without pressurant) also improve their cost performance. If someone - SpaceX or others - can mange to get cost effective stage reuse to work, then that would be another big boost. So there is hope.

      But as far as the past decades have gone, comparing rocketry to computers and cell phones has been anything but an apt comparison.

      --
      Everybody point at the libertarian and laugh.
    17. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe he wasn't being sarcastic?

    18. Re: Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      A lot more than anyone going to Mars.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    19. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why on earth does it take space (other planets) to trigger this complex?

      Why doesn't the human simultaneously figure itself out on earth as well. I mean we do already have lots of cool life forms here. Plants, animals, e.t.c. There is currently oxygen to breathe and what not.

    20. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1

      Nope, this represent a major seismic shift in corporate ideology, a humanity saving shift. That shift is the change from a war industrial complex to a space industrial complex.

      Yep. I'm sure that ISIS will give up the whole "kill everybody who isn't our kind of Muslim" thing any day now so that they can join the space industrial complex.

    21. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by stranger_to_himself · · Score: 1

      Maybe he wasn't being sarcastic?

      You are correct! Until we put the same sort of value on exploration as we currently do to killing each other there is little chance of the humanity saving shift mentioned above.

    22. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by stranger_to_himself · · Score: 1

      Besides which, the percent of the GDP spent on the military is above 5%, IIRC.

      Across the world as a whole it's 2% (as it is where I'm from).

    23. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Rockets don't have a Moore's Law, and that's responsible for like 99% of tech progress in the last 50 years.

    24. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You assume a space industrial complex won't be producing things that can be used for war when that is entirely false. Objects being dropped onto peoples' heads from space is a very big concern. You think people are worried about terrorism now, what about when a bunch of entities have the means to gravitationally nudge the course of a Near-Earth Asteroid?

    25. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's almost like they escape problems here by thinking of grandiose plans in space and imagine that they will solve anything.

      Wanderlust is an integral part of the human experience. Not everyone has it, but aside from people who might be fleeing overcrowding or lack of opportunity, it is something rooted in their psyche. We are not trying to solve anything, we are just doing what we do. It's the difference between someone who wants to go to the Grand Canyon for the experience, and someone who wonders why anyone is interested in a big ditch

      Except that going to space isn't "Wanderlust", it is an escapist fantasy. Its more like an excuse for doing nothing on Earth ("there is nothing for me here") while you complain about lack of progress in all that space exploration in which the average space dreamer has zero chance of qualifying to participate.

    26. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      The world also badly needs adventurists, people who strike out towards something new.

      Like invading Iraq? Careful what you ask for.

      And for every Lindbergh, there's several Stanton Wooster's: those who failed. There were several attempts at x86 GUI's in the 80's and 90's, but most failed and lost money. It's great that some people take risk for the progress of humanity, but statistically I wouldn't want to be one of them. (Actually, I've tried several startups. Great experience, but a financial drain.)

      If history books were honest, we'd read more about Stanton Wooster, but it would make more kids look for cushy jobs in middle management instead of risk their wad on pie in the sky so that we can have smart phones and cheap rockets by leaving a trail of dead bodies and bankrupt entrepreneurs. Honesty often lacks glory.

    27. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've noticed that there are a lot of people on Slashdot who read too much science fiction.

      Nonsense.

      There's no such thing as too much science fiction. It's like saying there are people on Slashdot who breathe too much oxygen. (Well, trolls aside.)

    28. Re: Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What are you doing to contribute to the solving of our terrestrial problems?

      Many of us will be working do defeat the inevitable requests for pubic money to fund these glory-hounding boondoggles.

      You're welcome, humanity!

    29. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by balbeir · · Score: 1

      Hmm indeed. It's not like they forgot about the option of dropping a captured asteroid on an adversary's target. The nuclear option without the fall-out problem.

    30. Re: Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      So nothing at all then

    31. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by g01d4 · · Score: 1

      Those ships that brought most people's ancestors to where they live now are technology.

      And they were built for economic profit. If the same were true of manned space travel we'd have a colony on the moon by now. "Wanderlust" already takes us to the extreme points of our planet and boundaries of the solar system.

    32. Re: Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      If that were the case I would have said 'as much as anyone going to Mars'.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    33. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Except that going to space isn't "Wanderlust", it is an escapist fantasy.

      All wanderlust is an escapist fantasy.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    34. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      The world also badly needs adventurists, people who strike out towards something new.

      Like invading Iraq? Careful what you ask for.

      That is most definitely not wanderlust. That's good old fixing earth's problems on earth, except that what is the problem differs by religion/country, so we kill each other for shits and giggles.

      Wanderlust is more of an individual's preferences, not a church or country. It's the people who move to some place new, the Lewis and Clark's, the Shackleford's the people who want adventure.

      But one thing is for certain is that people who decide they are going to forego any adventure until all of the world's problems are taken care of, and not a moment before tend to find out they've not fixed anything at all.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    35. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nope, this represent a major seismic shift in corporate ideology, a humanity saving shift. That shift is the change from a war industrial complex to a space industrial complex.

      That's a nice concept, but really it's only a half-step. What we really need is a space-war industrial complex. My simple 2-step plan would make Humanity great again:

      • Find aliens
      • Kill aliens
    36. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by ogdenk · · Score: 1

      Killing each other in space would probably bring some rapid tech advancement.

    37. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by ogdenk · · Score: 1

      There were several attempts at x86 GUI's in the 80's and 90's, but most failed and lost money.

      Certainly not because they sucked. Early GEM versions were far better than early versions of Winblows. And GEM saw some modest success on the Atari ST before Tramiel got complacent and let the platform stagnate. Had Kildall not been screwed from all directions it would be a pretty different landscape out there.

    38. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Altus · · Score: 1

      Yeah but the reality of the new space future wont be like those stories... it will be rooted in militaristic corporatism! That will be way better I'm sure.

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    39. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Agreed, but deep pocketed competitors are always a risk with startups.

      I once created a real-estate listing site early in the dot-com boom, but a big name came out with one also a few months after, and whacked my market share.

      Some say it's better to get bought out by the big fish than compete with them.

    40. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by KeensMustard · · Score: 1
      There's stories for that as well.

      Really, unless we are paying for Boeing to do this, then they are paying for it using money that we gave them for the other thing - the military technology. Or they make a larger profit on civilian planes than anyone suspected. All this exercise would do is cement the power of the military industrial complex, by demonstrating that it, and not us, is capable of such feats.

    41. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some good shit you got there, i think im gonna roll another one

      man look... so many stars...

    42. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Advances in materials allow us to build lighter stronger more temperature resilient and cheaper, that will help up to a point... rocket technology is still the rocket technology of 50 years ago somehow more refined.
      Id love to see what we could come with if there was something like a Manhattan project for advances propulsion and smart people from all the backgrounds of science and technology working together at international level were fully funded for a decade
      One can dream , can I?

    43. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      Wanderlust is an integral part of the human experience.

      If you have the wanderlust and a quest for adventure, might I suggest either a Kontiki style holiday or sign up to something like Doctors without Borders (or equivalent depending on your training).

      Not everyone has it, but aside from people who might be fleeing overcrowding or lack of opportunity, it is something rooted in their psyche.

      Of course. all the major migrations of the past (from Africa to Asia, across the land bridges to the Americas and Australia) most likely occurred because of scarcity or population pressure (e.g. looking for new sources of food). Later migrations (post 1800's) occurred because their economic circumstances caused people to seek a better life. Adventure? Sure, I imagine some got on a boat to California or Victoria because they envisioned an adventure - but the end results was a lot of digging and hard work for most, with only a few actually profiting. And this is where the similarity with space breaks down.

      People aren't going to rush to space on a new gold rush, nor gradually migrate to space over generations because of game. There is no get rich quick, because space is a vacuum, and it doesn't support life. You can't build a bark shanty and claim a block or prospecting site to base a life on. There is no commodity to make you rich. There is no game roaming around for you to eat. If you find gold, who is it exactly that you sell it to? Other prospectors on the same asteroid?

    44. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the problem of access to space and cost is solved, boom you just solved half of the biggest problems we have on the planet in one single strike, we wont need to worry again about resources the solar system is full of any thing we could need, but mining them today is to expensive.

    45. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. Better we should stay where we are and live out eternity as carbon-neutral mud serfs whose weekly highlight is a swim at the community pool. Then, when something goes wrong with the planet that is beyond our control, humanity can perish. Sounds good to you, right? I know it does.

    46. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Rei · · Score: 1

      There's no shortage of potential routes to cost reduction. It all comes down to funding. And the funding has to be stable, and not come with "mandates" - the two main things that have hindered NASA's work over the years.

      Simultaneously attempt four or five "huge leap forward" technologies and you're likely to end up with one or two succeeding.

      --
      Everybody point at the libertarian and laugh.
    47. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do realize that processing information is not at all the same as moving mass, right? A Boeing 747 from 1969 flies pretty much the same way, speed, and altitude and with the same fuel, theories, and engines as a modern 747.

    48. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you kidding? Do you realize how lucrative the potential market for orbital weapons platforms will be once heavy lift capacity becomes cheap? It's not like Russia or the US have ever paid much attention to treaties when they were contrary to national interest.

    49. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Instead of glorifying mass murder and the most brutal engines of destruction.

      This part of our history will serve us well when we encounter other species.

      We already have: the rest of the lifeforms on Earth. Don't think they'll be thanking us any time soon...

    50. Re: Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      If that were the case I would have said 'as much as anyone going to Mars'.

