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Boeing and Airbus Can't Make Enough Airplanes To Keep Up With Demand (axios.com)

From a report on Axios: Aerospace manufacturers like Boeing and Airbus cannot produce airplanes fast enough to meet demand despite what the Wall Street Journal calls "one of the industry's steepest production increases since World War II." The run up in demand is partially the result of fast-growing airline industries in the Middle East and China. Manufacturers will need to increase production by 30% to meet current orders, and such booming demand is one sign of a healthier global economy.

170 comments

  1. Gulfstream also by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1

    There's a huge waiting list to buy their new G600 long-range luxury jet.

    I thought about buying one but decided to get a used 757 instead... but no tacky gold letters

    1. Re:Gulfstream also by TWX · · Score: 1

      but no tacky gold letters

      Must not've been a used aircraft formerly of the commander-in-chief's private fleet...

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    2. Re:Gulfstream also by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I were President Trump I'd be upset taking a step down moving to the Whitehouse and flying Air Force 1.

    3. Re: Gulfstream also by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nice! You gonna upgrade that with the basketball court and swimming pool?

    4. Re: Gulfstream also by dougdonovan · · Score: 1

      one if his sons said that 2 months ago. trump is taking a major downgrade residentially and transportation.

    5. Re: Gulfstream also by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fuck you.

    6. Re:Gulfstream also by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They do resell used ones that people trade in. That may be the way to go.

    7. Re: Gulfstream also by TWX · · Score: 1

      What a clever riposte... you have a rapier-wit.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    8. Re: Gulfstream also by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, sand n1gger dipshit, americans here want you to go fuck yourself, go back to raping your goats in stupid india.

    9. Re: Gulfstream also by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Honestly why did you have to make interesting article especially since I'm from Wichita which has a hugh aircraft industry and make it about politics? Now there is a bunch of useless comments that will end up taking over another Slashdot article. I know the gold letter comment was a bit amusing but come on.

      I'm not trying to be jerk but I'm just sick and tired of everyone killing the comment section. If it's a Microsoft article then it's pile on with anti Microsoft, Linux is the great thing in the world, Linux is just a kernel, windows 10 sucks, telemetry this and that, I can turn if off why can't you. If it's Apple then it's Apple is over priced crap, you are a lemming, Linux rocks. There is the village idiot host file boy wonder and gnaa or whatever it is. Let's not forget monitors that mark down comments for their own personal agendas.

      And now Slashdot has become one big I hate Trump fest. I've been reading Slashdot since all the back to the early days and now far too many people are just killing this site with crap. Yeah I know I can just go to another site, the thing is I don't want to, I actually like Slashdot, flaws and all.

      Haven't all you gotten sick of the same crap comments every article? Is this what Slashdot has become? Maybe you are right, maybe it's time I abandon Slashdot and go over to the dark side of reddit or that new voit competition.

  2. Thanks Trump! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    I thought everyone said he killed foreign trade? Nope! Trump did it again, another victory for the Trump!

    1. Re:Thanks Trump! by slashrio · · Score: 2

      I'm really getting sick of this 'Trump this, Trump that' shit!
      I'm now so irritated by all that off-topic Trump pushing/bashing that as soon as my eyes meet the word 'Trump', I close the whole thread and continue with the next one, so good luck with your comments on Trump and your other frustrations, losers...

      --
      "Trump!!", the new Godwin.
    2. Re:Thanks Trump! by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Your sig seems to indicate you are sick of yourself...

    3. Re:Thanks Trump! by slashrio · · Score: 1

      Maybe it seems, but it doesn't.

      --
      "Trump!!", the new Godwin.
  3. Supply and demand? by kubajz · · Score: 2

    That is interesting. One would expect, if this is the case, that the manufacturers would increase prices until there are only so many interested buyers that the whole production will be sold. What am I missing?

    1. Re:Supply and demand? by HornWumpus · · Score: 5, Informative

      Long leed times and a historic boom/bust cycle. Large airplanes are contracted years ahead of time. Keeping the line running is paramount. Start/stop is a company and/or model killer.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    2. Re:Supply and demand? by ZorinLynx · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There's competition in the airline industry (Boeing, Airbus being two big players) so they can't do that.

      If Boeing raises prices, customers will to go Airbus. And vice versa.

      If anything they may even LOWER prices to retain customers as waiting lists get longer. "Sure, you have to wait longer for your aircraft but you save 20% going with us over Airbus!"

    3. Re:Supply and demand? by magarity · · Score: 2

      The main thing preventing significant price increases as you suggest is the threat of competition. Canadair and Embraer have more than enough expertise making good sized regional size planes to jump into the larger plane market if the prices go high enough to justify the development costs. Gulfstream, Bombardier, and Dassault are even more players who could cut in on the action for the right price increase.

    4. Re:Supply and demand? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      What's the lead time on a new airplane design?

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    5. Re:Supply and demand? by TWX · · Score: 2

      Your last point weighs heavy. If the manfuacturers try to follow a true market-will-bear price point for any given moment then they'll find that other players like Embrear might seek to develop competing widebody aircraft, or companies like BAe might fork from Airbus to resume designing and building widebodies independent of Airbus, or even various Russian or Post-Soviet Commonwealth aircraft manufacturers might seek to increase marketshare.

      With all of these factors, the market-will-bear price point is probably right where it should be.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    6. Re:Supply and demand? by PPH · · Score: 1

      Do you mean estimated or actual? Because (at least with Boeing) you can count on tacking on a couple of years.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    7. Re:Supply and demand? by HornWumpus · · Score: 3, Informative

      Boeing still does much better than new entrants have. See the Japanese and Chinese efforts to make their own wide bodies.

      I'm surprised Tupolev isn't trying to get a bigger slice. But first they have to get competitive on fuel costs.

      Nobody is turning on a dime and jumping into the market.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    8. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tupolev as a separate entity does not exist anymore. The Russians have the MS-21 but no one will buy it for political reasons. The plane is 50% US made by value added and that means OFAC can deny the export of spare parts for it to stick it to Russia at anytime. Sukhoi want to sell SSJ's to Iran but OFAC wont approve US parts for the SSJs going to Iran. The result is no sales. They can sell these planes domestically but the US intentionally undermines third country sales at every turn. Its still better to have planes that are at least 50% domestically made for domestic consumption than to import 100% US made Boeings but the part dependency is fatal to export sales for the most part.

    9. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm surprised Tupolev isn't trying to get a bigger slice. But first they have to get competitive on fuel costs.

      That would be the Frigate Ecojet.

    10. Re:Supply and demand? by occasional_dabbler · · Score: 1
      I'm not so sure. Firstly the price would have to increase significantly and then you'd have to find investors happy to wait 20 years for a return. The Russians can already build pretty good airliners, but they are a long way from being competitive with Boeing or Airbus. There is only one credible future competitor and that is China; they will keep throwing money at it until they get there.

      There is a second problem, which is there aren't enough experienced aerospace engineers to deliver the industry's current programs.

      Disclaimer: 30 years working in aerospace...

