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San Francisco's 58-Story Millennium Tower Seen Sinking From Space (sfgate.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from SFGate: Engineers in San Francisco have tunneled underground to try and understand the sinking of the 58-story Millennium Tower. Now comes an analysis from space. The European Space Agency has released detailed data from satellite imagery that shows the skyscraper in San Francisco's financial district is continuing to sink at a steady rate -- and perhaps faster than previously known. The luxury high-rise that opened its doors in 2009 has been dubbed the Leaning Tower of San Francisco. It has sunk about 16 inches into landfill and is tilting several inches to the northwest. Engineers have estimated the building is sinking at a rate of about 1-inch per year. The Sentinel-1 twin satellites show almost double that rate based on data collected from April 2015 to September 2016. The satellite data shows the Millennium Tower sunk 40 to 45 millimeters -- or 1.6 to 1.8 inches -- over a recent one-year period and almost double that amount -- 70 to 75 mm (2.6 to 2.9 inches) -- over its 17-month observation period, said Petar Marinkovic, founder and chief scientist of PPO Labs which analyzed the satellite's radar imagery for the ESA along with Norway-based research institute Norut. The Sentinel-1 study is not focused on the Millennium Tower but is part of a larger mission by the European Space Agency tracking urban ground movement around the world, and particularly subsidence "hotspots" in Europe, said Pierre Potin, Sentinel-1 mission manager for the ESA. The ESA decided to conduct regular observations of the San Francisco Bay Area, including the Hayward Fault, since it is prone to tectonic movement and earthquakes, said Potin, who is based in Italy. Data from the satellite, which is orbiting about 400 miles (700 kilometers) from the earth's surface, was recorded every 24 days. The building's developer, Millennium Partners, insists the building is safe for occupancy and could withstand an earthquake.

41 of 242 comments (clear)

  1. Define Conundrum by Joviex · · Score: 2, Funny

    Happy or sad that is was not a Trump Tower?

    1. Re:Define Conundrum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Conundrumpf?

    2. Re: Define Conundrum by 110010001000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well he just named a Goldman Sachs guy as Treasury Secretary. But yeah, Goldman Sachs is known for creating jobs and is anti-globalization. He is gonna be getting you a jerb REAL SOON now.

    3. Re:Define Conundrum by Jzanu · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You mean Pence, Indiana governor, reached an agreement with a large employer in his state and offered them special incentives to stay? That is normal politics, and the only reason it was delayed until now was to serve as a talking point and trick idiots like you into giving Trump credit. See, the way this works is large employers know they are valuable and put pressure on state governments, city governments, etc. to get perks like 0% taxes, waving of pollution regulations, zoning exemptions, etc. Usually it hurts the people of the state/city long-term because the firms just make new threats as needed to keep the time-limited perks active, and environmental damage would directly harm workers and their families who do actually live nearby.

    4. Re:Define Conundrum by Enigma2175 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Why not blame Trump for the 1100 jobs he sent to Mexico? Carrier was moving 2100 jobs and they only kept 1000 of them here, so they lost 1100 jobs. We still don't know what incentives Pence gave them for staying, but it's entirely possible that this will be a net loss in revenue for the government. Not that I think this move is necessarily a bad thing, well paying manufacturing jobs are great to have in the country and I'm glad they were able to get them to partially stay but 1000 jobs is really a drop in the bucket for an economy that is adding 180,000 jobs per month. It's a great talking point for the Trump administration but from a practical perspective these one-off efforts aren't going to have a big impact on the economy.

      --

      Enigma

    5. Re: Define Conundrum by Rakarra · · Score: 2

      A "tax break" is a bundle of cash. There's no different between paying X+Y dollars and receiving $Y back as a gift or a bribe or refund or whatever label you want to give it, and only paying X dollars in the first place because you got a tax break of $Y. The $Y from the tax break is going to come from somewhere, because expenditures aren't going down because of it.

      "Tax breaks" that come from deals made between corporations and the government feel like the same sort of "picking winners and losers" that the Republicans were vocal about a few years ago.

  2. "safe and could withstand an earthquake" by ls671 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Millennium Partners, insists the building is safe for occupancy and could withstand an earthquake.

    fine prints: "As long as the earthquake tilts it straight and doesn't make it tilt more in the northwest direction"

    --
    Everything I write is lies, read between the lines.
    1. Re:"safe and could withstand an earthquake" by guises · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No no, there's no condition there: "If the building isn't safe for occupancy, we'll lose a lot of money. Therefore, the building for safe for occupancy. Also earthquakes. Also dragons. Anything you want, safe."

    2. Re:"safe and could withstand an earthquake" by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The building itself might be able to withstand an earthquake, but the ground it's built on might not. In SF, that'd be a concern - especially since the very fact that the building sinks indicates that the ground underneath might be of the type that loses its strength when shaken.