      Or if you were, you'd have said what you were doing. Allow me to show you the way....

      I serve as technical adviser and leader to groups that provide emergency communications. I teach classes and help them gain proficiency in their work. All volunteer work on my part.

      See - it's not too difficult to say what we are doing to help others.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    51. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      That's a nice story, but I'll believe this when you figure out a way to remove the warmongering gene from the human race.

      The real and final stumbling block for humanity, and one I fear we might not survive. We were blessed with prodigious brains, and great curiosity, and cursed with an innate desire to kill others and the aggression to do it.

      So now our technical ability to completely destroy the planet is in direct conflict with our almost irresistible desire to employ it. My money is on we'll gleefully provide extinction, or darn close to it.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    52. Re:Sometimes being first isn't the best plan. by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      You assume a space industrial complex won't be producing things that can be used for war when that is entirely false. Objects being dropped onto peoples' heads from space is a very big concern. You think people are worried about terrorism now, what about when a bunch of entities have the means to gravitationally nudge the course of a Near-Earth Asteroid?

      I know "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress" is a fun read and all, but the force and calculations of landing an asteroid on a precise place are shall we say - interesting. Direction and velocity of the object, rotation of the earth at time of impact, and will the object retain physical integrity to point of contact, or will it go kablooey in the atmosphere.

      Computationally, sure, it can be done pick the asteroid and modify the orbit, then increase or decrease velocity so that it hits the earth at the right time. One miscalculation might have the thing hit you.

      Good luck with the incredible amount of resources needed to do that though, and carrying them out in secret.

      The problem of making your enemies go away with kablooey things has long been solved. For much less than spending half a world's fuel resources on 1 strike.

      Even in "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress" storyline, they were using railguns to accelerate their rocks, not already orbiting asteroids, so fuggidaboudit.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  4. Cost Base by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not with Boeings cost base it wont. But I guess what they mean is that public sector astronauts will be the first to Mars on their hyper expensive rocket ships.

    1. Re: Cost Base by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I was looking for this. Boeing, Lockheed, others exist for the soul purpose of "creating jobs". Government gives them crap loads of money and they take on projects they can/will never deliver on and make sure a few million people have jobs.

      Sometimes good stuff comes from it... generally it doesn't. Boeing was the company that made flying easy. Then they forgot how to make things.

    2. Re: Cost Base by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "exist for the soul purpose of "creating jobs""

      "soul"?? I would suggest that someone who can't master basic English vocabulary should refrain from making melodramatic social observations.

    3. Re: Cost Base by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      Anyone with a basic English knowledge should immediately understand that the OP meant "sole".

      In any case, this issue has nothing to do with the value of the defended ideas and/or the suitability of that person to support them. Properly-understanding people should get the intended point regardless of some minor mistakes. A critic on the lines of ""soul"?? I would suggest that someone who can't master basic English vocabulary should refrain from talking about issues related to the English language" would have been much better; still a quite arbitrary attack against someone minding his own business though.

      On the other hand, drawing absolute conclusions from punctual facts (you wrote a typo = you cannot write properly) is certainly indicative of serious understanding limitations. A poorly-understanding person is rarely in a position to properly analyse anything, to participate in a sensible discussion or to have a worthy opinion.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    4. Re: Cost Base by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      I was looking for this. Boeing, Lockheed, others exist for the soul purpose of "creating jobs".

      One way of creating jobs would be to fix autocorrect by bringing in enough AI to give it an understanding of semantic context. It would be a logical extension of digital assistant tech.

    5. Re: Cost Base by Talderas · · Score: 1

      If we do that then how would people be able to mock others for using the wrong homonym?

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    6. Re: Cost Base by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A critic on the lines of ""soul"?? I would suggest that someone who can't master basic English vocabulary should refrain from talking about issues related to the English language" would have been much better; still a quite arbitrary attack against someone minding his own business though.

      I think you mean "critique".

    7. Re: Cost Base by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      I think you mean "critique".

      Firstly, I want to highlight that your "I think you mean" was brilliant. So perfect 4 words! You are an inspiration for me and for the rest of the world; not just about English usage, but in general! We need more people like you! You are a solver, a getting-it-done person, a genius, the 4-word answer to any problem... You are the one! LOL.

      Note that my post isn't completely incorrect because "critic" is an archaic form of "critique". I might even say that my reference was a proof of knowledge rather than of ignorance (nah! It was certainly ignorance :)).

      Thanks for helping me improve my English. In fact, I do things on these lines quite often: using the version which is more similar to Spanish, my mother tongue, without giving too much thought to it (even despite the huge number of so-called "false friends"). I did make a mistake (here and quite a few times before, because I always use "critic" rather than "critique" as both adjective and noun), which I will correct in the future.

      Lastly, I want to highlight that finding my spelling/grammar errors in internet is very easy. Usually, I correct them, but doing such a thing in Slashdot isn't possible; that's why you should take a look at some my old posts here.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    8. Re: Cost Base by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      This is BS.

      Boeing isn't just a defense contractor; they're one of the two largest companies in the world that makes passenger aircraft. When you consider that long-distance travel (on either Boeing or Airbus jets) is cheaper than any point in aviation history, they're obviously doing something right.

      Lockheed, and the portion of Boeing the does defense contracting, OTOH, is another story. But that can really be blamed on the government and how it does those projects.

      Before you try to blame defense contracting for subsidizing the commercial side, remember that their big competitor, Airbus, doesn't have this so much, and the two seem to be roughly comparable in terms of technology and price.

    9. Re: Cost Base by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      at some of my old posts here.

      FTFM.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    10. Re:Cost Base by ogdenk · · Score: 1

      How dare you criticize crony capitalism and corporate welfare!

  5. Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    For the human race, at our current level of technological development, space travel is a net loser activity from an energy standpoint. There is a finite amount of energy currently available to our species, both in an absolute sense and a per unit of time sense. We're currently in the process of squandering our fossil fuel inheritance and we're already looking for more sources of energy to satisfy our greed and thirst for growth. I like science fiction as much as the next nerd, but if you want an honest appraisal of our energy problems and growth prospects from a real physicist who pulls no punches then I suggest Tom Murphy's "Do the Math" blog on energy, growth and options to get a better understanding of why space is basically a distraction from our real energy problems right now.

    Do the Math - Stranded Resources

    1. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by CSMoran · · Score: 2

      There is a finite amount of energy currently available to our species, both in an absolute sense and a per unit of time sense.

      Currently? This has always been the case and will always be the case.

      --
      Every end has half a stick.
    2. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by calexontheroad66 · · Score: 1

      Yep, because all of your infrastructure is an gravity well with g equals to 9.8 m/s. If you start having towing and refueling infrastructure in orbit in several way points the math gets more favorable.

    3. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's less about g than the escape velocity. The delta v needed to escape Earth's gravitational influence is about 11 kilometers per second. You do better on the moon with 2.4 kilometers per second. Even better on good size asteroids that have escape velocities on the order of meters per second. XKCD has a great cartoon showing the different potential well depths in the solar system: https://xkcd.com/681/

      Once you get out of Earth's well, though, you can start doing gravity assists, where you basically harvest the gravitational potential energy of the planets in the solar system to go faster.

    4. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by johannesg · · Score: 2

      That's a bullshit argument. It's bullshit because it can be applied to every single human activity, not just space.

      Is energy a big problem? No, actually - we have plenty of it, and we know ways to generate far, far more. What we will run out of is fossil fuel, and that is a problem, but 'space' is not a big contributor to that loss (rockets don't run on oil). And even if energy were such a big problem, there is no need to give up on other research and development until we solved it - in fact quite the opposite, as large-scale research programs have always had major beneficial effects elsewhere in society.

    5. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... to get a better understanding of why space is basically a distraction from our real energy problems right now.

      Not quite it. The point would be that technology (or really, technological growth) is not a magical panacea to the ills of the world. Now, people may USE space as a distraction or the idea of going to space without consideration of the energy costs, but that comes more down to the point that we as a whole society (or world) don't really think about the energy costs of most things. If we did, we would never be where we are right now. The sort of trepidation, planned approach to growth based upon current, known energy reserves wouldn't have stumbled across coal or gasoline as fuel sources. We certainly wouldn't know about nuclear fission or solar power.

      And even to the point of the blog, the issue of our energy problem isn't that we aren't finding new energy sources like were were 65+ years ago. The very nature of the point is that we found those energy sources so long ago precisely because they're such big energy sources. Finding a dozen more and cobbling them all together wouldn't amount to much to solving our energy problems. As others have noted in the comments, the big thing is the refinement of those energy sources either in efficiency or cost (or both) so they become usable. That's been the biggest stumbling blocks keeping back solar and fusion power (beyond require a storage medium for the former).

      So, yes, we have an energy problem. And if tomorrow we suddenly all had solar cells all over and could entirely meet the world's current energy demands, we'd see substantial growth to greatly exceed the current demands precisely because we'd see it possible we could go much further. To which going out to space, where you could build monumentally massive arrays would be something. And to which the power could be used to power the radically new inventions needed to colonize an uninhabitable world.

      "Now it is time to take longer strides-time for a great new American enterprise-time for this nation to take a clearly leading role in space achievement, which in many ways may hold the key to our future on earth." I think that this is true. To make an uninhabitable world habitable, we will learn a lot of what exactly we need on Earth. The energy crisis of the 70s and the short-term Wall Street money of the 80s has distracted us from a future that needs to be built if we humans want to live for the long-term. Not to beat the tyranny of another country but to exist for eons in the great emptiness of space and upon other worlds outside our solar system.

