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Number of Births in Japan To Hit Record Low in 2017 (reuters.com)

An anonymous reader shares a report: The number of births in Japan this year has fallen to is lowest since records began more than a century ago with about 941,000 new babies, the health ministry said on Friday, proof if any were needed that it faces an ageing and shrinking population. The number of births will be about 4 percent lower than last year and the lowest since the government started compiling data in 1899, the ministry said.

133 comments

  1. Bring on the Bbirths by thegarbz · · Score: 3, Funny

    Proof that slashdot editors are not robots, otherwise they wouldn't make such silly mistakes.

    1. Re:Bring on the Bbirths by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 1

      Maybe they're b-b-b-b-irths, in a cold delivery room :)

    2. Re:Bring on the Bbirths by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      And maybe we could buy p-p-p-powerbooks for the babies.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    3. Re:Bring on the Bbirths by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1
      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
  2. So? by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why is overpopulation a laudable thing? The Japanese home islands are already highly populated -- no need to increase the population. Stabilizing at early-1900s levels would be much more sustainable.

    1. Re:So? by XXongo · · Score: 1
      In the long term you'll want to hit replacement rate, neither growing nor shrinking. Looks like Japan has slightly overshot and is coming back down slightly.

      https://countrydigest.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/Population-of-Japan-chart.gif

    2. Re:So? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The more people competing with each other for finite resources, the less those in charge have to pay them for their labor in exchange.

    3. Re:So? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Where will you put the climate change rapefugees, kike?

    4. Re:So? by vux984 · · Score: 1

      Its not a laudable thing, and lowering the population is not a bad idea. But it needs to be done very gradually to avoid some very difficult transition periods.

      Japan is facing some of those difficult transitions as a result of its population trends.

    5. Re:So? by diesalesmandie · · Score: 1

      Why is overpopulation a laudable thing?

      The Japanese home islands are already highly populated -- no need to increase the population. Stabilizing at early-1900s levels would be much more sustainable.

      Over population isn't their biggest problem; the population pyramid no longer looks like a pyramid when compared to 1950:

      https://www.google.fi/search?q...

      If it continues to go in this direction, Japan could be facing serious problems (if they aren't already), unless they implement something like planned immigration, for example. Germany has a similar problem with their population pyramid, but the difference is Germany's rate of net migration per head of the population is over 5.5 times that of Japan's:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      And Japan's population is almost 60% larger than Germany's; It's not looking good for them at all.

      --
      This is my sig, there are many like it but this one is mine
    6. Re:So? by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 1

      So they'll have more doctors and nurses for a few decades. And increased automation will help take care of the elderly.

      Print money to get over the "hump" and move on -- no mass immigration needed.

    7. Re:So? by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      Not coming back down "slightly". This is the start of a dramatic population decline, essentially the 20th Century population rise in reverse, bringing their population back down to 1900 levels in 2100. A little after 2100 the population of Japan with be only 1/3 of its peak of 2005: 40 million instead of 120 million.

      To change this the fertility rate will need to increase. It is currently 1.46, it needs to climb to 2.1 or so, almost 50% higher, to stabilize the population. Even if they can develop policies to turn this around, these things change slowly (so far it is not changing at all). They are committed to the first 50 years of the decline, at least.

      On the bright side, meeting carbon emission reduction goals will be much easier!

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    8. Re:So? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And how do you suggest should they stabilize life expectancy at early-1900s levels?

  3. Bukkake! by HornWumpus · · Score: 4, Funny

    Stop it, your kids are confused. Never going to knock up their GFs/wives that way.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    1. Re:Bukkake! by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

      Introduce mandatory creampie pr0n in Japan.

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    2. Re:Bukkake! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From what I've seen, this is pretty much already the case.

    3. Re:Bukkake! by _merlin · · Score: 1

      Yeah, over the last couple of decades, Japanese porn has transitioned. Around 2000, pretty much all Japanese porn had condoms and ejaculation on chest or face. Now most of it's done without condoms with ejaculation in vagina more often than not ("nakadashi").

  4. Great news by Luke · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Now the rest of the world needs to follow suit.

    1. Re:Great news by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Yep, because if there's anything better than one screwed economy, it's ALL screwed economies!

      Population decline needs to happen very gradually as the result of baby boomers dying, and not before. After that bubble of people have stopped requiring resources we can discuss gradual decline. Otherwise countries will be properly screwed.

    2. Re:Great news by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      It's a huge problem for Japan. As the population becomes top heavy the tax base and care staff just are not there. They have the high costs of elderly care, and the high costs of raising children, resulting in fewer children and creating a feedback loop.

      They need to get to at least a stable population.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:Great news by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      It's a little late to be thinking about it, isn't it?

      Wars and epidemics aside, the size of your workforce is fairly predictable roughly twenty years in advance.

      The bandaid solution is immigration. Why aren't they doing that?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    4. Re:Great news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      AmiMoJo is SO TRIGGERED right now you guys...

  5. bbirths another bitcon story? by kiviQr · · Score: 1

    bbirths = bitcon births?

  6. Even worse for some European countries... by bogaboga · · Score: 4, Interesting

    For these countries, they will have to rely on immigration which some of them are already doing.

    I guess that in about 50 years, these countries' demographic makeup in terms of race will be very different.

    1. Re:Even worse for some European countries... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bringing in immigrants as a solution in order to cancel out low birth rates is such a myth unless it is very high skilled people that will contribute a lots in taxes. Most immigrants end up costing the government more a lot more in services than they ever pay in taxes.

    2. Re:Even worse for some European countries... by doom · · Score: 1

      Most immigrants end up costing the government more a lot more in services than they ever pay in taxes.

      Citation needed.

      (You bleeding xenophobic idiot.)

    3. Re:Even worse for some European countries... by cold+fjord · · Score: 1

      Citation provided.

      The Total Fiscal Cost Of Illegal Immigration Is A Staggering $135 Billion, Report Says

      Illegal immigrants and their children eat up $135 billion in public funds every year, according to a report that examines the fiscal impact of unauthorized immigration in the U.S.

      The study, released Wednesday by the Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR), is one of the most comprehensive analyses of the costs of illegal immigration to date. It concludes that illegal immigration is a “staggering and crippling” drain on the public treasury.

      Governments at the federal, state and local levels spent a total of $134.86 billion on illegal aliens in 2016, according to FAIR estimates.

      At the same time, tax contributions by illegal immigrants did not come close to offsetting expenditures. Governments at all levels collected just $18.97 billion in taxes from illegal aliens, meaning that illegal immigration was responsible for a net fiscal drain of $115.89 billion last year

      Whether he is a "xenophobe" (unlikely) is an open question. On the other had you are certainly uninformed.

