Instant Messaging App Snapchat-Maker Snap's IPO Opened Trading At $24 a Share, Making the Company Worth $33 Billion (recode.net)
Snap, the company behind instant messaging app Snapchat, went public this morning at price that values the loss-making tech company at $33 billion. Here's how the investors are valuing the company: At $33 billion, investors are saying Snap is worth 35 times what it's estimated to generate in sales this year, or about $936 million, according to eMarketer. Compare that with Facebook, which is currently worth about 10.5 times its estimated 2017 revenue. In other words, investors, for the moment, think Snap has three times more potential value than Facebook. That's a big bet. Snap lost $514 million last year on $404 million in revenue. Compare that with Twitter, which lost $79 million the year before its IPO, while Facebook made $1 billion in profit. Snap has 158 million daily active users. Facebook at its IPO had 845 million monthly active users and 483 million daily active users.
Where these investors get their understanding of technology.
Bobble.
As Megatron said to Optimus Prime as he shot him repeatedly (and fatally) while using Hot Rod as a shield: "FALL! FALL!"
The smart money will short this shit into the ground. Snapchat has fewer opportunities to generate revenue than fucking Twitter does.
I'm just not stupid enough to be able to see why this, like Facebook, could possibly be profitable. So, I'll lose out on this one, too.
Remember that investors never make mistakes and we should surrender all decisions with regards to the economy to them.
Back during the first bubble, particularly around the time that Redhat went public, I was fascinated at how many IPOs were priced in the $15 to $30/share range regardless of what that implied about their total value.
These folks have figured out how to game the uninformed investor looking to make a quick buck on IPOs. $5 makes people think the company is a dog, $50 to $100 makes them think it's overpriced. The fact that neither number says anything about valuation is immaterial.
So sure, $24 looks like a great price for a piece of stock, who cares if it implies a grossly overvalued stock.
These guys are all "oh man, this product is in millions of peoples hands! The potential! The exposure!" while failing to take into account that people use it because it's free (path of least resistance), and the second you start trying to charge/disrupt the experience with ads... MANY of them will look elsewhere
Those free cash gotta go somewhere right?
It is often thought that it is a bad thing for the uninformed get-rich-quick "investors" to be "swindled" in this fashion; on the contrary, it is a very good thing.
Such people are being stripped of their ability to allocate society's scarce resources to some other stupid idea—and even better, some of these fools will find the lesson illuminating, and thereby escape their foolishness, to the benefit of the rest of society.
Your bank balance is a proxy for your ability to make decisions for society, and you should lose some of that ability whenever you make a bad decision (and you should gain that ability whenever you make a good decision).
Do not pitty the fool. Instead, be glad that he has been removed from power.
Twitter is currently trading within two dollars of its 52 week low as concerns mount that it may not ever be profitable. I don't use Snapchat. I have nothing against it, but I have no use for it. I have read recently that all of their competitors do everything that Snapchat does, but they all do it better. Snapchat was just there first. I'm sure that some people will make money on this stock. Those who got in close to the IPO opening price may have already sold it off for a profit. The investment bank that backed the IPO certainly has already made a ton from today's market action. But this is the same market with the same investors who kept SCO alive for years at almost $5 a share in the hopes that it would win its lawsuit so I won't be surprised if Snapchat eventually dies and many of those investors end up taking big losses on it.
Back in Dotcom Bubble 1.0 it was "eyeballs" - now it's "engagement". Companies IPOing back then also had no concrete plan on how they were going to make money. This is reminding me of the second phase of the last bubble. First it was VC firms pumping money into anything that involved a web browser, then trying to recover their investments by pumping the companies out to an unsuspecting public. Facebook and Twitter were the first, Snapchat might be a VA Linux or a TheGlobe.com.
The thing that sucks is all the bankruptcy sales won't have any cool servers, storage or network gear since it's all in The Cloud this time around.
Imagine what their company could be worth if their software had a good UI? ;)
Is how would we act if we found alien life (non-intelligent) and could send a ship to study it, would we allow the ship back? Or would we have a permanent physical contact ban in case of deadly life forms that our species couldn't cope with.
Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
This is crazy. They are losing money and they have no clear runway to working business model. Its like a flashback to 20 years ago. Apparently a whole new generation of investors has to learn all of these lessons for themselves.
Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But then I repeat myself. -- Mark Twain
I went to a night club about a 1 year ago since about 7 years and 80% of the people in there were wearing tight cut off jeans and florescent tshirt and shit that looked liked I was back in high school in the early 90's. New generation just recycle the same shit although I wont mind when those womens low cut jeans come back instead of the current mom bum 90's look.
by TheSpoom (715771) Uncaring Linux user here. I have nothing to add to this but please continue. *munches popcorn*
Let's see: did we invest in a company with no revenue stream? Check. Is it only used by people who lack the means, were we to charge for it, to pay for it? Check. Has it been hemorrhaging money for years? Check.
Yep, we've got all the signs of a sure winner here.
You can have a trillion dollars in revenue, but if you're still making a loss your company is worthless.
But different rules seem to apply to Tech stocks.
To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it