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Elon Musk: Tesla's Solar Roof Will Cost Less Than a Traditional Roof (bloomberg.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Bloomberg: After Tesla shareholders approved the acquisition of SolarCity, the new company is now an unequivocal sun-to-vehicle energy firm. And Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk didn't take long to make his first big announcement as head of this new enterprise. Minutes after shareholders approved the deal -- about 85 percent of them voted yes -- Musk told the crowd that he had just returned from a meeting with his new solar engineering team. Tesla's new solar roof product, he proclaimed, will actually cost less to manufacture and install than a traditional roof -- even before savings from the power bill. "Electricity," Musk said, "is just a bonus." If Musk's claims prove true, this could be a real turning point in the evolution of solar power. The rooftop shingles he unveiled just a few weeks ago are something to behold: They're made of textured glass and are virtually indistinguishable from high-end roofing products. They also transform light into power for your home and your electric car. "So the basic proposition will be: Would you like a roof that looks better than a normal roof, lasts twice as long, costs less and -- by the way -- generates electricity?" Musk said. "Why would you get anything else?" Much of the cost savings Musk is anticipating comes from shipping the materials. Traditional roofing materials are brittle, heavy, and bulky. Shipping costs are high, as is the quantity lost to breakage. The new tempered-glass roof tiles, engineered in Tesla's new automotive and solar glass division, weigh as little as a fifth of current products and are considerably easier to ship, Musk said.

52 of 428 comments (clear)

  1. I'll wait for a third party review... by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If Musk is correct then... Great! Sign me up!

    I think I'll wait for a variety of third party reviews before I get too eager though. Of course Musk is going to cheer his own product, but lets see if experts agree with him and if the price really is lower when it really hits the market.

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    1. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Agreed, I still want to find out how this product works in places like Warren Ohio, Joplin, Missouri, Greensburg Kanasas (Most Damaging Tornadoes I can think of off the top of my head) Where tornadoes while not "common" also aren't "rare" and as such roofs need to be able to sustain pre-tornado weather (including hail) at least a few times a year. (to be reliable)

      That doesn't even include Cold Weather testing (which those 3 above also face to varying degrees), extreme summer heat, and snow dead weight (weight of snow/ice on roof) capacities, etc....

      and that isn't even including any PV testing... like... Ohh how about a minor heating element that can be turned on in the winter to help de-ice/snow roofs... so as to be able to go back to collecting solar (because "normally"(ignoring temps going up) you can get a lot of snow quickly and then days and days of 'sunny but still cold' where roofs are still snow covered. So... a heating element like this would use battery/etc. power for a short time, but then allow PV collection again... ohh and.... yeah... the list goes on...)

      Also... I would want to know if I can buy it in small quantities to put it on small sheds, etc... where a LED light and maybe more would be great add ons... because the "issue" with solar roof that I've been told is that you can't just buy the panels from them... you have to get EVERYTHING including installation from them... and a lot of people HAVE to do the lease option... (b/c they (IMHO) buy grid-tie in systems which makes them susceptible to lower power company regulations...) (I'd be glad to know if I'm wrong on any of Solar City's practices...but still the same issues apply)

    2. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Agreed, I still want to find out how this product works in places like Warren Ohio, Joplin, Missouri, Greensburg Kanasas (Most Damaging Tornadoes I can think of off the top of my head) Where tornadoes while not "common" also aren't "rare" and as such roofs need to be able to sustain pre-tornado weather (including hail) at least a few times a year.

      Traditional shingles set a very very low bar.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    3. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by troon · · Score: 4, Informative

      "Ohh how about a minor heating element that can be turned on in the winter to help de-ice/snow roofs"

      It has this.

      --
      Ydco co ,df C erb-y go. a Ekrpat t.fxrapev
    4. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by MachineShedFred · · Score: 5, Informative

      They've shown video of dropping calibrated weights on 3 other roofing materials as well as this new product, and the other 3 failed (read: shattered) where this solar shingle thing did not. They claim it is almost as strong as steel.

      There is a version that has electric resistive warmers in it for melting snow - remember that SolarCity installs panels in New York, Vermont, and Pennsylvania, which are no strangers to snow.

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    5. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by slashdice · · Score: 2

      I'm sure he's comparing them to Luis Vitton gold plated shingles.

