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The Inside Story of the Lily Drone's Collapse (wired.com)

New submitter mirandakatz writes: Lily Robotics had everything: Two charismatic young founders; millions in funding; and a product that promised to change the world -- or, at the very least, transform photography. But over 60,000 customers are still waiting for their Lily Drones, and the company is now being sued by the San Francisco District Attorney's office for false advertising. As it turns out, Lily Robotics never actually had the right tools to create the product it was selling -- and it all came crashing down. At Backchannel, Jessica Pishko has the untold story of how such a promising company went so wrong.

From the report: "The magic of the Lily Drone was in its concept: It was a product you could unpack and throw -- so easy, Antoine Balaresque, the cofounder and CEO of Lily Robotics, wrote in emails, that even an old person could do it. But translating that idea into a tangible product proved difficult, and the storytelling that made the Lily Drone so tantalizing to consumers ultimately factored into its downfall. In one of his presentations, Balaresque presented a PowerPoint slide with the sentence, 'Humans have a fundamental need to put themselves in the center of stories.' It appeared to be a quote he made up, but the idea that human nature needs stories is fundamental. Stories are how we make sense of our lives. But while a good story can get you funding and acclaim, ultimately it isn't enough."

141 comments

  1. Enron for drones? by Quakeulf · · Score: 1

    I was fascinated by Enron and read all about its downfall. I'm sure this history is ripe for repetition at least a few thousand times over.

    1. Re:Enron for drones? by Phaid · · Score: 1

      More like Theranos. An idea ahead of its time, charismatic founder, and a bunch of investors with more money than sense.

  2. Had everything? by thesupraman · · Score: 4, Insightful

    These idiots need to get over their cult of personality world view.
    This company did not have everything, it had a few good ideas and the willingness to lie through their teeth about their ability to deliver on that.
    Having two 'charismatic young founders' doesn't give you much. A few flashy ideas and the ability to spin a good story even if you have to lie through your teeth is not the basis of a good business.

    The primary failure here is the failure of these young charismatic founders to have been responsible for their actions.

    But apparently we are supposed to feel bad for them and pay them on the head and tell them to keep up the good work, maybe next time it will go better.
    Who cares about the people who lost millions.. After all.. The American dream!

    1. Re:Had everything? by mwvdlee · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Ideas are a dime a dozen.

      I just thought of something; a drone that can fly in the air and dive below water. Or how about one that has automatically composes and edits in dramatic music based on the camera view. Or a drone that can link up with another drone to create 3D video from weird perspectives. Or a drone with a built-in baloon so it can stay in the air much longer. Or... you get the drift.

      --
      Slashdot social media options: AIM, ICQ, Yahoo, Jabber and Mobile Text. Why no MySpace?
    2. Re:Had everything? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Your ideas are intriguing to me and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter.

    3. Re:Had everything? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Balloon? Drift?
      I see what you did there.

    4. Re:Had everything? by gnasher719 · · Score: 1

      I just thought of something; a drone that can fly in the air and dive below water. Or how about one that has automatically composes and edits in dramatic music based on the camera view. Or a drone that can link up with another drone to create 3D video from weird perspectives. Or a drone with a built-in baloon so it can stay in the air much longer. Or... you get the drift.

      Oh well. That's four multi-million-dollar scams by charismatic young founders reading slashdot that we can look forward to...

    5. Re:Had everything? by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2

      Exactly. An entrepreneur isn't just someone with good ideas; it's someone who can turn good ideas into a viable products, by charming and convincing investors, recruiting smart people and managing them well, building and mobilizing an effective business network, partnering with the right people and companies, all the while having the drive and conviction to keep at it despite any setbacks.

      That's a mighty tall order for a couple of graduate students. Did these guys have everything? What they could have used was a good mentor. Some VCs here supply those along with capital: an experienced businessman (often semi retired) who coaches the founders but takes no part in running the company itself. But maybe these days having an experienced mentor is deemed to be a liability, as it detracts from the "young hero" image of the founders and the "coolness" of the product. "Humans have a fundamental need to put themselves in the center of stories", indeed. It seems these days every startup needs a personality cult.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    6. Re:Had everything? by Zorpheus · · Score: 2

      Sorry, the first one exists already: https://www.youtube.com/watch?... If it makes sense is still a question though.

    7. Re:Had everything? by Zorpheus · · Score: 1
    8. Re:Had everything? by gmack · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm not entirely sure they were lying. I'm more than willing to bet that they honestly thought that with the right amount of money, they hire all of the right people and deliver a working product.

      Quite often I run into "ideas people" who think all problems are easily solvable and are shocked and upset when I inform them that whatever idea they have in their head will be a harder problem to solve than they think it is. My two favorite examples: stock market predictor (but you can see the graph goes up here and down there) and automatic meeting summarizer (I was working for a company that had a whole team of people smarter than me doing natural language processing at the time and he thought we could do it in a few months with 3 people)

    9. Re:Had everything? by MangoCats · · Score: 2

      Apparently, having two charismatic young founders is enough to get you all kinds of funding. Too bad they didn't know (or care) to translate that funding into a tangible product by giving enough of it to people with the necessary skills.

      On the flip-side, you can have ALL the necessary skills, and ideas, vision and even stories required for a product like this, but without your own pile of funding, or some charismatic front-men to tell the story to people who will hand over money, the project is just as dead.

    10. Re:Had everything? by nine-times · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Reminds me a little of Theranos. The quick version of the story is this:

      A college student comes up with an idea. Her professors tell her it won't work. She ignores the professors, and drops out of college and starts a company to develop the idea. People love the story of a 19 year old genius girl founding a revolutionary medical testing company, and invest heavily.

      The company continued to operate for years, and was considered to be worth billions of dollars, in spite of the fact that the technology never worked. Apparently, it wasn't even that she did a good job hiding things, it was that nobody looked too closely. They were too infatuated with the narrative. No one ever insisted on any kind of independent testing to see if the technology was real.

    11. Re:Had everything? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Yes - I hate "ideas people". Have to dismiss these idiots all the time in open-source development: "Well, interesting idea, come back when you have a patch implementing it." Then they get offended because they can't code, they just had this idea they think is great and want the devs to code it up for them!

      But ideas are cheap indeed. Most ideas from "ideas people" are impossible/unfeasible, and it is too much refuting them all with a nice explanation of why it can't work. Hence ruder dismissals designed to keep "ideas people" away and give the impression of a hostile forum. A few of their ideas are feasible, but the reason nobody works on them is because everybody is working on some feasible idea of their own which is more interesting.

      "Ideas people" are not special at all. All the useable ideas they come up with is stuff that devs are perfectly capable of coming up with themselves. Ideas are easy to come up with - be it in coding, electronics or mechanics. Actually going through with them is more work, even when feasible.

    12. Re:Had everything? by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 2

      If you are a favored group that is being given a big push to the top and tons of free positive media exposure results matter very little for the longest time. Think of the 2009 Nobel Peace Prize for a great example.

    13. Re:Had everything? by Quirkz · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I scoffed at that opening line, too. Everything? My take ...

      Lily Robotics had everything: Two charismatic young founders; millions in funding; and a product that promised to change the world

      But did they have love?

