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Tesla Burns Through $2 Billion In 2017 (theverge.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Verge: Tesla reported record revenue for 2017, floated by customer deposits of the recently announced Semi truck and Roadster sports car. Despite its optimistic sales numbers, Model 3 production issues and cash flow problems haunt the company, but Tesla insists its on track to meet its production goals of 5,000 cars a week by mid-2018. Tesla reported $3.3 billion in revenue, which was expected, but also posted a $771 million quarterly loss -- its largest quarterly loss ever. The company reported a negative free cash flow of $276.7 million. And it reported a net loss of $2.24 billion in 2017, a significant increase over the $773 million net loss it reported in 2016.

27 of 188 comments (clear)

  1. If it gives me another Starman by the_skywise · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I don't care!

    1. Re:If it gives me another Starman by nospam007 · · Score: 2

      It's just accounting.

      He can claim the 140 million miles to Mars his red convertible makes this year as business expense ($0.54 per mile)

      Perhaps he also got a bill from SpaceX for the publicity stunt that he an claim as well. :-)

  2. Re:Gotta break eggs to make an Omelet. by zifn4b · · Score: 2

    You gotta do things in order to get things done.

    You gotta spend money to make money.

    Except if you spend too much money and don't get enough results, bankruptcy for you. It doesn't matter how good your idea is or if it's going to change the world for the better. In most of the world, it only matters whether it can achieve ROI and there are constraints in the form of how much VC a firm is willing to put into your company before they don't think you're going to do anything else other than throw them under a bus.

    --
    We'll make great pets
  3. Many people: "TESLA IS A FAILURE" by darkain · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Inb4 all the comments of Telsa being a failure for the amount of money they are losing. But, in reality, that money isn't a loss. It is investment. Look how long Amazon lasted before they turned their first profit.

    1. Re:Many people: "TESLA IS A FAILURE" by Wookie+Monster · · Score: 2, Insightful

      ...except Amazon has had little competition. There's a quite a few other companies producing successful electric and hybrid models, and they have been for many years. Is Tesla a failure? Only if they try to compete in the mass market. As a luxury brand they should do fine, but they decided to play with the big boys and it's not going to work out well. Especially considering that the Model 3 is a terrible design from a usability standpoint. If I could buy a Model 3 today, it's the last choice I'd make, electric or gasoline.

    2. Re:Many people: "TESLA IS A FAILURE" by WindBourne · · Score: 2

      Actually, none of Tesla competitors are building EVs worth a plug nickel.
      Sure, they are building and PUSHING Hybrids, but that is because it is far more profitable to builders AND dealers.
      As such, they will continue to push such crap until Tesla really cuts into their sales.
      Right now, Telsa has not cut into anything except for luxury sedans above $40K. The MX is cutting into luxury X-overs, but, not as large as MS/M3 have cut into sedans.

      And it remains to be seen if the competitors CAN AND WILL build EVs to compete against Tesla.
      My feeling is that they will continue to fight it, until MY hits the market and then they will have no choice.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:Many people: "TESLA IS A FAILURE" by WindBourne · · Score: 2

      Uh, Tesla outsells all EVs and Hybrids, except for Hybrids in China.
      Assuming that Tesla will hit 5000 cars / week with M3 by june, then they will be #1 in the world of all EVs/hHybrids.

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      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re:Many people: "TESLA IS A FAILURE" by Rei · · Score: 2

      Yeah, here's a fun exercise for you. Calculate how long it takes to drive LA to NY in any of Tesla's "competitors" and compare that time to a Model 3. We'll just ignore how much slower they are, how much dorkier they look, how much they lack in standard and optional features relative to Model 3, and all of that. Just do the calculation and report back your findings.

      There's a reason why the Model 3 has a half-million-long waiting list and its competitors don't.

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      It's time for Operation Crazy Plan.
    5. Re:Many people: "TESLA IS A FAILURE" by Rei · · Score: 2

      I find that I want to stop for a break to eat and rest anyway by the time I need to charge.

      It takes you 40 theoretical / 75 real world minutes to eat? You have to eat every 1 2/3 hours?

      . But then again, neither is the Model 3.