      --
      "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    3. Re:"safe and could withstand an earthquake" by Falconhell · · Score: 2

      I mean, it's not as if San Francisco has burned down, fell over and sunk into the swamp before lad.

    4. Re:"safe and could withstand an earthquake" by Solandri · · Score: 2

      Most of the shaking during an earthquake happens at frequencies which most closely match the resonance frequency of a 3-story building. If you look at pictures buildings damaged in the Loma Prieta and Northridge quakes, you see most of the collapsed buildings were 3- or 4-stories. Those two were quakes which were just on the cusp of being strong enough to collapse buildings (in an area with strict earthquake building codes). It's harder to see this in larger quakes because they have enough energy to collapse buildings outside this height, and subsequent fires (or tsunamis) can wipe out buildings which survived the initial quake.

      A smaller building, like 1-story, has a higher resonance frequency and just gets moved from side-to-side by an earthquake. A larger building like a skyscraper kinda just shimmies in place. It's only the 3-story buildings (and to a lesser extent the 2-story and 4-story buildings) which shake more and more the longer the earthquake goes on, and eventually fall apart. For a large skyscraper, you just have to make the support structures connecting the building to the ground strong enough to withstand this shimmying. Or decouple it entirely from the ground by mounting the building on flexible joints which allow the skyscraper to shake at its lower resonance frequency while the earthquake shakes at a higher frequency. (You can see in the test that the 5-story building has a slightly lower frequency than the input earthquake shaking.)

      The main danger of building on landfill is, as you've alluded, that one section of the land underneath the building will liquefy more than others, causing the building to tilt. Not a problem for a short, broad structure like a warehouse, but a serious danger for a tall structure. If you're building a skyscraper on landfill, you're supposed to dig down deep enough to sink the building's supports into bedrock. That way your skyscraper is essentially built on solid ground, just that its lowest levels are underground surrounded by a bunch of landfill, instead of its lowest levels being the ground floor and basement. That the building is sinking indicates this wasn't done.

    5. Re:"safe and could withstand an earthquake" by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 3, Funny

      Those who insist you cannot build in SF are really just part of the alt-right with their anti-progressive soilist views on the Earth, where not all soils are equal. They need to get a clue from the more enlightened progressives of SF.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  3. The "Mil-Lean-eum" Tower by GerryGilmore · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Gee, let's build a concrete, 58-story tower on top of landfill. No problem!

    1. Re:The "Mil-Lean-eum" Tower by stealth_finger · · Score: 4, Insightful

      the name suits the millennial generation quite well: ambition, arrogance, but wilfully ignorant and/or unaccepting of reality/logic/math.

      If you have a problem with millennials, look to the people who raised them like that.

      --
      Wanna buy a shirt?
      https://www.redbubble.com/people/stealthfinger/shop?asc=u
    2. Re:The "Mil-Lean-eum" Tower by Maritz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Your ignorant, ungenerous characterisation summarises your own neuroses beautifully. We accept the math alright, the math that you own everything because you got in there first, and your determination to vote in a fucked up world before you do the decent thing and die the fuck off. ;)

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    3. Re:The "Mil-Lean-eum" Tower by Maritz · · Score: 2

      It's sort of feminist snow plowing 2.0 from equally moronic liberals.

      Does that mean something?

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    4. Re:The "Mil-Lean-eum" Tower by Zocalo · · Score: 3, Funny

      Of course they are. That's the display department. You'll find the documents located in the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying ‘Beware of the Leopard”, oh, and don't forget to take a flashlight and rope; the lights and stairs are both out.

      --
      UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    5. Re:The "Mil-Lean-eum" Tower by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      the name suits the millennial generation quite well: ambition, arrogance, but wilfully ignorant and/or unaccepting of reality/logic/math.

      If you have a problem with millennials, look to the people who raised them like that.

      And, as a millennial, I do not get this characterization at all. We have so much less than previous generations, and I'd be surprised if we complain more than they did. In addition, it's the older generations' lack of critical thinking that got us into so many messes like the drug war, a bunch of real wars, consolidation of media, and on and on.

    6. Re:The "Mil-Lean-eum" Tower by GLMDesigns · · Score: 2

      It does mean something but I don't really see how it applies here.

      Gender equality social warriors in Sweden (I think) got the bright idea that clearing snow from streets as opposed to sidewalks was a symbol male dominance. To solve the gender inequality clearing sidewalks was to be considered of equal priority to clearing the streets.

      Who knew that this would fv(k things up?

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    7. Re:The "Mil-Lean-eum" Tower by Stinky+Cheese+Man · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Every generation blames their parents for the ills of the world. And your children will blame you.