    14. Re:Had everything? by Osiris+Ani · · Score: 1

      Reminds me a little of Theranos.

      Similar to this story, Wired has also written quite a bit about Thearnos as well.

    15. Re:Had everything? by Desler · · Score: 1

      The idiots are the VCs who keep funding these incompetent, dudebro startups with 10s of millions of dollars.

    16. Re:Had everything? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Riiiight. Because there aren't dozens of Theranos-style stories involving men. It has nothing to do with her being a woman and everything to do with Silly-con valley vapidity and hype n

    17. Re:Had everything? by otopico · · Score: 1

      Where are all these people feeling bad for the crooks?

      I see a lot of people feeling bad the tech wasn't there. A lot of people feeling bad that people were scammed out of their money. But not a lot of people weeping for the idiots that thought that if they faked it long enough, they would finally be able to deliver.

      You might have missed the part where the San Francisco DA's office is suing the company for fruad, because that right there answers your question of "Who cares about the people who lost millions...".

      The majority of people see the guys behind the Lily drone as either criminals, or so incompetent that they made themselves into criminals.

      The guys are being sued for fraud. Most people agree these guys knew they had no capacity to honor their end of the deal. I just don't see this supposed sea of sympathy you are railing against.

      I have re-read the Wired article to find where you are seeing what prompted you to say:

      "But apparently we are supposed to feel bad for them and pay them on the head and tell them to keep up the good work, maybe next time it will go better.
      Who cares about the people who lost millions.. After all.. The American dream!".

      But it just isn't there. A lot of explanation on where the fucked up, not so much on how we should feel bad for them and let them off the hook.

      Or is this just some tilting and windmills stuff? You see it, so it must be real?

    18. Re:Had everything? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      automatic meeting summarizer

      That one's not hard.

      "...and nothing of value was decided..."

      I think I just summarized your last meeting.

    19. Re: Had everything? by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      My hatred of "idea people" comes from the dot com era. I met plenty of, "I got this idea for a website. You figure out all the difficulties, do all the work, and I take all the credit. I might give you a small cut of the profits." Even as a fresh-out-of-school kid, I knew these guys were charlatans.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    20. Re:Had everything? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > stock market predictor

      you're going to get raped by people who rigged the markets.

      > automatic meeting summarizer

      strip out all the vowels

      I just don't think you had your heart in it mate.

    21. Re:Had everything? by dgatwood · · Score: 3, Interesting

      But ideas are cheap indeed. Most ideas from "ideas people" are impossible/unfeasible, and it is too much refuting them all with a nice explanation of why it can't work. Hence ruder dismissals designed to keep "ideas people" away and give the impression of a hostile forum. A few of their ideas are feasible, but the reason nobody works on them is because everybody is working on some feasible idea of their own which is more interesting.

      Ideas are cheap, good ideas less so. What you really need is not to drive people away, but rather to route them to an appropriate forum for suggestions and encourage (require?) them to search for existing threads that might already include that suggestion before posting. That way, you collect the ideas and can have people comment on them, vote on them, etc.

      "Ideas people" are not special at all. All the useable ideas they come up with is stuff that devs are perfectly capable of coming up with themselves.

      Then why don't they? The thing is, I've seen lots of software that was written by developers without adult supervision, and when developers all focus on their pet features without taking into account user needs, the result is almost invariably worse for it. Those pesky ideas people are your average users. They're the people you're trying to reach with your software (typically). And the tendency to push them away rather than to organize their ideas and prioritize them is the reason that so much open source software is, frankly, crap.

      And I say that with all due respect, as I've contributed to open source software frequently in the past, and have even open sourced various things that I have written. When I read things like what you posted, my first reaction is to assume that the project is never going to go anywhere, and in a few years, will be replaced by some other project that is designed from the ground up around the features that users have been complaining about not having in the existing tools for years.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    22. Re:Had everything? by war4peace · · Score: 2

      "Ideas people" are not special at all. All the useable ideas they come up with is stuff that devs are perfectly capable of coming up with themselves.

      This holds the same amount of truth as its sister-paragraph below:

      "developers" are not special at all. All the useable code they come up with is stuff that ideas people are perfectly capable of coming up with themselves.

      And that amount of truth is "partially correct".

      Ideas people can learn to code, just like developers can become ideas people. Ideas are easy to conceive, just like lines of code.
      The issue becomes much more complex when you start binning the statements above.

      There are people with great, elaborate ideas, which developers can't even start dreaming about matching. Just as well, there are developers which can code like gods but their ideas stink worse than a 3-day old roadkill in Alabama.

      Belittling people in one category just because you are in the other is never a "good idea" - pun intended.

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    23. Re:Had everything? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree with you. I seriously do not care what these bazillionaire's have to say about anything.
      I want them to make me the damn product they promise at a decent price.
      I do not care how they feel about AI or universal income or their opinion of universal human needs.

      Make me a reasonably-prices damn drone and STFU.

      (yes, I'm a crotchety old man. Made so by these people who talk too much and do too little)

    24. Re:Had everything? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A few flashy ideas and the ability to spin a good story even if you have to lie through your teeth is not the basis of a good business.

      Correct. They need to go into politics instead.

    25. Re: Had everything? by TWX · · Score: 1

      My hatred of "idea people" comes from the dot com era. I met plenty of, "I got this idea for a website. You figure out all the difficulties, do all the work, and I take all the credit. I might give you a small cut of the profits." Even as a fresh-out-of-school kid, I knew these guys were charlatans.

      At least those idea-people understood that implementation was beyond them.

      One big problem I see now are those that think they are good enough and don't know their own limitations, who get in far over their heads. One expensive example if the film Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow, which was one of the early greenscreen/CGI movies with live actors. The people behind the movie go in way over their heads and basically had to farm-out something like 90% of the post-production because they had no chance of doing all of the console-work and then rendering all of the CGI needed to make the film work. They had some decent ideas, but they had no idea how large the scale and scope of the undertaking was and obviously their financial backers didn't either. The sad thing about Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow is that it really wasn't all that good of a film. It wasn't Uwe Boll level, but wasn't John Landis level either despite having a lot of well respected actors in it.

      In my humble opinion, the idea may come first, but the technology to build the prototype needs to come second if it's coming from a startup entrepreneur. Once something demonstrable (and I don't mean on-video, I mean live in-person) is available to show how the tech works, then it's time to invest, and that's after the tech-entrepreneur has managed to analyze the timetables it took to get to that proto-prototype phase along with the costs to at least ball-park development time and costs. Large companies might be able to start with an idea and self-fund using their existing revenue stream to pursue the new idea, but for startups that don't have anything proven this is a bad proposition.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    26. Re:Had everything? by TWX · · Score: 1

      I see a lot of people feeling bad the tech wasn't there. A lot of people feeling bad that people were scammed out of their money. But not a lot of people weeping for the idiots that thought that if they faked it long enough, they would finally be able to deliver.

      I got to go to San Jose to see a private Cisco presentation on some upcoming tech they wanted us to buy, and among what we saw was Cisco video-conference tech, including camera systems that were able track who was speaking to point to them, and in multi-camera systems, to use some kind of logic to determine not only who was speaking, but who should have a camera remain trained on them as they were likely to speak next. This was running on the embedded software in the video-conference device, which probably has lower hardware specs than the average PC.