      Huh? Model 3 is the fastest road tripping EV in the world. A Model 3 recently drove from LA to NYC in 50 hours 16 minutes. Unlike your "40 theoretical / 75 real world minutes every 1 2/3 hour" meal/break schedule, Model 3 LR has a "25 minutes every 2 1/4 hours" meal/break schedule (real world). Which is perfectly reasonable. Model 3 SR is more like "30 minutes every 1 2/3 hours".

      There is plenty of reliable CHAdeMO

      I don't know where you are in Europe, but I just now did the same experiment I've done many times with CHAdeMOs in London - I clicked the closest 10 CHAdeMOs to downtown London in Plugshare and looked at the reviews. One was down. Another had been down in the second-to-last review but was up in the most recent review.

      Is that the sort of reliability you consider acceptable for a road trip - 80-90%? 10-20% chance of getting stranded?

      There's a reason that Tesla never has only a single charger per station (most common is 4x chargers feeding 8x stations, but that seems to be growing). Why they're all on the same network. Why they're all closely monitored with fast response times. Etc. When it comes to transportation infrastructure, you just can't be having people get stranded due to downed chargers. It's just not tolerable.

      Also, CHAdeMOs are most commonly 1x per site (click around with PlugShare). How much you want to bet a road trip on a charger happening to be free when you get there?

      The fast charging situation between "Tesla" and "Everyone else" is just night and day. I've watched some CHAdeMOs on Plugshare be down for *years*. Meanwhile I watched Hurricane Irma, with its widespread flooding, only take down one supercharger, and only for a few hours. Maria, the US's largest power system disaster in history, managed to take many down, but only for a couple days; the only one that was down for more than a couple days was on Marathon key, and that whole island went under. They got it back up a couple weeks later, before the gas stations even reopened.

      A lot of people have said that the touch screen is janky, e.g. having to go through multiple menus to change basic settings like the windscreen wipers or headlights.

      Windshield wipers and headlights are both auto, so I'm not sure why you'd want to change them. No, it's not multiple menus in, they're each one menu in - and that menu pops up when you do a related activity. For example, if you do a single wiper flick with the stick, the wiper menu comes up (otherwise it's just a swipe on the screen to bring it up). Note that your high beams / blinker are still controlled with the stick, as is normal (although if you have the autopilot option then you get auto hi-beams too).

      There's a lot of misinformation about the interface. For example, I've seen claims that you have to control the dome lights from it. Not true; you simply press them to turn them on and off. I've seen people on Youtube complaining about how you'd have to adjust the volume or change tracks/stations from the screen. Again, not true; that's what the steering wheel controls are for. Etc.

      Tesla does software updates which is nice, but their system also doesn't work as well as ProPilot.

      I've never used ProPilot, but I doubt this. But I am curious; have you used the most recent versions of each? Googling comparison reviews between people driving the two of them generally gets articles that sum up as, "It's good, but it's no Autopilot". To pick one of many examples:

      In comparison to Tesla’s system which features obstacle detection, speed li

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      It's time for Operation Crazy Plan.
    6. Re:Many people: "TESLA IS A FAILURE" by Rei · · Score: 2

      I watched that video yesterday. He seems to confirm what I was saying - it's not as capable as autopilot, in that it works on fewer roads and doesn't have things like semi auto lane changing, but what it does do it does extremely well.

      Maybe you were watching a different video? He certainly didn't say anything like "but what it does do it does extremely well". He said, and I quote (11:15):

      "... self driving abilities in other cars. The ProPilot system in Nissan Leaf is actually pretty good, but you have to push the steering wheel too often. After just five seconds. And also the ProPilot, it was, I mean, I could handle the turns 'okay', but, well, the ProPilot is designed for motorways only..." (stops to pay attention to the road) "... But you know, the ProPilot system in the Nissan Leaf, for some reason, when we're doing like a right turn like this, it tends to go too much to the centre dots. But when it does a left turn like this, a left bend, then it does it pretty nice. But, um... again, you know, it was only designed for motorways, not for like two lane highways like Tesla can. So... overall, I mean, I've tested the systems - I haven't tested the systems for BMW or Mercedes or Infinity or whatever... but at least the systems I've tested, Tesla is the best. And I've read reviews of other people testing the other systems from Mercedes and whatever, and.... very consistent, you know, every time, Tesla wins the Autopilot tests. So, Tesla is considered to be the, Autopilot... I mean, Autonomy level 2.5, whereas the other ones, like the Leaf, or Ionic, is like... level 2. Or maybe even a weak level 2, it depends on which car it is.

