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The Doomsday Clock Is Reset: Closest To Midnight Since The 1950s (npr.org)

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists has taken the unprecedented step of moving the Doomsday Clock ahead 30 seconds, taking the world to two-and-a-half-minute to midnight. The scientists said Thursday that several factors weighed heavily in their decision, particularly climate change denial by people in power -- they cited U.S. President Donald Trump -- and talk about more nuclear weapons. From a report on NPR: The setting is the closest the clock has come to midnight since 1953, when scientists moved it to two minutes from midnight after seeing both the U.S. and the Soviet Union test hydrogen bombs. It remained at that mark until 1960. "Make no mistake, this has been a difficult year," Rachel Bronson, executive director and publisher of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, said as the new setting was announced Thursday.

45 of 745 comments (clear)

  1. Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is a meaningless metric. There is no such thing as doomsday. The World is not a clock. You are OK. Breathe out.

    1. Re:Meaningless by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This is a meaningless metric. There is no such thing as doomsday. The World is not a clock. You are OK. Breathe out.

      Although the analogy with a clock may not be entirely accurate since it isn't always moving forwards, the concept of a metric to determine the risk of nuclear mass destruction isn't. (although it can never be very accurate without knowing what's going on inside the governing bodies behind closed doors).

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No, the doomsday clock is very much meaningless. Basically it does nothing except signifies how unhappy the people who run it are with the current political climate.

    3. Re:Meaningless by TWX · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Given that the political climate probably has a lot of bearing on the potential for the use of nuclear weapons, how is this wrong?

      Also, given that chickenhawks tend to push militancy without personal experience in the cost of war, it's not exactly a surprise that when chickenhawks are in power there's concern that war would be more likely, and that war itself would tend to increase the likeihood that nuclear weapons would be used.

      --
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    4. Re:Meaningless by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1, Insightful

      There is no such thing as doomsday

      Well, there is a doomsday but nuclear war would not be it. Yes a lot of humans would die in an all-out nuclear war, maybe even the majority, but it would not wipe out the human species. Not even close.

      Climate change is also not it. Primitive stone age tribesmen millions of years ago survived far worse climate conditions than what climate change believers are projecting.

      Big-ass asteroid would do it. Or a rogue planet. Or a mega volcano like the one that caused the Permian extinction.

    5. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why don't they call it the FUD Ticker 2000?

    6. Re:Meaningless by MachineShedFred · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, except that even Trump's detractors say that he has a better relationship with Russia than Obama ever did. If Trump is Putin's patsy, why would he push the big red button?

      I would think that narrative would cause this clock to back off a bit - either the narrative is complete horseshit, or this newest setting of the clock is total propoganda. Maybe both.

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    7. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because if you read my post I didn't say it was a representation of the current political climate but what a select few people thought about it. It's purely opinion based with little to no fact involved. It's been moved forward because they don't like Trump. That's fundamentally the reason. That's it. No fact. Just opinion. They've tried to support their opinion, but though they worded it as fact, they used nothing but speculation. They didn't base it on change to policy, just based on what they believe his policy will change to. And no, the whole USDA thing isn't a policy change. It's SOP for all administrations. Have the departments not make policy statements until they get a handle on everything going on.

    8. Re:Meaningless by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You do understand civilization requires a bit more than workable stone to maintain itself. Anything that would significantly interfere with the productivity of large swathes of arable land would have catastrophic consequences for many human societies. The idea that just because Neanderthals made a living in the last Ice Age somehow we'll be alright is ludicrous. No one predicts the ends of humans, really, and no one predicts that human civilization will end, but significant alteration of rain patterns that could lead to arable land within national boundaries being rendered less productive, well, that's going to create significant regional political instabilities. If there's one lesson from humanity's past, both recent and prehistoric, is that when food gets scarce, people just don't sit around and die. They get up and move, and if there are other people in their way, well, you'll have some sort of conflict.

