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Trump Has Grand Plan For Mission To Mars But Nasa Advises: Cool Your Jets (theguardian.com)

Donald Trump would like to see Americans walk on Mars during his presidency. Nasa would love to get there that quickly, too. The reality of space travel is slightly more complicated, however. From a report: On Monday, during a call with astronaut Peggy Whitson, who was aboard the International Space Station, Trump pressed her for a timeline on a crewed mission to Mars, one of Nasa's longest standing and most daunting goals. "Tell me, Mars," he asked her from the Oval Office, "what do you see a timing for actually sending humans to Mars? Is there a schedule and when would you see that happening?" Whitson answered by pointing out that Trump, by signing a Nasa funding bill last month, had already approved a timeline for a mission in the 2030s. She added that Nasa was building a new heavy-launch rocket, which would need testing. "Unfortunately space flight takes a lot of time and money," she said. "But it is so worthwhile doing." Trump replied: "Well, we want to try and do it during my first term or, at worst, during my second term, so we'll have to speed that up a little bit, OK?" It was not clear whether the president meant the remark as a quip or something more serious.

35 of 444 comments (clear)

  1. My advice by Errol+backfiring · · Score: 5, Funny

    Even if there is no suitable launch window in a decade, put him in the rocket and let him test it anyway. It could make America great again!

    --
    Nae king! Nae laird! Nae yurrupiean pressedent! We willna be fooled again!
    1. Re: My advice by Ken_g6 · · Score: 3, Funny

      That idea doesn't really excite me. It just makes me Pence-ive.

      --
      (T>t && O(n)--) == sqrt(666)
  2. Re:Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Living on Mars is not the same as a discussion about visiting Mars.
    But, "we can't do XX. Ever." has been said a million times about a million different things and every time, when there was the will and the money to do XX the person making the statement came down as a short-sighted idiot.

  3. Second term? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That Trump will finish a first term much less get reelected to a second term is as unlikely as NASA to send astronauts to Mars in the next eight years.

    1. Re:Second term? by amiga3D · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's almost as unlikely as him ever getting elected President.

    2. Re:Second term? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 5, Funny

      You underestimate the stupidity of humanity. Have you ever met people?

      I work in IT support. Are people as bad as users?

    3. Re:Second term? by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You underestimate the stupidity of humanity. Have you ever met people?

      I work in IT support. Are people as bad as users?

      Worse, and there is some overlap. Some users are people as well.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    4. Re:Second term? by Orgasmatron · · Score: 3, Funny

      As a sometimes-Republican with a folder full of Creepy Uncle Joe memes, I beg you, Please, please, nominate Biden.

      --
      See that "Preview" button?
  4. Re:We went to the moon in under 8 years by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    He's not interested in space travel, he's interested in himself.

  5. Ego vs Science by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I have a suspicion this is Ego vs Science.

    He wants to cut all sorts of science and research budgets, so he's obviously not in favor of public money being spend on science. In Trump's eyes science is a private enterprise thing, not a government thing.

    So why does he want to go to Mars, and specifically why does he want to go during his presidency?

    The answer is Ego.

    He wants to be known as the President who got man to another planet. He wants the capital city on some long-in-the-future Mars to be called Trump Town.

    He doesn't want to go to look for signs of life, he doesn't want to go to advance science, he doesn't want to go to see if there is any long-term investment strategy.

    He wants to go for the ego-boost.

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    1. Re:Ego vs Science by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 5, Interesting

      For the record: I am very pro humans going to Mars. I realize the hurdles, I realize the dangers. I realize we can't economically achieve it right now. I believe in the Buzz Aldrin model of an initially one way trip, I'm aware there is a high risk of life in the early days, (so should any applicant to go).

      With all that said, if it takes Trump's ego to get us to Mars, I am all for that. He might actually be one of the very few men at the top willing to risk the political backlash of failure.

      Even if we're going for the wrong reasons, I would be glad if we took the steps.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:Ego vs Science by wbr1 · · Score: 4, Funny

      But will ego-boost add enough delta-v for a trip?

      --
      Silence is a state of mime.
    3. Re:Ego vs Science by UnknowingFool · · Score: 3, Insightful

      With all that said, if it takes Trump's ego to get us to Mars, I am all for that. He might actually be one of the very few men at the top willing to risk the political backlash of failure.

      For me it's not just Trump's ego; it's his cognitive dissonance. There are practical problems that need to be solved to go to Mars. When he advocates cutting the research that will be needed at the same time as pushing for a result, I can only see many failures and dead astronauts as a result. He's the PHB that doesn't understand why the servers are slow after he's cut the budget for new servers for 5 years straight.

      --
      Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
  6. Who knew? by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Funny

    "Interplanetary travel is more complicated than I thought it would be."

