Slashdot Mirror


Bitcoin's Value Plummeted Overnight and No One Knows Why (slate.com)

Jacob Brogan, writing for Slate: While the Western Hemisphere slept, Bitcoin plummeted. Just after midnight Eastern Time on Friday, the cryptocurrency was valued at a little over $15,000, on the digital currency exchange Coinbase. At that point, it was already well below the $19,783 all-time high it had hit the week before. Over the course of the night, Bitcoin began to decline erratically, occasionally spiking but following a general downward trend. Around 9:22 a.m. Eastern, it hit a temporary floor, valued at a mere $10,400. By that point, it had declined more than $6,000 from its short-term peak the morning before, having lost more than one-third of its value. Bitcoin wasn't the only currency hit by a sharp drop. Tech Crunch's Jon Russell reports that most other prominent cryptocurrencies also fell, including Ethereum, Litecoin, and Bitcoin Cash (which is, confusingly, separate from Bitcoin proper). As Russell notes, it's hard to say why this is happening, "in the same way that nobody knows exactly why bitcoin's price has [shot] up from a touch under $1,000 at the start of the year."

13 of 461 comments (clear)

  1. Profit taking by XXongo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Profit taking, I'm sure. That's what often happens when a stock rises quickly; the people who got in earlier sell out to cement their profit.

  2. Everyone Knows Why, Silly! by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Everyone knows why Bitcoin's value plummeted. It's because Bitcoin doesn't have any value other than the belief of people in Bitcoin. What I said about Bitcoin is generally true for the Dollar too, but in the case of the Dollar at least the U.S. Government will take it for your tax payments. Nobody has to take Bitcoin for anything.

    People confuse creation of money with creation of value. Value is food, materials, information, useful work. Dollars/bitcoins are unreliable media for exchange of value, not the value itself. Creation of $300B in bitcoin won't help the world to feed one more mouth.

    Speculators jumped on it as a get-rich-quick scheme to make money from other speculators who would - they hoped - not time the market as well as they did. But inherent in this strategy is that all speculators will cash in on their speculation, driving Bitcoin back to low values as they abscond.

  3. Re:it is known why by Hylandr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Using bitcoin as currency is about the same as using traditional stocks as currency.

    I really think bitcoin has no real value outside of providing temporary peaks and valleys to trade between. Using an unstable commodity as a measure of trade-worth is far more complex for businesses to adopt at scale, which pretty much relegates it to the small guy looking to move small amounts of currency discreetly.

    I can't imagine this will ever go mainstream at scale unless the value can be made consistent.

    --
    ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
  4. Pork Bellies by sycodon · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Bitcoin is no different than Pork Bellies.

    Except it makes lousy bacon.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    1. Re:Pork Bellies by Srin+Tuar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      > I'll be long on USD...

      Going long on something designed to lose value is slightly dumber than just burning your possessions in a great big bonfire. The USD is designed to prevent people from going long on it by punishing that behavior. Keynesian economics values spending so much that it discourages savings.

  5. Re:it is known why by religionofpeas · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The solution is to bundle large amounts of transactions together using the Lightning Network, and then intermittently settle them on the main chain. This is being worked on. First test runs have been successful.

  6. Re:it is known why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's not night everywhere.

  7. Alternate Theory by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Smart money manipulating Bitcoin so it can buy in.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Alternate Theory by david_thornley · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Spend only what you can afford to lose. Up until now, the trend has been increasing value, and it will likely continue for a while. At some point, it will crash, and it will be difficult to cash out then.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    2. Re:Alternate Theory by Cederic · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You seem very angry that people are identifying this bubble as a bubble, without being able to predict when it will burst.

      I put my money where my mouth is - not by shorting bitcoin, but by refusing to risk my principle by investing in the first place.

      If I didn't think it was a bubble I'd buy.

  8. Welcome to my country... by gwolf · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Nobody wants to use a currency that may be worth 20% more, or 20% less the next day.

    Inhabitants of many Latin American countries have clear memories of the country's currency plummetting overnight to ~60% of its previous value. In my lifetime, it has happened at least three times (and losing 10% overnight? Oh, too many to count).

    Of course, nobody wants to save in national currencies then... But it's not like we have much of a choice!

  9. Re:it is known why by ladislavb · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Middle of the night??? You do understand that bitcoin trades 24/7 across 24 different time zones and that the world stretches beyond your backyard, right?

  10. Re:it is known why by arth1 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    If it popped how did it rebound half of that back in a day? It just momentarily deflated.

    Gaining half back of a major drop is not rebounding. Net, it's still a huge drop.
    I'd be hopeful that it's reached the time when enough plebs had been swayed, and it would be time for the bubble to burst, but I don't think we're there yet. There are still enough idiots who haven't jumped on this fad. I give it another two months. And then the unwashed masses will cry for the entrails of someone. (Except themselves, for being criminally gullible, of course.)