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Are Tesla Crashes Balanced Out By The Lives That They Save? (eetimes.com)

Friday EE Times shared the story of a Tesla crash that occurred during a test drive. "The salesperson suggested that my friend not brake, letting the system do the work. It didn't..." One Oregon news site even argues autopiloted Tesla's may actually have a higher crash rate.

But there's also been stories about Teslas that have saved lives -- like the grateful driver whose Model S slammed on the brakes to prevent a collision with a pedestrian, and another man whose Tesla drove him 20 miles to a hospital after he'd suddenly experienced a pulmonary embolism. (Slate wrote a story about the incident titled "Code is My Co-Pilot".) Now an anonymous Slashdot reader asks: How many successes has the autopilot had in saving life and reducing damage to property? What is the ratio of these successes to the very public failures?
I'd be curious to hear what Slashdot readers think. If you add it all up, are self-driving cars keeping us safer -- or just making us drive more recklessly?

12 of 198 comments (clear)

  1. Opinions are worthless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'd be curious to hear what Slashdot readers think. If you add it all up, are self-driving cars keeping us safer -- or just making us drive more recklessly?

    Who cares what Slashdot readers think? This isn't something where opinions or anecdotes matter. Do (or read) a study, collect data. Then you'll have an answer.

    1. Re:Opinions are worthless by haruchai · · Score: 4, Insightful

      like the grateful driver whose Model S slammed on the brakes to prevent a collision with a pedestrian

      There are other cars equipped with lane-keeping technology and automatic emergency braking. However the makers of these cars don't pretend that they are a completely autonomous car.

      Some day we will get there sure, but the "Auto-Pilot" technology in Tesla is no more advanced than what's available in other manufacturer's products.

      It is. It routinely performs better than the competition in testing by car reviewers. But it isn't good enough - yet - and I don't know when it'll be.
      My personal opinion is that if I'm buying a $100k performance car, I'M DRIVING, not some autistic software robot.
      But I know one day I'll be too old to care & technology will be good enough - but not today & not soon.
      Elon clearly disagrees but I worry that the software quality & testing isn't rigorous enough and legislators may crack down, which may be a good thing.

      And George Hotz is dangerously smart - and recklessly stupid.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    2. Re:Opinions are worthless by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem with Auto Pilot is that it ignores human nature. It makes two classic engineering mistakes:

      1. Assume the user is paying attention
      2. Assume the user is the ultimate failsafe device

      If either of those assumptions held we wouldn't have the problems we do with malware or social engineering scams or any number of other things. Yet they are assumptions that engineers keep making, because that last 1%, the corner cases that the machine can't handle, are really hard to deal with programatically, and really easy for an alert and informed human.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:Opinions are worthless by TheRaven64 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Adaptive cruise control doesn't do much to take your attention away. You're still focussing on keeping the car in the lane, for example, so you'll notice if the car in front does something dangerous. When you add in lane following, the car is basically driving itself. If your attention wanders, nothing bad happens. Most of the time. Until you're in an unusual situation, and then it's suddenly very bad because you now have the added delay of having to switch your attention back to driving, which adds at least another half second to your response time. At 70mph, that's another 16 metres before you start to react.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  2. Why examine the tradeoff? by Black+Parrot · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Demand something that's a plus on both sides. Anything else is defective.

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    1. Re:Why examine the tradeoff? by silentcoder · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So what you are saying is... that according to you the only morally acceptable kind of car company is one that doesn't make cars.

      Well I'm sure the very, very, very far extreme fringes of the environmental movement will agree with you - that is if you go live with them in their hippie communes in the woods - but the rest of the world will probably collapse if we tried that. Better to try and build greener and progressively safer cars. There are times when you can and should demand perfection - but this is one of those cases where perfection will never exist, so you can and should demand improvement, which is exactly what Tesla is doing.
      Bad things happening sometimes does not mean it isn't improvement. It just means it's not perfection.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
  3. Re: Could we save other lives with autopilot? by saloomy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What people think makes no difference. In fact, I think how many lives are saved vs. lost makes no difference. No body, not Tesla, not government regulatory bodies, not programmers, no one is claming the software is perfect. Some people are claiming it saves lives in aggregate vs human miles driven, but only data can tell us that. And even then, it determines on how you look at things. Do they save lives vs the average vehicle? How about lives vs other vehicles in the same price range, or vs other autonomous vehicles. Or even vehicles in similar weather conditions, etc... etc...
    What really matters is how much potential there is for improvement. The chips these systems run on will follow a Moore's law trajectory, and the amount of data these vehicles learn from each other with every mile is even more insane. We can not possibly make human drivers 2X, 4X, or 10X better, but we can make these systems that much better. All it takes is learning with data, with next gen sensors, with better networking tech, better algorithms derived from it all, and lastly, better vehicle coordination from infrastructure. In 20 years, the answer to this question will become painfully obvious. We just have to let the technology carry us there, and listen to everyone on the way: be vigilant when the system is in use today. Be aware of what your vehicle is doing. You are still responsible.

  4. Re:Does Tesla actually make a profit? by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Without being subsidized would GM or Chrysler have been viable companies?

  5. Even as a Tesla critic, absolutely yes they are by macsimcon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A few score may die now to save hundreds of thousands later. Have you driven on the freeways of America lately? People drift into your lane, they don't stay centered in their own lane. Drivers are looking at their phones while they're driving, no matter what the laws say. People are NOT as qualified to drive a car as a computer which checks its sensors hundreds of times per second.

    Autonomous cars are the future, and Tesla is pushing that forward. There are going to be mistakes in the beginning, and people will die and be injured.

    Driving is dangerous, but we don't outlaw cars because their utility outweighs the risk. Same here.

    1. Re:Even as a Tesla critic, absolutely yes they are by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Driving is dangerous,

      Is it? I drive a fair bit, and sure it's more risky than lying on your couch, but not by much. I think the word 'danger' gets over-exaggerated these days considering how safe just about everything is relative to even 50 years ago.

      Umm, yes, driving IS dangerous -- it's basically one of the most dangerous things people do. "Unintentional injury" is the leading cause of death in people age 1-44 (and the third highest after cancer and heart disease in people aged 45-64), according to CDC stats.

      And of those causes classified as "unintentional injury" again according to the CDC, motor vehicle accidents are either the LEADING or second-highest cause of death for all of those age groups.

      Bottom line -- being involved with cars (either as driver, passenger, or as a pedestrian around cars) is basically the MOST dangerous single activity people deliberately choose to do on a regular basis.

  6. Obsession by shaitand · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You don't see a news story every time a Mazda is crashed during a test drive. Stop giving clicks to this drivel.

  7. Things that don't happen rarely get press coverage by jfdavis668 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It would be hard to determine what it prevented when no one is reporting it. Some of the drivers may not have even been aware of the incident the car avoided.