      How did you get "it does things extremely well" (or even more, that it's better than Tesla) from that? You're of the view that Autopilot wavers in its lane; Björn found just the opposite, e.g. when the road curved right, ProPilot tracked poorly (and consistently poorly), while Autopilot tracked correctly.

      (If I remember right, later in the video he also started talking about ProPilot again, and faulted it for two more things - not disengaging immediately upon user steering input, and for not making disengagement as clear as Autopilot.)

      Zero ping-ponging, no "will it won't it" worries coming up to corners.

      Heh, you know what I get zero ping-ponging, no "will it won't it" worries with? Autopilot ;) Again, I'm confused by your experience. I can't deny your experience, because it was yours, but it doesn't match with mine - or apparently that of most reviewers. :)

      But anyway, I just thought of this conversation when I watched the review :)

      As for the interface, I fully agree with you that there are some changes they should make, and the TACC target speed is #1. They're not even close to fully utilizing the steering wheel controls, so it's an easy fix. They've been rolling out the updates pretty quickly, so I hope to see that one on the change list of an update soon. If they don't, that's a huge missed opportunity.

      Wipers by contrast, I have no issue with, and neither does almost everyone I've talked with who has their Model 3 - particularly now that they've pushed out the autowipers update. Because with auto you just don't have to mess with it at all (unless you're in the minority who doesn't like autowipers), and even without autowipers, it's so easy to get into the menu - the left stick triggers it when you do a single wipe or cleaning, and you can do a screen swipe to access it rather than a click on the screen as well.

      Hey, I'll give the Leaf credit on the 360 degree view - that is a neat feature Tesla lacks :) Although to be fair, I like how Tesla gives precise distances to vehicles near you.

      There've been a number of interviews given about the design. While a number of changes surely do reduce the cost, having such a large, responsive touchscreen is certainly not a co

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      It's time for Operation Crazy Plan.
  4. Sick of cars. I want a personal flying machine. by Narcocide · · Score: 2

    Or at least an electric scooter. Come on, Tesla! Gimme something here.

  5. Re:Gotta break eggs to make an Omelet. by mspohr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So far, Tesla has produced enough so that people are eager to throw money at it. No problem raising funds.
    They are making cars and have plans for new models and trucks and energy storage and solar panels and roofs. That takes money. As long as they deliver, they can continue to raise money to grow. If they stopped spending on new stuff today, they would be profitable but wouldn't have much of a future.
    It took Amazon years to become profitable and now Bezos is world's richest man.

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    I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
  6. Re:Sick of cars. I want a personal flying machine. by mspohr · · Score: 4, Funny

    Maybe you can arrange to be the driver of the next Tesla to go into space.

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    I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
  7. Re:Sunk Costs Fallacy by letthelightin · · Score: 5, Insightful

    People don't mind tossing their money into the Tesla furnace because it offers hope in the future in terms of real social value, as opposed to financial numbers value. They are the only public facing company making any significant efforts toward a better future.

  8. Tax changes by DogDude · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Everybody's taking a loss in 2017 and posting profits in 2018 to take advantage of the tax changes.

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    I don't respond to AC's.
  9. Deposits are not revenue by magarity · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Tesla reported record revenue for 2017, floated by customer deposits

    Deposits are liabilities. They only turn into revenue when you deliver whatever it was the deposit was for.

  10. High Risk, High Reward by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Agreed. However, that does not mean that there is not a considerable risk attached to this approach too. One serious failure and it could all come crashing down. This is a high risk, high reward strategy with the added benefit that Tesla is producing potentially revolutionary products so even if they fail it will likely have long lasting benefits for society...and today there are sadly very few companies you can say that about.

  11. What is it with these Tesla articles? by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Meh.

    They invest what they have in a measured fashion to realize their plan. If they hit their stride on the Model 3 by the end of Q2, they should generate positive free cash flow at a minimum. At which point, they will likely invest in a ramp-up of the Model Y, which is expected to require an assembly line in China... and consume significant cash.

    If I found anything disappointing in their financials, it was the fact that the energy business isn't doing as well as I would hope-- especially on the energy storage side. It looks like the windfarm battery plant in South Australia accounted for 60%+ of that revenue. I guess the other concern is the fact that sales/manufacturing of the S and X will be constrained by availability of the 18650 cells to 100k units.

  12. No problem for the company by Trogre · · Score: 3, Informative

    Tesla is really going places in 2018.

    --
    "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
  13. Re:Sunk Costs Fallacy by larryjoe · · Score: 3, Insightful

    They are the only public facing company making any significant efforts toward a better future.

    Wow, what a cynical (and unsupported) opinion.

    Your comment is completely useful - not. Hyperbole aside, some people actually feel like Tesla is the only company building for a better future.

    Why is Tesla the only such beneficent or visionary company? It can't be because they build electric cars, batteries, solar systems, spacecraft, or other leading-edge technologies because they're not the only such company. It can't be because they treat their employees better than other companies because numbers such as salaries and benefits and other new articles don't seem to support that idea. Maybe the reason is that Elon Musk has Steve Jobs magic fairy dust and is the fount of innovation?

    Seriously, I like Tesla. I think they're doing some interesting things. I think Elon Musk has tried some visionary things. Time will tell whether those efforts impact society in a significant and positive way. That they are the only well-intentioned company in existence seems hard to substantiate.

  14. BUT losses were better than WS expected. by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    The fact is, that Tesla lost LESS than what the markets had been expecting for some time.
    And as has been pointed out, that once they are somewhere between 4000 to 5000 cars per week, they will be in the GAAP black.

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    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:BUT losses were better than WS expected. by WindBourne · · Score: 2

      Here is the main one.
      Here is BI
      Here is CBS
      Here is Market Watch.
      Here is WSJ
      In fact, other than Faux News, BreitBart, and Daily Stormer, they all say the same thing. That yes, Tesla had losses but not as much as forecast some time ago.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:BUT losses were better than WS expected. by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 2

      Sarcasm doth not become you. Your cut-and-paste spray of links (the ones that aren't paywalled -- did you read them yourself?) all give different supposed EPS forecasts that TLSA "beat," which should have set off a big alarm bell in your head about their subjectivity. I posted a year's worth of statistics from NASDAQ showing they've missed expectations every quarter for the past year, and today's stock performance is utterly consistent with that and utterly inconsistent with your hypothesis. I note you touched neither point.

  15. Re:Smart with money by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Informative

    His personal tesla was launched into space, because SPACEX had to launch some weight. This was cooler than simply putting in lead.
    Solar CIty was doing fine, except towards the end, a number of companies were targeting SC. And now, SC, who has 1/3 of the installation, will be back to do so.
    Huh. Tesla sold a product at a profit that has now saved Aus. state gov millions of $. As such, nearly all of the Aussie states want to work with Tesla so that all make money. And yes, Tesla made money on that contract.

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    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  16. Re:Smart with money by jezwel · · Score: 3, Insightful

    And that same Australian government that commissioned the battery has now commissioned solar roofing for 50,000 houses from Tesla. No more free batteries required either after the first, now it's order taking and (you'd expect) profit making for that part of the Tesla group.

  17. Re:Gotta break eggs to make an Omelet. by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Pick a brand. Now google phrases like "problems with my X" or "problems with my new X", where X is the brand. You'll find tons and tons of pages of people complaining about it. And of course you will, because you're deliberately imparting selection bias to your search.

    It's amazing the difference I see reading these "Tesla build quality is terrible!" articles / vids people share, versus the reports over on the Model 3 forum of random people documenting their delivery processes as they happen and going over their car with a fine-toothed comb afterwards. From the former, you'd think that they're held together by gaffer tape and carpenter's glue. From the latter, it's nothing even remotely resembling that.

    There is a measurement of how satisfied customers are with their cars overall, and that's... wait for it... customer satisfaction. If you don't want a statistical bias, that's your measure. And of course, Consumer Reports tracks it. Guess what? Tesla is almost always at the top of the list. The question you should be asking yourself is not "Why are 10% of Tesla owners unsatisfied", it's "Why are 38% of BMW owners unsatisfied"? "Why are 24% of Audi owners unsatisfied?" "Why are 30% of Lexus owners unsatisfied?" "Why are 40% of Infiniti owners unsatisfied?" "Why are 36% of Cadillac owners unsatisfied?" Etc. And it's worth pointing out that most Tesla customers came from other luxury brands.