      --
      much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot - George Orwell
    4. Re:Even worse for some European countries... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh sorry, cold fjord, that is not supporting the claim above:

      Most immigrants end up costing the government more a lot more in services than they ever pay in taxes.

      Note the immigrants part does not mention legality or not, therefore, you'd have to factor in both. Except your report does not even attempt to reflect all immigration, so it is not even necessary to point out the flaws in it, because well, you neglected to address the issue of immigration in the entirety at all.

      Ooops! Your bad there. You needed to consider net immigration.

      Sorry, but those numbers work out differently regardless.

    5. Re:Even worse for some European countries... by cold+fjord · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but in sum it appears to be true, ... at least under the immigration policies of the recent past.

      Mass immigration costs government $296 billion a year, depresses wages

      The report also concludes that new arrivals aren’t assimilating as well as past waves of immigrants. They struggle to learn English and to increase their wages at the rates of immigrants just a few decades ago.

      Written in heavily caveated academic language, the report tested a number of models of economic and fiscal policy based on different assumptions about immigration. That meant the scholars came up with ranges of outcomes rather than firm answers.

      But those ranges were sometimes conclusive, particularly when it came to government finances. The researchers tested eight scenarios, and in each of them taxpayers came out worse.

      The best-case scenario put the federal government ahead but states behind, for a total loss of $43 billion in 2013. The worst-case scenario showed federal, state and local governments losing $296 billion in 2013. That would be equivalent to about 4 percent of total government spending that year

      Maybe it will change in the future with policy changes and a border wall.

      --
      much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot - George Orwell
    6. Re:Even worse for some European countries... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry, but in sum it appears to be true, ... at least under the immigration policies of the recent past.

      Nope. You're just reciting the same flawed arguments from the same flawed sources, that's either ignorance, or apparently you didn't think anybody noticed that you were building on a broken base. But they did back when it was first published.

      Sorry, but the Moonies are not helping you here, they get lost in their own agenda and tend to produce lies.

      Besides, recent past?

      I'm sorry, but your criteria is again:

      Most immigrants end up costing the government more a lot more in services than they ever pay in taxes.

      Sorry, but you have to consider all of the living immigrants, and I believe it's somewhere around 20 million people in total that you'd have to cover, and that's not even raising the question of what a "Lot more" happens to be.

  7. Exactly. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    There's like 38 million people in Tokyo. That is freaking insane. Anyway the "old person problem" will take care of itself with natural deaths.

    1. Re: Exactly. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only Japan being at the top in life expectancy may be a bit troublesome.

      https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_life_expectancy

    2. Re: Exactly. by AutodidactLabrat · · Score: 1

      So the problem is lack of shared profits rather than lack of laborers?

    3. Re: Exactly. by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Only Japan being at the top in life expectancy may be a bit troublesome.

      An obvious solution would be to raise the retirement age. Most Japanese retire at 60, when they qualify for public pensions (social security). To keep the system solvent, the retirement/pension age needs to go up to at least 68.

      A big problem in Japan is that most promotions are based on seniority rather than competence, so the system is clogged up with old dolts that have no idea how to manage or lead. So they have an absurdly low retirement system to flush out the incompetents. Raising the retirement system will require reforming the seniority system, which will be culturally difficult.

    4. Re: Exactly. by Teckla · · Score: 1

      To keep the system solvent, the retirement/pension age needs to go up to at least 68.

      This may be true from an economic point of view, but different people age differently, and different jobs cause people to age differently.

      68 is an extremely high retirement age for a substantial percentage of the population, and dare I say it, downright unfair to a lot of people.

      I feel like the world economy is slowly moving toward "you work until you drop dead". I think that's unfortunate.

    5. Re: Exactly. by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      68 is an extremely high retirement age

      Indeed it is, but if it is any lower the math doesn't work. The longer Japan waits, the worse it will be. My prediction is that it will get a lot worse, since Japan has a very strong cultural preference for inaction, even when delay is obviously foolish.

      I feel like the world economy is slowly moving toward "you work until you drop dead". I think that's unfortunate.

      Two solutions:
      1. Have more babies.
      2. Build more robots.

    6. Re:Exactly. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are 13.5 million people in tokyo NOT 38. I understand its dense, but those are silly numbers

    7. Re: Exactly. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem is banking. Period.

      No society needs "growth". Bankers need growth.

    8. Re: Exactly. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's no surprise really that Japan's population peaked in the late 80's when the real estate bubble popped. The banks refused to write down losses and they poisoned their nation. Decades of deflation followed. The bankers did this. As usual.

    9. Re: Exactly. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually that's kind of stupid, most statistics that only measure the actual city corporate limits are quite stupid too because most of the surrounding population effectively commutes daily bumping up the populations, in reality. He was correct, the metropolitan area of Tokyo has just under 38 million people.
      https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_metropolitan_areas_by_population

      When I lived in Yokohama I would have been excluded from the city limits stats too but I went to Tokyo daily much like everyone else from Yokohama, Saitama, etc.

  8. A lot of SOs by SuperKendall · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The biggest reasons why this is a real issue are:

    1) This rate is not stabilizing anything - it's well below replacement rate, which means population is shrinking.

    2) Short term a shrinking population means fewer workers to pay into government funds to help the elderly,

    3) Fewer elderly with children mean more reliance on the state in old age.

    4) Fewer people mean shops have fewer customers, demand for housing drops, construction starts waning, economy goes down.

    5) Long term, what happens when a country cannot sustain a population? Eventually it becomes a totally different nation as others will eventually take it over. I guess if you don't care about the preservation of Japanese culture that's not a problem.

    If they were going to a sustainable level that would be one thing, but like I said what is happening is not sustainable without some really bad consequences.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:A lot of SOs by suutar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's not enough to stabilize at current levels, but it can still stabilize at a lower number, once the elderly have passed on. The time between now and then will still be unpleasant, for all the reasons you mention, but it's not necessarily inevitable doom.

    2. Re:A lot of SOs by ctilsie242 · · Score: 1, Interesting

      A shrinking population is bad because it means fewer people handling the tax burden, fewer people for businesses to sell to, fewer people who know the nation's history and character (especially for Japan which is unique in the world in a lot of respects.)

      I can see why Japan is leery of opening the gates to immigrants. They want to remain Japan and not have some other culture, be it American, European, Chinese, Korean, or another not overrun what exists now.

      So, what can Japan do? I've wondered about something like the French Foreign Legion, where it would be a military service that someone can serve in, and after a number of years (5-8, perhaps) be granted Japanese citizenship. This may be anathema, because Japanese is not just a nationality but a race, but it may be the best way to preserve their culture.

    3. Re:A lot of SOs by Artem+S.+Tashkinov · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If they were going to a sustainable level that would be one thing, but like I said what is happening is not sustainable without some really bad consequences.