      --
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    9. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's been moved forward because they don't like Trump. That's fundamentally the reason. That's it. No fact. Just opinion.

      Seriously. Hillary was openly hostile with Russia, and while I doubt it would have reached the point of increased risk of nuclear war, Russia still has real nukes, so you never know. Trump on the other hand is, if anything, too friendly with Russia.

      And, sorry, but I just can't see climate change as some world-ending event. Maybe because I grew up Fearing The Bomb, but temperatures going up a few degrees and water levels rising a bit just doesn't provoke the same emotional reaction as global thermonuclear war.

      --
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    10. Re:Meaningless by x0ra · · Score: 5, Insightful

      people you disagree with != internet troll

    11. Re:Meaningless by Junta · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Because it's not based in data, just subjective opinion. It's a subjective opinion that I happen to share, but I can't pretend for a moment that I can quantify real imminent risk to humanity as an objective measure.

      It's an appeal to authority that isn't very well baked.

      --
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    12. Re:Meaningless by rahvin112 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You may not be smart enough to realize this but China is a nuclear power with ICBM's just like Russia and threatening to attack China's artificial islands in the south china sea is not a way to prevent hostilities that could quickly escalate to a nuclear exchange.

    13. Re:Meaningless by sinij · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No, the doomsday clock is very much meaningless. Basically it does nothing except signifies how unhappy the people who run it are with the current political climate.

      I have to agree with the above after reading: "The setting is the closest the clock has come to midnight since 1953".

      Really? We are now in more danger of all-out nuclear war than during Cuban Missile Crisis?

    14. Re:Meaningless by jwhyche · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Totally agree with you. Those of us that grew up under the constant pressure of instant annihilation from nuclear attack just don't get worked up over climate change that much.

      But anyway this is what I don't under stand. So many liberals that I know are losing their shit that Trump is openly talking to Russia. Russia has many nukes and a delivery system that will work and will reach us. Why would you not want to have a open dialog with Russia? Seems insane to not have it.

      When we didn't have a open dialog with Russia in the 1960's we almost exterminated ourselves. We WANT to have a dialog with our "enemy." I would much better have a war of words than a war of nukes.

      --
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    15. Re:Meaningless by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Russia disliked Clinton but she was competent and her presidency would not have resulted in a u.s./russia nuclear war.

      On the other hand President Trump just lost all the senior state department officials.
      President Trump is a huge narcissist and most of his cabinet choices are not chosen for competency.

      President Trump is emotionally erratic, rash and impulsive.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    16. Re:Meaningless by PoopJuggler · · Score: 3, Insightful

      just doesn't provoke the same emotional reaction as global thermonuclear war.

      That doesn't make it any less real. The people on the Titanic didn't see icebergs as some boat-ending event. Until it happened.

    17. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There's no scenario in which climate change is going to reduce the overall ability of the planet to support life, including human life. We know what a warm Earth looks like, and it's far more dense with life than the current Quaternary Ice Age.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    18. Re:Meaningless by jwhyche · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Russia disliked Clinton but she was competent

      I'm sorry but you lost your argument here. How can you call Clinton "competent?" She was the media and the Whitehouse chosen successor to Obama. She all but had the election in the bag, but she managed it so badly the lost to Bozo the Clown."

      For god sakes she was running a mail server out of her closet for state business. This woman was far from competent.

      --
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    19. Re:Meaningless by elrous0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      They moved it forward several minutes when Reagan got elected to. In reality, not only did he not start a nuclear war but he ultimately ushered in the age of Perestroika and an end to the Cold War.

      The Doomsday Clock is nothing more than a liberal masturbation device. It's the liberal equivalent of a right-wing bible-thumper holding up a sign with "WE'RE DOOMED!" on it above some biblical quote about men laying with other men.

      --
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    20. Re:Meaningless by CylanR77 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's all just opinion, you just agree with them so you don't see it.

      the global security landscape darkened

      darkened is opinionated, non-factual language.

      the international community failed to come effectively to grips with humanity's most pressing existential threats

      Also opinion - what threats specifically? How did they fail to effectively "grip" the threats? Why are they humanity's most pressing threats?

