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A US Ally Shot Down a $200 Drone With a $3 Million Patriot Missile (theverge.com)

An anonymous reader shares a report on The Verge: Earlier this week, General David Perkins, the commander of the US Army Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC) spoke at the Association of the US Army's Global Force symposium, where he discussed the threats that the US military would begin to face in the coming years. One notable example is how a US ally recently shot down a $200 consumer drone with a $3.4 million worth Patriot Missile. Perkins' talk during the symposium focused on the complexity of a military organization in the field, and how the interconnected nature of air, ground, and sea forces can lead to a fragmented response to a threat between the commanders who are in charge of specific areas. [...] "The gut instinct was," he explains, "that's an air defense problem, because they're in the air." "In fact," he went on to say, "we have a very close ally of ours that was dealing with an adversary using small quadcopter UASs, and they shot it down with a Patriot missile." The problem, he said, wasn't effectiveness: the tiny drone didn't stand a chance -- the issue is economics.

32 of 318 comments (clear)

  1. Potential Damages? by Scoth · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I guess a potentially more interesting question is whether that drone could have done $3.4 million of damage via surveillance or something. Seems unlikely in this case, but if we're talking some kind of super top secret installation then it might be worth that kind of force to make sure it's really, really blown up.

    Still worth investigating sufficient response that's more economical.

    1. Re:Potential Damages? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 5, Funny

      Still worth investigating sufficient response that's more economical.

      Maybe they could contract with that shotgun-toting old woman from Virginia.

    2. Re:Potential Damages? by OzPeter · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I guess a potentially more interesting question is whether that drone could have done $3.4 million of damage

      Note that this is purely a thought exercise and I would never ever think about doing this in real life (FBI take note of this disclaimer!)

      1. Buy some large sized consumer drone off craigslist for cash. (bonus points for showing up in a stolen car and having a disguise)
      2. Modify them to drop small canisters of red paint.
      3. Re-flash the software to ignore all flight restrictions
      4. Wait until the president is at Mar-A-Largo
      5. Program the drones to fly to 1000 feet, drop down over the target and release their "bombs" over visible areas and then fly out to sea on a random flight path until their batteries run out
      6. Release the hounds^w drones at night (or more bonus points for the middle of a golf game)
      7. Wash. Rinse. Repeat at other locations.
      8. Sit back and watch the government spend a shitload more than $3.4 million as they try to control the situation.

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    3. Re:Potential Damages? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 5, Informative

      This isn't a new issue with drones. I recall a debriefing from the Iraq war where an Apache pilot was asked what he thought the cost of the missiles that he fired and the value of the convoy of trucks that he destroyed were. Hopefully the trucks contained something important to the enemy's war effort, because otherwise he'd spent a few million dollars to destroy a few tens of thousands of dollars. One of the strategies that's been core military doctrine since the US-Soviet conflict in Afghanistan (and Vietnam before that) has been to try to make your enemy outspend you by a large margin. A superpower like the USA might be able to afford to spend $100 for every $1 you spend, but starts to struggle when it has to spend $1,000 or even $10,000 for every $1 that you spend.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    4. Re:Potential Damages? by Big+Hairy+Ian · · Score: 4, Funny

      The headline should read "Patriot missile finally shoots something down"

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    5. Re:Potential Damages? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Let's talk about the F-35 in this context, shall we....

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    6. Re:Potential Damages? by OzPeter · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It does sound like a modern art project to me.

      Oh come on. If I was going for an art project I'd be suggesting pig's blood and not red paint!

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    7. Re:Potential Damages? by flappinbooger · · Score: 2

      Still worth investigating sufficient response that's more economical.

      Maybe they could contract with that shotgun-toting old woman from Virginia.

      Angry redneck squad - DEPLOY!

      --
      Flappinbooger isn't my real name
    8. Re:Potential Damages? by fincher69 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Better yet, cans of spray tan!

    9. Re: Potential Damages? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2, Funny

      On something smaller and cheaper.

      Smaller and cheaper than a woman from Virginia?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
  2. They'll probably need something like AEGIS by DeplorableCodeMonkey · · Score: 3, Interesting

    What they need as a starting point is something like AEGIS, but that is plug and play onto any vehicle. Something as simple as a turret that is radar-controlled and that uses 5.56 could shred consumer drones all day. It's be a foregone conclusion if they use 7.62.

    1. Re:They'll probably need something like AEGIS by EvilSS · · Score: 2

      What they need as a starting point is something like AEGIS, but that is plug and play onto any vehicle. Something as simple as a turret that is radar-controlled and that uses 5.56 could shred consumer drones all day. It's be a foregone conclusion if they use 7.62.