      Your post is the quintessence of modern totally broken global economy: it's sustainable only if population keeps growing indefinitely. This is not what we should strive for. This is not what this planet can provide for us. This is not what it can provide even for the 7 billion of people who already inhabit it. We've already past the point of sustainability even if the population growth stops completely - forests keep shrinking, many ecosystems are dying, we trim the pool of available fruits and vegetables which could lead to massive food crises (universally loved bananas are on the verge of extinction), we observe catastrophic levels of global warming, there's massive population migrations and wars related to it.

      The Earth doesn't need 7 billion people. It'd be better off with less than 5 if we are to preserve this planet and our species.

      We must readjust and though the cost will be enormous, the benefits will be indisputable.

    4. Re:A lot of SOs by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 1

      My point is that an ecaaaahhhhhnamy should be based on sustainability, not on constant growth (another word for tumor) and consumption (another word for TB). We can't multiply like hamsters forever.

    5. Re:A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's a relatively small island with relatively few natural resources. They will be far better off with a lower population.

      If they can survive the short term effects, there won't be any long term bad consequences.

    6. Re:A lot of SOs by sgt+scrub · · Score: 4, Insightful

      1) This rate is not stabilizing anything - it's well below replacement rate, which means population is shrinking.

      Not all jobs need to be replaced. If nobody makes trash, nobody is needed to take out the trash.

      2) Short term a shrinking population means fewer workers to pay into government funds to help the elderly

      The aging people payed government funds per capita at expected higher numbers. There is now fewer people. If the government doesn't have the money to support the fewer people then they are screwing the people.

      3) Fewer elderly with children mean more reliance on the state in old age.

      Fewer means less. Fewer people need less assistance.

      4) Fewer people mean shops have fewer customers, demand for housing drops, construction starts waning, economy goes down.

      Economy is related to population, "per capita". You can't have a down economy if it is reduced at the rate of population decline.

      5) Long term, what happens when a country cannot sustain a population? Eventually it becomes a totally different nation as others will eventually take it over. I guess if you don't care about the preservation of Japanese culture that's not a problem.

      Their population isn't shrinking towards extinction.

      --
      Having to work for a living is the root of all evil.
    7. Re:A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I guess if you don't care about the preservation of Japanese culture that's not a problem.

      My grandfather started the Batarn death march he didn't finish it guess how much I care.

    8. Re:A lot of SOs by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 1

      Japan is super overcrowded. They can stand to downsize.

      Inviting in immigrants who don't share your language or culture is the road to becoming a totally different nation as others will eventually take it over. The preservation of Japanese culture will never happen in such a case. It will be drowned like a spot of cream in a cup of coffee.

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    9. Re: A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The solution is very simple, invite overseas Japanese expats back if they are willing to take up homes and jobs that are needed. Tax free.

    10. Re:A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When japan stops being overcrowded. People will be more willingly to breed.

    11. Re:A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The biggest reasons why this is a real issue are:

      1) This rate is not stabilizing anything - it's well below replacement rate, which means population is shrinking."

      Since AI and robots will replace 30-50% of all jobs, nobody cares

      "2) Short term a shrinking population means fewer workers to pay into government funds to help the elderly,"

      That's why people talk about robot taxes and other non-personal taxes.

      "3) Fewer elderly with children mean more reliance on the state in old age."

      They are already using robots like crazy _right now_.

      "4) Fewer people mean shops have fewer customers, demand for housing drops, construction starts waning, economy goes down."

      Shops? Nobody needs shops anymore, the elderly buy in their underwear from the couch, just like you.

      "5) Long term, what happens when a country cannot sustain a population? Eventually it becomes a totally different nation as others will eventually take it over. "

      Take over a bunch of homes for the elderly filled with geezers? What for?

      "I guess if you don't care about the preservation of Japanese culture that's not a problem."

      Culture is overrated, the US hasn't one and nobody complains.

    12. Re:A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, if Japan wants to commit cultural suicide, we'll bulldoze monuments to their stubborn insistence on purity as they consign themselves to oblivion.

    13. Re:A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I guess if you don't care about the preservation of Japanese culture

      Given that your tripe sounds like bog standard bullshit out of the, "But, but, we need to bring in third worlders!" playbook... Yeah, I'm guessing you don't give a fuck about Japanese culture, either.

      I'll bite, though:

      Oh no, higher wages and lower real estate prices, how will the next generation of Japanese ever manage to deal with that? It'll be horrible.

    14. Re:A lot of SOs by AutodidactLabrat · · Score: 1

      Wrong, wrong, wrong
      There is no "Tax Burden" that was not already a "Laborer burden"
      The old are not costing more, since Japan has no social safety net nor free medical care

    15. Re:A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think they'll be just fine. You idiots don't seem to understand that you're going first.

    16. Re:A lot of SOs by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Not all jobs need to be replaced. If nobody makes trash, nobody is needed to take out the trash.

      All you're saying here is that instead of one person not contributing to the economy there will be two people not contributing to the economy. Essentially the same conclusion as the GP but twice as bad.

      Job replacement is important to prevent economic collapse. It doesn't matter if that job is important or not, what matters is that money changes hands and is further spent in other areas. One less garbage collector means one less person buying ramen. The garbage may not need to have been collected because we were missing a job, but now it's not one, or two people, but three people struggling to sustain their life.

      There's a reason recession is a bad word and something that governments pull all stops to try and avoid.

      Fewer means less. Fewer people need less assistance.

      Yes, but you're pointing to the wrong fewer. There's fewer children to provide assistance in the future, not fewer people needing assistance. Those numbers have already been born and are grown up providing the current baseline for these economic predictions.

      Economy is related to population, "per capita". You can't have a down economy if it is reduced at the rate of population decline.

      You misunderstand the causal relationship. The economy will be properly screwed long before the population itself actually declines significantly. That's the whole problem with an ageing population.

      Their population isn't shrinking towards extinction.

      You don't need to go extinct to seriously fuck up economy, you can do that with lots of people as Japan has already found out once. You definitely don't need to go extinct to lose your culture. Desperate people in a poor economy will trade culture for survival. That means the loss of traditional art forms in favour of anything (e.g. manual labour) to put food on the table. As it is with the currently still okay economy there are almost no people below the age of 80 that know how to make a traditional kimono, or a traditional calligraphy brush (one show that I've seen on this put this number at 5 people in the entire country). Sure you can buy mass produced off the shelf crap, but that is precisely how "culture" is lost, even now. Japanese culture is already in crisis and the economy isn't even very bad.

      Better get to Tokyo while you can still buy some sculpted candy. Something that used to be a traditional offering to temples around the country and a staple of street markets is now down to 2 people in all of Tokyo, a late 20s apprentice and his soon to retire master.
       

