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White House Releases Strategy To Defend Against Killer Asteroids (vice.com)
An anonymous reader quotes a report from Motherboard: On December 30, the White House quietly released its Near-Earth Object Preparedness Strategy, a 25-page document outlining the United States' plans in the event that a giant asteroid is found to be on a collision course with Earth. Among the priorities outlined by the strategy are improving Near-Earth Object (NEO) detection, developing methods for deflecting asteroids, and developing interagency emergency procedures in the event of an NEO impact. Given the stakes, it's clear why NASA and the leading US defense and research agencies came together in January 2016 to form the Detecting and Mitigating the Impact of Earth-bound Near-Earth Objects (DAMIEN) working group to address the issues associated with killer asteroids. The DAMIEN group is behind the White House's new NEO strategy, and will be responsible for hashing out the specifics of the plan to save Earthlings from killer asteroids going forward. To assist in the search, the DAMIEN report calls for a space-based observatory dedicated to finding NEOs, which will work in cooperation with ground-based observatories. Since a telescope in space isn't limited by terrestrial weather conditions, it would greatly enhance Spaceguard's search capacity. The only plans currently underway for a space-based NEO telescope are being carried out by the non-profit B612 foundation whose Sentinel telescope was supposed to launch last December, but has been delayed due to difficulties securing the requisite $450 million in funding required for the project. NASA has also been considering the NEOCam, a space-based telescope that has received provisional funding for "detailed refinement." Unfortunately, during the latest round of budgeting for NASA's Discovery program, two other satellites were greenlit instead of NEOCam, but NASA said it would continue the asteroid-hunter's provisional funding, so there is still hope that NASA may go forward with a space-based NEO observatory in the future, especially in light of the recent White House strategy. In tandem, the report also recommends updating the capabilities of ground-based NEO observatories by endowing them with more powerful planetary radars and improved spectroscopy instruments (this would allow for more accurate determinations of the composition of an asteroid). But detection is only half the battle. In the event that an asteroid is found to be on an impact trajectory with Earth, NASA is also thinking about ways to deflect the killer asteroid. Some pretty far-out ideas have been proposed on this front, ranging from nukes in space to giant sun-powered lasers, but the most likely method is simply ramming into the asteroid to change its course. Finally, should all else fail, the report also considers what to do in an impact scenario.
Great, now the damned asteroids know how to evade our defenses! Brilliant!
Killer asteroids are a Chinese conspiracy to make America weak, I know because my national security advisor and Russia Today co-host told me.
OLD PLAN: Send a team of oil workers led by Bruce Willis into space with nukes, and wait until the last possible second before detonating the bombs.
NEW PLAN: Build a space wall around Earth, and make the aliens pay for it.
We could double or triple down by bringing multiple asteroids into orbit. First to mine for minerals. Second as a cheap scaffold for a space station. Third as an earth shield provided that the rockets used to bring it into orbit are powerful enough or have been upgraded so that it can be moved to the right location within 3 weeks. It can absorb energy from the impact and will probably have bombs perfectly set in place to self destruct just in case it's gets deflected at earth.
Very good idea. Having half a dozen large asteroids in orbit along with the multiple uses will make this very practical.
Paul Ryan will hold a press release where he announces that the republicans are against the plan, that this is too massive an expansion of government and the presidential overreach by trying to impose his will on asteroids without any constitutional right to look up at the sky.
In 20 days Trump will either scrap the plan, or keep it, if he keeps it - Ryan will pretend it was his idea all along.
Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
Detection is the major hurdle. If we can detect an earth-crossing asteroid in time, deflecting it is actually pretty easy. The earlier the detection, the less delta-v is needed to make it miss. For the same reason a slight twitch of a rifle makes it miss a target at 100 yards it would still easily hit at 10 yards.
We've sent multiple spacecraft to asteroids in the past - we can hit millimeter wide targets with one-second accuracy halfway across the solar system with our probes and do it all the time. Plus, the US government has squirreled away a few 20 megaton nukes just for this job. We can nudge a rock easy. But FINDING them is hard.
We'll discover a massive killer asteroid and spend a couple of weeks arguing about how to deal with it. Russia will act on its own and launch a couple of nukes which will break it into three smaller killer asteroids. The governments will spend the remaining time at the UN trying to punish Russia for sending the nukes but they keep using their veto.
With hours left for humanity a large two dimensional hollow triangle appears above the planet, shoots the asteroids until they are harmless dust particles, and then pops out of existence.
>> (Nightfall is) an amazing story. I thought I had read everything by Asimov, but I somehow missed that one.
Happy you found it, but how did you miss that story if you've read so much else by Asimov?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nightfall_(Asimov_novelette_and_novel)
"In 1968, the Science Fiction Writers of America voted Nightfall the best science-fiction short story written prior to the 1965 establishment of the Nebula Awards..."
and some would say it launched Asimov's full time career.
In case a 'big' asteroid hits the ocean (70% chance), it 'll create a giant tsunami, and because 100+ of the world Nuclear plants are located close to the oceans ...the indirect long-term after-effects could be devastating.
Yep, just like in Japan in 2011. The tsunami killed around 18,000 people and the nuclear meltdown killed none (well, a couple of workers died in the response and several people died in the evacuation, but none died from radiation). There were massive fires that burned in the debris (both on land and sea) through the night releasing all kinds of nasty shit into the air which further harmed the health of the survivors. Even with all that death and devastation the radiation from the nuclear plant that killed nobody was all anyone could talk about. Yes, it was a massive accident and will cost a shitload of money to clean up and might result in some increased cancer risk down the road (but the most likely cancer, thyroid cancer, is highly treatable) but if your concern is about dying, nuclear plants are not a huge problem. In the kind of event you are talking about (a huge asteroid/comet hitting the ocean causing a tsunami) the major concern is going to be the millions or billions of people dead in the immediate aftermath, not some nuclear plants releasing radioactive material in an area that has already been swept clean of all life. Yes, we should design these plants so that they fail safe and are able to continue to cool themselves without any outside intervention but the actual risk to human health is pretty damn low.
Enigma