Slashdot Mirror
Every Other Summer Will Shatter Heat Records Within a Decade (vice.com)
An anonymous reader quotes a report from Motherboard: Think of the stickiest, record-hot summer you've ever experienced, whether you're 30 or 60 years old. In 10 years or less, that miserable summer will happen every second year across most of the U.S. and Canada, the Mediterranean, and much of Asia, according to a study to be published in the open access journal Earth's Future. By the 2030s, every second summer over almost all of the entire Northern hemisphere will be hotter than any record-setting hot summer of the past 40 years, the study found. By 2050, virtually every summer will be hotter than anything we've experienced to date. Record hot summers are now 70 times more likely than they were in the past 40 years over the entire Northern hemisphere, the peer-reviewed study found. What does all this mean? Heat alerts will be increasing, cities will have to employ aggressive cooling strategies most summers, and in places like South Asia, it will be too dangerous to work outside, Francis Zwiers, director of the Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium at Canada's University of Victoria, said.
and it didn't happen. Crying wolf is probably the easiest way to lose all credibility.
The predictions are theories.
And indeed bad predictions, as the models are, as I many times already have pointed out, calibrated on existing data, while trying to 'predict' not-yet-existing data. Every mathematician with a basic understanding of modeling can tell you that.
As with stock markets: "Results from the past are no guarantee of results in the future."
"Trump!!", the new Godwin.
That's a lemming argument.
"Most scientists agree on anthropogenic global warming, so it must be true."
"Trump!!", the new Godwin.
Somehow, NONE of these climate apocalypse predictions ever come true, and I'd bet real money that this one will fail worse than most of them do.
Duplicate AGW in my kitchen?
You're so naive and ignorant about climate it's hard to know where to start on the difference in complexity between the trivial kitchen jar nonsense you're babbling about and the wildly complex events occurring across our entire planet as it travels through space.
Where to begin? It's hopeless. I give up.
Not really. Natural processes remove methane from the atmosphere over time, while the same is not true for CO2.
The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!