    17. Re:A lot of SOs by chmod+a+x+mojo · · Score: 1

      And your post is the poster child for "I didn't actually read anything, or try to understand what little I read, but I am going to blather on on a point I feel somewhat strongly about anyways".

      I know it can be quite difficult to grasp this, but sustainable doesn't mean growing. In fact the parent poster that you replied to didn't advocate for GROWING anything. It advocated for sustaining the current status quo, or at the very least a a decline that isn't as sharp as what is happening.

      --
      To err is human; effective mayhem requires the root password!
    18. Re:A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Japan is not overcrowded at all. They have an amazing infrastructure and a cultural tradition that can sustain high population density. Just as an example, it doesn't face air pollution and traffic collapse to the extent that most densely populated countries do, because public transport just works and there are few parking spaces. They also know how to separate and collect waste. Free public toilets, good healthcare. If Japan weren't livable people wouldn't get that old.

    19. Re: A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The people who are getting old in Japan grew up there at a time when the larger population centers were in fact terribly polluted by industry.

      Why do you think the surgical mask meme got started there?

    20. Re: A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If you mean actual expats, I don't think it would be a meaningful number.

      If you mean second+ generation overseas people of Japanese decent, then, they already tried that. It hasn't been working all that well. Japan encouraged Japanese-Brazilians to come work in Japan. For the most part, they got crap jobs and some discrimination - because, surprise, people born and raised in a different culture are culturally not Japanese! More importantly, I don't think the Brazilians came in any significant numbers.

      Even 15 years ago, it was obvious that Japan would need hundreds of thousands or even millions of new workers to maintain the system. Having nisei and sansei move to Japan would not be enough.

    21. Re:A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not sure what you mean by "[no] free medical care". Japan has national health insurance. Sure, a visit to the doctor is not "free", but it is heavily subsidized. IIRC, a typical patient pays about 20% of the cost out of pocket, and the government takes care of the rest. Some (many?) people have private insurance to help cover the 20%.

      Also, I think that costs are much more controlled than in the USA. That 20% is not going to be the same amount as it would be in the USA (it would be much less).

    22. Re:A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      2) Short term a shrinking population means fewer workers to pay into government funds to help the elderly

      The aging people payed government funds per capita at expected higher numbers. There is now fewer people. If the government doesn't have the money to support the fewer people then they are screwing the people.

      I think maybe you don't realize that Japan is moving toward an inverted population triangle - they live a long time, so the ratio to workers:retired is much closer to 1:1 than in countries such as the USA. And, there are fewer children being born, so the ratio is going to keep getting worse (barring some external event that kills off lots of old people, or less drastically, raises the retirement age).

      3) Fewer elderly with children mean more reliance on the state in old age.

      Fewer means less. Fewer people need less assistance.

      They didn't say "Fewer elderly", they said "Fewer elderly with children" - a very different meaning. If true (I don't think that it is), then it is plausible that state would end up spending more on helping the elderly.

      If fact, I've not seen data showing that more couples are having zero children, just that they are only having 1 or maybe 2. So, when elderly, most of these couples should have children to help take care of them. (but those children may end up having to take care of their own parents and their in-laws, so say good-bye to any gains in female participation in the workforce.)

      Of course, with many young people not dating or getting married, that above analysis may be overly optimistic.

      4) Fewer people mean shops have fewer customers, demand for housing drops, construction starts waning, economy goes down.

      Economy is related to population, "per capita". You can't have a down economy if it is reduced at the rate of population decline.

      I'm not sure that is actually true, but even if it is, what makes you assume that the economy will decline at the same rate as the population?

      5) Long term, what happens when a country cannot sustain a population? Eventually it becomes a totally different nation as others will eventually take it over. I guess if you don't care about the preservation of Japanese culture that's not a problem.

      Their population isn't shrinking towards extinction.

      Technically, it is. More deaths than births every year. Last I looked, they were projected to be down to something like 80 million (from the current 127 million) by 2050 or 2100 (forget which).

      Of course, that assumes that nothing changes for all the intervening years, which is unlikely. Still, the longer the government waits, the worse their options become.

    23. Re:A lot of SOs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bullshit. The real problem is the economic system is built on growth at the expense of sanity. Japan has some elements of democratic socialism, it needs to expand it. And from some one taking over Japan, (and I can believe that I saying this) maybe it is time Japan development nuclear weapons. It already has has the technology for the rockets. Better yet, may it culturally and economically remain an indispensable asset to the world. And an example how to live with unchecked free-birthing. It can grow economically by robots and grant most leisure to it's people. Everyone is sooo concerning that lower the birth rate will result in bad things. Only if you're stupid.

  9. Japan and the Merkel Doctrine, perhaps? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe the Japanese should take a page from the Merkel Doctrine and accept immigrants from Syria and countries that Trump actively persecutes? It would solve the paucity of numbers, and add an vibrant immigrant culture.

    1. Re: Japan and the Merkel Doctrine, perhaps? by XXongo · · Score: 1
      I believe that the original anonymous coward's post was intended as deadpan irony, Mr. Anonymous Coward. I admit it's often hard to tell on /.

      In any case, the "huge spike in violent crime and terror attacks in Europe" has to be interpreted as meaning that Europe is beginning to get almost as violent as the United States, but actually not getting there, it's still less violent by about a factor of four.

    2. Re:Japan and the Merkel Doctrine, perhaps? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Was Trump in charge of the US missile strikes in Syria 4 or 5 years ago? Overthrowing Gadaffi in Libya? Yeah, destabilize a region of the world over resource management and international finance, then invite all the survivors over to live in the same communities as your working class. Fantastic plan for success.

      Stop licking the left boot to spite the right one, they're both trampling you, they just alternate.

    3. Re: Japan and the Merkel Doctrine, perhaps? by TechyImmigrant · · Score: 1

      > Do you have any idea of the huge spike in violent crime and terror attacks in Europe which were non existent before 2015 ?

      I lived through the IRA years. It seems to have been better in recent years. Nobody has tried to murder immediate family members in this decade or the last.

      A pretty graph on Wikipedia supports that https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      In the list of incidents we can see in recent years, islamic terrorists were the perpetrators of most of the attacks, they have not been perpetrating nearly as many attacks as home grown separatist organizations in Europe in the 70s and 80s.

      You type bullshit, don't check your facts and you should be ashamed.

      --
      I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
    4. Re: Japan and the Merkel Doctrine, perhaps? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A bunch of girls in Sweden just got pumped full of some vibrant culture this week, one of whom is now hospitalized.

    5. Re: Japan and the Merkel Doctrine, perhaps? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      She should be grateful. Black dick is expensive.

