Stanford Study Finds New Dads In US Are Older Than Ever (mercurynews.com)
An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Mercury News: American fathers keep getting older, raising the prospect of increased birth defects but also greater economic and emotional security for U.S. families, according to new research from Stanford University's School of Medicine. The average age of the fathers of newborns in the United States has climbed by 3.5 years over the past four decades, growing from 27.4 years in 1972 to 30.9 years in 2015, said the study -- the nation's most detailed analysis ever of paternal age. The number of newborns whose fathers were over age 40 has more than doubled over the past four decades. Those births now make up nearly 9 percent of births in the U.S., Dr. Michael Eisenberg and Yash Khandwala reported in the journal Human Reproduction. The share of fathers who were over age 50 rose from 0.5 percent to 0.9 percent. Asian-American fathers -- men of Japanese and Vietnamese descent, in particular -- are the oldest, becoming fathers at the average age of 36 years, the study said. Black and Hispanic men are the youngest fathers -- age 30.4 and 30, respectively. White men, on average, have children at age 31. Paternal age rose with educational attainment. The typical newborn's father with a college degree is 33.3 years old -- compared with 29.8 years for high school graduates.
Part of the problem is that there's just so much more that people want to accomplish today. It isn't like in the 1950s, where a man would be content going to his 9-to-5 job, coming home to a prepared dinner, smoking a cigar, going to sleep, and doing the same thing again every other work day. Saturdays were used for doing household chores and playing sports with his children, while Sundays were used for going to church and having a Sunday dinner with family.
It's totally different today. Men, women, and even people who don't identify as male or female have so much more ambition. They have so much more they want to do. They want to create. They want to build. They want to learn. They want to express. They want to protest. They want to love. They want to be loved. And they want to do all of these things every day. There's just no time for children these days.
Just look at the Rust programming language. We wouldn't even have the Rust 1.20 release today if it weren't for the hard work and sacrifice of so many people. Of course you can't be having children when you're bust crafting next-generation programming languages!
People today choose many other activities over reproduction and parenthood. It's just a part of modern life. Raising children is just inherently incompatible with creating programming languages that are so unique and special that they couldn't possibly have been created in an era where the focus was on procreation and raising children.
Stanford Study Finds New Dads In US Are Older Than Ever
After so many nights without adequate sleep we only feel that way...
Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
As the child of people who couldn't afford kids: people shouldn't have kids until they can afford them.
Unfortunately, this means that most people just shouldn't ever have kids, because they will never afford them, because everyone is perpetually poor and only getting poorer.
And yes, that means I shouldn't have been born. And no, I'm probably never going to have kids.
The good news is, if everyone actually followed this advice (not that they will), whatever tiny number of kids were actually born in the future would live in a better world for it. If the underclasses upon whose backs the wealthy survive stop perpetuating themselves (ourselves, because I'm down here too), eventually the wealthy will have to support themselves, and the tiny future population will be forced to be more egalitarian.
It worked with the black plague.
-Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
"I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
And we're surprised by these findings???
Kids are bloody expensive. Having kids ties you down (time/space/money-wise).
I suspect this trend will continue for another few decades.
Yeah, you wouldn't fucking DARE point out the increased birth defect rates in older women having children, even though the rate of things increases fucking DRAMATICALLY by 35. But we jizz all over ourselves in the media to celebrate some 58 year old women squirting one out, anyway.
JUST down syndrome: (age/rate)
20 1:2000
30 1:900
35 1:350
40 1:100
45 1:30 (believe this was the age Sarah Palin had her downs syndrome child that she was praised for being so brave and strong to care for, but not taken to task for birthing at an age when you know the risks are very high).
47 1:20
49 1:10
Yes, and I am getting aged faster and faster by my kids!
3.5 years older after 40 years. OMG - EVERYONE PANIC. At that rate, new dad's will be 180 years old by the end of the century (ok, I didn't do the maths so that number might be off a little).