      --
      "Our opponent is an alien starship packed with atomic bombs," I said. "we have a protractor"
    11. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now I wonder if China will add a 20% import tax on products made in America

      I also wonder how many countries impacted by Trumps bullshit will choose USA LAST (i.e. 96% of the worlds population).

    12. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OR

      The countries will say "There is a minimum 20% import tariff to be applied to products from the USA"

    13. Re:Supply and demand? by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      BAE has no relationship with Airbus right now, they sold their shares to EADS a decade ago...

    14. Re:Supply and demand? by Richard_at_work · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Boeing 787 was around a decade from initial "what can we do" to entry into service - the Airbus A350XWB was a little more at 11 years.

      Neither manufacturer has a clean sheet design in the pipeline right now, so we probably wont see a new widebody until at least the 2030s.

    15. Re:Supply and demand? by Richard_at_work · · Score: 3, Informative

      Actually the article is a load of crap - Boeing is reducing 777 production right now, is in talks to end 747 production and has scrapped a production increase in the 787 (and may indeed scrap an entire production line in the next few years).

      The only aircraft seeing production rate increases at the moment (that arent related to a new program coming on line, such as the A350XWB) are the A320 series and the 737 series - those sell well more than a thousand copies each year, with production lagging sales considerably.

    16. Re:Supply and demand? by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      What Russia and China cant build is decent, fuel efficient engines - GE, P&W and Rolls Royce have that market sewn up.

    17. Re:Supply and demand? by HornWumpus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They already have one. Of course if the buyer is connected they can get it waived.

      The point is, China is already fighting a trade war and has been for decades.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    18. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is instead that they are not fighting as aggressively as before to buy marketshare. Airbus an Boeing are finally quite satisfied to share around 50% (in number of airplanes manufactured, or sold, or earnings). Pushing higher production rates would require building even more factories, stressing subcontractors (which work for both : GE, Pratt & Witney, Rolls, Thalès, Honeywell, Safran, Moog...)

      There is also the fear that a part of the order book is virtual and will never materialize.

    19. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      5-10 years

    20. Re:Supply and demand? by TWX · · Score: 1

      Don't they produce wing components?

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    21. Re:Supply and demand? by Freischutz · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Boeing 787 was around a decade from initial "what can we do" to entry into service - the Airbus A350XWB was a little more at 11 years.

      Neither manufacturer has a clean sheet design in the pipeline right now, so we probably wont see a new widebody until at least the 2030s.

      According to this Boeing functionary I talked to it is easier to simply upgrade the tail section or the wings (or just parts of the wings and tail) and re-engine an existing aircraft design than to build a new design from scratch because that way you only have to get the new components certified. The fuselage pretty much does as good a job now as it did in the 1960s and 70s so you don't have to get that re-certified/tested/whatever only what you upgrade. That's why they are still building Boeing 737s, a design that first flew in 1967. Over the years they have upgraded various bits and pieces of the 737 until the modern aircraft have fairly little in common with the first 737s. This may seem weird, it did to me, but it's apparently a damn sight cheaper to do these bit by bit upgrades than designing a whole new aircraft to fill the same market slot. Designing building and getting a new design tested/certified/etc. only makes sense if nothing in your current inventory fits the market slot you have in mind or if the new design very significantly improves performance and therefore marketability.

    22. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually the article is a load of crap - Boeing is reducing 777 production right now, is in talks to end 747 production and has scrapped a production increase in the 787 (and may indeed scrap an entire production line in the next few years).

      The only aircraft seeing production rate increases at the moment (that arent related to a new program coming on line, such as the A350XWB) are the A320 series and the 737 series - those sell well more than a thousand copies each year, with production lagging sales considerably.

      Airbus is very competitive with Boeing on the 737 series and I believe both are struggling to undercut the other. Another thing that really hurts Boeing is Trump. If he implements his border taxes then their global supply chain is going to cost them big. I'm guessing they will shift to produce the aircraft outside the US entire and have foreign sales buy those. US sales might buy aircraft produced in the country, if Boeing can make it competitive but a lot of these suppliers have their own money tied up in things. It is not that easy to switch.

      Either way if Boeing was doing that well then there would likely not see its employee count continuing to go down. link

    23. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      12 years for the CS300 (5 wide, 135 seat aircraft) from Bombardier from initial feasibility study to first commercial delivery.

    24. Re: Supply and demand? by Nidi62 · · Score: 2

      Don't forget Bombardier has the C-Series which is designed as a competitor to the 320/321 and 737 as well.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    25. Re:Supply and demand? by occasional_dabbler · · Score: 1

      GE, P&W and Rolls-Royce will sell engines to any company their government's sanctions will allow. RR sold RB211-535E4 engines to Tupolov for a B-757 competitor the Tu-204. It was 90% of the Boeing for half the price and sold well in non-western markets. It was a sweet plane; the Russians have a more academic approach to engineering and apply science where we in the west apply economics.

      --
      "Our opponent is an alien starship packed with atomic bombs," I said. "we have a protractor"
    26. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your wasting your breath. China can do anything they want without complaint in both the domestic and foreign arena. And both China and Russia get free passes for anything they do especially if their actions are perceived to be detrimental to US interests. But both these countries are worried they will have to deal with an unpredictable US President who is not towing the historical US line when dealing with it's competitors. People say Trump is partial to Russia but he hasn't given Russia anything. All the sanctions are still in place and will most likely stay in place until Trump gets what he wants first. At a bare minimum that will be Russia halting all of their support to the ongoing civil war taking place in the Ukraine. Trump has publically said he wants Russia to return Crimea to the Ukraine but that is just him setting the table for the negotiations to come. Ending the ongoing civil war would be a win for Trump. In the grand scheme of things Russia has nothing the US needs. The Russian economy is bleeding cash and they are stuck fighting in two different conflicts with no end in sight. Keeping the military deployed and supplied is expensive. The US just needs to make sure US shale oil production stays high enough to keep the global market cost depressed enough to damage Russia's number one hard currency source.

    27. Re:Supply and demand? by Cyberax · · Score: 2

      Tupolev's Construction Bureau doesn't really exist anymore. The Russian civilian air companies were merged into United Aircraft Corporation and its currently produced airplanes are: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Sukhoi Superjet is OK - it's not exactly top of the line in all parameters but it's a solid airplane, competitive in some markets. Its next model (slated for 2020) is going to be more much interesting and it probably will be able to compete with Boeing directly.

    28. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      US is trying to have every component in civil aviation migrate to ITAR free.

    29. Re:Supply and demand? by slashrio · · Score: 1

      Canadair and Embraer ...

      Gulfstream, Bombardier, and Dassault ...

      Hell, I'd even suggest they combine forces in order to become a third big player.

      --
      "Trump!!", the new Godwin.
    30. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      GE, P&W and RR contract out lots of work to MTU, Safran, IHI, Avio and GKN. Commercial engines from the big three contain up to 50% components developed and supplied by one of these partners.

