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Many Nations Pin Climate Hopes On China, India As Hopes For Trump Fade (reuters.com)

Twelve readers share a Reuters report: Many countries are pinning their hopes on China and India to lead efforts to slow climate change amid a growing sense of resignation that U.S. President Donald Trump will either withdraw from a global pact or stay and play a minimal role. Delegates at the May 8-18 negotiations in Bonn on a detailed "rule book" for the 2015 Paris Agreement, the first U.N. talks since Trump took office, say there is less foreboding than when Washington last broke with global climate efforts in 2001. Trump doubts global warming has a human cause and says he will decide on a campaign threat to "cancel" the Paris Agreement, the first to bind all nations to set goals to curb emissions, after a group of Seven summit in Italy on May 26-27. "The time when one big player could affect the whole game is past," said Ronald Jumeau, climate ambassador for the Seychelles. "There would be a void without the U.S., but China and India seem to be increasing their effort." Big emitters led by China, the European Union and India have reaffirmed their commitment to Paris, which seeks to phase out greenhouse gas emissions this century by shifting to clean energies. By contrast, Trump wants to favor U.S. coal.

31 of 335 comments (clear)

  1. Trump version of... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Leading from behind.

    1. Re:Trump version of... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      When everyone else is jumping off a cliff, last is the best spot to be in.

      I suspect Trump will be jumping off the cliff once he runs out of staff members to throw off the cliff.

    2. Re:Trump version of... by cayenne8 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Yeah...I'll believe it when I SEE as far as China and India going full in to get rid of fossil fuels and start being the "clean" countries in the world.

      I suppose if we see them actually do anything meaningful, then we in the US can look in on it again.

      In the US, we've already made great strides in cleaner air...time to sit back and let the rest of the world and the worst polluters make some serious changes, and only then we start risking our economy on overregulation of energy industries that power our economy in so many ways.

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    3. Re: Trump version of... by guruevi · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem is that although solar and wind are decent peak generators, people have been eschewing clean base load generation for decades. Natural gas, nuclear and hydro power, even wind power has been under attack from all forms of "nature freaks" the only thing that doesn't piss anyone off today is solar and coal because we already have coal and they don't understand the environmental impact of silicon production.

      People that support Greenpeace and similar alt-environment organizations need to understand that people aren't willing or capable to go back to nomadic hunter-gatherer lifestyles.

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    4. Re: Trump version of... by sycodon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I suspect that the "nature freaks" see all this not as a goal to be achieved, but a tool to push their agenda.

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    5. Re:Trump version of... by MightyMartian · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The impacts of climate change are going to be very severe on these two countries. Considering how far behind they're coming from, the fact that they aren't just sticking their heads in the sand and declaring "AGW is a lie!" says something, even if they have long ways to go.

      The fact of the matter is that oil isn't going to die the death everyone thought it would even ten years ago, when it was assumed peak oil would hit at some point and oil would leap to several hundreds or even thousands of dollars of barrel. It's dying a death of oversupply, and with the likelihood that electric and other energy sources will overtake it over the next few decades (certainly not 10 years, that's way overoptimistic), it's just going to fade away.

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    6. Re: Trump version of... by cayenne8 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Let's be followers, not leaders. USA, we are number 32! We are number 32!

      When it comes to risking our economy with overregulation, then yes, I say we follow and let someone else "lead" for awhile.

      I think it IS time to let the other countries of the world show for real that they are willing to take the economic risks to do this and not us.

      The US has already cleaned up its act FAR more than the leading polluters in the world have done, so why not hang back and bit and let's see if China really means what it says on this commitment.

      If China actually *does* cut their pollution down and take the drastic steps required to do this in any reasonable period of time, then the US should take another look at joining in.

      But no reason for us to be almost the only one that self imposes these regulations on ourselves and putting our economy at risk vs the other countries in the world that only pay lip service to these agreements.

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    7. Re:Trump version of... by GLMDesigns · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Except a treaty that puts you in a disadvantage while it lets China and India pollute away is a STUPID treaty.

      Unless your goal is to pretend to do something for the environment while your real goal is income redistribution from the evil industrialized countries to the virtuous developing countries.

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    8. Re:Trump version of... by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Saying hopes for Trump on climate issues "fade" is implying they were ever there to begin with. Was anyone ever that uninformed to think that Trump was going to be some environmental crusader?

      If you want Trump to do anything about climate change, get behind nuclear to replace coal for base load power generation, which I'd imagine he'd support. A large number of environmentalists have, for many decades now, been hurting their own cause by blocking nuclear at every opportunity, allowing perfect to be the enemy of good.

      Of course, it won't happen, as some environmentalist would apparently rather see the apocalypse occur than build more nuke plants. Many of those people have even been going after *hydro* in recent years, which is about as clean as large-scale power generation is going to get. It weakens environmental arguments when practical solutions seem to be rejected out of hand.