    6. Re: Japan and the Merkel Doctrine, perhaps? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and when the muslim and African populations in Europe are 4 times the size that they are now?

  10. News For Nerds by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I see no mention of Sex Robots or Bitcoin.

    TRY AGAIN WHORE MODS.
    Bitcoin down 1/3rd its value... no story there!

    1. Re:News For Nerds by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bitcoin value is UP 72% from 30 days ago. No story there!

  11. useless summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's completely useless knowing the number of births without a population size. 950k births could be awesome or terrible. Also completely useless knowing the percentage drop and not knowing what it was last year.

    How about posting the per capita birth rate? Or how that equates to births per household or couple? Or compare it to US or mexico?

  12. Let Me Guess by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The only solution (((they))) have is to increase immigration.

  13. Why do they pixelate the peens by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    in Japanese pron?

  14. sad by supernova87a · · Score: 2

    Sigh, you can't help but feel (a little) sorry for the Japanese people. They have such amazing and interesting qualities, among them courtesy, care/attention to detail, social cohesion, respect for government/authority, reverence of technical ability.

    On the other hand, it produces really weird side effects like social repression, workplace stress, conformity in a bad way, racism / xenophobia, and relevant to this point... high cost of living.

    If they don't start letting immigrants help them, and in a big way, this amazing culture will really die out. I mean, their countryside is basically emptying out.

    1. Re:sad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Japan has some of the most restrictive visa, immigration, and naturalization requirements in the civilized world. Japan has a nasty xenophobic streak. It's too bad because they really need an influx of relatively young families since their young adults won't fuck each other and the economy is very slowly headed to major financial issues as a result. I would be more than happy to take my family to Japan long-term but the immigration rules are just a great big NOPE desu.

    2. Re:sad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Loosening immigration restrictions now is the worst decision they could possibly make. There are too many migrant populations on the move, and many of them are bringing social unrest and other . . . bad things with them. Time to close the gates folks.

  15. Thank you by Artem+S.+Tashkinov · · Score: 1

    I commend the Japanese for understanding and taking action on the realization that this planet needs fewer people. Thank you, guys.

    We may only hope that other nations (India and China) and continents (Africa and Americas) follow.

    You'd probably be interested in this TED talk on population growth and inevitable starvation. And AGW will only make things worse.

    1. Re:Thank you by WaffleMonster · · Score: 1

      I commend the Japanese for understanding and taking action on the realization that this planet needs fewer people. Thank you, guys.

      Population is worthless indication of anything. A single person in the developed world consumes the resources of dozens in an undeveloped country.

      If you want a metric that means something try persons per household or resources consumed per person.

      We may only hope that other nations (India and China) and continents (Africa and Americas) follow.

      You'd probably be interested in this TED talk on population growth and inevitable starvation. And AGW will only make things worse.

      Just another fool spewing discredited Malthusian nonsense. If you want something real to be afraid of try loss of crop diversity.

  16. I blame Anime by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How's your average high school kid going to compete with a giant sword wielding super ninja.. lol.

  17. Not unexpected by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Considering the advances in contraception and reproductive rights.

    Add to that:
    1. Japanese women putting career ahead of family, until their mid-30's
    2. Japanese women who reach their mid-30's and decide dating isn't worth it.
    3. Japanese men not living up to their women's standards (most men in Japan don't look like a member of the band Arashi) or women just prefer the single life.
    4. Men, a far cry from the badasses they were just a generation or two ago, prefer to live at home with their parents, sleep with a dakimakura, watch AV videos, and jerk off.

  18. Natural self-limitation. It's a good thing! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The biggest problem of our planet, and the source of most our problems, is overpopulation.

    Pollution, Starvation/Hunger, lack of resources, meat factories, the growing anonymization leading to dehumanization and giving psychopaths (basically all corporate and political leaders and a big chunk of western population and culture) a selective advantage, and even the "singularity", are all results of it. Plus all their secondary effects.

    I said a long time ago, that the "singularity" is bullshit, since pretty much all processes are self-limiting.

    Wars, it can be argued, are also a case of natural self-limitation / divergation.

    This here is definitely a factor of self-limitation.

    And it is also known, that the level of actual prosperity, safety and wealth anti-correlates with the amount of children being born.

    Of course in Japan, their obsession with working (themselves to death) and having no life outside the company, aka end-stage capitalism in a shame culture, is probably the main driving factor behind it.

    But the results are good. Even rent prices should come down or not rise as much as a result.

    1. Re:Natural self-limitation. It's a good thing! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Problem is, if they get too weak, China or another country will just invade and take their land, with the remaining people "cleansed".

    2. Re:Natural self-limitation. It's a good thing! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Military strength and economic power have very little to do with population size in the 21st century (and for most of the 20th for that matter). This isn't a game of RISK, we have drones and missiles now. The US manages to topple entire regimes without a soldier setting foot on the ground.

    3. Re:Natural self-limitation. It's a good thing! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You still need boots on the ground though. Iraq and Afghanistan definitely showed that, because after the shock and awe show, the fact that the US was outnumbered by the natives eventually caused those theaters to be lost. If you want to keep territory, you hold it via grunts. This is where low-tech infantry goes a long ways... and China can provide tons of that, as well as match other military might.

      If Japan gets too weak, I wouldn't be surprised to see it overrun. Ultimately, Japan doesn't have nukes, China does. It would take a few neutron mobs (to "format the hard drive") and some planes with paratroopers for mop up, and China would have a new island pretty much within a week. The US definitely wouldn't intervene if this happened.

  19. That's becasue they're not using OpenBSD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Doesn't OpenBSD seem like the answer to anything these days?

    Just trollin'.

  20. Unskilled, uneducated, unproductive participants. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The destruction of traditional European culture is bad enough, but that's actually one of the least significant problems with their plan.

    The real problem is that these new arrivals are a net loss to European economies, in that they consume far more value than they will ever produce.

    Just having more participants doesn't mean that an economy will be strong. The strength, and subsequent growth, of the economy only comes when the participants are productive and efficient. Ideally they're also increasing their productivity and efficiency on an ongoing basis.

    Europe is being flooded with some of the least-educated, least-skilled, least-capable, and least-productive people on Earth. Even the ones that supposedly have some kind of "training" end up being far below even the lowest European standards.

    Since they aren't even capable of functioning, never mind actually producing anything of value, within modern European economies, they end up leeching off of social programs. This creates an additional burden on the already over-taxed economic participants who actually manage to be productive!

    It gets worse when these foreigners, and often their children, end up engaging in crime. Aside from the social costs, now the governments have to put even more resources toward policing these unskilled, uneducated, unproductive burdens on the economy.

