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'Extreme and Unusual' Climate Trends Continue After Record 2016 (bbc.com)

From a report on BBC: In the atmosphere, the seas and around the poles, climate change is reaching disturbing new levels across the Earth. That's according to a detailed global analysis from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). It says that 2016 was not only the warmest year on record, but it saw atmospheric CO2 rise to a new high, while Arctic sea ice recorded a new winter low. The "extreme and unusual" conditions have continued in 2017, it says. Reports earlier this year from major scientific bodies - including the UK's Met Office, Nasa and NOAA -- indicated that 2016 was the warmest year on record. The WMO's State of the Global Climate 2016 report builds on this research with information from 80 national weather services to provide a deeper and more complete picture of the year's climate data.

43 of 373 comments (clear)

  1. This will be denied by all the idiots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When you visit 99 doctors who say you have cancer and one who says your lump is natural, and besides you just don't believe in medical science be cause religion/ideology/economics... whatever. That's pretty much the situation were in with climate science and climate change deniers. WAKE UP! Start treatment!

    1. Re: This will be denied by all the idiots by Altus · · Score: 5, Informative

      Nobody is getting rich of government grants. Nobody. Maybe you should break out of your news bubble and stop listening to the people shoveling this crap at you.

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    2. Re: This will be denied by all the idiots by Altus · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yeah, lots of people like building up hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of student debt just so they can barely scrape by on that sweet sweet government grant money.

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    3. Re:This will be denied by all the idiots by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      After some really cold winters, they stopped calling it 'Global Warming', which sounded stupid in the context, and started calling it 'Climate Change'.

      Wrong. The term "Climate Change" has been in use for more than 50 years. https://skepticalscience.com/c...

    4. Re:This will be denied by all the idiots by Immerman · · Score: 5, Informative

      No, you weren't. There was a *very* small fringe of the scientific community that ever believed in global cooling - that the media chose to latch onto it is irrelevant.

      Also only a very small fringe warned of ice caps melting by 2000 - but again, sensationalism sells news, so that's what the media latched onto.

      Early on the vast bulk of scientists said "we're not really sure just how fast things will get bad, but we should probably start mitigating the risk while we collect more data". Then, about 50 years ago they had enough data to start making predictions - and those predictions have been proving accurate to within the margins of error ever since. Basically for the last several decades of the science has just been a matter of dialing in the decimal points and discovering knock-on effects.

      And most importantly, NOBODY has come up with *any* alternate explanations for the warming we're experiencing that actually matches the data. Data which "coincidentally" is exactly what you'd predict from the well-known thermal retention effects of CO2. And that CO2 can be clearly laid at human's feet because it's accumulating in the atmosphere at a rate *slower* than what we know human fossil fuel consumption is producing.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    5. Re: This will be denied by all the idiots by amiga3D · · Score: 2

      It's already too late for all practical purposes. Eventually carbon output will see significant decline but not in time to do much about the next 100 years. That ship has sailed. Big Oil and Coal are on their way out. Everyone knows it, it's just a matter of time. When battery technology gets to the point you can go off grid on a middle class income it'll be the tipping point. Renewables are the future. Not all the coastal people will be fine, not all are rich. Especially in other parts of the world where billions live in potential flood zones. It's going to be ugly there. Florida ain't looking good either. I just retired and I'm about to buy a new home. I'm going to start with 4 panels and work my way up on a solar system. I look forward to not having to shell out 150 to 300 dollars a month. The green part is just cherry on top.

    6. Re: This will be denied by all the idiots by ganjadude · · Score: 2

      a few percent above cost is "record profits" now???

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    7. Re:This will be denied by all the idiots by amiga3D · · Score: 2

      Things will happen slowly enough. It's not the first time the world has been hot we know. They've found plant fossils in Antarctica. And we also know it was once a giant snowball. I think we wont see either of those two extremes for quite a while. Now if the oceans rose 20 inches tomorrow things would get dicey.

    8. Re: This will be denied by all the idiots by sjames · · Score: 2

      If the cost is destruction of the environment in exchange for that metric assload of money, it is like they're screwing people.