In my country, not having children is proclaimed, by a vocal minority, as being selfish: The hypocrisy being that child-rearing requires a lot of resources, so those popping-out babies are actually, the selfish ones.
The selfishness of Asian children (since several countries have endorsed a one-child policy for a few decades), was examined in a recent study and discovered to be a minor issue; with the children being emotionally normal plus high achievers.
While governments struggle with combining careers and motherhood, popping-out a baby is becoming another trophy to collect after a successful career. Unfortunately, human biology does not endorse this 'babies later' ideology: Babies born to older women (and older men) require medical attention for their entire life and thus, are a greater cost to society.
Stanford Study Finds New Dads In US Are Older Than Ever
Yep, they're getting older every second.
And then the super rich who own automatons and natural resources enough to completely sustain themselves without any labor become the only survivors in a miraculously egalitarian future, for those who live to see it. Egalitarian because everyone (who's still alive) has everything they need and for that reason nobody has to work for anybody else. Just predicated on the deaths of almost everyone else in the process. But for whoever survives, it's a bright future indeed.
I considered noting the analogy to that scenario in my post but couldn't find a way to work it in. Thanks.
-Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
"I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
Not that obvious troll deserves a response, but 75% of Americans make less than me. Which doesn't make me rich in the slightest, they're all just even more poor; it just means I'm far from some kind of bottom-of-the-heap loser, I'm ahead of the pack and still part of the downtrodden underclass like the rest of us.
-Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
"I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
Deaths don't need to happen. We can have an egalitarian society of 10 billion people, with robots feeding and clothing everyone. It might seem impossible today because socialism is taboo in the US, but that's not the case in the rest of the world. Besides, even in the US, it only takes one generation for view points to completely flip around, which is really just 30 years or so.
I will probably never own land, and therefore spend my entire life scrambling to pay the bulk of my income to someone or another for the right just to exist somewhere, even if I could miraculously manage to actually consume nothing at all. That's the meaningful threshold for the lower class. People who own land and other capital as necessary to live without paying to borrow from someone else, only working to fund their actual consumption, are the middle class. Those who can fund even their own consumption off the product of the labor of others by lending out their unused capital in perpetuity are the upper class.
I'm not saying "woe is me", because almost everyone for all of history has been part of the underclass by that definition. And as technology marches on, yeah, everything sucks less for everyone. That has nothing to do with class structure though. Even if I had a magic Star Trek replicator that could provide for all my material needs at nobody's expense, which would make a lot of things in life suck a lot less, I'd still (like almost everyone) have to justify my worth to someone else just for the right to exist somewhere. And it will probably take me my entire life to escape from that situation. That's underclass. Almost all of us are.
-Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
"I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
You're not going to win that argument. Rich and poor are relative. Some consider a roof over their heads to be a luxury, while others consider any house under $1 million to be too pedestrian.
Yeah, I'm not saying that it's impossible to have an egalitarian automation revolution. Just that the doomsday scenario of the person I was replying to still ends up with an egalitarian future... for the survivors.
-Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
"I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
What you are describing have been happening in Japan for 1~2 decades now. Local youngsters are refraining from breeding for reason exactly as you mentioned. Population in Japan in decreasing at 300k/yr.
I will probably never own land, and therefore spend my entire life scrambling to pay the bulk of my income to someone or another for the right just to exist somewhere
That's definitely harder (though not impossible) somewhere like Santa Barbara, but with a low-six-figure income there are countless places across the country where you could own land if you wanted to. If you'd rather rent in a super-high cost of living area than own in a more reasonable region (which, let's face it, is not going to be costal Cali), that's a lifestyle choice on your part, not evidence of how bloody unfair the world is.
TL;DR: California economics likely has twisted your perspective.
