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EU Commissioner Says No to Bill Gates' Robot Tax Idea (fortune.com)

Andrus Ansip, the European Commissioner in charge of the Digital Single Market, has said that he does not support Bill Gates' idea of taxing robots that replace human workers. From a report: Microsoft founder Gates made an argument for robots incurring taxes equivalent to that worker's income taxes during an interview in February. "Right now, the human worker who does, say, $50,000 worth of work in a factory, that income is taxed," he said. "If a robot comes in to do the same thing, you'd think that we'd tax the robot at a similar level." But Ansip has made it clear that he is not in favor of a robot tax. Speaking during a CNBC-hosted panel at the Pioneers tech conference in Vienna on Thursday, Ansip said the "aim of taxation is not just (to) collect revenues... but to increase salaries of teachers and police," CNBC reports. "No way. No way," he added, when asked if he would support the tax.

128 comments

  1. A little short-sighted by ausekilis · · Score: 1

    A reduction in tax income means a reduction in overall ability for the gov to spend... which in turn means smaller money pot to pay teachers and police.

    I'm sure they'll find another way, such as property tax rates for commercial vs personal.

    1. Re:A little short-sighted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A reduction in tax income means a reduction in overall ability for the gov to spend

      Oh, if only that were true!

    2. Re:A little short-sighted by Richard_at_work · · Score: 4, Insightful

      They didn't tax Excel, VisiCalc or Lotus 1-2-3 even when they put entire floors of people out of jobs in accounting rooms in larger businesses...

      So why should they tax the "robots" being used to automate other jobs?

      Gates seemed to be fine when it was his product doing the automation, I don't see whats all that different about this situation.

    3. Re:A little short-sighted by neonv · · Score: 1

      Machinery, robots, and automation have been taking over jobs for hundreds of years. Humans have been resisting those automation takeovers for just as long. The earliest of these are Luddites. they smashed up weaving machinery because it was taking over their jobs. Below is the link, very interesting read.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      However, despite all the automation and machinery over the centuries, the number of jobs available have continued to increase. Rather than completely replacing jobs, automation shifted jobs to new positions or industries that may require more thinking that automation is not capable of doing. As a result, productivity has skyrocketed, giving us the amazing quality of life compared to quality of life centuries ago.

      For example, in 1880 50% of Americans worked on farms. Today, 1% of Americans work on farms. That's a 49% job loss. However, we don't see a 49% unemployment. Those jobs have shifted to other industries, while we still get amazing food production.

      There's no indication that this automation increase, productivity increase, and job type shift will change. There's also no indication that Luddites will stop resisting the change. However, there no reason to start taxing robots. People still have jobs, jobs availability is still increasing, still paying income tax, and it's an incredible complication to the tax code. There already exists job training federal aid for those put out of work by outsourcing. A possible solution to automation job shifting is to expand that for job loss caused by automation to help people learn to new job types.

    4. Re:A little short-sighted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The government could also change the system so teachers are paid by people who decide to have children and then educate them instead of making this a burden for society.

    5. Re:A little short-sighted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We will talk again when automation finally produces a better human that can do everything a human can. We will see where you will shift to then.

      This time around people are not worried about some people being displaced and creation of new economies.

      People are worried about what happens when you eliminate the need for humans. PERIOD. Building robots, designing robots, repairing robots, writing books, painting, etc. etc. etc. will all be done by machines. Explain to me where people are going to shift to when everything you can do, a machine can do better and cheaper? So far we have been ok because they could not "automate" human level intelligence. So a big chunk of the labor force logically moved into fields that you could not automate. Everything else was either automated, or off-shored to reduce labor costs.

    6. Re:A little short-sighted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not clear if the taxing of the robot use would lead to higher tax accumulation due to impacts on productivity and competitiveness. Robots, like any other machines are taxed in multiple ways during their life cycle indirectly already. Ansip appears to be of the opinion that taxing should focus on those actions in the society that cause problems or harm. That is not of course how the budgets gets filled in the real world.

    7. Re:A little short-sighted by nomadic · · Score: 1

      "However, despite all the automation and machinery over the centuries, the number of jobs available have continued to increase."

      Just because that's happened in the past doesn't mean it will continue to happen.

    8. Re:A little short-sighted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The same argument could be done for the police, but what kind of a society would it be then? City wide riots, kidnappings and drug gangs force the rich to travel by helicopters, guerilla movements, civil war. Hell, that's like the South America! An equal treatment by the law, society and government is a pre-condition of a stable society. So is a harmonizing basic education system that provides a value base and a stepping stone to a better future that the parents too often fail to provide. I know, it's controversial in many places of this world.

    9. Re:A little short-sighted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. Farmers used to have to do a lot of manual labor laying seeds in the field, sowing foods, etc. Then tractors came along and then all he had to was sit in a chair and control a steering wheel. Are they planning to tax tractors too because it displaces many manual farm laborers?

    10. Re:A little short-sighted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll answer your question. When a new, better model of car comes out, they stop producing the old ones. Sure a few of the old, worse models are kept around as vintage keepsakes...

    11. Re: A little short-sighted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also. If it does in fact increase profitability and since profits are taxed. Campanies utilizing robots would already be paying more in taxes.

    12. Re:A little short-sighted by gnick · · Score: 1

      When a new, better model of car comes out, they stop producing the old ones.

      Perfect! We'll just tell all new parents to adjust their settings! Like I said in some thread yesterday, not everyone is born to be an engineer no matter how much they apply themselves. We can change the way we're training people, but some people's natural limits may not surpass the best of our future robots. Producing "new models" isn't as simple as flipping a switch on the uterus. As jobs become more sophisticated, the number of people incapable of doing them goes up and the number of positions for unskilled labor goes down.

      Sure a few of the old, worse models are kept around as vintage keepsakes...

      Sure. For the people that can't keep up, we'll just put them up on blocks and forget about them. What's wrong with that? I'm in the camp that thinks that a person working as hard as they can at the most useful task they're capable of deserves food, shelter, and maybe even medical care.

      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    13. Re:A little short-sighted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree with what Bill Gates suggests. We should start tax robots.

      A robot is really just a collection of gears and other parts, which are hard to regulate. With the advent of the internet (and new telemetry) it would be much easier to tax the intelligence, erm program controlling the robot. But wait, a robot might need multiple programs to do it's task, so we should only tax the program that facilitates the other programs, the operating system! Now lets see, who has a virtual monopoly on the operating system used in commercial environments? Mircosoft! Bill Gates wants to have Microsoft taxed more, I for one, vote we don't disappoint him.

    14. Re:A little short-sighted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Starve the Beast! WCGW?

    15. Re:A little short-sighted by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

      The fear is that, because of robots and AI, there will not be enough jobs to go around to give most people a living wage, on which a tax can be levied so we can support those without jobs as well. The current market model doesn't distribute income equally but it does a decent enough job of it, and it provides an incredible amount of freedom. But once most people will be jobless, that model will fail in a big way. What does an economy with a 95% unemployment rate look like? The government will have to find additional sources of revenue to pay for a universal basic income scheme. Make no mistake, this is nothing short of a switch from capitalism to communism... hopefully of the long-lived and prosperous Star Trek variety.

      Whether robots and AI will really force such a change in the near future is the real question.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    16. Re:A little short-sighted by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      The fear is that, because of robots and AI, there will not be enough jobs to go around to give most people a living wage, on which a tax can be levied so we can support those without jobs as well.

      How is that *any* different to any of the other times civilisation has come across this problem in its several tens of thousands of years on this planet?