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    9. Re: Trump version of... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It seems money is your primary motivating factor. That doesn't speak well of your intelligence. Your desires to deregulate would negatively impact large numbers of people, would increase sickness and death, and would increase pollution.

      Go fuck yourself.

    10. Re: Trump version of... by jimbo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It is sad to hear this sort of conversation. Climate change is not about "us vs. them" or whose turn it is, it's about climate change, a global issue and how the impacts are already devastating today in many parts of the world and will be more so for our children.

      What if China didn't do anything (they are waking up to it, fortunately)? Should we just let everything go to hell then?

      Everybody needs work hard on this issue, right now. We don't have time for petty bickering. Stragglers will have to be influenced to catch up.

      And no, US is not "almost the only one" self-imposing regulations. Furthermore, in the long run climate change would be far far more costly than preventative measures.

    11. Re: Trump version of... by cayenne8 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It is sad to hear this sort of conversation. Climate change is not about "us vs. them" or whose turn it is, it's about climate change, a global issue

      Well, it isn't JUST climate change, there are economic factors.

      I'm not willing for my life and lifestyle to go to hell tomorrow in order to "maybe" make a change in decades to a century from now. There has to be reasonable compromise, we just can turn the lights off all and once. And the US can't do it while the rest of the world (and our competitors) do not.

      I mean, to use an extreme example, the US could turn off all electricity generation, transportation, etc..that is fossil fuel based tomorrow.

      We'd suffer a LOT...and yet, if the rest of the world, especially China and the like kept at normal levels, the change to the global climate would not be major, nothing that much would slow down or change...certainly not in our lifetime.

      Till now those countries haven't done jack shit on this climate thing. The US, we have...we've burdened our businesses with regulations that hamper their ability to compete with China and other places for manufacturing.

      Until those countries not only pledge, but VERIFIABLY do the same things, then yes, we as the US should hold up and wait for them to catch up.

      You said it yourself, it takes everyone doing this...and till now, the US has taken its share but most of the world has not. Time to quit putting ourselves at a self induced disadvantage till the others come on board and PROVE they are doing it.

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  2. One word: sadness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You know you have screwed things up when you have to look at China and India, two countries that have long been considered backwards when it comes to using renewable sources of energy, for a brighter tomorrow. Kudos to China and India to realize the problem and starting to get their act together. I mean, c'mon, look at India and the problems it has and it is still doing something about it. So much about us being the superior.

    1. Re:One word: sadness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The bit about India actually starts a little earlier: https://youtu.be/bW_eGAwnfeI?t...

    2. Re:One word: sadness by OzPeter · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You know you have screwed things up when you have to look at China and India, two countries that have long been considered backwards when it comes to using renewable sources of energy, for a brighter tomorrow.

      Given that the combined population of China and India is over 35% of the world's population it makes perfect sense to look to them for long term solutions. Making changes in those countries will have the greatest impact overall.

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    3. Re:One word: sadness by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      China is doing pretty well compared to how the west did during its industrial revolution. Hindsight helps.

      Renewables are big business and the future of energy, and as the US turns away from them China sees an opportunity. Fortunately some parts of Europe are pushing ahead too, and of course Japan.

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    4. Re:One word: sadness by Nidi62 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Don't look at it as population numbers alone, but as energy used and pollution produced per person. The U.S.A. is a problem.

      But given the fact that China and India are still developing, when taken into account with the population they have China and India are the best places to start. It's much easier to focus on clean energy and pollution reduction while industries and economies are growing. Once the economy is established then there is considerable incentive for key players within the economy to maintain the status quo. For the ROI, both in terms of political capital/effort and straight up monetary terms, you will get more results from reforms in China and India than you will in the US. Especially given the current corporatist influence in American politics.

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    5. Re:One word: sadness by OzPeter · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Don't look at it as population numbers alone, but as energy used and pollution produced per person. The U.S.A. is a problem.

      I agree that the US is an energy pig, but there are two counter points:

      1. The US is only 5% of the worlds population, so people in China and India only have to use 1/7 per capita energy of the US and already you are equally the total energy usage of the US.

      2. At some point the populations of China and India will start demanding a lifestyle equivalent to that enjoyed by people in the US. When that happens you start to get in deep shit.

      I have been saying for literally decades that the US has 5% of the worlds population but consumes 20% of the worlds energy and that when the other 95% of the world start demanding their 20% of energy, the the shit will really hit the fan.

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  3. What a shit post... by zoid.com · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The amount of pollution is negligible compared to China. Have you been to China? They are in no way trying to fix this. The air is thick and metallic tasting. The only time they fix it is when they shut the factories down for the celebration of one of their communist holidays.

  4. Trumplestiltskin strikes again by bill.pev · · Score: 1, Insightful

    As the world economy shifts energy focus from Fossil/Carbon fuel to renewables, the US will be left in the dust while the rest of the world community moves into the global middle class. Although the environmental concerns are the most worrisome, the administration should look at the economic impact of holding onto carbon like babies hold onto their binkies. The rest of the world will solve this crisis as best they can, and the US will be.. what?

