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Zillow Faces Lawsuit Over 'Zestimate' Tool That Calculates a House's Worth (washingtonpost.com)

According to The Washington Post, "a homeowner has filed suit against online reality giant Zillow, claiming the company's controversial 'Zestimate' tool repeatedly undervalued her house, creating a 'tremendous road block' to its sale." From the report: The suit, which may be the first of its kind, was filed in Cook County Circuit Court by a Glenview, Ill., real estate lawyer, Barbara Andersen. The suit alleges that despite Zillow's denial that Zestimates constitute "appraisals," the fact that they offer market-value estimates and "are promoted as a tool for potential buyers to use in assessing [the] market value of a given property," shows that they meet the definition of an appraisal under state law. Not only should Zillow be licensed to perform appraisals before offering such estimates, the suit argues, but it also should obtain "the consent of the homeowner" before posting them online for everyone to see. In an interview, Andersen told me she is considering bringing the issue to the Illinois attorney general because it affects all property owners in the state. She has also been approached about turning the matter into a class action, which could touch millions of owners across the country. In the suit, Andersen said that she has been trying to sell her townhouse, which overlooks a golf course and is in a prime location, for $626,000 -- roughly what she paid for it in 2009. Houses directly across the street but with greater square footage sell for $100,000 more, according to her court filing. But Zillow's automated valuation system has apparently used sales of newly constructed houses from a different and less costly part of town as comparables in valuing her townhouse, she says. The most recent Zestimate is for $562,000. Andersen is seeking an injunction against Zillow and wants the company to either remove her Zestimate or amend it. For the time being, she is not seeking monetary damages, she told me.

134 of 231 comments (clear)

  1. Nobody believes the Zestimates by mspohr · · Score: 1, Insightful

    They are a very crude tool using broad, flawed algorithms. If you want a real appraisal, hire an appraiser.
    Real estate professionals know they are wrong but they will be happy to use them as an excuse to try to knock down the price of a house they are buying or pump up the price of a house they are selling.
    I have no idea of their legal standing but it seems this suit is on shaky ground.

    --
    I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    1. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Jfetjunky · · Score: 2

      Yup. I live in the Austin area. You would be laughed at for offering the amount shown as the "Zestimate". I've never seen it accurately predict the sale price, as it is always significantly low. I guess maybe it gives people false hope they could get into a house they actually couldn't afford?

      I have no idea who is in charge of the algorithm, but it's about as useful as using the tax assessor's value for your house as the market price, and I've never seen it get any better yet.

      A lawsuit, though? SNORE.

    2. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Zillow is crap and their estimates are hugely flawed. Have seen them value homes that just sold for more than 20% less. Their algorithms are hokum.

      But, it's a great way to get stupid buyers to the table. They want the house, and will always pay more if you know how to negotiate.

    3. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      They are a very crude tool using broad, flawed algorithms.

      Indeed. They just grab sales records from county clerk websites, and do quick comparisons that are often wildly inaccurate. For instance, a lakefront or oceanfront home often has "comparables" that are on the other side of the street where prices are half as much.

      Zestimates are just ballpark numbers that nobody takes very seriously.

    4. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Real appraisers do the same shit. When we last got our home appraised the guy told us "well, there are no comps, so I picked random houses on the other side of town that are smaller and have fewer bedrooms to compare it to."

      There are plenty of comps, he was just an asshole with no one checking in on the incredibly low quality of his work.

    5. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by fustakrakich · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Okay, so they suck. Should they be censored over it? Because this is what is being demanded.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    6. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by 110010001000 · · Score: 4, Informative

      The argument is a Zestimate is a type of appraisal. And appraisals have legal requirements that must be met.

    7. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      Does Zestimate offer appraisals as such? (look for a disclaimer) Does the tax man use their service? If not, the case has no legs, unless the judge decides differently.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    8. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by guruevi · · Score: 2

      The Zestimate values my home at ~80k more than it's "worth" and I've seen it climb to 250% of the purchase price in the last few months (there is/was a bubble that peaked some time between February and April). The estimates are based not just on local data but also on the national housing market. It's a fairly decent algorithm but by no means complete.

      The problem is that we're currently in a housing bubble so I could probably sell my house for ~20-30k more than what I bought it for a few years ago and I saw houses going for 50% over the listing price while the listing prices are already 20-30% over the 'assessed' value.

      If your house costs $600k you can afford a good estimator and someone to update your Zillow listing for you. And given the current housing bubble, if you're actually trying to sell, you should have no problem finding someone willing to pay well above the listing price.

      --
      Custom electronics and digital signage for your business: www.evcircuits.com
    9. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      And what exactly led you to believe the claims that Zestimate is an appraisal? And besides, the header here says "Nobody believes the Zestimates", so what is the problem?

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    10. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Except, in the real world, people actually care a lot about Zestimates. Yes, those poeple are morons, but most people are morons, and if I'm selling I want most people interested in the price I set, not the price that Zillow sets.

    11. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Okay, so they suck. Should they be censored over it? Because this is what is being demanded.

      It does seem like a unofficial estimate would fall squarely under the "opinion" label.

      It would also open the door for people to sue real appraisers or even the realtor if they don't like the estimate they get. This isn't likely to go anywhere.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    12. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The argument is a Zestimate is a type of appraisal. And appraisals have legal requirements that must be met.

      That's a rather odd argument. No one looks at the house, or goes inside. the neighbor posting on Facebook that they think the house should be valued less would be as equal a lawsuit target.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    13. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Pascoea · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's a fairly decent algorithm but by no means complete

      Their algorithm is smoke and mirrors.

      I bought my house in 2013 for $235k. I would get an e-mail from them every other month or so, saying "your zestimate increased/decreased, here is the new one". I have a few of those e-mails still hanging around my inbox, the latest was from February of this year, saying my Zestimate was now at $315. A month ago my neighbor listed his house, for about $279, my Zestimate mysteriously dropped to 289, and the history never comes anywhere near the $315.

      Now, I know they have the right to change their Zestimate, it is their site after all, but why the unabashed altering of their own historical data? That part doesn't make sense.

    14. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by AvitarX · · Score: 4, Insightful

      To me this reads as a homeowner over valueing their home (I saw this a lot when shopping FSBO trying to save). The houses across the street are selling, this home owner is missing something about why theirs is not. They are blaming the zestimate instead. Just like when I was shopping, and people were comparing their house to slightly smaller but nicely remodeled homes to their old carpet sad kitchen ones.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    15. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      i'll offer you $400 for the house

    16. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No, the question is whether they should be regulated. Appraisals have specific regulations, so if people are using this service in lieu of actual appraisal services...

      To me, this seems a bit like Uber claiming "we're not a taxi service" while blatantly offering a slightly different sort of taxi service. Just because they claim "this isn't an appraisal service" doesn't mean it actually *isn't* an appraisal service. They may end up winning if there's a legal definition of "appraisal" that they don't match, of course. I really don't know enough about appraisals or this case to have much of an opinion.

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
    17. Re: Nobody believes the Zestimates by twdorris · · Score: 1

      It's as valid as me opining about the health impacts

      As well-worded as the rest of your post was, I thought it right to point out that this should read "my opining" (gerund, noun, possessive). it seems you have the inclination and ability to produce readable prose; and I admire that greatly, particularly for an AC. But that does make the few mistakes stand out even more clearly.