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    6. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The person asking if it's going to be energy positive has a point - it probably wouldn't be to melt snow in a heavy fall, but if you're melting the bottom layer then hopefully the rest will slide off. You probably need to be quite careful in gutter design to make that work though.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    7. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by MindPrison · · Score: 2

      He did:

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      In fact, if you just play along, you will hear his comment an analysis during the video after a few minutes into the video.

      --
      What this world is coming to - is for you and me to decide.
    8. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by ranton · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Your comment alludes to a more fundamental question of whether home owners could install these shingles themselves. While I would certainly rather pay someone to install a new roof, in the rural area I grew up in that was very rare. Even if you didn't have the skills you had a neighbor who could help. Very few people would "waste their money" paying someone else to do their home maintenance.

      For people more willing to spend their time than money (or who only have excess time not money) the ability to install it yourself is a huge part of the cost function.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    9. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Asphalt wasn't mentioned in the reveal so I doubt they can match price, yet.

      He evidently cherry picked the more expensive "high end" options for comparison, and left out the more common and economical ones. Typical of Musk to gloss over the details. But he's got to hype the product to keep the shareholders at bay for the Solar City acquisition.

      He may be able to sell to the very wealthy in certain locations and make good margins on this product.

    10. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 3, Informative

      From TFS: Tesla's new solar roof product, he proclaimed, will actually cost less to manufacture and install than a traditional roof -- even before savings from the power bill. "Electricity," Musk said, "is just a bonus."

      a traditional 'high end' expensive roof product. Not a common roof product like asphalt or metal.

    11. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by NatasRevol · · Score: 2

      Are you aware of what glass is made of???

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    12. Re: I'll wait for a third party review... by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 2

      A) it you have a loft hatch up into your roofspace,just leave it open and let warmth rising from your living space to help raise the temperature under the roof panels to aid snow melt or

      That's a good recipe for creating an ice dam.

      If you don't want rivers of water bursting out of your ceiling, you'd have to at least augment that plan with those electric heating cables that people install on their eaves to prevent ice dams.

    13. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 2

      If Musk is correct then... Great! Sign me up!

      I think I'll wait for a variety of third party reviews before I get too eager though. Of course Musk is going to cheer his own product, but lets see if experts agree with him and if the price really is lower when it really hits the market.

      I wonder if Musk is assuming a 30% tax subsidy for installation, thereby claiming a lower than actual price?

    14. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by louden+obscure · · Score: 2

      Fiberglas shingles still incorporate asphalt as the waterproofing element.

      --
      Serenity now, insanity later.
    15. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by HornWumpus · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Not going to be that cheap, having a solar cell built in.

      Musk is comparing his roofing to ceramic tile. Not steal shingles, much less asphalt composite shingles (the last is fair, they have shit durability).

      Roofs like ceramic tile and slate (in 2016) are architectural elements, not a type that is chosen economically. This will start in botique construction, I bet you see it on northern exposures at high latitudes (where the solar cells are useless).

      I'm actually curious to see how they do the interconnect. If you need an electrician soldering each tile to a bus, it's a non-starter. I'm sure it's not that fucked up, but if you just have them 'autoattach' when nailed down you could get welding voltages/amperages on the roof while installing. How do they do edges, valleys and ridges (always the tricky parts of roofing). Also curious if he has lower cost inactive but matching tiles for northern exposures.

      Tweaker roofers will just do these jobs at night and continue not sleeping. They will also invent insane contraptions with these, welders, solar vapourizers etc.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    16. Re:I'll wait for a third party review... by HornWumpus · · Score: 2

      Grew up in 'the tundra'. That's exactly it. Insulation contractors drive around after snows looking for customers by finding snow free roofs well before the first bright sunny day. Sure sign of a $500/month+ heating bill.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  2. Lower costs than a traditional roof? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

    Including the PV cells? Excluding the generated electricity benefit? Color me suspicious. I'd really like to see that. Mass-produced conventional solar panels (just the hardware on pallets) are still about twice as expensive as my most recent roof (including installation), per unit of area.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
    1. Re:Lower costs than a traditional roof? by Gilgaron · · Score: 2

      If it really costs less outright then that'd be a game changer, even if you lived at a latitude where the electricity generated would be marginal.

    2. Re:Lower costs than a traditional roof? by jabuzz · · Score: 2

      True but a slate or terracotta roof can last hundreds of years with a bit of maintenance to fix loose tiles. My slate roof is nearly 70 years old now and still going strong. Should easily last another 70 and certainly till I am dead and buried.

