Every Other Summer Will Shatter Heat Records Within a Decade (vice.com)
An anonymous reader quotes a report from Motherboard: Think of the stickiest, record-hot summer you've ever experienced, whether you're 30 or 60 years old. In 10 years or less, that miserable summer will happen every second year across most of the U.S. and Canada, the Mediterranean, and much of Asia, according to a study to be published in the open access journal Earth's Future. By the 2030s, every second summer over almost all of the entire Northern hemisphere will be hotter than any record-setting hot summer of the past 40 years, the study found. By 2050, virtually every summer will be hotter than anything we've experienced to date. Record hot summers are now 70 times more likely than they were in the past 40 years over the entire Northern hemisphere, the peer-reviewed study found. What does all this mean? Heat alerts will be increasing, cities will have to employ aggressive cooling strategies most summers, and in places like South Asia, it will be too dangerous to work outside, Francis Zwiers, director of the Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium at Canada's University of Victoria, said.
Let's have a parade!
and it didn't happen. Crying wolf is probably the easiest way to lose all credibility.
So what you are saying is that the temperature history will be adjusted downward every other year instead of waiting for a ten year decline to adjust the temperautre history?
Those are testable predictions.
If we do *not* get the results predicted by the study above, would that invalidate the theory of global warming?
If not, what testable predictions does the global warming theory make, whose failure *would* invalidate the theory?
I'm having a hard time getting exited given the number of predictions that have not proven accurate.
Methane has a grater impact on greenhouse effect than CO2, and ice-trapped methane will be released because of ocean warming, thus increasing greenhouse effect and climate warming again.
The best scenario would be to avoid ocean warming so that methane stays trapped, but if it is to be released, perhaps it is better to burn it.
George Soros funded and covered by VICE ? BLAHAHAHAHAHAH
Skorchio.
Requiem for the American Dream
Gotta love it! Warmer winters? Gotta love it!
Love me some warm weather. Cold sucks!
If the world were to warm up a couple of degrees black people would be better able to deal with the warmer climate and would out produce the whites living in Minnisota. The fact is that white liberals are terrified of blacks taking over their neighborhoods in Wisconsin and Minnisota. That is why white liberals living in those states are so terrified of global warming. Well I hate to break it to you global warming is coming to a neighborhood near you. You can't stop it. Your days of white privilege and cold weather are numbered.
Let's see how long before they have to "adjust" it.
Recording increasing temperatures in heat islands is nothing new. What about average temperatures?
Actually the melting icecap is soaking up the heat and cool breezes are meandering south, keeping us cool. Once the icecaps are gone, the conditions for the next ice age will be ideal, with all that fresh source of precipitation, so, lots of snow in the summer.
But I think they're going to struggle with this one.
https://www.reddit.com/r/datai...
The pool ~will~ be worth it after all. Good to know.
Bigger Buds! There's really just as much positive as negative to global warming. Some people say the glass is half empty and some say it's half full. Some people just like to complain.
At first glance I thought it was something about Will Shatner.
But I'm not gonna become a canadian, dammit!!!!
Go to YouTube and watch the WeatherWar101 channel. All of the weather is engineered. Any weather problems are engineered. Learn how wicked and evil your government really is.
Instead of "I believe this person or set of data", what is your experience?
I live in the southeast part of the San Francisco Bay area. Last summer (a few months ago), it got up to 108 degrees one day. It's never been that hot since I moved here in 1989. Also last summer we had more hot days that usual.
I don't know if the temperatures have been gradually increasing here, but last summer was a record breaker for me.
What's everyone else's experience?
with the new DE Gavita or Agrolux systems or FLuence/BC Blondes LED you don't need sunlight to get crazy looking caked weed.
by TheSpoom (715771) Uncaring Linux user here. I have nothing to add to this but please continue. *munches popcorn*
The MidAtlantic of USA has had colder and wetter summers for the last decade compared to the 1990s. The week I graduated high school in 1994 in south east PA, we hit a heat wave of 5 days of 99F, and haven't hit it in 3 decades. We had maybe 3 days total above 88F this summer, kind of made me regret getting a house with an in ground pool we don't use.
The problem with "averages" is that it statistically hides facts. Who cares that the deserts are getting hotter when the highest populated corridor in the USA (Washington DC to Philadelphia to New York) is getting colder summers and even colder winters?
Jane, you ignorant slut!
ACs are rated in BTU. The more BTU the more cooling. "...cool about 30-40" is meaningless. Just like the meat freezer in my garage stays 0 even if the garage is 100, the home too can be keep cooled easily BY NOT LETTING THE HEAT IN!