      Keep up the good work!

    18. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Drethon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No, the question is whether they should be regulated. Appraisals have specific regulations, so if people are using this service in lieu of actual appraisal services...

      To me, this seems a bit like Uber claiming "we're not a taxi service" while blatantly offering a slightly different sort of taxi service. Just because they claim "this isn't an appraisal service" doesn't mean it actually *isn't* an appraisal service. They may end up winning if there's a legal definition of "appraisal" that they don't match, of course. I really don't know enough about appraisals or this case to have much of an opinion.

      An actual appraisal does require a certified appraiser, at least in some situations: "All states require appraisers to be state licensed or certified in order to provide appraisals to federally regulated lenders. Some states require appraisers to be licensed or certified to provide appraisals for other parties as well." http://www.appraisalinstitute....

      This seems to me a bit like suing a website that provides free legal advice with the caveat that they are not lawyers so their advice has no legal standing.

    19. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And what exactly led you to believe the claims that Zestimate is an appraisal? And besides, the header here says "Nobody believes the Zestimates", so what is the problem?

      Oh, perhaps it could be THE FUCKING DEFINITION OF "APPRAISAL"!?!?!

      2. an estimate of value, as for sale, assessment, or taxation; valuation.

      Sheesh.

    20. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The argument is a Zestimate is a type of appraisal. And appraisals have legal requirements that must be met.

      That's a rather odd argument. No one looks at the house, or goes inside. the neighbor posting on Facebook that they think the house should be valued less would be as equal a lawsuit target.

      Zillow makes money by saying "Your home is worth this much". That's why people visit the site, so that's how Zillow is able to make money.

      If Zillow isn't doing due diligence on those appraisals, they have indeed caused financial harm.

    21. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by swb · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Comparables are always up for debate.

      We went through this financing a remodel for our house in 2003. The original appraisal was flawed in our opinion because while the structures were comparable, they all lacked the location feature of our house -- no rear neighbors, and adjacent to a 50 acre wooded lake.

      The appraiser admitted that his comps were flawed -- there 4 other lakes in the city were larger, and all the homes on those lakes were mansions worth millions, so they wouldn't work as comps, and there were too few recent home sales on our lake for comparison.

      The lender eventually got the appraiser to work harder at finding similar structures with scenic natural overlooks and we gained meaningful increases in appraisal. Fortunately for us, the lender would have lost the loan without the appraisal change, so they had an incentive to pressure the appraiser and accept it in underwriting.

      People in suburban subdivisions are kind of fucked on appraisals, as there's little differentiation. Their house really is worth what any 4 recent sales in the same area are worth because the homes and settings are nearly all alike.

      But people with unusual geographic features are also kind of fucked unless they insist that those unique features be accounted for.

    22. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      >Their house really is worth what any 4 recent sales in the same area are worth because the homes and settings are nearly all alike.

      Which is a nice way to manipulate property values if you're rich enough and have stock in cheap properties.

    23. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by freak0fnature · · Score: 1

      Last year my home was Zillowed around $155k. It was appraised by the bank in 2007 as $169k, and 2010 as $179k. Then all of the sudden it was being Zillowed this year around $215k , and they even adjusted their history to make it look like they have never had it showing at $155k.

    24. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by BenJeremy · · Score: 1

      I recently had my property re-appraised so I could do a re-fi... in 2003, it appraised for $189k, since then, we've remodeled the kitchen and rebuilt our bathroom, enclosed out porch, added a deck, and 2 years ago, replaced the roof (also new water heater, furnace and AC). The appraiser, somehow, came up with the EXACT same value as Zillow, which was $136k. Two hours after she submitted the appraisal, a Realtor called us about selling our house. It seems we are not the first person this appraiser has done this to... but what recourse do we have, other than to request a different appraiser? Even so, she's driven down the home values in our neighborhood, presumably in collusion with the realtor so the realtor can get quick, easy sales. Even a new appraiser won't be able to touch our previous value because of the obscenely low comparable prices.

    25. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Zillow makes money by saying "Your home is worth this much". That's why people visit the site, so that's how Zillow is able to make money.

      If Zillow isn't doing due diligence on those appraisals, they have indeed caused financial harm.

      So your defense of the argument is financial? Okay - does the person have legal recourse if Zillow posts anything that can be considered negative? How about if they value a house too high, and no one looks at the house. Or a potential customer is pissed because Zillow "wasted their time" when they went to see the place.

      How about if a house doesn't have the square footage as reported by the county real estate entries? This happened to us when we bought our house.

      The appraised value of a house is the appraised value. An estimate is not an appraised value, it is an opinion. And last time I checked, an opinion is not a legally actionable offense.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    26. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by queequeg1 · · Score: 1

      In our area, Zillow tends to be really high, especially for homes in the $500K-$1M range. As much as 20% above what homes sell for. What's kind of bizarre is that the Zillow algorithm doesn't appear to heavily weigh what actually happens to specific homes. So if a zestimate for a given home is for $800K, the owners put the house on the market for $800K and then over the course of several months drop the price until it sells for $650K, the zestimate following closing is still likely to be almost $800K.

    27. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Altus · · Score: 2

      My bank insisted on an appraisal as part of the loan process. It was effectively part of the cost of taking out the loan.

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    28. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by omnichad · · Score: 1

      If I claim I'm not a doctor and then tell you you have a certain illness, am I practicing medicine?
      If I claim I'm not a lawyer and draft up a legal document for you, am I practicing law?

    29. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      So, you're saying nobody should be allowed to mention what they think a property is worth without being 'certified'? That's pretty weird

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    30. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by omnichad · · Score: 1

      Uber's a bad example, because they're more like a limo service than a taxi service. It's all about how hails and street pickups work that defines the difference.

    31. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      No

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    32. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's not exactly weird to suggest that those who are in the business of doing so, regardless of what they may claim, ought to be subject to the same rules as everyone else who is in the business of doing so.

    33. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by omnichad · · Score: 2

      US law already disagrees on both counts.

    34. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      AC has obviously never bought a house and should shut the fuck up.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    35. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by laie_techie · · Score: 1

      If you want a real appraisal, hire an appraiser.

      I think you over-estimate, several key things, for any given home buyer. a) disposable income to just, 'hire', an appraiser. - Most people can barely qualify for a home loan. And you want people to shell out a hundred, few hundred on a 'maybe'.. ?

      My official appraisal cost $500. I paid that begrudgingly because based on Zillow's estimate I could qualify for over $100k cash out and still be within the bank's magic loan amount being no more than 85% of the appraised value.

      b) Zillow is a tool for rough estimation on property availability. - If anyone is using it for anything more than that, well, they're rather stupid. Or, they live in urban, high population settings, where the market is skewed because of Zillow, RedFin, etc...

      My mortgage broker took Zillow's estimate at face value for a good faith estimate (no, I didn't give the broker Zillow's numbers). It was this good faith estimate which convinced me to pay $500 for an official appraisal.

      As someone who has been tracking reality websites for the past several months, Zillow, Redfin, Landwatch, and the like are starting points to availability. As I'm looking to buy, if one actually becomes a viable fine, I'm finding the actual realtor handling the property. Not a fucking website...

      Ah, you're talking buying, my experience was with refinance.