    31. Re:Supply and demand? by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      No, the entire UK production side of the business was sold by BAE as part of the share buyout in 2006, and is now run under the company Airbus UK.

    32. Re: Supply and demand? by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      It isnt - the C-Series sits beneath the entrenched market that Boeing and Airbus dominate with the 737 and A320 series. Bombardier is really looking at the larger end of the regional jet market with the C-Series, as it just barely nibbles at the lower end of the 737 and A320 series capacities (and both Boeing and Airbus are seeing their customer base for those aircraft drift largely to the top end).

    33. Re:Supply and demand? by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      I'm confused as to how 82 orders constitutes "sold well" when it doesnt come close to breaking even, and was only bought by the usual eastern airlines. Western airlines didnt touch it for obvious reasons.

    34. Re:Supply and demand? by avgapon · · Score: 0

      Did you actually mean Antonov?

    35. Re:Supply and demand? by fisternipply · · Score: 1

      The Bombardier C-series is having trouble finding buyers -- not because it isn't a great airplane (it is), but because Boeing and Airbus are strong-arming existing customers into their own medium range jets.

    36. Re: Supply and demand? by fisternipply · · Score: 1

      Not so. The CS300 t 160 seats overlaps 737 max and A319neo, and a CS500 model could be built at anytime but for the fact that being frozen out of the market by Boeing/Airbus strongarming hurts cashflow.

    37. Re:Supply and demand? by ghoul · · Score: 1

      What obvious reason? Racism?

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    38. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Support; logistics, fuel costs. Economics beats racism most of the time. Try selling tickets to a TU-204 to an American passenger. In the US we barely trust Boeng or Airbus. The Russians? No dice.

    39. Re: Supply and demand? by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      As I said, the C-Series sits beneath the entrenched market that Airbus and Boeing compete in - the fact that the CS300 touches the low end of Airbus and Boeings products capacity wise doesnt alter that, as airline orders have been trending toward the top end of those offerings for several years.

      A319NEO orders stand, to date, at just 55, with the bulk of Airbuses orders going to the A320NEO (two thirds at 3,600) and A321 (a third at 1,400).

      737MAX orders are trending a similar way where airlines have identified the subtype, with the 737 MAX 7 only seeing 60 orders to date, with the rest of the orders split in a similar way to that of the Airbus products.

      The C-Series simply doesnt compete in the same market.

      As to a CS500, sorry but its a pipe dream. Bombardier have enough debt and issues with the CS100 and CS300, they simply cant commit to a new stretch in the next decade. They also dont have enough orders currently to break even on the current versions, and don't have an engine for anything larger so that would need more investment with an engine company.

      There is also no evidence of strong arming by Airbus and Boeing - yes, Bombardier approached Airbus for investment and were denied, but neither Airbus nor Boeing have anything to gain by stopping Bombardier compete at the low end of the market. Bombardiers main competitor is Embraer and the new jets coming out of Russia (Sukhoi Superjet), China (Comac C919 and ARJ19) and Japan (MRJ). Airbus and Boeing dont want to compete in the regional jet market.

    40. Re:Supply and demand? by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      Russian jet manufacturers cant compete with western quality standards, economics and support - they are well known for having poor supply chain, which hits airlines when a plane goes tech for instance.

      Sorry but racism simply doesnt have anything to do with this - its pure economics. If their aircraft could compete, western airlines would be buying them in droves, simply because Airbus and Boeing cant keep up with current orders - the situation is ripe for a third major producer in the same market, the capacity in the market is there in the single aisle segment and has been for a couple of decades now, but the Tu-204 still failed.

    41. Re:Supply and demand? by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Dunno about that. It looks to me like UAC is kind of like an umbrella company on top of the old structure and that the old structure is still pretty much in place.

    42. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More importantly, China is winning it against the west.
      Far too many in the west are listening to the astrotrufers and not believing or understanding. China has a large VAT and tariffs that they charge to keep goods from the west out. Similar to what Mexico is doing. They charge a vat, but then give a tax break to local manufacturers.
      America, and the west needs to start matching nation's like China and level the playing field.

      Windbourne (moderating).

    43. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that is a lie.
      Trump lifted the Russian sanction for anything for FSB and SVR/GRU.
      Yes, he HAS lifted it for a small part of the Russian gov; all of their intelligence communities. It is the reason that Russia stopped their assault on eastern Ukraine (for the moment).

    44. Re:Supply and demand? by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      Chinese 100 seaters are having the same problems, not helped by quality FUD (one of the most recent crashes publically attributed to the aircraft was actually a co-pilot under supervision landing downwind and long, then running out of tarmac. The country concerned (national airline) doesn't want to admit that for insurance liability reasons so they blamed the aircraft - my source is the boss of the ex-pilot who didn't tell the co-pilot to go around - ex pilot for obvious reasons)

    45. Re:Supply and demand? by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      Aircraft serial production is unique in that so many parts are still hand crafted and hand assembled, but the reality is that even this area is experiencing increases in automation and vastly improved assist equipment which means that fewer employees can do more work, more safely.

      Assist equipment is things like handling equpiment improvements which mean that one person can handle parts on a single rolling platform that used to take four people to ensure could be lifted or moved safely, or the shop crane that used to need a driver and several assistants on the ground now being controllable by one operator with a single remote control unit able to walk around the hook, giving greater handling precision and higher speed due to improved feedback loops, meaning it can get twice as much work done in any given period.

      Production of Boeing and Airbus newer aircraft lines was delayed so much because a lot of the work was in making the automation, remote fabrication and just in time production techniques work smoothly. Now that those lessons have been integrated, they're feeding back into the smaller aircraft lines, resulting in improved both build quality and fabrication speeds along with cost optimisations. These are the same lessons the auto industry learned from the 1980s onwards (and the lessons in the automotive industry resulted in lines being able to cut 80-90% of their workforce, whether factories were moved or not - although it's far easier to setup an optimised line in a new building than to try and make changes in an existing environment.)

    46. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      japanese and chinese are not developing wide bodies, but narrow bodies. And once China has developed a narrow body, you can bet that western sales of narrow bodies will plummet.

    47. Re:Supply and demand? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Chinese jets...plummet. I see what you did there.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    48. Re:Supply and demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      EMBRAERm SEDRI and COMAC might think otherwise ....
      I think you don't know much about the airline industry at all.

  4. Embraer? Bombardier? by Frederic54 · · Score: 2

    Cannot they make some? Ok I know they are smaller, but the Bombardier CS300 has 135 seats, not that bad

    --
    "Science will win because it works." - Stephen Hawking
    1. Re:Embraer? Bombardier? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Add the cost of an extra gate at each stop plus an extra crew plus higher passenger*mile cost. Dealbreaker.

      Airlines need to get their fleet mix right for their market, or they go broke.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    2. Re:Embraer? Bombardier? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If it takes the major manufacturers 4-5 yrs to develop a derivative of an existing design, by the time a smaller player has a plane in the air, it's already a generation old. That's not competitive in the market where efficiency is measured in tenths of percents.

