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Life Expectancy Set To Hit 90 In South Korea, Study Predicts (nature.com)
According to a study published in the journal The Lancet, researchers have predicted that South Korea will likely become the first country where the average life expectancy will exceed 90 years. The researchers led by public-health researcher Majid Ezzati at Imperial College London used data from the World Health Organization and a suite of 21 statistical models they developed to figure out how life expectancy will change in 35 developed countries by 2030. Nature reports: Life expectancy is expected to increase in all 35 countries, in keeping with steady progress in recent decades, the team found. But it is South Korean women who will be living longest by 2030: there is a nearly 60% chance that their life expectancy at birth will exceed 90 years by that time, the team calculates. Girls born in the country that year can expect to live, on average, to nearly 91, and boys to 84, the highest in the world for both sexes. The nation's rapid improvement in life expectancy -- the country was ranked twenty-ninth for women in 1985 -- is probably down to overall improvements in economic status and child nutrition, the study notes, among other factors. South Koreans also have relatively equal access to health care, lower blood pressure than people in Western countries and low rates of smoking among women. As for the United States, the life expectancy is "predicted to be among the lowest of these countries by 2030; 80 for men (similar to the Czech Republic) and 83 for women (similar to Mexico)."
You forget who has the bomb. A dozen of them. I've been there. Trump would be happy there.
and 83 for women (similar to Mexico)
That's because most of Mexico is already here in the United States working illegally.
Nerve agent VX used in Kim Jong Nam killing
nearly 60% chance that their life expectancy at birth will exceed 90 years
What sense does it make to calculate the chance of the expected value being in a certain range? Isn't this one level of indirection too many? How is this mathematically different from the chance at birth that they will live 90 years or longer?
And continue to flood the US with low-life-expectancy illegal aliens, bringing their diseases and drug addictions and drugs. And cartel killings and honor killings and poor hygiene. They may need to modify their models. And account for the higher drug prices coming to the rest of the world...
predictions in this area? Well, at least they keep trying.
How much do you want to bet that North Korea releases a report of their own stating that life expectancy in their country now exceeds 95 years, only exceeded by their glorious leader, who is expected to live for two centuries?
Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
and it still sucks
Let's not forget that in South Korea, you are considered to be 1 year old on the day you are born and your age increases by 1 on January 1st regardless of your date of birth. The average 5-year-old South Korean is 1.5 years younger than the average 5-year-old American.
While this has probably been accounted for, I wouldn't be so bold as to put such an oversight past today's "scientists".
... once Steve Bannon has picked his fight and become the glorious general his inner boy has always wanted to be, the Korean life expectancy problem will solve itself. If we're lucky the armageddon might even be nuclear!
Japan already had documented cases of the life expectancy being inflated by family members hiding the death of their elders to continue collecting their money. While an improvement in life expectancy would be nice we have to be on the look out for greed.
since SK's Samsung stopped selling the Note 7
Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
What's the life expectancy in Korea if you control for people who sleep with fans running overnight?
p.s. Yes, you and I both know that "fan death" is codespeak for suicide, but try explaining that to millions of Koreans who believe the myth that fans kill people in their sleep.
So is the Korean diet the next hot thing? Dogs beware....
On Aurora and Solaria life expectancy has hit 350 and nobody seems to worry about it.
Comment removed based on user account deletion
"And account for the higher drug prices coming to the rest of the world..."
No, drug prices in the US will fall to the open-market prices in the rest of the world.
...Serbia, along with the rest of the Balkans, would be much higher on that graph. Way above the USA. Not just below it.
Promaya kills.
Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
It seems like with all of the advances in medicine, and increases in average life span/life expectancy, we are just asymptotically approaching 120. And 120 has pretty much been the max since the beginning of recorded human history (Genesis 6:3). Spiritual belief/source aside, it does seem to be a fairly hard number/boundary that has existed for a pretty long time.
> If it wasn't for the draft ... Serbia, along with the rest of the Balkans, would be much higher on that graph
In english, draft also means compulsory military service, a kind of conscription-lottery hybrid. In that regard, please note that Serbia and the rest of the Balkans, was involved in a massive civil war during the entire 1990s era, associated with the british-sponsored forcibly dismantling of Yugoslavia. Literally millions were drafted to arms, fought and hundreds of thousands died, including soldiers, militants and entire cities of civilians. That armageddon really shortened the life expectancy of Balkans for generations to come.
(BTW, nobody really knows why the Brits and the Vatican, a weird ad-hoc master/minion pair, allied themselves with catholic croat nationalists to dismantle the orthodox, ethnic serbian dominated Yugoslavian federation. Maybe London did that to weaken the french, since Paris was traditionally strongly linked to the "non-moscovite" socialist republics of Yugoslavia and Romania, both economically and militarily. But maybe it was just the work of London freemasonry, wanting to cause carnage to please their Osiris-Lucifer idol with blood sacrifice?)