      Feel free to call that a distraction. I'd say, we're plenty well distracted from our future already.

    6. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That's a bullshit argument. It's bullshit because it can be applied to every single human activity, not just space.

      Is energy a big problem? No, actually - we have plenty of it, and we know ways to generate far, far more. What we will run out of is fossil fuel, and that is a problem, but 'space' is not a big contributor to that loss (rockets don't run on oil). And even if energy were such a big problem, there is no need to give up on other research and development until we solved it - in fact quite the opposite, as large-scale research programs have always had major beneficial effects elsewhere in society.

      Actually, most rockets do run on oil (RP-1 is basically kerosene), and the rockets Musk proposes to use for mars run on liquid methane. That said, I agree with you that it isn't an issue. We have cracked renewable energy now in terms of the technology, and it is only the sunk cost of oil infrastructure and some geo-political games that holds us back from switching to solar + electric for most of our energy needs (Planes would be the remaining unsolved problem). Could you imagine convincing companies to invest trillions in drilling wells, building refineries and building a global distribution system (not to mention all the conflicts caused by oil) if we had known how to mass produce solar cells and batteries for as cheap as we can now, fifty years ago?

      If it weren't for potential climate change effects, human energy use would be looking quite amazing really - with us well on the way to being able to sustain our rather wasteful western lifestyles in a sustainable way.

    7. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      (rockets don't run on oil)
      Actually modern rockets do. That is the whole point of the money thrown at them: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    8. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's such a pity that there isn't a giant nigh-infinite fusion reactor up in the sky to harvest energy from.

      There is a finite amount of energy currently available to our species, both in an absolute sense and a per unit of time sense.

      Well, duh. The total amount of energy of a system can never increase unless you provide an external source for it.

    9. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      many asteroids are full of rare earths. if they capture and crash even ONE, they'll be the richest men on earth. (the refining and processing is minimal, these are PURE at the core, nature sorted the elements already)

    10. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Screw the math. We need to find a way off this rock, if only for reasons of hope that we have some way of existing once (not if) we completely fuck up this planet. We are too far gone in terms of Earth's health, the least we can do is build up the technology required to spread out and start again.

    11. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Maritz · · Score: 1

      Where did you get the impression that human activity in space was meant to generate energy?

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    12. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " (rockets don't run on oil)."

      It's frightening that they let you near a computer, let alone vote. *EVERYTHING* runs on oil you moron! The food eaten by the employees! The metals for the rocket didn't grow on trees and refine itself and ship itself to the launch pad already painted!

      FUCK OPEN YOUR GODDAMN EYES AND UNDERSTAND!

    13. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by peragrin · · Score: 1

      Except for source.
      I agree you need space based refueling and infrastructure in several key orbital areas to make it useful.

      The problem is all of it has to come from earth. Even the nearest mining asteroids are too far away to be useful at present speeds. our best hope is finding water, or ice on the moon that we can use.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    14. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "It's such a pity that there isn't a giant nigh-infinite fusion reactor up in the sky to harvest energy from."

      If it's that simple, why did we need to wait until we started burning coal, then oil, to get where we are?

    15. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pretty sure my bacon is solar powered. Well, technically plant powered, and the plants are solar powered. The big truck to get the bacon from the smokehouse to the supermarket is powered by dead dinosaurs, which were plant powered, plus the first trees, algae, etc and hence, solar powered.

      And remember, when you ride ALONE you ride with Hitler!

    16. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Technically it equals 9.8 m/s/s

    17. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      It's essential for long term survival of any species. If confined to living on just one planet, the fate of the entire race is dependent on that planet remaining habitable. One large rock falling from space or some kind of accident/war and humanity could be over.

      Being able to live on other planets is a great insurance policy.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    18. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      What human activity is NOT a 'loser' from the energy standpoint, other than the very active search for new energy sources itself?

      Go to this site, and do what it recommends: http://vhemt.org/
      This leaves the gene pool a little cleaner for the rest of us.

    19. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 0

      "We need to find a way off this rock, if only for reasons of hope that we have some way of existing once (not if) we completely fuck up this planet."

      To me the primary reason for Getting Off This Rock is not because I believe in any apocalyptic bunk about the Earth being doomed, but to see what science and technology can accomplish once its practitioners can get away from people who believe the Earth is doomed.

      Let the Greens inherit the Earth. The rest of us have bigger plans.

    20. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by rsmith-mac · · Score: 1

      Currently? This has always been the case and will always be the case.

      Entropy's a bitch.

    21. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by khallow · · Score: 1

      If it's that simple, why did we need to wait until we started burning coal, then oil, to get where we are?

      We didn't need to. Don't confuse choosing a path as indicating that one needed to choose that path.

    22. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It doesn't matter. Our society is a mix of cultural left wing with economic right wing. Culturally we are sinking further and further away to extreme left, while economically we are sinking further and further away in extreme right. Cultural extreme left don't listen to reason, they only listen to their ideology. It doesn't matter how flawed that ideology, they are not open to criticism. Economic extreme right doesn't care when people end up in deep poverty. Everything is good news show, even when they fire half of the workers, only to please shareholders and lure more and more capitalists to invest in their good news show.

      Some businesses invest in 'global warming is a hoax' science because it will convince potential investors that their businesses isn't responsible for global warming (since it doesn't exists).

      Other businesses embrace 'global warming' as an excuse to promise 'green products' that are even better than the 'non green original'. They also convince lots of potential investors. Manny people are convinced that we can just replace the billions of vehicles with electric vehicles and charge them with solar panels and wind mills.

      No matter how hard you scream, nobody listens.

    23. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because the intention is to build colonies in space? How can these colonies sustain themselves if they don't generate energy? Will they require a continuous supply line from earth?

    24. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Rei · · Score: 1

      You yourself just named two energy sources (hardly the only ones we use). Let's add some more.

      1) Wood fire. Which not just increased safety, health, and comfort, but ultimately led to primitive metallurgy, allowing first for the bronze age, then with later improvements the iron age.

      2) Animal power. Domestication of animals and the use of their muscle power for human needs led to a vast increase in the ability to transport goods and people, farm the land, and operate early "industry" (such as oxen yoked to a mill)

      3) Fats. Early lighting, and in some cases heating needs often revolved the combustion of fats and waxes. Initially plant and animal fat sources dominated; marine sources ("whale oil") later became more popular.

      4) Kerosene. Used as a light and sometimes heat source; it steadily replaced fats for this purpose. Technically "oil", but was used very differently.

      5) Water. Early on mills were used to grind grain, and later to run early industries (often still called "mills", such as "textile mills"). Much of the early generation of electricity - which steadily replaced kerosene for lighting needs.

      6) Wind. While wind's rise from niche power generation source to major electricity player may come to mind first, the wind-powered mills gave tremendous mechanical power to early industry in a number of parts of the world, as well as being used to pump water.

      7) Geothermal. It's long been used where I'm at (Iceland) and other geothermal-rich locations, such as for baking, bathing or heating. In modern times it's a slow but steadily growing lesser player on the grid (with potential for massive expansion in the event that hot dry rock becomes more economical)

      8) Solar. Solar power has been used by humanity since the early days for a number of industries, such as salt production and agriculture, although it's use to generate electricity is much newer. The rate of growth of solar production is an even sharper curve than wind was at its stage.

      9) Nuclear. Strange that you didn't mention it, given how much of our grid it makes up. Nuclear fuels can supply the world's need for great lengths of time - increased by orders of magnitude with seawater recovery, and orders of magnitude more still with fusion.

      I could keep going with wave, tidal, and other sources. But the reality is that humans have 1) used diverse sources of power throughout history to drive our advancement, and 2) if there's anything that's defined our use of power sources, it's that they change with time as our tech advances - and there's absolutely no reason to think that this is just going to stop.

      Furthermore, I disagree with the basic premise of some sort of imminent shortage of fossil fuels. In case you haven't noticed, history has once again shown that when it comes to resources, they're not like some cup that you drink from until it suddenly runs out. Biological systems sometimes are, but not mineral resources. The easiest-to-get resources are rare, followed by somewhat harder to get ones that are an order of magnitude more common, followed by even harder ones at another order of magnitude increase in abundance, and so forth. One works through the easiest resources first and moves to the more difficult/more ones with an increase in price. However, combatting this price increase is the relentless advancement of technology, whose capability to advance increases further with each new source you move into. While spikes happen in the short term (and people always freak out about "running out", and always have), the long term average is generally steady to downward. Back to oil, remember all of those people freaking out about "peak oil" when we were nearing $150 a barrel? What happened? Bitumen and tight oil. Likewise for natural gas, what happened? Shale gas. Tech advanced (spurred on by the elevated prices), and these vastly abundant resources suddenly became not only competitive, but cheap. And there's no shortage of future hydrocarbon resources awaiting their time.

      --
      Everybody point at the libertarian and laugh.
    25. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Rei · · Score: 1

      And I think "crash" really is the operative word. Look at the Hoba meteorite. This was a natural object, not something shaped by man to be some sort of optimal entry shape or set on some optimal entry trajectory. Yet it lost only a fraction of its mass during entry and landed intact on the surface. We absolutely can do that and better. Forget trying to "land" mined asteroid material with a spacecraft - it only needs to be shaped, sintered, and ejected onto a proper intercept trajectory. Nature has already demonstrated for us that this technique works. As if it'd be hard to find some place willing to donate up land for the landing ellipse in exchange for a cut of the profits (land that could still be farmed / grazed / etc, so long as people are away when returns are expected), whether it be asian steppes, Saharan desert, Canadian tundra, etc.