      A good example is the Comac C919 which has the full weight of the Chinese government behind it. Launched in 2010, they say it'll be in production by 2018.

    3. Re:Embraer? Bombardier? by brambus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Aircraft aren't like cars, you can't just hop from one to the next. There are certifications, training, simulators, supply chain, support infrastructure, etc. etc. It's why low-cost carriers are total monocultures in terms of aircraft they use. Ryanair *only* flies the 737NG. Easyjet *only* flies the A320 family.

    4. Re:Embraer? Bombardier? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and the Embraer 195 has from 117 to 141 seats depending on the configuration.

      also, Embraer has the possibility to build larger aircrafts easily, as it is already doing for the brazilian military (Embraer C390) to replace the Lockheed C130s.

    5. Re:Embraer? Bombardier? by mjwx · · Score: 1

      Aircraft aren't like cars, you can't just hop from one to the next. There are certifications, training, simulators, supply chain, support infrastructure, etc. etc. It's why low-cost carriers are total monocultures in terms of aircraft they use. Ryanair *only* flies the 737NG. Easyjet *only* flies the A320 family.

      This, running custom versions of aircraft are killing some airlines like QANTAS and BA who run custom 747's. They were developed in the days where a normal 747 couldn't make the flight from Sydney to LA. QF is phasing out the 747-400ER for normal A380's. Having large and varied fleets is expensive, having custom models is insane.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    6. Re:Embraer? Bombardier? by brambus · · Score: 1

      I guess Qantas wouldn't even need to purchase the overpriced A380, a 777-300ER might do the job just as well for a lot less. A little less capacity, but a lot lower operating costs, with ETOPS no problem operating it over the Pacific anymore and a far easier job finding suitable gates and airports for it. But I suppose if you already have it in your fleet, might as well go ahead and use it.

    7. Re:Embraer? Bombardier? by brambus · · Score: 1

      Forget my earlier post, turns out the 777-300ER doesn't have enough range either way.

  5. "Healthier global economy" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nothing healthy about it.

    1. Re:"Healthier global economy" by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

      I agree, such things is a sign that the economy is getting overheated and we'll see a crash soon.

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    2. Re:"Healthier global economy" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Peasant! Thank the robber barons for your trickle down golden shower!

    3. Re:"Healthier global economy" by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      The thing to bear in mind that what's driving the current boom cycle is mainly orders from outside the USA/EU.

      Asian tiger economies had their crash and burn cycle in the 1990s and whilst western ones are now having their wheels fall off in a smilar way (right down to IMF bailouts primarily benefitting banks, not the countries being loaned money) , the asian ones are recovering nicely and having been burned once, the people in charge are not willing to allow it to occur again - unlike western countries who've walked straight back into the same short-cycle goals that caused the crashes in in the first place.

      That said, the last 8-9 years have been particularly dire for the aircraft makers, with Boeing avoiding massive cuts in Washington state by doing it in subsidiary companies such as Spirit (the Kansas lines were pretty much obliterated). This has had an interesting benefit of forcing them to streamline everything and leaves them in a good position to fill orders (but of course the problem is when they overproduce and the next bust cycle leaves them with excess inventory)

  6. FTFY by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    such booming demand is one sign of a sickening global ecology.

    FTFY.

  7. Something doesn't add up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Increased demand? But why is it that every time I fly on a commercial airline, there is a new cost-cutting measure such as extra fees or less legroom? The airlines are acting like their profits are decreasing and they need to squeeze every last dime out of me, but increased demand would suggest the opposite.

    1. Re:Something doesn't add up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My guess is that the airlines are increasing orders for more fuel efficient designs so they can retire older aircraft.

    2. Re:Something doesn't add up by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Wait, so the price goes up (extra fees) and they put more passengers on each plane (less leg room) and you think that is NOT a sign that flight demand is NOT increasing?

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    3. Re:Something doesn't add up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you have 900 people who want to fly here to there, you can fit them into 10 planes fitting 90 people each or 9 planes fitting 100 people each. Better be ready to suck in your gut, buddy.

    4. Re:Something doesn't add up by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Passenger miles are increasing. And planes are getting hard to buy. Prices go up and they put more people on a plane. Not really unexpected!

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    5. Re:Something doesn't add up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      profits are reaped by the large airports, while most airlines are struggling.

  8. jet-set billionaire scum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    KILL THEM ALL

  9. Not so sure this means "healthier economy". by xession · · Score: 1

    I may be incorrect but I was thinking that most planes were issued basically on credit to these airlines, just like when you buy a new car.

    These airlines purchased these airplanes years in advance with people trying to guess what travel expectancy will be at the time they receive the plane. Lets say one of these airlines misjudged and they have to renege on their purchase of a plane or two as their passenger pool has not gained as their model suggested. No problem, Boeing/Airbus can just refit the interior to meet the preference of another airline.

    Now lets suppose several of these airlines have to renege due to various factors - rising fuel costs, nearby conflicts chasing away travelers, etc. This could be a very precarious position for Boeing and Airbus if they have a surplus of planes.

    Honestly, running with a 30% header in demand seems wise when considering the length of time it takes for these planes to be brought out for first flight. Not to say this necessarily means the economy is doing poorly, but I don't feel like this is at all any indication of a booming economy.

  10. I bought BA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    at 60 baby! Yeah! You gotta play if you want to get paid. Thanks President Trump. Nothing like a capitalist in the Whitehouse.

    1. Re: I bought BA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm really looking forward to the glorious sunsets we're gonna get when the EPA is finally dumped.

  11. Boneyards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Aircraft in boneyards could be reengineer till real aircraft with economy can be delivered. The reengineer aircraft can be used on high cost marginal routes. Boneyards in Mojave, CA and Adelanto, CA.

    1. Re:Boneyards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Re-engined.

    2. Re:Boneyards by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      They are in the boneyard for a reason. If anything, you keep the airworthy but old ones running longer. No shortage there.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    3. Re: Boneyards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not just the engines. Often the airframe isn't as aerodynamically efficient as new planes. The other big reason planes end up in the graveyard is the airframe accumulating too much fatigue from too many cycles of taking off, flying to high altitude, then landing.

    4. Re:Boneyards by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      For those who don't grok the reason: Operating costs.

      Fuel and engine maintenance costs are easily far higher for an older aircraft than simply buying a new one and you can't leave aircraft parked around because they cost millions to keep airworthy even if they're not flying. Every minute one isn't in the air or at a gate loading/unloading passengers/freight, it's a liability to the company that owns it.

  12. Not good by PPH · · Score: 4, Interesting

    From what I saw at my time with Boeing, they don't do well when they are under pressure. Things get rushed, forgotten or hastily slapped together. There was an anonymous thread a few weeks ago on an aircraft discussion board as to whether it was OK to use hardware store grade fasteners on aircraft structures. I shuddered. Because I've seen it come close to that when they ran out of approved parts.

    Boeing (also known as the Lazy-B) builds good stuff when it's done at a leisure pace. But try to accelerate things and they go to hell pretty quickly.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
    1. Re:Not good by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Sin in haste, repent in leisure.