    17. Re:A little short-sighted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Bill gates had the good sense to make his products so bad that for every accounting clerk dismissed, 2 IT people had to be hired.

      It is not likely that the captains of Robot/AI industry will have the same vision, insight and moral strength that Bill Gates had.

    18. Re: A little short-sighted by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 1

      The only way it could be a reduction in tax revenue is if the unemployment permanently raised. As of now, there's no indication that this will be the case. Every 20 years or so this issue comes up, and each time people flip out about it for nothing.

      Incoming "just because we recovered in the past doesn't mean we will this time", but it's a bullshit argument that just assumes that people will just stop trying to obtain an income, and if that is the case, then the UBI proposal is doomed to lazy fucks.

    19. Re:A little short-sighted by Dagger2 · · Score: 2

      Historically, we've replaced some jobs with automation and people have migrated to other jobs that the automation wasn't capable of. This time around, we're getting to the point where AI and robotics are good enough to replace anything a human can do. Automation will be able to do your job better than you can, and you can forget migrating to another job because the robots can do the other job just as well as you can too.

      That is fundamentally different from any of the last times this happened.

    20. Re: A little short-sighted by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      I guess you didn't notice how Big Agribusiness took over because of it and now there's virtually no independent farmers left while the corporations bleed the wealth from America.

    21. Re: A little short-sighted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is that *any* different

      You really can't see any difference?

  2. Bill Gates is correct on this issue by sinij · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Government relies on income and sales taxes to disproportionate degree. With robots taking over, there won't be enough money to support social programs or even local government. We will quickly get to unified world government, but it will be controlled by multinationals that own these robots.

    1. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is this any different from jobs lost to efficiency gains from software?

    2. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by nomadic · · Score: 1

      And of course, with people out of work because of the robots, the multinationals won't have anybody able to buy their products.

    3. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Government relies on income and sales taxes to disproportionate degree.

      Income taxes are not the problem. Not collecting them from certain persons or organizations is the problem. Endless war is the problem.

      We will quickly get to unified world government, but it will be controlled by multinationals that own these robots.

      Nope. They will be kept in check by governments holding monopolies on force. Before they become that powerful, they will be co-opted or destroyed.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      He's not, he's either confused or being disingenuous (I suspect the latter because he's not that stupid). Robots aren't "earning" income, they don't have bank accounts in which they deposit their salaries, they don't use their income to pay for robot kids or beer etc. Robots are presently property ... because they're just machines ... "taxing robots" is not taxing robots, it's taxing the human being that owns the robot (means of production). It's the human owners of the robot who then have less money to feed or educate or get healthcare for their kids.

      We're a long way of robots that exhibit the sentience that warrants giving them rights.

    5. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 1

      Government relies on income and sales taxes to disproportionate degree. With robots taking over, there won't be enough money to support social programs or even local government. We will quickly get to unified world government, but it will be controlled by multinationals that own these robots.

      I'd love to see a wealth tax at some point, say starting at 200x the average wage or something along those lines. Enough to allow a person a reasonable retirement but beginning to be a luxury tax above a certain threshold. Inheritance taxes (ie death taxes) also desperately need to return. The surest way to reduce the "I've got mine F--- the rest" is to force each generation to earn their own way. If the 1% didn't have trust funds then suddenly opportunity would become more of an interest to them instead of only focusing on already entrenched interests. One should have to earn the rich card, not have it handed to them.

    6. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by sinij · · Score: 1

      How is this any different from jobs lost to efficiency gains from software?

      Very good question. First, software is very limited in what it could do by itself in a physical world. I can't write garbage collection subroutine and also expect it to take out my trash. Second, software mainly deals with data. In this way it opens new fields and creates employment. There isn't a way for me to pick up a shovel and perform a database queue, as such it isn't displacing existing work.

      Robots are both universal in functionality and do not perform any new tasks. Ideal robot, something like Data from Star Trek, is designed to replace humans. Software is not.

    7. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by sinij · · Score: 1

      And of course, with people out of work because of the robots, the multinationals won't have anybody able to buy their products.

      This isn't as big of a problem as you think. They will just switch to B2B.

    8. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by sinij · · Score: 1

      Nope. They will be kept in check by governments holding monopolies on force.

      How successful is China in censoring Tienanmen Square worldwide? Not at all. How long did it take to catch Dread Pirate Robers by the nation that currently represents pinnacle of force? This will get extrapolated even further difficulties applying this force as we get further intertwined with technology.

    9. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      How successful is China in censoring Tienanmen Square worldwide? Not at all.

      What relevance does that have in this discussion? None at all.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    10. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The "Death Tax" concept is about as ironic as you can get. The same people who don't want their money given to other people because those other people didn't work for it have no problem in wanting their money given to people who (sometimes) share their DNA and/or households and didn't work for the money.

    11. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by sinij · · Score: 1

      This was a reply, with relevant quote included in the post, to "They will be kept in check by governments holding monopolies on force".
       
      The governments are not successful keeping in check any kind of modern non-government entities, from dissidents, to terrorist organization, to multinationals dodging taxes. It reasons, they won't be able to do anything about multinationals controlling highly portable robotic workforce.

    12. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      200x the average wage

      That's an income tax, not wealth tax. I have very low income, but a lot of wealth built up over many decades of living like a pauper in great hardship for years. I have no problem helping people and have given well over 50% away, but have problems when it's taken by people who have not suffered as much as I have because they think I do not deserve it while they do.

    13. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      The governments are not successful keeping in check any kind of modern non-government entities, from dissidents, to terrorist organization, to multinationals dodging taxes.

      Sigh. Those three kinds of organizations are fundamentally different, and conflating them only makes you look like a child. The fundamental difference is that laws which permit multinationals to not have to pay taxes are bought by the multinationals. What they are doing is overwhelmingly legal. Dissidence and terrorism are both illegal in China, but their society naturally produces dissidents and terrorists because of its very restrictiveness. (Ours produces them because of its dependence on compromising education in order to produce a tractable populace, but that's here, not there.)

      A corporation with a bunch of expensive equipment is easy to locate... and bomb. It's not like terrorism, which is an idea. It's a logical entity with well-defined borders and identifiable assets. This is the kind of thing that governments know how to go after.

      Maybe your argument is that the corporations will purchase legislation that permits them to operate robot armies, because they are able to purchase all other kinds of legislation. But the government will want to retain its monopoly on force, and it will employ it long before anyone builds a robot army big enough to take over the world, or even their country. The only people who might be able to build robot armies which can take over countries are other countries, or perhaps corporations in other countries — but there will be nations lined up to turn them into craters in the ground as a cautionary tale for corporate interests that get too big for their britches.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    14. Re: Bill Gates is correct on this issue by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      Perhaps if we had started taxing software in the 80s we wouldn't be in the wealth distribution predicament we are in.

    15. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by sinij · · Score: 1

      Corporation just like terrorism is an idea. Corporate ownership is not really easy to trace, with shell corporations and complex offshoring structures it takes an army of forensic accountants with access to books to untangle this. Robot workforce will just show up and leave, and unless specific government is willing to outlaw all private ownership of robots it won't be effective at stopping this.

    16. Re:Bill Gates is correct on this issue by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Corporation just like terrorism is an idea.

      No, it's a legal entity. It's more than an idea, it's an idea backed up by the force of law. Without the blessing of law, in fact, it cannot even exist. Banks won't recognize it, for example, so it can't transact business — it's not feasible for corporations of any size to do everything with cash. And banks can only operate with the blessing of government.