No need for overly-large capacity systems when the envelope being conditioned is built properly, ducted prooperly, and the system sized properly. This is not rocket science. Ignorant sluts like you Jane are the problem.
Somehow, NONE of these climate apocalypse predictions ever come true, and I'd bet real money that this one will fail worse than most of them do.
Anyone who thinks a model or forecast is some kind of authority needs to study Nassim Taleb. Taleb has obliterated vast swaths of pseudo-academia and their consistently-flawed prediction models.
Go to Hell, Ivan
And this is wrong. The conclusion is that the CURRENT record summer will become the norm within 20 years. It does not mean that within 20 years, every other summer will become hotter than the last, but rather that there is 50% chance that temperatures will reach the current record of the last 40 years or so. The likelihood that every other summer would break records is obviously very low.
Then promise to shut the fuck up about climate change.
AGW assumes that Earth's climate is primarily feedback driven.
The feedbacks make perfect sense. Higher temperature causes water to evaporate, that water vapor acts as a greenhouse gas. Ice melts, there is less albedo to reflect sunlight back into space...
What doesn't make sense, and what has never made sense, is why Earth's climate didn't hit a "tipping point" at some point in the past, that sent the climate in one direction or the other, permanently.
How would a massive impact from a space rock, or the collision/separation of the continents, or even a supervolcanic eruption not cause a "runaway" feedback effect?
The only reasonable conclusion, so far as I can tell, is that Earth's climate is primarily homeostatic.
1btu=1055J
1btu(per hour)= 0.2931watts=1055J/3600sec
I think Th on a home ac is around 350, and as long as it's cooler than that outside it will blow 285 inside. Efficiency goes down and more energy is required as Th->Tamb
Will any one of these people making crap predictions be held accountable for being the con artists they are?
She said it would be every night.
That's like saying a meter is the same as an inch. They both measure the same thing, but they don't measure the same quantity of the same thing. there's 3.41BTU/hr to a watt.
matths. LEARN IT.
I have seen predictions that in the second half of the century the grain belt will move from USA and Europe to Canada and Russia. That could make things very interesting as countries try to gain food security.
Here let me finish this article for you:
I think we should take those 50% failed sensors and just plug in data that supports our crazy theory of global warming. Then we can sell Carbon Credits through some crazy Bagman who gets trillions with a T and can demand you shut down your business so China which has 0 env protections get the jobs. Cause we love Communists that murdered 160+ Million people, they give us lots of babies now after we gave them autism with our vaccines.
Bring it on. Canada had cold wet summers recently. Could use some more heat.
That's it. my dream will be implemented!
Right in the shredder where it belongs..
Than i seen the link was to vice.com all credibility ruined.
...they forgot about La Nina. We have only had record heat due to an extended El Nino, La Nina is coming and will create "record freezing" temperatures around the world, continuing the notion of global "warming" to be false. Until Florida is under water no one is going to believe anything "climatologists" have to say.
Theres a single scaler conversion factor. It literally IS the same thing.
Same as e=mc^2 proved light and mass ARE energy.
Yes, and as long as you don't put bodies into the environment that generate heat (like, say, human bodies while alive), you can keep that room at that temperature provided insulation is perfect.
Then again, IF insulation is perfect AND you put bodies producing heat into the environment... well, the second law of thermodynamics tells me that at some point the room will have approximately 37 degrees Celsius.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
That's why they call them "record temperatures." Records happen in the context of "just normal weather." Consider the context:
Looking at the climate record for San Francisco for last summer, we can see that you had a couple of short-duration extreme outlying temperature events. We can also see from the records shown on the graph that these are not without precedent on other days in years past.
Record breaking days happen; you can see that particular event clearly, but you can also see that it was a significant outlier. It would be absurd to take it as indication of a trend — it's not in line with the temperatures anywhere around it.
None of this screams "climate change"; it's just weather. None of it screams "no climate change", either. Same reason. If you want to consider climate, you must go with large amounts of aggregate data.
I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
Every Other Summer Will Shatter Heat Records Within a Decade
So, what about the summers in between every other summer? Will they shatter records, too, or just average?
