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Ask Slashdot: What Would Happen If a Hyperloop Train Failed?

dryriver writes: I've been following Elon Musk's Hyperloop initiative with great interest. The idea of getting from one city to another at 700 MPH without having to suffer through an airport and all that jazz is revolutionary. I'm glad that somebody is trying to innovate in the area of land travel. My question though: When conventional trains going at much slower speeds derail or crash, the result is often serious injuries or deaths. What happens if something goes wrong with a 700 MPH Hyperloop train/pod or with part of the track? Would a Hyperloop accident at that speed even be survivable?

25 of 736 comments (clear)

  1. Simple by smooth+wombat · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I should think a hose and shovel should do the job nicely.

    --
    We will bankrupt ourselves in the vain search for absolute security. -- Dwight D. Eisenhower
  2. Trains are not strongly attached to the rail... by JcMorin · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Trains derail because of a century-old standard makes them very badly attached to its rail. If you run into a tube, even if the tube cracks a bit, there is a good chance you still continue in the same direction the same way I can run peas in a straw with crack. I don't think catastrophic can't occur. I just think it's inherently more secure to run in a 360 degrees boundary tube than 2 littles track with no grip else than your own weight.

  3. Even More Simple by ranton · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We don't know what will happen because it hasn't been engineered and built yet. Determining how it handles various types of failures will certainly be part of the engineering process. Worst case scenario is everyone dies, which isn't much different than a plane crash. But just like with a plane, plenty of fail safes will be there to allow for managed failures. Most catastrophic failures will probably just cause the train to come to a gradual halt.

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    1. Re:Even More Simple by Kiuas · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Worst case scenario is everyone dies, which isn't much different than a plane crash.

      There's a notable difference to plane crashes though: failures of the tube or even a singular capsule will halt all traffic on the route, potentially for an extended period of time if pressurisation of tube tube fails due to the tube itself being damaged.

      --
      "It is the business of the future to be dangerous" -Alfred North Whitehead
    2. Re:Even More Simple by Ami+Ganguli · · Score: 5, Insightful

      A containment failure doesn't need to implode - it can just leak. Depends on the materials and the details of the design. And if it leaks, then everything slows down and stops.

      I can't imagine they'd build this thing without any sort of safe failure mode.

      --
      It is tempting, if the only tool you have is a hammer, to treat everything as if it were a nail. - Abraham Maslow
    3. Re:Even More Simple by jellomizer · · Score: 1, Insightful

      However they Hyper-loop could have the right safeguards to safely stop. Vs and airplane which after a catastrophic failure will then fall thousands of feet. So if the explosion didn't kill you, the fall will. In a Hyper-loop an implosion would bring in air into the tube, allowing it to slow down. If there was an explosion in the pod, if anyone survived that then they at least won't need to deal with a massive fall.

      And unlike trains, this is self contained so it will be difficult to derail.

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    4. Re:Even More Simple by bws111 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Huh? The pressure difference, if they manage to make a perfect vacuum, is 1 atmosphere, about 15PSI. Pretty sure regular old steel can handle that. Natural gas in pumped through pipelines at about 250PSI, and a leak does not cause the entire pipeline to catastrophically fail.

    5. Re:Even More Simple by Guspaz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If the largest concern in a failure is "people will be delayed" instead of "people will die", I think that's a pretty successful disaster mitigation strategy.

    6. Re:Even More Simple by bws111 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      There is not 'a lot more pressure' outside than inside. IF they managed to create a perfect vacuum, the pressure difference would be about 15PSI. There are tons of materials that can handle that puny pressure difference. For comparison, natural gas is pumped through pipelines at about 250PSI. A leak does not cause a catastophic failure of the pipeline.

    7. Re:Even More Simple by udachny · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Ha ha ha ha, you are so wrong it's super funny! The difference is not between 0PSI and 15PSI, the difference is between moving through 0PSI at 1200KM/hour and moving through 0PSI at 1200KM/hour and all of a sudden hitting a *wall* of 15PSI.

    8. Re:Even More Simple by MightyYar · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Tanker cars are designed to keep the contents inside, not contain a vacuum. The forces are literally the opposite of what was designed. You might as well claim that the pyramids are a poor design because they'd fly apart if turned on their side.

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    9. Re:Even More Simple by jeremyp · · Score: 5, Insightful

      What do you mean by a containment failure? The tube is going to have a near vacuum in it so it has to be built to withstand a pressure difference of only one atmosphere. That's like a submarine diving to 10 metres. I think we can manage that.

      I think it's much more likely that the tube will develop a leak. When a train traveling at 700 mph hits the air, it's going to slow down, probably quite rapidly. I couldn't begin to tell you how that will pan out. It may be that it is not a big deal because there probably won't be a wall of air so much as a pressure gradient.