      Corporate ownership is not really easy to trace,

      Irrelevant. Corporate assets have mass and take up space, and are not so hard to trace.

      Robot workforce will just show up and leave,

      Robot workforce will just show up and get deactivated by any means necessary if it's operating without the blessing of the host nation. Also, robot workforce is still dependent upon energy inputs which can be traced, interfered with, etc.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  3. Because by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Robots don't need diapers, Newports and Schlitz every other Friday.

    1. Re:Because by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mom's Robot Oil!

  4. Eventually they will have to... by jawtheshark · · Score: 2
    ... or lose funds. No taxes, no government spending, no government spending, no way to keep all these unemployed people feeded.

    Perhaps he'll suggest that they just have to eat cake if there is no bread....

    I do understand why not: taxing robots, would keep industry and production out of Europe. Evidently, if robot work is taxed in the EU, the robots will be put in non-EU countries, including the few non-robot workers who still do pay taxes... Not good for the economy (well, until nobody can buy goods any more, of course).

    --
    Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    1. Re:Eventually they will have to... by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      No they won't have to. Instead of adding up all the different kinds of robots in a company, you can simply tax the whole company a fixed percentage of its sales.

      Taxing individual robots makes things very complicated.

    2. Re:Eventually they will have to... by jawtheshark · · Score: 2
      As a citizen of one of the countries that is "misused" for tax evasion, ehm, I mean "tax optimization", I can tell you that is going to get pretty ugly very quickly. After some documents came public, some large multinationals pay less taxes than me and my spouse together. They're going to continue to do that. It's in the nature of large corporations.

      While taxing robots might be difficult from an accounting perspective (Good! More accountant jobs... or accountant AI jobs), you can quantify robots and their production.

      --
      Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    3. Re:Eventually they will have to... by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      some large multinationals pay less taxes than me and my spouse together.

      Taxing robots won't fix that, though.

    4. Re:Eventually they will have to... by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      There's an easy fix, though. Ban those companies from doing business in your country, until they start paying what they owe.

      "But you'll lose jobs!" cry the companies. What jobs? It's all robots anyway.

      --
      Eat the rich.
    5. Re:Eventually they will have to... by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      And how is that going to work? You can't have a fixed rate of tax for all companies. Not all of them have a very high margin like Apple. Many companies in the retail sector work on very slim margins and try to make it up in volume. So if you set your tax rate for a company such as Apple it's going to always force retail companies into the red in a big way. But if you set it up for the retail companies then people will complain that Apple doesn't pay much tax. What about companies that don't make money but are still forced to pay taxes? And don't say that you have to pay taxes on everything you earn. You are not a company. If you keep losing money you will still be around. A company won't.

      * - By retail I'm talking about grocery type stores where margins are typically 5% or less.

    6. Re:Eventually they will have to... by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      Many companies in the retail sector work on very slim margins and try to make it up in volume

      Even if the margin is very slim, you can still tax a percentage without hurting them too much. Or you can make up a progressive tax structure.

  5. Make a law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That for every job a robot replaces, that company has to pay benefits equivalent to the wages they were receiving for the job they used to have. Also the same for outsourcing jobs.

  6. 50k for factory work??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where can i get in on that???

    1. Re:50k for factory work??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My cousin works at a Honda plant in Indiana and he makes 120K a year. That's on the line, not management.

    2. Re:50k for factory work??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My brother works for Ford in Louisville, on the line, and makes near six digits. A few years he has crossed six, when they needed a lot of OT.

      Here I am, a hospital pharmacist, and I haven't crossed into the 100k range yet. Granted, I sit in a AC'ed room and talk to nurses on the phone, but it sounds nice.

  7. Taxing robots does NOT work by Eugenia+Loli · · Score: 1

    The EU took the right stance. Even Yanis Varoufakis has said that the idea of taxing robots does not work. This is what needs to be done instead: https://www.weforum.org/agenda...

  8. Going to laugh myself silly by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'm going to point at all you fools and laugh myself silly when robots don't take everyones' jobs.
    Even Chicken Little is going to point and laugh derisively, shaking his chicken-head sadly at how dumb humans can be.

    Some people just want to watch the world burn.
    Then there are some people who, for some inexplicable reason, just want to run around, waving their arms like madmen, doom-saying like there's no tomorrow.
    For some reason they seem to be the same people who obsessively correct peoples' grammar and spelling, and nitpick choice of one word over another in a sentence. Anyone got any ideas on why that is?

    1. Re:Going to laugh myself silly by zifn4b · · Score: 1

      I'm going to point at all you fools and laugh myself silly when robots don't take everyones' jobs. Even Chicken Little is going to point and laugh derisively, shaking his chicken-head sadly at how dumb humans can be. Some people just want to watch the world burn. Then there are some people who, for some inexplicable reason, just want to run around, waving their arms like madmen, doom-saying like there's no tomorrow. For some reason they seem to be the same people who obsessively correct peoples' grammar and spelling, and nitpick choice of one word over another in a sentence. Anyone got any ideas on why that is?

      It's always the wishful thinker that perishes first because they can't see the train coming straight at them. Unfortunately, that vivid mind full of sunshine, rainbows and unicorns can't stop a speeding bullet.

      --
      We'll make great pets
    2. Re:Going to laugh myself silly by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      So which is it: Do you have a Time Machine and you're from the robot-controlled future, here to warn us here in the past (nevermind the violation of basic safety rules with regards to temporal mechanics, paradoxes, etc)? Or do you have a Magic Mirror that can see into the future?

      Or are you just young, and haven't been around long enough to see at least one other cycle of this sort of 'The Sky Is Falling!' nonsense before?
      Go read some history books. Go find old newspaper stories from decades past. Or, at least go talk to people in their 70's and older, who still remember things; they'll tell you that every few decades things get shaken up by one development or another, and The Sky Is Falling, Everybody Panic is the general reaction to it.

      Serioulsy, people, calm the hell down already. Take a few deep breaths, repeat whatever mantra you need to, and calm down. Panicked minds turn off their ability to reason and instead just react. Don't be That Guy.

    3. Re:Going to laugh myself silly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I'm going to point at all you fools and laugh myself silly

      And we'll point and laugh at you when you're in the unemployment line because we don't need quite as many truckers anymore. Have you had your eyes closed for the last 50 years, if you're even that old? Have you not read history about industrialization? We've been reducing human labor and replacing it with automation since the damned Cotton Gin! Notice I said automation not 'robots' I am not using the colloquial definition of that word. I define automation as replacing the work once done by humans with machines. 'Robot' brings images of Bender, C3P0 and Cylons.

      We have a serious labor issue coming down the pipeline that those who are going to ignore it are going to be the worst hit by it. Logistics IS automating right now. Only a matter of time before there are autonomous freight haulers. Amazon's got automaton filled warehouses. Manufacturing has largely already automated or outsourced. Our food supply chain is almost already but soon to fully automate (We have the factory cattle farms, Japan's got the automated agriculture farms). Service jobs like bank tellers, cashiers, baggers and wait-staff are being replaced with ATMs, self checkout lines and ordering kiosks. Construction will soon be like 3d printing a structure. Soon the Banking industry will suffer a large reduction in human employment as many financial decisions are reduced to feeding numbers into a computer and pressing a button. Some of the work done by para-legals will go too.

      Oh sure it wont take everyone's jobs so we're fine right? Your job get's automated, learn how to fix the machines instead right? Oh we don't need a thousand machine maintenance workers? *shrug* sorry.

