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Vint Cerf Reflects On The Last 60 Years (computerworld.com)

Computerworld celebrated its 50th anniversary by interviewing Vinton Cerf. The 73-year-old "father of the internet" remembers reading the early issues of the magazine, and reflects on how much things have changed since he gained access to computers at UCLA in 1960, "the beginning of my love affair with computing." I worry 100 years from now our descendants may not know much about us or be able to read our emails or tweets or documents because nobody saved them or the software you need to read them won't exist anymore. It's a huge issue. I have files of text that were written 20 years ago in WordPerfect, except I don't have WordPerfect running anywhere...

Q: Do you think [creating the internet] was your greatest accomplishment?

No. Getting it turned on was a big deal. Keeping it running for the last some odd years was an even bigger deal. Protecting it from hostile governments that want to shut it down and supporting new applications at a higher capacity are all evolutions. The evolution continues... I don't know if I can point to anything and say that's the biggest accomplishment. It's one big climb up the mountain.

Looking ahead to a future filled with AI, Cerf says "I worry about turning over too much autonomous authority to a piece of software," though he's not overly concerned, "not like Stephen Hawking or Elon Musk, who are alarmists about artificial intelligence. Every time you use Google search or self-driving cars, you're using A.I. These are all assistive technologies and I suspect this is how it will be used."

He also acknowledges that "I probably don't have another 50 years left, unless Ray Kurzweil's predictions come true, and I can upload my consciousness into a computer."

38 of 66 comments (clear)

  1. Vint, your vanity is comical. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Vint said : "I worry 100 years from now our descendants may not know much about us or be able to read our emails or tweets or documents because nobody saved them or the software you need to read them won't exist anymore. It's a huge issue."

    Most people are not going to have even the slightest interest in such stuff.
    The sad truth is that when you die, life will go on without you.

    Here's a poem Vint needs to read, after he takes a couple of Xanax chased with
    some 18 year old Macallan to soothe his por little ego.

    I met a traveller from an antique land,
    Who said—“Two vast and trunkless legs of stone
    Stand in the desert. . . . Near them, on the sand,
    Half sunk a shattered visage lies, whose frown,
    And wrinkled lip, and sneer of cold command,
    Tell that its sculptor well those passions read
    Which yet survive, stamped on these lifeless things,
    The hand that mocked them, and the heart that fed;
    And on the pedestal, these words appear:
    My name is Ozymandias, King of Kings;
    Look on my Works, ye Mighty, and despair!
    Nothing beside remains. Round the decay
    Of that colossal Wreck, boundless and bare
    The lone and level sands stretch far away.

                                                          - Percy Shelley

    1. Re:Vint, your vanity is comical. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This poem of Shelley was stored in printed form and thus available to you, 200 years later for reference.
      I think that is exactly where Mr. Cerf is talking about.
      These 200 years.

    2. Re:Vint, your vanity is comical. by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      Ozymandias shouldn't have used MS Word.
      Proprietary formats are against Osiris' will.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    3. Re:Vint, your vanity is comical. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Vint said : "I worry 100 years from now our descendants may not know much about us or be able to read our emails or tweets or documents because nobody saved them or the software you need to read them won't exist anymore. It's a huge issue."
      He is not talking about himself.
      It's about being left with a pile of unreadable historical documents in general. None.
      No papers left for historical research.
      No poems left for you to refer to.
      Got it ?

    4. Re: Vint, your vanity is comical. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      in 100 years they'll be saying "cerf the internetz"

    5. Re:Vint, your vanity is comical. by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 1

      You’re the smartest guy I ever met. And you’re too stupid to see he made up his mind ten minutes ago.

      --
      Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
    6. Re:Vint, your vanity is comical. by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Shucks. I should have used emacs and I would have been smarter. And freer.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    7. Re:Vint, your vanity is comical. by guises · · Score: 2

      What, seriously? Preserving records is vanity now? Personal correspondence makes up a great deal of historical source material, wanting to ensure that future people aren't blind to the past is not vain.

    8. Re:Vint, your vanity is comical. by Wootery · · Score: 3, Insightful

      the crap IPv6 design on the world, arguably one of the most expensive blunders in the history of technology

      Am I missing a /s?

    9. Re:Vint, your vanity is comical. by Paradise+Pete · · Score: 2

      Most people are not going to have even the slightest interest in such stuff. The sad truth is that when you die, life will go on without you.

      Yes they will. Do you think if we had the equivalent of emails from the 1500s they wouldn't be studied and written about? How about video of early man? Those would be precious, not ignored.