      --
      Everybody point at the libertarian and laugh.
    26. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Yes, you're right, because the sun sends all it's solar energy towards earth. There are no potential nuclear fuels in space.

      Oh wait... that's wrong.

      Earth isn't the only place in the galaxy that has energy. Energy is everywhere. It may be concentrated in earth due to the presence of life sequestering it but it exists all over the place.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    27. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Whereas, I agree, we should expand ourselves and spread life beyond Earth, No matter how bad we fuck up the earth, it will always be more hospitable to us than any other planet or body in our solar system currently is. It may be the most hospitable place in the galaxy.

      We cause oceans to rise and swamp the surface? It's still more hospitable than Mars. We poison the air and have to wear respirators? It's still more hospitable than Europa.

      We kill all non farmed life on earth. It's still more hospitable than a Venus cloud city.

      I personally have reservations believing we'll ever encounter another naturally evolved intelligent lifeform in our galaxy. However, if we do, I'd like to be more technologically advanced than them. I'd like us to be comfortably out of our solar system before the sun destroys the earth (plenty of time for that though). I'd like us to have self sustaining colonies off earth should some crazy person in Moscow decide to launch their nuclear missiles at the West. Or perhaps a virus evolves that wipes out mankind.

      But more importantly than all that. More practically than all that (because most of the above are distant future threats that we could possible handle better in the future), I want to because we can. Because in doing so we will advance our species. We will learn new things that we can't currently foresee, things that will help our species.

      You never know what you'll learn when you test yourself.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    28. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by calexontheroad66 · · Score: 1

      Unless there is infrastructure to mine the elements for fuel and materials outside Earth, then there is less need to bring out bulk supplies from Earth.
      The Moon and Ceres might be obvious sources for volatile elements, there are a lot of challenges in doing this.
      The first one is, that we have 0 experience in mining in low gravity environments.
      The second and very important we need lots of energy to do mining, even if we accept processes that have very low yields or handle very low mass batches.
      Also, mining an asteroid for volatile elements requires ways to extract and capture mass. Store the output and refine it, to get a suitable raw material that isn't too full of contaminants

      The question that is more important is, how long someone is willing to foot the bill till all this supply chain starts scaling into a reasonable size. Where we are talking on the order of hundreds of metric tonnes instead of a measly kilos being transported.

    29. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you even realize that your entire world-view comes from Russian Cosmism via some Germans during WWII?

      Space is empty, it's a dead end. No one's going anywhere.

    30. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh brother.... talk about a spectacular failure of ... everything. You really think we could have gone from the 17th century to solar cells... simply by *willing* it to be so?

      You're coming from such a bizarre and incomprehensible premise I'm not even sure what the hell you're saying.

    31. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 1

      You neglect the fact that if we expand into space, we can tap energy reserves out there, that are presently inaccessible to us here on Earth.

    32. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's the difference between you and any other religious person talking about my salvation in the sky? Who thinks about the whole species? What about your own death? Why do I never see you talk about life extension?

      Evolution is still happening; one way or another, there won't be a human species in less than a million years.

    33. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by khallow · · Score: 1

      You really think we could have gone from the 17th century to solar cells... simply by *willing* it to be so?

      The obvious rebuttal is that the laws of physics didn't suddenly change in the 17th century to allow us to burn coal. Coal has been around for hundreds of millions of years. But creatures with the knowledge and tools to use coal to power machines have only been around since the 17th century.

      Wood, hydro, and yes, solar power would still be available to us with that knowledge.

    34. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Speaking from No Man's Sky - experience, mining in low gravity is as simple as pointing your guns on an asteroid, firing, and then the required ores comes flying towards you and get sucked up automatically.

    35. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Cultural extreme left don't listen to reason, they only listen to their ideology. It doesn't matter how flawed that ideology, they are not open to criticism.

      How is the cultural left flawed? There's a few issues with certain wings opposing free speech ("safe spaces") in very, very recent years, but for the most part they're socially libertarian. The only way you can oppose that ideology is if you're an authoritarian asshole who wants to push your own values or religion on other people by force.

      Of course, leftist economic principles are a different matter; I'm only talking about social principles, including things like gay marriage. If you don't like gay marriage, no problem, don't get one.

    36. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      It's essential for long term survival of any species.

      WTF? You have case history to cite of the long term survival of 'species' depending on migrating to more than one planet?

      Get your nose out of that science fiction paperback.

    37. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Fnord666 · · Score: 1

      WTF? You have case history to cite of the long term survival of 'species' depending on migrating to more than one planet?

      Clearly that is what has happened to many, if not all of the other species that share this universe with us or we would have heard from them by now. We need to learn from their mistakes rather than repeat them.

      --
      'The tyrant will always find pretext for his tyranny.' - Aesop's Fables
    38. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by kauaidiver · · Score: 1

      One of the goals of space exploration includes mining asteroids among other celestial bodies for energy and resources.

    39. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      I keep hearing the argument that environments elsewhere in the solar system are so much less survivable than even the harshest terrestrial environment that we might as well give up before we get started.

      But I think of man and his machines to be one system, not some false duality. We have already established that space is a lot more machine-friendly than we once thought it to be, with our most distant probes nudging into the heliopause. As the "gold mines" and "railroads" of the outer solar system are developed, robots will work in place of Leland Stanford's army of Chinese laborers, serving humans who will come along only when habitable places have been made ready for them.

    40. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by CSMoran · · Score: 1

      You neglect the fact that if we expand into space, we can tap energy reserves out there, that are presently inaccessible to us here on Earth.

      Are you claiming these reserves are *infinite*, or am I missing something?

      --
      Every end has half a stick.
    41. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1

      At least give Conservation some of the blame. :(

      --
      Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
    42. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1

      It just so happens I have the inside track on a nuclear reactor that's slated to be operational for at least the next few billion years.

      --
      Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
    43. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1

      The energy in that coal and oil ultimately came from the aforementioned giant fusion reactor, just sayin'.

      --
      Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
    44. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You neglect the fact that if we expand into space, we can tap energy reserves out there, that are presently inaccessible to us here on Earth.

      Read the linked article. The problem is gravity and the energy it takes to overcome it. All of the resources are "stranded" in massive gravity wells, including our own here on Earth. You cannot get to them without expending more energy than you gain. It doesn't pencil out. That's the point. Is it possible that we might figure out something better than chemical rockets or mass drivers for space travel? I don't know, maybe it's possible, but we seem to be a long way off from the wonderful future promised to us in Star Trek. Maybe it's not wise to waste our current energy reserves chasing energy we cannot get to right now with a net energy "profit" (i.e. more energy gained than energy expended getting it).

    45. Re:Do the Energy Math and Space is a Distraction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If it weren't for potential climate change effects, human energy use would be looking quite amazing really - with us well on the way to being able to sustain our rather wasteful western lifestyles in a sustainable way.

      You do realize that unchecked energy growth, of the type favored by wasteful western lifestyles, would eventually raise the temperature of the earth to the point where we're all cooked to death in our own waste heat, never mind climate change which only adds to the problem, right? Energy use cannot grow indefinitely and long before that we'd all be dead anyway. That topic is also covered in the linked blog. Endless growth is folly.

  6. all is going according to plan... by klik · · Score: 2

    and Elons plan is working perfectly. he cant build all the necessary tech and infrastructure himself. trigger a space race and the tech WILL get developed by a multitude of startups for those specific needs. It's a a sensible method!

    Klik

    --
    open your mind too much and your brain falls out!
    1. Re:all is going according to plan... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Boeing has already put shit on Mars.

  7. CEO on target? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh wait, so he wasn't the sniper?

  8. Space tourism a plague by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I can't see how you may justify such severe polluting of the high atmosphere and waste of CO2 and resources for joyrides for the 0.01% rich. You have to be a psychopath if you know enough about science yet still think it's desirable. What's next, build private pyramids? Flood century old village for fun, and let the people eat cake?
    If the fat cats want thrills, I'd say fix up that Coliseum in Rome that's been in state of disrepair for so long, then pit them against gladiators and lions.

    1. Re:Space tourism a plague by Maritz · · Score: 1

      1. Liquid oxygen and hydrogen don't leave CO2 as a byproduct.

      2. What the fuck are you actually on about.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    2. Re:Space tourism a plague by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1) So please show me where you can get it without involving our modern oil-powered industrial infrastructure? Where do you think hydrogen comes from?

      2) He's calling Space Nutters what they are; psychopathic children.

    3. Re:Space tourism a plague by necro81 · · Score: 1

      95% of hydrogen gas currently produced in the United States is made using natural gas reforming: stripping the hydrogen atoms off methane (CH4) in the presence of a catalyst and water steam. As a waste product, you get mostly CO. CO can be further reacted with steam to liberate hydrogen from the water, resulting in more CO2.

      some hydrogen is created via electrolysis of water, but the electricity used for that mostly comes from burning fossil fuels. Can you point to a large scale hydrogen production facility that is run entirely on wind and solar?

    4. Re:Space tourism a plague by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't you have some Toynbee Tiles to lay?

    5. Re:Space tourism a plague by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Without people greedy for gold it would have taken longer for the Americas to be discovered. Without people wanking to online pictures, the internet might never have got so big.

      Without rich people wanting to stay in power; the Coliseum you want fixing would never have been built. Without idiots with more money than sense, digital music might never have happened. It took the rich people wasting $1000 on a CD player to bring the money down for the rest of us.