  2. Junk Science by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Funny

    Until they can show peer reviewed research showing climate change, I'm not believing it.

    It's a Chinese hoax.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
    1. Re:Junk Science by XXongo · · Score: 4, Informative

      Until they can show peer reviewed research showing climate change, I'm not believing it.

      It's a Chinese hoax.

      Here's the google scholar result, 1.4 million hits: https://scholar.google.com/sch... Is that enough?

      Here's a summary of the peer-reviewed science: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com...
      and here's another: http://science.sciencemag.org/...

      I have the opposite question: is there any peer-reviewed research showing a credible alternative hypothesis to the greenhouse effect hypothesis? If so, I haven't seen it.

    2. Re:Junk Science by Sumus+Semper+Una · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You respond to links of peer reviewed scientific papers with a link to a tabloid article... And you wonder why people don't take your views seriously.

    3. Re:Junk Science by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

      All that counts is that he provided a link. It could be a link to two gay apes with a bottle of lube, but he provided a link, therefore AGW DISPROVEN!!!

      You're dealing with desperate morons.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  3. The Donald says by Hognoxious · · Score: 4, Funny

    If it's happening more often then it's not unusual any more, and it's not extreme either - it's just normal.

    Get in your Hummers and drive, folks. It'll be awesome.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  4. Re:No complaints here by rochrist · · Score: 2

    For the flood of angry invective from the guys living in their Mom's basement who all know better than the scientists with PhDs.

  5. It means we're winning by WrongMonkey · · Score: 2
    One of the website I check every morning is the daily Arctic sea ice extent.

    http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicen...

    And I have a really good feeling that this will be the year that humanity finally gains the upper hand in our millennial struggle against the Arctic ice cap. Once the ice cap melts completely, even temporally, it will shift the equilibrium of seasonal oscillations. Every winter it will freeze a little less; every summer it will thaw a little sooner. Until our final victory is inevitable. Congratulations everyone. And keep up the good work.

    1. Re:It means we're winning by pastafazou · · Score: 2

      No, I clicked on 2006, and the two lines are extremely close, less than 200,000km2 difference. 2005 and 2007 are less than 300,000km2 difference. It's a 1 to 2% variance. Ho Hum.

  6. Re:No complaints here by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Insightful

    All that matters is short term success. Fuck the future, fuck the brown people, fuck everything but the next six minutes.

    We're dealing with a generation of navel-gazing halfwits whose entire life can be described in 140 characters. And of course, because any aspect of US monitoring of climate is going to be defunded, for the next five to ten years the virginal unwashed basement dwellers and all the angry Rust Belters can continue to pretend that a lack of solid action on CO2 emissions isn't going to cause any problems whatsoever.

    Well, at least the Kochs will keep making money, and after all, that's all that really counts.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  7. Re:No complaints here by fche · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You slew not just one straw man but a whole field of them. Bravo!

  8. Re:No complaints here by Altus · · Score: 4, Interesting

    This thread started with a guy saying "Well its warm where I am so its all good" and this is the post you complain about?

    --

    "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

  9. Re: No complaints here by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

    OH fucking bullshit. No, the skeptics aren't just asking for evidence, they spend pretty much the entirety of any diatribe attacking scientists, denying evidence, and promoting completely ludicrous an unscientific claims.

    CO2 has been known to have the properties it does for over one hundred fucking years. There is absolutely nothing fucking controversial about increasing PPM of CO2 leading to increased trapping of energy (heat) in the lower atmosphere and surface of the planet.

    And you're right, I have a particularly loathing for anyone, either out of ignorance or malice, who attacks science. Such people are vile.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  10. We're not doomed [Re:We're Doomed.] by XXongo · · Score: 3, Insightful
    We're not "doomed'. The climate is changing. The science is pretty solid: the average temperature of the world is getting warmer, we know what it causing it, and there will be effects, some of which will be negative.

