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How To Get Back To the Moon In 4 Years -- This Time To Stay (scientificamerican.com)

Scientific American describes "a way to get to the Moon and to stay there permanently...to begin this process immediately and to achieve moon landings in less than four years." It starts by abandoning NASA's expensive Space Launch System and Orion capsule, and spending the money saved on private-industry efforts like Elon Musk's SpaceX and Robert Bigelow's Bigelow Aerospace. schwit1 quotes their report: Musk's rockets -- the Falcon and the soon-to-be-launched Falcon Heavy -- are built to take off and land. So far their landing capabilities have been used to ease them down on earth. But the same technology, with a few tweaks, gives them the ability to land payloads on the surface of the Moon. Including humans. What's more, SpaceX's upcoming seven-passenger Dragon 2 capsule has already demonstrated its ability to gentle itself down to earth's surface. In other words, with a few modifications and equipment additions, Falcon rockets and Dragon capsules could be made Moon-ready...

Major segments of the space community want every future landing to add to a permanent infrastructure in the sky. And that's within our grasp thanks to Robert Bigelow... Since the spring of 2016, Bigelow, a real estate developer and founder of the Budget Suites of America hotel chain, has had an inflatable habitat acting as a spare room at the International Space Station 220 miles above your head and mine. And Bigelow's been developing something far more ambitious -- an inflatable Moon Base, that would use three of his 330-cubic-meter B330 modules.

The article calls Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin rockets "a wild car" which could also land passengers and cargo on the moon and suggests NASA would be better off funding things like lunar-surface refueling stations, lunar construction equipment, and "devices to turn lunar ice into rocket fuel, drinkable water, and breathable oxygen."

4 of 355 comments (clear)

  1. No Dragon 2 Soft Landing Yet by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 5, Informative

    Dragon 2 isn't built yet. The escape test was a boilerplate capsule more like a Dragon 1 than 2. Dragon 2 has not demonstrated a soft landing, because it's not built yet. That was the Falcon 9 first stage.

    Also, you can't get Dragon 2 down to the Moon and back up on it's own. Not enough delta-V. You would need to have Dragon ride on top of something that can hold enough fuel. Like a larger version of the Apollo Service Module.

    The Command/Service module was originally intended to land on the moon and return without the LEM, before NASA bought the LEM concept, and was overpowered for the mission it got. Dragon is larger and heavier, but a lunar landing one would probably look a lot like an Apollo Command and Service module, and legs.

    And yeah, Orion: I'm Not on Board. Big expensive obsolete rocket with no mission that makes sense.

    But good luck getting Elon Musk to focus on the practical and eminently desirable target of the Moon. He isn't interested. It's only Mars for Elon.

    I try not to watch all of the Mars Colonial Transport speculation. Falcon 9 and Dragon are great, and they're here, and we could do so much with them.

  2. No Idea on how valid the alternates are by Crashmarik · · Score: 3, Informative

    But it's hard to do worse than NASA's SLS

    http://www.thespacereview.com/...

    It has been estimated at a per launch cost of 5 billion a shot, and a cost per pound that makes the shuttle look like Amazon Prime.

  3. Re: Rockets are too expensive by joh · · Score: 4, Informative

    They only need fins because they have to steer a lot due to the inconsistencies of the atmosphere (wind and unknown pressure details). On the moon you need no fins, you can just aim a precise trajectory all the way down to the landing point.

  4. Clarke wrote about it in SF by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 3, Informative

    As noted, Clarke did not invent the concept of the space elevator, although he was one of the first two writers to highlight it in science fiction (with Charles Sheffield the other). The concept of the space elevator was invented independently several times, the first time Artsutanov (who only published in Russian), then by Isaacs et al, and then by Pearson.

    http://www.isec.org/index.php/10-resources/18-the-history-of-the-space-elevator

    Clarke didn't invent the concept of a geosynchronous satellite, either, although he was the first to point out that geosynchronous orbit was an excellent orbit for communications.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com