      This already-threatening world situation

      How was it threatening? To whom?

      a rise in strident nationalism

      Implicating that nationalism is a negative political motivation, with no basis in fact whatsoever.

      Donald Trump, made disturbing comments

      More colored and decidedly non-factual language. No rationale as to how his actually rather insightful comments merit both being described in negative terms and how they advance "the world" towards war, nuclear or otherwise.

      --
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    21. Re: Meaningless by cyber-vandal · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Our current civilisation is based around growing food in the current climate. If that changes dramatically before we can find new food sources the consequences will be devastating. Some humans will no doubt survive but how well will our civilization cope with such a shock.

    22. Re:Meaningless by dywolf · · Score: 3, Insightful

      nothing to do with elitists, propaganda, or the globalist agenda.

      Obama openly talked and campaigned on drawing back from conflicts that Bush had gotten us into, and resisting efforts of conservatives to advance into all out conflict against islam in all corners.
      Hence, moving it back.

      Meanwhile Trump has openly wondered why we don't use nukes more often, thinks nuclear war is winnable, called for increasing our stockpile, and advocated for Japan and Korea getting their own.
      And you're f'ing surprised they move the Doomsday Clock forward some?!?!

      also, as long as we're dispelling the BS propgranda...we should address the other s*** you're peddling:: no he didn't give Iran a path to nuclear weapon, and why is it conservatives all of a sudden want to buddy up with repeated human rights violator putin after years of calling Obama weak for trying not to tick him off?

      --
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    23. Re:Meaningless by pastafazou · · Score: 1, Insightful

      It's a fact that Trump is an unhinged leader?
      Definition of unhinged: mentally unbalanced, deranged.
      Please provide citations to verify this claim. Psychological assessments, previous public safety employment tests, or neuropsychological tests indicating he's deranged would be acceptable proof of this claim. Otherwise it's just your opinion.

    24. Re:Meaningless by Mab_Mass · · Score: 3, Insightful

      temperatures going up a few degrees and water levels rising a bit

      Sure, if you frame the issue that way, how bad could it be?

      Here's another way of thinking about it. Picture in your mind the difficulties involved in the number of refugees currently fleeing into Europe from wars in the Middle East. Now, picture the population of Bangladesh being displaced by rising seas.

    25. Re:Meaningless by bfpierce · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Maybe delusional is a better word.

      If you can't figure that out in the first week of press releases and twitter happenings you're a fucking brainless puppet.

    26. Re:Meaningless by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1, Insightful

      It's a fact that Donald Trump has said some scary stupid shit about nuclear weapons. It's not just speculation to reason that the President of the US might act in accordance with his stated positions.

      Right. On the other hand, his predecessor helping Iran get closer to nuclear capabilities didn't move the clock.

      Odd, isn't it?

    27. Re:Meaningless by Ogive17 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I'm all for improved communications however his insistence in "alternative facts" is what really pisses me off.

      Trump thinks water boarding works, despite many in the intelligence community that deem it unreliable. I think he should be water boarded to see if he finally starts speaking the truth.

      --
      "Action without philosophy is a lethal weapon; philosophy without action is worthless."
    28. Re: Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It won't change so very fast that current farmland becomes unusable in 1 season. Viable areas for farmland will simply move (mostly move towards the poles) gradually over the years. If we were still primitive, that could be disastrous, but we're not. Clearing farmland, fertilizer, and so on just aren't that hard. And shipping food is a very well solved problem.

      --
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    29. Re:Meaningless by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I don't think that's the cause.

      First, let me agree that The Doomsday clock is just the opinion of one group of people. They are reasonably intelligent but they have their own bias.

      But...

      Mr Trump displayed a very casual attitude towards nuclear weapons ... that *is* a reason to adjust the clock.

      He displayed a very casual attitude towards nuclear proliferation... another reason to adjust the clock.