You know, if we lived in a subsistence society, where having a kid meant that everyone had to starve a little more I would agree with you, but we don't. We don't even live in a society where we are producing enough kids to sustain current populations. Instead, we live in a society where increasingly larger portions of economic output are hoovered up by a small bunch of people who essentially piss it away on frivolity. Think how many middle class kids could have been raised if Larry Ellison didn't have a fetish for building ever bigger superyachts to party with Bono on? Should the guy screwing together a Bugatti Veyron not be able to have a family because some rich person has the ability to hoover up his life's economic output to show off to their friends?
This is the problem with an unequal society. Yes, there needs to be a metering out of resources among people, but this process is now effectively stuffed thanks to the corrupt banking system. Telling middle class people, 'sorry, you can't have a kid because some folks like to have private jets and empty mansions', is getting perilously close to a let them eat cake moment.
It worked with the black plague.
The black plague was essentially a cull.
That's hardly even in the same league as perpetuating the idea of not having kids unless you can afford them (which would essentially mean 1% of society should have kids).
Why do you think they're [the filthy rich] trying to automate *EVERYTHING* ?
I tend to rant.
There should be a mod which is both -1 and +1 titled "depressing, but true".
Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
whatever tiny number of kids were actually born in the future would live in a better world for it.
Probably not... Population decline is a serious problem for society. It causes all sorts of economic and social issues. Workers end up supporting too many retired/non-working people, there is a shortage of workers to do all the jobs that need doing (especially healthcare) and so on.
The world fertility rate is already nearing 2.1, i.e. zero growth/decline except for people living longer or catastrophic events like war. The total population will likely level off around 10-12bn by 2100. Modern farming methods can provide more than enough food for that already, and clean energy sources can provide more than enough power for us all to live well. We still need to deal with pollution and waste, but those are solvable problems and the solutions don't involve huge declines in living standards.
Population decline means either massive declines in quality of life or massive immigration. People don't seem to be very keen on either of those.
const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
...Asian babes who aren't at all interested in Asian men. Guess why
Because they aren't interested in any men?
Ezekiel 23:20
You got that right. I'm 46 and for some reason I've never had so many 20 something women smile and acknowledge my existence. Far more than when I was in my 20s. Probably because I'm more built now, no bald spot, no gray hairs, no wrinkles and no gut. I look like a 30 something with confidence.
When I was young I was super-skinny, awkward, and terribly anxious and shy, especially around women.
No woman back then thought it might be worth it to get to know me. I built up quite a lot of resentment against women. I might just be able to finally live what I should have lived in my 20s.
I feel no great need to date women in their 40s, these are the same women that rejected me and even pushed me away and insulted me.
Women my age are pre-menopausal and either so demanding as to be comical, or so unattractive as to be repulsive. So the hell with them, they had their fun in their 20s while I was crying alone at home.
Nobody said deaths "need to happen". What does need to happen is for people to stop breeding like rabbits.
Dude, didn't you read what he wrote? He can't afford them!
#DeleteFacebook
Cool story bro, but the fact that you keep posting it over and over on tangentially related slashdot articles makes me really think you need some therapy. Let it go.
Obviously I am not going to search through hundreds of Slashdot articles because you are posting as AC but I have personally read this little rant at least three times and I'm not even on this site very often.
Had only child at age 41 here. And let me tell you, a 7-year-old is a handful, especially at my age.
I'm a white male American over 30, so I'm unemployable. No job, no money. No money, no women. Fuck it, dude, I'm gonna watch porn now.
Can't tell if tongue-in-cheek or serious.
If serious, stop making excuses. Your 30's are your most employable years, statistically.
If joking, get off my lawn whippersnapper!
Can't be because it's a common situation for men.
No because you use extremely specific language and we had this exact same exchange last time where you projected all your insecurities onto me. Seriously, talk to someone about your issues.
You got that right. I'm 46 and for some reason I've never had so many 20 something women smile and acknowledge my existence. Far more than when I was in my 20s. Probably because I'm more built now, no bald spot, no gray hairs, no wrinkles and no gut. I look like a 30 something with confidence. When I was young I was super-skinny, awkward, and terribly anxious and shy, especially around women.
