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Paris Climate Change Agreement Enters Into Force (theguardian.com)

The Paris agreement on climate change enters into force on Friday, marking the first time that governments have agreed legally binding limits to global temperature rises. From a report on The Guardian: The passage of the accord -- the fruit of more than two decades of often tortuous international negotiations on combating climate change -- was hailed by nations and observers around the world. Under the agreement, all governments that have ratified the accord, which includes the US, China, India and the EU, now carry an obligation to hold global warming to no more than 2C above pre-industrial levels. That is what scientists regard as the limit of safety, beyond which climate change is likely to become catastrophic and irreversible. Countries have put forward commitments on curbing carbon emissions under the agreement, but a report on Thursday found those pledges would see temperature rises significantly overshoot the threshold, with 3C of warming. Environmental groups urged governments to do more.

32 of 137 comments (clear)

  1. Paris Climate Change Agreement Enters Into Force by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    This article is incorrect, if I recall correctly, the U.S. Senate needs to approve all treaties before they take effect in the United States.

  2. The problem with this agreement by fred6666 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Is that there is no hard target. What happens if a country emits twice as much CO2 as they pledged? Nothing.
    Therefore it is worse than Kyoto, even if the US didn't ratify it.

    1. Re:The problem with this agreement by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 2

      ...but there are plenty of Warmunists too.

    2. Re:The problem with this agreement by slew · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You won't get much reaction on slashdot, it's a climate change denial echo chamber.

      Oh I don't deny there is climate change. Is it AGW? I don't know, and I don't care. I'm a realist. Either way if the stats are true, it is politically impossible to do anything about it (short of a war and/or massive decimation of either population or economy which I don't favor).

      IMHO we should stop wasting time/money trying to stop it because that is simply a quixotic goal. We should simply spend our time/money to adapt. If you want to call me a denier, fine. Even if we caused it (and I'm agnostic on the "A" part of it), it doesn't really matter and we shouldn't argue about it. Go sue me.

    3. Re:The problem with this agreement by slew · · Score: 2

      "IMHO we should stop wasting time/money trying to stop it because that is simply a quixotic goal. We should simply spend our time/money to adapt. If you want to call me a denier, fine."

      That's kind of like saying the solution to alcoholism is to spend money on wine instead of beer.

      No it's like saying since we can't stop people from being alcoholics if alcohol is available we spend our time and money on adapting to the existence of potential alcoholics in our society instead of attempting to spend time banning all alcohol sales and reinstate prohibition (feel free to replace "alcohol" with "petrol", "drugs", "soda", whatever)...

    4. Re:The problem with this agreement by slew · · Score: 2

      It's the same fallacy all over again.
      Just because something is bad (in this case global warming) and even assuming there is nothing we can do to avoid it doesn't mean we should make it even worse by not making any effort to limit the damage. Global warming is not binary. There can be little warming, a big one, or anything in between.

      Yes we must adapt, but we should also reduce our emissions. If we can't limit the raise to 2 C then let's try to keep it under 2.5 C or 3 C.

      Being fallacious is not being realist. It's just being stupid.

      The fallacy is that we have any control over it at all.

      It's like when you have a company that's losing a million dollars a day. You could attempt to save some money cut some salaries and somehow reduce your burn rate and hope for some good fortune that could turn your situation around, but at some point you have to plan for a post-bankruptcy existence. I'm afraid that we have gotten to the point that we should be planning for that post bankruptcy existence, when you are hoping if everyone takes a 10% paycut that somehow it will work out.

      I've been in that company before. Right now we only have projected improved technology and deployment to achieve 21-40% of the required emission reductions of the Paris accords without direct cuts, the rest will undoubtedly have to come from direct cuts (60% or more). If you actually believe the doomsday scenario of 3 deg C, that is the moral equivalent to BK. If the management in your companies comes to you with a plan where you they have a way to save 40% of the money they need by better efficiency but all employees have to take a 60% voluntary paycut just to show your support for their plan, (and you discover that 40% savings plan is really 21-40% to avoid bankruptcy and there's no way politically to get to 40%), then unless you believe that BK thing (aka 3deg C) is a bluff to get you to cower in fear, you should be telling your co-workers to save their money to plan for that post-bankruptcy existence. Sorry, the writing is on the wall my friend.

    5. Re:The problem with this agreement by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      Except that you're planning for bankrupsy of something that is many years away in a company that can innovate it away. The fact you refuse to do it and instead aim to make money not by increasing efficiency or looking for alternate ways of generating revenue but rather by reducing output and cutting everything makes your example just utter garbage, especially on the face of what has happened in the past few years.