      He has an incredibly thin skin and is also extremely vindictive. Having a president with those traits raises the risks of a nuclear war by any standard.

      Mr. Trump showed incredible ignorance in the debates. This will lead him into embarrassing situations. And for embarassing situations-- see the thin skin point.

      Mr. Trump has shown incredible incompetence as president elect. He has 4,000 employees to hire. He didn't even do basic vetting on his nominees. He sent his nominee's late. He is way behind and likely to hire unqualified candidates. Based on his cabinet picks-- probably about 3/4 of the people he hires for the minor positions won't be competent.

      He's a real estate guy who thinks running a government for 330 million citizen's is easy.

      Mr Trump is a perfect example of the Dunning-Kruger effect. And since he's picking wildly unqualified cabinet nominees for about 75% of his cabinet, they ALSO suffer from Dunning-Kruger. He is so ignorant, he doesn't realize how ignorant he is. I'm not saying he's stupid. Ignorant means you don't know- not that you can't know. But he's not applying himself.

      And he's about to set off a trade war with the country that guards our southern border who we sell 236 $billion dollars a year of product too and who we buy many prebuilt parts for our major industries from (because labor is cheaper in mexico). You know a major cause of world wars? Financial crisis and economic depression. You could trace a direct line from Smoot-Hawley to world war 2- our only nuclear war so far.

      Stop cheering simply because you are on Mr. Trump's "team" and reengage your brains. He won. You can think again. Please start.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    30. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      I enjoy how people take Donald seriously when he says shit about nuclear weapons, and don't take him seriously for much else.

      Are you guys ever consistent in your thought processes? Or do you just make shit up and troll people for fun like Trump?

      And fuck this doomsday clock. It is complete bullshit and everyone who has a brain knows it. The world is not close to ending, civilization is not close to collapse, climate change is not going to seriously effect people for a long time, and no one plans to use nuclear weapons.

      Jesus, I thought neocons were dumb assholes, but the progressive left are the biggest fucking blowhards and doomsayers. They're both anti science unless it's useful to push their ideology.

  2. Not doomsday by neonv · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Climate change is not doomsday nor does it in any way compare to nuclear holocaust. It is a different climate, one in which humans and life can continue to prosper. Comparing that to total destruction of half of the world while the half would have to live in nuclear fallout for thousands of year is just a joke.

    1. Re:Not doomsday by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Climate change changes resource availability. Particularly water. If areas that once had water no longer have water that will put stress on their economy potentially making them less politically stable.

      If natural disasters increase linked to climate change, certain seas may no longer be feasible to collect oil from. Perhaps flooding from rising sea levels will cause areas to be evacuated causing widespread homelessness and unrest.

      Climate change has upset the status quo many times over history. Encouraging the Vikings to leave Scandinavia and invade Europe. The mass migrations of populations throughout Europe, the so called "barbarian invasion" of Rome. Dynasties have been overturned in China with links to climate change, or natural disasters.

      Climate change whether man made or natural always upsets the status quo... but now we have nuclear weapons.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:Not doomsday by dpilot · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The US military recognizes that global warming puts stress on people and governments. Human life can prosper with a changed climate, but it can't always continue in-place. People may have to move, because their current habitation may no longer be habitable. If that movement requires crossing national borders, it becomes an international incident.

      That's why global warming advances the Doomsday Clock - its side-effects on national sovereignty and politics.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    3. Re:Not doomsday by ooloorie · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This was embarrassing.

      The Mexican president canceling a meeting in a huff? Not so much.

    4. Re:Not doomsday by lgw · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's funny that people making this argument are generally also happy to increase the overwhelming burden of debt we pass to our grandchildren. It's a consistent view though: everything is just another reason to increase government power, from forcing action on climate change to increasing spending, it's all good.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  3. more disguised opinion by micahraleigh · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I find it rich how scientists masquerade their opinions as facts. If the facts are so important, why don't you present facts?