      Then there are some people who, for some inexplicable reason, just want to run around, waving their arms like madmen, doom-saying like there's no tomorrow.

      Yeah, we call them cultists and Evangelical Christians.

    4. Re:Going to laugh myself silly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't need a time machine to know that robots would utterly destroy humans in every possible scientific field, but this assumes we don't destroy each other before that time comes and it requires a million fold increase in parallel computer processing speeds per dollar.

      The "AI" you see in newspapers are about neural networks with highly efficient implementations and novel architectures, which are interesting, but they won't bring about a robot uprising.

    5. Re:Going to laugh myself silly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My suggestion to you is some light reading in bed at night just before you go to sleep, so your mind has something else on it other than these doomsday scenarios out of cautionary tales, filling your mind with terror and dread. People need to get a good night's sleep otherwise their brains don't work right. Also start taking some L-Tyrosine every day, your dopamine levels are probably chronically low from being in a state of panic all the time.

    6. Re:Going to laugh myself silly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While you are giving free medical diagnosis over the internet, do you think this lump I have on my left testicle is cancer? What should I do?

    7. Re:Going to laugh myself silly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anyone got any ideas on why that is?

      A scale of sensitivity to risks. They detect the weak signs of trouble before the others. That is necessary for the survival of the community, just like those who are on the opposite end of the scale and remain calm as the enemy or beasts attack the village.

    8. Re:Going to laugh myself silly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For some reason they seem to be the same people who obsessively correct peoples' grammar and spelling, and nitpick choice of one word over another in a sentence. Anyone got any ideas on why that is?

      Well logically of course they are people who feel like they have an overwhelming lack of control over the world around them, and it terrifies them.

    9. Re:Going to laugh myself silly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That lump sitting on top of your neck is cancer, I suggest you excise the entire thing. For maximum effectiveness, be sure to get the entire 'growth' in front of the shotgun, and be sure to load it with rolls of dimes, for maximium 'excising' effect. You'll know it's worked when there's a fine red mist..

    10. Re:Going to laugh myself silly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OMFG the SKY IS FALLING, everybody PANIC!!!11!

      Face it: you're ridiculous.

    11. Re:Going to laugh myself silly by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      LOL the only thing anyone is in 'control' of is themselves, and that's only assuming they're capable of it.
      You want serenity in your life? A decrease in overall anxiety and depression? Learn to differentiate between the shit you CAN do something about, and the shit you CAN'T do something about -- and DISCARD the latter from your brain.

  9. They already are paying taxes for it by alzoron · · Score: 1

    Automation saves the company money. They have to pay taxes on that increased revenue. Since that extra revenue is tagged onto their existing revenue the money gets taxed at a higher level than if it was going to employees.

    1. Re:They already are paying taxes for it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not how it works, they just push it out shore and pay almost nothing on it. Look at how Apple is making billions and paying almost nothing in taxes.

    2. Re:They already are paying taxes for it by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      It's not an increase in revenue; it's a decrease in costs.

      Because of all sorts of economic factors that boil down to competition, businesses make a certain amount of profit. To profit, they must draw revenue in excess of costs. In the most-basic sense, revenue must exceed the wage costs, or else you can't pay your workers; each business in the supply chain has some profit margin which sets prices, and the entire stack can be squashed by major deals (e.g. a steelmaker buying hundreds of millions of tonnes of coal per year pays a lower mark-up than a guy on the street buying 40 pounds from the direct outlet), with the hard-stop at wages.

      When costs come down, it becomes easier to compete. For luxury goods, costs come into range of what can target a consumer market, and so a competitor can target the 100,000,000 people you're not selling to and also offer a lower price to the 1,000,000 people you consider customers. For consumer goods, there's less cost invested in start-up and thus less risk; there's a greater market of which you must only capture a smaller proportion to profit, thus less risk; and existing competitors can capture broader markets and increase their profits by reducing their prices, but only to a certain point, and so a lower cost means the most-profitable price point in the competitive market is lower.

      Generally, governments try to avoid deflation. Inflation isn't a tangible concept, because goods experience technical progress and thus cost and price changes at different rates; governments measure certain sets of consumer goods as an inflation index. Governments then issue money in such a way as to target some baseline inflation--it's 2% per year in the U.S..

      As a result, 65-inch flat-panel OLED TVs get cheaper, hard drives get cheaper per gigabyte, and so forth; while food and clothing go up in price more-slowly than wages. Cars just keep folding in more features (more cost) as costs come down, and consumers keep spending the same proportion of their income on cars, so the prices tend to climb relative to wages anyway--just the feature set gets bigger.

      So consumers end up with more spending power. They buy more goods, and thus cause new employment and new production.

      In other words: the whole robot tax thing would, generally, lead to permanent unemployment and a welfare state, if not an outright economic collapse. It's just stupid.

    3. Re:They already are paying taxes for it by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      That implies that those companies are actually paying taxes, the problem is many multinationals aren't paying their share of taxes and go very long and hard to use loopholes in tax laws to avoid paying them. Long-term offsets against losses I can get, deferments of taxes in bad years is also fine. But when you're making money hand over fist like NBCUniversal, GE, Google, Apple or Amazon is and you're not paying anything or next to nothing.

      If a person can abuse the system, then an organization will too. And you can bet your ass that these companies would find a way to not pay taxes.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    4. Re:They already are paying taxes for it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no, paying income tax is for idiots, traitors and cowards.

    5. Re:They already are paying taxes for it by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 1

      Apple is paying next to nothing? We can argue about whether they should be paying more, but let's please not engage in such blatant hyperbole. They're the single largest US taxpayer. The US has one of the highest corporate tax rates in the world, and unlike most other nations, they tax profits globally instead of regionally, which is why US-based companies jump through hoops to move it all overseas. And because of the high tax rate when it's moved to the US, that money stays *out* of the US, doing us no good in terms of tax revenue.

      At some point, high taxation becomes counter-productive, as companies look for better deals elsewhere. Yes, we need taxes to keep public infrastructure going, but you have to balance that against global competition for business.

      Generating tax revenue complicated. It's not a zero-sum game with easily understood causes and effects, much as it would be nice if they were. One of the most famous examples of unintended tax-related consequences was the US's early 90's luxury goods tax. Partly as a result of this tax, the yacht-building industry in particular took at significant hit, as wealthy customers decided to postpone yacht orders due to the high 10% surcharge. The tax revenue was expected to be $9 billion over a five year period, but actual calculated revenue fell far short, and this was offset by a number of yacht builders going bankrupt and tens of thousands of workers filing for unemployment. When was the last time you saw the New York Times support a tax cut?

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
  10. Abandon income tax by Hentes · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Bill Gates is right that current tax systems incentivise companies to hire as few workers as possible. But I believe the solution is not a "robot tax", because it's not easy to define what a robot is, how much money it "makes", and automation may not even come in the form of robots. I think the best solution would be to abandon the income tax altogether, relying instead on corporate and sales taxation.

    1. Re:Abandon income tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would tend to agree with this. Because of my income and marital status, the government takes out about 1/3 of my income between federal, state, and Social Security taxes, even after my existing pre-tax deductions.... On top of that I pay sales tax on everything I purchase and property tax on my home.

      Just think of how much MORE disposable income, to purchase things, I would have if I received an additional 1/3 of my income every month.

    2. Re:Abandon income tax by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Sales tax is great. It'll keep those poors where they belong.

      Seriously, income tax is the best form of tax. Anyone who proposes a sales tax and corporate taxes as a solution to anything has neither an understanding of how any part of economics works at all nor an ability to reason critically about anything.