    To give an analogy, Europe was in a position of having to fill a water bucket using a garden hose, except the bucket had two holes in the bottom that let out more water than was coming in. But instead of doing the sensible thing and adding more productive input, in the form of two new garden hoses, they chose to leave the one hose in place, and instead drilled five more large holes in the bottom of the bucket, causing even more water to leak out. Worse, each of these new drill holes compromises the integrity of the bucket's structure, causing the drill holes to get larger over time, causing yet more water to leak out. Meanwhile, the only productive input is completely overwhelmed, and eventually any water entering the bucket immediately is drained away.

    Europe's already seeing a significant decrease in its standard of living. It will only get worse. At this point there may be no salvaging Europe. It will become a third-world hellhole much like the terrible places in Africa and the Middle East where these unskilled, uneducated, unproductive arrivals came from.

  21. sign me up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I may be 57, but I will personally impregnate as many Japanese women as I possibly can. For free!

  22. So answer me this. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    You seem to prefer a more! more! more! people attitude. Why? Why do you want to continually increase people on this planet? What is with this need for us to continually breed like a virus?

    1. Re:So answer me this. by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      Because if you believe in a welfare state, you need more and more people to pay pensions.

      Which tells you a welfare state is a Ponzi scheme.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    2. Re: So answer me this. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is. Which is why wages are supposed to increase. What has happened instead is wages stagnate and people wonâ(TM)t have kids anymore because they canâ(TM)t afford it.

    3. Re: So answer me this. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which tells you a welfare state is a Ponzi scheme

      Nope. A Ponzi scheme is fraud. A welfare state delivers value for the population and despite all your shrieking, does not need infinite growth. Just continued labor because well, you can't expect otherwise unless you are the murderous type that thinks a graveyard is peaceful.

    4. Re: So answer me this. by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Nope. A Ponzi scheme is fraud.

      A Ponzi scheme is fraud when the private sector does it, but not when the government does it. The difference is that the government can compel people to participate, and force later entrants to pay more, thus preventing collapse.

    5. Re:So answer me this. by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      You seem to prefer a more! more! more! people attitude. Why?

      More people means more new ideas, and more progress.

      Why do you want to continually increase people on this planet?

      We don't. But the world would benefit from more educated and productive people like the Japanese. The country with the highest population growth is Niger, which is a poor war-torn drought-ridden country suffering from overgrazing, desertification and unable to even feed themselves. Many of the women in Niger would prefer smaller families but have no access to contraceptives, and have cultural pressures for large families.

      We would be much better off if birthrates in both Japan and Niger were stabilized at or near ZPG.

      What is with this need for us to continually breed like a virus?

      You might want to learn a bit more about how viruses "breed".

    6. Re: So answer me this. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which tells you a welfare state is a Ponzi scheme

      Nope. A Ponzi scheme is fraud. A welfare state delivers value for the population and despite all your shrieking, does not need infinite growth. Just continued labor because well, you can't expect otherwise unless you are the murderous type that thinks a graveyard is peaceful.

      A Ponzi scheme delivers value until growth stops too.

    7. Re:So answer me this. by Teckla · · Score: 2

      More people means more new ideas, and more progress.

      This is a pile of hogwash. All cultures are not created equal. Some cultures can become worse through immigration because those immigrants often bring bad cultures with them. Similarly, some cultures improve through immigration when the immigrants bring a better culture with them.

      The idea that lots of immigration and diversity lead to the best ideas bubbling to the top is just wishful thinking.

      I'm not anti-immigration, but I think the citizens of any country would be wise to have careful selection criteria for immigrants.

      Also, higher population always means more pollution. This is also a good thing for countries to keep in mind.

    8. Re: So answer me this. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Nope. A Ponzi scheme is fraud.

      A Ponzi scheme is fraud when the private sector does it, but not when the government does it.

      Nope. Sorry, but a Ponzi scheme is a particular kind of fraud where there is no actual investment, just a claim there is, that's concealed by deliberately misrepresenting the situation to the potential investors. The difference is that what we're talking about is when the government is actually investing in what it's supposed to do(namely providing the elements of an orderly society) it is not fraud, whereas a Ponzi Scheme is only about fraud. That's all.

      I mean, I suppose you COULD have a fraudulent, kleptocracy of a government, but let's not remember, that's not the way they are supposed to be, any more than the money you'd invest in the other endeavors is supposed to be wasted either. Sure, Tucker didn't succeed, but he tried, and that's why it wasn't fraud.

      The difference is that the government can compel people to participate, and force later entrants to pay more, thus preventing collapse.

      Oh no, a government that is holding people accountable to their contracts! The horrors of it. Why, what next, will they put people in jail, hold them liable for injuring others, or some other act of coercion?

      Look ShanghaiBill, I get it, you want to believe that there's something evil going on when it comes to a welfare state or a retirement pension(or whatever you're tendentiously railing about), but in reality, there's no inherent need to force later entrants to pay more except perhaps due to inflation, and we just aren't going to set about going into a deflationary system no matter how much you love your Bitcoin and GoldCoin and Yap!Coins. Sorry, but there is no plan to bring back nickel beer even to please the proles.

      Now you might come up with some system that was badly planned, and needs to be re-organized to meet its commitments, but hey, you know what? That happens in the private sector too. Yeah, that can be compelled onto people as well.

      Really, I get it, you think you're smart, but you're wrong. You're just pursuing a wrong-headed portrayal due to your emotional commitment, not because you've demonstrated any rational logic behind your rhetoric. It's a terrible mistake on your part.

    9. Re:So answer me this. by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      All cultures are not created equal.

      Indeed. Japan produces far more innovation per capita than Niger, perhaps by a thousandfold.

      Some cultures can become worse through immigration

      Um. You lost me. I thought we were talking about more Japanese babies, not immigration.

      Also, higher population always means more pollution.

      Except when the extra people are highly educated and productive like the Japanese, and invent better wind turbines, better semiconductors for solar power, better thermal insulators, and blue LEDs (which made white light LEDs possible). Do you really believe that we would have less pollution if Shuji Nakamura had never been born?

  23. Because GROWTH! Stagnation = death! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't you know?

    Population must rise constantly exponentially at >7%. Because the economy must rise exponentially, or preferably exponentially exponentially. So the numbeer on some bank sheets can rise. So the sexual organs of their owners can rise/wet.
    That number represents, how much you have to slave away to be worth keeping alive.

    And stagnation, aka stabity, is basically already recession. My thesaurus says so too.
    Even tough it is the natural state of any permanently existing thing and any suviving life. In nature everything is in a set of finely balance cycles.
    The only things that are not, are exposions and pathogens. Both of the deadly case.

  24. Smart Groups Are Shrinking by alternative_right · · Score: 1

    Seven billion humans. The smart populations are shrinking as they weed out those among them who are unable to cope. Quality over quantity is going to win out in the future. We could have had eugenics, but instead we will have a vast lumpenproletariat ruled over by cynical and merciless overlords. Good work, democracy!