      My point is that if you've seen that tech in-action and you've seen quadcopters in-action, it's not exactly a stretch to consider a marriage of the two technologies. The software that Cisco uses to follow the speaker and to train-in on who should have attention paid to them would both serve to inform the flight-control software and the video camera control software, and we've already seen flying demonstrations of quadcopters and other "drones" that perform maneuvers without direct human control, and there are studies on how clusters of autonomous robots could work in-tandem without a lot of communications, so potentially swarms of these things could be made to work. The problem is, all of these things were initially developed by very smart people that spent considerable amounts of time, if not dedicating parts of their lives (friend of mine's PhD several years in the making was on autonomous swarms) and actually integrating all of these technologies is both difficult and requires the cooperation of the entities that own these developments. If those entities don't want to cooperate then even though the tech exists, you still have to develop it yourself, and if you're not one of those PhDs with the knowledge to do it then it's very unlikely that you're going to be successful.

      It would be lovely to have a personal, lightweight, safe-to-operate drone that could follow you around and do stuff for you, but those that own the tech to make it happen relatively easily aren't interested, so it's probably not going to happen.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    27. Re:Had everything? by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      Blame the angel investors. They hear the words "young founders" and they think "great, young people are so much more capable than old people who smell funny." To be fair, their initial investment was for college kids, not intended to be enough to start up a sustainable business, but the old dotcom era wishful thinking is still in full display here.

      - get young people, who have zero real world experience.
      - assume the product will be easy to design, manufacture, and deliver. After all, if old people can do it then it can't be that hard.
      - don't hire anyone who know anything about building a real world product, those guys are old and smell funny.
      - market your idea as "cool".
      - make the product about you, because self absorbed people spend more more money.
      - hype the product, make it look like it really exists when it doesn't.
      - believe everyone else's hype, not just your own. 3D printing is the wave of the future? So then build your business around using 3D printers. Your smartphone takes pictures and is small, so it must be easy to just buy a camera to stick in the device, obviously.
      - marketing takes full priority over engineering. Engineers are old and smell funny, whereas marketing has a 2 drink minimum.

      Actually, it takes too long to list everything they did wrong. I'll instead list below everything that they did right.

    28. Re:Had everything? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I do not believe anything the alt media spins about Theranos. Probably some USGov front company siphoning money for some group in Syria.

    29. Re:Had everything? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      wow. it must've hurt your "idea person" to be told that because you are incapable of implementing something means your worth less than someone who can. Well, guess what? The gp was right.

      It isn't just programming, its everywhere. Comedians have to field the "I have this idea for a great joke" when the issue isn't having material, its being able to deliver it. Yes, that really is a skill and the fact you don't believe shows just how shallow, insipid and stupid you are.

      Writers have to field the "I've got this great idea for a book" when the issue isn't having story/plot/character/world ideas, its the ability to construct a coherent and interesting novel. Now, it may come as a shock, but just because you are (somewhat) literate doesn't mean you can accomplish that. Ditto for screen plays, and even worse for "movie ideas".

      The reason most people in creative fields reject "ideas" without consideration is that it isn't just a waste of time (though that is bad enough), but because ideas are a dime a dozen if the idea actually had any merit there's a reasonable chance the person who creates had that idea and is working on it. And, when they produce an actual product (rather than just pitching an idea) the "idea person" comes along to claim it was theirs and they've been ripped off. Some of the more entitled among them even have the gall to sue.

      So when an "idea person" comes around, being rude, obnoxious and never giving them a chance to open their mouths is the best option. Get rid of them as fast as possible and in a way that assures you never heard their idea.

    30. Re:Had everything? by glucoseboy · · Score: 1

      Exactly my feeling as well. We love a good narrative with a flashy website. Investors only have themselves to blame. Whatever happened to. "if it sounds to good to be true, it probably is'?

    31. Re:Had everything? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Who cares about the people who lost millions..

      Pat them on the head too. Ideas end in failure just as much as investments do. I certainly don't shed a tear about people who lose a lot of money in investments, even when I counted myself among them.

      Investing is like starting a business. Sometimes it doesn't work. Cut-losses, and move on, but don't sit and mope about it.

    32. Re:Had everything? by Darinbob · · Score: 2

      You need to turn "ideas people" into "people that do things". I think most of them don't really know anything about what happens in a company. Maybe they see a CEO who seemingly does no work at all but who takes all the credit and they want to emulate that model. What they fail to see is that the CEO worked to get there, spends most of the day managing the company (maybe a bit naively), dealing with financial sisues, and is constantly on the road selling the company and its products.

      The "ideas people" at real companies who don't have the follow through don't become rich, an ideas person is always expected to do a lot of hard work to make that idea become reality. If you just come up with a good idea and then hand it off to someone else, you won't get rewarded for it.

    33. Re:Had everything? by war4peace · · Score: 1

      I usually don't answer to ACs but you have put enough effort to warrant a reply.
      So here it goes...
      I tried to be objective. GP wasn't objective. Furthermore, having an idea doesn't mandate being able to implement it. It only requires being able to further develop it (the idea) into something clear enough and granular enough to be fully implemented. Your examples support both your point of view as well as mine:
      - Some comedians don't write their own texts, or only do so partially. Actors usually don't write their own scripts, that doesn't make them less actors.
      - Writers usually seek for (and obtain) huge amounts of help from experts in various fields which offer them information required to develop their ideas into something that makes sense. Frank Herbert spent five years researching for the original series of Dune, for example. The point here is that the idea itself might mean close to nothing, but further developing it requires external resources and help from others. A bad writer with a good idea could pair with someone who can write very well but lacks imagination.
      - Screen plays, well there you got everything wrong, sadly. There are countless bad movies out there based on great ideas.

      The field where the difference between who has the idea and who develops it is most prevalent is gaming. Take a look at the game designer role (http://creativeskillset.org/job_roles/331_game_designer) - which is rather elastic in definition.

      But yes, if the "idea person" is the one you define, then indeed they don't qualify. I guess my definition of "idea person" is different from your definition - and that is why we disagree.

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    34. Re:Had everything? by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      People need some perspective too. No one should feel bad that this technology isn't here yet, it's just fluff. It fits into the same category as Juicero. Nothing of value in the world is gained by the product and nothing is lost when it fails to live up to the hype.

    35. Re:Had everything? by arglebargle_xiv · · Score: 1

      I've got a great idea as well. It's still under wraps, but I can reveal for now that it's going to be marketed as the Dildrone.

    36. Re: Had everything? by PlaynBass · · Score: 1

      Sort of reminds me of an unlikely and unqualified candidate for a certain national office.

      --
      PlaynBass
    37. Re:Had everything? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I was considering getting one of those drones. I remember that the video did look impressive and they made it seem like they had all the tech features figured out. All they needed money for was the parts and factory assembly lines to crank them out. I ended up not investing, but it was for other reasons.