    Same thing goes for the stealth editorialists in the media, prostitutes who look down on prostitutes because they're prostitutes, etc.

    Happy is the man who walks a straight path.

    1. Re:more disguised opinion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If the facts are so important, why don't you present facts?

      We do, we present facts on a regular basis. That's our job.

      Problem is, the regular person doesn't spend much time reading academic journals. They'd rather get their news from Facebook or Twitter. So we've created these sensationalist measures to call attention and stir debate on the real facts that otherwise might go unnoticed by the general population.

  4. Re:"Science" by Empiric · · Score: 1, Insightful

    If it is being presented by the "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists", and they aren't claiming it's science, it needs a disclaimer.

    Which won't be happening.

    --
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  5. Fails The Sniff Test by totallyarb · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is a *Doomsday* clock, yes? As in, something that measures how close we potentially are to Doomsday - that is, an event that leads to the total extinction of the human race.

    Can anyone - anyone! - say with a straight face that we are closer to that scenario right now than we were, say, at the height of the Cold War? That was a period when two nuclear superpowers were genuinely considering launching thousands of nuclear warheads at each other; where one bad day might literally end the species.

    I don't disagree with the assessment that the world has become less stable recently. I think the prospect of some rogue dictator or terrorist group setting off a nuclear bomb is high and increasing. However, the retaliatory aspect is missing: If Russia had nuked New York, America would have levelled Russia in response. One nuke would have lead to thousands. But if, say, ISIS nukes New York... what target is there to hit back at? Any response would almost certainly be in the form of conventional weapons. There would be chaos and war, sure, but not outright extinction.

    The truth is, we are waaaaay further away from Doomsday than we were in the '60s.

    --
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    1. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by rhazz · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But if, say, ISIS nukes New York... what target is there to hit back at?

      With Trump in control, I would bet he'd nuke most of the middle east: "Muslims did it. Even the ones that didn't do it, well they did nothing to stop it, and that's just as bad." Today there is no immediate catastrophe looming over our heads, but if something happens, who doesn't think that having Trump in charge dramatically increases the likelihood of a drastic military response?

      Let's say next month, North Korea demonstrates huge leaps in nuclear launch capability. I think the likelihood of nuclear strike one way or the other is MUCH higher with Trump as president than any of the past several.

  6. interesting; moves on trump, but not on Putin by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Insightful

    God, it sickens me that I have to defend trump, but there is so much BS on this.
    It amazes me that so few on the far left pay attention to what is really happening. :
    1) Putin is invading numerous areas for controlling them. Putin shows that he has no issues with taking what is not his. That is OK.
    Putin threatens the west with nuclear war, and that is OK.
    Trump (and unknown) gets into office and then we have nuclear war issues that are as bad as 1953.

    2) China is not only emitting 3-5x the amount of CO2 that America does, but they continue to grow at a frightening rate (check OCO2, not chinese gov numbers).
    Trump gets in and says that he will help Coal. Yet, wind already costs less to run than coal does or can. And solar continues downward. IOW, coal really can not be expanded.
    Then Trump is talking about letting America export oil/nat gas. That will increase America's nat gas on the market, BUT, all it will do is lower the prices elsewhere. IOW, it will not increase the burning of it, or any more CO2.

    So, exactly why is this moved now, and why is this blamed on Trump?

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  7. Sounds familiar by computational+super · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So, this is basically like when they awarded a Nobel prize first to Al Gore and then to Obama (in his first year in office) just to make sure to remind everybody how much they hated George Bush (and Republicans in general)?

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  8. Anti-War Credentials by dcollins · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Hillary was openly hostile with Russia, and while I doubt it would have reached the point of increased risk of nuclear war, Russia still has real nukes, so you never know. Trump on the other hand is, if anything, too friendly with Russia."