    36. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by LunaticTippy · · Score: 1

      Housing prices aren't simple. Bananas have a price but houses don't really. It only takes one buyer to decide for the price to solidify and become real.

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
    37. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      And what exactly led you to believe the claims that Zestimate is an appraisal? And besides, the header here says "Nobody believes the Zestimates", so what is the problem?

      Oh, perhaps it could be THE FUCKING DEFINITION OF "APPRAISAL"!?!?!

      2. an estimate of value, as for sale, assessment, or taxation; valuation.

      Sheesh.

      FWIW - Zillow explicitly says: "The Zestimate is just a starting point. Let us connect you with someone who can give you a professional evaluation." They also say that their Zestimate can be wrong if they don't have the right information and home owners that claim a properly on Zillow can edit the "Facts" about the property to update the information.

      However, every realtor I've ever discussed says right out that Zillow shouldn't be trusted. IOW, if the person filing the suit is really in the real estate industry (as they claim) then they would know that it's common knowledge that Zillow values shouldn't be trusted and every buyer/seller is advised of that when working with an agent to buy/sell a home - thereby negating the entire claim before the court.

      There is also very little evidence that a Zestimate does a proper appraisal - finding appropriately comparable homes and making the correct adjustments as a professional appraiser would do.

      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    38. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Theaetetus · · Score: 1

      The argument is a Zestimate is a type of appraisal. And appraisals have legal requirements that must be met.

      Then it would be a Zappraisal.

      But really, Zillow's site has this disclaimer when you click on the Zestimate: "A Zestimate® home valuation is Zillow's estimated market value. It is not an appraisal. Use it as a starting point to determine a home's value. "

    39. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      You're not getting it. Just because people are using their numbers for appraisal, it doesn't turn Zillow into one. They have to advertise themselves as such, and chances are they have a disclaimer stating exactly the opposite. The case should be thrown out with prejudice.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    40. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      The argument is a Zestimate is a type of appraisal. And appraisals have legal requirements that must be met.

      That's a rather odd argument. No one looks at the house, or goes inside. the neighbor posting on Facebook that they think the house should be valued less would be as equal a lawsuit target.

      It's not an odd arguement. I've tried refinancing my house recently, and the first thing everyone does is go to zillow to see how much it's worth. This has to stop.

      Are you trying to pull 100 percent of your equity, and really want more? Aside from my admonition to not ever do that, you need to go in a different direction than a bank that relies on Zillow Zestimates. The Zestimate is made from acombination of what the house originally sold for, what nearby houses have sold for recently, and doesn't know much else about it at all. The house could just be a shell. A refi appraisal hsould at least have a site visit, and a quick peek inside. This is your bank's problem, and you might do well to find one more responsible.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    41. Re:Nobody believes the Zestimates by toddestan · · Score: 1

      I don't get the whole comps thing either. I had my house appraised. It's a townhome in a development with over 100 nearly-identical townhomes. With that many homes, there's always a few recent transactions to look at. From what I could see all of them were within about 15% or so of each other, easily accountable by upgrades that might have done, whether appliances had been recently replaced, overall condition, etc. Should be a piece of cake, right?

      Nope, a bunch of random comps all over the place, many of which weren't even anything like my house and needed a bunch of adjustments. Final value was still only a couple grand from where I figured it was going to be, so whatever.

  2. reality giant by marcle · · Score: 1

    Let me see, would that be Oculus?

  3. Solution by 110010001000 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    To fix this, "take ownership" of your property on Zillow and edit the property details and add an extra 1,000 sqft to it. Magically your value will go up. Thats what I did 5 years ago!

    1. Re:Solution by starless · · Score: 1

      To fix this, "take ownership" of your property on Zillow and edit the property details and add an extra 1,000 sqft to it. Magically your value will go up. Thats what I did 5 years ago!

      Maybe have to be careful that your property taxes don't go up because of this...!?

    2. Re:Solution by 110010001000 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It won't. Property taxes are based on the public record. You can fight property taxes, but you can't fight Zestimates. The best you can do is mess with their data (in your favor).

    3. Re: Solution by Hulfs · · Score: 1

      Not sure how it works by you, but by us (Cook County, IL) there's a fleet of property tax lawyers you pay $50 to to get your property taxes appealed and lowered. They handle the paperwork to file the appeal and then they take the first year's savings. You pretty much always get a lower appraisal and rate. You repeat this process every 3 years when the tax appraisals are redone.

      It's a total racket, the appraisals are arbitrarily high specifically to account for this. My house's appraisal went up 30% this year. The appraisal is based on external square footage and nearby comps, and while I know the market has gone up since we bought a couple years ago, it hasn't gone up anywhere near that much.

    4. Re:Solution by BeanThere · · Score: 2

      Which will probably trick their algorithms into increasing their estimate of your neighbors' properties.

    5. Re:Solution by chihowa · · Score: 1

      From my experience, you can't really fight property tax valuations, either. You can make appeals, which will be summarily denied. You can then appeal the appeal denial, which will also be denied. And so on...

      --
      If you want a vision of the future, imagine a youtube comments section scrolling - forever.
  4. Take Ownership! by ranton · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Take ownership of the property on Zillow and at least put in the correct details. Zillow doesn't even have the square footage of the apartment; of course it's Zestimate is going to be worthless. There are no details other than it is a 3 bedroom 3 bath townhouse. This is one dumb real estate agent.

    --
    -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    1. Re:Take Ownership! by 110010001000 · · Score: 2

      It is better to put in incorrect details in your favor. That will inflate the Zestimate. Zillow isn't in business to help you out.

    2. Re:Take Ownership! by ranton · · Score: 1

      While there are probably all manner of fraudulent behaviors which can help you sell a house for more if you don't get caught, it's probably better to just be truthful.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    3. Re:Take Ownership! by ranton · · Score: 2

      It isn't fraud [to put in incorrect details in your favor].

      The English language begs to differ.
      Fraud: wrongful or criminal deception intended to result in financial or personal gain.
      Whether or not you could be prosecuted for it under US law doesn't change the fact that it is fraud. Fraud is not just a legal term. Although even though IANAL, intentionally altering details about your home on online real estate sites for the purpose of financial gain sounds like false representation to me.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    4. Re: Take Ownership! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I strongly suspect that you aren't actually qualified to opine, or make authoritative statements, on matters of law. I'm sure your ego is to fail to admit this, so this post is written with the intent of informing others. I also, strongly, suspect that you'll actively reject being informed. You needn't respond, my time is better used elsewhere.

    5. Re:Take Ownership! by jroysdon · · Score: 2

      Case in point, the link for "I don't agree" just sets you up with one of their business associates to do a professional appraisal, which you'll then have to pay for, and they'll get a kick back (err, "referral fee").

      Bumped your listing 1K in size (why not). The listing description still lists the original square footage. No fraud here other than the bogus estimates Zillow is doing.

    6. Re:Take Ownership! by DavidRawling · · Score: 1

      Yes it is. But adding 1000sq feet to the home area may just be a typo in the thousands place. So might 3000sq feet more (numeric keypad). Oops, too bad so sad (or is it ... #SorryNotSorry now?)

    7. Re:Take Ownership! by AvitarX · · Score: 3, Insightful

      When I file taxes, it's through a website too.