No woman back then thought it might be worth it to get to know me. I built up quite a lot of resentment against women. I might just be able to finally live what I should have lived in my 20s.
I feel no great need to date women in their 40s, these are the same women that rejected me and even pushed me away and insulted me.
Women my age are pre-menopausal and either so demanding as to be comical, or so unattractive as to be repulsive. So the hell with them, they had their fun in their 20s while I was crying alone at home.
You were doing something wrong back then. I'm 48, not necessarily an Adonis, but my experience has been that attention fluctuates to the crowd you inhabit. Sometimes it was women my age, sometimes younger, sometimes women. Sometimes it was a lot. Sometimes it was a dry spell. Same with other men.
It is not an absolute thing. It is situational, and it depends mostly on 1) how we carry ourselves, and 2) what social circles we are in, and did I say 3) how we carry ourselves? Yes, I did because that shit is pretty important and eat all other factors for breakfast.
"AI (a not so smart type that can't evolve) based on smart contracts is needed to regulate our world."
An AI much like that is depicted in the EarthCent Ambassador sci-fi series by E. M. Foner starting with:
"Date Night on Union Station (EarthCent Ambassador Book 1)"
https://www.amazon.com/Night-U...
A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
"Then the whole economy collapses anyways because a consumption based economy can't function without consumers who all just died out"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
""The Midas Plague" (originally published in Galaxy in 1954). In a world of cheap energy, robots are overproducing the commodities enjoyed by mankind. The lower-class "poor" must spend their lives in frantic consumption, trying to keep up with the robots' extravagant production, while the upper-class "rich" can live lives of simplicity. Property crime is nonexistent, and the government Ration Board enforces the use of ration stamps to ensure that everyone consumes their quotas. The story deals with Morey Fry, who marries a woman from a higher-class family. Raised in a home with only five rooms she is unused to a life of forced consumption in their mansion of 26 rooms, nine automobiles, and five robots, causing arguments. Trained as an engineer, Morey modifies his robots to enjoy helping to consume his family's quota. He fears punishment when his idea is discovered, but the Ration Boardâ"which has been looking for a way to abolish itselfâ"quickly implements Morey's idea across the world."
A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
Not that I think the trend would be any different, but I'd like to see the average (and median) age of first time fathers. And mothers, for that matter.
As I say on my site (pdfernhout.net): "Eventually, the balance will change in one of several ways. Here are three possibilities. People might engage in a political struggle leading to broad changes and broader equity in global resources (which is what is going on in some parts of Europe right now, as in the past). Or, some compromise might be achieved where lots of make-work is created (through needless wars-of-choice, endless bureaucracy, endless schooling, expanding prisons, or widespread avoidable sickness) that props up the income-through-jobs link (which seems to be the path the USA is going in part). Or poor people might essentially be starved to death or worked to death, and the remaining wealthy people will, among themselves and their robots, essentially produce a new society of the remaining people that is based on a new paradigm of broadly shared wealth (there are aspects of this that have been going on for a long time in the globe). That last option would be ironic because the robots, in combination with the material resources of the solar system, could just as easily produce wealth for quadrillions of people as for millions of people, and a bigger society is probably going to be more interesting. In practice, we seem to be seeing a mix of all three of these approaches. Which one will dominate long-term remains to be seen. Also, there may be other possibilities, of course."
A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
Similar here -- had an only child in my late thirties and I can see how much more energy I would have had for kids when I was younger. Getting less sleep is also a much bigger deal when you are older.
That said, trying to keep up also made me more health conscious (e.g. eating more fruits and vegetables, getting enough vitamin D3, iodine, and B vitamins, etc. see for example Dr. Mark Hyman, Dr. Joel Fuhrman, Dr. Andrew Weil, "The Pleasure Trap" book, etc. ).