    But on a human scale, this is a long term effect: things will change slowly. If this keeps up for a century, the world of the 2100s may be very different from the world we see now. But that's a century away.

    On a geological scale that is quite fast, but that's not the scales humans deal with. We're not doomed (or, at least, no more doomed now than we ever were.

    1. Re:We're not doomed [Re:We're Doomed.] by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We'll see significant change when every ounce of profit that can be wrung out fossil fuels has been made, or at least close enough to it. And then suddenly you're going to start seeing big solar farms on the Arabian Peninsula and Shell(tm) Wind Farms.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  11. Re:Revised headline by religionofpeas · · Score: 4, Informative

    If it keeps happening for a few years in a row, THEN one might be able to start making that argumen

    The last 16 years have all ended up in the top-17 of hottest years. That good enough for you ?

  12. Earth temperature timeline by nickovs · · Score: 2

    Yes, it's been warmer and cooler than this before but the rate and scale of change is unprecedented:

    https://xkcd.com/1732/

    --
    If intelligent life is too complex to evolve on its own, who designed God?
  13. Re: No complaints here by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Which has what to do with what? Scientists say "If we don't cut back significantly on CO2 emissions, we're going to be crossing some pretty important red lines."

    Options are offered by various economists, and each and every one is in turned attacked. Yes, there are fruitcakes out there, but so what? The fact remains that if we do not end the fossil fuel economy soon, we're going to fuck things up badly. Enough to kill off humanity? Well no, but it will effect people in vulnerable areas or in poorer countries bad, and will eat into the economies of wealthier countries.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  14. Re: No complaints here by tsotha · · Score: 2, Insightful

    CO2 has been known to have the properties it does for over one hundred fucking years. There is absolutely nothing fucking controversial about increasing PPM of CO2 leading to increased trapping of energy (heat) in the lower atmosphere and surface of the planet.

    That's true. The problem is climate is a complicated system, and nobody knows how dominant that effect is, or even if it's dominant. Comparing predictive results of climate models to actual measurements shouldn't give anybody the warm fuzzies that climate scientists have any idea what's going on.

  15. Re:No complaints here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    lol you are currently enjoying Mr Obama's stock market, wait about 6 months for trump's to kick in

  16. Re:Revised headline by Baron_Yam · · Score: 2

    They're just gonna hitch up their Hummer to that goalpost and move it again, because that's easier than taking the lifestyle hit that change would require.

    Humans only live ~80 years anyway, and most people talking about this (and with money to do something about it) will be in their late 30s at least. None of them will really see significant change in the remainder of their life, so it's not real to them. Hell, most of them don't even plan for the next decade.

  17. Re: No complaints here by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Funny

    Because that's not what they're asking for. Even your "unmodified data" statement demonstrates that you're just aping a talking point.

    I will fucking repeat, because you appear to be either a fucking moron or out and out malicious. The radiation absorption properties of CO2 have been known for over a century. There is ABSOLUTELY FUCKING NOTHING, let me repeat that, because you appear to be a fucking idiot, THERE IS ABSOLUTELY NOT ONE FUCKING THING controversial about increasing CO2 and other greenhouse gas amounts in the atmosphere that will lead to increase trapping of energy,

    For fuck's sake, the Arctic was some thirty degrees above normal seasonal temperatures for most of this winter. Most of the last twenty years have been the hottest on record. Increased absorption of CO2 in the world's oceans is changing ocean pH levels. Do you think making spurious demands based largely on bullshit you read on denier sites somehow overrides the laws of physics? Are you really that fucking stupid? Were you dropped on your head as a child?

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  18. Once is happenstance, twice is coincidence... by XXongo · · Score: 3, Informative

    Climate != Weather.... Weather != Climate.... Just because it's warmer today or this year, doesn't mean the climate is doing the same thing. If it keeps happening for a few years in a row, THEN one might be able to start making that argument

    Correct. One warm year is weather. Two warm years is happenstance. A series of warm years, globally averaged, though, and you start thinking it's climate. A series of warm years is what has been happening.

    https://weather.com/news/climate/news/august-2016-global-temperature-record
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/jan/23/were-now-breaking-global-temperature-records-once-every-three-years
    https://www.ft.com/content/9962f3c0-dda2-11e6-86ac-f253db7791c6
    https://www.nasa.gov/sites/def...

