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Bitcoin Prices Surge Past $5,000 Three Weeks After Passing $4,000 (fortune.com)

Less than three weeks after surging past $4,000, Bitcoin reached $5,000 on Asian exchanges Friday. An anonymous reader quotes Fortune: The idea of Bitcoin breaking the symbolic milestone of $5,000 would have been unthinkable to most people at the start 2017, when the price topped $1,000 for the first time. If you're keeping track, the digital currency is up 500% this year, and nearly 2200% since mid-2015, when it was in the doldrums at around $220. There appears to be no single reason for the recent run-up. Instead, it can likely be explained by the same factors driving this year's cryptocurrency bull run: Publicity-driven speculation; New financial products creating unprecedented liquidity; Trading surges in Asian markets; Institutional investors treating digital currency as a permanent new asset class.
"Magical Internet Money Hits $5k" writes Bitcoin News, adding "so far in 2017 bitcoin has outperformed all government issued tender and a vast majority of stocks and commodities."

While the head of the Bitcoin Foundation has urged people to invest "no more than they can afford," Bitcoin now has a market capitalization of $82.6 billion.

30 of 179 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Woohoo! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Bitcoin is not an investment, it is a gamble.

    Hope is not an investment strategy.

  2. Remember the dot com bubble by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Nasdaq hits 5000, everyone started piling in, and then came the big crash. This is no different because many bought stock in companies that are gone or worthless. It's a sham.

    1. Re:Remember the dot com bubble by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Nasdaq hits 5000, everyone started piling in, and then came the big crash. This is no different

      Actually, this is different. A stock is inherently worth the value of future profits. Once it became clear these companies would never be significantly profitable, it was clear that the stocks were way overvalued. Bitcoins have no inherent value, so any valuation is just as "valid" as any other. People were predicting imminent collapse when Bitcoin passed the "ridiculous" value of $1.

    2. Re:Remember the dot com bubble by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Lol, you're actually using the argument that it's worthless to say it's not worth less!!!

      No inherent value is not the same as valueless. Here are some other things that have little or no inherent value:
      1. Gold
      2. Diamonds
      3. Dollars

  3. Whatever by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's basically one big ponzi scheme, let's wait and see who's left holding the bag. Can always jump in you think the game will be played a while longer, but when it ends, it will end quickly.

    1. Re:Whatever by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's basically one big ponzi scheme

      Bitcoin may go up, or it may go down, but it absolutely is not a Ponzi scheme. If you think it is, then you don't understand Bitcoins, you don't understand what a Ponzi scheme is, or both.

    2. Re:Whatever by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's basically one big ponzi scheme

      Bitcoin may go up, or it may go down, but it absolutely is not a Ponzi scheme. If you think it is, then you don't understand Bitcoins, you don't understand what a Ponzi scheme is, or both.

      From the Wikipedia page you linked to: "a Ponzi scheme is a fraudulent investment operation where the operator generates returns for older investors through revenue paid by new investor". Every dollar that comes out of bitcoin needs to be supplied by a new investor. If new investors stop coming into bitcoin the value drops to zero. Bitcoin is the dictionary definition of a ponzi scheme.

    3. Re:Whatever by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      If Satoshi were ever allowed to cash in his exclusive pre-owned block of coins, then it would be a Ponzi scheme.

      Nonsense. Satoshi's coin stash is public knowledge, recorded in the blockchain. There is absolutely nothing fraudulent about it. Claiming that this makes it a "Ponzi scheme" makes as much sense as saying Google is a Ponzi scheme because Larry and Sergey have founder's stock.

      Charles Ponzi ran a Ponzi scheme. Bernie Madoff ran a Ponzi scheme. They lied, cheated, and defrauded their clients, and went to prison. Satoshi lied to no one, cheated no one, and defrauded no one. Bitcoin may or may not be a good investment, but what you see is what you get. It is an open system, and win or lose, you have no one to blame but yourself.