      I'm personally disgusted at the wealth divide in this country (and the world), but if it takes rich people spending more money in a minute than I'll earn in my life, just to get our spacefaring technology off the ground and make us a multi-planet species, I'm OK with that.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    6. Re:Space tourism a plague by Maritz · · Score: 2

      Makes perfect sense to me that the gimp who capitalises space nutters as if it's a thing would agree with GP's incoherent rant.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    7. Re:Space tourism a plague by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Says the ULA shill with the binary username.

    8. Re:Space tourism a plague by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Both SpaceX and Blue Origin's proposed vehicles use methane. Hydrogen is not considered viable for re-usable deep-space missions.

  9. Musk is way ahead by Iamthecheese · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Musk announced SpaceX will try to get something to Mars every other year for the next 20 years.I'm not saying Boeing doesn't have the engineering talent but I seriously doubt it has the will to beat Musk to Mars. Musk said, this is what we're doing, this is when, and this is how. Boeing said, over the next few decades we're going to put tourists in earth orbit. There isn't even a competition at this point.

    --
    If video games influenced behavior the Pac Man generation would be eating pills and running away from their problems.
    1. Re:Musk is way ahead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Doesn't matter what they said. It is all pie in the sky at this point in time. Just like fusion power stations and flying cars.

    2. Re:Musk is way ahead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Doesn't matter what they said. It is all pie in the sky at this point in time. Just like fusion power stations and flying cars.

      "in the sky"... hehe, I see what you did there.

    3. Re:Musk is way ahead by Maritz · · Score: 1

      It's nothing like either of those things, because the technology already exists. Good point otherwise.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    4. Re:Musk is way ahead by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      the technology already exists

      So, you are saying that we have already flying cars, nuclear fusion and the required technology to send humans to Mars (or to any other planet)? Weird! I thought that we only had some experiments with no practical applicability, lots of non-validated theories, quite a few dreams and some sci-fi videos.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    5. Re:Musk is way ahead by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      We have had the technology to send people to Mars for decades.

      Sending living people to Mars and have them go on living is more of a challenge, but we're closer.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    6. Re:Musk is way ahead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you are taking what Elon SAYS as a fact? That's rich. He is known for outright lying over and over to get funding to do something much less than he promised and then he claims success and investors go along with the "success" story because they want the next round of investors to bail them out. He has missed nearly every "major" target in every single company he is currently running. By major target I mean initial release of the product or large scale increase in production. He has hit incremental targets after establishing a baseline.

      SpaceX: Rocket production is half what it was supposed to be at this point and that was before the most recent failure.

      Tesla: Missed every model release by at least one year, some 18 months and then production was slim to none for another 6 months to a year after each "release". Even Model-S and Model-X are not profitable at ~$100k a pop. How will a $35k car be profitable?

      SolarCity: In addition to missing and cutting targets, he has been buying the "solar bonds" that are supposed to make solar a financially viable solution. In other words he is buying solar loans/PPAs/leases because no one else will buy them. If he didn't buy them then SolarCity literally does not work, it goes out of business. Business is not profitable and relies on the idea that being the biggest will reduce costs to the point that profits can be made. That theory didn't work. Costs never came down enough and in order to get the volume needed they had to pay huge referral fees that were actually MORE than the economies of scale cost improvements.

    7. Re:Musk is way ahead by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      We have had the technology to send people to Mars for decades

      Have we sent anyone to Mars? Have we ever sent anyone to the deep space (just a couple of weeks away from the earth)? Have we ever had a small colony of people living in other planet (an asteroid might be fine)? Have we ever dealt with the problems associated with supplying goods to a different planet (and terraforming it!)? etc.

      What do you think that having the technology really means? Dealing with much simpler scenarios, having some non-validated theories and blindly trusting in scaling-up ideas? Having the technology means actually being able to do something. You cannot claim to be able to do what nobody did before. Or do you think that the big deal of going to Mars is just having a propulsion system able to eventually get us there?! We certainly don't have the technology to go to Mars and live there. We don't even have the technology to build a colony in the moon.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    8. Re:Musk is way ahead by geekmux · · Score: 1

      Musk announced SpaceX will try to get something to Mars every other year for the next 20 years.I'm not saying Boeing doesn't have the engineering talent but I seriously doubt it has the will to beat Musk to Mars. Musk said, this is what we're doing, this is when, and this is how. Boeing said, over the next few decades we're going to put tourists in earth orbit. There isn't even a competition at this point.

      And you base these facts off the grandstanding arrogance of a billionaire vs. a company with a proven track record of space exploration?

      If you think having the "will" is all it takes to be successful, then neither Boeing or SpaceX will be first. North Korea will beat us all.

    9. Re:Musk is way ahead by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Whooosh!

      I think you need to reread the post you replied to.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    10. Re:Musk is way ahead by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      No whooosh, I did get it right :)

      As said, your "technology to send people to Mars" implies many non-existing-yet things on top of propulsion. To not mention that living there (at least, during some months) is also part of the minimum requirements of a trip to Mars. We certainly don't have the technology to send humans anywhere in the space, other than during a few days and to the ISS.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    11. Re:Musk is way ahead by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      We landed things on Mars in the 70's. We've had the technology to get there for decades. We could just have easily sent a human.

      As my initial post said "sending living people there is more of a challenge".

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    12. Re:Musk is way ahead by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      China plans to reach Mars by 2020 and build a moon base.
      Russia will put men on moon by 2030.

      ALL of it (the US claims included) is bullshittery until we at least see the first heavy-lift rocket put a load into high orbit.

      --
      -Styopa
    13. Re:Musk is way ahead by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      After re-reading your original post, I do find it kind of confusing. Firstly, you say "We have had the technology to send people to Mars" and then "Sending living people to Mars and have them go on living is more of a challenge". Call me radical if you wish, but I think that we should only worry about sending people who are alive and making sure that they remain alive for as long as possible (ideally, until the end of the trip). LOL.

      Anyway, I guess that our ideas are already completely clear (difficult but possible within the medium term vs. virtually impossible within the next quite a few years) and there is no need to continue.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    14. Re:Musk is way ahead by drsquare · · Score: 1

      He doesn't just have the will, he has the talent, the production facilities, the engine, the launch pad, the plans for the vehicle, the materials, they've already made the first development fuel tank.

      Boeing have nothing. They're barely even supporting development of the Vulcan. They'll have nothing and do nothing until NASA decide they want to go to Mars and contract stuff out to Boeing, and that will only happen with Congressional support. It might never happen.

    15. Re:Musk is way ahead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Last I checked he had a mediocre record at getting anything off the ground at all. Boeing does that tens of thousands of times a day with narry a whisper of a problem.

    16. Re:Musk is way ahead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And you base these facts off the grandstanding arrogance of a billionaire vs. a company with a proven track record of space exploration?

      Boeing can put stuff in space... at, what?, $10,000 per pound and no sign of that going down.

      SpaceX can put stuff in space at less than $2,500 per pound now and is working to reduce that to less than $1,000 per pound.

      Who is more likely commercialize space tourism first?

    17. Re:Musk is way ahead by painandgreed · · Score: 2

      We have had the technology to send people to Mars for decades.

      No, we're not quite there yet. We had a huge issues with even landing on Mars till recently. There was too much atmosphere to use a rocket like on the moon, and too little to use a parachute like landing on earth for something large enough to land humans. Even with smaller missions like Curiosity, they had to come up with strange things like "sky cranes" and inflatable landing shells. Neither of which would work for a manned mission. Only with SpaceX's landing rocket technology do we actually have a solution. It might be a solution to the other major landing issue for Mars which is getting multiple landings in the same place. Even for recent probes the possible landing area was measured in kilometers across because we've never had the tech to land where we want with greater accuracy. That's just not going to work if multiple landings are supposed to support each other. For actually moving people across that distance in deep space, we have some science done, but we hardly have the technology yet. Apollo 1 didn't take men to the moon. Mars 1 won't take people to Mars. There are still many iterations left to build and test before we can say we have that technology. Just getting a deep space habitat that won't leak so much atmosphere that it has to be constantly resupplied like the ISS has yet to be worked out. Add in weightlessness, radiation, food and water, etc and there's lots of work left to be done. Decades of work left to be done, even with proper funding, which nobody is getting right now.

    18. Re:Musk is way ahead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Our current space technology state is the space tech equivalent of the technology that homo erectus used to cross the sea, a floating piece of dead wood, it leave a lot to desire.
      Still, it worked for them, so who knows

    19. Re:Musk is way ahead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Muillenberg should focus more on beating Airbus to Burma first.

    20. Re:Musk is way ahead by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      Last I checked he had a mediocre record at getting anything off the ground at all. Boeing does that tens of thousands of times a day with narry a whisper of a problem.

      Tens of thousands, eh. Boeing has exactly one rocket that is flying right now. The Delta IV and its variants. Boeing has launched three of them this year, with one more planned. All three were successful. SpaceX has launched eight Falcon 9s this year, all of which were a success, and five of which successfully recovered their first stages intact, which Boeing has never done for any rocket. Plus SpaceX blew up one on the pad. SpaceX could have failed five more times than they did and still would be launching more rockets this year than Boeing. They have two more launches planned this year, to Boeing's one.

      I understand your daddy works for Boeing, and you're 15 and all, so you are incapable of expressing yourself without absurd hyperbole, but you should be quiet. Grownups are talking.