    10. Re:Vint, your vanity is comical. by Tough+Love · · Score: 1

      Right, you get it. Vint Cerf is the nascissist/geek bully who pushed the crap IPv6 design on the world, arguably one of the most expensive blunders in the history of technology. A self promoting ass who does not deserve his fame. Pretty much everything credited to him was actually done by someone else.

      This is all verifiable.

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
  2. ...unless Ray Kurzweil's predictions come true... by Assmasher · · Score: 1

    Dead man walking...

    --
    Loading...
  3. I don't worry. It's NOT a "huge issue". by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    "I worry 100 years from now our descendants may not know much about us or be able to read our emails or tweets or documents because nobody saved them or the software you need to read them won't exist anymore. It's a huge issue."

    It's 100% garbage/noise. Nothing worth saving.

  4. Oh God, What an unfortunate quote. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    ...unless Ray Kurzweil's predictions come true, and I can upload my consciousness into a computer.

    C'mon. Really? I thought we established that "uploading consciousness" is the retarded brainchild of weak B-movie plotlines, like The Lawnmower Man.

    Is it possible for what was previously a single consciousness to exist in 2 places at once? Once a computer retains a persistent serialization of an entity, copies are trivial. How does one establish which is the copy, and which is the conscious original? If he uploads his consciousness into a computer, then how do we determine whether his consciousness is effectively an AI, which he just stated he worries about the level of control conferred unto?

    1. Re:Oh God, What an unfortunate quote. by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      I notice that despite going on for two paragraphs, you didn't actually disagree with him. You sound very emotional.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    2. Re:Oh God, What an unfortunate quote. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No. The argument is that, while an intelligent instance of an entity within a computer might achieve sentient, self-aware consciousness, it would not be "you" and thus, "you" would not live on. Duplicates of said entity would not even be each other.

    3. Re:Oh God, What an unfortunate quote. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Gee, as if there weren't an entirely different degree of discontinuity between a bed of cellular activity proven to preserve a conscoiusness of a living entity, as compared to a transition from a cellular tissue netwrok to an electrical circuit which is not proven or otherwise known to support consciousness. Okay, sure, we're all in agreement.

    4. Re:Oh God, What an unfortunate quote. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      But just like magic, you'll mysteriously "awaken" inside the computer. Two places at once! All you gotta do is belieeeeeeeeeeeeve, bro!

    5. Re:Oh God, What an unfortunate quote. by Keith+Henson · · Score: 1

      " How does one establish which is the copy, and which is the conscious original?"

      I suspect you can't. Though some people, such as Robin Hanson, disagree, I think people may be legally limited to one running copy of their consciousness. There is another confusing matter. If we have the technology to read out a brain, the same technology should be up to the task of moving memory into the brain. This means reversible uploads and the ability to move between an uploaded state and a meat body state with continuity of consciousness. I described this in "The Clinic Seed." (Google for it if interested.)

      I have thought about nanotechnology since before Eric Drexler's first publication on the subject. The various complications were discussed on the Extropian mailing list around 1990. Charles Stross was on that list in those days and mined it for the ideas that went into Accelerando.

      --
      End MGM. Get prospective parents of boys to Google: Men do complain
  5. Solid by phantomfive · · Score: 3, Interesting
    It's a good interview, the man is clear-minded and his ideas are still worth hearing. He focuses on networks, of course, since that is his interest. I like his quote about what drew him to programming:

    The thing that was the most attractive was that you could create your own little world inside the computer, and it would do what you wanted it to do. I found that ultimately beguiling Something that would happen in a machine in one place caused something to happen thousands of miles away and that was very interesting, too.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    1. Re:Solid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      It's very easy in this era to forget what it was like to transition from lack of interactivity, to interactivity.

      I'm not as old as Vint, but still was an adult when personal computers started to appear in the middle 1970s. Before that, very few people ever experienced electronic interactivity. You had TV, which was a push only medium, and radio, similar. When the MITS Altair and other similar personal computing devices became available, it was a radical shift: suddenly a machine would take instructions from you and perform computations as you told it. (Back then, only you, since it predated the shift of control from individuals to the companies which sold the technology).

      It was a completely new experience for all but a very few who'd used 50's and 60's era mainframes, unlike any of the shifts since then to faster processing, better graphical abilities, sampled sound, etc etc.

  6. The Internet has a short attention span by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I worry 100 years from now our descendants may not know much about us or be able to read our emails or tweets or documents because nobody saved them or the software you need to read them won't exist anymore.