      --
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    10. Re:Even More Simple by sdinfoserv · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I don't buy it. The average cruising speed of a jet is (c) 525 miles per hour. Plane crashes are not survivable when the plane is going at cruising speed. Survival happens then the plan lands ungracefully at a landing speed, or (c) 150mph. Forced landings ie:, a plane hits something and is forced to turn around, or an in flight failure forces a landing. This is when survival happens.
      Assuming a hyperloop cruses at 700 mph or 25% faster, the notion of survive ability of virtually any crash, regardless of how the system is engineered, is ludicrous

    11. Re:Even More Simple by Immerman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Unless you actually blow up the tube, you won't get a "wall of air" like that. Not with any real pressure behind it anyway. (for comparison Martian winds are routinely several hundred miles per hour, and they hit with the force of a light breeze because there's not enough pressure to give them any momentum.)

      And if you're blowing up the tube, then you'll probably want to wait until a car's far too close to stop and slams into the wreckage at 700mph, so there's not much point in worrying about it. A terrorist attack killing a couple dozen people is trivially easy to pull off and basically impossible to defend against - every corner coffee shop offers a target that size, and is a lot easier to take out.

      For anything less severe, you stop - 700mph= 313m/s. 3 to 10g's of braking is eminently survivable, though some injuries may occur. And at 30-100m/s^2 it only takes 3-10 seconds to stop. You'll still travel a goodly portion of a kilometer in that time, but you're not actually going to get a lot of air through the leak that quickly either. And if you somehow *do* have a huge column of dense air rushing at you, can also open emergency hatches between you and it - you'll get buffeted a bit by the closer air that hasn't had time to build up speed, and the first air column will plow into a long column of slower-moving air, dissipating the energy far more gracefully as fresh jets of pressurized air out the emergency hatches.

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    12. Re:Even More Simple by petes_PoV · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That's like a submarine diving to 10 metres

      A submarine that is hundreds of miles long. One that is subject to seismic movement in up to three directions.

      But there is more to it than that. How about a piece of debris falling off the train and either smashing along the side between it and the tunnel wall. Or hitting the next train that uses the tunnel?

      The big difference between perceived danger in air travel and car travel is one of control. Cars can at least try to avoid accidents. Planes, less so. With a hyperloop that Musk himself says can take 20 miles to get up to speed, won't be able to avoid anything and with its considerable mass, won't be able to stop very fast either.

      With no air to dissipate the heat from the braking system, how that works and getting it to work quickly will be a major challenge.

      I have this bad feeling that the very first time one of these trains has a seriously fatal (multiple victims, mechanical failure) accident, that will be the end of the whole project.

      --
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  4. Ask a Medical Doctor in 1820... by MangoCats · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Ask a Medical Doctor in 1820 what would happen if a steam locomotive crashed... all manner of mayhem, injury and likely death - that's what the experts all said. Falling off a running horse is bad enough, but the speeds that are possible with rail transportation are far worse.

  5. Re:Soft failure possible too by DaHat · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Hatch doors... which would be separate failure points along the way for the pressure difference to be changed.

    Assume perfect seals and no malicious or accidental misuse of even a single hatch door. A tech team is sent out to to assist the passengers in getting out. You can't just open the hatch, you've 14.7 lbs of pressure per square inch trying to keep that door closed, assuming it swings out. Now you've got to pressurize either the entire system (so largely shutting it down), or the particular leg you are on. How long does this take? Now how long does it take to undo these steps?

    Short of a 9/11, when there is an airplane crash, even an entire airport (or state) is shut down due to weather, the rest of the system keeps going.

    This also aside from all of the issues related to thermal expansion & contraction of the materials, making the sealing even more difficult.

  6. Re:Plane crashes are seldom fatal by networkBoy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The mortality rate for national newsworthy and international newsworthy airplane accidents is near 100%, hence the cognitive disconnect.

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  7. Please think, even if just for a moment. by SuperKendall · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Air fills the vacuum at the speed of sound.

    Yes, exactly. Sound is not all that fast (six seconds to travel just a mile), mostly the pod would be so remote from the source of the leak it would have plenty of time to slow down to a reasonable speed before substantial pressure reached it. Also if we are talking about small leak its not like it would INSTANTLY be a huge volume of air in front of the pod, it would be a gradual loss of vacuum and therefore simply not the "wall of air" you are scare-mongering about.

    And of course, the leak would have to occur in front of a moving pod instead of behind it to even be that much of a potential danger...

    A wall of air hitting you at that speed would likely kill you.

    Not at 70MPH instead of 700MPH, you blithering retard.

