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Bloomberg Starts Tracking Tesla Model 3 Production (bloomberg.com)
WindBourne writes: Tesla is producing their Model 3, but is apparently tired of answering critics about production. So, they quit telling. Now, Bloomberg has an active tracker that shows the total production and deliveries, along with the production per week, which is probably more important. In fact, they are now up to 1,025 Model 3s per week, and it is apparent that Tesla is growing by leaps and bounds on this as parts of the manufacturing line are converted to full robotics. Bloomberg reportedly tracks Tesla's production via Vehicle Identification Numbers (VINs), which are unique strings of digits displayed on every new car sold in the U.S., along with "data from official U.S. government resources, social media reports, and direct communication with Tesla owners." While the company is now building approximately 1,025 Model 3 vehicles a week, Bloomberg estimates that Tesla has manufactured a total of 7,438 Model 3s so far.
They pre-sold a reported (approx) 400K on opening offering day alone. At a rate of 1025 a week, this means that just to satisfy the original pre-order Tesla will take a a good 7.5 years to deliver the vehicle to the last person on the list.
3... 2... 1... TROLL!
Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
They don't call it "polish" sausage for nothing. Mmmmmmmm, not zzzzzzzzz.
But Tesla CEO Elon Musk wants his electric-car company to become a dominant mass-production player that eventually extends its reach to electric trucks and beyond. The Model 3—with a sticker price as low as $35,000, but currently only available in more expensive configurations—is Tesla’s first step into the mainstream. That plan only works if the company can figure out how to make exponentially more cars. And, as often happens with Musk’s aggressive goals, Tesla has repeatedly fallen short of its own manufacturing targets.
If Tesla can’t figure out how to make more cars soon, it could open a lane for rivals from Detroit and overseas to establish the high-volume market for a $35,000 electric car—one that Tesla has had in its sights from its very beginning. Musk’s ambitions are big, and they all ride on meeting the unprecedented demand for the Model 3.
Oh Fuck off Bloomberg.com.
Just another Tesla hater that wants them to fail. Wallstreet acts like Tesla is always on the brink of failure. Spoiler alert. They've already won. There is no risk of failing anymore. They've delivered 3 successful products to the market. Demand exists. They sell out on pre-orders everytime. They're developing a 4th (autonomous semi). 10 years from now, you'll still be reading articles about "Tesla on the brink of failure"
There is some weird Republican sentiment that doesn't like Tesla because it's perceived as "liberal hippy tree hugger" or this idea that "real cars" burn fuel. This strange sentiment explains all these anti-Tesla aspirations. It's strange these feelings aren't applied to SpaceX too, an equally successful and industry disrupting company.
Also spoiler alert. If Detroit could deliver a $35k electric car, they would. They can't. Tesla is not stopping them. Detroit is stopping Detroit.
Estimating production by looking at available VIN numbers assigned to and appearing
on delivered Tesla M3s has already been done by people of the model 3 owners club.
See their web site.
Bolt and Leaf need to be able to supercharge like Tesla's in order to truly pry customers away. But since they don't want the embarrassment of using Tesla's network / tech / etc, they are going to have to roll out their own. Oh sorry, and tesla already took the early adopters.
On the other hand, Tesla really needs to get a handle on gasoline cars and whoever else hogging charging spots. They're starting to tarnish their name and reputation.
The engineers were probably thinking that the automated rain sensors on the model 3 would take over manual operation of the windshield wipers. Detecting rain on a windshield should be a little easier than automated driving.
You can still use the lever behind the steering wheel to control momentary wipers.
Heaven forbid that a truly innovative car company question the status quo of windshield wiper operation.
"Every time I see an adult on a bicycle, I no longer despair for the future of the human race." - H. G. Wells
Bloomberg is now arbitraging the Tesla numbers. They can drive the stock up or down with their unofficial reports while having plausible deniability about the accuracy for a while. Probably the ultimate result is that Tesla buys a shitload of advertising from Bloomberg and the reports become dull and boring.
Since tesla does not buy advertising, you are full of it.
Your estimate is wrong. 7,202,335,148,562,342,439,363,104,735,232 units per month will be one month after 7.5 years. The correct number is 3601167574281171219681552367616 (feel free to insert the commas).
Considering the GP estimate of 1025 cars a week will result 53446 cars/year or 53592 (for a leap year) which translates into a monthly production rate between 4454 and 4466.
Considering the truth is in the middle I would calculate the monthly production of tesla to be between 1800583787140585609840776181581 and 1800583787140585609840776181575 cars/month.
Now back to my MBA course.
Good for him.
"Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
As numbers increase I wonder what happens to quality?? I know early production that was basically run at a snails pace was creating many issues in quality control. Has Tesla solved these issues, or simply decided they would just crank out as many as they can to quell negative press? A lot of conflicting reports on Tesla these days, the corporate line is everything is smooth, but owners and assembly workers say different. Were talking a $50,000 car here when all is said and done. That's a price that demands very high quality these days. Heck I've read that a KIA has better quality then the model 3. That if true will not go over well to a buyer of the Model 3 no matter how great you feel about Tesla. It still has to be reliable and worthy of the price. Otherwise you will see dramatic drops in resale value.
They should maybe talk to a mathematician: During WWII, the allies had
exactly the same problem with the German tank production rate and their
tanks' sequential serial numbers.
It's known as the German tank problem, and statistical methods
delivered impressively accurate results at the time (results that were doubted by
the military, but that's another story...).