  10. Investment tip for millennials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Boeing is saying this because they are going to suffer huge losses in the space area now their cosy model has been disrupted. Further, we will start seeing this sort of thing play out across the economy more and more, thanks to central bank monetary policy. When market capitalisations of incumbents get driven to such high levels by zero-interest-rate policies that much of a company's value is stuffed full of goodwill they become ripe for being disrupted by a new player. Effectively, it becomes increasingly cheaper to start your own company from scratch rather than buying a share in the incumbents, and technology is driving down the real cost of starting businesses, which is compounding the problem.

    This is how the economy will correct for the current lock out of asset ownership for anyone who wasn't lucky enough to get into the bubble economy early enough - by destroying the value of existing assets. It means that if you are young the number one thing you should not do is take on stupid amounts of debt to buy a house, and you would do well to invest all you can into learning the business skills to build the new companies that will rise out of the mess that is being made of the real economy by the biggest asset bubble in history.

    1. Re:Investment tip for millennials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      SpaceX performance has been disruptive alright. Two catastrophic failures in 9 flights. Boeing or Lockmart have never achieved such a poor result.

    2. Re:Investment tip for millennials by Rei · · Score: 1

      No, in 28 flights, and this would have been 29. You don't define a failure rate by "what is the narrowest bounds that I can choose that will give the worst-sounding number"?

      Several percent failure is normal for rocketry (different figures are cited depending on how you measure, often 95%, although IMHO that's too pessimistic for modern rocketry). SpaceX was running 96,4% before this failure, although that's obviously biased upwards by measuring immediately before failure. They're now 93,1%, although that's conversly biased downward by measuring immediately after a failure. For a company that has designed the rocket almost from scratch rather than relying on legacy, proven technology, that isn't in the slightest a bad record. Furthermore, the CRS-7 failure wasn't their fault (except to the extent that they actually trusted that manufacturer certifications are worth the paper they're printed on), and in this case, the jury is still out as to how much responsibility they actually bear for the failure (even ignoring the whole "sabotage" angle, they don't make the COPVs - and you can't test every COPV to find its fatigue/stress/thermal cycling limit because if you do, well, it's destroyed; they don't fail gracefully, so the best you can do is a statistical sampling of them (which they'd already at least been doing with the struts, which turned out to not be good enough)).

      --
      Everybody point at the libertarian and laugh.
    3. Re:Investment tip for millennials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you're focusing on recent history perhaps, go back to their initial efforts in the spaceflight industry and I don't think SpaceX's initial faults are all that unusual from what Boeing/Lockheed experienced. It should also be noted that their current launch costs ($200-450 M vs. about $65 M per launch) mean that many satellite companies could literally lose every other launch and still come out on top ($100 m satellite + $65 M launch X 2 = $330 M with SpaceX vs $100 M + $300 M = $400 M). The only difference is that SpaceXs launcher will almost certainly become more reliable in a short time, where Boeing/Lockheeds costs aren't all that likely to come down for the next decade or so if at all.

  11. They'd have to cooperate, surely? by eddy · · Score: 1

    Surely this is such a big risky project that it'd make sense to cooperate, or at the very least coordinate together?

    Hurry up to die.

    --
    Belief is the currency of delusion.
  12. One of these days, Elon... by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

    Boeing CEO Vows To Beat Elon Musk

    Bang! Zoom! Right to the... Mars.

    --
    systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    1. Re:One of these days, Elon... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Oh, you're goin' somewhere Alice..."

  13. Trump is that you? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He linked to an article that shows the energy from the resources you'd get from space resources vs the energy needed to overcome the gravity well. It makes a good read.

    "(rockets don't run on oil)."
    Yes they do. either directly as Kerosene or indirectly used to make liquid Hydrogen.

    "there is no need to give up on other research and development until we solved it "
    We're already way passed sending manned flights, we can send probes one way, expendable, lighter, can do more, stand more extremes, have sensors exactly the way we want. Why the fuck would we send people? People in space are a novelty act.

    Yeh its great showmanship (well until they die), but it would be ridiculous now. Imagine sending people to Mars on a one way mission to die, and the Chinese and Russians sending a probe with a camera to show the world.

  14. Now if only... by ctrl-alt-canc · · Score: 2

    ...we could send all the CEOs to Mars, maybe we couldn't set up a colony there, but for sure we would make the Earth a better place where to live.

    1. Re:Now if only... by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      send all the CEOs to Mars

      Then they'd interbreed and create a race of Darth's who come pestering us with bigass weapons.

    2. Re:Now if only... by ausekilis · · Score: 1

      send all the CEOs to Mars

      Then they'd interbreed and create a race of Darth's who come pestering us with bigass weapons.

      I was picturing thunderdome with neckties and shredded suits.

  15. Calling BS on some points by vikingpower · · Score: 3, Interesting

    1. The Boeing that, indeed, did build the Saturn V first stage was not nowadays Boeing. The former was much smaller, more agile ("agile" not in the software engineering sense, but in the common dictionary sense).

    2. Boeing is indeed heavily involved in the SLS program. That program's pace, however, is set by NASA, whereas Musk's SpaceX, being a virtual start-up, sets its own and dramatically different pace.

    This is not to say that Boeing could not or should not be involved in what might became a "race toward Mars". I am, however, calling bullshit on the Saturn V and SLS arguments.

    --
    Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
    1. Re:Calling BS on some points by necro81 · · Score: 1

      the SLS program. That program's pace, however, is set by NASA,

      Correction: That program's pace is set by Congress. Congress set the milestones in the appropriations. Congress at the same time appropriated only a fraction of the money needed to make those milestones. If people are whinging about how SLS will take longer to get off the ground than Mercury, Gemini, and Apollo combined, one can start by examining the amount of money devoted to each of those programs.

    2. Re:Calling BS on some points by vikingpower · · Score: 1

      I stand corrected. Of course you're right. Thanks!

      --
      Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
    3. Re:Calling BS on some points by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Congress set the milestones in the appropriations"

      If milestones were the only requirement then we'd probably have launched a few of our sleek new rockets by now at half or less the cost of a shuttle launch on Lunar/Martian trajectories. The problem is that Congress attached all manor of strings to the money that forced NASA to use very specific contractors, not once but TWICE (for Constellation and SLS). Meaning that they could basically charge whatever they wanted and no matter how badly they performed NASA couldn't change contractors. Even under the most conservative estimates we're looking at $1.5 Billion per launch with SLS, and some put it closer to $5 Billion each.

  16. Boeing is pathetic by Required+Snark · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Boeing/Lockheed/ULA is a textbook example of an inefficient entrenched monopoly. They are for all intents and purposes a part of the federal government. The revolving door means that after a stint at NASA or the USAF people side over to ULA and do the identical job. They end up with two pensions and nobody rocks the boat.

    A telltale symptom is the mind boggling stagnation in rocket technology. Look at main lift engine development: ULA is using Russian engines designed in the cold war. The rocket cartel hasn't invested a dime in big lift vehicles since the early 90's.

    It took two outsiders, Musk and Bezos, to inject life into the US space sector. They were both technologists with no ties to aerospace. They independently realized that new booster technology was the key to 21st century space flight, manned or unmanned. They both spent their own money to build new rockets from scratch. Yes, they got federal funding, but they spent a lot more then that. (ULA has been developing new upper stage rockets, but that is a much smaller effort then building a new launch system from scratch.)

    When ULA woke up and realized they were at least six years behind SpaceX in engine design, they went to Blue Origin. Their next generation main lift stage will based on the Blue Origin design. That's called being asleep at the switch.

    Don't start whining about NASA, feel sorry for them. They are constrained by politics and budgets. If Congress only gave them rubber band and paper clip money they would still be making a valiant effort to get into space somehow.

    Speaking of Congress, ten House Republicans are trying to squash SpaceX. They claim to be "greatly concerned" about the recent pad explosion and want the USAF and NASA to cut SpaceX off. What they are actually doing is shilling for ULA. Who gives a rat's ass about US technological leadership or actual capitalism when there are campaign contributions and jobs to protect in their districts? Congress are the real jokers behind the rocket cartel.

    --
    Why is Snark Required?
    1. Re:Boeing is pathetic by Rei · · Score: 1

      Meanwhile, 24 members of congress wrote a counter-letter :)

      --
      Everybody point at the libertarian and laugh.
    2. Re:Boeing is pathetic by bluegutang · · Score: 1

      When ULA woke up and realized they were at least six years behind SpaceX in engine design, they went to Blue Origin. Their next generation main lift stage will based on the Blue Origin design. [washingtonpost.com] That's called being asleep at the switch.

      Is that any different from Google buying Keyhole and Quest Visual, which became Google Earth and the Google Translate camera feature? Why expect one company to have all the new and great ideas?

    3. Re:Boeing is pathetic by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1

      Meanwhile, 24 members of congress wrote a counter-letter :)

      Led by a Republican, by the way.

      The fact is that we are again seeing the free market beating government cronies.

    4. Re:Boeing is pathetic by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Why would you expect a rocket company to design its own rockets, instead of getting them from a shopkeeper?

    5. Re:Boeing is pathetic by Rei · · Score: 1

      To be clear:

        * The letter against SpaceX was signed by 10 people, all of them Republicans

        * The letter supporting SpaceX was signed by 24 people: 11 Republicans and 13 Democrats

      So I'm not sure how you're turning this into some commentary about Republican support for free markets, because honestly it looks like the opposite.