  25. Growth is a virus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    First, the obligatory Matrix clip:
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5foZIKuEWQ

    Then something more informative from 2015:
        https://www.theguardian.com/sustainable-business/2015/nov/24/addicted-to-growth-six-ways-to-wean-off-prosperous-economy-robots-climate-change-finance

    The Japanese might be the first to figure out sustainability, but it'll be too late since the rest of us monkey-breeders will destroy the rest of the planet and take down the enlightened Japanese along with us.

  26. Re:Found the LUDDITE! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Self-driving blockchains will make typos obsolete!

  27. Re:Unskilled, uneducated, unproductive participant by bogaboga · · Score: 1

    Europe's already seeing a significant decrease in its standard of living. It will only get worse. At this point there may be no salvaging Europe. It will become a third-world hellhole much like the terrible places in Africa and the Middle East where these unskilled, uneducated, unproductive arrivals came from.

    Governments are more interested in the "next generation," not today's immigrants. Canada has been successful to a degree. I am sure this is what they (the governments), are looking at.

    European countries can help themselves by putting measures in place that discourage "white flight" .

    And better still, they should discourage powerful countries (read the USA) from fomenting chaos in distant lands.

    Remember that the Syrian refugees are in Europe because some powerful country decided that it was better to bomb a leader they did not support. The refugees then fled into the "welcoming hands" of some German leader.

  28. Pay people more by rsilvergun · · Score: 3, Interesting

    and work them less. This isn't because they don't want kids. Multiple studies and surveys have shown that. They can't afford to have kids and only work 12/day, 6 days/week. Since they don't have the Christian hang ups about using birth control that Americans have the birth rate keeps going down. Meanwhile their prime minister is coming up with all sorts of crazy schemes to try and get people to keep up their crazy pace of work and still squeeze out 3-4 kids.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:Pay people more by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Allright... where is the money going to come from? Jack up minimum wages, and inflation just means that even though someone gets paid $30 instead of $15 an hour, their rent doubles, the food costs double, and so on. Then, businesses can't afford to hire, and now people are unemployed. We have been down that road with Carter, 11% inflation, and a stagflation economy, where miracle workers like Reagan got the US back on track.

      Europe is playing with fire with their socialistic tendencies. Who is going to pay for it? Venezuela learned that lesson pretty well, and I hope Europe adapts sane, Randian values before they start wanting recipes for their pets too.

    2. Re:Pay people more by jezwel · · Score: 1

      They need to change the working culture such that more than a 40 hour working week is *shameful* to both employer and employee.

    3. Re:Pay people more by cold+fjord · · Score: 1

      Pay people more . . . and work them less. This isn't because they don't want kids. Multiple studies and surveys have shown that. They can't afford to have kids . ..

      Are you sure you're looking at data for Japan? You seem to be missing the mark on this. The problem is more fundamental than not having kids, a large percentage of them aren't even having sex.

      Why are almost half of Japan's millennials still virgins?

      The problem isn't just money, it is social, and probably mainly social.

      Cookie cutter socialist solutions probably aren't the answer here.

      --
      much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot - George Orwell
    4. Re:Pay people more by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If this was a troll, 10/10 and LOL, that's awesome.

      If a serious post, I hope you're 13 years old and just read Atlas Shrugged for the first time. Simple question, how does giving tax cuts to the top bracket help anyone else? What controls are in place to prevent the top bracket from pocketing the money and making excuses about the economy, terrorism, anything to justify them doing nothing to give anything back?

  29. It is due to Manga by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

    Most adults in Japan still read manga comics. This must have something to do with the low birth rate.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  30. I'll Volunteer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mixed race baby making program? Where is it? I'll come to Japan and bring my Nordic values with me. I'm already partially Buddhist/Christian/Atheist so I don't even have to convert to anything. I'll make babies with your women. I'll even stay at home, caring for the children while you can develop your corporate careers. Sing me up, Aiko.

  31. Re:Unskilled, uneducated, unproductive participant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Governments are more interested in the "next generation," not today's immigrants.

    That's not going well at all, either. Look at the perpetrators of some of the major recent attacks in Paris and Brussels. A number of them were descended from third-worlders who ended up in Europe. Look at the various urban districts where these people and their parents and others like them have isolated themselves to, refusing to integrate with European society in any positive way.

    The reality is that unskilled, uneducated, unproductive parents will very likely, except in very unusual circumstances, produce unskilled, uneducated, and unproductive children.

    Remember that the Syrian refugees are in Europe because some powerful country decided that it was better to bomb a leader they did not support.

    That's total revisionist bullshit. The conflict in Syria started due to a civil uprising in 2011 as part of the so-called "Arab Spring" movements.

    The only people to blame for the Syrian conflict are Syrians. It's idiotic to blame anyone else.

    The only reason they're in Europe is because European leaders didn't do the right thing and strictly enforce the integrity of Europe's borders, preventing these third-worlders from entering Europe in the first place.

  32. I volunteer as tribute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    To impregnate Japanese women. That should sort them out

  33. Gender Identity and Sexual Orientation possibly? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm posting anonymously because of course this will be a touchy subject, not trying to troll.

    I have pondered for a while if some of our new societal norms might be causing the decrease in births. Granted some lesbian couples may choose to become impregnated artificially, but I don't know how often that is. Gay couples of course are going to adopt (generally) if they choose that they would like to have children of their own. All in all, the more people who don't fit with the traditional definition of a "couple" (man and woman) will decrease the overall likelihood of producing one of those 2.3 children that used to be the status quo.

    Anyway, something to ponder. Not judging anyone on what is of course a very personal choice, just wondering what the effect is.

  34. It's all Hentai's fault by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I blame Hentai.

  35. Re:Unskilled, uneducated, unproductive participant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's total revisionist bullshit. The conflict in Syria started due to a civil uprising in 2011 as part of the so-called "Arab Spring" movements.

    The only people to blame for the Syrian conflict are Syrians. It's idiotic to blame anyone else.

    The only reason they're in Europe is because European leaders didn't do the right thing and strictly enforce the integrity of Europe's borders, preventing these third-worlders from entering Europe in the first place.

    Yeah, because the Arab Spring was an entirely grassroots movement organized by the Syrian people with no leadership.

    Here you go. It's even from one of your officially approved propaganda outlets.

  36. Re:Gender Identity and Sexual Orientation possibly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem comes in when "mature" cultures with a stable population base come into contact with expanding cultures. Some cultures put a big push for expanding their population because it means more people to fight, more people for their rulers to subjugate, and more backs to be broken. Contrast this to stable cultures that are less autocratic and where the "prole" actually means something.