      And I don't understand the difficulty in creating an autonomous controller that will hover at a set distance away from the GPS position of the controller. Or to have some pre-programmed flying paths inside the drone. If I am skiing, biking, hiking, surfing, kayaking or whatever I don't want to have to actively control the drone. I want to start it, tell it the mode of flight, have it follow me somehow, and then tell it to land later. I wouldn't expect this to be that difficult to achieve with the drone technology that existed.

    38. Re: Had everything? by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      Not exactly. Even then, idea guys thought that implementation was "beneath" them. Lets get some kind fresh out of college to do the actual work for me and pay him in peanuts and promises. I could bang this out if I wanted to, but I have big idea things to worry about instead.

      Of course they were delusional, but they had to be delusional to believe that their idea was worth anything in the first place.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    39. Re:Had everything? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I do not believe anything the alt media spins about Theranos. Probably some USGov front company siphoning money for some group in Syria

      You have confused the alt and mainstream media.

      Either that, or you are so hopelessly sold on conspiracy nonsense that you have consciously renamed the mainstream into alt media.

      As always with you kooks: show some evidence or GTFO.

  3. Typical tech shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Another tech shit "startup" fails. Why can't people build real products, create something good and real, instead of cobbling together electronic crap and computers and shit?

    1. Re: Typical tech shit by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      Computers are not real products? Ok, Ezekiel better head back to the farm.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
  4. The MOOCH was one of many behind this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Trump lackey, but of course you knew that.

  5. LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    So this company was funded purely on a 'story' no 'working prototype' at all...only after they get a piss pot of money do they even try to figure out how to build it simply to discover the 'tools' (e.g. 'technology' didn't exist)...wow, anyone investing in this shouldn't get their money back as far as I'm concerned.

    1. Re:LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      actually the founders should be debted.

      because this is just another case of saying that you have magic tech and then not having it. ..besides the tech wouldn't even have been so magical. delivering a photography drone would have been shit easy. ...not a good one, but hey, even a crappy product would have made it not a fraud.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    2. Re:LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sell them a slice of Pie in the Sky...

    3. Re:LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by StormReaver · · Score: 4, Informative

      So this company was funded purely on a 'story' no 'working prototype' at all...

      They had a partially working prototype, but an inability to push it into a final product. There was also a bunch of managerial incompetence. It's interesting that the prototype that worked best was loaded with Open Source software to do the major work. It was only when the lead software "engineer" scapped it all to rewrite it himself that the product really started falling apart.

      ...only after they get a piss pot of money do they even try to figure out how to build it simply to discover the 'tools' (e.g. 'technology' didn't exist)

      This is where you give away that you didn't bother reading the article. The technology exists, but the company didn't have the ability to integrate them into the Lily.

      ...anyone investing in this shouldn't get their money back as far as I'm concerned.

      That's pretty jerkish to all the victims who lost money to those thieves.

    4. Re:LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Open source drone software is good... Arducopter can do most of what this product can do in the flying department. The camera aiming/framing logic would be something they would need to add, but it is the core of their product so that makes sense.

    5. Re:LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by Kjella · · Score: 1

      They had a partially working prototype, but an inability to push it into a final product. There was also a bunch of managerial incompetence. It's interesting that the prototype that worked best was loaded with Open Source software to do the major work. It was only when the lead software "engineer" scapped it all to rewrite it himself that the product really started falling apart.

      That's a very generous reading of the facts. The early prototypes crashed and veered off course and the most positive thing said was "Finally, it hovered anxiously and, according to the review, took a handful of photographs." and also "He emphasized that the initial Lily drone models were built with ready-made parts that weren't customized for the special features the team had envisioned." As for the quality "Mostly, the source said, the color was off and some shots were blurry." and "In terms of the final edit, I'm not sure there's any Lily footage,".

      I doubt there's a ready made open source product to operate a flying drone, they hobbled together something was maybe 1% of what they'd promised. That was the concept, use off-the-shelf hardware/software to get the prototype and hype going, then create custom hardware/software to actually deliver. It takes a very special reading to believe that abandoning open source was their downfall. To me this sounds like a basic case of promising the moon and finding out that actually making it works is 10x as much effort and costs 10x as much as you thought it would be.

      That's pretty jerkish to all the victims who lost money to those thieves.

      Well, these people aren't straight up scammers. It sounds like they actually thought that they were going to deliver and that the money they got from preorders were actually blown trying to create what they had sold. What they were short on is the appropriate legal disclaimers saying this is a product under development, it's a concept video that may not reflect the final product's features or quality and whatnot, all product specifications subject to change. I'm sure they'd get 90% of the suckers even with the small print, but pushed it a little too far and went from shady to shyster.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    6. Re:LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by thegreatbob · · Score: 1

      * No Man's Sky

      --
      There is no XUL, only WebExtensions...
    7. Re:LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I doubt there's a ready made open source product to operate a flying drone,

      But there is something like 3 such open-source products! Arducopter being a good one. You build just about any drone with 3 to 8 motors, including the arducopter chip and sensors you find useful (gps, sonar,...) Then you tune the arducopter sw for it. Different drones have different weight, motor power and arm lengths - hence the need for this tuning. But it is a well documented procedure - you don't need to be a programmer to do it.

      Then, without further work, you have a drone capable of:
      * Fly while you use the usual radio control to guide it. A variety of modes depending on how easy you want this to be.
      * Fly under its own control frome one gps waypoint to the next, possibly taking pictures along the way
      * Follow you around automatically, provided that you carry a gps device that tell the drone where you're going
      * Flying back to the startpoint automatically and land safely when the batteries get low

      Making the drone fly nicely is the hard part here, and it is solved already. Including the part about following the owner (with some suitable height offset) during whatever outdoor activity he likes. Apparently, a lily drone was also supposed to take useful pictures. This is hard to automate - for what is a "good" aerial picture of someone skiing or golfing or boating or whatever? Still, one could get quite a lot of useful pictures by skipping the aiming completely and use 4 small cameras with about 90 degrees field of view. That would cover the entire hemisphere under the drone, ensuring that the owner is always in the frame of one of the cameras. So the drone can simply film or take pictures at regular intervals. Later, you grab the good images and toss the rest.

      This is definitely something a company with a little money could deliver. They'd have to hire a competent drone-builder who should be able to build a prototype in a few weeks. Then a couple of months for testing & fixing problems. Actual mass production needs someone skilled in this - the working prototype is no longer enough unless you want to sell DIY kits only. It also needs to fit into some cheap production process.

    8. Re:LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by Desler · · Score: 1

      Punishing the people who keep backing this junk is the best way to prevent them from perpetually falling for these dudebro tech scams.

    9. Re:LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by spacepimp · · Score: 1

      They lied that it would be even remotely legal. Where can a skier throw a drone and have it auto fly into follow-me mode and avoid all objects as he tries to ski down a mountain with no care/need/view of what his non object avoiding drone was doing behind him. Breaks every rule of safety from the start.

      Not only is this fully illegal it is also obviously dangerous enough to refute the original extreme use case camera it presented itself as.

      Follow me doesn't look out for that tree or gondola, or skier etc.
      The companion computer would have to be fairly powerful to use images for visual odometry and avoidance at speeds fast enough for use in real world environments.To do this in a driverless car requires a strong GPU. Tesla attempting to use only cameras, is having a difficult time getting the responsive results of lidar due to latency in image analysis. The pricing of the drone and hardware for BoM with the features necessary to make the thing even remotely useful were never reasonable.