    4. Re: Whatever by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

      Until that company starts producing a net profit, yes - it is a bit of a Ponzi scheme.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  4. Bitcoin is... by MindPrison · · Score: 4, Interesting

    ...one of those things in life you'll either stand idle by and watch it like it was a show, you'll think "oh why - oh why did I not invest when it was new and cheap", and when it plummets down, you'll sigh a relief and think to yourself - oh, I'm glad I didn't do that, those fools - or you'll be a part of it, getting free money if you pump it out at the right time.

    --
    What this world is coming to - is for you and me to decide.
    1. Re:Bitcoin is... by Dunbal · · Score: 2

      one of those things in life you'll either stand idle by and watch it like it was a show, you'll think "oh why - oh why did I not invest when it was new and cheap"

      Kind of like the stock market. Why didn't I buy Apple before the 7:1 stock split. Why didn't I buy Google. Why didn't I buy Amazon. Why didn't I buy Ali Baba - oh wait, that one I did.

      But it's ok. Life is a lifetime of missed opportunities. And then you die. The point of life is enjoying the opportunities you DID seize.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    2. Re:Bitcoin is... by Jeremi · · Score: 2

      If you know what you're doing, you don't lose period.

      ... and its contrapositive: if you lost, then you didn't know what you were doing.

      Therefore every investor knows what they are doing, right up until the moment when they don't.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
  5. Re:Woohoo! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    All investments are an "educated" gamble

  6. Greater Fool Theory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The belief that there is always someone out there willing to pay more and bug it off you.

    Currently, it's Bitcoin, Tesla, and Amazon flying to new highs for no reason.

    1. Re:Greater Fool Theory by Dunbal · · Score: 2

      The belief that there is always someone out there willing to pay more and bug it off you.

      And there is. Until suddenly there isn't. And least I can short Amazon and Tesla.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    2. Re:Greater Fool Theory by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Interesting

      And least I can short Amazon and Tesla.

      You can also short Bitcoin. Go to Google an type in "How to short bitcoin". Several links will tell you how to do it.

      Before you do that, you might want to understand why Bitcoin is going up. To understand that, try Googling "Currency controls in China".

      China is running huge current account surpluses, and moving money out of the country is severely restricted, yet the value of the RMB relative to the USD has been weak. Why? Where is the money going? Think about that, and then think about whether shorting bitcoins is really such a bright idea.

  7. Keep in mind by Interfacer · · Score: 2

    In the case of bitcoin, it is used to trade with. exchanges like Bittrex trade everything against bitcoin. All money has to funnel through bitcoin either directly or indirectly. All other arguments and benefits aside, as long as bitcoin remains the de facto gold standard backing the entire crypto world, and as long as money goes into the crypto world, the price of bitcoin is not going to go down (volatility aside).

    1. Re:Keep in mind by Baloroth · · Score: 2

      It's not even that, there are fundamental limitations to cryptocurrency that I'm not sure *can* be eliminated. Blockchain size, for example. The design of cryptocurrency is such that to known the amount of coins in a wallet, you need to know the entire blockchain. Currently, the Bitcoin blockchain is 130 GB, for 250 million transactions (incidentally, that's about as many transactions as Visa handles per day). That's already fairly large for consumer miners (it means you can't realistically store the chain on your phone, which means using Bitcoin on mobile requires lightweight clients that undermine the point of Bitcoin in the first place), you increase the transaction rate and the total size will explode into the terabyte region, at which point you start needing large servers to even hold the blockchain and know how much money anyone has. The future of Bitcoin's blockchain requires resources individuals generally don't have access to, which means it will be controlled by large corporations. The only way around that is to use some technique that trims the blockchain, but I'm not sure if that's even technically possible. In any case, with the design of Bitcoin as it is now, it absolutely cannot be used by the common consumer, even if you fix all the problems with transaction rates and fees. It's a clever technical experiment, but it's intrinsically flawed as a currency.