  19. Skepticism and denial by XXongo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Honestly, I've never seen such outright hatred displayed by the skeptics.

    Yes, I've never before seen such outright hatred as that displayed by the "skeptics", either. It's pretty frightening. But the thing of it is, they're not skeptics: they claim that they're skeptics, but this is a peculiar one-sided "skepticism": no matter how much evidence you show them that the scientists know what they're doing, or how patiently you answer their arguments, they ignore it, but even the most absurd attacks on the science they jump on and believe absolutely, saying "look! It's all a hoax! It's a fraud! Lock them up!"

    They're usually just asking for evidence and unmodified data, like good scientists strive to do.

    That would be science. But when they then don't pay the slightest attention to the reply-- because they're trying to spread doubt, not actually asking for answers-- that's not skepticism: that's denial.

    1. Re:Skepticism and denial by XXongo · · Score: 2

      Wow, unusual to see thoughtful, reasoned commentary on trigger-button issues.

      I think you may be overly pessimistic. At its heart, this is a technology problem, and it turns out that humanity is actually very good at solving technology problems. The alternate energy technologies are getting better and better.

      I think that there won't be one solution, there will be many solutions, and they will be implemented-- slowly, but incrementally-- because the techolology will do the job.

      An example case is CFC useage. When it was realized that halocarbons catalyzed destruction of the ozone layer, there was just as much skepticism as there is about greenhouse gasses, which was slowly overcome by patient gathering of data (unlike the greenhouse effect controversy, where no amount of data seems to be enough). But, here's the interesting thing: CFC production dropped well before any regulations or laws were passed to limit CFC emissions into the atmosphere (the "Montreal protocol"). They dropped because industry looked for alternate ways to do the job that the ozone-destroying halocarbons did, found them, and implemented them.

      Sometimes we do get it right.

  20. Methane [Re: No complaints here] by XXongo · · Score: 5, Informative
    [ in reply to the question "Name one other factor in climate change that's even close to CO2."]:

    Source Not sure if source is valid, but numbers are close to what I have seen before.

    Equal to CO2? No
    Methane 25x
    N2O 298x

    Yes, but that's the effect per unit mass emitted. The effect on climate change will be the warming potential multiplied by the amount emitted, and in that respect, carbon dioxide-- from fuel burned in billion ton quantities-- is the clear leader. Amounts emitted are there a different tab on the site you linked as your source: https://climatechangeconnectio...
    Or, look here: https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissio...

    But you can't tax cows,

    Sure you could.

    and farmers are a big lobby for Congress, so you ignore the methane. If you really cared you would be working on methane more than CO2.

    methane emissions are also important, and people looking at responses to greenhouse emissions do, in fact, also look at how to reduce methane emissions.

    The fact that you go after CO2 gives away your political agenda and shows that you don't really care about the science.

    No it doesn't. It shows that people are looking most closely at the largest effect.

    In fact I bet you didn't even know about methane. Gotta wonder when a "denier" knows more about the science than you do. According to you all I haven't ever looked at the science even half as much as you, but here I am giving facts you didn't know about.

    Wrong on all counts. If you would actually read some of the literature, you'd see methane discussed in great detail. Including in the sites you list.

  21. Climate Change Positive Feedback Loop by presidenteloco · · Score: 4, Insightful

    One. Gets warmer
    Two. Too hot to think
    Three. Elect global-warming-denier-leader
    Four. Cancel science and science-based regulation
    Five. Unshackle and incentivize fossil-fuel industry and consumption
    Six. Goto One.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
  22. Re:No red lines [Re: No complaints here] by ganjadude · · Score: 2, Insightful

    400PPM is the most recent one that passed

    --
    have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
  23. Re: No complaints here by Muros · · Score: 2

    Artic sea ice is not all sea ice. Antarctic ice was increasing last I checked

    Yes, it is. At approximately 1 tenth the rate of ice loss in the arctic, by volume.