      --
      Everybody point at the libertarian and laugh.
    6. Re:Boeing is pathetic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They independently realized that new booster technology was the key to 21st century space flight, manned or unmanned.

      Not to take anything away from what Musk and Bezos have accomplished, but a small group of enthusiasts with science and science-fiction backgrounds (see, Citizens Advisory Council on National Space Policy) had been telling them and anyone else who would listen exactly that since the late 1980s/early 1990s. We got DC-X out of it, before it got handed to NASA and they broke it. The annual (more or less) conferences of the Space Access Society are where this got started, not just SpaceX and Blue Origin, but also lesser known (and less successful) outfits like XCOR, Armadillo and Rotary Rocket. Bezos and Musk had the will and (especially) the deep pockets to make a go of it, and more power to them.

      --Alastair

    7. Re:Boeing is pathetic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You call them Inefficient?, they are the textbook example of efficient entrenched monopoly doing what they do best making money getting richer from the tax payer
      why spend money in some more advanced and cheaper?, fat, expensive and slow works for them, they only will change that if they don't have any other choice and then just for the time needed until they can go back to their old coziness lobbing politicians and sucking public money

    8. Re:Boeing is pathetic by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1

      So, we have 11 Republicans "for" SpaceX and 10 "against". Hmm.

      What are you getting at?

    9. Re:Boeing is pathetic by Rei · · Score: 1

      And 100% of democrats going for, 0% against.

      I'm failing to see why you think that this makes Republicans look good.

      --
      Everybody point at the libertarian and laugh.
  17. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  18. "And if we can't beat 'em fair and square..." by cshotton · · Score: 1

    "...we'll take pot shots at their rockets from our rooftop while they're refueling them. (Oops! Did I say that out loud?)"

    --

    Shut up and eat your vegetables!!!
  19. In the 1960s we had a space race by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Now we have a Twitter race of who can make the biggest bullshit claims.

  20. Re:Poster 11010101011 strangely absent from thread by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    "The poster 11010101011 seems to be strangely absent from this thread."

    Probably just posting AC again. Why do certain people have such a fear of having an observable posting history?

  21. lousy sock puppet by khallow · · Score: 1

    He linked to an article that shows the energy from the resources you'd get from space resources vs the energy needed to overcome the gravity well.

    What's the mass of microwaves again? He proposes going to Titan, constructing a chemical rocket using local materials and returning a little bit of hydrocarbons as chemical energy. We could try things here that aren't that dumb like fissionable materials like uranium and thorium which both have a far better energy per mass, and which can power a far better rocket engine.

    Or as I note in my question, we could send the energy as microwaves, that doesn't require any mass for transportation and isn't subject to the rocket equation.

    Math is only as useful as the argument it supports.

    We're already way passed sending manned flights, we can send probes one way, expendable, lighter, can do more, stand more extremes, have sensors exactly the way we want. Why the fuck would we send people? People in space are a novelty act.

    Because people are faster and more effective than these probes you discuss. The problem isn't the sensors, it's the lack of someone on site to make decisions.

    Yeh its great showmanship (well until they die), but it would be ridiculous now. Imagine sending people to Mars on a one way mission to die, and the Chinese and Russians sending a probe with a camera to show the world.

    Maybe you should leave imagination to people who have it. We could just not do that, right?

  22. Mars Vacation Peddlers; just stop already. by geekmux · · Score: 1

    While I can understand the attraction in jetting people across continents at very fast speeds (even though we've seem to forgotten we abandoned that 40-year old technology when we retired the Concorde), I fail to see this whole commercial "race" to Mars.

    Attention Martian vacation peddlers; How about you start with proving you can safely navigate through our man-made asteroid belt of space junk before you start bullshitting investors about Martian getaways.

    1. Re:Mars Vacation Peddlers; just stop already. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We've been setting modest goals for far too long. It's time we stopped pissing about with probes, and launched some spaceships with people inside. As a society, we have become so risk-averse that we won't contemplate the tiniest possibility of a space-related death.

    2. Re:Mars Vacation Peddlers; just stop already. by geekmux · · Score: 1

      We've been setting modest goals for far too long. It's time we stopped pissing about with probes, and launched some spaceships with people inside. As a society, we have become so risk-averse that we won't contemplate the tiniest possibility of a space-related death.

      30,000 people die every single year just within the US from using the automobile. Hundreds of millions of humans accept this risk and use an automobile multiple times a day. We're hardly a species that is "so risk-averse".

      That said, we seem to be a species that is afraid to actually justify our actions anymore. Sorry, but "Fuck it, why not" should not be the main reason we're looking to spend billions of dollars and pretty much guarantee death to explore the red planet.

    3. Re:Mars Vacation Peddlers; just stop already. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Space is big. Even low earth orbit is hugely empty.

      Think of our "belt of space junk" as a really wide highway on which an extremely fast truck zooms by in a rarely changing lane once a day. Walking across the highway is very low risk.

      Camping on the highway is much more risky but can be handled if you have know the likely lane it would use and/or have spotters who radio in to warn you.

    4. Re:Mars Vacation Peddlers; just stop already. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even the existing "asteroids" in our man-made asteroid belt collide extremely rarely. This is the only serious, unintentional one so far: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_satellite_collision
      Asteroid belts, natural or manmade, look nothing like in the movies. When a Saturn (IIRC) probe went throught the asteroid field between Mars and Jupiter, it was /lucky/ to see /one/ asteroid as a tiny speck.

  23. Will? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm not saying Boeing doesn't have the engineering talent but I seriously doubt it has the will to beat Musk to Mars.

    It has nothing to do with will. It's all about capital and management. Musk is a crappy manager, And as far as capital is concerned, Tesla needs it badly and Musk's only option is to sell more stock and dilute current shareholders.

    Musk doesn't have nor does his friends have the financial resources to go to Mars or anywhere beyond LEO. But here on Slashdot, folks will believe otherwise without facts because they get suckered into Silly Valley hype all the time.

    1. Re:Will? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Musk doesn't have nor does his friends have the financial resources to go to Mars or anywhere beyond LEO"

      Once you can get into orbit 95% of your difficulties getting elsewhere in the solar system vanish. The only issue is fuel, an issue that can be solved pretty easily with either high efficiency (ion/plasma) engines or on orbit refueling.

  24. House Republicans *should* squash SpaceX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    House Republicans have a fiduciary responsibility to their investors!

  25. HPER sonic != 2 or 3 times the spped of sound by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    CEO of Boeing should know better. ... HYPER sonic > mach 5. It is impossible, by definition, to have a hypersonic plane flying at 3 times the speed of sound.

    1. Re:HPER sonic != 2 or 3 times the spped of sound by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um, unless the plane materializes out of the vacuum already flying at Mach 5, it will, at some point, be travelling at Mach 3.

  26. Re:Poster 11010101011 strangely absent from thread by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Beats me.

    I'm AC out of sheer laziness. My browser doesn't store cookies, so I would have to log in every time I wanted to post. I doubt I'd bother posting at all if logging in became compulsary. I'm punished as my posts start at 0, but it's usually my best posts that get modded up anway, so that's the system working as intended.

  27. Why do I get a bad felling about this?.... by transami · · Score: 1

    What worries me is how sure he is they will be the first. I read another article about the person heading up the same program at NASA (can't recall her name right off, sorry) and she said pretty much the same thing -- absolutely positive they would be there first. Now, their time line puts that is the 2030s. That's behind SpaceX's schedule, so unless they know something....

    --
    :T:R:A:N:S:
    1. Re:Why do I get a bad felling about this?.... by narf0708 · · Score: 1

      They know that rocket science is hard and involves many years of setbacks from expected schedules. While Musk is very good at producing rockets, he's not so great at realistic timeframes. Recall that he stated that the first Falcon Heavy launch would happen sometime in 2013. Repeated delays now have the first launch being expected in 2018. Musk announces timeframes for if everything goes perfectly, which is a very low probability possibility when dealing with rockets.

      Yes, Musk will get us to Mars eventually, it just won't be quite as soon as he first announced.

      --
      "Violence is not the answer. Violence is the question. The answer is yes."
  28. Re:Poster 11010101011 strangely absent from thread by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, he's just posting as AC above.

  29. finite but huge [Do the Energy Math-] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    There is a finite amount of energy currently available to our species, both in an absolute sense and a per unit of time sense.

    Well, I suppose the amount of energy is technically "finite", but the amount is huge by human standards. You do the math. The solar power striking Earth is 173,000 terawatts. All the energy used by humanity is a trivial fraction of a percent of that.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  30. Good luck by DriveDog · · Score: 1

    Good luck with that. Today's Boeing isn't the same company that built rockets in the 1960s, so although that nostalgia is nice, it has nothing to do with Boeing's current potential.

  31. Rare earths aren't concentrated in asteroids by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    many asteroids are full of rare earths.

    No. they're not. Where in the world did that idea come from? Asteroids aren't particularly rich in rare earth metals. (Which, despite the name, aren't actually rare).

    if they capture and crash even ONE, they'll be the richest men on earth. (the refining and processing is minimal, these are PURE at the core, nature sorted the elements already)

    What?? No.

    Nature has sorted out iron and nickel. Platinum group metals are sideorphiles, and segregate with the iron and nickel, albeit still at parts per million concentration, so you need a lot of refining. Rare earths, however, are not segregated in asteroids. On Earth they tend to be concentrated by aqueous processes, so you wouldn't expect to find rare earth segregated in asteroids.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  32. Space is really there... by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    What's the difference between you and any other religious person talking about my salvation in the sky?