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
  8. People aren't getting rich off of Bitcoin... by ebrandsberg · · Score: 2, Insightful

    They are getting rich by cashing out while others put their money in. Bitcoin is like a stock with no inherent value, but which is pumped in a pump and dump scheme. The only difference is that the people buying into it KNOW that the stock is a pump and dump, but are hoping to get off before everybody else stops piling in. Because it has no inherent value with which to compare it to, nobody can say that it is "overpriced", unlike a pump and dump stock however, so keeps going up. People will say "all currency has value simply because people trust it has value" but most currency is used to actually buy and trade for goods and services. Bitcoin, while it has SOME value for goods and services, is generally traded against other currencies. You get rich because the price of bitcoin goes up, vs. currency, you don't get rich just because you have Bitcoin.

    That said, I expect that it will continue to go up, as people pile on the hype train, but at some point, the train will have a last stop, and everybody left on it at that time will realize that the last stop is just a cliff. Consider this--what happens if someone realizes there is some inherent flaw in the bitcoin blockchain system, and can corrupt it? How much value would be left?

    1. Re:People aren't getting rich off of Bitcoin... by Interfacer · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's inherent value is that it is limited in supply AND used as a gold standard on exchanges to trade all other crypto coins against. The only way bitcoin will suffer lasting drops in price is if the entire crypto world diminishes. Until then, its use for trading is what gives it its increasing value.

      Maybe in the future there will be a different standard. Some exchanges implement trading pairs against ethereum. So it may happen. But until then, bitcoin is safe.

    2. Re:People aren't getting rich off of Bitcoin... by ebrandsberg · · Score: 2

      All you are doing is extending the value to other things that also don't have value and saying that is why it has value. Everything in the crypto-currency markets have the same problem. Just because one pump and dump stock is used to trace between other pump and dump stocks doesn't make any one of them valuable. Until crypto-currencies are actually used to drive a reasonably significant percentage of transactions between consumers and businesses, there won't be any real inherent value. For this to happen, the price needs to stabilize, as right now, the currency value is effectively in a rapidly deflationary economy, where the price of goods is effectively getting smaller. This encourages hoarding of the currency, and prevents the actual economy from working. While the price of bitcoin keeps surging people won't use it for things outside of the crypto-currency markets. It must stabilize, and the entire design of it won't allow that. It will either keep surging or it will fall, stable is not what it is designed for.

    3. Re:People aren't getting rich off of Bitcoin... by Kjella · · Score: 2

      All you are doing is extending the value to other things that also don't have value and saying that is why it has value. Everything in the crypto-currency markets have the same problem. Just because one pump and dump stock is used to trace between other pump and dump stocks doesn't make any one of them valuable.

      That's what *all* currencies are about... are there going to be telltale signs of people retreating to "safe" currencies... there's a reason why in times of trouble people invest in USD, swiss francs (I forget the TLA) and EUR it's because they're massive economies that won't fail without an economic Armageddon. Also precious metals like gold and silver that people assume will "always" be valuable without any real reason except for thousands of years of history.

      While the price of bitcoin keeps surging people won't use it for things outside of the crypto-currency markets. It must stabilize, and the entire design of it won't allow that. It will either keep surging or it will fall, stable is not what it is designed for.

      You're casually dismissing all the actual things bought and sold with bitcoin like they don't exist? Even if it happens to be illegal substances or various other dubious things they're real, as in people who don't give a shit about speculation but who buy bitcoins to buy it. And the dealers sell for "real money" too, as they can sell them to new buyers. They don't care what the going rate is, it's just a proxy. And between speculators and users you have a working currency, whether you deny it or not.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  9. Re:Woohoo! by AmazingRuss · · Score: 2

    Free fuckings for all the latecomers!

  10. The blockchain will survive, perhaps not bitcoin by perpenso · · Score: 2

    Blockchain technology will survive and likely be incredibly important to the future of banking and finance. However that is something completely different from bitcoin. Bitcoin is just one of many users of the technology.

    For Wall Street, the blockchain is the future, bitcoin is just a current speculative instrument. Wall street has played a large role in the current price spike, if their attention moves elsewhere a huge crash is likely.