    Back in the '90s when I was new to the web, I built up a large collection of bookmarks. About five years later I went through them. A quarter of the links were down and most of them were too old for the Internet Archive to have saved them. The sites are gone forever.

    In the 1990s everybody knew that the Palestinians were a recently manufactured terrorist organization with no legal right to Palestine. When the Palestinians attacked Israel in 2000 they put their propaganda online on well produced websites like Indymedia, Electronic Intifada, and later the Daily Kos. Israel didn't. Now the most basic information about the conflict that everybody knew 20 years ago is difficult to find online.

    Wikipedia is scrubbing information that conflicts the political agenda of the administrators who run the site, and they ban anyone who tries to keep the encyclopedia neutral. Their excuse is that everything in life is political, but it is not okay for their political opponents to try to do it. Their political opponents are not even allowed to use Wikipedia. They will ban you if your account has the same name as a Twitter profile that mentions reading Breitbart.

    The Internet Archive has been deleting old books from their archive because they don't like the politics of the author. It is starting with white supremacists. It will not end with white supremacists.

    1. Re:The Internet has a short attention span by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Already rewriting history. Israel's legitimacy was never "unquestionable" as you stated. In fact many Jewish people disagreed with the whole idea. It was quite a debate, and has been debated long after the UN vote. Clearly it's been contentious for decades.

      The problem - and it's something Cerf is talking about - is that information is getting changed at a rapid pace. Articles in the NY Times and elsewhere get rewritten with no source to the original article. Wikipedia entries are scrubbed and while there is history it's unlikely any other changes will be allowed by biased editors and others who want to send a different message, and the history is never read by its users. It's clear that even you were influenced by saying Israel's legitimacy was unquestionable which is not only wrong, but was never true. But you believed it because that is what you were told.

      Once print is completely dead, and people's only references will be online diligently edited by those who like rewriting history, we will actually have made one of Orwell's chilling predictions come true for everyone. The only truth will be what you read today, and anything you read in the past will require doublethink to ignore it.

    2. Re:The Internet has a short attention span by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      In the 1990s everybody knew that the Palestinians were a recently manufactured terrorist organization with no legal right to Palestine.

      Nice troll, bro.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:The Internet has a short attention span by lucasnate1 · · Score: 1

      I'm Israeli and against returning to the old borders, but I still think that what you just wrote is stupid propoganda.

  7. Re:This is why Free software is important by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I have tar archives from 1982 that I can still read on a modern Linux computer in 2017. I've watched people who went down the proprietary tool route ("it's the hot new thing!") struggle with proprietary file formats just a few years after the company hawking the tool went under.

    It'll be most amusing the first time a big "cloud computing" service shuts down with little or no warning and millions of people had the only copy of their data stored there.

  8. Stop me if you've heard this one before by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Q) What's the difference between Vint Cerf and God?
    A) God doesn't think he's Al Gore.

    TYIHAWDFTTYW

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  9. open standards versus proprietary by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 2

    I don't think it will be an issue to read many files because many of them use open standards. It's the closed source proprietary stuff that could be lost to time. However, it seems unlikely because we make emulators for all our dead hardware platforms and keep them accessible with their software.

    Really, I think the worst case scenario here is that people in the future think that Comic Sans was used for everything. ;)

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    1. Re:open standards versus proprietary by Kjella · · Score: 2

      I don't think it will be an issue to read many files because many of them use open standards. It's the closed source proprietary stuff that could be lost to time. However, it seems unlikely because we make emulators for all our dead hardware platforms and keep them accessible with their software.

      Yeah, I think if you have it as a file we'll find a way to decode it, it's transitory online services like web sites, streaming, online game servers etc. that will be "lost". And for preservation not editing I think we'll converge on relatively few and long lasting standards. Like lossy pictures => JPG, lossless pictures => PNG, audio => MP3 (or maybe AAC), video => MP4/H.264 (once the patents expire), documents/presentations => PDF/A. Despite the actual content being a clusterfsck many use standard base formats like XML or JSON. When you consider the absurdly vast amounts of information we generate compared to any past generation I think we'll be the most well preserve generation in history so far. If anyone cares to keep it, that is.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  10. not the hive of scum and villainy you're looking 4 by epine · · Score: 2

    Over and over, I see people slag Wikipedia, and it's either:
    A) no specific claim that I can check out; or,
    B) specific claim, hopelessly overblown.

    Wikipedia is dysfunctional, but probably no worse than your average PTA meeting. In a city of 5 million inhabitants, you can probably find an opium den. In an encyclopedia of 5 million articles, you can probably find an opium den.