       

    10. Re:LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      So this company was funded purely on a 'story'

      So like every company in history then.

    11. Re:LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      That's pretty jerkish to all the victims who lost money to those thieves.

      I was with you right up to this point. Part of investing in anything is figuring out if what you are investing in is a good idea. Part of investing is the risk that you won't know everything, or the risk that despite knowing everything it will fail anyway. Never shed a tear for an investor. They should cut their losses and move on. If they make a habit of it, maybe they should stop trying to invest in ideas.

      Now as for those people who believe Kickstarting is like buying a product, don't shed a tear for them either. Humans learn by doing. Putting them in a plastic bubble and feeling sorry for their poor decisions is not the answer. Instead educate them, and applaud them for learning lessons.

    12. Re:LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      I think if they kept it simple they could have done it. They had troubles with the camera though, they wanted a certain quality that they just weren't going to get for the prices they needed. Their problem wasn't that they were intentionally trying to scam people, but that they were so monumentally naive. Copying what other people can do is moderately easy, if you have the skills. If you don't have the skills then attempting to copy and also improve and innovate on top of that isn't going to work, unless you hire people with skills (ie, not your drinking buddies).

      The drone part is easy, if you stick with a normal design. But they were't selling that. They were selling a drone that could automatically follow you, and that had a superior quality camera, and you could just throw it in the air and it would take off (zero to being able to generate enough lift while stable and right side up in less than a second).

      They didn't quite have any of that though. For their film they could barely get the thing to fly, ie, the "basic drone" part. For the film they had a remote operator control the drone, which was a very expensive commercial drone, with instructions to try and make it look like a simpler drone. Basically, when they made the film they had almost nothing except a prototype that could barely fly. It was a nice video though, I thought it was great at the time not because it was cool but it was an advance in technology (throw it up in the air at any random angle) and that it appeared to be ready to ship any day now...

    13. Re:LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The thing that jumped out at me was the idiot who wanted to throw all of the flight controller code away and make a new from-scratch "in his own image". In essence, throwing out a large body of work extremely well-tested and highly-evolved FREE code (ArduPilot) and build an entire flight-control stack from scratch, presumably to boost his ego. He should have been fired, and the people who failed to fire him deserve to drop out of business.

  6. hold still grandma's focussing the satellite feed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    we rest our lower case.. cease fire stand down,, there's innocent stand-ins in every town.. thanks

  7. Kickstarter by lindseyp · · Score: 3, Insightful

    All you need now is a snazzy video with a prototype that at least *appears* to work and boom, millions in funding to burn through until you finally have to admit you can't deliver, and the balloon pops.

    --
    j'ai découvert une démonstration vraiment admirable (de ce théorème général) que cette si
    1. Re:Kickstarter by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      All you need now is a snazzy video with a prototype that at least *appears* to work and boom, millions in funding to burn through until you finally have to admit you can't deliver, and the balloon pops.

      Funny thing is though that in the thread yesterday about how VC's fund women less, the usual suspects were falling over themselves to tell us how rational VS's are.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    2. Re:Kickstarter by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      Yes, but after getting out of jail you will still be a hot prospect to venture capitalists, because you have real world experience! Nothing attracts VC money like a freshly scrubbed face full of naivete.

    3. Re:Kickstarter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most of the comments I read were pointing out that the VC study didn't in any way prove what it was attempting to prove. And the usual suspects were shouting sexism at them because the word "woman" was said and that means you're supposed to check logic and rationality at the door in favour of base emotional responses.

  8. nothing to do with enron. by gl4ss · · Score: 1

    this isn't an accounting scam.

    this is just lying about tech that you lie that you have and then asking money from people. this is a pretty old scam.

    they are most often nowadays sold with personality cult and shit like that. for example the ceo might(usually does) say stuff like that "because i'm not an engineer i'm not limited by what they think as possible".

    the amazing thing is that people give money to these things, solar roadways, ultrasonic charging etc.

    --
    world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
  9. Process by YuppieScum · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Surely the correct way to go about this is:

    1. Idea for product.
    2. Design product.
    3. Build product.
    4. Test product.
    5. Sell product.
    6. Profit.

    with repeats on 3 & 4 as required.

    Any operation that puts 5 before 3 & 4 must be considered suspect.

    --
    This sig left unintentionally blank.
    1. Re:Process by Zocalo · · Score: 3, Informative

      In traditional development, sure. In crowdfunding, which this was, the process is generally *meant* to work like this:

      1. Idea for product.
      2. Basic design and proof of concept for product.
      3. Sell idea of product to raise funds for the next three steps.
      4. Develop and build product.
      5. Test product.
      6. Ship product to backers.
      7. Sell product to non-backers.
      8. Profit.

      Repeat steps 4, 5 and occassionally (or not so occassionally *cough* Star Citizen *cough*) step 3 as required.

      Unfortunately there are two common and related failings in this approach. Developers often skimp on stage 2 and just produce the equivalent of a glossy brochure and vague promises, which is what happened with the Lily Drone, while potential backers often fail at their due diligence (AKA they have defective bullshit detectors) at step 3 and/or commit more funds than they really should - often excessively so. That latter part is the real failing; without funds, there are no stages 4-8 and no one needs to lose any money with many crowdfunding systems. There's nothing wrong with throwing a few bucks at a long-shot project like Lily, but you need to be aware of the chances of sucess and treat it like the gamble that it is and accept that you're quite probably going to lose your money. If you're throwing a few hundred bucks at something, without any proof that the project founders can actually deliver, and especially if you can't really afford to just lose the money, then you probably need the lesson you're going to get.

      --
      UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    2. Re:Process by petes_PoV · · Score: 2

      Surely the successful way to go is:
      1.) Idea!
      2.) Glossy, gushing description
      3.) Shiny "proof of concept" i.e. a non-working mock-up of what it might look like, eventually
      4.) Completely fabricated sales projection, BoM, development costs
      5.) Get on the VC circuit until some sucker bites.
      6.) Try to work out what the minimum acceptable design would actually be
      7.) Cut every corner possible. Scrimp pennies. Use untested software. Manufacture with the cheapest materials
      8.) Spend the majority of the funding on advertising, packaging and marketing

      --
      politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
    3. Re:Process by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's certainly how it's actually done.

    4. Re:Process by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Correction:

      : 8) Spend majority of the funding on hookers and blow.

    5. Re:Process by thegreatbob · · Score: 1

      Nah, the current was of doing things seems to be this very simple program:

      1: Try to get VC money, and failing that, try to get it through kickstarter
      2: ???
      3: Profit!!!

      --
      There is no XUL, only WebExtensions...
    6. Re:Process by Afty0r · · Score: 1

      Surely the correct way to go about this is: 1. Idea for product. 2. Design product. 3. Build product. 4. Test product. 5. Sell product. 6. Profit.

      How do you propose paying for steps 2, 3 and 4? Or should only incredibly rich people be allowed to start a company?