    Keep in mind that bitcoin has already gone off plan. It is no longer under the control of the masses, ordinary people and their computers, with respect to maintaining the public ledger. The ledger is maintain by an ever more concentrated group of people who can afford the expensive hardware necessary to "mine". The is absolutely contrary to the design and security of bitcoin.

  11. Merchants accepting bitcoin never see a bitcoin by perpenso · · Score: 2

    Merchants who accept bitcoin often never see or touch a bitcoin and are largely unaffected by volatility. They can do their account and pricing in USD, EUR, etc as normal. If a rare individual shows up offering BTC they use a BTC payment processor. This processor converts the USD/EUR price to BTC in real time and provides a BTC price and payments address to pass on to the customer. If coins show up at the address the processor informs the merchant and credits the merchant's account for the USD/EUR originally specified. The processor takes on the risk for the minutes the transaction took to verify. The merchant is out nothing more than a processing fee, much like when they accept credit cards.

  12. 2013: $1,000 2014: $450 2015: $250 by perpenso · · Score: 2

    They've been well over 1000 for years. I've been invested since 2013, where is TFA getting its info from?

    No. BTC was $1,000 in 2013, $450 in 2014 and $250 in 2015. 2013 had an incredible vertical spike like the current spike to $5,000 (which has pulled back to $4,500 by the time this article made it to slashdot), and not surprisingly it popped. Wiser investors than you who don't trust vertical spikes and expect bubbles to pop purchased in 2014 and 2015 and made two to four times as much money as you. Well, assuming they cashed out. If you or they are still holding, you made nothing.

  13. Intrinsic value and so on by cheesyweasel · · Score: 2

    Firstly, let's clear things up.. I consider crypto currency a highly speculative and highly risky thing to invest in. However, I think a lot of people don't fairly it. I was a sceptic at first and still remain one, but I think it needs to be described more accurately. Statement: Bitcoin is a ponzi scheme. Fact: No it's not. It is open and it's not fraudulent. A ponzi scheme by definition is fraud. Statement: Bitcoin has no intrinsic value. Retort: Bitcoin is a brand name. Brand names can have intrinsic value through brand recognition. High liquidity is also another intrinsic value, and so is anonymity (particularly with coins like Monero). It also has intrinsic value to the unbanked. People are willing to pay for things like that.. but how much is the risky speculation part. Statement: Bitcoin will never replace cash because it's too slow and can't scale to tens of thousands of transactions a second like the Visa network can. It also has high fees and takes a long time to confirm. Fact: Very true. This is where the speculating about technologies like Lightning Network (no fees, instant transaction) can have a big influence over the price of a coin, the possibility that the surge in the value of litecoin was tied its LN integration is one example. Statement: Bitcoin will never replace cash or card because there's no reason to change, particularly given its price instability. I don't think grandma will ever pay by bitcoin. Fact: That's why it has been seen in a similar light to trading precious metals. For it to have worldwide adoption, it will require a stable price, the banks or a major currency to collapse, most people to become IT literate and many people to be using it for day to day transactions. In other words.. that's probably a very, very long time away.

  14. Re:The blockchain will survive, perhaps not bitcoi by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

    And that's what is scary; bitcoin and other "block chain" currencies GUARANTEE traceability of every financial transaction you have ever made. Even worse than credit cards do (in that you can get credit cards with different names, addresses, and even anonymously). Bitcoin is an absolute dream for Governments and big business in that they can completely record and reconstruct everything you have ever bought or paid for. That kind of data isn't just a dream for the IRS, but for companies that thrive on your personal information.

    --
    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  15. Re:Woohoo! by Rockoon · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Does anybody know how to short bitcoin?

    Buy dollars.

    --
    "His name was James Damore."
  16. Re:The blockchain will survive, perhaps not bitcoi by jonbryce · · Score: 2

    The problem is that a 500% increase in value in 8 months makes it completely unsuitable as money.

    Would you sign a 2 year phone contract that was denominated in bitcoin when you have no idea what the agreed amount would be worth in 2 years time?