      It's hardly Boeing. Anything more complex than a hamburger tends to have this problem.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:Not good by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      Boeing did use off-the-shelf fasteners for the 787s roll out - they didnt plan ahead properly with their supplier of aviation grade fasteners and came up short, so decided to use commercial non-aviation grade fasteners just so they could roll something out for the 7/8/07 unveiling. Of course, the airplane didnt fly for another three years and was eventually written off as unsaleable due to the amount of rework it had undergone...

    3. Re:Not good by PPH · · Score: 2

      It's hardly Boeing

      I've also worked for outfits that do a very good job scaling processes up. They think ahead. Boeing's problem (when I was there) was tradition. They still had people who remembered the way things were done on the Superfortress. And things were not going to change until they were gone.

      20 years ago, I worked in a building in Renton. One corner of that building was a computer room that housed an ancient (even at that time) mainframe. They did batch processing for some engineering functions, with everyone getting weekly paper printouts as output. As time went by, the facilities were sold off (a shopping center is there now). And that building has been demolished .... except for the corner where that mainframe sits. It's still there, sitting in an otherwise empty field. Because the old farts won't port the process to anything newer and refuse to work with anything other then weekly paper printouts. Surrounding processes can't go faster than they do without generating piles of interim revision notices (which are a nightmare to reconcile).

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    4. Re:Not good by PPH · · Score: 1

      Boeing did use off-the-shelf fasteners for the 787s roll out

      That is pretty well known. But the question was brought up recently (a few weeks ago). Which makes me wonder what motivated it this time.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    5. Re:Not good by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "Because the old farts won't port the process to anything new"

      This is exactly the reason why manufacturers tend to move assembly lines to new towns or countries. It's an opportunity to get rid of this kind of issue without having the unions go nuts.

      Unions are necessary and a good thing to prevent exploitation. A good environment has the company, workers and unions all working together for a common goal.

      Unions which obstruct the abliity to make changes in order to stay competitive or to do a better job are a liabliity to the people that employ them (the workers) because the choice of "we need to streamline and cut back the workforce by 30% using a sinking lid policy over the next 15 years" becomes "We're moving the factory to Mexico. You're all redundant"

  13. I worked in IT for about twenty years before.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    becoming a bankruptcy attorney. I live in Everett, WA just north of Seattle and home of the largest building in the world by volume where planes are built by Boeing. I've done bankruptcy filings for hundreds of employees and most of them make well into six figures despite the fact many of them don't even have high school diplomas. Boeing simply can't afford to work them more than forty hours, and in many cases the employees can just refuse because of union rules. Because of the union, Boeing can't afford to have that much headroom. This is the fault of unions.

  14. contributes to climate change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    have they addressed the emissions issue yet?

  15. Re:I worked in IT for about twenty years before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If these guys are making such great money why is Everett (home of bikini baristas) such a shit hole?

  16. But but but... by ckatko · · Score: 0

    but... liberals aid the economy was COLLAPSING from Trump's instability!

    Remember that, folks?

    1. Re:But but but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Just over a month into his term and you Trumpettes are giving him credit for aircraft orders?

    2. Re:But but but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not only that, but Trump is personally responsible for the latest McDonald's orders of Chicken McNuggets. That's right, no one at all ate Chicken McNuggets during the Obama Presidency!

      Giggity!

    3. Re:But but but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just over a month into his term and you Trumpettes are giving him credit for aircraft orders?

      Agreed. You cannot produce optimum or even good solutions based on endless lies and propaganda. Sure Goebbel's style propaganda has apparently worked very well so far in the US, but truth has a nasty tendency to eventually be revealed. The idea behind capitalism is that government should mostly keep a hands off approach and let the market work. Trump has been anything but, regularly threatening pretty much everyone if they don't bow to him. Now I myself think there are limits to capitalism, but Trump's blatant protectionism racism and misogyny are not the way.

      Sure the stock market may go up under trump, but eventually the truth debt is going to add up just like any other technical debt and it is probably going to result in the market not doing as well as it might otherwise have done.

      Of course just his attempt to silence the press should, by rights, be impeachable, since if trying to silence a critical part of our democracy isn't at least equivalent to a misdemeanour, then I'll eat my shoes. He has threaten to open liable laws, barred news organisations, tried to discredit news organisation, called news organisations an enemy the american people (inciting to riot), etc, etc. The house republicans don't particularly care about what is right though, so they are going to ignore everything and get what they can while he is there.

  17. Uh oh! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I predict that soon we will be hearing that Boeing needs to build a plant in China.

    1. Re:Uh oh! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I predict that soon we will be hearing that Boeing needs to build a plant in China.

      Yes, I'd love to go on a jet that parts will randomly fall off.

    2. Re:Uh oh! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some parts of Boeing's aircraft are already built in China and shipped back to the US for assembly.
      You know, little things like the wings.
      However, those are generally the parts that don't fall off.

    3. Re:Uh oh! by PPH · · Score: 1

      You know, little things like the wings.

      That would be Japan, not China.

      I don't think it would be a problem having planes built in China for the Chinese domestic market.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    4. Re:Uh oh! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They currently mainly produce in the US, so it cannot realistically get any worse.

  18. Time for layoffs! by gatfirls · · Score: 1

    The solutions to all problems Boeing.

  19. Re:I worked in IT for about twenty years before... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

    many of them don't even have high school diplomas

    Right in the GP post...

    --
    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  20. Ukraine to the rescue by mi · · Score: 2

    Unbeknown to many, Ukraine has some very advanced aircraft technology. Its "Mria" aircraft remains the largest cargo airplane in the world. And it is not just the size — recently it was used to bring a replacement engine to a Boeing...

    They are partnering with Saudis now to develop their know-how into mass-production...

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      You do realise that the An-225 is an appallingly low tech aircraft, all it has going for it is its size. And the Ukraine basically doesnt have an aviation industry any more, as its prime buyer was Russia...

    2. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by mi · · Score: 2

      You do realise that the An-225 is an appallingly low tech aircraft, all it has going for it is its size.

      What else do you need for a cargo plane other than the size — and the lift, which it also has aplenty? The long distance, maybe, and the ability to operate in various weather conditions? It has got all that too...

      And the Ukraine

      There is no "the" in front of the country name. The Germany? The France?

      as its prime buyer was Russia

      Yes, and that's why they are now reorienting towards the Saudis as I already mentioned. And the Chinese. In other words, both of the markets mentioned in the write-up.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    3. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do realise that the An-225 is an appallingly low tech aircraft, all it has going for it is its size.

      What else do you need for a cargo plane other than the size — and the lift, which it also has aplenty? The long distance, maybe, and the ability to operate in various weather conditions? It has got all that too..

      Loading. Efficiency. Safety. Noise.

      Face it, if the An-225 hadn't already been build to satisfy the USSR's dickwaving contest over space, nobody would touch it.

      And the Ukraine

      There is no "the" in front of the country name. The Germany? The France?