    These two culture types are immiscible. Put them together, and the culture that values popping out babies by the legions will just outpopulate and obliterate the the other culture, just due to force of numbers. The only the way the mature, static population culture can survive is by genocide, otherwise, they will just get overrun.

  37. Allow epidural by BLToday · · Score: 1

    My wife’s friend is Japanese and told us epidural isn’t available during births. She delivered three kids all without epidural. She wanted a boy because the first two were girls. For one, she was in labor for 16 hours. Childbirth is already difficult enough and without epidural that just adds to more reasons to have fewer children.

  38. How do we lower human population? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Honest question.

    A lot of people believe that the answer to all of our environmental issues is to lower the human population.

    Certainly excessive human population does cause a lot of problems.

    But if a population goes down, even modestly, it is treated with alarm.

  39. As a Japanese citizen, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think this won't solve easily. Here's why.

    > 1. Too long work hours/days, compared to other developed countries
    I'm working Mon-Sat, 7:30 - 21:00 as a repairman. I repair from
    computers to various electronics such as fridge. The official work hours
    in this company is 8:00 - 17:30. (including 90 minutes rest.)
    My company force us to come to work 30 minutes early to do meaningless
    meeting(about 20 min) and cleaning up the office.
    Don't be surprised - many people around me work like this. Some of them
    didn't get paid from overworked hours(free service overwork).

    > 2. Lack of motivation to make GF/BF
    Because of 1, many of us just go home, eat, bath, and sleep, repeat.
    There's no time to plan a date or something. My friend actually have a GF and living with her for 5 years in the same apartment. I asked him about marriage. He said, she's not interesting in getting married. She loves him, but she's just living with him because the house rent is cheap. (he & she split house rental cost - 50:50)
    I know many other pair like this one.

    > 3. "Having a child is cruel"
    As a repairman, I go to client's house, fix something, and have some chat time. One of the client(female) told me; "We're married but I don't want to have a baby. This country's work environment, decreasing citizens, rising cost of "national pention", etc is horrible. I don't want to say "I'm sorry(for leaving you on this cruel country)" to my child when I get old and dying.

    Thank you for reading.
    --
    And me - I'm 20-29, and I've actively searched how to escape from this country. I want to live in other countries where I can use English(I know my writing is horrible, but I can understand what people are saying clearly), but because of 9/11 attack, many contries limit their doors. I'll appriciate if you give me some idea. I'm ready to quit my job if I found clear path to outside country.

  40. Re:Found the LUDDITE! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    +5 Informative

  41. Abandon the culture of working endlessly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Japan has poor worker productivity https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20171221_22/ and a plummeting birthrate.

  42. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  43. Aplause Aplause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In August 1945 near 95 % of the Alpha Males and Females had been killed mostly by US forces.

    What remained of the once noble population was a hull of lesbians, gays and queers.

    The population today mostly made of lesbians, gays and queers is the outcome and the birthrate is the crown jewel of the bombardment.

    Next destination ... Extinction. Beautiful. Perfect.
     

  44. They can't afford dating by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    and courtship. They also can't afford places to have sex. Besides the 20 year recession Japan's wealth inequality is worth than the states.

    So yeah, cookie cutter socialist solutions are _exactly_ what's needed here, at least if they actually want to solve the birth rate problem. Or I guess they could do what the States does and get religion and ban birth control. But barring that it's either socialism or Japan goes away as a country. The South has much higher rates than the North and Western states, but they've also got crazy levels of poverty to go with it.

    What I'm saying is, there is no way to solve this problem that doesn't make people's lives worse except socialism. You either distribute the benefits of civilization more equitably or you shrug your shoulders and live with the social distortions that come from not doing that.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
  45. Peak Population Crisis by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    From my post in 2009, echoing your points: https://wiki.p2pfoundation.net...

    [After citing some articles with statistics on low birth rates in most industrialized countries...]

    Again, sick or dead young people can't pay for the health care of old people, nor can sick or dead young people be health care practitioners for old people. You would think old people could see it, but maybe it will take some leadership to help them see it?

    Again, this is not to disagree with Michel's main point that people need to
    focus on commonality to solve problems. The last paragraph in the first item makes a related analogy to old wars and how the youngjust want the same thing the older generation got. I'd suggest my point just above is one such point of commonality -- the young can not take good care of the old if the young are sick or dead.

    That point by David Willetts was actually the quote in my mind when I wrote my previous reply, but I could not find it.

    As with the comment on Ireland, that is why the industrialized globe is facing a "Peak Population" crisis, not a "Peak Oil" crisis, even though people are confusing the two, which is odd given solar is now (or soon will be) cheaper than coal. :-)

    But, think about it, how many of the industrialized world's current problems are better explained by "Peak Population" rather than "Peak Oil"?

    And how much has the "Peak Energy" misrepresentation of the "Peak Oil" fact by people like Catton led to smaller families and made worse the "Peak Population" crisis? Gloomsters and Doomsters are in that sense creating the terrible problems we are facing right now. In Voyage from Yesteryear, James P. Hogan talks about despair versus optimist in a culture, in part based on appreciation of the potential abundance energy in the universe.

    The less peers that are around, the less peers can help each other and contribute to a free commons. Maybe there are laws of diminishing returns, but are we anywhere near them? What would Wikipedia be like with only 100 contributors instead of 100 thousand? Especially in a digital age, it is easy for a peer to add more to the free commons than they take away. What do you take away from Wikipedia by reading a page? A little electricity power perhaps, but Wikipedia shows us how to get all the power we need from the sun.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S...
    So, even in a physical sense, Wikipedia is helping peers physically power it by giving away such knowledge.

    We can support quadrillions of humans in the solar system (see my previous references to Dyson, Bernal, Savage, O'Neill, and there are many others), or about a million times our current population on Earth. We essentially had the specific technological ideas in the 1970s we needed to do that, even given refinements since then. So, a focus on zero or negative population growth for the human race as a whole right now, as opposed to just limiting the population currently on Earth (which might be sensible, even though I think we could easily grow 10X on Earth), has created a "Peak Population" crisis that we didn't need to have for 1000 years when we filled up the solar system (and by then, we would have better technology and better social ideology to deal with changing demographics of moving from a triangle to a square of population by age).

    Sure, let's set a population target for some carrying capacity on Earth the same way the health and fire departments limit the maximum number of people in a restaurant. But, you don't limit the human population of a city (or the solar system) the same way you limit the number of people that can safely be in a restaurant (the Earth). That is ultimately the mistake that gloomsters like Catton make -- they confuse the two, mostly IMHO from lack of imagination, but also because some profit from artificial scarcity, as well, as

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  46. Clearly Japan is in dire need of more migrants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Preferably from muslim countries. A little bit of gang rape will push birthrate right up to where it should be.