    7. Re:Process by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Step 2 is actually "Identify the market for the product." You then use that to finalize your design, set your budget for development funding, and sell the idea to investors. You may have some initial prototypes produced to demonstrate the idea, but you won't be doing the serious development until you have a way to pay for it. You also need to get your market research right if you want to have any chance of making it to the last step. Smart crowdfunding campaigns do this in two stages with earlier funding (either past profits, loans, or VC funding) based on market and technology research validating the concept's viability used to mature the designs to the point that they're ready for production and a second round (Kickstarter, preorders, etc.) used to set the scope of production (production numbers, features, options, etc.). If the first stage fails (concept is not viable), the process stops before too much money has been spent. If the second stage fails (product is not viable), you still have the output from the first stage that you can leverage on other projects and the bulk of the money should still be available for refunds (minus deposits, overhead, production samples, etc.). If you do it all at once and fail, you're out a ton of money, potentially spending your production budget on failed technology development, and have nothing to show for it except a post about your failure on Slashdot.

    8. Re: Process by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      You forgot about the spiffy video with pro quality production value and complete fakery of the prototype working.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    9. Re:Process by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Any operation that puts 5 before 3 & 4 must be considered suspect.

      You only think that because you missed step 1.1: Sell idea for product to investors. If businesses followed your steps as you wrote them then none of them would ever get off the ground due to lack of money.

  10. the kids look like aliens on this gizmo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    omg,, grandma.. sing along.. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=myo9wXrNUP4

  11. Sounds like OTC/Pennys stocks by future+assassin · · Score: 1

    there's 1000's ready to dump $1000's or even their life's savings on a pump and dumps.

    --
    by TheSpoom (715771) Uncaring Linux user here. I have nothing to add to this but please continue. *munches popcorn*
  12. Stories - really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "stories are how we make sense of our lives."

    If this is true for you then you probably just tried to by a drone than doesn't exist, and I have a bridge to sell you.

    Stories, narratives, dreams and drama are something you put down after your teens, when you knuckle down, apply your education to the world around you, see what works, who you like to work with and change as much as nescessary to achieve the best outcomes from the combination of that to the environment your living in.

    But three cheers for the dreamers living their own stories.

    1. Re: Stories - really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's bitztream: the autism-hating, custom EpiPen-hating, Musk-hating, Qualcomm-hating, Firefox tabs-hating Slashdot troll!

    2. Re: Stories - really? by thegreatbob · · Score: 0

      If I hadn't already been snarking on this post, I'd have modded this up; the universe is an (infinitely, imho) interesting place to observe and interact with. Within our lifetimes, there will never be *nothing* to do, and it doesn't take that much effort to find something. Risk-averse ACs can have fun lounging in their basements for something resembling fun, I guess.

      --
      There is no XUL, only WebExtensions...
    3. Re: Stories - really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If I hadn't already been snarking on this post, I'd have modded this up

      You points would be totally wasted on this troll - just look at all its past abusive posts.

  13. Inaccurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am one such customer, I bought in very early to help fund this because my wife is a photographer and we enjoy the outdoors. We had many possible applications for the Lily and we waited patiently until the very end for it to arrive. We are no longer waiting because Lily refunded us completely, and we have no hard feelings.

    I am very sad that the product never came to be, and that the company did not succeed. I more sad by all the hatred that is spewed towards them by typical Slashdot readers who sit on their asses and do nothing except point out how wrong/stupid/lame everyone else is. At least these guys tried to do something cool, and they did the right thing when the time came to make a hard decision. I doubt any of you who are hating on them would have acted in good faith like they did.

    1. Re:Inaccurate by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Looks to me as if you invested based on emotional appeal rather than anything substantive, such as a proof of fucking concept, which these bozos couldn't fucking produce.

      If you really got a refund, then you should really, REALLY be counting your lucky stars.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    2. Re:Inaccurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I invested because I thought it was cool. I will admit that I thought they had a prototype at the time because of the promo video. I was however fully prepared to lose my money if it didn't work out because they were up front about the fact that it would take at least a year to ship and a lot of things can happen in that kind of time.

      I do consider myself to be very lucky to have been refunded, but I am also GRATEFUL and that is my point entirely -- people these days have no grace, only contempt.

    3. Re: Inaccurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have no doubt you wouldn't be talking of "grace" if you got stiffed. You were stupid with your money and luckily - maybe out of fear of criminal proceedings - the company refunded your money.

      The last couple of decades has shown a steadily declining character of entrepreneurs in the Valley. It's like they learned ethics from used car salesmen.

      And you need to learn the definition of grace.

    4. Re: Inaccurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would have been disappinted, nothing more . . .
      They did the right thing, and you STILL continue to talk about them as if they did not, based solely on your speculation.
      The definition of grace is not hurling comments at complete strangers such as "You were stupid"

    5. Re: Inaccurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh I'd like to point out one more thing; I am pretty sure that I found the Lily originally because of a Slashdot post. Slashdot was probably direclty responsible for a significant percentage of those Lily sales. Does not escape my notice that the summary conveniently forgets about that but links to other Slashdot articles which discuss the failure of the company...

    6. Re:Inaccurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And this person is why these tech scams will keep happening dozens of times a year. They see "ooh shiny" and then disconnect the logic circuits in their brain to buy into the hype.

  14. Fontus sel-filling water bottle. by lindseyp · · Score: 1

    I'm still waiting for mine!

    --
    j'ai découvert une démonstration vraiment admirable (de ce théorème général) que cette si
    1. Re: Fontus sel-filling water bottle. by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      That was a classic one because it is so damn obvious that their product was impossible.

      The hoverboard was at least plausible to idiots. "Hey what about that 80s movie? It's gotta be possible!"

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
  15. Everything you need for a scam by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Lily Robotics had everything: Two charismatic young founders; millions in funding; and a product that promised to change the world

    Sounds like everything you need to run a good scam.
    In the real world what matters is people who get shit done. The rest are just sales.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    1. Re:Everything you need for a scam by Mozai · · Score: 1

      In the real world, getting paid is what matters. Getting shit done is a way to get paid, a slow and difficult way to get paid, but demonstrably not the only way to get paid.

    2. Re:Everything you need for a scam by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Your statement is what matters to particular individuals. Society will collapse if too many people become scammers and stop actually getting stuff done.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    3. Re:Everything you need for a scam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your statement is what matters to particular individuals. Society will collapse if too many people become scammers and stop actually getting stuff done.

      You're probably correct. In the 1930s, 40s and 50s, American corporations were run by engineers. Then, gradually, MBAs took over running them. Focus changed from long-haul thinking and making shit that worked over to whatever it takes to make next quarter's financials look good; screw the long haul and screw whether or not it works.

    4. Re:Everything you need for a scam by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      A lot of scammers are actually fooling themselves too. They may honestly think they're doing the right thing, and the little lie is just there until things get going better. Ie, ends justifying the means, lie now so the company doesn't collapse before Big Thing is ready.

  16. Idea Man Bubble by Tom · · Score: 1

    Ideas are a dime a dozen, as we say in game development. It is quite easy to have an idea, and for a few cool millions, you can find or hire a graphics designer who will turn it into a great presentation, video, etc.

    Too few people these days look for execution of ideas. How is it that you can get any funding at all without even a prototype?