  3. California by Orgasmatron · · Score: 4, Informative

    I keep forgetting that there are places in the world that aren't California. Out there, "traditional roofing materials" are asphalt shingles, or sometimes cedar shakes, neither of which is bulky or brittle.

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    See that "Preview" button?
    1. Re:California by jabuzz · · Score: 4, Funny

      So twice as long as slate or terracotta? Heck those solar tiles must be going to last hundreds if not thousands of years. Or is this twice as long as whatever junk is used in the USA which seems to be a lot of asphalt tiles, something which would only be deemed fit for a shed or garage in Europe.

    2. Re:California by Yvan256 · · Score: 4, Funny

      We do NOT build our houses with cheap plywood, sir.

      We build our houses with EXPENSIVE plywood.

    3. Re:California by avandesande · · Score: 2

      Bullshit. Most construction now is done with particle board. I wish it were plywood.....

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    4. Re:California by wyHunter · · Score: 2

      I think mostly it's because Americans cannot afford brick or concrete houses, except for some minimal brick facing.

  4. Yep, it will cost less to manufacture, but... by MindPrison · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...10 times more expensive to buy for the end users.

    When the solar cells dropped in price from the hefty China manufacturing of these, people in Sweden tried to purchase a lot of these, then a heftyn anti-dumping 60% import tax "to protect other producers of panels" where quickly introduced to stop this "green madness", hah...

    But good on him for trying, now if the governments of the worlds would like to dance to that tune, we'd all be in the green, but I can pretty much promise you, the ones earning $$$ on something else won't have it!

    --
    What this world is coming to - is for you and me to decide.
  5. Re:Color Me Skeptical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    It sounds like if you read between the lines (as you always have to do) they are comparing them to high end roofing materials like terra cotta and slate, which cost 20x more than asphalt shingles and are fragile. People who can afford this type of roofing aren't trying to cut their electric bill.

  6. Re:And fart unicorns while saving cancer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Calm down there Mr. Free Bitcoin. If you think Musk "got lucky" by investing in PayPal, "got lucky" again when starting Tesla at just the right time, "got lucky" again by pushing the private space sector again at just the right time, and "got lucky" by building in Solar City to vertically integrate two of his biggest (and most environmentally impactful) industries, then I suppose he is just an insanely lucky man. Taking a step back and looking at the bigger picture, though, one might call him a visionary. Yes, having the right people is critical. Steve Jobs was neither a hardware nor software engineer, he was a visionary.

  7. Re:Color Me Skeptical by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

    They have some impressive impact test videos. Tempered glass is amazingly tough. Now, if you manage to break it, it breaks in its entirity (aka, an entire shingle), usually into little bits. But that break takes a pretty severe impact.

    Time will tell what the total cost is in the real world, of course. My questions are more concerning how fast real-world installs go, aka what the labour costs are like.

    --
    Wingus, Dingus! Listen up!
  8. Re:Doesn't pass the smell test. by GrumpySteen · · Score: 2

    I didn't read TFA

    That's obvious. If you had, you'd have noticed that they're comparing the price to terra cotta and slate roofs, not "impermeable sheats of $SOMETHING", and those materials are bulky, heavy, fragile and expensive.

  9. Cheaper than HIGH END tiles by sjbe · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Tesla's new solar roof product, he proclaimed, will actually cost less to manufacture and install than a traditional roof -- even before savings from the power bill.

    Unlikely that it will be cheaper than an asphalt shingle roof. Not so surprising that it might be cheaper than an (expensive) slate or similar high end tile.

    They're made of textured glass and are virtually indistinguishable from high-end roofing products

    Umm, no. They are not "indistinguishable" from high end roofing products but they are reminiscent of them and appear to be rather attractive looking on their own merits.

  10. Most likely ok by Weaselmancer · · Score: 2

    Your concerns about tornadoes and cold weather and snow loading - these are things off the top of your head that you thought of within 5 minutes of skimming the article. I'm pretty certain the engineers - who spend their entire days working on this project - have thought of all of this.

    That being said though, I'm with you. I would wait for a third party review as well. Let's get some objective pricing and usage data before we get too happy.