    Consider very recent history. George W. Bush ran his whole campaign in 2000 on a "compassionate conservative" platform, including that we needed to put America first, not being involved in foreign adventures, stop telling other countries what to do, etc. But he was a dimwitted cowboy wannabe who had no capacity for a real commitment or follow-through to that. He surrounded himself with belligerent neocons like Cheney and Rumsfeld and gave them incredible power. He spent the summer of 2001 saber-rattling at China which turned out not to be the actual brewing threat. Then we did suffer an actual attack on 9/11 and bam, within 24 hours he's freaked out and flipped to the exact opposite; global alliances, regime change, and a philosophy of first-strike invasions if needed around the globe. Before his term was done he'd started two separate intercontinental wars -- one having entirely nothing to do with the attack on us -- which have proved to be the longest in American history, and still not done after almost two decades now.

    That is the proven historical result of a fundamentally dumb, belligerent, yahoo, volatile commander-in-chief. It's easy to predict; this is the standard reaction of a chaotic, short-attention-span bully. Sometime in a quiet space ask yourself this: Is Trump truly more or less volatile than George W. Bush?

    --
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  9. Not meaningless by fyngyrz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's been moved forward because they don't like Trump. That's fundamentally the reason.

    No, it's been moved forward because the man who is now president of the United States of America, a very heavily armed nuclear power, that has stated it is "at war" with terrorism, where terrorism is sourced from a fairly distinct group of countries, has said:

    We have nuclear arsenals which are in very terrible shape

    And in response to this remark by interviewer Matthews...

    They`re hearing a guy running for president of the United States talking of maybe using nuclear weapons. Nobody wants to hear that about an American president.

    Trump said:

    Then why are we making them? Why do we make them?

    That's a "holy shit, the man is outright insane" remark. Period. That's not why we make them. We make them because of MAD; which is to say as a deterrent against others using them. Russa, China, even stupid little North Korea shoots them off, then we guarantee we will shoot ours off in response. IOW, whoever uses them gets to meet their own particular sky-daddy. Or hellspawn, as the case may be.

    In response to interviewer Bolling, who said, in the context of using nuclear weapons:

    Europe, what about that?

    Trump responded:

    Europe is a big place. I’m not going to take cards off the table. We have nuclear capability.

    In both cases, after he said these things, he walked them back. However, he said them, and given the usual word salad he spews, they have to serve as a window into his attitudes. You can only pick out individual remarks in Trump's meanderings; he presents incoherent verbal streams when taken more than a sentence at a time (which is why Twitter kind of works for him... he has to limit his remarks to 140 characters. It provides the structure he is incapable of providing for himself.)

    Interviewer Dickerson:

    They talk about the presidency and who has the finger on the button. The United States has not used nuclear weapons since 1945. When should it?

    Trump responds:

    Well, it is an absolute last stance. And, you know, I use the word unpredictable. You want to be unpredictable.

    Let's just be perfectly clear about this: No sane person wants the USA to be "unpredictable" about its policy for use of nuclear weapons. This is a window into the fact that Trump is a fucking idiot. Not just any fucking idiot, but THE fucking idiot with his finger on the button. He's insane.

    This is the root of the problem. Trump's obviously not like previous presidents. So people are paying very, very close attention to what he says. And there are times when what he says is very, very worrisome. As above.

    So yes, there's a reason people are thinking we're closer to the use of nuclear weapons, and that reason isn't a dislike of Trump; it's just actually listening to what the man has said on the subject. A sane person would not make the remarks Trump has made. Simply would not. He is visibly, obviously, and frighteningly batshit. And he's the guy who can shoot them off. If it's North Korea he decides to make glow, or some little Arab country, we might not see an escalation; then again, we might. Perhaps if we fire, Israel will too; perhaps Russia will feel it needs to step in. Pakistan. India. Etc.

    It's also worth noting that Trump has spent the last two years making severe economic threats in China's direction. China is another nuclear power, and they are not like us in their thinking. It is not wise to severely piss off people you do not understand -- and it is patently obvious that Trump does not understand China at all. I mean, quite aside from the demonstrated fact that he doesn't understand why we have nuc

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