    --
    Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
  17. L+i = Ly by spinitch · · Score: 1

    The name was a hint on the potential L+i = Ly. Or spelled correctly "lie" . Investors were forewarned just poor reading comprehension, fees for a lesson in business or so the founders hoped. The money invested better have been spent on practical development vs luxuries for the founders which should be pursued for recovery.

  18. Slashdot Forgets That It Promoted The Lily? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I find it a little bit amusing that Slashdot is crapping on the Lily now that it has failed, and that the summary links to previous Slashdot articles about the failure of the Lily but conveniently omits this post which promoted it: https://news.slashdot.org/story/15/05/26/206245/lily-camera-a-drone-that-follows-you

    That post probably drove a huge number of those original sales . . .

    1. Re:Slashdot Forgets That It Promoted The Lily? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That post probably drove a huge number of those original sales . . .

      ... to folks who didn't know what "due diligence" is, or why it matters.

    2. Re:Slashdot Forgets That It Promoted The Lily? by Desler · · Score: 1

      That post probably drove a huge number of those original sales .

      Maybe in an alternate universe where Slashdot was still relevant. Funny joke nonetheless.

  19. The problem with things like kickstarter by mark_reh · · Score: 2

    is that it's all about giving money to people whose only proven talent is making slick videos and maybe a semifunctional prototype. Very few have the business chops turn their idea/prototype into a commercial product.

    1. Re:The problem with things like kickstarter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Kickstarter doesn't maker any sense (for those buying in) *at all* !!! The only people that benefit from Kickstarter are the Kickstarter owners, who get their cool cut* regardless of outcome.

      *varies by country, up to 8% it seems. Note that the website claims the fees aren't paid if the campaign isn't funded, but that just means the money didn't pass the target set by the fundraisers - it does not mean any product is produced.

    2. Re:The problem with things like kickstarter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's also for projects judged too risky by the founders to finance with their own money.

    3. Re:The problem with things like kickstarter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A prototype can easily be turned in commercial product - the issue is they were trying to do it a price point that was nearly half of what competitors were doing it for.

    4. Re:The problem with things like kickstarter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, Kickstarter and the like are great for getting technically mature but potentially low-selling products into production. Let's say I write a book. I don't know if anyone will actually buy it, so I can either self-publish at my own risk, publish it as an e-book on Amazon and hope they don't have to lower the price to $0 to get anyone to download it, or use a crowdfunding site essentially as an escrow service, publishing the book if enough people buy in or refunding everything and not publishing if there isn't. Or maybe I know that there's interest, but I need to decide whether to print 1,000 copies or 10,000 copies for twice the price of 1,000. Maybe I can include color illustrations or licensed content with the extra profit margin if 5,000 copies sell.

      That concept can be expanded to all kinds of other products and can help make unexpectedly popular products better while keeping unpopular (and therefore unprofitable) products from being produced. And then a bunch of idiots see people making tons of money this way and think they can skip straight to the profit without putting any of the work in. Caveat emptor.

    5. Re:The problem with things like kickstarter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Kickstarter *does* make sense in some cases. I've bought a product via kickstarter that was really a no-brainer because it wasn't just some idea that would magically enter production. Instead, it was an iteration on an earlier successful product by an established company.

      So why kickstarter? Because you get the money first.

      An established company can approximate demand, but that is always a loosey-goosey thing. If you are too pessimistic then you severely curtail profit (lower production runs have a higher per-unit cost). If you are too optimistic then you can lose money (too much unsold product). Sure, if your good and the market is fairly stable then you can hit somewhere in the middle -- but with kickstarter there is a lot less guess work. Depending on the product and the market you choose how much to overshoot production.

      Yeah, you lose some off the top to Kickstarter -- but you've just eliminated all guesswork. You can pay quite a bit to marketeers to get good guesses, but they are still guesses.

      Note: I'm not a fan of Kickstarter, and particularly how the pimp projects without concern for the likelihood of success but only trying to enrich themselves by their cut. But there are some valid uses for them.

    6. Re:The problem with things like kickstarter by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Very few have the business chops turn their idea/prototype into a commercial product.

      You're describing the vast majority of the world. Ideas are dime a dozen and businesses fail at a rate for over 90% in the first year. Kickstarter is just very public so it's easy to attack.

  20. How sad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The sad thing is someone is going to build this product although it is debatable how big a market exists at $1000.

    1. Re: How sad by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Meh, I'm sure there will be a much cheaper Chinese one made soon. Small camera drones are getting pretty cheap, and the algorithms to control it are all open source. You could probably build yourself one for less than half the price they were charging. Perhaps less than a quarter if you used a cell phone to do the command and control.

  21. More Bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This products sounds like most of the bullshit posted on /r/futurology ... complete VC-hyped vaporware

  22. "Two charismatic young founders" by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    Two charismatic young founders

    There are a few unicorns, but usually this is a risk factor. Most successful businesses are founded by people in their 40's and 50's.

    Reading the summary, I see "risk, risk, risk, risk, risk", and the results are what most investors would expect.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  23. Even an old person by Deadstick · · Score: 1

    How casually condescending. Twenty years ago it might have been "Even a woman"...

  24. But I thought we were by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    in the post Luddite 3D printed revolution and all we need to do is download a drone? Oh sorry, that's old thinking, now we are in the virtual reality artificial intelligence revolution and we can see pictures of a drone created by an algorithm?

    Hurray for the new revolution! Down with the Luddite 3D printers!

  25. How to be dumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "translating that idea into a tangible product proved difficult"

  26. Re: LoL..dumb people shouldn't get their money bac by orlanz · · Score: 1

    I think it was mostly a risky idea and poor skills at managing a business.

    Their idea was too risky for a real VC to take on so they got funding from people who just threw money at things without checking the details. A VC would have enforced a reporting and monitoring structure to see product feasibility. Probably also hired some experts for guidance and navigation.

    The idea was nice and the tech not impossible. The cash flow management appears to be shortsighted and irresponsible. There also seems to be little results and goal based decision making.

    As for the people who lost money, I hope they don't get it back. A good cheap lesson taught to the general population. Returning the cash just encourages more stupidity and doesn't drive the lesson home.

    People who don't have cash to throw around shouldn't throw it around. Don't take high risk investments and then complain when they fall through. There are plenty of lower risk investments, just don't complain that it didn't make enough or has too much regulations.

  27. So how is DJI able to do this? by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

    What I want to know is how DJI is able to crank out products left and right and companies like Lily and 3DR get borked? I find this very concerning that to all intents and purposes DJI owns this market now and that gives them carte blanche to do whatever they want regardless of what the customers want e.g. borking your expensive machine because they think you shouldn't be flying where you want or more importantly need to fly.

    I'm less interested in these MacGyver UAV platforms with all kinds of loosely integrated stuff hanging all over them than I am with a clean yet totally open-source design. 3DR was headed in the right direction but DJI ate stole their lunch money.