  4. Trump doesn't really own Trump Tower by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It's mortgaged up to the hilt, if Trump Tower did collapse he'd happily take the insurance and run.

    Most of his businesses are mortgaged up to the hilt and beyond. It's all dodgy as f*** in there, Bernie Madoff numbers.
    http://therealdeal.com/issues_articles/the-8-billion-dollar-man/

    Trump tower had another $100 million mortgage taken out in 2012.
    40 Wall street has $160 million mortgage against it at 5.71 percent interest, those most recent numbers show it generates $6.49 million in profits, to pay a $9.1 million in mortgage payment. i.e. he's not covering his mortgages.

    It's a big mess in there, on the one hand he declared £3.3million from his Scottish golf resort in his election filing papers, but Companies house says he made a £1.1million *loss*.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3832893/Donald-Trump-s-Scottish-golf-courses-lost-9million-year.html

    He borrowed $18 million last year against his Miami golf resort "Trump National Doral", bringing the disclosed borrowing (it might be more) to $125 million (to Deutsch Bank), yet his lawyer says its only worth $75.

    http://therealdeal.com/miami/2016/08/22/trumps-doral-and-jupiter-resorts-tax-bills-under-scrutiny/

  5. Re:CAGW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Not sure if trolling or not. Any building built on something other than bedrock is going to settle. Even a building build on bedrock could move up or down due to seismic activity. The settling is going to happen whether the soil is warmer or not, and most of the soil under a building isn't going to heat up very quickly because the Earth is like a big heat sink. Temperature changes very slowly under ground, and seasonal variations disappear as you go deeper.

    In any event, the lean is a much bigger concern than the sinking. The lean is caused by non-uniform soil, not temperature. Either there's an underground stream they didn't know about, cavities on one side they didn't know about, or other excavations are causing problems as the owners have accused.

    AGW? What's the C for?

  6. Re:CAGW by MSojka · · Score: 4, Funny

    ... until all of SF topples into the bay.

    And there will be much rejoicing.

    In honor of the great Bill Hicks, I propose we name the resulting scenic landscape Arizona Bay.

  7. Developers say it is safe? What about engineers? by wasted · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The building's developer, Millennium Partners, insists the building is safe for occupancy and could withstand an earthquake.

    In this context, I would guess "developer" is used similarly to "business development" which means sales. Personally, I would prefer an engineer to make a safety assessment rather than a developer in the assumed context, but I could be wrong about context. I didn't see Millennium Partners engineering firms on the first page of a Google search, though.

    Maybe they mean safe in a context similar to "perfectly safe" from Zaphod Plays It Safe.

  8. Re:Developers say it is safe? What about engineers by Chrisq · · Score: 2

    Re:Developers say it is safe? What about engineers?

    Don't you think that people have had enough of experts?

  9. Hi from New Zealand by Mistakill · · Score: 3, Interesting

    After the 6.3 earthquake in Christchurch, NZ, 22 February 2011, we can tell you that what you thought was safe, isnt... We had buildings that should have survived the quake, but didnt...

    And then we had a 7.8 in Kaikoura, on November 25 2016...I wouldn't want to be within a mile of this building in an earthquake

  10. Measuring from space by Melkman · · Score: 5, Informative

    Wow, mapping a buildings from space with millimeter accuracy. From an orbit 693km high. That's an accuracy of 1:100,000,000 while flying 24,000 km/h.. Crazy. And then imagine the capabilities of really good US satellites aren't even known because classified.

    The ESA link to this story: http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Observing_the_Earth/Copernicus/Sentinel-1/Satellites_confirm_sinking_of_San_Francisco_tower

  11. Re:SF sinking further into hell by stealth_finger · · Score: 4, Funny

    Almost as if God is punishing them for something....

    Like the rampant drug use, loose morals and homosexuality perhaps?

    Nah, the smug.

    --
    Wanna buy a shirt?
    https://www.redbubble.com/people/stealthfinger/shop?asc=u
  12. Re:Developers say it is safe? What about engineers by stealth_finger · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The building's developer, Millennium Partners, insists the building is safe for occupancy and could withstand an earthquake.

    In this context, I would guess "developer" is used similarly to "business development" which means sales. Personally, I would prefer an engineer to make a safety assessment rather than a developer in the assumed context, but I could be wrong about context. I didn't see Millennium Partners engineering firms on the first page of a Google search, though.

    Maybe they mean safe in a context similar to "perfectly safe" from Zaphod Plays It Safe.

    Look, it's safe until it's not okay, now shut up and get in there.