    3. Re:Abandon income tax by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      Seriously, income tax is the best form of tax.

      Except when nobody has income.

    4. Re:Abandon income tax by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      All taxation has a downside - many people propose a "wealth tax" as a way to fix most of those issues, but then you run into situations where the "wealth" is virtual and not liquid.

      Here in the UK we have a local tax intended to fund local and regional councils - the "council tax", which you get billed for once a year. Its based on your property - the more expensive the property, the larger your tax bill.

      The problem is that the tax bands largely haven't changed for more than a couple of decades - meanwhile house prices have risen dramatically in that period of time.

      My parents went from paying tax on a £45,000 house in 2000 to paying tax on a £210,000 house in 2015 - but my parents income hadn't changed in that time, and infact due to inflation it had devalued in real terms.

      So people say "set lower limits" - ok, where should the limits be?

      You could buy your council owned property under "Right to Buy" government schemes in the 1980s for ~ £20,000. Some of those properties in London now touch £1million because of the area of London they are in. Those people don't have the liquidity to pay council tax on a £1million property, they probably still have the mortgage they took out on the £20,000 purchase price!

    5. Re:Abandon income tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly, let people that require teacher or police services pay for that as needed instead of blindly taxing everyone into misery. More disposable income means that I can procure more products and services which in return creates jobs that causes other people to spend their income on things they need.

      It also solves the problem that people who don't have or want children don't end up subsidising others.

    6. Re:Abandon income tax by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      If nobody has income, how will you take their income through any other form of taxation?

      You can represent every tax as an income tax. A sales tax at 6%, for a household which sends 40% of its income to purchases subject to a sales tax, is a 2.4% income tax. A sales tax at 45%, for the same household, is an 18% income tax. For an upper-class household which directs 80% of its income mutual funds, CDs, 401(k)s, and non-taxable purchases, those numbers are 1.2% and 9%.

      That's why sales tax is cited as a regressive tax: it tends to tax poor people a bigger chunk of their income. That analysis is only possible by translating it to an income tax.

      So here's the fun part: money represents production. You can't take things away that aren't made. Business profits plus wages equate to 100% of all productive activity in the tax domain (e.g. America) because consumers are taxed (wages) and stuff up the supply chain is expensed (including import labor or supply), meaning the total profits plus wages models out to the proportion of everything consumed by Americans which was actually supplied by American labor.

      Your nation can only tax itself that much, full stop. It'll kill itself doing it, but that's what your taxes are cutting into.

      If there's no income to tax, there's no production, and your economy has halted.

    7. Re:Abandon income tax by hazardPPP · · Score: 1

      Sales tax is great. It'll keep those poors where they belong.

      All problems related to sales tax being regressive and thus unfair to the poor are solved by

      1. 1) Tax refunds. Sales tax credits exist in many countries and are paid out to poor folks - usually those too poor to pay any income tax, btw - to level out the "regressiveness".
      2. 2) Keeping the sales tax very low or non-existent on essential items (e.g. milk, bread).

      Income taxes are bad because they make labour more expensive. Back in the 1950s, when automation was not as much of a thing and when it used mainly to get humans to work faster (not replace them), it didn't matter. No, I'm not one of the doomsayers who thinks jobs will disappear due to robots, this is vastly overstated. However, there is a lot of worker replacement going on that is purely for the savings, not to improve production (make it faster, more predictable, etc.). For example, what is the purpose of self-checkout kiosks at busy supermarkets or at IKEA? The average customer is faster checking his things out by himself? No, usually he's slower. Makes less mistakes? No, makes more mistakes. Often the attendants (who now cover three of four times as many cash registers as they used to) have to come in and help. The only reason they exist is so the company can hire less people.

      Also, income taxes disproportionately burden the middle class. Rich people find ways of avoiding it (they are rich enough to hire expert accountants and lawyers). Poor people - the ones who benefit the most from redistributive government programs - don't pay a lot of it, or don't pay any at all. This opens up a great opportunity for the rich - to convince the middle class that ALL taxes are bad, since they just get taken from them and spent on those lazy poor no-gooders who just live on welfare and do nothing. Then the middle class votes for politicians advocating policies that reduce the tax burden middle class people slightly, but mostly benefit - the rich.

      I'm not saying there should be zero income tax, but it should be lower.

    8. Re:Abandon income tax by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      many people propose a "wealth tax" as a way to fix most of those issues, but then you run into situations where the "wealth" is virtual and not liquid.

      "Wealth Tax" just means people want to grab a chunk of some idle money. That's essentially printing money: money in banks unspent doesn't purchase goods, which means it doesn't provide the revenue stream that supports jobs, which means spending it creates inflation in the same way that removing money creates deflation.

      A lot of people fail to understand this because banks loan money on hand (and fractional reserve). Thing is, money is generally moved between bank accounts: you get paid, it goes into your checking account; you pay your credit card, it moves from your checking account to your bank's holdings; you pay your landlord, you move money from your account to his; and so forth. That money's being spent, and it's providing a revenue stream. If you remove it, that spending vanishes; reasoning that some other spending doesn't vanish is just a serious deficit of attention span.

      This is further complicated by monetary policy maintaining inflation (1.02% target in the U.S..), so the Treasury issues additional money to replace what's idle in the bank. If you pull $1Bn out and burn it, technically the 10:1 fractioning means the Treasury has to get $10Bn more into circulation by issuing $1Bn; whereas if you just let it sit in your bank account, the Treasury only has to issue $0.1Bn and the banks will provide loans to bring that up to $1Bn. Now you have an extra billion circulating because someone's got a billion in a bank account just sitting around.

      My parents went from paying tax on a £45,000 house in 2000 to paying tax on a £210,000 house in 2015 - but my parents income hadn't changed in that time, and infact due to inflation it had devalued in real terms.

      Yeah, that's a major problem with property taxes. They're basically a way to implement a progressive income tax without the politics of raising the tax rate, and of course you see a few of the flaws.

      We have sales taxes on houses in some states, too, as well as capital gains taxes. That's also ridiculous. When a homeowner sells a house, he produces nothing; neither does the buyer. The realtor provides a service and takes a fee--a productive activity on which he pays income tax; likewise, the bank provides a service (loan) and takes a fee (origination, interest), and also pays income tax. When a builder builds a new house, they turn raw materials into a property, and sell it for a profit, and pay income tax on that. An old house isn't produced and doesn't count toward GDP, so what sense does taxation on the sale make?

      Likewise, you go from having a house to not having a house, but having money. That's not quite income. I don't pay income tax on my car trade-in. If you're outside capital gains, you don't pay the first $250,000 of capital gains; everything above that is taxed as income. That means buying a house for $200,000 and selling it for $500,000 three years later nets you a tax bill for 15% of $50,000. What is that even taxing? "We saw money, so we want some of it."

      Compare, for example, a farm.

      Let's say you own a farm. You produce food for 1,000,000 people, with $100,000,000 of revenue--out of the eventual retail of food, you get $100 per person per year. You hire farm workers, pay their wages, deduct that. You buy fertilizer and pesticide, deduct that. You deduct your tractor and your irrigation costs. At the end of the year, you're operating on a 9% profit margin: $91,743,119 of costs, $8,256,881 of profit.

      If all of your supply chain is domestic (e.g. American) and we tax you, all of them, and all of your workers (whose wages you deduct from your profits, thus you don't pay taxes on that) a net average of 15%, what do we have? We have enough tax revenue to buy 15% of the food you produce.