    1. Re:So how is DJI able to do this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The lead cycle between untamed wild open source freedom and licensed geofenced government-approved regulation is getting shorter and shorter. It took the internet a couple decades, drones a few years. Don't expect molecular assemblers to come without a massive exclusion list of banned molecules in the firmware :P

    2. Re:So how is DJI able to do this? by spacepimp · · Score: 1

      DJI isn't turning out anything like the LILY (at least what the Lily claimed to do). They (dji) have the bareST minimum of object avoidance, no throw to launch ability, OR hands free flying and photography. Their flight controllers are closed source and incredibly underpowered for any use more COMPLEX than an aerial camera. What DJI does well is make an affordable drone, with a good enough camera and gimbal that is easy enough to use for just that.DJI started with gimbals and was that gave them a big advantage for Aerial video or photos. Try using the native hardware to do complex photogrammetry sensing, or programmatic path finding, SLAM etc.Their Matrice is their quasi attempt to encourage them to be used for a dev platform for engineering, but that hasn't offered any tangible advantage to engineers to make them use that as the platform. DJI owns crappy consumer/prosumer drones and some heavy lift for RED ones cameras. Beyond that they have no relevance in the commercial space for industrial uses like tower or bridge inspections.

    3. Re:So how is DJI able to do this? by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

      Okay, but nobody wants to spend more than about $2k for a UAV no matter what the application and there really isn't much justification for five-figure prices. Some of the fancy photogrammetry stuff reminds me of the early 90s when everybody wanted to be able to do rigid-body dynamics in computer animation and the early developers were able to charge a fortune for it. Gradually, the algorithms leaked out to the masses and open-source community and now everybody can do that kind of thing. The DIY/open-source community has really disrupted the early UAV market like the Draganflyer that started out at $25k.

      IMHO, the real problem is not the software but the lack of a polished soup-to-nuts hardware platform that's still totally open-source. I'm talking not just an air frame but a ground station too with tightly integrated RF links and none of this mickey-mouse voodoo antenna stuff. No wires hanging out all over the place. But no custom sealed batteries with connectors that can only be had if you want to buy 5000 of them. 3DR was headed in this direction with the exception of the battery and charger. The flight computer in the Solo is a nice design and it could be repurposed in a heavy-lift vehicle. Using a GoPro was a smart choice. Why waste development resources on yet another camera?

    4. Re:So how is DJI able to do this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So much rambling in this post! Get a mental editor, for the love of [deleted].

      The issue has nothing to do with open source or any of that. Also, "nobody wants to spend more than about $2k for a UAV no matter what the application..." Huh?? Your comments make no sense outside of the low end consumer market except you never said that.

      Lily seems to have been a poorly run company. The Vision Thing entranced the CEO and his investors and they failed to execute. They never grappled with the product design and software complexities, not even close.

      The only thing that makes sense in your comment is to use off the shelf parts where possible, so as to minimize the total engineering effort needed. Lily was a small company and simply cannot afford to custom engineer the whole thing. Get a viable product, make it real and then iterate and improve. Oh, and misrepresenting the product in demo videos? That wasn't cool.

  28. Suckers by p51d007 · · Score: 1

    If I can't buy it on Amazon, or at a Walmart, or Best Buy....FORGET IT. This VC crap is just another way most of the time to sucker fools out of their money.

  29. Powerpoint by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Biggest indicator that the person briefing has no idea what they are talking about.

    If I was a VC, the minute I saw Powerpoint being opened would be the minute I started scanning my text messages looking for the next briefing.

  30. This one appears to actually work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For an autonomous "drone" that actually follows you, have a look at Skydio:
    http://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/drones/skydio-camera-drone-autonomous-flying

  31. Kickstarter question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Are drones the new iPhone dock? Seems like all I ever used to see getting insane amounts of funding on Kickstarter were iPhone docks that were nothing more than hunks of metal or wood and inflated price tags. Sounds like Drones have taken over as stupid funding projects.

  32. ...and some typical engineer hubris by mccrew · · Score: 1

    From TFA: "An engineer who led the software development team insisted on revamping the drone software to be his own original invention, several engineers told me. (The prototype had been made with open-source software.) The engineering team rebooted and the drone prototypes stopped flying. Production was set back about six months."

    How many times have we heard this story? Company has something kind-of working. Engineer thinks he can reinvent wheel. Massive effort to rewrite code. Underwhelming, underperforming result.

    4. ???

    5. Profit! :^)

    --
    Hey, Windows users, there is no such thing as "forward" slash, there is only slash and backslash.
    1. Re:...and some typical engineer hubris by spacepimp · · Score: 1

      Probably it was an investor demanding that they couldn't make money off of open source and mandating a change to closed source. 3DR did similar to placate investors and autodesk, and it mostly shot themselves in the foot.

  33. what caused it to fail? by 4wdloop · · Score: 1

    There are drones galore everywhere produced en masse. With and without cameras. Not a new tech. I build a few myself with $100. The follower feature may be more technically challenging (2 GPSes and good comms between the subject and a drone) but nothing that could not be overcome.

    TLDR;

    What was so special about Lily?

    What really made Lily fail?

    --
    4wdloop
  34. Theranos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Reminds me a little of Theranos [wikipedia.org]. The quick version of the story is this:

    You left out how politically connected she was.

    She got Donald Trump's Defense Secretary (Mattis) shilling for her; and landing her military contracts.

  35. The Vision of Dreamers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I kinda get the appeal of ideas people. They can move extraordinarily fast as they spin idea after idea, and it can be exhilarating to unleash your creativity.

    And then reality kicks in. Building something based on the idea takes months or years. Often it doesn't work. Having built it, can you sell it? Are there market competitors taking sales space and shelf space, meaning you get less money and exposure. Once you've conquered all those issues your sales peak and you have to build a new product to remain competitive and relevant.

    The appeal of a good ideas person is their free-thinking creativity and speed of action. The cost is, they never actually slow down and construct anything. They are like photons in the universe of matter. If you want to matter you have to slow down and construct something out of protons, electrons and neutrons.

    I always say that new things start with the vision. The mistake is in thinking that the vision is the product, or that "all the hard work is done" once you've created the vision. No, the hard work begins after the vision.

  36. "and a product" by citizenr · · Score: 1

    NO they fucking DIDNT, they had faked video of a concept of an idea of something that maybe was possible to built.

    --
    Who logs in to gdm? Not I, said the duck.
    1. Re:"and a product" by spacepimp · · Score: 1

      maybe possible to build, but not in their price range, or the size of the package it came with with a level of flight time that was even remotely useful.

  37. Nope - that *IS* lying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You are being too kind -- those people are idiots for thinking they know it all. The same problem is with surveys or comparing feedback of positive vs negative -- the real problems and issues are usually only identified or voiced by a very small number of people, that should not (but usually does) reflect or coorelate to the importance of the problems/issues identified.

    I was going to 'invest' in this product back when it was announced, but it seemed 'to good to be true', especially from a new and unkown stranger. Saving some money by paying before they had a product was not worth the saving for paying more later -- that slick-willy sales pitch never works on me.

  38. What's it called? by martinX · · Score: 1

    What's it called?
    Monorail!

    --
    When they came for the communists, I said "He's next door. Take him away. Goddam commies."
  39. Fundamental need? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    'Humans have a fundamental need to put themselves in the center of stories.'

      Extroverts have a fundamental need to put themselves in the center of stories.

    There, FTFY.

  40. Score:-15, Pwned by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1
  41. How's life in the hypocrite lane?