    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
  11. Re:Color Me Skeptical by belthize · · Score: 2

    No problem, just reverse the polarity and they'll consume electricity and emit a warm glow and melt off all that snow.

  12. Similar looking non-photovoltaic shingles? by Manhigh · · Score: 4, Interesting

    This seems like a no-brainer, but it also seems silly to put these on north-facing or shaded roofs. It would be nice if there were cheaper, non-PV versions to cover the portions of my roof that aren't going to generate appreciable power. A consistent appearance in the roof, but only pay for the PV where it makes sense.

    I guess maybe having two different versions would potentially make both more expensive.

    --
    "Open the pod by doors, Hal" > "I'm afraid I can't do that, Dave" sudo "Open the pod bay doors, Hal" > alright
    1. Re:Similar looking non-photovoltaic shingles? by haruchai · · Score: 5, Informative

      " It would be nice if there were cheaper, non-PV versions to cover the portions of my roof that aren't going to generate appreciable power"
      Elon said that's exactly what they'll do. Not all the panels will have cells, if not needed

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
  13. Cheaper? by A+Friendly+Troll · · Score: 2

    A single clay roof tile costs the equivalent of $0.5 where I live. It's good for half a century, no problem.

    I have 5 places that produce clay building bricks and clay roof tiles in a radius of 150 km to choose from.

    Transportation is cheap, and even if some tiles/bricks break in transport, they're so cheap that... well, nobody cares if there's a 1% loss in material.

  14. Re:And fart unicorns while saving cancer by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What makes entepreneurs successful is not luck, but taking advantage of it when it presents itself.

    --
    If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
  15. Re:Color Me Skeptical by Rei · · Score: 2

    Re, a rake: Absolutely would not break, unless you put the rake handle-down on a shingle and hit the other end with a sledgehammer. Tempered glass is far too strong for that. Scratching - steel is 4-4,5 on the mohs scale, glass is 5,5. That said, you can still sometimes scratch glass with steel if you concentrate enough force onto a small enough point. Seriously doubt a rake will, however.

    Also, note that it's not like small scratches stop a solar cell from working.

    --
    Wingus, Dingus! Listen up!
  16. Re:Insurance by jabuzz · · Score: 2

    Because like the rest of their houses they are generally not built to last. They use asphalt shingles which is basically cut up flat roofing material. Something that would only be considered for a shed or garage in Europe.

    It's probably a got something to do with the rapid build out of America during colonization. Remember ~40% of housing in the UK was built before the second world war and generally we expect the house we live in to be there long after we are dead and buried which as far as I can make out is not the case in the USA. We go for traditional brick built will stand a couple hundred years at least houses.

  17. Re: Color Me Skeptical by Rei · · Score: 2

    They're complete morons if they've designed a roofing product and haven't conducted freeze-thaw tests. Literally sued-off-the-market level morons. I doubt they could even get it certified as a roofing material if they didn't.

    --
    Wingus, Dingus! Listen up!
  18. Re:Cue the "I hate the environment" trolls by Kaenneth · · Score: 2

    When a photovoltaic cell collects energy from a Photon, is does not absorb the whole photon, it only increases it's wavelength and re-emits it; basically converting regular light into infrared light.

    While the regular light bouncing of a simple white roof could leave the atmosphere, taking it's excess energy with it, the now infrared light gets trapped by the greenhouse effect, heating the atmosphere.

    It's 'free' electricity for the owner, excess heat for everyone else.

  19. Re: Color Me Skeptical by Yvan256 · · Score: 2

    Are you sure? Let me check my windows...

    Yep, still there after decades of winter/summer cycles.

    Carry on.

  20. Re:This is a silly waste of resources. by jabuzz · · Score: 3, Informative

    Take a look at this wikipedia page.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    Pay attention to the picture of the earth with some little black dots on it. That area of the dots is enough to meet the worlds 18TW total energy needs from solar.

    The idea that there is not enough solar energy to meet the worlds total energy needs is just ignorant.

  21. Re:Until... by Matt_Bennett · · Score: 2

    The video test shows the weight hitting dead center, making a clear mark- probably a crack in the tile. In addition, the tile was not held down- it was allowed to bounce up, releasing some of the energy- it wasn't a test representative of reality.. Affixed to the roof, the energy of the dropping object has to go somewhere. Furthermore, in a hailstorm- the hail will be hitting *everywhere* on the tile, not just in the center, but on the edges. I've been through a hailstorm with hail that was easily golf-ball sized. My roof (asphalt shngle) was a total loss, plus my cars all had major damage, including having to replace windshields.

