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Being Outside Could Become Deadly In South Asia, Says Study (go.com)
An anonymous reader quotes a report from ABC News: Venturing outdoors may become deadly across wide swaths of India, Pakistan and Bangladesh by the end of the century as climate change drives heat and humidity to new extremes, according to a new study. These conditions could affect up to a third of the people living throughout the Indo-Gangetic Plain unless the global community ramps up efforts to rein in climate-warming carbon emissions. Today, that vast region is home to some 1.5 billion people. While most climate studies have been based on temperature projections, this one -- published Wednesday in the journal Science Advances -- is somewhat unique in also considering humidity as well as the body's ability to cool down in response. Most of those at risk in India, Pakistan and Bangladesh are poor farmworkers or outdoor construction laborers. They are unlikely to have air conditioners -- up to 25 percent in of India's population still has no access to electricity. In some areas that have been deforested for industry or agriculture, they may not even have very much shade.
For the study, the researchers carried out computer simulations using global atmospheric circulation models under two scenarios -- one in which the world comes close to meeting its goal of curbing emissions to limit Earth's average temperature rise to 2 degrees C (3.6 degrees F) above pre-industrial levels, and one in it continues emitting at current levels. Both scenarios play out dangerously for South Asia. But with no limit on global warming, about 30 percent of the region could see dangerous wet bulb temperatures above 31 degrees C (88 degrees F) on a regular basis within just a few decades. That's nearly half a billion people by today's population levels, though the full scale could change as the population grows. Meanwhile, 4 percent of the population -- or 60 million in today's population -- would face deadly highs at or above 35 degrees C (95 degrees F) by 2100. But if the world can limit global warming, that risk exposure declines drastically. About 2 percent of the population would face average wet bulb temperatures of 31 degrees C (88 degrees F) or higher.
For the study, the researchers carried out computer simulations using global atmospheric circulation models under two scenarios -- one in which the world comes close to meeting its goal of curbing emissions to limit Earth's average temperature rise to 2 degrees C (3.6 degrees F) above pre-industrial levels, and one in it continues emitting at current levels. Both scenarios play out dangerously for South Asia. But with no limit on global warming, about 30 percent of the region could see dangerous wet bulb temperatures above 31 degrees C (88 degrees F) on a regular basis within just a few decades. That's nearly half a billion people by today's population levels, though the full scale could change as the population grows. Meanwhile, 4 percent of the population -- or 60 million in today's population -- would face deadly highs at or above 35 degrees C (95 degrees F) by 2100. But if the world can limit global warming, that risk exposure declines drastically. About 2 percent of the population would face average wet bulb temperatures of 31 degrees C (88 degrees F) or higher.
Education such as providing enough electricity to everyone needing air conditioning, is that the education you are referring to?
Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
Since humanity has the power to alter climate on a global scale, fixing it locally should be childs play.
Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
The summary says two emissions scenarios were looked at " one in it continues emitting at current levels". The article says RCP 8.5 was used. RCP 8.5 is quite incredible. Nigeria has a current population of 200 million. Under RCP 8.5 it is envisaged that this will grow to 1.5 billion by the end of the century, turning a rural country into one with the same population density as the Vatican Cty.
Also of course, TFA relies on the same sort of computer models that have currently been overpredicting temperature rises consistently since 1990.
Most widespread greenhouse gas is water vapor. And you cannot limit it, because 72% of Earth surface is covered by water.
Also there is a dynamic balance between carbon dioxide in atmosphere, carbon dioxide in ocean water and calcium carbonate in ocean deposits. So, if you limit carbon dioxide emission from human indiustry, there just be more emission from oceans.
You cannot stop global warming. You have just two choices - die trying, or adapt to it and prosper.
Because we aren't all ignorant and stupid asswipes, like you.
Plus also overpopulation is a problem. Let them die I say, they're not furthering humanity's progress anyway. It'll make space for us to actually make use of their resources rather than just sit on them.
That's the general attitude here. On /., and the west in general. Who gives half a fuck about Indians? There's so many of them anyway, a few million of them dying, so what? I got my air condition, I got my office job, why should I not continue driving my SUV just so some Indian pariah can survive?
Welcome to the wonderful Christian world of compassion. You may vomit now.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
The media parrots misinformation in the belief that if you say it often enough it must be true. It is not carbon emissions that are causing warming of the earth. This is just rubbish. The earth was warmer in the 1600's than it is now. And it has been at other times in its history also. Cooling and warming happens and has always happened ( Ice Ages - hellooooo!). Of course the earth atmosphere is warming and the effects will change life on earth just as much as it did in eons past. It will affect humans more this time around because there are more humans to be affected. The incessant carping that mankind is spewing carbon emissions and that its the cause for climate warming is just rubbish. Another example of empty vessels making the most noise.
No, this denier is uninterested in AlGore. Much more interesting to Michael E Mann twist in the wind refusing to show his data to a Canadian court. Way more fun to the claimers explain just how hard it is to measure the actual temperature anywhere, reliably, over a period of time.
These arguments are neither new nor exceptional. Some believe, some do not.
deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
Damn, I'll make sure and count the bodies tomorrow in Shanghai when the wet bulb temperature will be 52 deg C!
Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
Aaaaw... someone don't likey facty-facty? Boo-hoo... Poor snowflake. Don't you know that global warming is bad for you?
Too bad copy/paste is my ally.
Anyways... as I was saying above to that CUNT who's accusing people promoting renewables of genocide...
Those hundreds of thousands you mention have NO energy, if by energy you mean electricity.
Nor the means to get it. There is no electric grid in most those places. Nor will there be as long as there's money in stealing copper cables.
And guess what?
Those "douche bag westerns preaching about global warming" are actually a part of the solution.
Cause all that preaching is the reason why western governments have pumped in billions of dollars into renewable energy (and continue to do so), increasing production and lowering prices of solar and wind power (particularly solar) - thus creating conditions for all those hundreds of thousands you clearly care sooooo much for to get electricity for the first time.
Electricity from renewable sources, that is.
Which is not only cleaner now, thanks in part to those "western douche bags", it is also cheaper than the same electricity from coal.
Which kinda makes you a part of the problem, doesn't it?
So... how does it feel to be "actively killing real people right now"? Does it get your limp dick hard enough to see it?
Without a microscope?
Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens