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Microsoft Halts Bitcoin Transactions Because It's An 'Unstable Currency' (bleepingcomputer.com)

Catalin Cimpanu, reporting for BleepingComputers: Microsoft has stopped supporting Bitcoin as a payment method for Microsoft products, Bleeping Computer has learned. A Microsoft support staffer has told us the move is temporary and cited the unstable state of the Bitcoin currency. Microsoft added support for Bitcoin in 2014, and has previously temporarily stopped supporting Bitcoin in the past.

25 of 106 comments (clear)

  1. I called it earlier by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When a currency can quickly gain or lose half it's value with no apparent reason and no apparent cause, many people won't want to take them for fear they will lose money on the deal.

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    1. Re:I called it earlier by Holi · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Notice they only made this decision now that bitcoin is down. They had little issue with instability when it kept climbing.

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    2. Re:I called it earlier by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Sure. And people using it should have had an issue with using it when it kept climbing. That is why highly unstable currencies are bad. The smart people buy low and sell high, and that "people" includes businesses. Accepting a depreciating currency is a bad business decision. If offered to pay you for a product you are selling with a 25% margin in a currency that had a 50% chance of loosing half it's value before you could trade it for the stable local currency, would you do it? If you are smart, you would tell me to pay in the stable local currency.

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    3. Re:I called it earlier by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 4, Interesting

      When a currency can quickly gain or lose half it's value with no apparent reason and no apparent cause, many people won't want to take them for fear they will lose money on the deal.

      The gain should be obvious: Bitcoin is the preferred currency for the black market, it has a fixed liquidity requirement to meet the demand of the userbase, and non-criminals started using it for normal transactions thereby artificially inflating demand. The loss should likewise be obvious: the traders to followed the non-criminals in got freaked out by the rapid rise, expecting a bubble to burst, and subsequently bailed (or may have outright caused it.)

      The real issue with Bitcoin isn't the technology, that's a great concept for things like automated contracts. The issue is the same as its tax classification: it is a commodity with a limited quantity available. Coins/wallets get lost forever and there's only ~23 million which will ever be minted, it is inherently deflationary, meaning it not only has limited supply but that supply disappears over time.

      Actual cryptocurrencies (as opposed to cryptocommodities like Bitcoin) like Ethereum with a built in inflation rate surpassing lost coins/wallets and accounting for new user adoption (still unfortunately treated as commodities per tax codes) would be the solution to the problem, and quell a lot of the bubble-looking effects of volatility.

    4. Re:I called it earlier by supremebob · · Score: 2

      I thought that the spin is that Bitcoin is now a "store of wealth" instead of a currency now.

      Or, at least that's the latest excuse I heard on the slow purchase confirmation transaction times and high transaction fees.

      The funny thing is that if you actually want to use cryptocurrency as an actual currency, you're probably better off using a lesser known coin like Litecoin, where the network isn't as overloaded at the moment.

    5. Re:I called it earlier by Jfetjunky · · Score: 2

      I think anyone who was educated on the hyperinflation of the Deutsche mark after WWI could have called it. The reason for that hyperinflation is completely unrelated, but it doesn't take much to see that being completely tied to one currency that is fluctuating wildly isn't sustainable and wreaks havoc on economies.

      Bitcoin might have staying power. It might keep getting acceptance for some things. But it's a pipe dream to assume it's going to obsolete the fiat currencies we have today (at least in its current form). Those currencies are the way they are PRECISELY because they are centrally managed to try to control inflation/deflation.

    6. Re:I called it earlier by argStyopa · · Score: 2

      Notice they stopped when it started FALLING...not when it was climbing into the sky, despite it being precisely as "volatile" on THAT side of the hill....

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      -Styopa
    7. Re:I called it earlier by tlhIngan · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Sure. And people using it should have had an issue with using it when it kept climbing. That is why highly unstable currencies are bad. The smart people buy low and sell high, and that "people" includes businesses. Accepting a depreciating currency is a bad business decision. If offered to pay you for a product you are selling with a 25% margin in a currency that had a 50% chance of loosing half it's value before you could trade it for the stable local currency, would you do it? If you are smart, you would tell me to pay in the stable local currency.

      The problem is not that - because they only accept bitcoin for the few minutes it takes to confirm a transaction - as far as Microsoft is concerned, they get US dollars either way.

      The problem is Bitcoin takes forever to confirm transactions, or you start paying through the nose for it - and I'm sure the real reason is Microsoft is not going to pay the $50+ it takes to do a near-instant confirmation. And likely, because cheap confirmations can take over two weeks, I'm sure people don't like to wait either - only to find out they're still short in the end.

      I'm guessing the real problem is the processor is unable to reflect the current bitcoin transaction fee status to the customer - and customers are refusing to pay the inflated fees.

    8. Re:I called it earlier by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yes, the people failing to use logic or rational thinking are definitely the ones halting transactions on the wildly fluctuating "currency" that is traded like a commodity and has no intrinsic or backed value.

      On the other hand, let's trust the person who equates the USD and bitcoin.

      Bitcoin is a "currency", again, backed by nothing, which lost approximately 25% of it's value in a single day and whose lifetime minimum (I'd use ten years but it hasn't been around for 10 years yet) is equivalent to 1,52 euros with a maximum of just over 16K euros. It's single year min and max is 745 and 16K euros respectively.

      Meanwhile, the derided US dollar is backed by the government of a country who represents the largest economy based on GDP, and controls the largest military. Their currency has "depreciated" by about -23 euro cents over 10 years... in other worlds, the euro is actually what is depreciating, unless you mean just this past year alone, which the US dollar admittedly lost around 13 cents. This is over a 10 year min max of 0,62 and 0,96 euros,and a single year min max of 0,82 and 0,95 euros respectively. Or a 10 year swing of 1.54%.

      I'm not an economist, but I'm going to guess the volatility index of something that swung approximately 10664% in less than 10 years is going to represent a riskier investment than something that swung around 1.54%

      PS: Now if you've lost faith in America due to our most glorious leader, you might have something, but honestly I doubt the major players in our economy are struggling under our current administration. If anything they are thriving, making the USD an even better bet-- but that's heading into political discussion which is probably best left for another time.

  2. Cause of volatility is obvious by sjbe · · Score: 4, Interesting

    When a currency can quickly gain or lose half it's value with no apparent reason and no apparent cause, many people won't want to take them for fear they will lose money on the deal.

    The cause of the volatility is obvious. Fear Of Missing Out combined with greed which is what drives most asset bubbles.

    Microsoft ultimately has to convert all transactions to dollars for financial reporting. They hold many currencies (global company) but it's a bad idea to hold particularly volatile ones since they will have to convert those to dollars at least on their financial reporting statements. They can take the risk since in reality bitcoin is basically a rounding error to them but they aren't going to take a loss on it either.

    1. Re:Cause of volatility is obvious by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That is the cause of the volatility but not the cause of the individual fluctuations. Generally, when a conventional currency's value changes, there is an identifiable cause, such as interest rate, unemployment, sanctions, trade issues, war, inflation, etc. With bitcoin, you have none of that because it is just 1s and 0s backed by nothing. There is no identifiable cause for the individual fluctuations of bitcoin value so the changes can't even be guessed. Some people decide to sell when no one is buying and the value crashes. Some people decide to buy when no one is selling and value explodes. The reasons for each transaction can be literally anything.

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      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    2. Re:Cause of volatility is obvious by Luthair · · Score: 2

      Its also classic investment psychology, people buy high and sell low.

    3. Re:Cause of volatility is obvious by thegarbz · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The cause of the volatility is obvious. Fear Of Missing Out [wikipedia.org] combined with greed which is what drives most asset bubbles.

      No, that is only the cause of the most recently spike in price. The cause of volatility is incredibly low trading volumes against items with pegged value which means that even small transactions can have a real impact on value.

      If I convert 50m BTC into USD it would register enough to influence the price.
      If I convert 50m EUR into USD no one would notice.

      In a usable stable currency, FOMO would not cause a change in value.

  3. Re:This is good for bitcoin because... by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 3, Interesting

    No spin needed - if MS says its screwed, you should probably bet your shirt on it!

    They didn't say it is screwed, they said it is unstable, which, at least at the moment it is. How can you use a currency to price things when the value changes dramatically daily, even hourly? You can't. At least whilst it is this volatile it can't be used as a currency for most purchases usefully.

    Give it time, with banks moving in, and professional investors coming in, and no doubt- automated algorithms being place on trading computers, it will probably stabilize. Of course, then you have to deal with the transaction fees, and times next.

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  4. Re:Well..... they're not wrong by ThunderBird89 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    They're quite far from the cap (21 million, out of which app. 17 million have been mined). What they can't scale is throughput: the Bitcoin network can manage about 10-14 transactions per second, while Visa for instance executes about a hundred times that per second.

    Now, miners can apply all the hacks they want (SegWit and co.) but if the system wasn't made to scale, no amount of patching will make it scale.

    --
    Hyperbole: I use it liberally!
  5. Re:The USD has lost 98% of its value since 1913 by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Actually, it is about 96% and that is over 100 years. In that same amount of time, pay and the CPI have gone up as well.

    Bitcoin has gained, lost, gained, and lost again up to 30% of it's value over the last month. Did the amount you pay for gasoline, electricity, bread, etc fluctuate like that? No, they did not. If you bought a $1.00 product on December 14, on December 19, that product had cost you $1.30. If you sold a product on Dec 19 for $1.00, on December 30 you have only $0.65 for that product, but what you are paying for the material to make that product hasn't changed.