    All that said, I like the idea, and if Tesla is willing to warranty it against hail, I'll sign up./p?

  22. Re:Color Me Skeptical by Rei · · Score: 2

    Also: are rake tines even steel anymore, or are they aluminum (even softer than steel)?

    Also, about the previous comment: tool steels are a lot harder than mild steels and are much easier to scratch glass with. But you'd never make a rake out of a tool steel.

    --
    Wingus, Dingus! Listen up!
  23. Glass by sjbe · · Score: 2

    You don't see that many large glass surfaces around for a pretty good reason...

    You mean except for almost every window on every house and car made? [sarcasm] Yeah barely any glass out there. Who would use glass? [/sarcasm]

    1. Re:Glass by harrkev · · Score: 3, Informative

      You mean except for almost every window on every house and car made? [sarcasm] Yeah barely any glass out there. Who would use glass? [/sarcasm]

      Uhhhh, how much glass is used for horizontal (or horizontal-ish) surfaces? On my house, at least, all exterior glass is completely vertical. When hail arrives, the glass only has to absorb the horizontal component of the force, which is significantly less than the vertical component. Roofing surfaces, however, are much more horizontal than they are vertical, so they will have to absorb more force.

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  24. Solar City sucks by flink · · Score: 2

    I am actually kind of disappointed that Tesla is throwing their lot in with Solar City. Their sales people positively infest all of the Home Depots around here (Boston, MA). They are extremely pushy and act like you are the asshole for wanting to just shop instead of listen to their sales pitch. Any company that employs those kinds of sales tactics doesn't inspire a lot of confidence in me, and I plan to never do business with them. I was planning to consider a Tesla for my next car, but this deal is making me reconsider.

  25. Horizontal glass by sjbe · · Score: 5, Informative

    Uhhhh, how much glass is used for horizontal (or horizontal-ish) surfaces?

    Quite a lot. Open up your refrigerator and chances are you'll see a rather large load bearing glass surface. Look at atriums of commercial buildings with glass roofs. Look at greenhouses. Glass table tops. Check out the sunroofs in cars. There are glass walkways.

    Horizontal glass surfaces are all over the place if you actually bother to look for them.

    1. Re:Horizontal glass by harperska · · Score: 2

      Reading comprehension much back at you. You cherry picked the 2 out of the 6 examples that are indoor only, conveniently ignoring the commercial building atrium roofs, greenhouses, car sunroofs, and glass walkways (which can be indoor or outdoor) that were mentioned.

    2. Re:Horizontal glass by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      Reading comprehension much? I was not talking about interior surfaces

      Wow fail. Most of the examples were exterior surfaces.

      Anyway my entire office building has a glass roof. We've put glass skylights into every house we've owned because they are stronger than plastic and aren't affected by the sun. The greatest weakness of toughened glass is the edges, and my vertical pool fence is all glass without a frame and regularly deflects large hailstones from the corners, as does my car's sunroof which survived a hailstorm that ruined every other panel on the damn thing.

      Speaking of, our solar panels also survived a hailstorm which caused $355million of damage in our city. But I guess all those engineers who design these things don't know as much about how to make tough glass as you do.

  26. Bullet proof glass by sjbe · · Score: 2

    Reading comprehension much? I was not talking about interior surfaces, I was talking about exterior. I will assume that you are genuinely stupid instead of being a troll...

    Do you see a lot of indoor atriums, greenhouses, sunroofs, etc or are you cherry picking to just be a jerk? You seem to be the one lacking in reading comprehension in addition to failing to understand anything about materials science. Glass does not intrinsically equal fragile. It's perfectly possible to design glass surfaces to be quite robust and take a substantial impact.

    In case you still don't get the point, glass can literally be bullet proof if you want it to be. Who is the "genuinely stupid" one now?

    Shingles, on the other hand, could have hail dropped from a very high distance indeed -- enough to reach terminal velocity. Where I live we had a severe hail storm a couple of months ago. A friend of mine is getting insurance to replace his entire roof.

    And that is not a glass roof so what exactly is your point? No practical roofing material is going to be indestructible. Glass tiles can be just as durable as stone ones if not moreso. If you had a clue about materials science you would already know this.