    6. Re:The problem with this agreement by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      Adapt, adapt ... the Unwort of this 'debate' ... I'm tired about it.

      Lets look at the USA. A country basically consisting of one big land mass. Or Canada for that matter, same situation.
      If sea levels are rising lets say 5meter/5yards you lose on both sides of the country a stripe of dozens if not hundreds of kilometers. So: you want to adapt to a situation where 80% of the population has to be resettled? How exactly?

      Then again we have desertification, loss of water supplies to your farm lands etc.

      So you need to resettle farmers and find other farming areas. In a country that big, probably no problem.

      So, then lets look at the rest of the world: the biggest countries are China, Russia, Australia, India, Kasachstan, Mongolia, probably there are two or three more big players. They all, like the USA or Canada, can "some how" (yet to invent) adapt to massive changes. Probably under drastic measurement and civil unrest.

      So, now we have all those small countries, some will vanish completely, like Bangladesh or some Pacific nations. Countries like Greece, Israel, Lebanon, where only the central 'high lands' will remain. Dubai, probably completely gone.
      North Africa, from west to east will lose its farmland and most living areas. Italy and France lose all the coastal land stripes. Germany could fortify its northern coast, if all the neighbours would join in.

      This is only about 'local' problems. Now we have the true problems: migration. The last years over 2 million immigrants flooded into Europe. Mostly war refugees from Syria and surrounding regions.

      WHAT DO YOU THINK IS GOING TO HAPPEN IF REFUGEES ARE NOT COMING AS A FEW MILLIONS BUT BILLIONS. Authorization of the use of Nukes, I assume?

      Sorry mate, believing that man kind can 'adapt' to global warming as we face it is delusional at best, but actually more idiotic.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    7. Re:The problem with this agreement by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 2

      The vast majority of what humanity does to fend off disease and death, modern progress, depends on technological advancement, not sea levels.

      Slowing this down is no friend of humanity.

      Its conceivable even the worst part, moving back from the sea over 100-300 years, will become trivial with things like robots and more advanced manufacturing.

      It is sillier for us to bust our balls than it would be for those in 1900 to bust their balls, delaying year 2016 tech by a few decades, when they had no clue what was to be invented. Year 1980 tech with no AGW would be no blessing today, but rather a mass murderous travesty on humanity.

      No, history shows you can't have maasive government control and rapid progress (sans war machines, which perversely apes capitalism because it must get things done.)

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  3. Re:Paris Climate Change Agreement Enters Into Forc by HBI · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The term "Executive Agreement" covers the Paris agreement. The Executive Agreement is an end-run around the Constitutional requirement for Senate approval for treaties. It's a violation of the Constitution that a compliant Supreme Court agreed to. A perfect example of the erosion of the Constitution over time.

    The bad news is that it's the law of the land now because the Court said that it was and the Congress rolled over.

    --
    HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
  4. Re:Paris Climate Change Agreement Enters Into Forc by sls1j · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Actually it's not. As the president does not have the authority to ratify a treaty for our country.

  5. Laws by sls1j · · Score: 4, Informative

    The world is about to discover that man made laws cannot override nature.

    1. Re:Laws by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 4, Funny

      The world is about to discover that man made laws cannot override nature.

      Man, you skeptics just kill me. It's 5 degrees cooler today than yesterday - what kind of proof are you looking for?

  6. "Do more, but not anything really effective." by interkin3tic · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ...a report on Thursday found those pledges would see temperature rises significantly overshoot the threshold, with 3C of warming. Environmental groups urged governments to do more.

    Oh, you mean like climate engineering to take positive steps to reduce the temperature and soak up excess carbon already up there and maybe prevent the damage already on track to happen? No?? That's so evil that we shouldn't even consider it?

    How about nuclear energy? That doesn't fart out carbon, and then we can still use, you know, electricity rather than... "Unequivocally no" again? Oh, right, because Chernobyl happened that proves it can't work. I'm sure a similar nuclear disaster now is just as likely and would be much worse than a silly little 3 degree temperature rise.

    So the solution is... wishes, everyone riding around on bikes, and moral superiority? Because it looks to me like we're stuck between a rock and a hard place. The rock of fossil fuel interests keeping us from actually doing anything before it's a crisis, and naive environmentalists groups who rule out actual solutions on the grounds that they might not be completely perfect.

  7. Re: Climate Change Agreement Enters Into Force-NOT by RobotRunAmok · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Actually, Slashdot is becoming anti-religion, much to the Church of Global Warming's ire.