      Does that make it legal to alter them for my favor?

      I mean they make me promise I'm telling the truth when I do my taxes, but so does zillow when I take ownership.

      Smarter to admit it's fraud, but untraceable, and you only made it more accurate (aside from the square footage).

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    8. Re:Take Ownership! by ranton · · Score: 1

      I didn't even know there was a way to tell Zillow the level of finish in your house, just the square footage and other objective measures. Even when the Zestimate is fairly accurate, I have never seen it take into account how nice the finish of the house is. The Zestimate often does a good job of estimating the price of a home with average finishes for the area, and then you need to do your own adjustment based on how much renovations have been done or need to be done.

      I for instance bought my home for nearly $100k under the Zestimate, but have put $75k into renovations over the first few years. The Zestimate took a slight dip based on my low purchase price, but within three years was back in line with its fair market value. But I live in a fairly easy to estimate area, in a neighborhood with about 1200 homes and around 10 floor plans. Finding comps is quite easy in that scenario.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    9. Re:Take Ownership! by s_p_oneil · · Score: 1

      No, that would definitely be fraud. If it were safe to do what you suggest, then every seller's agent listing a house would log into Zestimates and tweak the house in their favor to get a bigger commission. They don't do this (at least not blatantly/obviously) because they would get sued for fraud so fast their heads would spin.

      Zillow may not be there to help you, but lawyers are definitely out there to help themselves if there's even a minute chance they can get a judge to consider the merits of a law suit, and I'm pretty sure a slick lawyer could get a judge to agree to let him try this one. At that point, even if you win the law suit, the best you can hope for is that both sides lose (time, legal fees, etc.)

      IMO it would be better to see if you can tweak the numbers so that Zestimate returns a $0 estimate (or as close as you can get it). Or you could shoot for 100x the actual property value. It just needs to be so far out of the "ball park" that no one could possibly take it seriously. If even half the people selling property take the time to do that, Zestimate users will get annoyed and stop using it completely. Problem solved, and without even a small chance of being sued for trying to earn more by purposely tricking potential buyers with false information.

    10. Re:Take Ownership! by Reziac · · Score: 1

      This may explain why when I was property-hunting, I found Zillow increasingly useless... too many properties inflated by about 30% over actual market value (in markets I was sufficiently familiar with to judge). Got to where its only real value was the compiled history of past sales.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  5. 1 Infinite Loop, Cupertino, CA 95014 by execom · · Score: 2

    1 Infinite Loop, Cupertino, CA 95014 3 beds 3 baths -- sqft Edit Edit home facts for a more accurate Zestimate. OFF MARKET Zestimate®: $1,840,871 Well. Very undervalued

    --
    I need a Sino-Logic 16. Sogo-7 data-gloves, a GPL stealth module...
    1. Re:1 Infinite Loop, Cupertino, CA 95014 by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 5, Funny

      You'd think that they'd filter out buildings like that.

      Especially with undesirable tenants living there.

    2. Re:1 Infinite Loop, Cupertino, CA 95014 by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      You think the dog-abusing Lyndon Johnson was a good tenant?

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
  6. definitely in Nevada - Wells Fargo uses Zillow by AndrewFlagg · · Score: 1

    i can't tell you how many times Wells Fargo in Nevada by using Zillow as a gauging instrument to say to me... refinance probably not a good idea. they were right when we in Washoe county was hit the hardest...and even 10 years later, just barely getting back to break-even... and i didn't even buy low.. i was on the up swing in 2004... so i did not buy high.. just about 50% up the bubble.. it will work out.. zillow is fun to try --- use the Make Me Move feature to help stimulate interest and market interest... it works.

    1. Re:definitely in Nevada - Wells Fargo uses Zillow by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Yep. They do use it. That is why you should edit your home facts and add some square footage. It isn't cheating, or illegal. It is just a website. This is the only way to combat such websites.

    2. Re:definitely in Nevada - Wells Fargo uses Zillow by AndrewFlagg · · Score: 1

      it would be nice if somehow this Zillow thing would encourage Wells Fargo to do the right thing and at least offer more reasonably lower interest rates for those of us who needed to refinance and could not.. just do an interest rate adjustment and stop all the refi-road block games they play.. seriously.. the upper management does not notice or listen unless you sue them, and that is just bad karma...

    3. Re:definitely in Nevada - Wells Fargo uses Zillow by AndrewFlagg · · Score: 2

      thanks - i did - what i like is that a few realtor friends said zillow is usually 6 months behind either going up or down on a good z-estimate. a BPO showed my home about $50k higher than zillow, yet WF said.. a full appraisal would verify it, yet again, the WF original appraisal back in 2004 i found out was bogus and inflated to meet the sellers and lenders gains. oh well. karma is interesting. WF could do the right thing and make amends if they would only swallow their pride and quietly do it...

  7. Re: TFA sez she's just asking to have zestimate re by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I've never heard of Zestimate. I would give as much credibility to them as I would to an "anonymous coward".

  8. Dead petunias in CA... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    A roommate and I rented the front unit of a triplex in Silicon Valley after the dot com bust. I had planted some petunias in the front yard, got busy with life, and let the petunias die. While we were out in front one day, a little old lady came up to tell us that the dead petunias in our front yard lowered the value of her house down the street by $25K. I asked her if she was selling her house. She said no. I asked her how she knew that the value of her house dropped by $25K if it wasn't up for sale. She walked away in a huff.

    1. Re:Dead petunias in CA... by OldMugwump · · Score: 1

      Let her tend the petunias, then.

      --
      "Shoot, a fella could have a pretty good weekend in Vegas with all that stuff."
    2. Re:Dead petunias in CA... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      Let her tend the petunias, then.

      My roommate's mother plucked the petals to make potpourri. I wasn't thrilled to come home find the flower petals in a bowl.

    3. Re:Dead petunias in CA... by Notabadguy · · Score: 1

      A roommate and I rented the front unit of a triplex in Silicon Valley after the dot com bust. I had planted some petunias in the front yard, got busy with life, and let the petunias die. While we were out in front one day, a little old lady came up to tell us that the dead petunias in our front yard lowered the value of her house down the street by $25K. I asked her if she was selling her house. She said no. I asked her how she knew that the value of her house dropped by $25K if it wasn't up for sale. She walked away in a huff.

      These are the kind of stories I want to read!

    4. Re:Dead petunias in CA... by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 4, Interesting

      That seems about as accurate a method as Zillow. I bought a house several years back (well after the big crash) for a bit more than Zillow's supposed "estimate." But the price seemed right given improvements to the interior that Zillow's broad brush algorithm wouldn't know about.

      Six months later, out of curiosity I somehow ended up on Zillow's site and looked up my house. The estimate, which was already undervalued, dropped by over 10%. Zillow lets an owner post an alternate estimate of value, so I noted the professional appraisal done before my purchase was significantly higher. A couple years go by, and Zillow keeps dropping the value of the house, even though houses in the neighborhood kept selling for similar $/sqft to what I paid. At the lowest point, Zillow's estimate was about 30% lower than the house was appraised... Even after I had provided that info.