I think it is their diet. Who would have thunk eating dogs and cabbages improves longevity?
sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
Lower skilled Americans cannot compete with people who are happy to make half the prevailing wage for a job. Even some of the skilled sectors like construction are hit hard these days. A job that an American would want $20/hour to do can easily be run down to $8-$10 by an illegal.
Maybe you're fine with that. Maybe you're a libertarian who thinks that no one owes that worker a decent, prevailing wage that is protected from third world mass competition. Alright, so you don't give a damn about his well-being, don't complain if he returns the favor and won't even piss on you if you're on fire, begging for help.
real sports lead to tons of injuries and high insurance costs. esports is safe and strengthens your brain which is important in this age.
So, America might have a lower life expectancy but we make it up by weighing three times as much. If you use "pound-years" as a metric, America on average is probably more than triple Koreans.
Do you have ESP?
Many commentors here are making dumb/borderline racist jokes to cope with this news. The truth is that modern American suburbs promote physically unhealthy lifestyles. You drive everywhere and stay cooped up in the house watching Netflix. The commercial streets are lined with restaurants selling junk food packed with preservatives. It's literally sickening.
I wish I could convince my wife to move.
That's what the rest of the world gets for not taking fan death seriously!
Twinstiq, game news
maybe it was just the work of London freemasonry, wanting to cause carnage to please their Osiris-Lucifer idol with blood sacrifice?
Thank God I read to the end of your post and its chillingly rational explanation of the Balkans Conflict. Until now I thought it had something to do with the collapse of communism in Eastern Europe and the explosion of long-standing ethnic and religious conflicts hitherto suppressed under the rule of Tito.
To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
I wonder how much of the difference is due to High Fructose Corn Syrup? That stuff will kill you (in excess).
But will they be using email?
This is directly attributable to which nations have a functional Universal Healthcare System and which do not.
Mexico has a dismal Universal System, the US has none (ACA is Private/Public Insurance, not Universal.)
And the unwillingness to do anything about it, and the delusion that any and all measure to slow down the fall of everyone but the super-rich into poverty will ruin America.
Hm, there's doesn't seem to be a "...the fuck?" moderation, so I guess I'll save that point for another discussion.
Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
Most things in excess will kill you. Even water.
Why single out one cause, when there's obviously many.
Take food. I live near a supermarket that is probably three times the size of the one my parents went to, but the produce section is smaller, the meat and dairy sections about the same size. The surplus acreage is taken up with cheap, calorie dense, no-preparation convenience food.
Or the fact that Amercians spend more time in cars than they used to, on average over 290 hours a year.
Here's another interesting fact: research shows that the portion size you choose is positively correlated to the size of the package you serve yourself from; this doesn't happen consciously, it's just that a cup of cereal from a 9 ounce box appears like a lot more than a cup of cereal from a 21 oz box.
The huge sizes are driven in part by an attempt to cut down on trips to the grocery store. American home kitchens are the largest in the world, and most of that is needed for storage because we don't do very much food preparation.
So if there's a single root cause it's the pursuit (sometimes failed) of efficiency; we have the wealth to try to reduce labor and time spent doing things, but our bodies are designed to spend time doing things.
Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
You'd think scientist would be pushing for LOWERING the lifespan of humans...well, the "right" humans that is. The so called "smart" people would be exempt from it of course.
I don't know why you "blame" brits and the Vatican.
The now separated states declared independence from "Yugoslavia". And the "Great Serbien Reich" had nothing better to do than to attack the states and draw them _all_ or in other words, each of them, into a full scale war with atrocities over atrocities.
The only ones who where lucky were the Slovenians who basically did first what the Serbs did in the other countries: they put all Serbian troops in mainly Slovenian barracks into prison, surrounded the mainly Serbien barracks and gave an ultimatum: "you leave, your weapons stay, or we kill you". Originally most barracks had Serbian and Slovenian troops mixed as they both belonged to the same "nation"/"army". But during the forming of the individual (first federal and later independent) states the Serbs who were in charge of the army, tried to set up barracks with mainly Serbian forces.
Only a few mostly Serbian barracks started fights, the war was over in 10 days, see wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
The other states where not that smart, because there the Serbs did the same tactics as the Slovenians above, but did not give an ultimatum, they just started the killing everywhere.
And then the slaughtering of ethnic groups amoung themselves started, especially in Bosnia.
Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
If you're a woman in the top 1% by income. If you're a man in the top 1% it's 88.8 years.
If you're middle class you live about 78.3 years if you're a man, which is big step up from 1980, probably because of smoking. If you're a woman you live 79.7 years, a decline of a few months since 1980.