      What we

    9. Re:Abandon income tax by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      So, increasing the price of goods such that demand is reduced and fewer long-term jobs exist is somehow solved by giving spikes of frantic purchasing at the end of the year?

      Income taxes are bad because they make labour more expensive

      Payroll taxes do that. Income taxes do a similar thing, but on the other end.

      Income taxes don't drive prices up like sales and payroll taxes. They also have the great virtue of capturing a proportion of productivity by a direct representation, instead of dancing around the issue and pretending money is wealth.

      Back in the 1950s, when automation was not as much of a thing and when it used mainly to get humans to work faster (not replace them), it didn't matter.

      Wages are pay per time. Getting people to work faster is replacing people.

      The only reason they exist is so the company can hire less people.

      And, thus, can compete with every other company in its field and area by attracting more customers. How? Well, costs have gone down; with the same profit margins, our prices can be lower, and so more people will shop smart and shop S-Mart. That means more profits for us, less profits for G-Mart.

      ...until G-Mart, after rounds of lay-offs as S-Mart expands, starts installing self checkouts.

      Also, income taxes disproportionately burden the middle class. Rich people find ways of avoiding it (they are rich enough to hire expert accountants and lawyers)

      That is consistently not backed up by facts. I make $75k and I pay roughly $15k in taxes or roughly 30%. That's 12.6% in Federal taxes, 6.2% OASDI, 0.2% medicaid, and 7.6% state taxes, with $18,000 of deductions off Federal and State for my 401(k).

      High-income earners are allowed to bank more into 401(k) if they are sole-proprieters--up to $120,000, just about. Other than that, you can negotiate a 100% 401(k) match from your employer if you're rich enough, so up to $18,000 or $120,000 if you're a sole-prorieter. Upon spending from the 401(k), you'll pay taxes on it, albeit less; if you're banking that much, it won't be much less, or you'll never spend it.

      High-income executives receive income from many sources, including cash (salary, bonuses), options, stocks, and dividends. Cash and dividends are always taxed at the individual income tax rate--for people in that multi-million-dollar bracket, that's 39.6%. Dividends are even taxed if they're directly re-invested. Stocks are taxed at the market closing price on the day they're issued, if not sold in the same tax year. Options are taxed when exercised to issue stocks (that is: options aren't taxed; stocks are taxed).

      When stocks are sold within a year, the difference in purchase and sale is considered individual income. That means stock issued as executive compensation sold in the same tax year is taxed at its sale price (easy). Stock sold later is taxed on the difference between its basis (market closing price at issue) and its sale price (a loss is deducted from taxes, but washing out a loss is not taxed and instead counted as continuous holding until you finally sell the stock for real). Stock held for less than one year is taxed at the individual rate when sold; stock held longer is taxed at 15% capital gains.

      What does all this mean?

      High-income executives pay full individual income taxes on cash salary, cash bonuses, issued stock when received (including stock issued via exercising options), any dividends for any stock they hold. They pay a lower tax (15% capital gains) on any profits from stocks held long-term, when sold, unless it's a wash sale (sold, then bought back soon after).

      That's the most-complex tax structure the rich get.

      Such a high-income executive must have some sort of cash income (even from stock sales) to cover these taxes.

      Let's say the executive gets $4M of cash, $

    10. Re:Abandon income tax by hazardPPP · · Score: 1

      Your delusion about rich people managing to avoid paying taxes doesn't hold up to reality. At all.

      You are the one who is being deluded, I'm afraid, since your long-winded and rather pointless example makes one fatal error - it assumes that everybody making that sort of money will actually honestly declare all of their earnings. You missed the part where the money gets shuffled off to a tax haven. Or siphoned off through one of many industry- and occupation-specific loopholes that in exist in various tax codes. Not to mention using "regulatory arbitrage" (find a way to declare your income as the least-taxable item and/or to declare it in a jurisdiction that has the lowest tax rate).

      We're talking about, for example, 18.5 trillion dollars hidden away in tax havens by wealthy individuals (not corporations hiding profits). We're talking about even Buffet, for whom we can I suppose presume that he is doing all things legally (i.e. not illegally hiding his wealth in Liechtenstein or the British Virgin Islands), saying that he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary.

      Yes, you indeed get to avoid paying taxes by being rich - if you want to, of course. There are tons of rich people who are perfectly honest. The bad apples however, are significant and a problem. You get to avoid it because you have the money to hire people that will squeeze every loophole in the tax code for you. You have the money to cover the transactional costs of setting up offshore tax shelters. And you have the money to buy political influence, making sure that you can get away with it all. In the end, all of this costs you less than paying the proper tax rate (otherwise you wouldn't do it all). Yes, that is how the world works, really.

      (Not to mention that you just pulled some numbers out of a hat in your response, simply to make the numbers line up. Or that you think that for some reason, what happens in one case in the United States is somehow relevant for the entire Western world.)

    11. Re:Abandon income tax by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      You missed the part where the money gets shuffled off to a tax haven.

      That's done by businesses purchasing their goods and services from a subsidiary off-shore. The CEO, however, still gets his executive compensation in the United States.

      We're talking about, for example, 18.5 trillion dollars [blogspot.ca] hidden away in tax havens by wealthy individuals (not corporations hiding profits). We're talking about even Buffet, for whom we can I suppose presume that he is doing all things legally (i.e. not illegally hiding his wealth in Liechtenstein or the British Virgin Islands), saying that he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary. [cnn.com]

      These are people who take their money, pay taxes on it as I described, put it in a foreign bank, and make foreign investments in a foreign land. Then, they don't pay taxes in their home country (e.g. United States) because their income-generating activities are occurring completely outside the tax jurisdiction of their home country.

      I've known people who took jobs in Korea for 6 months at $120,000 USD/year and weren't required to pay U.S. taxes. It does seem to make some sort of sense that you can make a lot of money on activities done offshore and not pay taxes on it in the same way.

      Not to mention that you just pulled some numbers out of a hat in your response, simply to make the numbers line up.

      Ford Motor Company. Mark Fields, CEO. Total cash: $4,523,500. Equity (stocks): $14,298,356. Other: $435,639. Total: $19,257,495. Taxes paid on this would be (roughly) $7,625,968 million, requiring the sale of $3,102,468 of stocks. This leaves $6,672,388 of equity. If sold at a 10% gain on 15% capital gains tax, that's an additional $100,085. Total approximate tax rate: 38.776%.

      You might notice the rate I came up with with the hypothetical CEO was 38.68%, a tad lower than Mark Fields. I purposely used an inflated equity compensation to allow the hypothetical CEO to reduce his tax burden by a larger margin, thus overestimating how much taxation an executive can avoid. In other words: my made-up numbers were designed to disadvantage my own argument.

      Try it. Any business, any executive. I happen to be in the United States and this exact argument keeps coming up about the United States and it's provably wrong.

      what happens in one case in the United States

      Every case.

      You're trying desperately to show no mechanism nor any understanding of how what you're babbling about might be true while just screaming that it must be because you heard it on Reddit a lot. You even pulled up a study you don't even understand, which essentially says people are playing foreign stock markets in foreign brokerages in the same way and with the same tax implications as locals doing it, but using imported money.

      So in the United States, those people aren't selling a thing to someone and then not being taxed on their profits; they're not producing a thing which isn't being accounted for by our taxation; they're not smuggling their income unreported to a foreign shore and stuffing it in a nameless bank account. No, the rich people are getting huge executive compensations and paying taxes on them; then they're taking what's left of their money after taxes and sending it off to another country, where they play the securities markets. That doesn't have an impact on the United States economy.