My dad had me when he was in his late forties -- so it's a little more obvious to me now why we did not do outdoor sports together... But I did learn a lot from seeing him do things and he helped me with building robots as a kid.
There are jokes above about people developing Rust instead of having kids -- and that is sadly too true in my case where my wife and I worked on free software together (our garden simulator and other software) instead of perhaps having kids sooner. Hard to say in retrospect it was worth it compared to having a kid sooner (especially so my own elderly father could have been a grandparent to my kid).
A better way to put that might be that having a kid generally takes so much resources you are generally less free to do other things (like invest in your "mind children" and/or various social causes). So if you (and especially if both spouses) try to have a career outside of the mainstream (especially in somewhere without a social safety net or good support for the arts and sciences), putting off kids is something you can slide into (and maybe regret). It's even more of a resource demand if you want to homeschool.
See also:
"The Murdering of My Years: Artists and Activists Making Ends Meet"
https://www.amazon.com/Murderi...
"Mickey Z. considers work a 50-year fugue from which some people awaken to wonder what has become of their lives. In The Murdering of My Years, cabbies, waitresses, clerks, telemarketers, and an array of others tell how they balance activism and artistic production with the daily struggle to make ends meet. Contributors' essays are at once absurd and poignant; captivating and strange. Collectively, their reflections challenge the myth of the American work ethic and exhort readers to advocate for themselves in the workplace."
Probably the biggest benefit for those who manage to be creative within the system (e.g. the lucky few academics who get tenure or who through luck or family connections or other reasons get a rare well-paying creative-type job outside of academia) is that they feel financially stable enough to have kids. For most others, especially women, see:
http://philip.greenspun.com/ca...
"What about personal experience? The women that I know who have the IQ, education, and drive to make it as professors at top schools are, by and large, working as professionals and making 2.5-5X what a university professor makes and they do not subject themselves to the risk of being fired. With their extra income, they invest in child care resources and help around the house so that they are able to have kids while continuing to ascend in their careers. The women I know who are university professors, by and large, are unmarried and childless. By the time they get tenure, they are on the verge of infertility."
None of this is black and white since sometimes if you have a kid your own parents or even others in the community might be more amenable to helping you out in various ways. And kids help us grow in many ways -- and also help reconnect us with many important child-like basics in life. This is also such a complex topic no one post like this can do justice to it. It is hard to look back on anything I have written or implemented though and think such things may have as much connection with the future or personal significance or even social significance as having a child. That is something I may know now in my early fift
A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
And become the oldest Old Daddy on Earth.
http://www.motherjones.com/pol...
"As Elizabeth Warren and Amelia Tyagi note in their book, The Two-Income Trap: Why Middle-Class Mothers & Fathers Are Going Broke, having a child is now "the single best predictor" of bankruptcy. "
Yes, our material standards and expectations in the USA are so high that raising a kid is so expensive in the USA especially. And yet we also don't have the community (something individual money can't buy) and easy availability of child-care that hunter/gatherer tribes had (replacing real community with the faux community of compulsory authoritarian schooling). I sometimes reflect on my own suburban neighborhood growing up with many stay-at-home moms all around and so many kids all around on the street (yet loosely supervised by those stay-at-home moms) and think what an impoverished life so many kids these days have in a brave new world shaped by two-income families even with so many toys, bigger houses, "good schools", and the internet. Trying to make things work on just one income in such a situation is then so much harder.
Good luck doing the best you can for your family in a system where family values is too often a meaningless slogan (or actively undermined by economic policy).
Long term, a basic income could help make it possible for more people to have more time and flexibility be better parents and better neighbors without going bankrupt in the process (a more general idea than Warren's specific suggestions in that article).