Now if you're a poor your life expectancy has declined since 1980, to 76.1 for men and 78.3 for women.
So here's the picture: if you're rich, medical advances since 1980 have increased your expected lifespan by about seven years. But those advances haven't had any effect on middle class lifespans. If you're poor you apparently are having difficulty paying for medical care at all, which is not surprising because health care costs have consistently outpaced inflation since the mid-70s. If you're a working poor American health care inflation meant you basically screwed by the 2000s: you were too rich for Medicaid, to poor to avoid medical care.
One more thing: US has a GINI coefficient (measure of income disparity) of 45. That's the highest in the industrialized world, and much higher than it's low point of 34 in 1969. Basically all of the income growth sicne 1990 have gone to the top quintile, in fact the lion's share to the top 5%. People at the 80th percentile by income and below have seen basically zero income growth when adjusted for inflation. And since health care inflation rises faster than inflation, it means 80% of the the US has seen a cut in its disposable income.
Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
Not that long ago most of the "jobs American's won't do" were done exactly by Americans. Simple labor was done by high school kids (with record low labor participation rates today), Students on break from College (also record low labor participation), or entry level jobs for people not sure what to do with their careers (now mostly unemployed).
Employers given the ability to pay illegal workers less money and work them more hours has led to a lack of entry level and low level jobs. Why would a farmer hire young adults, especially considering the restrictions the State puts on workers below 18 and pay minimum wage? Why pay them more than minimum wage even if they are extremely productive? They won't, because they can get more labor at less money and not have to worry about anyone from State looking at how they treat labor.
To your last point: "ME" is the most important thing in many relationships, not "WE". That message and value has been preached by both 2nd and 3rd wave feminists since the 70s. Feminists 3rd wave has been so vocal that we now have groups of MGTOWS, massive low rates of marriage, low birthrate (which to many is the point of those movements), and a society growing more and more immoral/degenerate. Further, you can't be so foolish as to not understand that gold diggers exist. Unfortunately this means that if you want old fashioned family values, it may be easier to import them. Your slight is a troll.
-The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.
Came here for this.
Not disappointed.
As for the United States, the life expectancy is "predicted to be among the lowest of these countries by 2030; 80 for men (similar to the Czech Republic) and 83 for women (similar to Mexico)."
I'm quite horrified that all the commentary on the article is almost entirely sarcasm and jokes. In fact, this is relatively horrifying. Not only is the life expectancy in the U.S. currently less than that in any of the developed countries in Europe, it's decreasing.
This is bad. It's easy enough to make fun of Europe's universal health care, but apparently they're doing something right.
"The culprits for our declining years, the report says, were increases in mortality from heart disease, chronic lower respiratory diseases, unintentional injuries, stroke, Alzheimer’s disease, diabetes, kidney disease and suicide. Not surprisingly, that group plus cancer and the flu make up the top 10 causes of death in the U.S....
He (the report author) did highlight a 3% increase in "unintentional injuries." The heading includes, among other things, traffic accidents and drug overdoses — both of which often involve relatively young victims whose deaths can have a strong impact on the numbers."
source: http://www.usatoday.com/story/...
See also:
http://www.cnn.com/2016/12/08/...
http://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2016/12/08/504667607/life-expectancy-in-u-s-drops-for-first-time-in-decades-report-finds
Everything in the American food stream is an abomination to nutrition.
Americans and their GMOs. I know of more people dying in their 40s, 50s, and 60s.
Where they got 80 years for American men is a fantasy. A crack smoking fantasy.
...America continues to be the only country in the world that reports stillborn children (age 0) as part of their statistics to the WHO.
Life, the Universe, and Everything... in my image.
The cardinal rule of toxicology is that the dose makes the poison.
No matter where you go, there you are.
I wonder how much of the difference is due to High Fructose Corn Syrup? That stuff will kill you (in excess).
so will water, what's your point?
Life expectancy is not comparable between different countries - http://www.nationalreview.com/article/276952/infant-mortality-deceptive-statistic-scott-w-atlas
It's not quite that simple. Outside the US, governments pressure medicine suppliers to lower prices by threatening not to honor patents, so either the suppliers lower prices or competitors enter the field. In the US, the patents are honored, and the suppliers lobby or bribe legislators and bribe the FDA to keep generics unapproved.
A knowledgeable consumer who can afford to go to a place with low medicine prices can profit thereby. Getting low medicine prices generally in the US will require large and sustained political pressure.
Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
It's charmingly naive of you to think that our bad health has nothing to do with our health care system, probably the worst in the developed world, and definitely the most expensive in the developed world. (And I assume you've never been outside the U.S., since you seem to think nobody in the rest of the world smokes.)
But, whether in health care or in something else, we're at the bottom of the list in the developed world. Whatever it is we're doing-- we should do something else.