      I was so confused about all this that I signed up for an email alert just to see what might happen. Suddenly one day there's a flurry of activity looking at my house (even though it wasn't listed for sale). And suddenly overnight the estimate is bumped up by $50,000, then more. But the weirder thing is that Zillow displays a graph of what it claims were the historical "Zestimates" for the property over the last 5 years or whatever -- and that graph was suddenly altered to erase the inexplicable and continuous drop in value that it had previously registered. So Zillow not only made huge mistakes, but they completely hid them as if they had never happened.

      Anyhow, less than a year after Zillow's value went back up inexplicably, I sold the house for quite a bit more than even Zillow's revised estimates (and made a reasonable profit, even though Zillow claimed my home value was going down for the vast majority of my time in the house).

      This was an old house in a very established neighborhood, and there were no rapid swings in value there, even when the crash happened. So, given my personal experience, I'd say Zillow deserves this lawsuit -- as a new homebuyer, I definitely paid attention to those estimates, but now I know firsthand that they can be complete BS. And Zillow will clearly hide the fact that they even made a major valuation error.

    5. Re:Dead petunias in CA... by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 1

      Just to clarify my last statements, I was skeptical of the Zestimates even as a new buyer -- but I nevertheless expected that they must give SOME rough sense of value. Now I have no confidence in them at all... Maybe within +/-30 or 40%, and at that point, why bother posting them at all? That's probably a greater error in cost than the entire range that most people are even considering.

    6. Re:Dead petunias in CA... by gnasher719 · · Score: 1

      You should have offered her the opportunity to increase the value of her house by $50k by planting really, really nice plants in your garden.

      Seriously, if you lived next door (not "down the street") and I was selling my house, it would be something to consider. (If you tried to do anything to take advantage that smells like blackmail, the baseball bats come out).

    7. Re:Dead petunias in CA... by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      Offer to tend the petunias yourself for $12.5k

      Everyone is a winner.

    8. Re:Dead petunias in CA... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      Maybe within +/-30 or 40%, and at that point, why bother posting them at all?

      Because the unwashed masses uses Zillow as a starting point in their discussions about real estate values. If the realtor doesn't know about Zillow, they will find a realtor who does. Zilliow can make or break a realtor.

    9. Re:Dead petunias in CA... by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      Then again, home valuation is a necessarily arbitrary thing, and even professional home appraisers can be COLOSSALLY full of shit.

      Dig into it a little, and you'll find gross inconsistencies in practices and an unwillingness to even explain their arcana - particularly when they're actually thrown to their own devices and don't have 'comps' that are anywhere close.

      --
      -Styopa
    10. Re:Dead petunias in CA... by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 1

      Absolutely agree. I know it's all completely arbitrary. But when month after month goes by and houses in your neighborhood are selling well, but Zillow seems to indicate they're all worth 20-40% less than what they're selling for, then Zillow seems to be a lot more arbitrary.

    11. Re:Dead petunias in CA... by Quirkz · · Score: 1

      I learned to mistrust Zillow long ago. We bought just at the start of the housing crash, and I watched Zillow push up prices on our place for two years even while everything was falling apart.

      More recently, I looked again out of curiosity, at the chart where they track three values: county, city, and your home. The graphs for both the county and the city had smooth, gentle upward slopes across several years, basically in lock step. In the same time, their estimate for our house, which had matched that trend for years, was shown shooting way up like a rocket in comparison. This is totally out of line, and definitely unwarranted.

      Monkeys throwing darts at monopoly money would be more reliable.

    12. Re:Dead petunias in CA... by LunaticTippy · · Score: 1

      House prices vary by 40%. Not sure why you are having trouble with this. I buy houses, and prices for them are all over the place. Of course zillow is wrong all the time, that is because house prices vary! I am looking for example for 3/2 houses in an area where they average $200k - they go for $100k (where I like to buy) up to $300k, often with no rhyme or reason as to condition. Normally a place that needs work goes for cheaper but not every time. One eager buyer will land the price way high. A desperate seller will land the price way low. Sometimes there are realtors actively trying to send prices up or keep inventory moving by lowballing.

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
  9. Re:Nothing to see here, just another housing bubbl by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The "luxury" apartments in my immediate area have a 50% vacancy rate in San Jose. The last time this happened was after the dot com bust and the Great Recession. The apartment bubble might be easing as new apartments and condos are coming online. Or maybe Silicon Valley is slowing down.

  10. Zillow's problem is that Zillow is biased... by EzInKy · · Score: 1

    ...towards sellers, not buyers.

    --
    Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    1. Re:Zillow's problem is that Zillow is biased... by SeaFox · · Score: 2

      ...towards sellers, not buyers.

      That certainly explains why Zillow is undervaluing this person's house they are trying to sell... because they are biased in favor of sellers....yes. Makes perfect sense.

    2. Re:Zillow's problem is that Zillow is biased... by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      An outlier? Zillow consistently shows prices way above the regional norm.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
  11. Re:Nothing to see here, just another housing bubbl by 110010001000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Or maybe people don't want to live in your neighborhood. Or maybe they earn $50k as an IT contractor in Silicon Valley and can't afford it.

  12. Re:Nothing to see here, just another housing bubbl by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2

    Or maybe people don't want to live in your neighborhood.

    Or maybe all the cigarette and pot smokers moved out because federal law applies to the apartment complex and smokers have to go outside the gates to smoke.

    Or maybe they earn $50k as an IT contractor in Silicon Valley and can't afford it.

    For an extra $200 per month, I could get an additional wall to have a one-bedroom apartment.

  13. Zillow can be too high by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I have a contract to sell on a house that Zillow lists for about there times what I was able to sell it for. Both Zillow and county appraisers don't take the condition of the property into account. Both mostly just use square footage and recent sales nearby. For a house built in 1973 and never updated or renovated (think plastic counter tops and pink tile in the bath) the actual price you can sell it for can be far lower than either of those "appraisals".

  14. Re:class action by Penguinisto · · Score: 1

    I disagree, especially once you take property tax valuation into account (which may also be higher than this ZEstimate thingy.)

    --
    Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
  15. Re:Nothing to see here, just another housing bubbl by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Or maybe all the cigarette and pot smokers moved out because federal law applies to the apartment complex and smokers have to go outside the gates to smoke.

    There is no such law. An apartment manager might tell you that just to get you to cooperate, but there's no actual law requiring that. However, as per the Fair Housing Act, if one tenant has breathing problems and another nearby tenant smokes, they can force the smoking tenant to move to another unit and/or move out of the complex entirely. If the landlord doesn't comply and doesn't forcibly move that tenant, they can get sued.

    The apartment I used to live in had rules requiring that all smoking happen off premises, which was just their own bylaw that you had to agree to when you signed your lease. However, the one I live at now doesn't; they just have to be in certain designated areas.

    No matter what though, in the event of any kind of dispute, the law (rightfully, IMO) tends to discriminate against the smoker's civil rights if they conflict with that of a nonsmoker's civil rights.

  16. Re:Nothing to see here, just another housing bubbl by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

    However, as per the Fair Housing Act, if one tenant has breathing problems and another nearby tenant smokes, they can force the smoking tenant to move to another unit and/or move out of the complex entirely.

    What the situation could be since the apartment complex is covered by the Fair Housing Act (federal law), CA-legal pot smoking isn't allowed. If the pot smokers have to go outside the gates, the cigarette smokers have to go outside the gates as well.