      The Sudan. The Philippines. The Netherlands. The Bahamas. The United States of America. The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.

      Face it, you might as well object to me sending a letter to the Prussian Consulate in Siam by way of Burma.

      Yes, and that's why they are now reorienting towards the Saudis as I already mentioned. And the Chinese. In other words, both of the markets mentioned in the write-up.

      Is that why they didn't actually build any planes last year?

      Face it, if the United States of America can sell out to the Kleptocracy of Russia, so will the Ukraine.

    4. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by Gussington · · Score: 1

      What else do you need for a cargo plane other than the size — and the lift, which it also has aplenty?

      Your original claim was that "Ukraine has some very advanced aircraft technology". The An225 is a Soviet era design, hardly what anyone in 2017 should call"advanced". It's big yes, but it's low tech, and only one was ever built.

      There is no "the" in front of the country name. The Germany? The France?

      The Netherlands, the Congo, the Philippines, the Bahamas etc...

    5. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by slashrio · · Score: 1

      And don't forget the Germans...

      --
      "Trump!!", the new Godwin.
    6. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by brambus · · Score: 1

      Ukraine to what rescue? The demand being discussed here is for passenger aircraft in the 100-200 seat category for short-to-medium routes. Did I miss a recent Ukrainian aircraft in that category? Mria is basically a 1980s huge empty flying box, a completely different aircraft for a completely different job.

    7. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by mi · · Score: 1

      The An225 is a Soviet era design

      Boeing 767 was also created in 1981 — and they still can't make enough of them.

      hardly what anyone in 2017 should call"advanced".

      It is neither computer nor software. It is a plane. US still flies B-52s (since 1955) and F-15s (since 1976).

      and only one was ever built.

      Yep — because Socialism of the USSR was not conductive to proper mass production.

      The Netherlands, the Congo, the Philippines, the Bahamas etc...

      If you want to use the short names of the countries, then it is, respectively: Holland, Congo-Kinshasa (or Congo-Brazzaville — in your ignorance, you aren't even aware there are two), Philippines, Bahamas. "The" may be part of a long name of a country, such as The Kingdom of The Netherlands...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    8. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by mi · · Score: 1

      The categories aren't without overlaps. If Ukraine takes a bite from the cargo-plane market, then Boeing can produce more passenger jets.

      Mria is basically a 1980s huge empty flying box

      Just what FedEx or UPS might want then, right?

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    9. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by brambus · · Score: 1

      The categories aren't without overlaps.

      They are without overlap. You can't just swap aircraft types without serious infrastructure changes in an airline. Airplanes aren't cars.

      Just what FedEx [planespotters.net] or UPS might want then, right?

      No. The Mria is much larger than is often needed or even wanted (airport/handling restrictions), it has terrible fuel economy and doesn't fit within the fleet composition of FedEx or UPS. Again, you can't just switch airplane makes like you do with cars. There are training considerations, certifications, maintenance, parts availability, manufacturer support, etc. etc. Bigger isn't always better. Just ask Airbus about their A380F (total market flop).

    10. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by esonik · · Score: 1

      Ze Germans !

    11. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Ah, my favourite ukrainian dumbass strikes again. First, Ukraine is not even able to build a second one, even though they had an unused airframe collecting dust for very much exactly 30 years. And second, the aircraft industry in Zimbabwe-upon-Dnieper is long dead. Their last breath was the An-148, a commercial failure thanks to shitty engines and also thanks to the Antonov's inability to actually build the goddamn airplane. Matter of fact, the vast majority of these airplanes were licence-built in Russia, and that won't continue due to political reasons and also because SSJ-100 is a much better aircraft.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    12. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Holland is not a country, dumbass. It is a region and a former province. The Netherlands (the low countries) is exactly right.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    13. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by Gussington · · Score: 1

      Boeing 767 was also created in 1981

      The 767-200 was released in 1982. The 767 you buy today is not the 767-200.

      It is neither computer nor software.

      You might want to check how they build planes these days

      It is a plane. US still flies B-52s (since 1955) and F-15s (since 1976).

      Again, not the same planes that rolled off the floor. The name might be the same, but they have been heavily update since. There is only one An225, there have been no upgraded models released.

      Yep — because Socialism of the USSR was not conductive to proper mass production.

      So not advanced then...

      If you want to use the short names of the countries, then it is, respectively: Holland, Congo-Kinshasa (or Congo-Brazzaville — in your ignorance, you aren't even aware there are two), Philippines, Bahamas. "The" may be part of a long name of a country, such as The Kingdom of The Netherlands...

      You're an idiot. This was my exact point. People don't always use the exact official name of a country. Go back to Reddit...

    14. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by stoatwblr · · Score: 2

      There's only one AN225, but they're considering completing the other airframe and maybe building a third, thanks to increased heavy lifting requirements.

      AN124 lifting capacity is heavily oversubscribed and the vast majority of business is outside the old eastern blocs. Virtually all of that goes through a freight handling contractor in England.

      It's worth noting that both the AN124 and 225 are operating in a market completely separated from Airbus and Boeing. Not even the 747-F can take the kinds of loads that these aircraft can handle - and the only thing they really need for modernisation is better engines and glass cockpits, both of which are on the agenda (Antonov don't want to be dependent on russian engines for number of reasons including reliabilty and fuel consumption. Imagine a Trent-1000 or GEnx engined AN225, because that's the kind of thing that can happen in non-serial aircraft production, where the maker is also the operator)

    15. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by mi · · Score: 2

      It's worth noting that both the AN124 and 225 are operating in a market completely separated from Airbus and Boeing.

      There is a different meaning to the word "separation". Firms like FedEx and UPS may be happy to use a giant plane like Mria for their own busy routes — still need the same crew, but can take a lot more load. A single such AN can replace a number of Boeings and/or Airbuses, which could be used for human travelers.

      If only Antonov actually managed to move to actually building those planes, rather than merely designing them. Hopefully, the Saudi and the Chinese investments — as well as the reduced/eliminated Russian influence — will help.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    16. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      Antonov will happily build them if someone orders enough to justify starting the line - but it's kinda hard to run a factory when there's a civil war going on just down the road

      The current problem is that the Progress turbofan engines on them aren't very efficient (or particularly reliable, despite being made modular for easy repairs) and that coupled with needing a crew of 4-8 means that the planes have higher operating cost per tonne/km than haulers want to pay.

      Couple that with legendary Russian "built like a brick shithouse" engineering - which is great for flying into unimproved runways, but again makes the economics not so hot and the hassles of flying a type which isn't homogenous and more large operators won't go there.

      Antonov has been looking at re-engining and redoing the avionics on the things since the mid 2000s but aviation has long lead-times everywhere. In the meantime the existing fleet of AN124s is working so hard the airframes are wearing out, so something's got to give soon (either they give up, or they start building more).

      The interesting thing is that China's looking at license-building the AN224 with progress engines attached.

    17. Re:Ukraine to the rescue by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Yep â" because Socialism of the USSR was not conductive to proper mass production.