      They have those, and they use 20mm explosive rounds so it's basically like launching a shotgun shell that fires itself after leaving the gun, only much more spectacularly. The idea is to create a wall of high speed debris that a mortar or rocket can't get through without being impacted. They also have the added benefit of not raining down potentially lethal fire beyond the intended intercept range. Spraying thousands of ordinary rounds at a shallow angle (as the CRAM systems tend to do to get an intercept and keep the target away from the area you are protecting) could have some pretty bad consequences if you are dealing with an area with lots of civilians. Even if you don't like those civilians, there is the political fallout to consider.

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  3. Engineers have a name for that phenomenon. by hey! · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We call it a "golden hammer". Only in this case it's a single-use golden hammer.

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  4. On the bright side... by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 4, Funny

    ... this conclusively disproves all of the naysayers who claim that the Patriot missile doesn't work.

  5. How is this different than the economics of decoys by El+Cubano · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So, how is this different than the economics of decoys?

    I understand that the objectives are different, but dropping a very expensive GPS-guided bomb to destroy what ends up being a $10,000 tank or aircraft decoy is sort of the same problem from an economic perspective. I mean, the same things that come into play there (i.e., how can tell what is a real threat to me and what is not) are also in play in the drone scenario. If they fire off a multi-million dollar munition at every little thing that twitched then any army would eventually run into problems. Plus, one of the main things which a battlefield commander is supposed to do is figure out what the real threats are and filter out the things that aren't real threats (a really difficult problem in most circumstances).

    I guess I don't see what is special about this particular scenario. This problem has existed for decades.

  6. Free stuff by ghoul · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The problem with free stuff. When you are getting the Patriot missiles free from the US but the bullets from a rifle are paid by your national govt, the Patriot is the more cost effective solution.
    Children in US dont have healthcare because the govt is busy spending billions on hight tech toys like Patriots.

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    1. Re:Free stuff by wiggles · · Score: 2

      > Children in US dont have healthcare because the govt is busy spending billions on hight tech toys like Patriots.

      Oh cut the crap. Children who need it have had free healthcare since 1997.

    2. Re:Free stuff by psycho12345 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Excellent, we can finally write off the 3rd world conservative states who can't fund such things. We liberals can sit back and enjoy the show. A pity we are forced to subsidize them for now, but at last, we have our future free labor from desperate states.

  7. Big problems come in small packages... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    For the price of a Patriot missile, the enemy could have bought 1,500 drones to overwhelm air defenses with multiple targets.

    1. Re:Big problems come in small packages... by ledow · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If a $200 drone costs your enemy $3m to take down, you really have advertised quite a large problem.

      For a few thousand, you can cost your enemy so much money they'll think twice about bothering, which opens them up to attack.

      Or, in the worst case, they are hemorrhaging money and you just pop down the toy shop once a month for another.

      I have to say, the image of a swarm of drones must be really attractive to an attacker of any kind, especially if the response is overkill like this.

      Same as being a fish in a large shoal. Through a few thousand against the most heavily defended places, one of them is bound to get through.

  8. Getting my money's worth by halltk1983 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Can I at least get the video so it's not a complete waste of my tax dollars?

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  9. Rifle Bullet? No? by Eloking · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I mean, we're talking consumer drone so we're talking what? ~500 feet (~150m) and 100 mph? (~160kph)

    Why don't they simply shoot at it with their rifle?

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    Elok
    1. Re:Rifle Bullet? No? by Mashiki · · Score: 2

      Ever gone skeet shooting? Not as easy as it looks. On top of that bullets have a higher chance of killing someone on the ground vs a missile used as an intercept device. Someone can still be killed in either case though, one of the reasons that lasers to shoot them down are being pushed. The other is lasers would be far cheaper and have a higher hit:miss ratio.

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    2. Re:Rifle Bullet? No? by swb · · Score: 2

      On top of that bullets have a higher chance of killing someone on the ground vs a missile used as an intercept device.

      This is kind of a solved problem already with anti-aircraft guns, they usually have combination fusing on their projectiles, impact and a timer fuse so that the projectile will explode in the sky before landing, which is also useful for zone fire. So you can fire them in built-up areas and not end up shelling the civilians underneath the ballistic path.

      But I think a better solution is coming up with new projectile options for existing 7.62mm and .50 cal Gatling guns. Most drones are pretty fragile and low altitude and even if you don't care about what's down range, it doesn't make any more sense to shoot a battery powered drone with a 150 grain or 650 grain lead slug than it does a Patriot missile.

      For 7.62mm guns, a jacketed polymer core would make a lot of sense. It would reduce the range and make the gravity terminal velocity negligible. For .50 cal, you could use a sabot that held multiple smaller polymer slugs, improving the amount of fire on target as well.