  17. Zillow isn't accurate, but buyers don't rely on it by gurps_npc · · Score: 3, Insightful

    1) I agree that Zillow is not accurate. It consistently mis-priced my condo for a long time. Among other things, it doesn't account for the quality of the interior at all. Nor does it properly take into account 'equivalents', which in NYC may be restricted to other condos in a specific building, and not include condos across the street.

    2) I also agree that Zillow should have a better 'user complaint' form, specifically if a licensed appraiser submits a value, they should willingly replace their estimate with it.

    3) But requiring them to be licensed is silly.

    4) Also, no serious buyer would use the Zillow price rather than a price a Realtor suggested. Realtors know about the issues in #1 and account for it. At most you will be eliminating those people too cheap to use a realtor.

    This is not going to reduce your price sold by more than 3%, and is unlikely to increase it either (unless you get someone not using a realtor who is also foolish enough to ignore the licensed appraisal.)

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  18. Bogus by thisisauniqueid · · Score: 2

    The reality is that the entire market is comprised of numbers pulled out of the air. Therefore, suing Zillow for doing what the entire market is doing is completely bogus.

    That said, I kind of hate how Kelly Blue Book dictates the price of the entire auto resale market, so yes, all appraisals should be abolished. It's hard to do though in a market of non-fungible items, like houses, where there is no fully objective way to compare one house to another.

    1. Re:Bogus by Pfhorrest · · Score: 1

      KBB hardly dictates the price of the entire auto resale market. I've only ever found one seller in my entire driving history willing to come down to KBB prices, and that was a close friendly coworker at a car-centric job, and even that was a hard negotiation. Basically nobody is willing to accept "just blue book" for a used car in my experience.

      --
      -Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
      "I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
    2. Re:Bogus by thisisauniqueid · · Score: 1

      Regardless of whether you think KBB is high or low (basically, depending on whether you're a buyer or seller), people apply an adjustment factor in their head. I'm not talking about KBB dictating the acutal price paid, I'm talking about KBB setting the entire pricing structure for the whole market, by providing reference points. Regardless of what people think about KBB, they will never make a purchase without consulting it for reference. That's the whole point: it no longer comes down to an "invisible hand of the market" when there is a reference point that is trusted as an omniscient oracle.

    3. Re:Bogus by Pfhorrest · · Score: 1

      The invisible hand of the market functions only on the condition of all parties being well informed, and since KBB is compiled from actual market data (what cars are actually selling for) all it's doing is informing all parties and making that invisible hand work more efficiently.

      --
      -Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
      "I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
    4. Re:Bogus by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      Are you saying zillow is being subjective?

      I assume they are fully objectively comparing houses, and that's why they fail accuracy. The objective measures fail.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    5. Re:Bogus by Lehk228 · · Score: 1

      KBB doesn't dictate values, it documents them.

      --
      Snowden and Manning are heroes.
    6. Re:Bogus by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      In negotiation, published standards of fairness give you a hell of a lot of weight.

    7. Re:Bogus by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Oh come now. It's a used car. The most-efficient mode of operation would be for it to sell based on its usable lifetime adjusted for maintenance costs relative to its passed lifetime. The rest is just imaginary valuation.

      New goods sell based on their cost. Cost is wages. If you cut labor-hours required to make things by 50%, they cost half as much; add the same profit margins on top at every level of supply and you get ... half the price. People are working the same hours, so they still have the same money; some people aren't working (in the long run, some people aren't working at those particular jobs), so the consumers essentially don't have to pay them anymore.

      Houses and used cars sell based on what everyone else can sell for. Nobody actually works out a baseline of marginal utility; someone wants to get rid of the thing they have, someone else wants to buy a thing, and they try to economize. The seller wants to get the most, the buyer wants to get the least. The difference is the seller may actually take a loss on a house (i.e. it may have $350k of marginal utility left but sell for $250k), while a producer absolutely must sell above the actual cost.

      Efficiency happens when you learn to produce cheaper.

    8. Re:Bogus by rgmoore · · Score: 1

      The reality is that the entire market is comprised of numbers pulled out of the air.

      Not really. Sales prices are based on actual negotiations between real people who have real money on the line, very often for by far the largest purchase of their lifetime. Those sales prices have a strong influence on sellers' asking prices. In places where there's still substantial new home construction, they're also constrained by actual land and construction prices. There's still some arbitrariness to the pricing, but not particularly more than any other market.

      --

      There's no point in questioning authority if you aren't going to listen to the answers.

    9. Re:Bogus by rgmoore · · Score: 1

      Their objective measurement is only as good as the algorithm they're using and the data they're feeding in. The data quality can vary dramatically- I've seen houses where I know the data is good and others where it's woefully inaccurate. It's also important to realize that inaccurate data for other people's houses can throw off the valuation for your house with accurate data, since it corrupts their whole database. And there's a big worry that their algorithms are pretty lousy.

      --

      There's no point in questioning authority if you aren't going to listen to the answers.

    10. Re:Bogus by ProzacPatient · · Score: 1

      I've bought a few used cars and I find that KBB is worthless and dealers totally ignore it opting to use NADA instead. Needless to say I don't like working with dealers as I find a great many of them to be weasels and you need to walk in with that expectation being ready to walk out since dealers will prey on your attachment to a particular car you like. The old saying goes; if you buy a car and the dealer is smiling at the end of the deal then you're the one who got screwed.

    11. Re: Bogus by Pfhorrest · · Score: 1

      From what I gather, market prices in different regions vary, and KBB seems to list overall market prices. I live somewhere that lots of things (especially, back on topic, housing) is overpriced, so cars probably generally sell for more here too, while you likely live somewhere the opposite is true.

      --
      -Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
      "I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
    12. Re:Bogus by Pfhorrest · · Score: 1

      That's not how markets work. It's how an ideal, perfectly efficient market would be forced to work, but it's not how real world markets with all their inefficiencies actually work. Every seller of everything is always trying to get the highest price; every buyer of everything is always trying to get the lowest price; and the prices they end up agreeing on are based on the next-best alternatives (that they know about). In some markets, like say commodities markets (trading large volumes of fungible goods between a huge number of buyers and sellers), things are forced to work that way, which is good; while in other markets like housing and cars they work less like that, which is bad, but which information sources help to make better, by informing everyone involved of what their probable next-best alternative would be.

      Costs and utility do certainly put limits on the process, of course. If a seller can't routinely sell things for more than it takes to make (or otherwise acquire) them then they're just not going to bother doing it. Which will decrease the available supply of those things on the market, meaning people still looking to buy from others still have fewer alternatives, so those others can demand higher prices since the buyers don't have a next-best alternative to turn to instead, until an equilibrium is met. But of course, the utility of the item to the buyer puts a limit on it for him as well; some prices will just be so high that it's not worth it, even if there is no cheaper alternative. In either of those cases, the trade just doesn't happen; there is no price that's worth it to both parties so at least one party walks away from the deal.

      But sometimes, inflexible demand and inflexible supply force buyers and sellers into accepting a bad deal because the next-best alternative is an even worse deal. A business going out of business that still has stock on hand will sell it below cost if need be (that's what a liquidation sale is) because the next best alternative is having to hang on to (and pay to store) useless inventory for a business they don't want to be in anymore. Likewise, a buyer whose next-best alternative to buying something that's priced above it's actual utility to him is some scenario that ends up costing him even more instead (like losing your job because you can't get to it because you don't have a car, say; or paying indefinite money forever renting because you never ended up owning a house) may end up paying the unjustified price to stop the loss elsewhere. Both of these scenarios are just people cutting their losses, because sometimes a positive outcome is just not available, and the best you can do is choose the least-bad outcome.