    --
    Wanna buy a shirt?
    https://www.redbubble.com/people/stealthfinger/shop?asc=u
  13. Measuring from space - Geology is IMPORTANT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The imagery looks like the actual measurements are LiDAR derived.
    Similar levels of accuracy are available from the GPS system when differential GPS is used. More information about GPS here:
    Continuously Operating Reference Station (CORS) http://geodesy.noaa.gov/CORS/

    It is rocket science, however today not surprising. The really hard part of this is that the data is available in near real time. See the Sentinel mission website
    https://sentinel.esa.int/web/sentinel/missions.

    Any time a building incurs settlement like this I wounder if the foundation layer - likely some sort of clay - is a thixotropic material potentially subject to liquefaction when shaken. Reference Jan. 17, 1995 Hyogo-Ken Nanbu Earthquake:Technical Paper on Liquifaction and,Earthquake Impact on Kobe

  14. Re:Pisa tower by PingSpike · · Score: 2

    It is a pisa something that's for sure.

  15. Re:Pisa tower by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 5, Funny

    "When I first came here, this was all a landfill. Everyone said I was daft to build a tower on a landfill, but I built it all the same, just to show them. ..."

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  16. Re:Pisa tower by Yvan256 · · Score: 4, Funny

    "It sank into the landfill. So I built a second one."

  17. Sinking: from the top, or ground? by MrLogic17 · · Score: 2

    I'm sure the experts have thought of this, but don't see an answer: is the 16 inch sinking measured from the top of the tower, or from ground level?

    In other words, does that measurement include settling within the 58 above-ground stories? I would think that a building that large would have some internal compaction over time, independent of the ground beneath it.

    I presume that the ground surrounding the building is deformed downward with the building, otherwise the entrance threshold would have moved markedly compared to the street level. Road crews could probably identify pavement cracks in vaguely concentric rings around the building.

  18. Re:Pisa tower by chrisshaw · · Score: 3, Funny

    That burned down, fell over, then sank into the landfill.

  19. Re:Pisa tower by sinij · · Score: 2

    But the fourth one stayed up. An' that's what your gonna get, lad -- the strongest tower in these islands.

  20. Re:metric by GabeGhearing · · Score: 5, Informative

    It has sunk about 16 inches...

    errr, how many billion dollah landers are you going to smash into Mars before you start using the metric system? this is ridiculous.

    The USA hasn't crashed a Mars rover landing(there have been 4 so far)... I believe every lander Europe and Russia has sent to Mars has crashed https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

  21. He's broke, he has no money to lend by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This is false: "That does not make sense. Businesses are kept separate for a whole slew of legal and tax related reasons."

    No that's not true. He doesn't have money in any of these organizations to lend.

    Berkshire Hathaway is all internal loans. Each company within the group lends spare cash to other companies in the group at market rates, and thus earns the interest charged as profits, instead of that profit going to banks. Warren Buffet buys specifically insurance companies, because they're cash rich and can lend that cash to other companies in the group. Insurance premiums are paid up front, but liabilities on the premiums arrive later. Interest earned is kept within the group, simply returning to the Insurance company as profit. Rather than being paid out to a bank. That's what cash rich companies do.

    http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/03/08/how-warren-buffett-borrows-77-billion-for-free.aspx

    Currently Trump's companies shift revenue around. So investment money for one place, travels through the books as revenue in his other companies. Hence the 160% sudden increase in Miami National Doral revenue, without the corresponding increase in room rate or occupancy on that resort. That property is valued at $96 million, his lawyer says its only worth $75 million, yet it's borrowing is $125 million from Deutsch bank alone. A black hole of $50 million just comparing two different Trump company numbers and noticing the mismatch.

    Same with the loss making Scottish golf resort, which he claims is profitable in the US figures he gave for that UK business, and yet makes a loss in the UK figures filed at companies house. Again two different numbers for the same thing files in two different places.

    All of his businesses are like that. The mature New York buildings which should be debt free by now, are basically bankrupt. e.g. 40 Wall Street has $160 million mortgage, at 5.71 percent, i.e. $9.1 million mortgage and yet makes only $6.49 million profit. It doesn't make enough to service its debt.

  22. I wonder why you can't see it up close. by fredrated · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I just walked by the Tower and expected to see the foundation slab sunk below the level of the sidewalk, but nothing like that is visible, I wonder why?

  23. What happens to the pipes and things underneath? by Loconut1389 · · Score: 2

    There's only so much flex the gas and water and all that can have.. isn't that a gas and/or water disaster waiting to happen?

  24. Re:metric by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 2

    Right. Because of the use of the metric system. If they'd used real (i.e., US) measurements, it would have been fine. You start sticking in weird furrin' measurements and you have problems.

    The problem with the metric system is that it makes the math easy. And anytime the math is easy, you're going to make mistakes. When the math is hard, you double and triple check it to make sure you haven't made some silly mistake.

    (Yes, I'm being facetious.)