    Well, unlike the heaven promised in other religions, space is objectively there. We can actually see Mars and even send probes there.

    Send some probes to heaven and get a chemical composition of the surface rocks, and then we can say that spaceflight and religion are on a comparable basis.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  33. Re:Bender Moment? by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

    Their flagship products literally catch on *fire*.

    Wait, are we talking Boeing or have we moved onto Samsung?

  34. Boeing Rocket? What Boeing Rocket? by EnsilZah · · Score: 2

    They don't have any rockets.
    Even if he's considering ULA's rockets being nominally Boeing's, they're shutting down production of the Delta IV family, the Atlas V is on shaky ground with its Russian engines, and is supposed to be discontinued when the Vulcan starts flying, the development of which they are underfunding and as it stands, even when it's done, would probably not even be competitive with SpaceX's current Falcon 9.

    Or are they planning to buy out LockMart's half of ULA, or compete with their own subsidiary with an undisclosed rocket design?

  35. And Elon Wins! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    This is exactly what Elon Musk has wanted to have happen. He wins! The beauty of all of this is that Elon Musk starts these projects not because he personally wants to execute them, but because he sees that no one else is doing them and he so badly wants humanity to do them.

    All hail Elon Musk!

  36. Boeing Developed the TR3B - They're already there! by Junior+Samples · · Score: 3, Funny

    http://www.drboylan.com/xplane...

    The TR3-B 'Astra' is a large triangular anti-gravity craft within the secret U.S. fleet. Black-projects defense industry insider Edgar Rothschild Fouche wrote about the existence of the TR3-B in his book Alien Rapture(10).

    The TR3-B does not depend solely or principally on its hydrogen-oxygen rockets. It is a highly-reduced-gravity aerospace craft manufactured in secret "black programs" by Boeing. The reduced-gravity field it produces reduces the vehicle's weight by about 90% so that very little thrust is required to either keep it aloft or to propel it at speeds of Mach 9 or higher.

    The TR-3B vehicle's outer coating is electrochemical-reactive and changes with electrical radio-frequency radar stimulation, and can change reflectiveness, radar absorptiveness, and color. This is also the first US vehicle to use quasi-crystals in the vehicle's skin. This polymer skin, when used in conjunction with the TR-3B's Electronic Counter Measures and Electronic Counter-Countermeasures (ECCM), can make the vehicle look like a small aircraft, or a flying cylinder - or even trick radar receivers into falsely detecting a variety of aircraft, no aircraft, or several aircraft at various locations!

    A circular plasma-filled accelerator ring called the Magnetic Field Disrupter surrounds the rotable crew compartment and is far ahead of any imaginable technology. Sandia and Livermore National laboratories developed the reverse-engineered MFD technology. The plasma, mercury-based, is pressurized at 250,000 atmospheres at a temperature of 150 degrees Kelvin, and accelerated to 50,000 rpm to create a super-conductive plasma with resulting gravity-disruption [reduction of almost all of the pull of gravity and effects of inertia].

    The MFD generates a magnetic-vortex field which disrupts or neutralizes the effects of gravity by 89 percent on a mass within proximity. The MFD creates a disruption of the Earth's gravitational field upon the mass within the circular accelerator. The mass of the circular accelerator and all mass within the accelerator, such as the crew capsule, avionics, MFD systems, fuels, crew environmental systems, and the nuclear reactor, are reduced by 89%. The current MFD in the TR-3B craft causes the effect of making the vehicle extremely light, and able to outperform and outmaneuver any craft yet constructed - except of course those back-engineered total-antigravity craft, which the government does not admit exist.

    The TR-3B is a high-altitude, stealth reconnaissance platform with an indefinite loiter time. Once you get it up there at speed, it doesn't take much propulsion to maintain altitude.

    With the vehicle mass reduced by 89%, the craft can travel at Mach 9 vertically or horizontally. My sources say the performance is limited only the stresses that the human pilots can endure. Which is a lot of reduction, considering that along with the 89% reduction in mass, the inertial G forces are also reduced by 89%. The crew of the TR-3B can comfortably take up to 40Gs.

    The TR-3Bs propulsion is provided by three multimode thrusters mounted at each bottom corner of the triangular platform. The TR-3 is a sub-Mach 9 vehicle until it reaches altitudes above l20,000 feet - then who knows how fast it can go!

    The reactor heats the liquid hydrogen and injects liquid oxygen into the supersonic nozzle, so that the hydrogen burns concurrently in the liquid- oxygen afterburner. The multimode propulsion system can operate in the atmosphere, with thrust from the Magnetic Field Disrupter powered by the nuclear reactor; in the upper atmosphere, with hydrogen propulsion; and in orbit, with the combined hydrogen/oxygen propulsion. The engines are reportedly built by Rockwell.

  37. Doesn't sound good by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 3, Funny

    "I'm convinced the first person to step foot on Mars will arrive there riding a Boeing rocket,"

    Informing people that you are deluded isn't the best idea. ;)

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    1. Re:Doesn't sound good by ausekilis · · Score: 1

      "I just wanted to feel the power between my legs" - Guy that rode the Boeing rocket to Mars.

  38. Rat race, rat win by thunderclees · · Score: 1

    Muilenburg just wants Boeing to win the race for all of those tax dollars that Musk has been burning up smashing rockets into the sand and occasionally into the ocean. What do we need NASA for if it is just going to act as a clearing house for tax dollars to fund toys for oligarchs?

  39. Re:Boeing Developed the TR3B - They're already the by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Sounds legit.

  40. battle of the giants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Latest news on the battle of the idiotobillionaires. Find out at 11 how they plan to cure all disease within the next year.

  41. Posturing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Alternate headline: Boeing CEO posturing to be as ambitious as SpaceX so Boeing gets the contracts. Despicable.

  42. Plan to beat Musk to Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Step one. Sniper bullet through rocket. Check

  43. Boeing CEO Vows To Beat Elon Musk To Mars.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Boy, that is a lot of beating for a long time. Hope the CEO's arms don't hurt too much and that Elon wears a kevlar suit.

  44. Yeah, they "built" the Saturn V first stage :P by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Rocketdyne built the engines, and Boeing hired some guys to wrap tin around them. Seriously, the first stage is basically engines and fuel.

    Saying Boeing built the first stage is like saying the job foreman built your house. They contributed to the effort, sure, but the most valuable thing they did was schmooze bureaucrats to get the contract.

  45. Why not the moon? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The biggest reason for going according to these guys is to survive an extinction event. Why not build a city on the moon?

    * Getting there in a matter of days vs. months or years
    * we've been there before
    * its way way way cheaper
    * communications could be continuous
    * more efficient power from the sun
    * If something goes wrong, the earth is right there!

    The only reason people want to go to mars first is that it is sexier. If they were truly worried about an extinction event, they would go to the moon.

  46. Accelerating timelines... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "I'm convinced the first person to step foot on Mars will arrive there riding a Boeing rocket"

    At the rate it is going I expect them to revise that statement to, "I'm convinced the first foot on Mars will arrive there riding a Boeing rocket"

  47. Oh shit. There goes the planet. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nothing more to say.

  48. Fail fast isn't Boeing culture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I worked as a contractor for Boeing over a decade ago. Learned to respect their engineer ethos, and their aversion to risk. Which, when I fly a Boeing airplane, makes me a lot more comfortable.

    But.

    This isn't about bringing risk to zero. It's about managing risk. I cannot see Boeing transform it's (correctly) risk intolerant culture to one where they repeatedly crashed landers till they got it right.

    I see this as so much messaging and crap to the institutional funds, who're probably asking, "so whaddya got after the dreamliner ? It's great and all, but what's the long range plan that'll make me see growth for Boeing in the next decade?"

  49. I would side with boeing. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Considering that elon mush is going about claiming his rocket was perfect and it must have been sabotage that caused it explode. Compared with the track record and history of boeing which has helped NASA in the past build their rockets and space craft that have a MUCH better safety record.

  50. oh they will be first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    as long as they can keep blowing up the spacex rockets

  51. Re:Boeing Developed the TR3B - They're already the by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It IS, the engine is build by Rockwell, the same company that engineered and perfected the Turbo Encabulator. (look it up on you tube, there is a very easy to follow video on how it works)

  52. All hail Capitalizm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This would be great if we as a world community support and finance this... However, as we have seen in the recent past (Space Age/Race - the screeching slowdown of innovation) Capitalism stifles innovation, and at least in the short run. And the short sighted that our corporate leaders are, all this talk just seems like empty 'space filler' talk!
    Example... See what happened to the BWB (Blended wing-body concept) in the aeronautical arena? We still fly in a cylinder with wings powered by propulsion technology from the 50's ("modern hi-bypass turbofans"). And even here, the best we can do is 'active clearance control' and 'geared fans'...

  53. So while not even super-sonic airplanes... by ffkom · · Score: 1

    ... managed to survive on the transport market due to their excessive fuel consumption and cost, they want to make us believe that "travelling to Mars" will become big business? Sorry, but that's clearly not going to happen. Yes, a few rich people will pay whatever price for getting to Mars, but clearly not enough to sustain a regular flight schedule.

  54. Re:Boeing Developed the TR3B - They're already the by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

    The TR3-B 'Astra' is a large triangular anti-gravity craft within the secret U.S. fleet.

    Now that is a bona fide Space Nutter, with capital letters. Where's our binary friend when we need him. There should be a rant right here. Or perhaps some of his new biting sarcasm.

  55. Boring CEO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    oh wait, thats not what they said...