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  7. Re:Mars by Sperbels · · Score: 5, Funny

    Argument overheard several tens of thousands of years ago:

    Enough with this migrating to Asia thing. We cannot live in Asia. Ever. The difference in temperature will guarantee that. You can't fix biology and evolution. And don't say "take the skins off animals" or "build fires". Give us all a break.

  8. Of course he's serious by ilsaloving · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I just don't understand this. Every single time he says something idiotic, there are always people who try to claim that he isn't serious. "Oh, he's not serious about the wall" "Oh, he's not serious about his vendetta against immigrants." And then he will do, or at least try to do, exactly what he said. Anyone who, at this point, honestly believes that he doesn't mean what he says, is either stupid, deluded, or both.

    So yes, I think he's entirely serious that he wants to have people walking on Mars within his term. The only question is, what will he do when he finds out that it's impossible? Will he throw craptons of money at NASA, thinking that he just throw money at the problem? Will he just get pissed off and "fire" NASA?

    The man is so completely divorced from reality that there's really no way to anticipate what he will do.

    1. Re:Of course he's serious by Baron_Yam · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Mars is one of the few problems that 'throwing money at it' would actually solve.

      It would just take a LOT of it. Ridiculous amounts.

      But, in principle, we could launch fleets of rockets at Mars with life support and other modules until we have enough to keep a crew alive for a while. And while we're doing that, we could be paying Musk to develop his tail-landing tech on a faster timeline, even throwing test rockets at Mars.

      And then, in a few years, we could throw a bunch of astronaut-carrying rockets at the red planet and hope to have a high percentage of successful landings.

      You have to ask yourself if accelerating the timeline is worth the cost, and if in doing so you'd actually achieve anything useful that couldn't be done better and for less money with a bit more patience - and I think the answer is 'no'.

    2. Re:Of course he's serious by gtall · · Score: 5, Interesting

      "The man is so completely divorced from reality that there's really no way to anticipate what he will do." One constant is that everything he does is about himself. Another constant is that he destroys everything he touches. He loves "strong leaders", i.e., moral degenerates that will step on anyone...errr...like him. The only exceptions are the ones where he thinks he can aggrandize perception of himself by going against a "strong leader" as in Lil'Kimmy and Assad.

      Another thing to realize is that he's lost control of his administration, although that is putting it euphemistically. The Defense Dept. is doing things he doesn't understand. His own EPA administrator was exhorting the coal wackos to lobby Trump against the climate accords, as though EPA wasn't really part of the Cabinet. The Cabinet has gone off on their own, even his ghost minders have been sidelined. Treasury's minder got shunted off to a basement office. The rest are being "reassigned" by the Cabinet secretaries. How could they do that if that asshole was in charge? Even his "tax plan" was joke. It was written on a single piece of paper because his attention span won't allow him to comprehend any more. The people writing it know it is crap, but they also know giving him a sheet of talking points makes him feel like he's the President.

      He's in charge of nothing except screwing things up.

    3. Re:Of course he's serious by dfm3 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Trump does this because it's part of his style, and it's worked well for him in the past as a leadership strategy: throw a bunch of stuff out there and see what sticks, then shrug off as a joke or hyperbole the stuff that gets a bad response. It serves at least four purposes:

      - it keeps opponents on their toes since they're never quite sure when he is exaggerating or not.
      - it plays well into "dog whistle" politics because supporters can outwardly claim that some appalling statement wasn't really serious, while secretly convincing themselves that it really was.
      - makes it easy to get rid of underlings. You failed to accomplish the task I gave you? You don't know me well enough to know that I was serious about it this one time? You're fired!
      - allows him to shirk responsibility for failure. Oh, that plan didn't actually work out? I never meant for it to anyway.

      I used to work under a boss who had this same leadership style, and I'll say this: as an employee, it sucked.

    4. Re:Of course he's serious by Baron_Yam · · Score: 4, Interesting

      >There's absolutely no guarantee that money will actually make it to people capable and willing to accomplish this.

      We can get rockets to Mars now, and have done so several times. We've seen Musk's tail landing tech coming along nicely, and the math works out so we know it's possible to get it right for Mars.

      >Not to mention it takes forever for a rocket to make it to Mars

      Most estimates are in the 150-300 day range. It depends on how much fuel you want to burn. Mars and Earth align every 25 months or so, but you don't worry about that unless you're sending humans. Longer trips are OK for 'stuff'.

      >Even communications with Earth will be subject to several minutes of delay due to speed of light being finite.

      4-24 minutes speed-of-light delay, assuming a direct line of sight. If you're bouncing a signal off a Sun-orbiting satellite to get around our star, then it'll be a bit longer. That's not really a problem for sending 'stuff', and the reason to send humans is they don't need live remote control.