    Re your "no safe exit from the back" remark:

    1) Model 3 unlocks the doors automatically in the event of an accident. P. 33 of the manual. Listed in the crash events alongside the airbags going off, hazard lights going on, interior lights going on, and HV disabled. Note that it takes 12V to trigger the airbags as well, so if your airbags are going off, your rear doors are getting unlocked.

    2) Depending on how the rear latch mechanism works (I don't know this), it may well *default* to unlatched upon loss of 12V. Has anyone actually checked what type of electronc latch it has? (or for that matter, checked for an emergency release under trim, like the X)? I'd wager it probably stays latched, but without checking, it's not something you can flatly assert.

    3) Even if it did not auto-unlock, even if it did not passive fail to unlocked... how would it be any worse than a coupe? How would it be any worse than child safety locks on most cars (most cars, not Teslas - child safety locks are disabled in the event of an accident in a Tesla)? Where is your doom-and-gloom public safety campaign against coupes and child safety locks?

    Just the other day I stood in the parking lot to count panel gaps on a Model S.

    Funny, because for me finding a panel gap on a Tesla has been somewhat of a unicorn. I keep hearing about this supposed problem of widespread panel gaps, and yet I'm yet to find one in real life - despite trying. I don't doubt that they exist somewhere, but as of yet? I'll keep hunting for them ;)

    FYI, Consumer Reports ranks the current Model S as "above average" reliability.

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    It's time for Operation Crazy Plan.
  18. Re:Tesla is a success ... at graft by Rei · · Score: 4, Informative

    http://www.latimes.com/busines...
    http://www.businessinsider.com...

    Let's parse.

    Tesla Motors Inc., SolarCity Corp. and Space Exploration Technologies Corp., known as SpaceX, together have benefited from an estimated $4.9 billion in government support, according to data compiled by The Times.

    So you start off by pretending that SpaceX and Tesla are the same company. Clever move! What is this "government support"?

    New York state is spending $750 million to build a solar panel factory in Buffalo for SolarCity. The San Mateo, Calif.-based company will lease the plant for $1 a year. It will not pay property taxes for a decade, which would otherwise total an estimated $260 million.

    Wow, OMG, a state government gave financial incentives for a large company to build a factory in their state. This has never happened before in the history of business! Except bloody always, but apart from that, OMG!

    Nevada has agreed to provide Tesla with $1.3 billion in incentives to help build a massive battery factory near Reno.

    Stop the presses again!

    That's nearly half of the $4,9B in the article, and it's just your standard "incentives to get a large company to move to your state" game that all large companies play.

    The federal government also provides grants or tax credits to cover 30% of the cost of solar installations. SolarCity reported receiving $497.5 million in direct grants from the Treasury Department.

    All solar installers received this; it is nothing SolarCity specific. You could start a solar installation company yourself today and receive tax credits.

    The Palo Alto company has also collected more than $517 million from competing automakers by selling environmental credits.

    Same story. The other automakers wouldn't have sold credits had they actually made the ZEVs that the legislation was intended to make them produce. And any automaker could get the credits.

    Meanwhile, everyone shoulders the huge financial costs of air pollution from fossil fuel power (the healthcare costs alone from the worst coal plants can be up to 45 cents per kWh). But I know you want to slap down renewables with everything and give fossil fuels a pass for everything, so let's keep going!

    Since 2006, SolarCity has installed systems for 217,595 customers, according to a corporate filing. If each paid the current average price for a residential system — about $23,000, according to the Union of Concerned Scientists — the cost to the government would total about $1.5 billion, which would include the Treasury grants paid to SolarCity.

    Oh, so now we're taking in subsidies to consumers and pretending that they're subsidies to SolarCity? Clever girl! But okay!

    But wait, that article was just for $4,9B (and that includes SpaceX). Where did your other $3B come from? Oh right, this:

    The California state Assembly passed a $3-billion subsidy program for electric vehicles, dwarfing the existing program.

    So we can now play the game where we pretend that Tesla gets all of that! But of course, we know that there are other other EV manufacturers; again, any company cam make EVs and get incentives. But let's go with it. How much money does Tesla

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    It's time for Operation Crazy Plan.