    And by "flushed" don't you mean "burnt at the stake," Parson?

  8. Not so much... by argStyopa · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The "hot air" we should worry about are the empty promises, as always.

    From TFA
    "The carbon emission curbs put forward by countries under Paris are not legally-binding but the framework of the accord, which includes a mechanism for periodically cranking those pledges up, is binding. " ...to which I'd add: while the framework is allegedly 'binding', I can't for the life of me find any consequences for breaking the pledges, so is a "legal framework" meaningful without punishment?

    (Recognizing, of course, that a lack of actual enforcement mechanism is precisely why this 'agreement' exists in the first place...it's just nice words with nothing behind it.)

    --
    -Styopa
  9. No legal force = no ratification needed by sjbe · · Score: 3, Informative

    The Executive Agreement is an end-run around the Constitutional requirement for Senate approval for treaties. It's a violation of the Constitution that a compliant Supreme Court agreed to.

    How do you figure? Executive agreements do not legally bind the US to anything. Basically they are figuratively handshake deals with no consequences for reneging. As long as nothing in the agreement requires an act of Congress or is legally binding to the country the president is under no obligation to consult Congress about the agreement. If Congress has an issue with the agreement they are able to pass legislation forbidding the president from performing to meet the agreement.

    1. Re:No legal force = no ratification needed by HBI · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I wish I could say that was true. But, I want to make clear to you the training that federal employees receive in terms of law: They are told there are four types of law: statute law, case law, treaties, and executive agreements.

      There is no distinction made at all, except for the primacy of treaties and executive agreements. So, whatever the actual status (and the Supreme Court made some decision back in the 70s validating Executive Agreements), the people working for the government think they are law.

      --
      HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
    2. Re:No legal force = no ratification needed by HBI · · Score: 2

      No, but i'm making clear the fact that for 95% of the federal government, this IS the law. Regardless of what we might think about Senate ratification. I personally think the whole idea is wrong, that all foreign agreements should have to get past the Senate, but there you are.

      --
      HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
    3. Re:No legal force = no ratification needed by fred6666 · · Score: 2

      How do you figure? Executive agreements do not legally bind the US to anything. Basically they are figuratively handshake deals with no consequences for reneging.

      That's exactly what the agreement is about in all countries. The agreement is politically binding, not legally binding anywhere. What did you expect? Who would you sue if the 2 Celsius target is not respected? Because that's what is in the agreement. Nothing more. The agreement has nothing to do with the law, therefore saying it is not legally binding in the US is moot.

  10. Yes to nukes, say climate scientists by XXongo · · Score: 5, Interesting

    How about nuclear energy? That doesn't fart out carbon, and then we can still use, you know, electricity rather than... "Unequivocally no" again?

    Actually, environmentalists are very split on this. Some still are anti-nuke, but a large number of enviornmentalists actually do endorse nuclear power because it doesn't emit carbon dioxide. That group notably includes James Hansen, the climate scientist that the deniers most love to hate.

    Some links:

    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/nuclear-power-must-make-a-comeback-for-climate-s-sake/
    http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/189068-climate-scientists-to-green-activists-embrace-nuke-power
    https://cna.ca/news/prominent-environmentalists-embrace-nuclear/
    http://www.ucsusa.org/nuclear-power/nuclear-power-and-global-warming#.WBynCeErLOQ
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/dec/03/nuclear-power-paves-the-only-viable-path-forward-on-climate-change

    1. Re:Yes to nukes, say climate scientists by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 2

      How about nuclear energy? That doesn't fart out carbon, and then we can still use, you know, electricity rather than... "Unequivocally no" again?

      Actually, environmentalists are very split on this.

      No, they're actually not. Actual environmentalists (people who actually care about the environment) are 100% pro-nuclear power. 100%.

      Leftist kooks who use faux "environmentalism" as their weapon to push their anti-human agenda on the world tend to be anti-nuke. But they're not actually environmentalists (if they were, they would be pro-nuke).

    2. Re:Yes to nukes, say climate scientists by interkin3tic · · Score: 2
      Those appear to be people who would label themselves scientists rather than environmentalists first and foremost, and individual environmentalists.

      Environmental organizations still seem categorically opposed to nuclear power. The Sierra club is, if I'm not mistaken, the biggest and most influential environmentalist group (at least in the US), and their stance, as I linked to, is:

      Nuclear is no solution to Climate Change and every dollar spent on nuclear is one less dollar spent on truly safe, affordable and renewable energy sources.