      The problem would be manufacturing and testing. Which is where the money comes in. The next decent Mars launch window is in April of 2018, then there's another in July of 2020. So you make a metric fuckton of rockets for 2018 and mount your payloads and shoot 'em off, then you follow up with humans a couple of years later.

      Money. LOTS of money. Ludicrous amounts of money. But it would make a difference, and it could be done.

      And the point would be to figure out how to live there, and to more efficiently do scientific research. If you could keep a geologist alive on Mars, they could do more in a week than the rovers have done since the first one landed. Humans are very flexible tools.

      And ultimately, we'd want to see if we could live there. Because why not? The same reason we migrated out of the trees and then eventually out of Africa. Because it's a new place to go and make more humans.

  9. God Help Us by TFlan91 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "or, at worst, during my second term" ... Please... No...

  10. Re:Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    "Space is big. Really big. You just won't believe how vastly, hugely, mind-bogglingly big it is. I mean, you may think it's a long way down the road to the chemist, but that's just peanuts to space."

  11. Coal powered by sremick · · Score: 5, Funny

    And the rockets will coal powered. Beautiful, clean coal. That's the secret to making America great again.

  12. Re:We went to the moon in under 8 years by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Trump replied: "Well, we want to try and do it during my first term or, at worst, during my second term, so we'll have to speed that up a little bit, OK?"

    It's not that he's evil (at least in this context), it's that he's making everything about himself.

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  13. Re:Mars by penandpaper · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What you are really saying is that we should colonize Venus first. I agree. Floating colonies on (above) Venus sounds so much better than living in tin cans on a cold dead rusty world.

    This is my island in the Stratosphere.
    I got a place for sunshine and my freeze dried beer.
    No need to freeze as it's warm and clear.
    Don't look down now, there is nothing to fear.
    Just a Venetian sunset such a lovely view.
    I can't believe we thought it was something new!

  14. Re:Mars by Rei · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Enough with Mars. We cannot live on Mars. Ever. The difference in gravity and radiation will guarantee that. You can't fix biology and evolution. And don't say "live in caves" or "underground". Give us all a break.

    So, Venus's middle cloud layer, then?

    --
    "He's a liar whose lawyer is lying about his lying lawyer's lies."
  15. Re:Mars by 110010001000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What? The difference in temperature is minimal between the two areas. You fell into the common trap: since one thing is possible, all things must be possible. Mars is nothing like the Earth. Nothing. Imagine living in the bottom of the sea, or on the North Pole. That is paradise compared to Mars. Just because you can run to the end of your block doesn't mean you can run a marathon either.

  16. Re:We went to the moon in under 8 years by penandpaper · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If that gets us a mission to Mars sooner, so what?

  17. Re: Mars by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You don't need Will right now, you need Geordi.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  18. Re:Mars by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Well, Venus does have (a) magnetosphere(s).

    It only has an induced magnetosphere, like Mars (although about twice as powerful). But it's big defense against radiation is the thickness of its atmosphere; radiation has to pass through a lot of mass to get to habitable areas. The radiation levels within Venus's middle cloud layer are perfectly acceptable without extra shielding.

    Granted the atmosphere, in terms of pressure alone, will kill you

    Not in the middle cloud layer. Actually it's just the opposite, the pressure / temperature relation in the middle cloud layer means somewhat low (but still acceptable) pressures at normal Earth temperatures. But it's still by far the most Earthlike place in the solar system outside of Earth.

    The unfortunate thing for Venus is that people think only in terms of surfaces; if Venus's atmosphere had stopped at its middle cloud layer, nobody would be talking about Mars today. But because Venus's atmosphere is carbon dioxide, almost any common gas can be used as a lifting gas. Including nitrogen and oxygen - ordinary Earth air is a lifting gas, offering about half as much lift as helium does on Earth. Meaning you can actually live inside your lift envelope. And airship envelopes are not particularly heavy, despite their large sizes. Your entire habitat is this completely mobile, constantly exploring new ground, accessing the surface as needed with bellows and/or phase-change balloons.

    however, if we can devise a runaway method for trapping some of those gases into a more solid form...we could have a new planet to play with in a relatively short period of time. So ask yourself, what reusable catalyst would we need to create to transform that atmosphere into something a little more human friendly?

    Now you're talking about terraforming, which we're nowhere near doing for any planet (not Mars either - Mars's biggest problem is that isotopic ratios indicate that almost all of the planet's nitrogen has been lost to space). Carl Sagan famously, before Venus's conditions were known, proposed seeding Venus's clouds with phototrophs in order to sequester carbon and create an oxygenated atmosphere. He later changed his mind, saying that you'd end up with a huge deep layer of carbon and a dense, hot oxygen atmosphere, and the whole planetary surface would explode. Further dampers were put on the concept when it was pointed out that, depending on what assumptions you make, it'd take tens of thousands to millions of years to sequester regardless.

    Many, many different proposals for terraforming Venus have been made over the years, but honestly I think Sagan had the right idea, for the wrong reason. Namely, because we've seen this situation before. Earth used to be a world with a CO2-rich atmosphere, no oxygen, ferric oxide on its surface (well, more accurately, Fe+2 ions in the oceans), etc. Did Earth explode once microbes developed photosynthesis? Of course not. As fast as they could produce oxygen, the iron oxidized to ferric oxyhydroxide to magnetite and hematite, laying down bands of iron oxides (interspersed with sequestered carbon), which we now know as the banded iron formations. There was no "thick layer of graphite" or "dense explosive oxygen atmosphere being made" on Earth, and there's all the less reason to expect it on Venus, because in Venus's hot, dense surface conditions the abundant ferric oxide (and other species) will be even more reactive. Oxygen will be consumed as fast as it's created, until you've exhausted all available surface ferric oxide, which will take quite a long time. Indeed, if you took some of the "atmospheric ejection" or "atmosphere freezing" terraforming proposals, you'd be faced with a problem when you actually started producing oxygen in Venus - you'd be fighting against the rusting of the planet.

    The low levels of hydrogen are IMHO more challenging; I don't like most of the proposals for getting more

    --
    "He's a liar whose lawyer is lying about his lying lawyer's lies."
  19. Re: Mars by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Funny

    No, no, no. How many times have we told you not to try out your code on the production server?

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  20. Re:Mars by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Well there are two problems. One would be sulfuric acid content of the stratosphere. Above the troposphere, the sulfuric acid content is believed to be high enough to present problems.

    The sulfuric acid is more of a resource than a problem, and it'd be easier to colonize Venus if the sulfuric acid was denser. It's actually pretty sparse - a couple to a couple dozen milligrams per cubic meter. Standards for breathing sulfuric acid on Earth for an 8-hour shift are between one and a couple milligrams per cubic meter, if that puts it into perspective. It's like a bad smog (or more accurately, vog) than being like a bath in sulfuric acid. There are many polymers with excellent sulfuric acid compatibility.

    The reason sulfuric acid is a resource is, first off, it's not 100% sulfuric acid, so there's the water content that can first be dehydrated. After further heating, you decompose H2SO4 to SO3 + H2O. Further heating, plus catalysts, can also decompose SO3 to SO2 + O2. Alternatively you can use the SO3 as a scrubber conditioning agent to help capture more moisture from the atmosphere. There's also the sulfur-iodine cycle for the generation of hydrogen.

    The second would be the thick cloud cover even at the stratosphere would block out 75% of the light meaning powering any station difficult that uses solar cells.

    Not so, the sunlight in the middle cloud layer is rather earthlike (depending on your latitude). The cloud decks have absorbed only about a third of the light by the time it reaches the middle cloud layer at the equator (more toward the poles), and Venus's solar constant is higher than Earth's, so it roughly equals out. Except that light comes from all sides.

    Solar power has even been shown to be possible to use at the surface, albeit with extremely low power density. But enough to run, say, a seismic or weather station.

    --
    "He's a liar whose lawyer is lying about his lying lawyer's lies."
  21. Re:Mars by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 3, Informative

    If you just landed on Mars, the nearest chemist could actually be on Earth!

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  22. scientific merits by jwhyche · · Score: 3

    Seems the comments have de-evolved into its normal Trump bashing. I'm going to start a new thread to debate the actual scientific merits of going to Mars.

    While I'm pro space I don't see much need at this point for us to be focusing on a maned mission to Mars. I think we will eventually go to Mars but I think we should focus our time and resources on near Earth activity right now.

    By near Earth, I mean Earth and Moon. We have been tossing up crap in to near Earth orbit for decades. We should return to the moon first, build a base there, maybe a colony, and focus on getting our crap together first.

    We should get more actual space experience and pull the theoretical technology off the shelf and put it to use. I don't believe we will be ready for a manned mission to Mars till we have perfect space based building, artificial gravity, close to 100% recyclable life-support systems as we can get, magnetic radiation shielding, and nuclear propulsion.

    I don't believe we should aim for Mars till we can make flights to the moon as routine as jet travel across the world is today. Once we have mastered these technologies and routine travel to the moon then we should be ready for Mars. An as a bonus if we are ready for Mars then we should be ready to go any where in the solar system.

    --
    I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
  23. Re:Mars by Rei · · Score: 3, Informative

    Perhaps it would be practical to send a balloon-probe of some sort?

    Already been done :)

    (But it's long since time for a followup, that was just a very simple, short-term pair of probes)

    --
    "He's a liar whose lawyer is lying about his lying lawyer's lies."