    Also I've not seen any arguments for why emergency vacuum pumps placed along the tube would help eliminate the danger from common leaks? But you didn't even think that far you were just like YABBER YABBER YABBER FLOOM DOOM!! *throws hands in air and waves frantically like muppet on acid*

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  8. Re:About the same thing that happens with aircraft by Lab+Rat+Jason · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Actually, I suspect the most likely fatal failure is going to be loss of passenger pressurization, resulting in *loss of cargo*. Cabin depressurization of an airplane is bad, but still not as bad as being exposed to total vacuum, and a plane can dive to regain air pressure. When a hyperloop pod looses pressure, there's no place to run.

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  9. Sabotage by emil · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Perhaps a more salient question is sabotage.

    Explosive charges attached to the tube that detonated five seconds before the arrival of a pod would likely kill everyone on board.

    1. Re:Sabotage by Guspaz · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So you've reduced the problem to "no worse than the risks of train tracks, except probably lower fatality count on the hyperloop than derailing a train"

  10. Look at space stations by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The space station's pressure, such as ISS, is kept at sea level (kind of surprised, but...). That means that you have 101 kPa of pressure differential, on THIN ALUMINUM.
    Seriously, all of the space stations have had leaks. Most were caused by micrometeorites that hit them. How many have blown apart because of that? NONE.
    For those that are claiming that hyperloop will blow up, note that the tubes will actually be STRONGER than any of the stations.

    And for those claiming that physicists are saying otherwise, I would suggest that they are NOT working in the field since they are too stupid to know.

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  11. Re:Very bad things. by Baloroth · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Only got through about half the video, but it was pretty much entirely sensationalistic bullcrap. Take the idea that the car is going to tear through the vacuum chamber in case of failure. Why would it? The car is traveling forwards. Even if it got hit with the strongest pressure wave imaginable, it's going to be entirely from the front: none of that is going to translate into sideways motion that would result in significant stress on the tubing from the car. It's literally high school physics. Perhaps worst of all is this idea that a 1 atmosphere pressure wave will automatically "kill everyone in the car". Again, why would it? The car has significant forward momentum, and the momentum imparted by the pressure wave will be relatively tiny compared to that. People inside the car would feel a jolt, sure, but not a blast wave. We know the car can withstand 1 atmosphere of pressure, because it's a pressurized vehicle inside a vacuum: 1 atmosphere of stress is it's normal operating condition. And that's worst case scenario: in practice any holes will be much smaller than the diameter of the tube, so the inrush of air will be gentle breeze, not a pressure wave.

    As for people suffocating in the tubes after a failure, that's even dumber. Failure almost always means loss of vacuum, and in cases where it doesn't the system can be repressurized while the emergency is dealt with. The only way people would suffocate is a failure in the vehicle itself resulting in that depressurizing, and there are ways around that. I will agree the idea of propelling the system with a turbine is a little silly, I can't see that being a practical final design.

    --
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  12. Re:Hyperloop is safer as a function of its speed by sexconker · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Engineers tend to think statistically -- which is a good thing. But it can produce judgments which are contrary to common intuition. That's because intuition is, from an engineering standpoint, crap.

    Take automobiles. Three thousand Americans die annually in cars -- that's like a 9/11 attack every year. Plus car accidents produce a bountiful annual crop of disfigurations and crippling injuries. Yet nobody is concerned about getting in a car. Planes on the other hand are much safer. Now as an engineer trained to use numbers as your yardstick, the natural way of thinking is this: "Since cars are acceptably safe to the public, if I can get the deaths/mile figures for airplanes down to the same level my job is done." Except that plane failures are often spectacularly horrific. People are naturally terrified of them. It's common sense to be afraid of something that moves at hundreds of mile per hour thousands of feet in the air.

    So people demand very high levels of safety for aviation, which drives the cost of air travel up. OK, then; that means rationally they should also want the same deal for automobiles, which are by every measure much more dangerous. Except no, every time someone proposes making safety improvements people resist the cost, even though on a dollar per life saved basis the make much more sense than trying to make airliners even safer.

    Conclusion: the natural human emotional response to risk and cost is hopelessly borked.

    Now the Hyperloop is a novel form of transportation, and our bias against novelty when it comes to fear means that people will demand it be designed to be much safer than air travel even. And by design it probably is. But given the physical nature of the thing, lurking out on the tail end of the probability curve there are no doubt potential events of spectacular carnage. But they are so unlikely that given the number of people who are expected to ride the system it makes no sense.

    I don't know specifically what those scenarios are; I'm not a Hyperloop engineer. But if they do exist it may be that I'm literally better off knowing.

    It has nothing to do with statistics or common sense.

    It has to do with control. Getting into a car meaning you or the person you trust to drive you has a great deal of control over the situation, from driving to knowing the reliability of the vehicle to avoiding external threats from other idiots on the road. Getting into the plane means you have no control and have to trust a stranger for everything.