      They're not only opposed to it, they discount it as a solution (despite it factually BEING a solution and the most affordable option), and present an idiotic false dichotomy about it being mutually exclusive with their preferred solutions.

      I have environmentalist sympathies, but this must be how reasonable gun rights activists feel about some of the shit the NRA pulls.

  11. People are SO naive by Danathar · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I'm sorry, I totally believe that man is contributing to climate change but this story is so rosy eyed its downright dumb. We have NOT made progress. It's going to cost trillions and trillions of dollars to get where people want to go and not billions. The idea that major powers will voluntarily give up percentage points of GDP to reach even the low percentages of what scientists THINK will be needed is naive. Politicians that crave power and have made it are not dumb. They know this full well which is why I'm suspicious that these agreements are nothing more than power grabs to screw us all over. If it was a SERIOUS agreement that was ENFORCEABLE I'd think less so, but this one? Please! A carbon tax that effectively got what they wanted would drive up the cost of electricity in places like the UK by 50-75%. That's the sort of numbers that politics will now allow. Attempting to Modify human behavior is not going to solve this problem. Technology is the only way out.

  12. Re: Climate Change Agreement Enters Into Force-NOT by kenh · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Who else would vote for a lying, racist, narcissist and egomaniac piece of shit dimwit as the Donald.

    Anyone that has the ability to do any critical thinking... Aside from her (claimed) lady-parts, her second claim to be the next president are, in no particular order:

      - It's her turn
      - She's not Trump

    --
    Ken
  13. Re:Paris Climate Change Agreement Enters Into Forc by HornWumpus · · Score: 2

    Right: It's either a treaty and not ratified or an executive agreement and has no authority.

    In any case: it's meaningless toilet paper.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  14. Nothing new here by sjbe · · Score: 2

    I read that Wikipedia page, and I think you should be careful with using the term "legally binding" as it seems to have a very specific meaning.

    Yes it does have a specific meaning and I'm quite confident lawyers have been pouring carefully over that very fact. This is not some novel legal construct we are talking about here. Executive agreements have been used quite often in the past.

  15. It doesn't need to be ratified. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    https://www.nrdc.org/experts/david-doniger/paris-climate-agreement-explained-does-congress-need-sign

    TL;DR everything in the paris agreement is already covered by a UN climate change framework that was ratified by the Senate.

  16. Re:Depends on how you define "obligation" by CaptainLard · · Score: 2

    Good point, why even set goals at all? We landed people on the moon because all those scientists and engineers were afraid of getting thrown in jail if we didn't, right?

  17. Well its about time. by jimbob6 · · Score: 2

    Oh good. We have now stopped global warming and all it took was an executive order.
    Take that science.

  18. Re: Climate Change Agreement Enters Into Force-NOT by HornWumpus · · Score: 3, Informative

    All the models include a CO2/Water vapor positive feedback coefficient.

    By adjusting that single number you can get the model to tell you anything you want it to tell you.

    CO2 is a minor greenhouse gas (in terms of what's in the atmosphere) Water vapor is by far the largest greenhouse gas. If the increase in temperature caused by CO2 results in a large increase in atmospheric water vapor CO2 induced global warming will be bad, if the increase in temperature caused by CO2 result is a large increase in cloud cover (lowering the earth's albedo) global warming is a non-issue.

    Climate 'scientists' early in this process, having more enthusiasm than knowledge, selected a very high feedback coefficient. The first exhale would have led to runaway global warming and earth being venus. They defended it until the laughter got them to reconsider. We are now supposed to take their words for the newer model versions.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  19. Re:Paris Climate Change Agreement Enters Into Forc by JimSadler · · Score: 2

    And just how can any system be allowed to exist that does not take action to eliminate a threat to human lives? Global warming is not a matter of opinion. It is a blatantly obvious reality. And yes we can all expect some pain and suffering to take place in order to reverse global warming. I am 72 years old and the ruin and destruction of the environment world wide is disgusting, in my lifetime alone. The most vital step is an absolute lock of birth control. No matter what science does for us the more people was have the worse things will get. A nation with half as many people will have half as much pollution. If you want more, healthy fish in our oceans reduce the amount of fishing by 50%. If you want better air dedicate a lot more land to forestry. That means land use for habitation and agriculture must be reduced which means we can feed and house less people. One child to one female for life without exceptions will lower our population density rather quickly. And to stop over use of our crop lands make it illegal to export any food crops or crops like cotton or tobacco. Less fertilizer, less run off, less pesticides, all from simply banning the concept of exporting any food at all.