      Variations on this using self-feeding shotgun-type shells would also make sense using polymer projectiles, although existing small lead shot is already pretty harmless at terminal gravity velocity (we'd get rained on at the local shotgun range whenever the duck tower was in use, it was like a handful of sand thrown in the air).

  10. Re:Patriot Missile purchases by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2

    [...] for companies that cant afford Patriot Missiles?

    The last thing we need is to have companies, most likely corporations, arming themselves with Patriot missiles.

  11. Re:Arms dealer cartel rejoyce by GLMDesigns · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And you believe this?

    The US has a 3 trillion dollar budget. Even if the Armed forces had 1/3 of that (it doesn't) you would say it can't account (meaning lost or stolen) over 6 years worth of funding.

    And you believe your bull$hit? Or is it that you didn't think about what you were reading?

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  12. Re:How is this different than the economics of dec by vux984 · · Score: 2

    The only thing new about these "drones" is that someone else did all the hard work already.

    Which means that instead of a handful of enthusiasts who have spent large portions of their lives in the RC aircraft community it's now hundreds of thousands of random idiots who got one under the christmas tree who know absolutely nothing at all about the RC aircraft hobby and community, who haven't even read the owners manual...

    Yeah, "So whats the difference?" Right?? /sarcasm

  13. Not the first instance by sjames · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We routinely drop million dollar smart bombs on mud huts and tents in the middle of nowhere. I'm not sure our military even has cheap "dumb bombs" anymore. We fly multi-million dollar high tech aircraft over areas where the enemy barely has the ability to shoot down an old Cessna.

    It's no wonder we can't afford to provide food, clothing, shelter, and basic healthcare here in the homeland.

  14. Re:How is this different than the economics of dec by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2

    The only thing new about these "drones" is that someone else did all the hard work already.

    This *is* the issue. Got a grand (or somewhat less), you have a fully functional remote controlled whatever. You don't really have to RTFM (which, cruising the various forums, is completely obvious).

    Same as anything electronic. The Apollo guidance system cost millions of dollars, was a large box and can be out thought by most singing greeting cards.

    Progress!

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  15. Re:How is this different than the economics of dec by dmatos · · Score: 2

    I guess the difference here is that a $100 quadcopter with a $100 brick of C4 and a $5 detonator on it is a real threat. And if I can spend $205 on a threat that you need to spend $3M to prevent (or suffer hundreds in thousands in damage, if you don't prevent it), then I'm going to very quickly win any war of attrition.

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  16. Re:Arms dealer cartel rejoyce by hawguy · · Score: 2

    And you believe this?

    The US has a 3 trillion dollar budget. Even if the Armed forces had 1/3 of that (it doesn't) you would say it can't account (meaning lost or stolen) over 6 years worth of funding.

    And you believe your bull$hit? Or is it that you didn't think about what you were reading?

    That figure came from a DoD Office of Inspector General report:

    The Office of the Assistant Secretary of the Army (Financial Management & Comptroller) (OASA[FM&C]) and the Defense Finance and Accounting Service Indianapolis (DFAS Indianapolis) did not adequately support $2.8 trillion in third quarter journal voucher (JV) adjustments and $6.5 trillion in yearend JV adjustments made to AGF data during FY 2015 financial statement compilation. The unsupported JV adjustments occurred because OASA(FM&C) and DFAS Indianapolis did not prioritize correcting the system deficiencies that caused errors resulting in JV adjustments, and did not provide sufficient guidance for supporting systemgenerated adjustments.

    If the DoD can't accurately track where they are spending money today, how do they know they need more money, or if they do, where they need to spend it?

  17. Adept at improvisation and making do by drnb · · Score: 2

    In Generation Kill there was a scene where some marines were dressed down for shooting a technical with a TOW. I think the cost/benefit of munitions and targets of opportunity was one of the reasons that cannons got put back on ground strike aircraft.

    For the Marines its not necessarily the cost itself but the number of TOWs available to them. The Marines are not as well funded as the Army or Navy and are adept at improvisation and making do for very good reasons. The Marines will probably purchase some long barreled high choke skeet/trap shotguns to deal with small drones. As they purchased civilian hunting rifles during Viet Nam as necessary to equip snipers and designated marksmen. Its not that such things won't happen in the Army as well, its that in the Army these ideas will largely be confined to the less senior officers. The more senior officers more likely to turn to some research project with a hollywood looking solution.

    When were cannons taken off ground strike aircraft? Fighters yes, that was a bad idea of the 1960s. I believe exterior pod mounted cannons were developed for these fighters for when they were to be used in ground attack roles. And these were hastily repurposed for air-to-air once the error of a pure missile fighter became apparent.