      Right. That's why they didn't churn out 80,000 T-34s.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  21. Re:I worked in IT for about twenty years before... by ffkom · · Score: 1

    I prefer to fly on airplanes that were not built by sleep-depraved, overworked slaves.

  22. Re: I worked in IT for about twenty years before.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Same here. I have a masters on comp sci from Stanford but I'm still at the limits of union contracts. I've worked seven days a week for over the past year except for three weekends I've been allowed off. They mostly get five weeks off.

  23. Re:I worked in IT for about twenty years before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh please. We in corporate have three weeks of vacation time per year and are allowed on average to only take four days. The high school drop-outs that work onn the planes get over three times that much off on average. Also, they get time and a half for every hour worked over eight hours per day while we get nothing extra since we're salary.

  24. Re: Yet another Trump victory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Except airline orders have been more or less constant since recovering from the Wall Street orchestrated depression.

    You could have published the same story last year, in fact, somebody did.

  25. India, China, Fracking ... by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 4, Informative
    Last time oil hit almost 150$ a barrel, and stayed well above 100$ for a longtime after that, all the airlines were squeezed dry. Southwest alone prospered it had locked in oil at 60$ a barrel for several years and it was riding high. It was making so much profit on oil desk, it was rumored SEC is going to classify it as a energy trader and not a transporter. Some airlines were prohibited by the regulators to buy options and were forced buy in the spot market. Airlines have learnt their lesson well. When the oil crashed below 40$ most of them have locked in oil at low prices. So they are sort of protected from oil shocks.

    And China and India are booming. The largest airplane order was from Indica, a domestic airline from India. 410 orders for Airbus 320. Airbus with their government funding is able to give them very long lease terms and guaranteed buy back price. Boeing needs to raise cash on commercial paper, Airbus does so on government underwritten bonds. But that is a different story.

    Confluence of these factors, and a general belief that oil is never going to exceed 100$ ever again is fueling the optimism and large airplane orders. Oil producers trying to kick their oil dependence are trying to become transportation centers. Now a days it is impossible to beat the fares offered by Emirates, Qatar, Kuwait, Etihad to India/China from USA. So even the oil states are investing in airplanes.

    They believe the moment oil goes above 60, fracking becomes profitable again. At 80, the fracking will flood the market with over supply and oil will slideback.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:India, China, Fracking ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Airbus with their government funding is able to give them very long lease terms and guaranteed buy back price. Boeing needs to raise cash on commercial paper, Airbus does so on government underwritten bonds. But that is a different story.

      But then Boeing gets its development budgets subsidised heavily by military contracts from the US government. Let's not pretend that the support Airbus enjoys is anywhere near what Boeing gets from tax money.

    2. Re:India, China, Fracking ... by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1
      Don't pretend Airbus does not get military subsidies. Europe via NATO gets US defense spending pork, some of it goes to Airbus. Further Airbus is merely a brand name nominally owned by a French company. It has ancillaries and subsidiaries, etc etc. Many of them are nominally based in America for the express purpose of getting a cut of the US defense pork. One small example: Dassault, for example, owns tons and tons of CAD/CAM companies. It is trying to corner the market of design analysis tools. From Indian computational geometry giant GSSL, to Boulder based Spatial Tech, to SolidEdge .... It hopes to corner the 3D printing market (goes by the jargon Additive Manufacturing Technology). These small companies lobby the government for defense tech pork. If you track the ownership, it goes through some bewildering array of open and closed corporations.

      US Defense spending is so huge, every one, even the Russian organized criminal gangs get a part.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  26. Re:I worked in IT for about twenty years before... by Pascoea · · Score: 2

    Most of them make well into six figures despite the fact many of them don't even have high school diplomas

    Most craftsmen don't need post-secondary education. Craftsmen learn by doing, not by studying. Look in any of the skilled trades, carpenters, boilermakers, electricians, pipefitters, very very few of them have anything past high school, and there are a large number that don't have high school diplomas. You just don't need that type of education to do that type of work.

    This is the fault of unions.

    I'm not sure I follow your logic though. You are saying they are going bankrupt because of the unions? While saying they are making well into 6 figures? That sounds like a money management issue rather than a union issue.

    Boeing simply can't afford to work them more than forty hours,

    Why the hell would you want them working more than 40 hours? Since when is that a sign laziness? I don't want a guy working 6-10's assembling my air planes. People get burned out working that many hours.

  27. OUTSOURCING by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe if they stopped outsourcing so much of their manufacturing, they could speed up deliveries.

    1. Re:OUTSOURCING by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The outsourcing is done to win orders in the country being outsourced too. That's how the game is played

  28. Thanks, Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Thanks, Trump. Making America Great Again, one victory at a time.

  29. Tell that to the fired employees by sdinfoserv · · Score: 3, Informative

    That's complete Bullsh*t.
    I live in Seattle. Boeing announced it will be cutting jobs in 2017 due to " fierce competition with rival Airbus and a drop in new orders".
    They will be cutting the number of planes produced per month.
    http://www.bizjournals.com/sea...

    1. Re:Tell that to the fired employees by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      due to " fierce competition with South Carolina"

      FTFY.

      Seattle. Boeing is gone. You just don't know it yet.

    2. Re:Tell that to the fired employees by sdinfoserv · · Score: 1

      really? 70,000 LOCAL employees would disagree.

  30. Trump Was 100% Wrong! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm not tired of all this winning

    1. Re: Trump Was 100% Wrong! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The one lie he told, is that we would get tired of it.

  31. Re:I worked in IT for about twenty years before... by PPH · · Score: 1

    Boeing can't afford to have that much headroom. This is the fault of unions.

    Welcome to South Carolina, Boeing.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  32. Re: Stupid laws by hackwrench · · Score: 1

    I don't know if there is a law he absolutely must stay at the White House and use Air Force One just because he is the president, but I wouldn't be surprised if there is. But security! is probably the claim.

  33. Re:I worked in IT for about twenty years before... by Sperbels · · Score: 1

    Well, if it's so awesome in the factory, why don't you get a job there?

  34. CO2 emissions by manu0601 · · Score: 1

    30% increase of air traffic will not help curbing down CO2 emissions.

    1. Re:CO2 emissions by slashrio · · Score: 1

      So what? CO2 is good for plants, so it will help feed the growing population.

      --
      "Trump!!", the new Godwin.
    2. Re:CO2 emissions by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      Nuclear powered hydrogen -> methane -> (long chain hydrocarbon) kerosene production would solve that (using atmospheric CO2)

      We already have the technology to do it, just not the political or economic incentives - and that's unlikely to occur with the shitgibbon's cronies crapping all over the environment, but we may have our (as in the species) hands forced by a burgeoning anoxic event long before sea levels change to any meaningful degree.

    3. Re:CO2 emissions by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Some plants like extra CO2 and their growth will increase as it does. With food crops it's common for the crops to grow more with extra CO2, but to have lower nutritional yields, meaning the extra growth is wasted. There is a lot more to this than you seem to realise.