    Universal dispassionate agreement farts rainbow-farting unicorns.

  11. Re:Well you're the only one who can do anything... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    He doesn't have WordPerfect any longer? How about we crowd-fund the $99.99 for the latest version for him:
    http://www.wordperfect.com/en/product/home-student/?hptrack=mmwp

    Half the people here complain about how rich people are evil and have too much. If you own a computer, then compared to almost everyone else on the planet, you're rich. Time for you to put your money where your mouth is and donate money to prove you're not evil and so we can raise $99.99 for this guy, who apparently is so helpless he can't spend 10 seconds searching the internet for where to buy a copy of WordPerfect.

  12. they have TOO MUCH. by gl4ss · · Score: 1, Interesting

    500 years from now, pre-2000 will be referred as the dark ages and post 2010 they have 10000x per year more pictures, news stories, personal posts and what have you than from years earlier.

    if vint doesn't see this then.. well, maybe he should stop listening shitty futurologists and start looking at some historians.

    basically... 500 years from now.. how many pictures of the eiffel tower in year 2010 do you think they will have access to? 10? 20? 30? or 1000 per day? either way, a hell of a lot more than from 1910. in color. in reasonable quality.

    they will know what people wore. they will know what people listened. they will have the speeches recorded that both put people INTO THE FUCKING MOON and they have access to speeches about how there's a really great hot dog place in new york.

    maybe this sounds pompous but really it's not - we just lived through the breakthrough into the computer era and in the past century the breakthrough to worldwide media - this is a once in the history of the world kind of an event that is such a watershed moment in perspective of HISTORY that he shouldn't be that much worried about people in the future knowing what happened here now - there's more books published than ever as well, in smaller quantities per printing - photobooks included.

    also the way things have been going you now have BETTER access to 1995 data than you had in 2000. you now have much easier time running software from 1981 than you had in 2000 as well. he should be able to see that curve, but apparently has spent too much time with futurologists(who are ALL a bunch of fucking idiots and wankers and I still can't believe people give them money for giving shit predictions and being just generally full of shit and out of touch).

    --
    world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    1. Re: they have TOO MUCH. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      With no twitter, instagram, snapchat, yt and what have you around, how do you think people in 200 years will access the 1000s of pictures available to you TODAY?

  13. Lost and gone forever.. by LesserWeevil · · Score: 1

    I have several important (to me) files on 5MB removable CDC disk packs for Texas Instruments 990 computer running DX10 OS written in the OOF application. You laugh, but millenials like my kits look at those and think the same thoughts many of us do when we see the pyramids. I predict that computer archeology will be a popular major in colleges around 2030.

    1. Re:Lost and gone forever.. by Artemis3 · · Score: 1

      You have to be careful with media, once you start seeing signs of obsolescence, to copy the data to whatever is new and repeat doing this before you lose the ability to read the old media anymore (even if you keep it well stored).

      --
      Artix
      Your Linux, your init.
    2. Re:Lost and gone forever.. by LesserWeevil · · Score: 1

      I wasn't thinking quite so clearly 35 years ago.. Nobody was.

  14. Re:Well you're the only one who can do anything... by uberdilligaff · · Score: 2

    How about his vaunted AI to the rescue? We can teach machines to read facial expressions -- why not train them to make sense of orphaned text with embedded formatting markup? After all, there's LOTS of material to train with.

    --
    Against stupidity, the Gods themselves contend in vain. --Friederich Schiller
  15. No need to remember every detail by houghi · · Score: 1

    During the cleanup after the death of my mom my sister and myself found letters from my dad to his best friend. )send back to him when that friend died) Suddenly we got information that we never had before. We are both adults and even though the information was revealing, it was also meaningless.

    And that was about letters that where written on paper and where people spend the time to write. Not on some emails send to say "I Liek U"

    99% of communication is drivel and the 1% is drivel of a bit higher standard. There is no need to keep emails in almost any case.
    There is a reason people forget things. It is because it is generally good not to remember everything. So what if I do not know the name of my kindergarten teacher? Would I be more functional if I did?

    With emails as with everything, unless there is a very important emotional value, I throw things out after one year (generally speaking)

    There is absolutely no reason to keep all your emails. None, whatsoever. It is called hoarding. "But I just looked up an email from 15 years ago yesterday" will be said here. Would it be a huge disaster if you where unable to find that mail? I doubt so. Helpful? Sure. Impossible to get on with life without it? Not really.

    --
    Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.