    --
    There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
  6. "Because it's an unstable COMMODITY" by PeeAitchPee · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's the speculation related to the market dynamics of blockchain currencies being treated as commodities in a market that is currently causing any instability, either perceived or otherwise. That is a completely different issue than any cryptocurrency's intrinsic *technical* stability.

  7. Re:Missing a few things by Smidge204 · · Score: 2

    Then it would not really matter if BTC increases or drops by 10% in a few hours.

    Yes it would.

    As a buyer paying in bitcoin, if I can anticipate the value increasing by 10% in an hour then I will wait an hour to make my purchase. If I anticipate the price rising significantly in the future at all, then it's in my best interest to spend as little of it as possible.

    As a seller accepting bitcoin, instant conversion makes things a bit easier but there is a similar dilemma in that it might not pay to convert immediately. But if you are converting BTC to USD immediately, and presumably pegging the price in BTC to the price in USD, then why bother with the extra headaches and just use USD to begin with? There's little incentive to accept a form of payment that customers are reluctant to use.
    =Smidge=

  8. Re:This is good for bitcoin because... by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 2

    "Believe me, I'm a very stable currency!" - Donald Nakamoto

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    "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
  9. bitcoins fees and transaction time are to high for by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 2

    bitcoins fees and transaction time are to high for most day to day things.

  10. It is not a payment method by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 2

    Accepting bitcoin payment is similar to accepting payment in terms of commodities, frozen concentrated orange juice ("Sell 30 April at 142!") or pork bellies. Or, at best, a foreign currency with a very volatile exchange rate. So there is no surprise, nor real news in this announcement.

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    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  11. Re:This is good for bitcoin because... by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 2

    Kinda hard to pay for something worth $25, when you have to pay $20 to send it.

    And now you know why Canadians don't want to order things from USA websites. The shipping costs are crazy expensive. I've seen a seller asking $100 shipping for a $40 solar panel.

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  12. Re:This is good for bitcoin because... by easyTree · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It won't be stable until the people that matter control it xx

  13. Do *not* join the Cryptocurrency Mining Scene by perpenso · · Score: 2

    If you want to get in on the cryptocurrency mining scene ...

    Stop yourself, don't do it. Take either of these two paths:

    (1) You were going to buy a GPU anyway for some non-mining reason. Go ahead, buy the GPU. Maybe, **maybe**, buy a model up one level of performance/price from what you would have otherwise bought, if its a low to midrange model. Say if you were otherwise planning on a GTX 1050 Ti 4GB ***maybe*** get a GTX 1060 6GB, ****maybe****. If you were otherwise getting a high performer, say a 1070 Ti for that 4K monitor, do *****not***** go up a level to a 1080 Ti. Then let the GPU mine when you are not using the machine. Use a watt meter to determine the total power consumption of your machine to determine power usage, do *not* trust online references that say your GPU uses so many watts. When your GPU is mining other parts of the computer are also drawing power, especially the CPU which may also be mining. You want to know the total system power and make sure your mining proceeds exceed that amount. Be sure to use above baseline residential power rates in your calculations, do *not* just look at your current bill and expect the current rate. If it is not profitable to mine do *not* fall into the trap that "the coin price will eventually rise and make it profitable", that is a losing game. Instead, take whatever money you would spend on power and just buy the coins directly, you will have more coins that way if the price rises. But above all else, do not get into the mindset of joining the mining scene, that is a path to losing money. Stay in the scene "the GPU I have anyway can make some coin when I'm not using it".

    (2) Take whatever money you were willing to spend on a GPU for mining and just buy coins with that money. You will likely do better that way if the price rises. Many miners fall into the trap that they are profitable and pat themselves on the back. They do not consider the opportunity cost of the alternative of just buying coins directly. The following are very rough estimates but the point will nonetheless be clear. Lets say you spent $500 on a GPU last summer and another $500 on a GPU last fall. At above baseline residential power rates maybe you have about an extra $1,000 after factoring in power. Congrats your GPUs are now paid. However your friend bought $500 worth of bitcoin in the summer and another $500 in the fall and now has $3,000 worth of bitcoin. You are at net $0, he is at net $2,0000. If you are willing to gamble on increasing coin prices you may be better off just buying coins directly. Things are not as simple as a mining rig being profitable, the opportunity cost of the just buy directly must be considered. Many other things must also be considered before joining the mining scene.

  14. Re: This is good for bitcoin because... by gnick · · Score: 2

    ...who will even pay in bitcoin with a $20 fee?

    Depends on what you're buying. For some of the products that bitcoin is popular for, expensive overhead is less important than anonymity. $20 on top of a $80 software license? Pay with a credit card. $20 on top of a $300 sheet of LSD? Pony up the $20.

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