      Your explanation of what's happening (rich people moving their income away from the US without paying taxes on it) is wrong. Your basic understanding of the economics of what's actually happening is wrong. You're pretty mad about things you don't understand; perhaps you could try thinking for yourself now and then?

    12. Re:Abandon income tax by Pembers · · Score: 1

      Your council tax band is based on what your home was worth in 1991, when the tax was introduced, so it's not affected by subsequent changes in property prices. If your council tax has gone up, it's because your council needs or wants to spend more money.

    13. Re:Abandon income tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I make a billion dollars and pay 1% and you make $10000 and pay 2%, you are not paying less taxes than I am. People are bad at math, especially you.

    14. Re:Abandon income tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Milton Freidmen tackled the issue of not punishing the poor for consuming with what he called negative income tax. More recently, Gary Johnson called for a prebate for all citizens at the beginning of every month. Either way, there are solutions to ensure the poorest are affected the least by a consumption tax, i.e. not disproportionately affected by a regressive tax.

    15. Re:Abandon income tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could buy your council owned property under "Right to Buy" government schemes in the 1980s for ~ £20,000. Some of those properties in London now touch £1million because of the area of London they are in. Those people don't have the liquidity to pay council tax on a £1million property, they probably still have the mortgage they took out on the £20,000 purchase price!

      So they sell the place for a £ million, pay off the £ 20,000 mortgage, and live off the £ 980,000 profit for the rest of their life!

  11. You know your tax idea is bad by JoeyRox · · Score: 1

    When even the tax-happy EU decides against passing It.

    1. Re:You know your tax idea is bad by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      I agree with the concept of increasing taxation on corporations as automation increases to fund UBI, but a "robot tax" seems like an incredibly ham-fisted way to do it. The complexity of it is staggering - every (new?) robot would now be a taxpayer that someone has to do taxes for and the government would have to keep track of. It would also incentivize jurisdiction shopping - country X imposed a robot tax? Move factory to country Y. Maybe just put the factory on a barge and change flags as required.

      Just close loopholes and adjust income and corporate taxes to suit. It doesn't have to be complicated.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  12. New application... by the_other_one · · Score: 1

    The European Commissioner in charge of the Digital Single Market
    Can be replaced by a robot.

    --
    134340: I am not a number. I am a free planet!
  13. Wookie defense by ezdiy · · Score: 3, Insightful
    I'm not an english speaker, can one tell me how:

    Aim of taxation is not just (to) collect revenues... but to increase salaries of teachers and police

    Is related to robot tax in *any* way? Does he mean since there will be robots, police and teachers etc will be no longer necessary, thus government expenses will be vastly lower and ensuing gap in income tax will be a non-issue? Or police and teachers will be robots too, so it all cancels out? I just have grave difficulty connecting "we need teachers" (?) and "this is why we must not tax robots" in logically coherent manner.

    1. Re:Wookie defense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He means that the reduction in taxes means that they can (and will have to, among other things) reduce the wages of police and teachers.

      He is all for that.

      The rich can have private security.

      Smart populations are dangerous to those in power.

    2. Re:Wookie defense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not an english speaker, can one tell me how:

      Aim of taxation is not just (to) collect revenues... but to increase salaries of teachers and police

      Is related to robot tax in *any* way? Does he mean since there will be robots, police and teachers etc will be no longer necessary, thus government expenses will be vastly lower and ensuing gap in income tax will be a non-issue? Or police and teachers will be robots too, so it all cancels out? I just have grave difficulty connecting "we need teachers" (?) and "this is why we must not tax robots" in logically coherent manner.

      I'm a US citizen. I'm not sure how it was meant either, but here's my cynical take on it: much of the function of govt. (these days) in USA and other "modern" countries, is to take tax money from us to fund teachers and police, which are 2 favorite children of govt. spending. Where I live, school districts pretty much make budgets and demand money any way they want. They keep building unnecessary buildings, abandon other buildings, by misusing "eminent domain" laws they force people out of their homes, golf courses, farms, etc., they vote up their own pay, but they keep whining they don't have enough money, and they cut certain programs (like music, art, science) and whine they need more money because they know the richest people will feel sorry for the loss to art, music, science. Sports programs are in full force, and not upper-class sports like tennis, fencing, etc., but the brain-bashing lower-class football, soccer, baseball, (mostly football) etc.

      But part of it could come from a futuristic eventuality where robots do almost everything, including building and repairing robots, such that people would only be teachers and police. But I argue we could certainly replace teachers and police with robots! I don't know...

  14. Not really by tomxor · · Score: 1

    More like long-sighted... It's too early to tax this stuff, the robots haven't replaced humans on a large enough scale yet... it's like taxing cars on roads before there are enough cars. Robots replacing crappy jobs is a good thing for everyone, because in the future that means society as a whole is more efficient, the monetary displacement however needs to be corrected after the fact, otherwise you are removing the incentive for that shift to take place.

    1. Re:Not really by bondsbw · · Score: 1

      otherwise you are removing the incentive for that shift to take place

      The incentive is to reduce costs for the owners of the businesses those robots serve. This simultaneously allows them to undercut competition that still relies on humans, while making more profit than before. Great!

      Though in the end everyone will have robots. Profits would stabilize if it were only a small industry that is affected, but the concern is that this will spread across most industries. Big problem.. when most of the workers now have no money, then the profits cease across the board.

      This is the Nash equilibrium, meaning it isn't easily solved in a spirit of competition. It requires either voluntary agreement or external force (such as government-based wealth redistribution) to counteract.

      --
      All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
    2. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can see a farmer paying taxes equivalent to 400 people on a new combine.

    3. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They still get to reduce costs drastically, they aren't paying a salary to the robot, just the tax on the equivalent salary. So the direct savings will probably be near 80% even while it is depreciating.

    4. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A big harvester can do the work of 100 manual labor farmers. Assume a farmer is paid $40k/year and is taxed at 50%, you could tax the harvester at 10x$40kx0.5 = $2,000,000/year

  15. ok gates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    so if excel spreadsheets replace a beancounting human does that mean the government can tax anyone who uses ms office at the rate of some theoretical out of work accountant? gates may be a devilishly aggressive businessman, but he's a fucking retarded when it comes to technology and society. steven hawking is another microspecialist who feels he can insert himself into the a.i. conversation despite having no background in it whatsoever. just stop.

  16. and the factories will move to south Sudan tax = 0 by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    and the factories will move to south Sudan where the robot tax is 0

  17. Easy pickings politically by Khyber · · Score: 1

    Oh, you don't favor a tax to increase education (which is rather highly-valued in the EU?)

    That's almost guaranteed to be your ass there.

    --
    Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  18. Yo, Bill ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 0

    ... you're not the taxman.

    Do not cometh and please shut the fuck up.

    --
    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  19. Re:and the factories will move to south Sudan tax by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

    Import tariffs....

  20. What about existing robotics? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hypothetically let's consider a robot tax.
    -what exactly would constitute a "robot" for tax definition?
    Would it be any automated machine that costs a minimum of 1 human job?
    would they retroactively go back and tax equipment that has been doing that since the dawn of industrialization?
    (Even something as commonplace as an elevator for example technically can be considered a "job-taking robot". -not to mention many common appliances and machines)
    The moment you start "grandfathering" exemptions you get massive loopholes -and easily won lawsuits for those on the threshold of exemption.
    This would create a huge bureaucracy and a new tax-code spanning multiple volumes just to determine eligibility
    Maybe that's the answer to the loss of jobs. More government positions, more lawyers and paralegals and more educators to train them all.