      --
      -Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
      "I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
    13. Re:Bogus by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Every seller of everything is always trying to get the highest price; every buyer of everything is always trying to get the lowest price; and the prices they end up agreeing on are based on the next-best alternatives (that they know about).

      In production, the lowest price that can sustain a product's existence is the cost. That's wages and cost of risk; a supply chain piles up some wages for extra overhead and risks that wouldn't exist in a vertical monopoly, and also nudges the price up by intermediate profits, although those profit margins get slim as hell in the supply chain (e.g. GM has orders for millions of tons of steel per year; they get a much, much slimmer margin that someone buying thousands of tonnes of steel could ever hope for, and the steelmaker has negotiations with the coal supplier for similarly-slim margins, because you're talking hundreds of millions of dollars of profits every year even at those razor-thin margins).

      To be clear about this: if you can't get a price above cost, you can't pay the workers, and the business making the product evaporates. This is why, for example, there aren't businesses making solid gold phones for the broad consumer market: mining gold actually costs more than most people can afford for the amount of gold that goes into phones--never mind the commodity price of gold being pushed up above the minimum viable price--so that product can't (currently) exist.

      A business going out of business that still has stock on hand will sell it below cost if need be

      After which point, you can't buy from that business. If an entire supply of a thing can't sell above cost, then it can't be produced.

      You even acknowledged this:

      If a seller can't routinely sell things for more than it takes to make (or otherwise acquire) them then they're just not going to bother doing it.

      It's less a matter of "not going to bother" than "actually can't do this for very long, because they can't afford to pay the workers". The end result is still that they're just not going to make and sell it.

      My problem with the ideal of an "efficient market" is that things don't have intrinsic value. Things have cost. Economists spent a long time trying to describe a theory of value because people apply valuation: a certain individual has a belief of what the value of a certain thing is. Because every person can identify that they're willing to pay some amount for something but not willing to pay some greater amount, they develop a belief that a thing is somehow inherently worth something, and thus that it must have value. This was a long-standing misidentification of an individual opinion toward something as a property of that thing itself.

      That means, yes, things aren't worth what they cost to make; if you could buy a brand-new Chevy Volt for $20, you would, and it would be better than the $35,000 it costs now. A Chevy Volt doesn't have $35,000 of value. It has utility, and can be used to achieve some other goals, and may provide you the means to achieve things which result in cash-accountable figures; and all of those cash-accountable figures also come down to costs of things you want to achieve. In the end, it costs somewhere below $35,000 to make, and can't be supplied continuously at much below $35,000 until we reduce the costs. The consumers who buy it believe it's worth $35,000, while other consumers who could successfully purchase one will judge it worth less than $35,000 and so won't buy it.

      Things are perceived by an individual as worth some price. Valuation.

      Yes, I know we have lengthy, complicated, and very pretty ECON101 boilerplate to explain all of the market dynamics. We have a lot of rough ideals you get in school about things. Even an economics degree will teach you a bunch of rough outlines of the way economics works, and give you conceptual models and abstractions that generally help you understand the world of eco

    14. Re:Bogus by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      I've only found one way to get a decent price from a dealer. It depends on you needing just a 'transportation special'.

      Wait until the wholesale auction car mover shows up, then go to the backlot, find a wholesale car that's acceptable and offer them $50 more than the minimum bid (which will be posted in the car window).

      They won't take it initially, point out how much hauling costs and auction commissions are, say 'tick tock' and point out that you aren't buying another car from them if the car goes on the hauler. Don't talk to any sales scum (commish queers the deal), go straight to the head sales scum and make him the offer.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    15. Re:Bogus by thisisauniqueid · · Score: 1

      Only if you're on the side of the published standard (generally meaning, if you're the seller, since published standards are like tent poles that hold the prices up -- i.e. they artificially inflate prices, in spite of the natural level of demand). If it's working against you (as a buyer), then they don't help you at all, they cause you to have to pay higher than what would otherwise be market rates.

    16. Re:Bogus by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      In a depressed market, the seller can argue they paid some amount for the house some years ago. You then have the nebulous argument that the market is down some, so they give you -$20k instead of -$150k. The seller really doesn't want to take 1/3 depreciation on their asset, and can point to their purchase price as a standard; with a depressed market, you can point to a market trend and a published standard of similar properties as justification of the huge depreciation.

      A buyer willing to pay will be less-willing to pay if they believe a deal is unfair. A seller willing to accept a price will be less-willing if they believe a deal is unfair. It's not just an argument you can't win; it's a modification of your emotional state altering the price point at which you feel bad about trying to rob someone.

  19. Re:Nothing to see here, just another housing bubbl by AvitarX · · Score: 5, Interesting

    There's also insurance issues.

    Apartments that totally ban smoking get discounts on it, since they've banned a major source of fires.

    Smoking bans are generally market based, not law based.

    --
    Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  20. Re:Zillow isn't accurate, but buyers don't rely on by AvitarX · · Score: 1

    Zillow accounts for the interior to a point, as it recalibrates on past sales of a property (from what I can tell).

    Now, a remodel since the last sale is ignored, but all of your other points still stand in that case. People look at what's available when they buy, and real estate actually functions as a decent market.

    The person complaining probably has a shittier house than across the street of they can't sell it for the same price.

    Home owners seem to completely over value their house on general.

    --
    Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  21. Amazing it took this long by JustNiz · · Score: 1

    It amazes me that someone didnt sue them years ago for this.
    There's no way a website can generata an accurate estimate for your house, but people will beleive the figure they post or at least use it as a guideline so ts its inevitably gonna be harder to convince potential buyers that zillow in fact fucked up rather than you are overvaluing it.

    I'd go as far as to say that their estimates are basically self-fulfilling prophecies that can easily hurt both buyers and sellers in the pocket by skewing the market value,

  22. A much better way by Chrisq · · Score: 1

    A much better way of doing this is to show sale prices of properties nearby, as the UK sites right move and Zoopla do. This way you can see which are roughly equivalent properties pretty quickly, then look on street view to refine your matches or even go and drive past in person.

  23. The lawyer is right by mtmiller100 · · Score: 1

    Despite Zillow's little disclaimer, which is designed to make all liability magically disappear for them, they are liable for real damages to this person, in the exact way their lawyer stated.

  24. Zestimates are pointless and hurt Zillow by thesandtiger · · Score: 1

    Zestimates are pointless because everyone except for absolute newbies to the real estate market knows they are completely wrong. Newbies will rapidly become educated - no, sorry, that ramshackle house your mom willed to you in the wilds of some depressed former coal mining region isn't worth $750,000 when literally every other home being sold near there is going for 1/10th that.

    Further, Zillow re-writes history when Zestimates change - there's an historical graph they have that doesn't remotely match what their Zestimate is - anyone who has tracked a place over time knows this.

    They hurt Zillow because there is literally no reason to go to Zillow over any other real estate site - if you can't trust their numbers and see that they are willing to lie to try and cover up just how bad their numbers are, why not use someone else who at least doesn't do that?