A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
I was born here and have spent my entire life here. I don't want to leave my home. You may as well call every Brit who can't afford a house in Britain a whiner for not "just" moving to Russia or Turkey where it's cheaper. That's about a comparable distance and relative population sizes and quality of civilization for moving from California to like, North Dakota or Alabama. I'm not choosing to go somewhere expensive, I just don't want to be chased out of my home. If people can't survive without being forced out of their homelands then that's a problem any way you swing it.
-Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
"I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
because it was an investment. Your kids worked for you. As soon as they could too. Child labor has been illegal except in some very specific scenarios for decades. Also you don't 'own' your wife and child like you did/do back when the vast majority lived in abject poverty. They're no longer a possession to be obtained for monetary gain. They're purely an emotional thing. You have kids because you want to. And well (and this is something more taboo to say than every n-word variation you can think of) most men don't. Certainly not while they're young and have years of fun and partying ahead of them...
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
to the contrary though. e.g. that it's fine having children in your 40s (if you discount the fact that you'll be dead before you see grandchildren). The reason women had to have kids young was if they didn't they couldn't survive the trauma of child birth. There's writings from Voltaire's mistress back in the day when she found out she was pregnant and was 'putting her papers' in order because she didn't expect to live. She didn't.
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
Get yourself a GitHub account and make a portfolio of open source tools or contribute to other ones by tackling their bug list or TODO items. Do it. Google it, there are tutorials online in many sites such as coursera, udemy, Khan academy etc. Better yet start making apps. App developers are super in-demand. Whether it's mobile apps for Android and iOS or REST apps for corporate stuff. If you have a decent portfolio you can point to, you will get a job -- doesn't matter if you are white or a gay female disabled person of color. Don't fall into the depression cycle!! If you are going to waste time, do something worthwhile instead. My examples are programming oriented but if you have a different skill, talent, or interest go for that. You got to reach inside yourself and grab the willpower. Then some of the other things you want will reach you.
Whasi whasi. Iger vihopsen maga baga booga!
It's because women would rather work, than stay at home and be a mom & a housewife.
I consider owning any house at all to be luxury relative to the actual status quo, and simultaneously the minimum threshold for being actually not poor by non-relative standards.
I could live quite comfortably on a minimum wage income if it weren't for rent and saving desperately to someday have a chance to stop paying rent.
-Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
"I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
Even if you own land, you don't own it. Try to avoid paying property taxes, and see how long you will remain 'the owner.'
That is all the explanation necessary.
Even if you own land, you don't own it. Try to avoid paying property taxes, and see how long you will remain 'the owner.'
What an idiotic statement. Of course any possession is going to require some investment in maintaining it. You may as well say "even if you own gold, you don't own it. Try to avoid paying for safe storage and see how long you remain the owner"
Man, you really need that seminar!
I consider owning any house ... the minimum threshold for being actually not poor by non-relative standards.
That's still relative. You can own a house in the Philippines for $10k.
Until the machines revolt at least.
Whine in your local California township for them to allow more vertical construction. Good luck.
I once looked at the prices of land in California and it's ungodly expensive unless its someplace deep in the interior. Have you tried this site? It doesn't seem impossible. Some houses cost like $200k.
http://www.landwatch.com/
I've heard of guys who just bought a parcel of land and put a 2nd hand trailer on top until they can afford to build a house.
Tell that to the rest of the world! We're adding 80 million people every year to this planet. Almost every one of them is born - colored and dirt poor. I don't mean American poor, those are rich people in other parts of the world. I mean people that can't even get clean water to drink. They need to stop.
If you own gold that is not in your physical possession, it's likely leveraged and 'owned' by multiple people. If everyone wanted delivery you'd find out pretty quick. Remember Germany wanting its money back from the NY fed and being told 'you can't have it for five years?' And how does paying property taxes 'maintain' the land? That statement is idiotic. If you want to say 'paying property taxes helps maintain roads that get to your land and so on' I could almost agree with you - but in most instances what you pay for taxes if far more than the cost of maintenance of town services.