Here's to the new NorCa
Sea-Tac Airport just had another record year for traffic. Yeah Seattle, can you believe it? Ground-zero for the climate-change moral panic. Traffic has gotten expoentially worse too. But wait, that doesnt sound right? No, wait, oh thats right, climate-change is caused poor whites. You know, scary southern conservatives that hunt and live in trailers and use words like skeeters. As in, oh noes, the skeeters are a bitin. Yeah, never mind. Affluent ex-suburban white folks use magic pixie dust as energy while those deplorable Trump Trolls continue using the polluting stuff. Man they make me so mad. So so maaaaad. Why cant they be as concerned about the environment as we are? Just because they use, on average, half the energy that we do is not reason that they shouldnt be blamed. Its the talk that matters. The TALK. Everyone knows that! Its not how much you pollute, its which political side your on, and we are on the side of the high-polluting elites who are soooooooo worried about climite change! Wake up working-class white people! Our coastal villas are in big trouble, I mean climate change effects us all equally and were just worried about you! Thats why we call you names, cause we love and care about you so much and even though we deeply hate your over-populating children, we desperately, DESPERATELY care about how comfortable they are going to be in 60 years weather-wise. We dont want it to be too hot for them. We love them and we love you. We love everyone, except racists and homophobes and transgenderphobes and disabledphobes and xenophobes and well pretty much anyone that isnt us, so I guess we do hate you after all. So yeah, fuck off and stop polluting because climate change is the crisis of our time. I love me. No really I do. I love me soooo much. My mom and dad said that I was special and they still say it all the time. Its even included in a little note on the monthly check they send ad my mom draws little hearts for that extra special touch. See they knew that they could only birth a messiah after all they are them, and sure enough they did. So Im just going to moral panic my ass off to maintain my position in the established social order and remember I love black people and gay people and most of all trans people because they must be good people to be gender confused and you must be bad to be a cis, oh my how uncool is it to be a cis, but hey thats you lame-o, and stop using up my world and bringing your tucky kds into into it because my doggie loves me and he needs the space, oh yes I love dogs more than people because my dog loves me unquestionally and unconditionally while I have to earn it with humans and I dont like to make effort I just like to get credit so yeah CLIMATE CHANGE IS THE CRISIS OF OUR TIME!
In related news, the sky is falling.
And yet, the average temperature is only scheduled to increase by 4C.
Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
The potential perception problem is that there are multiple models that make multiple predictions. The predictions range from very minor changes to great changes.
Those in the future with ill will can pick out the models that got it wrong as "evidence" the science is bogus. Those in the know see through such biased cherry-picking, but the general public wont.
Table-ized A.I.
Are we talking about the actual temperature, or the adjusted temperatures? Because NOAA has been fudging the numbers for years to fit with their pre-conceived AGW theory, despite all the evidence that its not happening.
https://science.house.gov/sites/republicans.science.house.gov/files/documents/NOAA%20Karl%20Study%20One-Pager.pdf
And let's not forget the famously fake "hockey stick" graph, courtesy of the known liar Michael Mann and his "nature trick". Gotta hide the decline.
Summers haven't been any worse since I was a kid a few decades ago. The global temperature was on hiatus for 16 years, at least until NOAA fudges the data up to fit the narrative that its getting "hotter".
No matter how much these frauds try to claim there is warming, all the models have been wrong, and their manipulation becomes more evident every day. I'm not saying we shouldn't clean the environment and treat the planet better, but AGW is a scam mostly for wealth redistribution from the US to the democrat liars and the rest of the world.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WMqc7PCJ-nc for fun
What fake science is this based off of? This sounds like more of the âoePay us carbon taxes to save the planet!!!!â
No, itâ(TM)s not getting warmer. No, the polar icecaps are not melting. No, the sea level isnâ(TM)t rising. Yes, you are idiots for buying into this nonsense.
but a bunch of retards insisted on voting for probably the most self-delusional, entitled and corrupt person to ever run for the office --- and then threw temper tantrums for a year after she lost. They're so delusional that they still cannot face reality and perhaps they will never recover.
What about the winters? Where are they on that front? Why only mention one of four seasons? Why the focus directly on hottest summers? Why not mention some other parameters of the seasons during the periods in question? After all of the basics there, maybe I would ask the following: What is in this /. "article" that would actually pique my interest to make me do a follow-up and in-depth investigation into it to learn more?
These are simpleton questions that anyone could posit to query the narrative of this article as presented on /. or any other venue. In our case, I see no reason to follow up except morbid curiosity thanks to the massively overblown climate science debate and the expectation that any reader would have given the focus on only one facet of the issue as presented here on /.
Note: I did not follow up on the info, that is not the point here. The point is that presenting partisan political points, and that IS what this climate debate has become, regardless of where the truth stands, has no more value than click-bait.
Summary: If you are going to present what a great many people see as click-bait, you need to put some "meat" in the article beyond the minimal necessary to draw some clicks or you begin the inevitable descent into tabloidism.
Finally, why is the formatting I use while formulating my post not retained? All of the line breaks are discarded and everything is run together on my screen during preview.
bla bla bla bla stfu