  24. Re:No complaints here by presidenteloco · · Score: 2

    You forgot:

    - Loss of approx. 50% of all living species substantially over next few hundred years.
    - Ocean acidification and loss of shellfish and reefs.
    - Movement of Earth's desert zones by 5 or 10 degrees in latitude due to expanded thermal energy and size of the north and south hemispheric atmosphere cycles by which hot equatorial air rises, dries out in upper atmosphere, moves north (or south respectively) then moves down to dry out the land below at a certain latitude range.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
  25. Re: No complaints here by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't give a crap if you take me seriously. I consider you on the same level as a Creationist or an anti-vaxxer. You're just an idiot who is too infantile and too cowardly and too ideologically driven to see that the laws of physics don't give a fuck about ideology. CO2's properties are not bounded by what you would like CO2 to do when concentrations increase. The laws of physics make it inevitable that the more CO2 in the atmosphere, there is an unavoidable increase in solar radiation being trapped. That's just the way the Universe works, so the fact that it's going to mean either accepting significant climactic changes or changes in the way we produce energy is irrelevant to said laws of physics. The Universe doesn't care that you're upset about greenhouse gas effects. How you feel is irrelevant, and just as irrelevant are vain attempts to create faux critiques of physical laws.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  26. Re: No complaints here by rahvin112 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Antarctic sea is is NOT increasing. Every single person that says this has no fucking idea what they are talking about. Much like the rest of the world Antarctica has winters and summers and ice increases in the winter and decreases in the summer. The winter limits of Antarctic sea ice (ice floating on the ocean which contributes nothing to sea level in either melted or frozen state) are increasing and the summer limits are ever smaller every year with some of the largest calving off of major floating glaciers ever seen in recorded history. In fact we're on the verge of losing an ice shelf that's as big as Rhode island that's been there for 4000 years.

    Winter sea ice is increasing because the increased melt water coming off Antarctica has decreased local salinity making it easier for it to freeze. The large winter ice limits are in fact an indication in SUPPORT of global climate change. 99% of people that quote this winter ice limit think it's contradictory evidence to global climate change and they are so misinformed they think they are making some sort of point. The reality is they are actually showing evidence that support it.

    This is what scientists deal with, ignorant people with out even the most basic understanding of any of the science let along scientific basics quoting things they heard on talk radio as if it's proof and a valid point of discussion.

  27. Re: No complaints here by Quirkz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I swear I see this argument every time: "There are extremists shouting DOOM! so that invalidates the scientists presenting measured arguments." It's a poor argument.

  28. Re: No complaints here by PoopJuggler · · Score: 2

    Enough to kill off humanity? Well no

    Well yes, actually. Killing the oceans and the pollinators will kill off humanity.

  29. Re: No complaints here by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Insightful

    No, deserts heat up and expand, and you have hundreds of millions of people trying to move into your back yard, meaning you have to pay a fuck ton more in taxes to support border patrols, armies, all the while you're facing food and water supply problems because your bread basket regions suddenly are less productive, and you become more reliant on foreign sources of agriculture. Meanwhile many other costs, like insurance, start skyrocketing, or many climate-related problems simply aren't covered. Oh yes, and as mentioned elsewhere collapse of many major fisheries, which will lead to huge pressures on coastal populations in many parts of the world where those fisheries are a significant, if not primary source of protein.

    Will it happen in your lifetime? If you're under thirty, very likely yes. I'm in my mid-40s, so hopefully I'll miss some of the nastier effects. My kids and grandchldren won't, sadly. But the West is pretty wealthy, so doubtless will pull through relatively alright, though tens of millions of refugees fleeing regions far more vulnerable and far less economically capable of weathering the worst of it, will start showing up, as I mention above, and the costs of keeping them out or integrating them will be huge. Some areas will simply become unlivable by even the hardier animals, and people have this habit of not just sitting down and dying when survival where they are becomes impossible.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.