  21. More money for cronies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, don't tax robots. Cronies like that idea.

    Humans pay property taxes on their houses, but cronies don't have to pay property taxes on their property (robots).

    Will they also include self-driving cars in this definition of robot? Yup! Cronies must be enriched.

    meanwhile, you who are still lucky to have a job, bend over! You're paying more taxes!

  22. Want to incentivize companies ... by PPH · · Score: 1

    ... to hire more?

    Switch to a flat tax (a lower rate than is charged now) with one deduction allowed: Wages paid to US resident workers.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
    1. Re:Want to incentivize companies ... by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      I don't think the EU Commissioner is going to go for that either.

    2. Re:Want to incentivize companies ... by PPH · · Score: 1

      Like we really care.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
  23. deja vu .. voice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A little voice in my head says he will reverse trend, and eat those words in 5 years.

  24. Google "Luddite" by rsilvergun · · Score: 2

    and at least read the Wikipedia page. There were decades of unemployment & social strife following the industrial revolution until two World Wars thinned the herd and tech caught up a bit. History is not on your side. We're already seeing massive underemployment due to productivity increases. The auto companies are laying folks off because they're making more cars than people can buy (e.g. too much inventory).

    When you see a smoldering pile of dried twigs during a drought you shouldn't just move along. Do something or the whole forest will burn.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:Google "Luddite" by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 0

      Since you and some others seem to be SO informed and SO wise, what do you suggest I do? Panic and run around waving my arms like an idiot like the rest of you are doing? 'React' instead of 'act'? Make shit up that I THINK will shield me from the Brave New World Order everyone seems to think is coming? Sell everything I own and buy gold bars, go hide in a cabin somewhere in Montana until it's all over? Or maybe {insert equally ridiculous nonsense here}?

      STUFF AND NONSENSE.

      Know what I'm going to do? NOTHING. Why? Because you, I, and everyone else has no idea what is really going to happen. 'Reacting' is the dumbest thing you could do -- and I am still convinced that The Sky Is Not Going To Fall. If you're lost in a maze and people are looking for you, you sit your ass down and WAIT TO BE FOUND.

      Please do go right ahead and panic all you want though. I'll sit here with my popcorn and enjoy the show. :-)

    2. Re:Google "Luddite" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since you and some others seem to be SO informed and SO wise,

      Thank you.

      Panic and run around waving my arms like an idiot like the rest of you are doing? 'React' instead of 'act'? Make shit up that I THINK will shield me from the Brave New World Order everyone seems to think is coming? Sell everything I own and buy gold bars, go hide in a cabin somewhere in Montana until it's all over? Or maybe {insert equally ridiculous nonsense here}?

      STUFF AND NONSENSE.

      You got the first part right, don't panic. *golf clap*

      Why? Because you, I, and everyone else has no idea what is really going to happen.

      If you bother to look, you'll find plenty of people who know more than you do at least, it might be a good idea to consult them.

      'Reacting' is the dumbest thing you could do

      Um no. Ignoring the situation is the dumbest thing you could do. The world is fast moving from physical styles of work to mental styles of work. You need to educate yourself. Read. Prevent yourself from becoming replaceable by expanding your knowledge.

      and I am still convinced that The Sky Is Not Going To Fall.

      No, but we could have an economic event that makes the Great Depression look like happy times when there are no jobs to be had for the common man, only higher learning or high danger jobs. We'll have to have hard conversations about things like Universal Basic Income at that point but it IS coming. Plugging your ears and la la la don't want to hear/think about very troubling things won't help either.

    3. Re:Google "Luddite" by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Nope, nope, and nope. You're all drinking the media-fuelled Kool-Aid. I and many others just don't buy it. Also, don't confuse 'wait and see' with 'sticking your head in the sand', jackass. Also, unless you can totally eliminate Capitalism from the world while simultaneously creating a Star Trek-like post-scarcity Earth-of-the-future, your 'UBI' nonsense will NEVER work. Buck up, buddy, you'll be working the rest of your life; deal with it.

  25. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  26. So when we all have been superseded by AI... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...then who is going to pay our living expenses?

    Lol the captcha :Beggary ... lmao!

  27. Except robots by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

    Robots with Bitcoins (or Ether) can biuy their products.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
  28. Ridiculous by SuperDre · · Score: 1

    that tax would have been ridiculous. If you're gonna tax robots than you should also tax calculators and other automated processes..

  29. very short-sighted by gates by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Far better to simply implement a VAT on the production and services and be done with it.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  30. Re:Buy Human by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

    Do you also insist on eating from hand plowed fields, and goods carried to the store by hand ?

  31. Replace him and other politicians with "Robots" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lets see what he thinks once he's out of a job and the "robot" increases taxes and decreases his social security unemployment net.

  32. War and infrastructure, huh! What is it good for? by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

    The sad fact is governments already inhale productivity increases by keeping borrowing proportional to GDP.

    So...taxing robots directly will slow their adoption, which will slow the GDP increase, which will slow the ability to borrow hand over fist from your grandchildren in order to hand out goodies to the current voting generation that have little to do with war or infrastructure, the old-fashioned, quaint idea of things it was moral to borrow from future generations for, because it benefited them.

    --
    (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  33. Give up... by XSportSeeker · · Score: 1

    What robots are we taxing? Multipurpose vehicles with automation features? Automated soldering robot arms in vehicle factories? Software with neural networks for sorting large quantities of data? On demand 3D printers? An Excel spreadsheet? Weaving loom? An abbacus?

    See where I'm geting at? There is no clear and consistent definition of what a robot is. If it's about machines taking jobs that could be done by humans, it's every single tool since the dawn of times. If it's about specific sets of machinery that uses neural networks, AI-related stuff and whatnot, the industry will find ways of going around the definition just to avoid taxes. And most of industrial automation can work plenty well without onboard AI anyways. More importantly, if one country decides to tax robots, all it takes is another country that does not to send all production there. In a way, this has already happened with labor laws, welfare, copyright and whatnot going from the entire world to China.

    Bill Gates seems to be well intended, but this isn't how we're gonna solve this problem, because it's too vague.
    How about a profit x employability tax? This is sure to piss off even more people, specially companies like Microsoft, Google and whatnot. But if it's about taxing companies that are making a lot of money and having tons of output without generating employment, even if this sounds like an extra burden or punishment for success, it should be going that way instead of vague strategies that every business will be expected to do everything they can to avoid.

    Yes, it incur in similar problems of big businesses fleeing the country for others that don't work that way, but at least it's more general and spread throughout the entire economy.

  34. Vote left by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    I suggest you vote for the most left leaning candidate you can get. Look up the Justice Democrats if you're in the states. Tell everyone you know to do the same. Take care of the poor and make sure they're fed, clothed and given healthcare and housing. Otherwise a demagogue/populist will organize them against you like they did in WWII.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:Vote left by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Finally, in the aftermath of the 2016 election debacle, and with as much fucking-up as Trump is doing to the country, I've had to do something I really didn't want to do, but feel I have no choice anymore (which angers me): re-registering from Independent ('fail to state', really) to Democrat. In 2020 we'll have to do everything we can to reverse and repair all the damage being done, and hope it's not too late.

  35. Income tax by heson · · Score: 1

    The era of income tax to finance governments is nearing its end.

  36. Robot Tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So How do you propose to make up for the lack of it when when 40 50% of the population becomes unemployable. Genocide?

  37. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion