NASA Begins Planning For An Interstellar Mission In 2069 (nypost.com)
Long-time Slashdot reader cold fjord writes:
During the 2017 Geophysical Union Conference, scientists from NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory revealed that they are planning an interstellar exploration mission for the year 2069. The goal is to send a probe to Alpha Centauri, some 4.3 light years away. NASA is working on technology to allow a spacecraft to reach 10% of the speed of light, which might allow them to reach Alpha Centauri in as soon as 44 years.
A number of technologies are being explored, although there are many practical hurdles. The New Scientist adds that the 2016 NASA budget directed NASA to study interstellar travel that could reach 10% of the speed of light by 2069.
A number of technologies are being explored, although there are many practical hurdles. The New Scientist adds that the 2016 NASA budget directed NASA to study interstellar travel that could reach 10% of the speed of light by 2069.
And Murray Christmas to ALL
We don't have the required tech nor engineering skill to get a useful probe to our nearest neighbouring star in a human lifetime.
We might as well say we're planning to launch a human expedition on an Orion drive-powered O'Neill cylinder generation ship; it'd be more inspiring.
Such a goal practically requires mastering nuclear fusion by that point in time. Now it's possible that I'm too much of a pessimist but I always placed practical fusion drive about two centuries from now. At least judging from recent spacecraft propulsion developments, it doesn't seem plausible that after the past fifty years of "progress", we'll jump straight to an interstellar drive in another fifty years.
Ezekiel 23:20
Well one wishes them the best of luck, but it seems to me that going fast enough is only a tiny part of their problems and that getting any sort of useful communications back again is a least as big a challenge.
Consider the New Horizons mission to Pluto. The spacecraft is large and has a big high gain antenna. Also, it's power source hasn't been sitting around for 44 years. Never the less, data returns to earth at a few hundred bits per second.
Now consider Alpha Centauri. My quick calculations suggest that it is about 7000 times as far away (can someone confirm that?). Applying the inverse square law gives us a received power level - assuming the same transmit power and antennas - which is 77 dB (49000000 times) lower. Now, I am not saying that it can't be done, and I am sure that NASA have lots of very clever people, but as someone who has spend his career in radio and radar, finding an extra 77 dB is a very challenging requirement!
I bet your fun at partys.
I mean the tech certainly doesn't exist now.
But, with the advent of practical quantum computing, I would hope a lot of the math involved would become possible, unlocking more than just fusion.
Smoke another one. Alpha Centauri in my lifetime... TY
[($)]
On your mark... get set... GO!
[($)]
NASA hasn't been relevant for some time now. It doesn't even have space shuttles. The ISS is mainly used as a budget marketing machine, with its occupants focused on playing social media ("oh look, we're watching Star Wars"). In the meantime it's just some stinky connected containers merely in orbit, to do necessary but boring research. NASA seems to be mainly here for itself, for the institution, to get your tax money. Going to Alpha Centauri is in no way relevant or realistic, except to get and spend budget. In the solar system, to future is commercial, and outside, the future isn't national.
First, warp drives do not exist (yet). You cannot instantly jump to 10% the speed of light and spend 44 years coasting to Alpha Centauri. To travel 4.3 light years with a constantly accelerating technology would require you to hit 20% the speed of light, not 10%. If you constantly accelerate up to 10% the speed of light by the time you reach the destination, then it'll take you 87 years to traverse 4.367 light years, not 44 years.
Second, you don't want to be accelerating the entire trip. Otherwise once you reach the destination, you're traveling way too fast for the trip to be of any use. Assuming the Alpha Centauri system is about the same size as our solar system, a probe reaching it at 20% the speed of light would pass through the entire system in a little over a day. It's stupid to travel 44 years just to have one day of science gathering. To be useful, you need to accelerate to the halfway point, the decelerate to the destination.
This means the trip of 44 years would require hitting 20% the speed of light by the halfway point - it would need twice the acceleration of a mission which hit 20% at the destination. So combined with the 10% vs 20% speed of light error, you actually need to develop a technology with 4x the acceleration of a mission which would arrive at Alpha Centuari at 10% the speed of light.
Quantum entangled particles, if you can keep at least one set of them stable for the entire journey, should avoid the issues with radio signal propagation 4.9 light years, even if it doesn't increase the rate/timeliness of transmission.
Even just being able to get a few photographs back from a remote star system would be pretty cool, but seriously, fucking 2069? We should make this a global moonshot goal and state 'we will have a probe AT Alpha Centauri *BY* 2069. And ideally not just one, at least 5-10 to cover both technical failures of the probes as well as
There is knowledge, and there is intelligence. Possession of the former is no guarantee of possessing the latter. You exemplify this in quite the Trumpian manner.
Always been, and always will be.
I'm holding out some hope that laser propelled microsatellites are feasible. If you fired a stream of them you could piggy back broadcasts between them back to earth, greatly reducing the distance each would need to transmit to get back home. You wouldn't need to slow down either, with a steady stream of small disposable craft.
You exemplify the worst of both ideologies: the blowhard bluster of Trumpian capitalism with the âoeI, the thinking elite, know better than you, dirt diggerâ of communism.
speaking of grammar nazis
allow them to reach Alpha Centauri in as soon as 44 years.
As soon as 2113. Or, in as little as 44 years. That's how I would have written it. YMMV
Also Sieg Heil is the response. You initiate with Heil Hitler. Just sayin'
The communications technology to reach across 4.3 light years doesn't exist yet either. Look at the great lengths that we need to stay in touch with the Voyager aircraft just barely out of our solar system - launched 40 years ago.
And don't expect humans to survive all the hard radiation that's out there either. So it'd have to be a robot mission.
Take the cheese to sickbay, the doctor should see it as soon as possible - B'Elanna Torres, "Learning Curve"
Quantum entangled particles DO NOT permit sending of information faster than light. You still have to send a "light-like" signal to know the results of the entanglement.
What a fucking waste. Our advances in space technology have been negligible since the 1950s.
Unless the probe is able to withstand one hell of an acceleration outbound and isn't going to be in the Alpha Centauri system more than a few days.
And don't expect humans to survive all the hard radiation that's out there either. So it'd have to be a robot mission.
I don't think anyone expected any 20 year old humans to jump on a one way trip and spend the next 50 years on such a trip, radiation or not.
People keep bringing up the radiation in space as a major hurdle but here is the thing: It only becomes a problem with prolonged exposure. Another thing that becomes problematic at similar durations is the microgravity.
It is possible to build spacecrafts that protects you from both of them but it makes things a lot more complicated.
If you can keep the mission time down to 6 months or so you don't have to worry that much about them.
So the large obstacle is really the vast distances of space, not the immediate dangers out there.
Anyway, regarding this particular mission. Why the hurry? Sure, 44 years is a nice, but I don't see any particular threshold that makes it a no-go if the duration is longer.
Getting detailed information of at least one other star system would be really great.
At the moment our ways of detecting planets around other stars is a bit wonky and most of what we know is based on what we know from this one.
When it comes to moons, planetoids and asteroids in other star systems it is all just speculation.
The way I see it we shouldn't worry about how long it would take, just if it is possible to do it at all.
If it takes 500 years, then so be it. Sure, we may or may not find a way to do it in a shorter time 50 years from now, but that isn't really a good reason to wait.
We might not have the technology to send a signal all the way back right now so the probe might have to make a round trip, or we have to launch a couple of slower probes to act as repeaters.
All that is just technical issues, but not really reasons not to do it.
And then they'll turn around because it's about time to brake for the next 50 years?
Santa travels at close to the speed of light and uses existing technology. Seems like that is the place to start. It does narrow the launch window as he is busy one day a year.
Space is fake. The Earth is flat. The eclipses prove it.
Accelerating any significant mass to .1c may be practically impossible. Perhaps the least unlikely approach, given our continuing miniaturization progress, is a spacecraft that weighs micrograms. Laser acceleration would seem to be an option, but the problem there is deceleration at the destination, and transmission of data back to Earth. What we really need is something super-light capable of using solar power to both accelerate and decelerate to a sizeable fraction of c, and then the transmission problem can be solved by having it make a return trip using the destination star for power.
The ultimate unrealistic extreme of this approach in sci-fi would be the sophons from Liu Cixin's The Three-Body Problem, which if I recall have the mass of one proton but unfold into useful spacecraft upon arrival.
This space intentionally left blank
Either "Remember when we had NINE planets?" shirt or "Get in loser this planet blows" shirt will commentate this event nicely.
1. Build global AI
2. Send probe
3. Deep freeze humanity. AI takes care of the planet for thousands of years.
4. Defreeze humanity just before probe comes back
Perhaps we can indeed achieve step 1 in under 50 years, then we still have 40 years to make step 3 & 4 feasible.
OK, specifications met, we have a plan!
I expect New Scientist wouldn't make the 44 years mistake.
Creating black-holes here in the Earth can teleport them to any space & time in the universe.
Is it the thing that you was looking for?.
I bet your fun at partys..
NASA will have no funding & cease to exist within 5 years because TRILLIONS of debt. The future of space is chinks greenscreened in a pool. WOW. Such future!
So it'd have to be a robot mission.
Duh. Both the summary and TFA make it clear that this would be a probe, not a manned mission. It would be a flyby, passing through the Alpha Centauri solar system in minutes, since slowing down and going into orbit would require exponentially more fuel. The proposals are for a probe the size of a pack of cigarettes, or even the size of a postage stamp, driven by a laser boosted sail.
The proposed budget is ~ $100M. A manned mission would cost many many trillions.
Definition of this generation: Everything is a threat, everything becomes a war, nothing is possible, we're all losers baby. ... hide, consume, whine, repeat. ... But only about their world.
Small-minded to the max, no ambitions, fully passive,
Well, they are kinda right.
What planet are you on, where project Orion isn't already known to be fully capable of that right now!
We have build nukes. we have build small tactical warhead nukes. We have build a large lead plate with a hole. We have build shock absorbers that hold skyscrapers. We have built large rockets. We have had robots land by themselves on another planet.
It’s just a matter of combining those things in a very simple way. Simple math already tells us this will bring us to 10% speed of light. That’s not even with anything beyond 60s knowledge and ambition.
And a matter of having the will to plow through the small-minders and retards who believe that everything they can’t imagine cannot possibly be possible, let alone already done. (Kinda like doctors.)
CREIMER' SUBMISSIONS UPDATE: /. so make sure to go to:
Note also that creimer is trying to regain karma by getting his submissions published as articles on
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and mod down his submissions as well. The great thing is that you don't even need mod points to mod down a submission, just click on the "minus" icon!
Yes, believe it or not, creimer owns all the above sock puppet accounts. It is a mystery why Slashdot management tolerates it!
creimer wrote:
I don't bother with mod points. I'm doing something much more sinister. It took ten story submissions ? I'll have to double check the number ? to move cdreimer's karma from neutral to excellent without ever being exposed to the capricious mods. Mmmmmwwwwahahahahahahaha!
https://slashdot.org/comments....
Danger, Will Robinson, Danger! Creimy is posting more than 2 posts a day. Hurry! mod down otherwise /. will go to hell again!
Note: you can mod down even if already at -1 to lower karma and to prevent lost /. users to accidentally mod up.
creimer wrote:
All you need to do is find a website with a permissive TOS, say, Slashdot, create a Python script to scrape your own comments, sprinkle Amazon affiliate links in various posts, and then re-post past links whenever possible. Won't be long before you start making "coffee money" each month.
https://slashdot.org/comments....
C.D. Reimer is a renowned Slashdot collaborator, as he puts it himself; "Because of the quality of my posts and my article submissions, I'm a highly rated commentator and moderator."
But does anybody ever wondered what "C.D." stands for? Well, it stands for Creimy Dumpty of course!
Creimy Dumpty sat on the wall,
Creimy Dumpty had a great fall.
All the king's horses
And all the king's men
Couldn't put Creimy Dumpty
Together again.
Creimy's siblings video and theme song, very realistic, especially the pants, just like Creimy's:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
With "Vice President Pence Vowing US Astronauts Will Return To the Moon", we are sure they will need miracle workers up there, here is what it would look like. Note that Creimy takes care of bringing a lot of food to the moon as depicted below:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
Creimy's real pictures:
Before the sex change:
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After the sex change:
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Creimy's "enterprise-level" chair, he talks about it all the time on slashdot:
http://www.keynamics.com/image...
Creimy's head, while his supervisor was talking to him, not with him, since it is impossible to do with Creimy:
Hello cdreimer! :-)
I took the liberty to edit your video and repost my new version on youtube. I am sure that you will approve and enjoy the enhancements.
See the new version here:
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This is the account given by the New Scientist article:
The impetus came from a 2016 US funding bill telling NASA to study interstellar travel that could reach at least 10 per cent of the speed of light by 2069.
“It’s very nebulous,” says Anthony Freeman at JPL, who presented the mission concept at the 2017 American Geophysical Union conference in New Orleans, Louisiana, on 12 December.
In other words NASA was directed in a funding bill to study interstellar travel, with the launch date and performance mandated in the legislation! And NASA's response to this requirement imposed by lawmakers is to offer a "very nebulous" study.
Nothing to see here, just a beleaguered agency trying to address a ridiculous idea from a space nutter lawmaker.
Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
You think this is funny troll meanwhile creimer video is ranked number one with only 5 views!
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So it'd have to be a robot mission.
Duh. Both the summary and TFA make it clear that this would be a probe, not a manned mission. It would be a flyby, passing through the Alpha Centauri solar system in minutes,
It depends on where you define the boundaries of the Star System. If you include the cocoon of debris enveloping the star [an Oort Cloud-like structure], and your ship can travel at c, we're talking about more than a year.
Ten percent of c? Years;
It depends on where you define the boundaries of the Star System
I was thinking of the time to pass through the Goldilocks zone, where liquid surface water can exist. It would zip through that in about an hour at 0.1c.
Depressing actually. Hell my children might see it get there. I have no faith that the singularity would go beyond the wealthy. The poor will be forced to die.
The proposed budget is ~ $100M. A manned mission would cost many many trillions.
That sounds more like an early concept exploration budget, you don't even get a Mars probe for $100M. If they can even find a workable interstellar probe concept I'm guessing it'll be closer to a trillion dollar project. And sending humans to Alpha fucking Centauri? Not if you dedicated the whole GDP of the world from now to 2069 to the task.
Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
Maybe we can make it two centuries in a row!
you don't even get a Mars probe for $100M.
The proposed mission to Alpha Centauri has a thousandfold smaller payload than the recent Mars missions.
Matthew McConaughey will be dead by then.
So now the U.S. want to win Freeciv? Without even putting people on Martian soil?
I wish best of luck for you.
Stupidity is an equal opportunity striker.
Fellow slashdotter Bill Dog
...after all, First Contact Day was..er...is...er... will be April 5, 2063. Every Star Trek fan knows that's when Efram Cochrane launched the first warp speed vessel and the Vulcans came to Earth. I'm guessing by 2069 will have perfected warp speed for interstellar travel, with help from the Vulcans, of course!
Which seems senseless to me. Could such a probe even transmit anything back to Earth? Could such a probe collect interesting data in the first place? Could it serve any purpose other than crashing into a planet with a potentially hostile civilization?
"When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
"Goldilocks Zone"? Meh. We don't know for certain that it is possible to generate life in the sub-surface oceans of icy moons, but we do know that it is possible to combine chemical energy, liquid water and extended periods of time in such an environment. To discount such environments would be rash. It would make a mockery of any pretensions we have to being rational organisms.
At the costs of such an expedition, it would be ludicrous to not send something that can stay and report back to Earth. If that means more than doubling the mission length (to centuries, not multiple decades), then we should bite that bullet to get a first-version of a vonNeumann machine into another system. Once that has starting to build a space-bourn industry, then the human species is one large step closer to spreading through the rest of the universe. We may not be a wonderful species, but to the best of our knowledge, we're the only self-aware species in the universe. That's a big egg to have in one basket.
Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
So?
You don't do that. If you think it is important to send the genetics of humans to Alpha Centauri, then that's fine and good. Send the information. It's a small fraction of a gramme if you encode it as DNA molecules, probably less if you send it in some other encoding. You'll also need to send the information to build an incubation system, and to build the necessary infrastructure, but those are tasks that are under research already. Long before the "landing lasers" (opposite end of the "launching lasers" for Breakthrough Starshot) get ground-broken, you could have humans growing in artificial wombs over there.
Lather, rinse and repeat for the next star system out. A generation time of a century or two per colonisation is within the bounds of possibility. Each generation halves the probability of the human species dieing out. The odds of any human ever dieing in a different star system to the one in which they were born will remain small.
Star Trek it ain't, but it doesn't break the laws of physics.
Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
Pretty hard to do on it's own. But since the proposal only requires the "launching lasers" to fire for a few months (until the probe is out in the Kuiper Belt) ... would you really only launch one probe then dismantle the lot?
Of course you woudn't - you'd launch a whole series of probes. Some at (say) 2.01 c, 1.99 c, 1.98 c, 1.97 c, ... (and not necessarily in that order) so that you havve multiple probes slowly separating in distance from Earth. The closer probes can then act as information relays for the more distant probes.
Perhaps you have to build your "launching lasers" on an asteroid - so at some times of the year it's line of fire would pass inconveniently close to the Sun (or Earth, or Jupiter ... or Planet 9 (of Brown & Batygin 2016) for several months. So, you leave it un-used? Or you launch the first batch of probes towards Procyon?
Hmmm, New Horizons? I don't see this being a big problem. Communications back to base being a bigger problem. And there wouldn't be a single probe anyway.
Very low probability. And also utterly irrelevant. Decades before the probe arrives in the target system, the "launching lasers" would have put a flickering brilliant light in the sky of the target. Further reading : first dozen or so chapters of "The Mote in God's Eye", 1991 by Larry Niven & Jerry Pournelle, Publisher: Pocket Books (March 1, 1991) Language: English ISBN-10: 0671741926.
Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
You do realize that all they are doing is looking at Stephen Hawking's plan to send small probes to Alpha Centauri using solar sails given a huge boost by lasers.
It is a stupid idea but for different reasons. A small electronic payload will go by the system at 0.10c. If we're lucky we'll get a picture that we can call Great {Whatever Colour} Dot. Of course that's assuming our imaging technology works at 0.10c. Then we have no way sending images back but maybe someone can turn the sail into an antenna with some light bracing. Maybe the aliens there could shine a laser at the sail and slow it down for us and we could get a proper picture of their star system.