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Central Banks Can't Ignore the Cryptocurrency Boom (bloomberg.com)

The boom in cryptocurrencies and their underlying technology is becoming too big for central banks, long the guardian of official money, to ignore. From a report: Until recently, officials at major central banks were happy to watch as pioneers in the field progressed by trial and error, safe in the knowledge that it was dwarfed by roughly $5 trillion circulating daily in conventional currency markets. But now as officials turn an eye toward the increasingly pervasive technology, the risk is that they're reacting too late to both the pitfalls and the opportunities presented by digital coinage. "Central banks cannot afford to treat cyber currencies as toys to play with in a sand box," said Andrew Sheng, chief adviser to the China Banking Regulatory Commission and Distinguished Fellow of the Asia Global Institute, University of Hong Kong. "It is time to realize that they are the real barbarians at the gate." Bitcoin -- the largest and best-known digital currency -- and its peers pose a threat to the established money system by effectively circumventing it. Money as we know it depends on the authority of the state for credibility, with central banks typically managing its price and/or quantity. Cryptocurrencies skirt all that and instead rely on their supposedly unhackable technology to guarantee value.

10 of 165 comments (clear)

  1. FDIC by gtall · · Score: 3, Insightful

    At least in the U.S., if you have less than the insurance limit (I think it is about $200K) and the bank loses it, then you can get reimbursed. If you have less than whatever in internet coins and they get lost, you get squat. That's going to be a big hurdle, who guarantees those transactions? All it would take is one major exploit on a crypto-currency to tank it.

    1. Re:FDIC by GLMDesigns · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If the blockchain is "hacked" or there is a successful 51% Attack then yes BTC and other crypto are in big trouble.

      However the blockchain was not hacked at $1,000,000.00 dollars, and it wasn't hacked when it was 1000 times that amount (1 billion) and it's still not hacked now. So far so good.

      Re 51% attack - that's getting pretty close to impossible even for governments.

      Can government stop crypto? Of course. Make it illegal and shoot people who have (or are suspected to have BTC). That ought to work.

      You talk about one major exploit - true. But, of course, if people could counterfeit US dollars that would also tank the dollar. Right?

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    2. Re:FDIC by djsmiley · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You missed the fact that the brokers have been hacked, time and time again, but then again banks seem to like leaving our details out anyway, so they are hardly who I'd turn to for trust worthy storage either ;)

      --
      - http://www.milkme.co.uk
  2. Ignore? It's a bubble they helped create! by DatbeDank · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Cryptocurrencies are currently the bubble du jour. As central banks have suppressed interest rates for so long, people are desperate for yield in anyway shape or form.

    Cryptocurrencies are the easiest thing to game and blow up into a bubble. People are rushing in and flipping it to a greater fool the same way people were doing this with houses back in the mid 2000s.

    Cryptocurrencies certainly have a lot of interesting uses, however their value is a direct threat to government control of currency. They're currently enjoying lax regulatory oversight which anyone with half a brain means that current valuations are bloated and in a perilous position if governments start deciding to heavily regulate it. I know, coindorks will come thrashing about saying "crypto will bypass this and become the next reserve currency!"

    No, if governments make ease of conversion into fiat difficult in anyway or outright ban it that will directly impact the price of the coins in the longterm.

    If you're using crypto presently, consider it purely a speculative play and continue to take profit along the way. If you've put your entire life savings into anything like this, you're an idiot and need to seriously reconsider your exposure to risk!

    1. Re:Ignore? It's a bubble they helped create! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      2012:~$30 lol bubble
      2013:~$1000 lol bubble
      2017:~$4600 lol bubble

      Starting to see a pattern here.

    2. Re:Ignore? It's a bubble they helped create! by perpenso · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The point being that $1,000 was a very brief bubble, followed by years of collapse. $4,600 may also be a very brief bubble, followed by years of collapse.

      Using your logic the financial crisis of 2008 was irrelevant since on the scale of decades the economy will be up.

      You are quite correct in labeling those investing in Bitcoins with a decades long time frame as speculators. It is very risky speculation. Bitcoin has flaws, for example vulnerability to 51% attacks, mining being in the hands of a select few (ASICs) rather then its design assumption of mining being in the hands of the masses (CPUs, GPUs).

      The current spike to $4,600 is largely driven by a new class of speculators, wall street. However the "hype" over bitcoins on wall street is partly based on their misunderstanding of the technology. It is really blockchain technology, not bitcoin itself, that will revolutionize finance and the transfer of money. Bitcoin is merely one user of blockchain technology, the user that brought the underlying technology to the attention of the masses. Something based on blockchain technology will be used decades from now, whether that something is bitcoin is wildly speculative and frankly unlikely.

      Now none of this prevents speculators from making money, so long as there are still "greater fools" to sell to.

  3. Re:They can, have and will continue to do so by perpenso · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's been in a bubble since 2012 apparently. Still waiting for it to burst.

    Wrong, it crashed from $1,000 to $250 from 2013 to 2015.

  4. Re:Oh but they can, and will by ShamblerBishop · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Anyone who knows their economic history even a little bit - and who isn't just a rabid gold-bug - knows that the gold standard was a complete disaster, totally unsuited to national economies... When people proclaim that something is 'the new gold standard', as if what they are praising is something laudable, they are nearly always unaware of the irony of their statement - which is pretty fitting, as for a long time entire nations (most of the world, even...) were unaware of just how damaging their glorified 'standard' was. Praising something as a 'new gold standard' might have a dictionary meaning of something being of a high standard - but the meaning in terms of economic history, as something being disastrously misplaced as a high standard - is a far more fitting meaning for the term.

  5. Re:Oh but they can, and will by EllisDees · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Nothing has intrinsic value. Things are only valuable because we decide they are.

    --
    -- Give me ambiguity or give me something else!
  6. Re:Oh but they can, and will by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Some things are abstract constructs in their entirety, and you cannot eat, drink, or wear them, or use them to hunt with, or even turn them into a ring. Such things with a physical manifestation do not tend to lose half their value in terms of their utility between starting lunch and ending it, as happened in the Weimar Republic with cash.