    --
    Since I can't tell them apart, I treat all ACs as the same person.
    1. Re:Zestimates are pointless and hurt Zillow by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      The Zestimate is a 2-dimensional value. They're trying to display the market valuation of the house over time, not their valuation of the house at different points in time. A graph of the actual Zestimate history would be a one-dimensional value tracked in a two-dimensional graph.

  25. Not even close to an appraisal. by sabbede · · Score: 1
    What Zillow does is called a Comparative Market Analysis. You take the value of similar properties recently sold in the area to estimate the value of the one you're doing it for. Agents, not appraisers, do CMAs. Appraisers will put together somethign like a CMA, but only after inspecting the home. Basically, the set of things an appraiser does is a superset containing the set that defines a CMA.

    The most important distinction being that a CMA is not an official determination of value, it's a non-binding estimate. Agents get mad at appraisers all the time for using properties they don't think are comparable when putting the appraisal together. Agents and appraisers both get mad at Zillow for using a pretty weak CMA algorithm. They both use tools that give them something like a Zillow estimate, but then dig into it manually.

  26. Whut by nehumanuscrede · · Score: 1

    She's blaming Zillow for her woes is she ? Zillow has some usefulness, but is far from a total ( or accurate ) picture of why a home price is what it is.

    What's next ? Folks going to go after Edmunds True Car Value or Kelly Blue Book because they feel they're undervaluing their cars ? :|

    It's a third party ESTIMATE based on an algorithm for fucks sake.

    You want to know what counts ? The folks that actually appraise your home periodically to set your tax rate. ( I highly doubt they rely on Zillow data btw ) That's the only one that counts because that's the one the banks are going to use to determine the worth of a home when it comes time to lend money. You trying to sell your home for $800k, but it officially appraises at $500k ? Well, guess what. The bank isn't about to lend anyone $800k on that home. You want it ? You'll have to come up with the other $300k on your own.

    Welcome to reality.

    I can't speak for other areas / States, but where I live it's dead simple to pull up the official tax records ( they're online and public record ) on ANY home in the county to see what value it appraised at for the past decade. If you want to sell your home for near $650k, you damn well better make sure that it officially appraises close to that figure. Otherwise, you're just suffering from delusions of grandeur.

    1. Re:Whut by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

      Boom or bust, the county valuations around here are always lower than the going market price. But you're still right in that it is a safer estimate to build off of.

    2. Re:Whut by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      Where I live they're almost always higher than market price, so the local government can extract higher taxes

  27. Re:Zillow isn't accurate, but buyers don't rely on by StormReaver · · Score: 1

    Also, no serious buyer would use the Zillow price rather than a price a Realtor suggested.

    Realtors aren't any better. They exist to maximize their profits and minimize their costs. I have yet to meet a Realtor whose best interests align with mine. They're almost as bad as the Nigerian scammers, but not quite.

  28. Welcome to the club by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1

    I have no idea how they calculate my home's value, but it's obviously not based on direct comps from recent sales around here. The square foot price that they're using is about 10% lower than what I would easily get. To be fair, home prices have risen by something like 30% in the last 3 years since I bought it, and it looks like zestimate doesn't handle this sort of market very well.

  29. zillow is a joke, (multiproperty deed error) by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

    Zillow blindly scrapes the sales info from county web sites and deed book. I was seriously looking to buy a condo in Florida. Curiously two condo units had double the value of all other identical units. Did some digging and found someone, likely an investment company, bought two condos in one deed. Zillow has happily assigned the total price to each condo!

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  30. What's next? by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

    What about website/domain name value estimators? They also pull a seemingly-random number out of a hat, disagreeing with each other by 1000% or more, and no doubt impact what a buyer is willing to pay. Yet it's hard to see how it would be in the public interest to outlaw all machine-generated estimates.

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  31. Re: Nothing to see here, just another housing bubb by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

    Do they use them for AirBnB?

    Funny you should mentioned that. My apartment complex announced that they have guest apartments available for short-term rentals. I don't think they're doing AirBnB yet.

  32. It's an estimate by mprindle · · Score: 1

    I treat the Zillow estimate the same way as a budgetary quote for customers, it's+-30%. Using the 30% number her townhome fall's well within the range of the margin of error. If you want a real estimate pay to have a person to come look at your house and put a value on it, they are called restate agents.

  33. Zestimate can be contested by lymond01 · · Score: 1

    There's a giant "I disagree with this Zestimate" right under the Zestimate. It allows you to offer a real appraisal (which generally costs money -- in Northern California it's around $400) through an agent.

    And the Zestimate is going to go up and down, just like any other estimate. If the house next to yours sells for $100,000 less than you might have thought, your house will likely drop in value. Your house might sell for a lot more, but the value will drop regardless as neighborhoods count towards your appraisal.

    But yes, the Zestimate is inaccurate at best. But then, most appraisals, even the $400 ones, are just best guesses -- they look at your house, comparable sales if any, the neighborhood trend. Our house was appraised at $30K more than we expected -- more than the realtor expected too (appraisals in NorCal are independent of realtors for obvious reasons). But this magically put us above water on the home and we were able to refinance -- just because of a best guess at the value of our house by a "professional".

  34. Zillow is worthless by Osgeld · · Score: 1

    By the time a house pops up on zillow its already sold, I know cause I was in them a week or more before. Their square footage is almost always wrong and their estimate's are just random guesses.

    When I bought my house last year it took about a day of looking at zillow to know its absolute worthless bullshit

  35. Zillow *undervaluing*? That's new by whitroth · · Score: 1

    The last time I was looking at them, between '10 and '12, 100% of the time they *massively* OVERVALUED the properties, and sizes.

    Data: my real estate agent Chicago (which, btw, is Cook Co), did her due dilligence in '03. Zillow claimed that, at the time, it was worth 20% more. They lied.

    I looked at the house I bought in Montgomery Co, MD, in '11. They claimed it had something like 500^2 *more* than it does (and was worth more than I paid).

    They're crooks. Refin, on the other hand, seems to give *reasonable* values, and correct square footage.

  36. First amendment. by jcr · · Score: 1

    This suit should be thrown out at the preliminary hearing. Zillow is stating an opinion, and they have every right to do so.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  37. Re: Nothing to see here, just another housing bubb by Lord+Kano · · Score: 1

    In my real estate market, I pay almost the same amount to buy as it would cost me to rent a house like mine.

    LK

    --
    "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
  38. Other side of the spectrum by laie_techie · · Score: 1

    Zillow showed my house as being worth so much that we started the paperwork with our mortgage broker to get cash out (we wanted to finish the basement). The mortgage broker confirmed Zillow's valuation as "a good faith estimate" but required an actual appraisal.. The official appraisal (which cost us $500) came back nearly half of what Zillow estimated, and based on how much we still owed we didn't qualify. I wanted to sue Zillow for their misleading estimate but thought that what they did wasn't actionable.

  39. Re: Nothing to see here, just another housing bub by Brockmire · · Score: 1

    Hahahahahahahaha. A graduate in most fields are useless right out of school. There's people in Computer Science and Electrical Engineering who've never used a soldering iron.

  40. Re:Nothing to see here, just another housing bubbl by cthulhu11 · · Score: 1

    "luxury" and "apartment" are mutually exclusive.