  35. Bombardier C-series by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hey if there is too much wait for the Boeing and Airbus planes, look at the Bombardier C-series. They need a couple good orders to justify the taxpayer bailouts.

    Meanwhile Bombardier scaled back it's Learjet business.

  36. Re: Stupid laws by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    AF1 has solid security measures. While I respect Trump's penchant for luxury and would endulge in such myself if I had the means, I would be furious if his opsec was poor enough to let something happen to him in a civvy jet for lust of luxury.

    Thankfully, he is on AF1, as you would expect.

  37. Re:Yet another Trump victory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And there it is, Superkunt with his delusional bullshit.

  38. A Post on Axios... by lloy0076 · · Score: 1

    The framework which is designed for asynchronous responses...such as planes not appearing on demand! Whoa!

  39. Bad news for AGW and railways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bad news for AGW, since pollution spewed by airplanes flying 10-11km high is much more hurtful compared to ground-level emissions, when it comes to catalysing and boosting global climate change, due to interaction with the ozone layer and cosmic radiation.

    The agressive growth in A320 and B737 plane sales is especially alarming, since these small-mid sized and densely seat-packaged craft are mostly used for overland routes, often short ones, whose travel needs could be served with trains - with essentially zero emissions, considering e.g. hydro-dam powered, electrified tracks. For example a 60k horsepower strong airplane carries up to 180-188 pax seats at 850km/h, while a 15k horsepower bullet train carries 540-600 people at 320km/h. Airplane moves about 1/3rd of the people at almost 3x speed, but with 4x more energy expenditure and all of that coming from fossil fuel! That's rather damning, but of course nobody likes to invest in long-term infrastructure projects like railways, any more.

    On the other hand, the oil and gas lobby is injecting large amounts of clandestine money into the air travel sector, because sizeable airplanes are not going to be electrified in the foreseeable future, that's jut basic physics. Wings are the Koch's final refuge after the unavoidable loss of automobile fuel territory. They will be able to sell jet fuel (essentially fancy diesel) or possibly LNG for commercial and military aviation even in 2100 AD.

    On the other hand, the fickle (unstable) nature of especially the "low-cost" air carriers will hurt the public, since they come and go like weather. One year they are found at rural airstrip A, next year move to major hub B, soon get fed up with costs, move to obscure ex-mil airstrip C and repeat that ad nauseum. This makes setting up airport-to-city public transport impossible, thereby creating a pollution/noise/jam burden of individual ground travel as well.

    All that chaos cannot continue forever. I bet some time in the future pax and cargo aviation will have to be curtailed to fight AGW. That day Airbus will be in a better position, since there is a lot of railway industry in Europe, e.g. CAF, Alsthom, Siemens, Stadler, ABB, Ansaldo, Skoda, Ganz, Electroputere, PESA. Airbus can buy and/or conglomerize some of them and quickly diversifying into rail products. On the other hand, Boeing will be in trouble, since there is essentially no pax rail industry in the USA, even Acela buys Alstom rolling stock. If the rather illusorical "Hyper-oops" project collapses, Boeing and USA will be caught with pants not yet up and there will be another "Detroit downfall".

  40. Re: Loading. Efficiency. Safety by slashrio · · Score: 1

    As if the Ukrainians and Saudis care about that...

    --
    "Trump!!", the new Godwin.
  41. Re:Yet another Trump victory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm not going to pay too much for this airplane!

    - Donald Trump (with credit to Meinecke's ad agency in the '80s)

  42. plants need more than CO2 you fool by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lets hope the expense of moving all the farmland, and whatever is currently there out the way is worth it. Just so we can feed the population that we already extremely easily feed now.

  43. Using an article in front of a country's name by mi · · Score: 1

    The Sudan.

    Wrong. The name of the country is Sudan. The Sudan is a name of a geographic region . Face it, your English really sucks and you are most uncultured.

    The Netherlands.

    Some countries have a long name and a short name. The article is not used in front of the short name. The Kingdom of The Netherlands is the long name, Holland (no "the") is the short name.

    Like Germany, Ukraine has no "long name" — since it stopped being merely a region of the delightfully dead USSR and became and independent state, the "the" in front of it is inappropriate although frequently used to insult by the Russian assholes. Which is exactly what you did — and are.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re: Using an article in front of a country's name by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, now I'm a Russian? That's funny.

      But no, The Sudan is even found in its formal name: Republic of the Sudan

      You can find people who use the definite article as well.

      Sorry, but you have not been informed properly. Same with Holland. That's like calling the USA, Dixie or Texas, or something. Odd that you're indifferent to that, but so prickly over yours.

      Which is why getting upset over a lingering habitual referral in another language, only makes you the asshole. That you combine it with paranoia is just increasing the problem.

      You might as well be bitching about the State of Kentucky. Or Virginia. Or Pennsylvania. Or Massachusetts.

      Or that a street is Drive or Road. Seriously, I don't care as long as I get the mail. But it is funny seeing the street signs.

      If I stand on the right spot, and use binoculars, I can read both clearly.

  44. Fuck Nazis by mi · · Score: 1

    Ah, my favourite ukrainian dumbass strikes again.

    Nazis are so out fashion, dumbass, you really should try to do a better job hiding it... Not that you can do a better job at anything, even /. trolling.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  45. Re:I worked in IT for about twenty years before... by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

    Craftsmen receive a shitload of training, even if it's not a "diploma" at the end.

    Good companies and industries recognise that. Some have some up with equivalents to tertiary qualifications that are recognised universally.

    The very skilled trades you mention _all_ have significant requirements for safety and technical training. Throwing a HS graduate at any of those fields without several years of training through apprenticeships or other on-the-job training results in _deaths_

    As for hours worked: Amen. Any more than 35 hours worked results in documented reductions in throughput and increases in errors. That might be ok if you're a minimum wage oik behind the counter at 7-11, but I'd prefer that my aircraft have their full complement of fasteners, of the right type and tensioned correctly, given that the stress calculations of the airframe are finely put together to give maximum strength without excess weight.

    Of course that kind of hting is exactly the area where robots win overall (no mistakes, don't get tired), but the improvement in productivity for that kind of incremental change means that only a few people are surplus to requirements and the increase in production might well mean there's an opening for them fitting cabin seats instead.

  46. Re: I worked in IT for about twenty years before.. by Pascoea · · Score: 1

    Craftsmen receive a shitload of training, even if it's not a "diploma" at the end

    That's pretty much what I was implying. Years of apprenticeship, on the job training and classroom instruction, none of which ends with a degree. But it ends with a 100k/year job. I've worked with a ton of craftspeople, just like every other profession they have brilliant people and people I wouldn't trust to tie their shoes correctly. College education has nothing to do with it.

  47. Re: a lot more by slashrio · · Score: 1

    Yeah, like the loss of nutrition already caused by the (over-) use of chemical fertilizers, always re-cropping the land without resting, maximizing the yield, i.e.: extracting as much nutrients from the soil as possible (without of course returning them).
    The problem you mention is already there without CO2 increase.

    --
    "Trump!!", the new Godwin.