    The line that "we don't have problems, we have opportunities" has always seemed like garbage to me, but it applies here. There are huge opportunities. And this time, we would, in fact, be ending hunger and curing cancer at the same time.

  5. Foxes. Henhouses. You know the rest. by Hartree · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "China and India to lead efforts to slow climate change "

    We've sure seen the results of China's forward looking environmental policies. Especially in scenic untouched places like Baotou, and in the pristine air of Beijing.

    So, good luck with that.

  6. Re:The models fail: Holocene Temperature Conundrum by sdinfoserv · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Climate change caused by man is accepted by 90% of scientists. The fact that a few claim otherwise is unimportant. Look at the morons who perjured themselves before congress claiming "cigarette smoking does not cause cancer". You can watch them on YouTube, and it happened in the '90's.
    There's till flat Earthers too, but thinking creatures dismiss them; just like we dismiss you. Sorry.

  7. Re:It's about time by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You forgot all the rubbish that was manufactured there in the first place, then wasted fuel to be sent to us, used for less than a year and then wasted fuel to send it back over there for "disposal" (i.e. trash heap, no recycling).

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  8. Re:Trump and Resignation in the same sentence? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    That would imply that Trump has the intellectual capability of taking responsibility for his own actions. Based on his past actions, it's very unlikely that he will. Try Trump and Impeachment instead.

  9. Re:Wait 6 months by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yeah, keep holding your breath, skippy. We've seen this kind of banter about every administration for my lifetime and it never really goes anywhere. The difference is that your soapbox is a little bigger but that doesn't make what you say any truer.

  10. Both [Re:It's about time] by XXongo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's about time we focused on emissions from "developing countries."

    The correct answer is "focus on both". You can't solve global problems by saying "let the other guy solve all the problems, we won't do anything." And you also can't solve global problems by saying "we'll work on our problems, but we'll ignore everybody else's contributions."

    That's the thing about "global": it's everybody's problem.

    The stuff the US emits is harmless plant food compared to the toxic shit these derelicts dump into the air and water on a day to day basis.

    Well, per capita, the US emits far far more than the rest of the world. But the U.S. is a small fraction of the world.

  11. Re:The models fail: Holocene Temperature Conundrum by MightyMartian · · Score: 2, Insightful

    He either got this from a pseudo-skeptic blog or just googled it. The deniers don't actually read the papers, they just look for certain key phrases and then declare "All the scientists are wrong!!!!"

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  12. Pin Hopes on Yourselves by rey2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's already out of hand when one country's government believes the only way to solve its problems is to depend on another country's government; it's totally bonkers to think China and India will be environmental leaders, have you ever been to either China? There wasn't a single place that we went where the locals drank tap water and the air is terrible, except in rain forest areas (the people and food were great, I'd go back to visit). The Paris accord has no teeth anyway so why should a country hamstring themselves- maybe, just maybe, each country can follow environmental policies that balance their own climate concerns and economic well being instead of blindly following activist theology.

  13. Re:Trump Bashing by nojayuk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Why SHOULD the US shoulder the responsibility, when we aren't even the worst polluter?

    America burns about 3 tonnes of coal per capita each year (900 million tonnes last year for 320 million people). China burns a little over two tonnes of coal per capita each year (2.9 billion tonnes last year for 1.4 billion people). India burns about the same amount of coal as America does to supply 1.3 billion people, about half a tonne per capita.

    America IS the worst polluter of the three, and that doesn't even begin to take the oil and gas the US also burns into consideration. Americans use over twice as much energy per capita as the rest of the world and much of that energy is derived from fossil fuel.

  14. What you're advocating is a race to the bottom by rsilvergun · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think it's called "The Tragedy of the Commons" but either way it's the same reason traffic jams happen. If everybody did the right thing then we'd all be better off, but for individuals doing the wrong things is beneficial. At least, until everyone follows suit. When you tailgate and drive aggressively it gets you to work sooner right up until everyone does it. Then it causes a jam and you're an hour late.

    The US needs to lead here because we're why China is polluting. They're doing it to meet our demand for cheap consumer goods that can be sold at a high profit margin. Not that Europe isn't to blame too, but any time we want we could put our foot down, pay a few hundred dollars more for our electronics & consumer goods and stop the pollution. We don't because we don't want to.

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  15. No, we didn't by rsilvergun · · Score: 4, Insightful

    the government heavily interfered in the form of massive tax breaks for hybrids and for developing hybrids. Like most things that truly matter and are really difficult (like space travel, communication, and Basic Research) nothing happens until the government steps in because it's not profitable enough otherwise.

    And you can't fix the environment with a president who is openly hostile to the EPA. Poor people still can't drink the water in Flint, MI you know? And your Honda's good millage & clean emissions is dwarfed by the number of Trucks calling themselves SUVs on the road.

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